Crypto market
Is the Market Setting You Up? My BTC Manipulation TheoryEveryone’s hyped about BTC’s run — but is this rally legit, or just another carefully staged trap? Let’s break it down…
BTC, as well as other cryptocurrencies, have been performing well lately — but the big question remains: “Is this manipulation?”
Well, here’s my take.
Whenever a piece of news drops — whether it’s from regulators, governments, or financial figures — it affects crypto prices, positively or negatively. The Trump and Fed saga might be playing a part here, but I believe our collective participation has also fueled the price movement. Now with institutions stepping into our space, there’s a new problem.
Now to business.
On the chart, I’ve outlined key routes and zones from the weekly down to the 4H timeframe to help answer this question.
On the weekly timeframe, BTC fought hard and bounced off an area of imbalance. During this HTF rebalancing, it created a strong sell-side liquidity area on the 4H timeframe. There was also a period of consolidation — which shouldn’t be ignored, because it holds clues to our big question.
After this accumulation phase (which happens on all zones, because time is fractal), BTC took liquidity to the upside — making what I believe is a manipulative move.
Now, on the 4H chart, you’ll notice a sort of rebalance happening. It’ll most likely drop down to the TSE:RE zone I marked, to hit stop-losses set by the bulls, tricking people into thinking we’ve gone bearish — only to trap them again before distribution occurs (you might lose it at this point, lol).
So — we’ve identified potential market manipulation.
If this theory holds, where might distribution take place?
I’ve marked out possible areas, and it’s most likely within the $93k - $99k region.
Why?
These zones hold a significant chunk of pending orders.
BTC hitting $99k will get everyone thinking the bears are finished — perfect for a trap.
NB: Don’t expect this all to happen in a day or a week… lol.
Disclaimer: This isn’t financial advice — just my observation.
Hope it was easy enough to follow.
LEAVE A FOLLOW AND A BOOST!
BTC retesting its cup and handle SupportThe weekly BTC chart shows a perfect cup and handle in play.
The price is retracing after breaking the $74k resistance area in Nov 2024.
Once the price reaches, the now support, and bounces from $72-74k area we can enter long positions.
Previously it took 6 weeks to reach ATH $109K
We can expect BTC to reach $110k approx. in 2 months time once it reverses from the support $72-74k
And the rest of the 2025 may be Bullish taking us to new ATH
ETH / USDT supporting chart for the BTC pairNow this isnt meant to be a prediction of any kind, rather a supporting chart to the BTC pair i posted already. This is typically how these bottoms would unfold in the case of a broadening bottom, or inverted head and shoulders.
Looking for support above 1754, to reclaim this range, however it doesnt have to come back that far, and i wouldnt want to see it fall back into that deviation zone under1685.
The idea being, the breakdown lower got rejected, and traders are looking for confirmation of support, back inside of the range. If thats achieved, we're going to look for the range high, and the partial decline typically, which is your last sign of strength before the mark up phase.
None of this HAS to happen, just merely larping what ive seen in previous bottoms, including BTCs bear. If we see a change in character here, or a partial rise, with the inability to retest the range high / neckline, then of course, i will restrategize.
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I have identified the important support and resistance areas of the weekly timeframe for you.
I have identified the important resistance prices for the start of the decline with the red line and the important support prices for the start of the growth with the green line.
This analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this analysis to enter the trade.
Don't forget about risk and capital management.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for your failure to comply with your risk and capital management.
💬 Note: An important analysis will be presented on the lower timeframe on Bitcoin soon, which, based on the chart and explanations sent in that analysis, you can hunt for Bitcoin's decline by getting confirmation, pay attention to the current chart and consider important liquidity, including the Decision and Extreme areas.
Be successful and profitable.
For altcoins, proceed according to my analysis on the Total 3 chart.
My analysis of the Total 3 chart:
You can also view and review my previous analyses on my TradingView page.
Please don't forget to like and follow, your support encourages me to continue on my path and provide more analysis and updates.
TRUMP COIN BUY...Hello friends
Given the price growth we had, the price correction has now managed to make good bottoms, which indicates the strength of the trend, so we can enter the trade.
The purchase and target points have also been identified...
Follow capital management.
*Trade safely with us*
Bitcoin Dominance: Neutral — But Bears Are LurkingBTC.D holds the 50 EMA... but barely.
Momentum flattening. Volume drying.
No breakout = Structural risk increases.
Failure here could trigger altcoin rotations.
Neutral isn't safety.
Neutral is a loaded spring.
Stay tactical.
#Crypto #BitcoinDominance #AltseasonWatch #QuantMindset
$ETH vs BTC - Falling Wedge breakout. Combined with the recent analysis ive been posting on ETH / USDT, i think theres a real chance for a low here on ETH / BTC.
Real clean falling wedge, and capitulation low, with a breakout and reaction.
Could it stall a little bit here and retest the downsloping trend, absolutely, but in similar instances of these type of bottoms, you dont usually get that. Not once youve gotten your sign of strength / reaction outside of the downtrend.
While im not trading this chart specifically, it helps validate the USDT pair, and the Bear market fractal ive referenced.
Regarding the USDT pair, id look for support above 1754, and if it holds up, that would be considered a sign of strength imo, and id look for a retest of the highs coming into 2100ish.
Typically this is where a partial decline would come in, and itd give you an inverted head and shoulders look. The partial decline is the final signature youd expect to see with this type of broadening bottom. If it retests the highs again, after a partial decline, id anticipate a breakout there after, with a 100% measured move underway.
BTCUSD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for BTCUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 94068
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 89586
Safe Stop Loss - 96518
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK