Crypto market
ETH 1D Analysis – Eyes on the 21EMAETH is currently hovering near $2,420, right above the key support at $2,415. Price is trying to reclaim the 21 EMA, which is crucial for bullish momentum.
🔹 Two Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) acting as demand zones
🔹 Daily close above 21 EMA = strong bounce expected
🔹 First major resistance at $2,740
🔹 Breakout could trigger a rally toward the $2,900+ zone
Bias: Bullish if reclaim confirmed
📌 Watch daily close – reaction from this level is key
NFA | DYOR
#ETH #Ethereum #Altcoins #Crypto #FVG #21EMA
NKN/USDT — Epic Reversal from Major Demand Zone🔍 Chart Breakdown:
1. Strong Historical Demand Zone:
Highlighted by the thick yellow box between $0.0055 – $0.0240.
Price has returned to this accumulation range, which previously launched a major rally in 2021.
2. Potential Bullish Reversal Pattern:
After hitting the lower support, recent weekly candles suggest a potential double bottom or bullish engulfing pattern forming.
The yellow projected path shows a possible gradual recovery.
3. Layered Resistance Levels (Take-Profit Targets):
$0.0340
$0.0451
$0.0572
$0.1369
$0.2001
Up to $0.3050 as a major psychological barrier
4. Profit Potential:
From the current price (~$0.0242), reaching the top target of $0.3050 offers a potential gain of over +1100% in the medium to long term.
5. Bearish Exhaustion & Sentiment Shift:
The long downtrend since 2021 appears to be losing momentum.
Buyers are defending this critical historical support zone.
🛡️ Conclusion:
NKN is at a pivotal level, sitting on a historically significant support zone. If volume increases and price holds above the demand area, a strong reversal could play out. This setup presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity worth monitoring closely in the coming weeks.
#NKN #AltcoinSeason #CryptoReversal #NKNUSDT #Binance #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup #SwingTrade #CryptoNuclear
Volume Spread Analysis - Understanding Traps & ConfirmationDespite the fact that the so-called “Big Players” in the game of ups and downs we call the market have the power to manipulate it in ways some cannot even imagine, what they ultimately seek is a healthy market. I’ve mentioned in previous posts that the market behaves like a living organism — and like any organism, it must be healthy in order to grow.
In simple terms, the traps institutional players set are there because they need cash flow — liquidity — to achieve that growth. But why do they need to use traps at all? The answer lies in the numbers: one institutional player is equivalent to hundreds, if not thousands, of uninformed or poorly trained retail traders. So, to sustain growth, they are not just inclined but sometimes forced to create traps.
Now imagine this: in a market with enormous capital, one big player is equivalent to 100 retail traders. If 25% of those traders were skilled — truly good at the game — think of how much more cash flow would occur, and how much healthier and more stable that growth could be.
But don’t be fooled — while big players may benefit from a small portion of skilled retail participants, it’s not their actual goal. Still, it wouldn't hurt them either, as long as liquidity and volatility are preserved. In fact, a higher percentage of skilled players could deepen liquidity and reduce the need for extreme manipulation.
However, if too many retail traders become skilled, the game tightens. Profit margins shrink. The edge that institutions hold becomes harder to maintain. And in such a scenario, consistent profitability becomes more difficult — for everyone.
As I’ve emphasized in previous ideas, there is a way to understand institutional traps — and one of the keys is learning how to interpret the Relative Strength Index (RSI) properly. However, since RSI is by nature an oscillator, its signals require confirmation. And what better tool to use for confirmation than Volume — specifically through the lens of Volume Spread Analysis (VSA)?
In this post, we’ll partially explore how these traps are revealed, using basic tools available on TradingView. We'll also uncover a potential trap in the chart of AIXBT/USD Coin from Binance, using the 1-hour time-frame.
🔹 1. Pre-Top Volume Cluster
Let’s begin at the very top of the chart. Just before this top, we can spot a bullish volume cluster — four consecutive volume spikes with rising price. In VSA, such a cluster often suggests that the current trend is reaching exhaustion.
⚠️ Important Note: Not all clusters mark a reversal. Even if we see one or two bearish candlesticks after-ward — even if they are engulfing — that alone does not confirm the reversal. The real signs are already present in the volume indicator.
As I’ve said in the past, in previously posted ideas: Big Players always leave footprints. Learning to read those footprints is the language every serious retail trader must eventually understand. And one of the clearest footprints is what we’ll discuss next.
🔻 2. The Buying Climax
A Buying Climax is a tell-tale sign of professional distribution — it appears (in our case) as a large bullish volume spike accompanied by a bearish candlestick, signaling the potential end of a rally.
In our AIXBT/USD Coin chart, we observe two buying climaxes:
• The first comes at the end of the bullish volume cluster, followed by a bearish candle.
• The second follows right after, repeating the same bearish confirmation.
🧠 Even though price was making a new Higher High — these repeated climaxes on increasing volume suggest supply is entering the market, and the uptrend is likely unsustainable.
✅ Conclusion
This is just one piece of the larger puzzle, but even basic tools like RSI and Volume, when read in the context of structure and intent, can reveal traps set by institutional hands. The more we train ourselves to see these signs, the closer we get to trading in harmony with the market’s true rhythm — not against it.
Now let’s take a look at another signal that hints at a possible reversal. But before we continue, keep in mind: what I’m about to describe doesn’t always play out in the simplified way I’ll mention here. The market behaves differently at any given moment — so this kind of analysis always requires a careful and adaptive approach.
This time, I’m referring to a smaller bearish cluster, made up of three volume spikes, each of them clearly above the 20-period Moving Average — and appearing just before the bullish cluster I highlighted earlier.
• The fact that the first spike in this bearish group breaks above the MA is a strong signal that bearish pressure is stepping in.
• The fact that all three spikes remain above the MA adds weight to that signal.
However — and this is crucial — just like I mentioned before, this alone doesn't confirm a reversal. It still requires confirmation.
Even though this smaller bearish cluster forms a new low, and even though it aligns with a bearish RSI divergence marked with a dashed trend line, it’s not a signal to enter a trade. Why? Because volume confirmation is missing. And that's exactly why RSI alone isn't enough. It can point to weakness — but not confirm the turn.
True confirmation only comes with the next bullish volume spike, which:
• a) breaks above the MA,
• b) is higher than the first bearish spike in the previous cluster,
• c) appears with an engulfing candlestick, and
• d) is supported by an RSI plot that follows the move.
This collective behavior — the interaction between price, volume, and momentum — is not random. It’s one of the many harmonies that exist in the market’s structure. And learning to recognize these harmonies is key to understanding when the market is genuine — and when it's trying to trap you.
🔚 Conclusion
All of this leads me to one conclusion — based not just on theory, but on direct experience.
We’ve all seen the countless videos across platforms where retail traders explain things like RSI divergences as if they’re guaranteed signals. But the truth is: not all of these videos are made by successful traders — and blindly following them can be dangerous.
Early in my trading journey, I made that exact mistake. I followed those “educational” videos without question, and nearly blew my account in the process.
Can you imagine what would happen if someone entered a trade solely based on the divergence we discussed — without waiting for confirmation?
If you’ve followed this chart example to its end, you already know the answer.
Worse, this kind of psychological frustration often leads to even bigger mistakes — especially if you haven’t applied one of the simplest protective tools: the Stop Loss. And sadly, many traders skip it.
So let this be a reminder:
A divergence is not a signal. Confirmation is everything.
Let’s now take things a step deeper — by partially revealing something that remains known only to a small circle of elite traders.
Something that’s rarely discussed in public — yet sits hidden in plain sight.
Many traders know that Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) is based on the teachings of Richard Wyckoff and expanded through Tom Williams in Master the Markets. And yes — the most of VSA’s power comes from those principles.
But that’s only part of the story. What did these two big names revealing in secret code using multiple paragraphs and terminologies, but purposely do not reveal it in simple words in a few lines. And they are doing the right thing. Because if I said to myself that if everyone knew that then the market might crashed, then for sure they had that thought as well
What truly sets VSA apart, and what gives it its real power, is that it operates in two distinct languages.
🧩 The Hidden Language of VSA — What Most Don’t See
Let’s now go a step deeper — by partially revealing something known only to a few traders who’ve spent enough time observing the market beyond surface-level signals.
Something that’s often overlooked, yet has always been in plain sight.
We all know that VSA stands for Volume Spread Analysis.
And we commonly refer to “spread” as the distance between the open and the close of a candlestick. This is what many traders fixate on — the relationship between price movement and volume.
But that’s only part of the story.
What did names like Wyckoff and Tom Williams really reveal?
They spoke in code — long paragraphs, obscure terminology, layered ideas — never quite saying "this is the hidden key" in a few plain words.
And they were right to do so.
Because I’ve thought the same thing myself:
If everyone knew this… if it was simplified and passed around like a hack… the market could collapse into chaos.
If I’ve had that thought, I’m certain they did too.
So instead, they left trails. Patterns. Puzzles.
They left the second language in the open — but made sure only those with patience, discipline, and time in the charts would ever truly hear it.
There are things the open and close can’t tell you, but...
That… is part of what I meant earlier when I said VSA speaks in two languages.
Some of you already sense what I’m pointing toward.
For the rest — keep watching.
You’ll know it when you see it.
And once you do, you’ll never unsee it again.
Let’s begin with what most traders already know.
We say "spread" in VSA to refer to the range between the open and the close of a candlestick. This spread, in relation to volume, tells us whether a candle shows strength or weakness.
• A wide spread on high volume may signal professional activity.
• A narrow spread on high volume could suggest absorption or hidden effort.
This is the first language — the most commonly taught, and the most widely shared.
But what about the second?
Here's where things get interesting.
Let’s revisit our AIXBT/USD Coin chart, and specifically the large engulfing candlestick that forms around 18:30, just after the very top.
Now ask yourself:
• 🔍 Where did this candle open?
• 📍 What previous zone did it revisit or retest? What’s the story behind on that retest?
• Have you noticed the macro scale Hidden bearish divergence between RSI & PA?
What you're seeing is not just a rejection.
It’s a trigger zone — a price level left behind earlier by institutional activity.
This candle, with its precise open, combined with the volume behavior, is no coincidence. It's not just a rejection — it's a setup, part of a pre-engineered trap. By stealing what Tom Williams said: Big players are simply saying to uninformed traders – “thank you for your money”.
The interaction of price levels over time, the zones formed by previous activity, and how volume behavior aligns with those zones to signal intent.
Most traders never see this and even fewer can interpret it.
Why This Matters
That engulfing candlestick is not just a visual cue — it's a multiple level footprint.
It confirms everything we discussed earlier about how the market is manipulated — often in ways most traders can’t even begin to imagine. Two opposite forces within a zone. One prevails while the other reveals a future!
So now, let this sink in:
To truly master VSA, one must learn to read both languages.
The visible structure, and the hidden context.
One without the other is incomplete.
Now you know why Confirmation is so crucial.
That’s all for now. I hope that all the above paragraphs were able to give you a hint of how things work! And remember: Everything I write is just a small glimpse of the whole that needs to be considered.
Until next time — stay safe, trade wisely, and never stop learning.
BTC UP OR NO📈 Bitcoin to Reach $113K, With a Breakout Path to $120K – A Professional Outlook
After analyzing the macro trend, technical structure, market sentiment, and on-chain behavior, I strongly believe that Bitcoin is on a clear trajectory toward $113,000, with a potential extension to $120,000 if key resistance is broken.
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🔍 1. Technical Analysis Perspective
Macro Bullish Structure: Since the 2022 bear market bottom, Bitcoin has maintained a consistent higher highs and higher lows pattern, confirming a long-term uptrend.
Fibonacci Extension: The 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the $15.5K bottom to the $69K peak gives a projected target of around $113K.
Historical Fractal Patterns: In previous cycles, Bitcoin has always broken past previous all-time highs by 1.5x to 1.75x, placing this cycle's peak in the $110K–$120K range.
Ascending Triangle Breakout: On the weekly chart, BTC is forming a bullish ascending triangle with the top resistance at ~$73K. A confirmed breakout targets $113K as the next major supply zone.
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🧠 2. Market Psychology & Cycle Timing
Halving Effect: Historically, Bitcoin peaks occur 9–12 months post-halving. The most recent halving was in April 2024, aligning a potential peak by Q1 or Q2 of 2025.
Psychological Resistance Zones: The $100K–$113K range is not only a Fibonacci target but also a powerful psychological barrier. Once breached, FOMO and institutional momentum could push BTC rapidly to $120K.
Retail vs Institutional Flows: Data shows increased ETF inflows and long-term holder accumulation — a classic pre-peak indicator.
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🔗 3. On-Chain and Whale Behavior
Realized Price vs Market Price: BTC market price is well above long-term holder realized price, signaling bull market phase 2 (the steep climb).
Dormant Supply: Over 70% of BTC has not moved in 6+ months, showing strong holder conviction. This reduces sell pressure as price increases.
Whale Accumulation Zones: Whales are heavily positioned around $60K–$65K, and there is minimal sell volume above $100K on major exchanges, opening the path to $113K with low resistance.
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🚀 Conclusion:
> Based on comprehensive technical patterns, market structure, psychological phases, and on-chain behavior, Bitcoin is highly likely to reach $113,000.
If momentum continues and $113K is breached with volume confirmation, a sharp move toward $120,000 becomes not only possible — but likely.
MOVE: Short-term Trade Setup.MOVE is likely to hit the support trendline ranging between $0.17 and $0,175. This will be a good entry point to long MOVE.
~ Entry: $0.17 – $0.175
~ Stop Loss (SL): $0.167
~ Leverage: 5x – 10x
~ Target: 10% – 15%
Note: This is a short-term trade, so please invest at your own risk.
USDT - Head and Shoulders PatternA bullish head and shoulders pattern is an inverse head and shoulders. A bullish formation appears in a downtrend and signals a bearish-to-bullish trend reversal. The positions are opened according to the same logic as in a bearish modification. You need to expect the breakout of the neckline and its test. Then the bullish head and shoulders pattern stocks, for example, signals to enter a long.
BTC BTC/USDT LONG_TERMChannels are drawn, long-term targets are clear. The upper extreme visible so far is around $200K for Bitcoin — possible within this cycle.
More realistic targets for this cycle are around $135K.
In the short term, a correction to the lower red channel zone ($88K–94K) is possible.
Watching closely.
Complete Analysis of DOGE/USDT 4hComplete Analysis of DOGE/USDT 4h
The chart suggests a transition phase toward an uptrend.
Moving averages are beginning to slope upward, indicating a potential trend reversal. The MACD shows weakening selling pressure and is approaching a bullish crossover, which often precedes upward price movement.
Entry zones: Between 0.14452 and 0.15185 — favorable areas for position accumulation.
Price targets:
First target: 0.20455 (a key resistance zone).
Second target: 0.22942, where stronger selling pressure may emerge.
Risk management: A suggested stop-loss at 0.13561 to protect capital if the anticipated move fails.
If the price breaks and consolidates above 0.17, the market could gain momentum to reach the projected targets. Monitor volume during breakout candles to confirm the presence of buying flow.
SHIBUSDT Short Setup at Local ResistanceSHIBUSDT is currently testing a key horizontal resistance zone around 0.011321, after printing a short-term range and failing multiple attempts to break higher. This level has acted as a ceiling for price, rejecting bullish momentum on several occasions.
The current setup reflects a short entry at resistance, aiming to catch a pullback or possible trend continuation to the downside. With the stop loss placed just above the most recent highs at 0.011433, the take profit sits lower around 0.011005, aligned with the lower demand region or trendline area.
This trade offers a clean risk:reward profile based on horizontal structure and price rejection.
🧩 Trade Parameters:
- Entry: 0.011321
- Stop Loss: 0.011433
- Take Profit: 0.011005
🔢 Risk:Reward Calculation:
- Risk: 0.011433 − 0.011321 = 0.000112
- Reward: 0.011321 − 0.011005 = 0.000316
- Risk:Reward Ratio: 1 : 2.82 ✅ (Excellent)
✅ Bias:
Bearish rejection from local resistance
🔄 Confirmation Needed:
- Rejection candle or wick at/above entry level
- Break below previous minor low or consolidation base
- Weak volume on bullish attempts
❌ Invalidation:
Break and hold above 0.011433, suggesting possible bullish continuation
BTC - A New Oregon Trail or Fool's Gold?The ranch hand (chart) reckons Bitcoin hit a big wave‑3 peak, then swung into a corrective wave‑4 saddle.
Now it's circling the watering hole, teetering around a key resistance near $110k—the cowboy‑critical line in the sand.
If that line holds strong, expect another surge—an “inverse wave‑4, strong 5” push higher toward $115–120k.
But if it buckles, a darker scenario’s afoot: a red‑inked, five‑wave drop galloping down toward $85k.
Bottom line: keep your hat on—$110k is the frontier. Break above that, and the herd’s heading north; if not, saddle up for a ride downhill.
BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Bitcoin Bullish But... Support Zones (Incl. Altcoins)Bitcoin is bullish right now but we know things can change. As long as the action is happening within the blue and gray space, all is good, the bullish bias remains intact. If the action moves below the gray zone and enters the orange zone, this is the danger zone. This danger zone can turn into a buy opportunity or a wait and see approach.
On the other hand, if Bitcoin remains above the blue zone this is ultra-bullish short-term. This is specially bullish for the altcoins but it is bullish for Bitcoin as it reveals consolidation at high prices, but right now we have a lower high so anything goes.
The chart is mixed when looked at up-close. Bullish long-term and on all bigger timeframes. Corrections tend to develop from high prices.
One more thing to consider
When we look at the action short-term we can miss the bigger picture, we can become clouded with noise. The bigger range is $100,000 - $110,000, this is the new long-term support zone that is being established and created before additional growth. Bitcoin can remain here for weeks or even months, if this happens, the altcoins will continue to grow.
We are in a bull market. Bitcoin is obviously in a bull market as it is trading near its all-time high after years of growth. The altcoins are just getting started after years of sideways action... Some altcoins hit new all-time lows but still part of a broad, long-term consolidation phase. Many produced higher lows, some produced lower lows, it makes no difference.
The bear market ended in mid/late 2022 and the ensuing two years we had mix growth. Bullish waves and bearish waves, with the usual variations of course.
The year is now 2025 and Bitcoin is up, most of the big projects have been growing for years now and we are getting close to the final advance, the major fifth wave and the bull market bull run. When this happens, close to its end, all the smaller projects will produce the biggest growth in their history and this will be the boom that will catapult Crypto to take over the financial world.
It won't be the first time this event happens nor the last, the market will continue to fluctuate.
I know there is a lot of information out there and we can become uncertain with every drop, but look at the price; what do you see? Bitcoin is going up.
The altcoins are set to follow, the altcoins do what Bitcoin does.
Namaste.
HYPEUSDT Long Setup After Bullish CompressionHYPEUSDT has formed a bullish ascending triangle — a price pattern suggesting an upward breakout. Price action shows tight compression with higher lows, indicating aggressive buyers stepping in.
The current long position is taken from a pullback entry at $35.404, just above the ascending support. The trade targets a breakout move toward $40.449, aligned with previous highs and psychological resistance.
Trade Setup:
- Entry: $35.404
- Stop Loss: $34.154
- Take Profit: $40.449
- Risk:Reward Ratio: 1:4.04
This setup anticipates a breakout continuation. A strong bullish candle above $38.30 could serve as confirmation. A break below the ascending structure would invalidate the trade.
Bias: Bullish breakout continuation
Trigger: Ascending triangle formation with compression toward resistance
Invalidation: Break below $34.154 (structure low)
TAOUSDT Long Setup from Fibonacci 0.382 and Trendline ConfluenceTAOUSDT has retraced into a strong confluence zone combining the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level ($316.99) and a long-term ascending trendline. This area is often considered a high-probability bounce zone in bullish market structures.
A long position was entered at $316.52, anticipating a continuation of the uptrend toward the previous swing high near $364.83.
The setup offers a high reward-to-risk ratio, with a tight invalidation level below recent structural support and Fibonacci level.
🧩 Trade Parameters:
- Entry: $316.52
- Stop Loss: $303.84
- Take Profit: $364.83
- Risk: $12.68
- Reward: $48.31
- Risk:Reward Ratio: 1 : 3.81
✅ Bias:
Bullish continuation after a healthy correction
🔄 Confirmation:
Strong price reaction or bullish candle from the 0.382 Fib and trendline support
❌ Invalidation:
Clean break below $303.84 (structural and Fib support)
Bitcoin, The Next High Is The All-Time HighThe title might be a bit misleading but, the truth is that Bitcoin stays bullish short-term and this is bullish on all terms...
Good afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, how are you feeling today?
Any day, any week, any moment; every month, place or year, the market provides everything we need to know. This information is made available to us through the chart.
Bullish Bitcoin
The present signal is the fact that Bitcoin remains very high, challenging resistance, after a strong recovery and advance. This is happening with the altcoins also.
If you look at the last two peaks, as soon as resistance was hit there was an immediate crash. The next day was full red; very strong bearish action and momentum and this led to a new low. The situation is not the same today.
22-May peak. 23-May, strong bearish action.
9-June peak. 11-June, strong bearish action.
26-June lower high (not a peak). Today, neutral action. This neutral action is what I am taking as a bullish signal. Many other factors of course support this conclusion yet, this is still an early signal.
Fib support
A closer view of the daily timeframe:
4H. The grey line represents Fib. retracement. Dark blue—Fib. extension:
Conclusion
Each time there is a price peak a retrace follows, if there is no retrace then you are not witnessing a peak but rather a stop, a pause; resistance being met.
It seems that the current lower high is not the end but rather just a pause before additional growth. Market conditions can change.
It can happen that several days Bitcoin goes sideways with the bulls failing to garner enough strength. In this scenario, there would be a move lower before additional growth.
The present scenario shows a bullish chart even if prices drop, remember, the market is in no hurry.
Easy money
In September we will have lower interest rates and this is a bullish development for Bitcoin. Advanced money minds see easy money as inflationary for the currency, while Bitcoin is inflation-proof. So the dollar goes down and Bitcoin goes up.
I didn't quite develop this point, next time I'll do a better job.
Summary
The market is good even if it shakes. The market is good and isn't shaking, the recovery is already in place.
Bitcoin's price is very strong and there are many layers of support. The altcoins are in a similar situation, growing from the bottom up.
The Fed will reduce interest rates in September and then once more before the year ends, this is bullish for everything so, everything will be going up, at least everything that we are interested in, support and trade.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Never give up!
You are divine! You are blessed.
If you are reading this now, you will be blessed for your great timing. Hard work and dedication always pays.
Keep moving forward, keep pushing forward, never give up.
When life hits you hard, do take a break if you need it, only to comeback with new energy, a new mind and an infinite drive to achieve your goals.
You are the reason why Bitcoin exist... You are the lifeblood of the market.
Without you, nothing is possible. It is because of you that we all continue to grow.
Thanks again for taking the time to read.
I appreciate your support.
Namaste.
SUI | — Key Buy Trigger AheadPrice is drifting lower and approaching a high-confluence retracement zone. A key bullish setup may form if price sweeps the 0.618–0.666 Fibonacci region and reclaims the level with strength.
📌 Buy Trigger:
• Sweep into the $2.38–2.5 zone
• Look for reclaim and bullish reversal for long entry
• Structure remains constructive while above monthly support ($1.91)
📈 Reclaim Level for Strength:
• $2.83 — clearing this confirms bullish intent
• Flip = strength toward $3.80 and beyond
🎯 Targets:
• $2.83 → Range reclaim level
• $3.50–3.60 → local resistance
• $5.36–5.37 → full upside liquidity target
🟥 Invalidation:
• Clean break below $1.90 (monthly support) = full invalidation
📌 Best setups form when liquidity is swept and price reclaims structure. Wait for the flush and follow strength.
Avalanche (AVAX): Second Successful Re-Test | Good Sell Entry?Avalanche coin recently had its second successful rejection from the neckline zone, which is giving us an opportunity to take a short position here.
With markets bleeding a little, AVAX coin has all the possibilities and chances to fall towards our lower target zone, considering that we are seeing a "double top" pattern forming here!
Swallow Academy
Chainlink (LINK): Possible Reclaim of Bearish CMESellers are showing strong dominance where recently we had broken and secured the 200EMA line and also reached one of our targets on other analysis from last week.
We are now looking and aiming at that bearish CME gap where we might be seeing some sort of sideways movement to form and eventually an MSB with price movement towards the bullish CME—so for now we want to see more downward movement and once we are down, then we get back to Chainlink!
Swallow Academy