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USDJPY : A study of what worksMany methods are used. Some work, Many don't. The most important thing is to use our common sense to find out. Discard immediately, and never look back at those that do not work. First, the Trendliners. They would not be playing because their fav lines are not present. Next is the Demand & Supply aka Liquidity Zones player. I think they would prefer to wait a bit longer. Only if they look at the bond yield, their views might differ. Then there are also those who like Fib retracement for the fav 50% is also near. Finally, some like me prefer to use the D, plus a few other 'indicators'. Price is already showing a reaction now. Let's discover what works, @ +/- 10 pips. Good luck.
Long
by i_am_siew
+200 pips Best Level to Short GBPCHF from Resistance🔸Hello traders, let's review the H6 chart for GBPCHF today. Trading near premium prices of the multiweek range, closing in on heavy S/R Currently risk/reward is shifting in bears favor, so it's recommended to look for sell side setups in GBPCHF. 🔸Heavy overhead mirror S/R zone at 1440/1460 expecting reversal from overhead resistance. current bid is 1380so final push required before we can get a decent entry on sell side. 🔸Recommended strategy for GBPCHF traders: short any rips/rallies near S/R 1440/1460 price is currently trading near premium levels and is almost maxed out already, limited upside. TP1 bears 1260 TP2 bears 1230 pips final exit 1230 +200 pips. This is a swing trade setup so naturally will take more time to complete / hit targets. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
27
EUR/GBP "The Chunnel" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/NZD "Euro vs Kiwi" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : The heist is on! Wait for the breakout of (0.82650) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell stop below the support line or Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in swing/retest. I highly recommend to use alert in your trading platform. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 1.83000 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 0.81950 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: The EUR/GBP "The Chunnel" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. ⚖️Fundamental Analysis - The European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decisions significantly impact the EUR/GBP exchange rate. The ECB's interest rate decisions influence the euro's value relative to the pound. - The UK's economic performance, including GDP growth, inflation, and employment rates, also affects the exchange rate. - Political developments, such as Brexit negotiations and EU-UK trade agreements, can create market volatility and impact the EUR/GBP exchange rate. ⚖️Macro Economics - Inflation Rates: The ECB's inflation target is below, but close to, 2%. The UK's inflation rate has been above the Bank of England's 2% target. These differences can influence the exchange rate. - Interest Rates: The ECB's interest rates are currently lower than the Bank of England's rates. This difference can impact the exchange rate. - GDP Growth: The EU's GDP growth has been slower than the UK's in recent years. This difference can influence the exchange rate. ⚖️COT Data - Commitment of Traders (COT): The COT report shows that large speculators, such as hedge funds and institutional investors, are currently net short on the euro. This suggests that they expect the euro to weaken against the pound. - Non-Commercial Traders: Non-commercial traders, such as individual investors and hedge funds, are currently net long on the euro. This suggests that they expect the euro to strengthen against the pound. ⚖️Market Sentimental Analysis - Market Sentiment: The market sentiment for EUR/GBP is currently bearish, with many analysts expecting the euro to weaken against the pound. - Positioning: Many traders and investors are currently short on the euro, expecting it to weaken against the pound. ⚖️Trader Positions - Institutional Traders: 55% short, 45% long - Retail Traders: 58% short, 42% long - Hedge Funds: 60% short, 40% long - Commercial Traders: 52% short, 48% long - Banks: 50% short, 50% long ⚖️Next Trend Move - Based on the current market sentiment and positioning, the next trend move for EUR/GBP is likely to be downward, with the euro weakening against the pound. - However, it's essential to keep in mind that market trends can change rapidly, and unexpected events can impact the exchange rate. ⚖️Quantitative Analysis - Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is currently above the 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend. However, the short-term moving averages (10-day and 20-day) are below the longer-term moving averages, indicating a bearish trend. - Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently at 40, indicating that the market is oversold and due for a bounce. - Bollinger Bands: The Bollinger Bands are currently widening, indicating increased volatility. ⚖️Intermarket Analysis - Correlation with Other Markets: EUR/GBP is currently positively correlated with the EUR/USD and negatively correlated with the GBP/USD. - Impact of Other Markets: The EUR/GBP exchange rate is likely to be impacted by the performance of the US dollar, as well as the relative economic performance of the EU and UK. - Commodity Prices: Changes in commodity prices, such as oil and gold, can also impact the EUR/GBP exchange rate. ⚖️Overall Summary Outlook The EUR/GBP exchange rate is expected to decline in the short-term, driven by the bearish market sentiment and positioning. The euro's weakness against the pound is likely to continue, with a potential target of 0.8200. However, any unexpected positive developments in the EU or negative developments in the UK could lead to a reversal of the trend. Traders and investors should remain cautious and monitor market developments closely. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Short
by Thief_Trader
Update : CHF/JPY +150 Pips 0 Drawdown , Did You Enter ?Here is the first update on CHF/JPY +150 Pips 0 Drawdown , i think the price will go up a little on Friday , so anyone entered you should book your profits and secure your trade. This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Short
by FX_Elite_Club
SHORTING EURUSDTechnical Overview: Timeframe: Daily (1D) Pair: EUR/USD Indicator: EMA 21 (Exponential Moving Average) Key Levels: Resistance: ~1.05155 Support: ~1.03330 Psychological Level: 1.04550 (current price zone) Major Support Zone: ~1.02500 Analysis: Market Structure: The market is in a retracement phase after a bullish move. A bearish rejection at resistance (~1.05155) led to a pullback, which is now interacting with the 21 EMA and a possible support zone. Price Action & Rejection: The recent bearish candle pushed the price down, but there was an immediate rejection from a demand zone, leading to a bullish bounce. This suggests that buyers are stepping in, showing potential support at the 1.0400 - 1.0450 zone. Confluence Factors: EMA 21 Acting as Dynamic Support: The price has previously respected the 21 EMA, and the latest reaction suggests it may hold as support. Order Block/Reliquidity Grab: A small liquidity grab below the previous lows before bouncing indicates that smart money may be accumulating long positions. Bullish Rejection Wick: The last candle shows buyer pressure, hinting at a possible move higher. Trade Bias: If the price holds above the EMA 21 and current support, bullish continuation is expected. A break above 1.0455 could signal further bullish movement toward 1.05155. However, if price breaks below 1.0400, it could indicate further downside toward 1.03330.
Short
by jamesprivado20
1
Potential bearish drop?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the pullback support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: o.9004 1st Support: 0.8919 1st Resistance: 0.9048 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
GBP/USD Strategy for European and American Trading SessionsGBP/USD news: 🔆GBP/USD eased after hitting a two-month high of 1.2674 on Friday, hovering around 1.2670 in Asian trade. However, the pair maintained its strength as the US dollar remained under pressure due to weak jobless claims data and mixed signals from the Federal Reserve. 🔆Minutes of the Fed's January policy meeting showed that some policymakers viewed potential changes in trade and immigration policies as obstacles to deflation, putting pressure on the dollar. 🔆During the Asian session, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note fell below 4.5%, reducing demand for the dollar and allowing GBP/USD to rise. 🔆As the European session begins on Friday, the UK Office for National Statistics will release January retail sales data. Personal opinion: 🔆Good economic news for the Pound continues to maintain the strength of GBP. In contrast to the bad news from Trump's tariff policy, the dollar has weakened. However, FM believes that there will be a pullback phase as the RSI is diverging after entering the overbought zone earlier. GBP will consolidate and rise again. Technical analysis: 🔆Based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with economic information to come up with appropriate strategies. Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉BUY GBP/USD 1.2620 – 1.2635 ❌SL: 1.2575 | ✅TP: 1.2670 – 1.2720 – 1.2800 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
GBPUSD InsightWelcome, Subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated on X (Twitter) that he had a productive discussion with U.S. envoy Keith Kellogg. - U.S. weekly initial jobless claims came in at 219,000, exceeding the market forecast of 215,000. - U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent mentioned that it is premature to increase the proportion of long-term bonds while noting that tariffs have already been partially factored into the dollar. - Maroš Šefčovič, the EU Executive Vice President for Trade and Economic Security, stated that the U.S. is open to discussing all aspects related to tariffs. - Raphael Bostic, President of the Atlanta Fed, expects two 25bp rate cuts this year but acknowledged the presence of multiple variables. Key Economic Events This Week + February 21: U.S. February Manufacturing PMI, U.S. February Services PMI GBPUSD Chart Analysis After breaking through the 1.25000 level, GBPUSD surged toward the anticipated resistance zone around 1.27000. It has since retreated to 1.25000, where it is expected to determine its next direction. However, if the pair manages to break above 1.27000, significant upside potential could open up, with the 1.31000 level emerging as a strong target.
Short
by shawntime_academy
Lingrid | AUDUSD capitalizing on the BULLISH ContinuationFX:AUDUSD market continues to make higher highs, indicating that bulls are in control. The price has formed a range zone near last week's high, and there is a chance it may break above and reach higher levels. The market formed a small pause before continuing, as the price closed above the psychological level of 0.63000. On the daily timeframe, the price took liquidity below the previous day's low, and the subsequent move higher demonstrates bullish dominance. I expect the price to move toward the upper border of the channel. My goal is resistance zone around 0.64380 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
2
GBP/USD Trade Recap – A Perfect Long Setup 1️⃣ Trade Execution – Why I Took the Long Position Today’s GBP/USD trade was a textbook example of combining Fibonacci retracements, smart money positioning, and seasonality trends to catch a high-probability long setup. 💡 Entry Details: ✅ Entry: 1.2600 (Fibonacci golden zone) ✅ Stop Loss: 1.2587 (Below structure) ✅ Take Profit: 1.2635 (Key resistance zone) ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 🎯 Result: Hit TP at 1.2635 for a solid profit! ✅ 2️⃣ Why This Trade Worked – A Breakdown of the Confluences 📊 Fibonacci Retracement – Perfect Pullback & Reversal Price retraced to the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone (1.2600 - 1.2593) before reversing. The bullish move was expected after a strong impulse leg, following smart money positioning. 📈 Smart Money & Retail Sentiment – Trading Against the Herd 🔹 62% of retail traders were SHORT on GBP/USD (as per DMX data). 🔹 Since I trade against retail sentiment, this provided a strong bullish confirmation. 🔹 Institutional COT data showed big players increasing long positions, further supporting a bullish bias. 🕵️‍♂️ Seasonality & Historical Trends Supported the Long 📊 15-year seasonality data indicated GBP/USD typically rallies in late February and early March. 📅 The next 3-5 day forecast showed a bullish probability, adding further conviction. 📉 Technical Confirmation – Momentum Indicators & Structure ✅ SuperTrend flipped bullish on the 4H chart ✅ Price was trading above key moving averages (EMA 6, 24, 72, 288) ✅ Broke above short-term trendline resistance, confirming upward momentum 3️⃣ Key Takeaways from This Trade 🔹 Trading with smart money & against retail sentiment = High probability setups 🔹 Seasonality provided extra confidence in taking the long trade 🔹 Using Fibonacci and EMAs for confluence led to a precise entry 🔹 Patience and risk management were key to securing profits 📌 Final Thoughts – What’s Next for GBP/USD? 🚀 With this bullish breakout, I will look for further longs on dips, targeting the next key resistance at 1.2680 - 1.2700. 👀 Are you bullish or bearish on GBP/USD? Let’s discuss in the comments!
Long
by LDForex_
1
AUDUSD H4 | Bearish DropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 0.6406, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibo extension and the 61.8% Fibo projection, indicating a strong resistance level. Our take profit will be at 0.6369, a pullback support level. The stop loss will be placed at 0.6460, which is an overlap resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
GBP/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE CHECK CAPTAIN This is a technical analysis chart of GBP/USD (British Pound to US Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe, published on TradingView. Key Observations: 1. Resistance Zone (Red Area at ~1.2666-1.2669): The price has reached a supply zone where selling pressure is expected. The chart suggests a potential rejection from this level. 2. Expected Price Movement (Black Arrows): The price is expected to reverse from the resistance and decline. The first target is around 1.26305, marked as support. If that level breaks, the price could drop further to 1.25837. 3. Trend Structure: There was an uptrend leading to the resistance. The price is now testing a strong resistance zone. A bearish reversal is anticipated if sellers take control. Conclusion: This chart suggests that GBP/USD might face resistance and start a downward move. Traders might look for sell opportunities near resistance and target the lower support levels. If buyers push above 1.2669, the bearish scenario could be invalidated. Are you looking to trade this setup or just analyzing the market?
Short
by DavidHills110
MXNJPY at Key Support Level - Potential Buy SetupEIGHTCAP:MXNJPY has reached a significant support zone, which has historically acted as a strong demand area. Previous price action suggests buyers may step in here, increasing the potential for a bullish reversal. If the price holds above this level and confirms support, we could see a move higher toward the 7.50700 level, which represents a logical target based on past price behavior and current market structure. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Long
by TrendDiva
4
EUR/JPY Bearish Setup | Rejection from 200 EMA & Supply ZoneEUR/JPY Analysis (Daily Timeframe) 📉🔥 Key Observations: Price at 159.804 (-0.07%), showing minor bearish sentiment. 200 EMA Resistance (162.206) 🚧 Price previously rejected from this level, reinforcing it as a strong resistance zone. Bearish Retest of Supply Zone (162.000 - 162.500) 🛑 Price attempted to break above but failed, leading to rejection and a move downward. Breakout from Ascending Channel 📉 Price previously followed an upward trend but broke below, signaling a shift to bearish momentum. Target at 155.732 (Next Support) 🎯 A blue arrow suggests an expected drop toward this key support. Bias: Bearish 📉 Confirmation: If price fails to reclaim 160.500, further downside is likely. Bearish Entry: Below 159.500 with a target at 155.732. Invalidation: A daily close above 162.200 would shift bias to bullish. 🚨 Watch for rejection candles or strong bearish momentum for a sell setup! 🚨
Short
by MrStellanSight
USD/SEK LONG: Bounce Zone Investors are currently focused on USD/SEK, which is oversold across multiple timeframes: 1H, 4H, 6H, 10H and 1D. This suggests a possible reversal in the trend, offering interesting buying opportunities for traders looking to capitalize on a potential bounce. Technical Analysis: Bounce Signals Oversold across multiple timeframes highlights excessive bearish pressure, which could lead to a technical bounce. When an asset is oversold simultaneously across such large timeframes, a short-term price recovery is likely as sellers begin to run out of steam. Key Support on 1D Alligator Additional support for the bounce hypothesis is the USD/SEK position against the 1D Alligator. Currently, the price is at a critical support formed by the Alligator moving averages. This indicator, developed by Bill Williams, is known to identify trends and reversals with good reliability. When the price approaches the Alligator support, a buyer reaction can be expected, leading to a rebound or even a reversal of the downtrend. Trading Strategy: LONG on USD/SEK Considering the oversold and support on the Alligator, a LONG strategy on USD/SEK seems justified. Here is how to set it up: The USD/SEK is in a technical configuration that favors LONG positions, supported by an oversold condition on multiple timeframes and solid support on the 1D Alligator. However, as always in trading, it is essential to monitor the price action and adapt the strategy according to the evolution of the market. A disciplined approach and adequate risk management remain key to capitalizing on this potential USD/SEK bounce opportunity.
Long
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
GBPCAD is ready to push againNo comment needed. All information is in the chart analysis. Steps to follow: Analyze yourself. Take the position with SL and Take Profits. Wait, it may take a couple of days, so take a break and step away from the screen from time to time, just like I do :) Get the result. I will update the trade every day. Like, comment with your good mood or viewpoint, share with your circle. It’s together that we get stronger! Good trades, Traders! The golden bear
Long
by thegoldenbear