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ETH will rebound.What you're looking at is a textbook rising channel, well-respected, clean, and elegant in its symmetry. For weeks, ETH has climbed this structure with rhythmic oscillations between support and resistance, almost as if the market were guided by a ruler and compass. Price action respected both boundaries with admirable discipline, making this a trader’s dream for range-based strategies. Now, that structure is being tested sharply. The most recent candle shows a strong drop from the upper boundary straight to the lower. It didn't drift down gently but fell with force. Yet despite that intensity, price has landed precisely on the lower boundary of the channel. This is often where markets pause and reset. If the structure remains intact, and history offers any guide, this could mark the beginning of a fresh upward leg. The drop may have been more about clearing excess than breaking trend. There is reason to believe in the bounce. The channel has been reliable, and deep tests like this often come before a recovery, not a collapse. If price begins to stabilize here, even modestly, it would suggest that the market still respects this structure. The next few candles will matter, but for now, the channel is holding. And when a structure like this holds after such a flush, it can produce some of the strongest moves back to the top.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Impala36
WAVES - bearish 3 drives in the making? WAVES playing with nerves but when looking at pattern and fibb levels it seems we are doing major bearish 3 drives pattern, where we have one more impulse to new ATH left. We can see that BTC had similar setup which resulted in push toward new ATH and I expect Waves to do similar move. Target for that pattern is fibb 1.272 extension at 200$ range with possible extended push to fibb 1.618 extension if whole crypto market goes into crazy fomo mode. For pattern to workout as planned it's important that we do not make any new lows - we are currently sitting at longerm RSI support diagonal so I expect bounce up. Once we flip MA50 into support the move to upside will speed up.
CRYPTO:WAVESUSDLong
by Zorroreny
KAS-USDT (Bybit spot), 4-hour candles TA+Trade plan1. Market context & chart structure Asset / venue / timeframe: KAS-USDT (Bybit spot), 4-hour candles, data to 12 Jun 2025 06:45 UTC (see image). Primary pattern in play: Price has compressed into a contracting (symmetrical) triangle that began after the 28 May low. The apex is only ~1–2 candles away, so a decisive break is statistically imminent. Preceding structure: 17-day descending channel → capitulation into a falling-wedge reversal (27–28 May). Two-legged double-bottom (“Bottom 2”) at 0.075–0.078 USDT. Sideways rectangle 29 May-7 Jun, now morphing into the present triangle. Key horizontal levels (4 h closes): 0.0930 (upper triangle rail / neckline) · 0.0891 (local supply) · 0.0797 (strong demand / wedge base) · 0.0620 (monthly support) Volume picture: Realised volume has been drying up since 31 May, a classic pre-breakout contraction. A spike on the break will confirm direction. 2. Indicator read-out Market Cipher B - Green momentum wave printing, money-flow bars just turned positive Mildly bullish, Early bull divergence vs 28 May RSI(14) - 46 and curling up - Neutral-to-bullish Hidden bullish divergence vs price higher-lows Stoch RSI 26/24 and crossing up from oversold Bullish Momentum reset complete ArTy Money-Flow Index +3.5 and rising Bullish Positive inflow after five sessions of outflow Collectively the oscillators favour an upside resolution, provided volume confirms. 3. Scenario probability matrix Scenario Trigger & confirmation Option 1 – Uptrend continuation 4 h close ≥ 0.0925 USDT with volume ≥ 2× 20-period average Measured-move 0.107 → 0.118; extended fib 1.618 ≈ 0.125–0.128 Est. probability: 60 % Option 2 – Downtrend resumption 4 h close ≤ 0.079 USDT with similar volume spike 0.072 (range EQ) → 0.067–0.062 structural support Est. probability: 40 % Weighting derives from: oscillator bias, shrinking supply above 0.092 (order-book heat-map), but tempered by external models calling for a short-term dip toward 0.067 USDT 4. Trading plan Component Long (Option 1) Short (Option 2) Entry Buy stop 0.0926 USDT Sell stop 0.0789 USDT Initial stop-loss 0.0838 USDT 0.0870 USDT (back inside triangle) Primary target-1 0.1050 (≈1R) 0.0725 (≈1R) Secondary target-2 0.1180 (≈2.5R) 0.0670 (≈2.5R) Position size Risk ≤ 1 % of account per trade (adjust contracts accordingly) 5. Additional catalysts & risk factors Macro-beta: BTC dominance and broad market risk-on / risk-off could swamp pattern-based setups; monitor DXY and SPX correlations. Protocol news: Kaspa’s DAG-based roadmap upgrades and potential exchange listings remain upside catalysts. Conversely, lack of progress or regulatory headlines could accelerate a downside break. kaspa.org Weekend liquidity gaps: KAS often shows slippage outside US trading hours; consider reducing size or using wide stops if breakout occurs late Friday–Sunday. 6. To sum up Bias: I lean 60 % toward Option 1 (bullish breakout) provided we get a 4 h close above 0.092 with volume confirmation. Otherwise, a flush to the 0.07 area (Option 2) is the alternative. Trade the break, not the prediction, and keep risk tight.
Long
by elfabiiani
1
BTC Reacts to Iran–Israel Escalation: Risk-Off Sentiment GrowsBitcoin (BTC/USDT) — Caught Between Fear & Fundamentals Technical Outlook — 13 June, 2025 Current Market Condition: Bitcoin has dropped to $103,818 after facing rejection from the $106.8K–$108K resistance zone, coinciding with heightened geopolitical stress following renewed military escalation between Iran and Israel. Traditional markets are showing signs of risk aversion, and while Bitcoin is often seen as a hedge, the current flight to USD liquidity and defensive assets is putting pressure on high-beta instruments like crypto. The psychological $100K support zone, which aligns with the EMA 50 and a key Fib level, is the immediate area to watch. A failure here could expose Bitcoin to deeper retracement toward $96,800 and potentially $92K, especially if global tensions worsen or investors rotate further into cash and gold. Key Technical Highlights: Rejection at supply zone near $106,888–$108,000. Support at $100K holds structural and psychological importance. Stochastic shows bearish momentum crossover, increasing downside probability. EMA 200 at $92K could act as ultimate cushion in a full-blown correction. Volatility likely to remain elevated amid Middle East conflict and global uncertainty. Trade Plan: 🔼 Bullish Relief Bounce (Long Bias): Trigger: Reclaim and hold above $106,888 with rising volume Target: $108K → $112K → $116K Stop Loss: Below $103,500 🔻 Geopolitical Risk Sell-Off (Short Bias): Trigger: Break and close below $100,000 Target: $96,816 → $92,000 → $88,000 Stop Loss: Above $102,500 📉 Dip Buy Strategy: Trigger: Price stabilizes at $96.8K with divergence and calming geopolitical headlines Target: $103K → $106K Stop Loss: Below $95K 🛡️ Risk Management Note: With geopolitical risk driving short-term sentiment, expect volatility spikes, whipsaws, and fake breakouts. Remain nimble and manage exposure carefully — especially during weekend sessions when crypto trades unhedged and news developments can occur without warning. 📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
by MarketsPOV
Bullish bounce?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling toward the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 2,589.94 1st Support: 2,547.44 1st Resistance: 2,712.37 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:ETHUSDLong
by ICmarkets
SPX/USDT — Change of Character Signals Bearish Move Incoming The structure has shifted with a clear CHoCH (Change of Character), suggesting that bullish momentum is weakening. Price recently pulled back into a supply zone around 1.6140–1.6910, setting up a potential short opportunity. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: Price broke below recent higher low = CHoCH confirmed Bearish BOS followed by retracement into premium zone (FVG/Supply) Expecting rejection and continuation to downside if price fails to reclaim 1.6140 🔧 Trade Plan: Entry Area: 1.6140 Stoploss: Above 1.6910 Targets: • TP1: 1.5290 • TP2: 1.4630 • TP3: 1.3500 This setup aligns with internal structure + supply zone + CHoCH. Wait for confirmation candle or bearish engulfing in entry area before executing.
Short
by Heruprabowo
2