April 14 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
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Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is no Nasdaq indicator announcement today.
I created a strategy based on the possibility of a strong decline in Tether dominance centered on the Gap section at the bottom of Nasdaq and Bitcoin.
*One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves
1. 83,690.8 dollars long position entry section / cut-off price when the green support line is broken
2. 85,772.3 dollars long position 1st target -> Top 2nd -> Good 3rd target.
If the strategy is successful, I have indicated the long position re-entry section.
Today, it is best to maintain the purple support line
because it maintains the mid-term pattern and the daily candle bottom section.
The mid-term pattern can be broken from the 1st section,
and it can be a sideways market until the 2nd section,
and it can decline step by step from the bottom -> 3rd section.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only.
I hope that you operate safely with the principle of trading and cut-off price.
Thank you.
Crypto market
Bitcoin Interesting Fractal And Timing! GOING STRAIGHT UP!I noticed that the timing and pattern of how this is playing out in 2025 in Bitcoin is very similar to that of 2017. This fractal is not identical but its damn close. In 2017 there were approximately 15 million people in crypto, very few leverage exchanges, and trading was no where near what it is today. Now we have exchanges everywhere, hundreds of them most with leverage which we didn't really have before. Also not to mention that now we have big players getting in and they aren't buying and selling on the daily, they are buying it all and holding it, hence why we aren't seeing the typical "Alt season". The sloshing effect we had in the early days when traders would rotate out of Bitcoin into alts is not happening as it used to.
In 2017 Trump took office and in the end of March the bull run started in full swing. Something very similar is also happening now that we are in March and these fractals are lining up. Let see how this plays out. I think we are on the cusp of a giant mega bull run like you've seen before.
Crypto traders last year made mega profits cashing out multiple billions in capital gains. Once the selling stops around the end of March and beginning of April from people selling to pay taxes I think its on. This is not financial advice this is just my opinion. Lets see how this chart ages. Thank you for reading.
XLM/USDT Secondary trend. 14 04 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. After a big pump "with a stick" (so that the "waiters" who want "a little cheaper" would not have time to buy) +8.5X from the accumulation zone of 2.4 years, now a descending wedge is forming on the rollback, similar to 2017. Breaking through its resistance (breaking the downward trend) - the second wave of price growth:
1) through consolidation and sideways movement (cutting the zone, dumping "in waves").
2) aggressive pump as in 2017 "with a stick" and entry into the main distribution zone (late autumn 2025)
The previous idea of the secondary trend was published on 14 01 2024 Exactly when the position was being collected in the horizontal channel in the 4 zones shown, as well as the reversal zone and the percentage of this first strong pump (under XRP).
XLM/USDT Secondary trend. 14 01 2024
XLM/USD Main trend. Timeframe 1 week. Channel. Publication in 2022.
Local wedge breakout zone.
Goldfinch Protocol: Updated Price Prediction with Lower TargetsA Significant Revision to the Expected Bottom Price Levels CRYPTO:GFIUSD
New Prediction: Goldfinch Protocol’s anticipated bottom has been adjusted significantly lower, with new targets of $0.70, $0.50, and $0.45.
Cancel High Buy Orders: Any buy orders above $1 should be reconsidered to avoid premature entry ahead of further declines.
Steep and Unusual Decline: Recent price action exhibits sharp downward movement that lacks typical panic signals but suggests further downside.
Psychological Levels: Previous lows near $1 are no longer expected to hold, with new focus on deeper support zones.
Key Indicators: Consistent candle sizes and the absence of an organic capitulation pattern emphasize the unusual nature of the decline.
Updated Perspective: This revision reflects evolving market behavior, highlighting new opportunities as the price approaches lower thresholds.
This critical update redefines Goldfinch Protocol’s price expectations, offering insights into new levels to watch and the reasoning behind the adjusted prediction. Stay informed for potential opportunities ahead.
BTCBTC oversold on daily timeframe formed regular bullish divergence.
Tariff war makes perfect panic selling.
Last 2 times it happen price went up almost 2x.
Price was grabbing liquidity under 200 day MA.
It was good place to add spot for long term hold.
Now expecting some good times ahead, if something terrible doesn’t happen.
DOGEUSDT wait for rise and pumpPrice is near major daily supports like 0.13$ and 0.10$ supports and soon we are looking for huge rise here and after valid breakout to the upside from red trendlines market would be bullish once again for DOGEUSDT.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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BTCUSD is Going to Fall ? 79K Again...BTCUSD | Liquidity Grab Before Major Drop? (1H Chart Analysis)
Idea :
Timeframe: 1H
Bitcoin is showing signs of a potential liquidity grab around the major resistance zone near 85.5k–86k. The price tapped into the imbalance zone, likely triggering buy stops and drawing in late longs.
Here’s what I’m watching:
Liquidity sweep just above recent highs
Multiple internal liquidity zones below acting as potential magnet
Potential fake breakout, followed by sharp rejection
Final target could be the external liquidity around 74k–76k
Trade Setup:
Short entry after liquidity is swept above 85.5k with confirmation
Stop-loss: above 86.5k
Targets: 82k, 80k, and 74k (external liquidity)
Bias: Bearish (Short-Term Play)
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Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please do your own research and risk management before taking any trades. Trade responsibly.
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#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #SmartMoney #LiquidityGrab #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #TradingStrategy #MarketStructure#ShortSetup #BearishBias #LiquiditySweep #TraderMindset #TradingViewIdeas #DYOR
Mantra's -90% Liquidation event: Why Market-Wide Danger LoomsLast night (April 13th) the Mantra (OM) project saw its market capital drop from $6.11B to $419m!
============================================
From the team
============================================
JP Mullin (CEO of @MANTRA_Chain) remarks at BTCON RWA Summit today on CRYPTOCAP:OM price action overnight
• No exploit or hack
• No active selling from MM or investors
• Large investors using CRYPTOCAP:OM as collateral were liquidated, which caused drastic price action
• No profit taken from insiders including team members”
After the 95% correction they said:
“We want to assure you that MANTRA is fundamentally strong.”
Would you say that if Apple dropped 95% overnight?
============================================
The Official reason – A liquidation event
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“There was a massive, forced liquidation from a large OM investor on a CEX. Still working on the details, but we are here, and we're fixing this.”
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Could Technical analysis have foreseen this?
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The correction depth? No, targets like this cannot be forecast. However, the loss of support and market structure was evident on March 26th. Price action was up 450x at this point, greed is the only reason profits were not taken.
If indeed investor confidence has not be destroyed from such an event, look for support around 30 cents. There is no recovery from an event like this until a significant consolidation period.
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Why is this a danger to the whole market?
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Have never be shy on the fact the entire crypto space is a Ponzi scheme. A promise you can make wealth from speculation. The outsized use of leverage compared to spot makes that evident. The number of messages Without Worries continues to receive from folks who have lost meaningful sums of money using Leverage and Futures products has been constant over the past several years. It is frustrating as it is heartbreaking.
If a liquidation event can cause a spot market to drop 95% then the question is, can this happen elsewhere?
369.78K - That was the trading volume for Bitcoin across the entire market these past 24hrs.
528.185K - The current amount of Bitcoin held by Micro Strategy on Leverage.
Average Cost per BTC: $67,458.00 or just $17k below current market prices.
strategytracker.com
"Michael Saylor's company was on a Bitcoin buying spree. Soon it might need to sell"
qz.com
If debtors demand repayment of their loans to Micro strategy, loans that used his Bitcoin as collateral (the irony), forced Bitcoin liquidation has to occur. This fund could wipe out the 24hr trading volume with ease. What do you think such an event would do the whole market?
The recent events on Mantra serves as an excellent example of why the spot market is no longer in control of price discovery. This is a fully fuelled leveraged bubble approaching margin call.
Stay safe, stay wise, and stay away from leverage!
Ww
Can Notcoin Deliver an 18% Gain in This Setup?0.002100 TargetHello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
All previous targets were nailed ✅! Now, let’s dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for Notcoin 🔍📈.
Notcoin is currently presenting a short-term trading opportunity within its downward channel. I'm anticipating a potential rebound toward the upper boundary, aiming for a minimum return of 18%. The primary target for this move is set at 0.002100, assuming favorable market momentum.📚🙌
🧨 Our team's main opinion is:🧨
Notcoin looks ready for a short-term bounce toward 0.002100, with at least 18% upside if momentum kicks in.📚🎇
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest hours crafting valuable ideas, and your support means everything—feel free to ask questions in the comments! 😊💬
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
ALCHUSDT → Rally to the liquidity zone. False breakout?BINANCE:ALCHUSDT.P is one of not many coins that looks strong amid the bearish cryptocurrency market. But how long will this energy last? There is strong resistance ahead....
A local pre-breakdown consolidation relative to the intraday level is forming. In general, this is the state of the market, ready to continue its growth within the distribution.
Thus, the breakout of 0.1590 resistance will provoke the continuation of growth up to the liquidity zone at 0.177. But already at 0.177, due to the fact that it is an important and strong intermediate resistance level, we should expect a false breakout and a pullback, for example, to 0.159 or 0.5 fibo.
Resistance levels: 0.159, 0.177, 0.23
Support levels: 0.1516, 0.5 fibo
The distribution is already 53% since the breakout of the consolidation resistance. By the time the resistance is approached, it will be 77% and the market may use up all the accumulated potential, so liquidity above 0.177 is likely to stop the upward rally and turn the coin down.
Regards R. Linda!
XRP/USDT Breakout Pattern (15.04.2025)The XRP/USDT Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2.0158
2nd Support – 1.9362
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ADAUSDT another +100% is at least cooking As we mentioned before and a lot price is near major daily support zones like 0.5$ and 0.6$ and soon these supports will stop price from falling and let it fly and at least we are looking for targets like 1$ once again.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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Bitcoin (BTC): Price Above 200 EMA | Possible Fakeout?The price of Bitcoin has broken the 200EMA line, where we are now monitoring for more confirmations.
As recently we've been seeing multiple fakeouts in both ways, we might form a similar fakeout near the current market price, which might then send the price back to lower zones, but if we see a BOS forming, then we might go for a smaller upward movement here...we wait.
Swallow Academy
Phala Network 2,400% Profits Potential Target & 2025 Bull MarketThe steepest decline ever for Phala Network just happened between late December '24 and April 2025. This was a really strong correction and broke two long-term support levels, August 2024 and August 2023, just to recover the next week.
This drop activated the market's All-Time Low. A price that was hit once only in October 2022. This same support level was activated only briefly with a higher low. The low back then happened at 0.0700 and the higher low this month at 0.0753. Buyers were ready almost at the lowest possible point. A long-term double bottom.
The last time this low price was hit the reaction was a super strong rise. PHAUSDT rose more than 600% the same week that it produced its All-Time Low. The high produced was only challenged again in December 2024, it broke by 10 cents. Back then the peak happened at 0.5000 (October 2022), in December 2024 the peak happened at 0.6000. This small difference makes a huge difference for the upcoming bull market bull-run, it is good news.
Another positive signal for this pair comes from the session close. Back in October 2022, the session that hit 0.5000 on a wick ended up closing at 0.2148. This time, the December 2024 peak at 0.6000 ended up with a close at 0.4919, a huge difference, more than 100%. This is a signal of strength and good news for the upcoming bull market.
The bulls were testing the waters and removing a very strong resistance point. This was a success. The market went through a full flush and is ready to grow again. Phala Network can hit a new All-Time High this year based on these simple signals, so be prepared.
An entry now and a long-term hold can produce a nice and easy 300% in the coming weeks or months. By late 2025, profits can amount to 1,350% or even 2,400%, all these targets can be seen mapped on the chart.
This is another good pair. The chart looks strong and the action went through a full reset. Bottom prices are present today. A huge discount. The best possible timing. This is your chance.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Lingrid | BTCUSD Consolidation PHASE Following Double Bottom BINANCE:BTCUSDT market formed a double bottom below March levels before bouncing to close above the psychological 80,000 mark. Price action is currently narrowing, suggesting the market is coiling up before its next extension—as if awaiting another news catalyst to drive movement. Given that the price closed above the swap zone, any pullback to this level presents a high probability of a price rebound. Additionally, on the daily timeframe, the market has broken and closed above the downward trendline that represented the correction phase.
Overall, I expect a potential triangle pattern formation around current levels before a surge higher toward liquidity above the previous week's high. My goal is resistance zone around 89,300
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Head and shoulders on eth?🕰️ Timeframe: 4H
📈 Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (Bullish Reversal Setup)
📍 Current Price: $1,518
📏 Neckline: ~$1,589 (marked in blue)
🧠 Pattern Structure:
Left Shoulder: ~$1,475
Head: ~$1,420
Right Shoulder: ~$1,470
Neckline: ~$1,589
Measured Target: Neckline to bottom = ~$1,589 - $1,420 = $169
→ Breakout Target = $1,589 + 169 = $1,758** — aligns with Fib 0.65 ($1,762)**
🧩 Confluence Factors:
🔹 Fibonacci 0.65 @ $1762 = Target zone of the pattern
🔹 Fibonacci 0.618 @ $1915 = Secondary resistance zone
🔹 Clean neckline retest idea → breakout & retest of $1589 = ideal entry trigger
🔹 RSI divergence (if any) & volume confirmation on breakout = final confidence boost
✅ Strategy Plan:
Entry Idea: Break & retest of $1589
Take-Profit: $1758–1766
Stop-Loss: Below right shoulder ($1465–1470 zone)
Risk/Reward: ~2.5R depending on entry accuracy
Probability: 65/35 bullish continuation if neckline breaks with strong volume
The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles- by FXPROFESSOR🏆 The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ by FXPROFESSOR
Video:
Friends, today I’m sharing what may be the most important Bitcoin framework of 2025.
Forget the broken halving expectations. Forget the chaos of macro headlines.
What if the real signal has been here all along?
What if Bitcoin’s true rhythm follows the capital rotation between itself and the U.S. Treasury market?
📊 Introducing: The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™
This is not a model of where Bitcoin could go (like Stock-to-Flow)…
This is a model of when and why it moves — based on the trust rotation between U.S. Treasury Bonds (TLT) and Bitcoin.
What I’ve found is a repeating structure — not based on supply or halvings, but on macro trust dynamics.
🔁 The Two Core Phases:
• Correlated Periods 🟦 (Blue zones): BTC and TLT move together — both rising or falling
• Inverted Periods 🟩 (Green zones): BTC and TLT move in opposite directions
These aren't random — they're structural rotations that occur at key technical levels in the bond market.
🧠 The Cycle Timeline:
Jan 2019 – Feb 2020 → Correlated (pre-COVID calm)
Feb 2020 – Sep 2021 → Inverted (Fed QE, Bitcoin moon)
Sep 2021 – Nov 2022 → Correlated (everything dumps)
Nov 2022 – Oct 2023 → Inverted (TLT collapse, BTC recovers)
Nov 2023 – Aug 2024 → Correlated (sideways digestion)
Aug 2024 – Now (Apr 2025) → Inverted again — and compressing fast
We're now in Period 6 — an Inverted Period — but all signs point to an upcoming Reversion.
📉 What Happens at Each Flip?
These transitions tend to occur when:
• TLT hits major channel support or resistance
• Macro fear or liquidity shocks drive trust shifts
• Smart money starts reallocating across asset classes
Right now, TLT is at channel support — a zone that has previously triggered reversions into correlated periods.
📌 What Comes Next:
According to the Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™:
→ We are statistically due for a reversion** back into correlation
→ If TLT bounces from 76–71 zone… BTC may follow — not fight
→ The target remains: BTC breaking above 115 resistance
This flip — from inverse to correlated — has historically marked breakout windows for Bitcoin.
🔮 This Is Bigger Than a Halving
Plan B’s Stock-to-Flow gave us valuable insight into long-term valuation.
But it doesn’t explain timing.
This model isn’t about supply mechanics.
It’s about macro trust mechanics.
When institutional confidence leaves Treasuries…
And enters Bitcoin…
That’s the rotation we track.
That’s what moves the chart now.
🎯 Watchlist: • TLT support: 76 → 71 zone = reversal signal
• BTC breakout trigger: 115 resistance
• Cycle shift: Reversion = Bitcoin joining TLT upside
If this plays out, it could mark the most important trust cycle breakout we’ve seen since the COVID inversion.
Bitcoin doesn’t need permission anymore.
It just needs a macro trigger. And this model helps us spot it.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
📌 Missed the full credit market breakdown? Check my recent posts on BKLN, HYG, LQD, and TLT to understand the full Trust Flow rotation.
Forget halving hype. This new model tracks when Bitcoin moves with (🔄) or against (🔁) U.S. Treasuries — based on macro trust flows.
And right now? We're at the edge of an EPIC reversion.📈📈📈
👇
#Bitcoin #Macro #TrustFlow #TLT CRYPTOCAP:BTC