Short Position FIL/USDT🔥 FIL/USDT – Approaching Key Short Zone
FIL is currently consolidating within a tightening wedge structure, showing signs of bearish indecision as price grapples with a well-defined short zone. Price action has moved aggressively from local lows and is now testing multi-level resistance areas.
🟣 Zone to Watch:
“Possible Short Zone” highlighted in purple — this zone marks a high-probability entry area where sellers could step in.
📍 Entry Point:
🔴 Short Entry: 2.654 – Near the lower end of the resistance window.
📉 Momentum & Setup:
Chart Formation: The consolidation has created a rising/symmetrical wedge, indicative of a bearish retest scenario.
Volume Consideration: Look for a spike in volume accompanying a bearish reversal near the upper band of the zone.
🟢 Take-Profit Zones:
✅ TP1: 2.518
✅ TP2: 2.333
✅ TP3: 2.125
✅ TP4: 1.848 (Final zone)
❌ Invalidation Level: 2.90+
(A strong close above this level would signal a potential trend reversal and invalidate the bearish setup.)
🧠 Narrative:
This setup is a textbook example of a bearish retest where support converts to resistance. The rapid price climb has likely exhausted buyers, setting the stage for sellers to capitalize on the multi-level resistance. Smart money appears poised to offload positions at these levels before further downside expansion, potentially triggering a liquidity grab.
🎲 Market Context:
Keep an eye on overall crypto market sentiment.
📌 Risk Management:
As always, manage your position sizes and money management carefully. Consider setting a stop-loss just above the invalidation level (around 2.90) to protect against unexpected moves.
Crypto market
$BTC Rebounds to $84K Amid Downtrend—Eyes on $88.8K Resistance Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $84,273.58, recovering slightly from recent lows. The price has increased 5.97% over the past 7 days, though it slipped 1.04% in the last 24 hours. The asset maintains a dominant position with a market cap of $1.67 trillion and a 24-hour trading volume of $28.46 billion, marking a 16.32% surge in activity.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin remains in a corrective bearish structure. After hitting its all-time high of $109,358 on January 19, the price entered a steady decline, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows. This internal structure signals a bearish break of structure (BOS), reinforced by macroeconomic pressures, including a market-wide dip triggered by Trump-era tariffs.
Technical analysis
Following a recent low near $74,000, Bitcoin has rebounded but has yet to invalidate the prevailing bearish trend. The key resistance level now lies at $88,800, which represents the most recent lower high. If Bitcoin closes above this level with strong bullish momentum, the trend could shift, potentially paving the way for a new leg up toward previous highs.
Until that breakout occurs, however, the trend remains technically bearish. A failure to overcome the $88,800 resistance could lead to renewed selling pressure. In that case, Bitcoin may retrace to support zones between $72,000 and $74,000. These levels are critical for bulls to defend in order to avoid a deeper correction.
As the market continues to digest both macroeconomic news and technical signals, all eyes remain on whether Bitcoin can flip its structure and reclaim bullish territory.
Will BTC emerge from the descending channel on top?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. On the one-day interval, you can see how the price is moving in the downtrend channel in which there is again a fight with the upper boundary of the channel. At this stage, you can also see how the EMA Cross 50/200, they have come very close but still indicate the maintenance of a long-term upward trend.
Here you can see how the price has currently bounced off the resistance zone from $ 86,503 to $ 87,934. Only an upper exit from this zone will open the way towards the second important zone at the levels of $ 93,959 to $ 96,142, and then we have visible strong resistance around $ 101,800.
Looking the other way, you can see that in the event of further declines, we have support at $ 80,550, then you can see an important zone that previously maintained the price decline from $ 74,340 to $ 71,380, in a situation where this zone is broken, we can see a quick decline to around $ 65,360.
The MACD indicator shows an attempt to switch to an upward trend, it is worth watching whether there is enough energy for further movement.
Solana Rises Over 18% In Last 7 Days as ETF Talks Fuel OptimismSolana has gained strong upward momentum, trading around $130 in the last 24 hours. The token reached a new weekly high, outperforming many altcoins during the broader crypto market recovery. Growing speculation around the possible approval of a Solana Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) has fueled this bullish movement.
Investor attention turned sharply after Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart clarified that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has until October 10 to issue a final decision on the proposed Solana ETF. However, he also pointed out that early approval is still possible, though unlikely. Under the leadership of Paul Atkins and with input from Hester Peirce's Crypto Task Force, the SEC may fast-track decisions related to digital assets.
A Solana ETF could bring institutional capital into the ecosystem, similar to what happened with Bitcoin and Ethereum after their respective ETFs gained approval. Analysts believe that updated regulations, especially regarding asset custody and digital definitions, will be key in shaping the outcome. If progress continues, early approval remains a possibility, although most market watchers still expect a final decision closer to the October deadline.
Technical Analysis
On the chart, SOL has found support at a major demand zone around the $110–$115 range. The price is now trading above this area after reading below $100 at some point, marking an internal bearish break of structure. If the bullish momentum can sustain to trade and close above the recent lower high at around $147, that move would suggest a shift in trend.
If the price fails to maintain momentum and break above $147, bearish momentum will continue, with a potential retest of the support zone below $100.
Trading is a business
The masses have the wrong ideas about Trading. It is a business and just like others it involves risk. We grow, we learn, earn and scale up. Crafting a plan is essential to success and character also play a key role here.
In this business, risk is an inherent part of the equation. Just like any other enterprise, trading exposes you to challenges and setbacks, but it's how you manage these risks that can differentiate a thriving business from one that falters. Careful risk management—whether through proper position sizing, stop-loss strategies, or diversification—is the foundation that helps protect your capital while you grow your business over time.
Crafting a trading plan is essential. This plan should not only outline your entry and exit strategies based on rigorous analysis but also incorporate a framework to evaluate your performance critically. A well-crafted plan serves as a roadmap, guiding your decisions in both favorable and challenging market conditions. Moreover, it creates a discipline that protects you from emotional reactions that can often lead to impulsive decisions—a common pitfall in trading.
Character plays a crucial role as well. In trading, psychological fortitude, resilience in the face of losses, and the humility to learn from mistakes are qualities that separate the successful from the rest. Many people mistakenly believe that a few big wins can offset a series of missteps; however, it is the consistent, calculated, and disciplined approach that leads to sustainable growth. This business mindset—acknowledging that each trade is a learning opportunity and a step in scaling up your efforts—is what ultimately propels traders to long-term success.
In essence, re-framing trading as a business fosters a mindset where every decision is taken seriously, every mistake is analyzed for improvement, and every trade is seen as a building block for growth. This approach not only minimizes unnecessary risks but also enables you to scale up with confidence.
I'm curious—what elements of your trading plan do you find most effective at keeping your business mindset in check, and are there aspects you'd like to refine further?
Bitcoin: Anything Goes Inside The Range.Bitcoin has rallied out of my anticipated 76K AREA reversal zone (see my previous week's analysis). I anticipated this move BEFORE all of the news and drama that transpired over the week because I focus on relevant information that came from this chart. As of now, price is fluctuating in the middle of a consolidation. While price is still attractive in terms of the bigger picture for investment, the fact that it is in the middle of a short term consolidation must be strongly considered for day and swing trade strategies. Here's my perspective.
A double bottom (failed low) has been established around the 74 to 76K area. It does NOT matter why, all that matters is the structure is now in place. This is very important for two specific reasons: 1) it is a broader higher low (Wave 4 bottom?) which implies a higher high or at least test of high is more likely to follow. This means test of 109K over the coming months is within reason. 2) Resistance levels have a greater chance of breaking while supports have a greater chance of being maintained. Current prices up into the 90K resistance are attractive for dollar cost averaging while broader risk can be measured by the 76K area low.
As for swing trades, price is fluctuating at a mid point of a consolidation. The range low is around 76K, the high around 88K (see arrow). When it comes to smaller time frame strategies, consolidation mid points are HIGHLY random areas. This is where you either WAIT it out for a support or resistance to be reached before taking a signal OR go with continuation patterns (Trade Scanner Pro great for this). The higher probability scenario would be a minor retrace into the high 70Ks or low 80Ks for a swing trade long. Otherwise WAIT for the 88K to 90K resistance area for short signals which would be EXTREMELY aggressive given the fact Bitcoin is generally bullish.
And day trades strategies have a similar outlook. Being in the middle of the range means smaller time frame supports and resistances within the area 83K to 88K are going to be less reliable or more random until price momentum asserts itself on the bigger picture. Beginners should simply avoid this environment, but if you must participate, the best way to adjust is work on smaller time frames like 5 minute or less and accept the whatever the R:R ratio is for that time frame. Either way do NOT expect BIG moves until price makes its way to one of the outer boundaries of the range. The Trade Scanner Pro quantifies the R:R for your chosen time frame and gives you a much better idea of what to expect.
The illustration on the chart points to a short term rejection of the 88K to 90K area resistance. This can be attractive for those who are willing to accept greater risk and operate on smaller time frames. IF Bitcoin breaks 90K, it can easily squeeze into the 95K area and all it takes is an unexpected news announcement which seems to happen regularly in this environment. NO ONE knows where the market is going, we can only assign probabilities which is why RISK must be assessed and RESPECTED before ANYTHING else.
This game is hard not because traders lack intelligence, it is because MOST participants believe they are consuming information that is relevant, especially if this behavior has been reinforced by random wins. As retail traders we have to operate with a blind fold while a small minority of participants operate with HIGH quality information. Here's a hint: you will not find truly relevant information on public platforms like Twitter, mainstream news, etc., yet people still turn to these sources when they feel the need to be "informed". Everything you NEED is on your chart.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Bitcoin Eyes Breakout Toward 91K — Bullish Momentum BuildsBTC/USDT has bounced from the support zone around 82,500–83,600 and is now trading near 84,000. If price holds above this zone, the next key resistance levels lie at 86,639, 88,923, and ultimately 91,088.
A strong bullish structure is forming on the 2-hour chart, and a breakout above 86,639 could accelerate upward momentum toward the 91K area.
The current price action suggests potential for continuation, but traders should keep an eye on volume and market sentiment for confirmation.
Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research before trading.
Litecoin analysis using multiple toolsPlease read the full analysis to get the complete picture.
Let's start with the trend lines.
We have three increasing angles of support trend lines. The third one marked with this week's low so it might change if we happen to get a lower low.
For the resistance we have R1 which is anchored at the ATH at the December 2024 top. This resistance trend line was tapped twice more, in January and February 2025, creating marginally lower highs marking the triple top which sent Litecoin to its recent low.
R1 and any of the support trend lines, most notably S2 create a symmetrical triangle. This triangle can break either way and any time. So in theory, it could take it's time until late 2026 or early 2027. If it breaks in 2026, I would expect it to breakdown given that would correspond to the bear market timing of the bitcoin four year cycle.
Next let's take a look at the pitchfork.
This is a Schiff pitchfork from the 2018 bear market lows to the all time highs to the 2022 bear market lows. Macro pitchforks like this one tend to be respected. We can see that the August 2024 low hit the outside line of the pitchfork. The 0.5 line (green) flipped multiple times in this cycle between being support and resistance.
The Schiff pitchfork in this case gives us the most conservative targets. More bullish targets are observed when switching to the modified Schiff pitchfork. However, for proper risk management it is better to start with the Schiff pitchfork and only if the price breaks the resistance levels, then switch to the modified Schiff. Here is the modified Schiff pitchfork:
We can see interesting price interaction here as well. The August 5th 2024 weekly close was still above the outside line. The currently weekly low also hit the outside line. Similarly to the Schiff pitchfork, the 0.5 line also flipped multiple times being support and resistance.
Zooming in on the price action since the December 2024 high, we can examine the Fibonacci retracement and how it aligns with the pitchfork, supply zones and a fair value gap (FVG).
At the time of this writing, we are about 5 hours away from a pretty bullish weekly candle about to close above the 0.236 Fib with the first significant volume increase since the week of February 24th. The next Fib levels are potential resistance levels. The 0.382 and 0.5 Fibs fall within the first supply zone. The 0.786 and the final 0.886 Fibs fall within the second supply zone. The most bullish artifact on the chart is the weekly FVG. These gaps tend to be filled and the one we have here borders the 0.618 Fib. Moreover, the pitchfork 0.5 line falls withing this FVG. If the FVG will be completely filled during a rally in the next few months, the price will break above the pitchfork 0.5 line and hit the resistance at 0.618 Fib.
If the price breaks the 0.618 Fib the next resistance area will be composed of the second supply zone, 0.786 and 0.886 Fibs and R1. Once this resistance area is cleared and price breaks above the December 2024 high at 147$ it can challenge the Schiff pitchfork median line with price targets at 180-190$ depending on when it will be hit. The median line is expected to be a major resistance, especially since it will be the first touch hitting it. If broken, the modified Schiff pitchfork gives targets at 230-250$ depending on when it will be hit.
For completeness, a quick look at the RSI and SRSI.
RSI is around 43. SRSI is about to cross bullish ( [ending the weekly close) and still needs both the fast line and slow line to cross 20 for a complete bullish signal.
No altcoin analysis is complete without examining the BTC pair.
LTCBTC had last week the lowest weekly close since the week of November 4th 2024. In the RSI this resulted in the first instance of a bullish divergence since the LTC significantly outperformed BTC in November 2024. A similar bullish divergence happened leading into the week of November 4th 2024. However, note that since January 2024 LTCBTC made lower lows while most of the time the RSI made higher lows. Therefore, we can observe a continued period of weekly bullish divergences since January 2024 but it only unfolded into significant outperformance in November 2024. So, the bullish divergence is clearly bullish but it is hard to tell if it will result in LTC outperforming BTC in the near or far future.
The SRSI is oversold but I wouldn't build too much on that.
Also, not shown, LTCBTC MACD and LMACD are clearly crossed bearish.
To sum up, LTC seems to have a clear path to the upside if the BTC bull run continues. As for whether or it will outperform BTC, it is hard to tell.
Ethereum Bullish Breakout in Sight — Targeting 1911ETH/USD has shown a strong reversal from the 1564 support zone and is currently consolidating around the 1607 level. If the current bullish momentum holds, the next key resistance levels to watch are 1698, 1790, and ultimately 1911.
The chart indicates a potential breakout move toward 1911, provided price action sustains above the 1607 support. A successful hold here could trigger a strong upward rally through the upcoming resistance zones.
This setup suggests a bullish outlook for Ethereum in the short to mid term, as long as market conditions remain stable.
Note: This idea is for educational purposes only. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #SHORT & #LONG #Setups #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #SHORT & #LONG #Setups #Eddy
BTCUSDT.P Short & Long Setups with Entry Points.
This Setups is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume,ict & Price Action Classic.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this short & long setups to enter the trade.
Don't forget risk and capital management.
🔴 Short Entry : 86000 (( Already Activated ))
⚪️ SL : Available on chart
⚫️ TP1 : 75000
⚫️ TP2 : 70000
⚫️ TP3 : 62000
🟢 Long Entry : 61845.8
⚪️ SL : Available on chart
⚫️ TP1 : 250000
⚫️ TP2 : 500000
⚫️ TP3 : 999000
‼️ Futures Trading Suggested Leverages : 3-5-7
The World Let it be Remembered...
Dr. #Eddy Sunshine
4/13/2025
Be successful and profitable.
Please see my previous analysis on Bitcoin and proceed based on the second scenario.
My previous analysis on Bitcoin :
I also invite you to check my analysis on the Total 3 chart and proceed accordingly, and after it happens on the altcoins, enter swing long trades with the necessary confirmations.
My analysis of the Total 3 chart:
👆 Based on the analysis provided on the Total 3 chart, proceed and wait for another bearish lag for the Total 3 chart to reach the specified area. The divergence on the upper timeframe is most likely a market maker trap and the current bullish move is a fake. In my opinion, the main bullish move will begin after another 30-45% correction on altcoins and the Total 3 chart reaching the specified area and the orange POC line.
BTC couldn't break the resistance on 85000Putting it All Together
Short Rationale:
Price reached a strong resistance zone (red horizontal line and/or upper yellow channel boundary).
The momentum likely shifted bearish on shorter timeframes, prompting a short entry.
Targets: mid-channel or a clearly defined horizontal support area (white lines).
Long Rationale:
After the short trade closes (somewhere near the middle or lower portion of the channel), the market hits a significant support (horizontal line, diagonal support, or both).
A bullish setup emerges, indicating a potential bounce.
Targets: retest of prior resistance, or a larger move toward the next higher-timeframe ceiling (often the same red line, or near round-number levels).
In summary, the chart shows a “range” or “channel” scenario where I am playing the boundaries:
Short near the top of the range (anticipating a pullback).
Long near the bottom (expecting a bounce).
Is the BTC BullRun Over or Just Taking a Breather?This is the Bitcoin analysis I’ve been following and refining over the past four years. It’s been fascinating to observe how the impact of BTC halvings on price has gradually diminished over time, while each bull run tends to last longer than the previous one.
That said, history doesn’t always repeat itself, but it often rhymes. These patterns provide a helpful framework to better understand Bitcoin’s long-term behavior.
If $109,000 turns out to be the top of this cycle, we could see the price revisit the $50,000 area (or even lower). However, we’re still holding a strong bullish trendline that continues to support the price. For now, I’ll be watching closely to spot any key signals before the next big move.
Polkadot: 580% An Easy WaveThis one here for Polkadot in the coming months would be an easy wave. A bullish wave that reaches 580% profits from the current level, why is that?
The Cryptocurrency market is set to enter uncharted territory. We still don't know how things will play out.
Will the market really produce the classic 6-12 months bull market after such a strong bearish cycle? Or, will the market enter a new period where Cryptocurrency becomes a new monetary standard, the default global medium of exchange?
Can a Cryptocurrency project grow for 2 years, 3 years or 10 years straight?
Are there any laws in finance or nature that prohibits the market from growing really strong?
Is there anything in this world that says, "Crypto mustn't grow!"?
The truth is that such force existed and it was pretty obvious. When this force was live and active, Cryptocurrency was having a hard time just trying to survive. While surviving, Cryptocurrency still managed to grow and did so strongly.
Right now things are different, we have the support of the biggest power in the world. Instead of surviving, we are entering a thrive phase. We are going up and it will huge, wild; who is to say that the bull market cannot extend?
Anything goes. Everything is possible, that's why 580% is an easy target for this pair.
Since the next All-Time High will go off this chart, such an easy target should happen within months, say within 90 to 120 days.
That's it. The market will grow.
Accept it and enjoy bottom prices. The best time to buy is when prices are low.
Prices are low now.
The time to buy is now.
You will be happy with the results.
Namaste.
$4.6T Peak by Dec 2025 or $1.3T Bottom Is the crypto market cap poised for a final euphoric rally to $4.6T by December 2025, or are we backtesting resistance before a brutal drop to $1.3T by January 2026? My analysis, based on major trend lines, Elliott Wave patterns, and historical price action, suggests both scenarios are in play. Let’s break it down.
Bullish Scenario: $4.6T by Dec 2025
The total market cap is riding an ascending channel from the 2022 lows (~$800B). My trend lines show resistance at $3T-$3.5T, where we’re currently testing. Historical cycles (2017, 2021) often end with an extended 5th wave, driven by altcoin mania and institutional FOMO. If we break $3.5T, the next Fibonacci extension (1.618) targets ~$4.6T, aligning with Q4 seasonality (crypto’s strongest quarter). Key support at $2.5T must hold for this to play out. A Bitcoin breakout above $100K or Ethereum hitting $5K could fuel this rally, with DeFi and Layer-2 tokens adding juice. Risk: Overbought conditions could cap the move early—watch for RSI divergence at resistance.
Bearish Scenario: $1.3T by Jan 2026
Alternatively, my wave count suggests we’re in a corrective wave 2, backtesting $3T resistance after wave 1 peaked. If rejected here, wave 3 could drive a steep correction to $1.3T, a 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and prior support from mid-2023. Historical bear markets (2018: -88%, 2022: -73%) show crypto’s vulnerability post-peak. My trend lines mark $1.5T-$2T as interim support, but a macro shock—rising yields, regulation, or recession—could push us lower. Timing Risk: Jan 2026 is aggressive; a bottom might extend to Q2 2026 absent a clear catalyst.
Why These Levels?
Trend Lines: The ascending channel and $3T resistance are clear on the weekly chart. A break above confirms bullish momentum; rejection signals bearish reversal.
Historical Action: Past cycles show parabolic tops followed by 50-80% corrections. $4.6T fits euphoria; $1.3T fits pain.
Patterns: Elliott Waves align with my markings—wave 5 for bulls, wave 3 for bears. The $1.3T level matches the 200-week MA, a cycle bottom indicator.
What to Watch:
Bullish Confirmation: Break above $3.5T with volume; Bitcoin holding $80K+.
Bearish Confirmation: Rejection at $3T, break below $2.5T support.
Invalidation: Bullish case fails below $2T; bearish case fails above $4T.
This isn’t a prediction but a map of possibilities. My drawings highlight the levels and patterns guiding my view—check them on the chart. What do you think—bullish blow-off or bearish breakdown? Let’s discuss!