Get started

Forex market

Elliott Wave View in EURGBP Calling for More DownsideShort Term Elliott Wave View in EURGBP suggests that decline to 0.8295 on October 18, 2024 ended wave (1). Wave (2) corrective bounce is proposed complete at 0.8447 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Internal subdivision of wave (2) unfolded as a Flat Elliott Wave structure. Up from 10.18.2024 low, wave A ended at 0.8352 and wave B pullback ended at 0.8295. Wave C higher ended at 0.8447 which completed wave (2) in higher degree. Pair has turned lower in wave (3) with internal structure of an impulse. Down from wave (2), wave (i) ended at 0.8366 and wave (ii) ended at 0.8418. Wave (iii) has resumed lower as an impulse. Down from wave (ii), wave i ended at 0.8388 and wave ii ended at 0.8412. Wave iii lower ended at 0.8414 and wave iv rally ended at 0.834. Last leg wave v lower ended at 0.8305 which completed wave (iii) in higher degree. Wave (iv) corrective rally ended at 0.833. Expect pair to extend lower to end wave v of ((i)). Then it should rally in wave ((ii)) to correct cycle from 11.1.2024 high before it resumes lower. Near term, as far as pivot at 0.8447 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
by Elliottwave-Forecast
#EURUSD - 08112024EURUSD made a perfect long as per plan given yesterday and it hit the price target, over a 100 pips higher, and it sold down 60 pips off the price target before recovering. Bearish sell down on Thursday followed by a recovery to my sell level yesterday. What's next? I see a possible move for EURUSD to 1.0733 and then we see the reaction off the level; either a higher low for a move higher or a break and a move lower (as per the plan given yesterday). In a way, the move yesterday could be seen as a pullback. And market did sell down after hitting the price target so IMO sellers are present and so could see a move lower first.
by FadeMeIfYouCan
This is all you need to get started: a paper trading account!Starting your trading journey wisely means utilizing a Paper Trading account, also known as a demo account. This account simulates the real trading experience by mirroring market movements and conditions, but operates without the risk of losing real money. It offers traders access to comprehensive market data just like a live account, enabling practice with real-world price fluctuations—if Gold (XAU/USD) experiences a 5% rise or fall, the same scenario reflects in the demo account. This provides an excellent opportunity to understand market dynamics without financial exposure. A Beginner's Best Friend: The Demo Account For novice traders, a demo account is an essential entry point into the financial markets. It allows individuals to familiarize themselves with various trading aspects and strategies. Many traders base their transition to live trading on the insights and performance gleaned from their demo accounts. The convenience of setting one up is straightforward—simply use the Paper Trading option on TradingView to practice with a simulated account. Click on the Trading Panel of your chart, and you'll find the Paper Trading option on TradingView. Advanced Applications for Experienced Traders However, the utility of demo accounts isn’t confined to just beginners; seasoned traders also derive significant benefits. Experimenting with New Strategies Experienced traders frequently utilize demo accounts to try out and assess new trading strategies. This method serves as a safe way to test different approaches without putting their capital at risk. Evaluating Automated Tools Developers of trading bots and algorithms rely on demo accounts for comprehensive testing of their tools. These automated systems undergo rigorous backtesting in a zero-risk environment, ensuring they are ready for live trading scenarios. Training and Development Demo accounts serve as effective training platforms for both individual traders and those employed within financial institutions. Whether it’s a retail trader or a professional in a hedge fund, these accounts offer vital learning experiences that hone skills effectively. Skill Development and Confidence Building The benefits of demo accounts extend to enhancing both technical and soft skills. Fundamental competencies such as market analysis, strategy formation, and data interpretation can be improved in a low-stakes setting. Meanwhile, soft skills like patience, resilience, and adaptability receive a boost, ultimately shaping a well-rounded trader. Moreover, the journey can build confidence. Since trading can be intricate and losing money can shake one's self-assurance, a demo account provides a haven for refining trading strategies without risking actual funds. This psychological support can significantly influence success in the live markets, where self-confidence is often linked to profitability. How Long Should You Practice? The duration one should spend in a demo account varies, influenced by personal factors. For those transitioning to full-time trading, a minimum of three months is advisable. Though this may seem lengthy, it is a small price to pay for a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics and a variety of trading conditions. The Advantages of Practicing Day Trading in a Demo Account 1- Accelerated Learning Utilizing non-market hours for practice enables traders to quickly accumulate experience, far exceeding what can be gained during regular market sessions. 2- Preparedness for Quick Decisions Day trading requires rapid decision-making skills. Regular practice in a demo account equips traders to respond swiftly to market fluctuations. 3- Intuitive Market Recognition Frequent practice encourages an instinctual grasp of market conditions, vital for timely and effective trading actions. 4- Confidence in Trading Decisions Confidence plays a critical role in a day trader's success. Thorough practice in a risk-free environment allows traders to build confidence before they step into live trading. 5- Adaptability to Market Variability Day traders often experience victories and losses. Practicing within a controlled environment fosters a clear mindset to tackle each trade, essential for adapting to shifting market scenarios. 6- Setting Realistic Income Expectations Repeated practice enables traders to set achievable income expectations, cultivating a sensible outlook prior to committing to full-time trading. 7- Enhancing Chart Analysis Skills A demo account encourages traders to develop chart reading abilities without becoming overly reliant on them, promoting a balanced analytical approach. 8- Personal Trading Style Development The complexities of day trading call for personalized strategies. Regular practice in a demo account allows traders to foster their unique trading styles and embrace accountability for their decisions. 9- Effective Risk Management Practicing with margin in a demo account allows traders to experiment with leverage while treating each trade seriously. Also Read: and now... "Best Practices for Using Demo Accounts" To ensure you maximize the benefits of a demo account, adopt the following strategies: Serious Approach Although no real money is at stake, treating the demo account with seriousness enhances realism and deepens the learning experience. Realistic Capital Allocation Even though demo accounts may offer unlimited capital, traders should simulate an amount similar to their intended live trading capital for a more accurate experience. Maintain Consistent Leverage Using the same leverage plan that you would apply during live trading ensures that your demo experience aligns closely with potential future outcomes. Gradual Transition to Live Trading Transitioning from a demo account to live trading should be done thoughtfully. Test your strategies extensively in the demo environment, simulating real trading amounts, to reduce the likelihood of mistakes once you start live trading. In conclusion... In summary, a demo account is a vital resource for both novice and experienced traders navigating the complexities of financial markets. For beginners, it provides a risk-free avenue to grasp market dynamics and develop essential trading techniques. For seasoned professionals, demo accounts are indispensable for strategy testing, evaluating automated tools, and enhancing both technical and psychological skills. While the ideal duration in a demo account varies from trader to trader, committing to three months is recommended for anyone serious about entering full-time trading. Day traders particularly stand to gain by practicing within a demo setting, allowing them to accelerate skill acquisition, prepare for snap decisions, and foster a robust sense of confidence. The structured environment of a demo account promotes the crafting of personalized trading strategies, the establishment of effective risk management practices, and the ability to adapt to real-world market conditions. Lastly I would like to add this previous lecture to this post, I'm sure will be useful for you... The Psychology Of Trading How To Manage Your Emotions and.. The Benefits of Keeping a Trading Journal for Your Psychology ✅ Please share your thoughts about this article in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my post. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Education
by FOREXN1
1
Trade 5: AUD/USD - 3.89 RR Ratio - TP Hit(Similar to Trade 4) : Possibly due to same currency in the pair Longer Time Frame: 1D 1. A Bullish Engulfing candle was formed on 7th Nov, breaking the structure of downward trend 2. Pulling fib retracement from pivot low to pivot high, we can see the price is currently in between 0 and 0.236 levels of fib Shorter Time Frame: 30min,15min,5min 1. At point "1" we can see that price took resistance, however the 30min and 15min, the shorter HMA was still above the medium HMA 2. We waited until the medium HMA crosses over shorter HMA in 15min timeframe Bias: Short Since there was an bullish engulfing candle in longer time frame, we are expecting a pullback to retest the bullish trend. Even in the shorter time frame, we see a double top being formed. Entry: 1. The next cross under of shorter EMA with medium EMA when the medium HMA crossed over shorter HMA 2. Waited in 15min timeframe to observe the EMA cross under 3. Dint wait for FVG, entered at the open of next candle of break out Target: 1. 0.236 level of Fib (Achieved) 2. If 0.236 is broken, can be pushed to 0.382 level SL: Above the EMA cross under in 5min time frame
Short
by MyWayofLookingThings
EURUSD_116 2024.11.08 06:03:07 Trading Signal SELLFrankPro Signal for EURUSD_116 Type: Screen Signal: SELL TP: 1.07451 SL: 1.07901 Entry Price: 1.07826 Analysis for EURUSD Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Strong Down LT= Strong Up Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Down LT=Up ST=Down LT=Up ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(0) Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions for the EUR/USD pair: **Short-term (next few days):** * The price is expected to go down, with a potential test of the support area near 1.0685. * A break below 1.0704 could signal further declines to 1.0660 and 1.0645. * However, there is a possibility of a corrective advance, with a potential rebound from the lower border of the bearish channel and a rebound from the bullish trend line on the RSI. * The upside is capped by the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0830, adding to the selling pressure. **Long-term (next few weeks/months):** * The overall trend is bearish, with the pair trading below a flat 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a firmly bearish 20 SMA. * The ECB's cautious stance on monetary policy and weak German data suggest limited near-term support for the euro. * However, the analysis mentions a potential growth towards the area above 1.0925 following a rebound from the support area near 1.0685. * The impact of economic data and ECB policy on the pair's long-term trend is uncertain and will depend on future developments. In summary, the short-term outlook is bearish, with a potential test of the support area near 1.0685, while the long-term trend is also bearish, but with a possibility of a rebound and growth towards the area above 1.0925. Result: ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(1) Based on the analysis, here are my predictions for the EUR/USD pair: **Short-term (next few days/week):** The price is expected to **go down**. The technical outlook suggests further losses, with potential to revisit the June low of 1.0666 and possibly the 2024 low at 1.0600. The pair has broken below all its moving averages, and technical indicators are firmly bearish despite being in oversold territory. **Long-term (next quarter/12 months):** The price is expected to **stay the same** or **go up slightly**. Long-term forecasts indicate the EUR/USD could trade at 1.08 by the end of the quarter and around 1.06 in 12 months, according to Trading Economics' global macro models. This suggests that the current downward trend may be reversed in the long term, with the pair potentially rebounding from its current lows. Please note that these predictions are based on the analysis provided and are subject to change as new data and events become available. Result: ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(2) **Short-term Analysis (Next 24-48 hours)** Based on the current market conditions and forecasts, I expect the EUR/USD price to **go down** in the short term. The bearish momentum, as indicated by the technical analysis, suggests that the pair may continue to decline, potentially testing support levels around 1.0665 and 1.0645. The strong US dollar sentiment, weak Eurozone economic data, and the upcoming Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates (expected to include a 0.25% rate cut) may further contribute to the downward pressure on the euro. **Long-term Analysis (Next week and beyond)** In the long term, the outlook for the EUR/USD pair is more uncertain. While the current bearish momentum may persist in the near term, there are potential upside risks that could lead to a rebound. If the pair holds above key support levels, some forecasts suggest a potential upward movement above 1.0925. Additionally, the impact of the US presidential election and the subsequent policy decisions may lead to a shift in market sentiment, potentially benefiting the euro. Therefore, in the long term, I expect the EUR/USD price to **stay the same** or potentially **go up**, depending on the outcome of the upcoming events and the overall market sentiment. Please note that these analyses are based on the available data and forecasts, and the actual market movements may differ. Result: ST=Down LT=Up
Short
by orbborisson
**AUD/CAD Short Setup: Targeting 0.91310**🔻 **AUD/CAD Short Setup: Targeting 0.91310** 📉 We’re setting up a short position for AUD/CAD, aiming to move from **0.92019** down to **0.91310**. This setup is based on key resistance levels, with a stop loss placed at **0.92207** for risk management. 🔍 **Trade Details:** - **Entry:** 0.92019 - **Target:** 0.91310 - **Stop Loss:** 0.92207 💡 **Our Insight:** A break below current support could see AUD/CAD making a move down to our target. We’re watching for confirmation on the next 4H candle close. 👉 Are you taking a similar position? Share your insights below! #AUDCAD #ForexTrading #ShortPosition #TradeSetup #Pipnest
Short
by pipnest
2
Trade 6: GBP/USD - 3.9 RR Ratio Longer Time Frame: 1D 1. Bullish Engulfing candle in a day Shorter Time Frame: 15min 1. Flag and pole formation almost for 3 phases 2. Price took resistance at "1" 3. Price crossed below the shorter and medium HMA 4. Retraced back to between 0.382 and 0 Bias: Short 1. Expecting a pullback 2. Price crossed below HMAs in 15m and 30m Entry: First EMA cross under when the Shorter HMA crossed under Medium HMA or First EMA cross under when the price crossed HMAs and is taking resistance of HMAs Target: 1. Next Support between 1.29472 and 1.29360 2. The range falls between 0.382 3. Therefore, 0.382 is the target SL: Above the EMA cross under 5/15min timeframe
Short
by MyWayofLookingThings
USDCHF - Dollar will continue to grow after FOMC?!The USDCHF currency pair is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. In case of upward correction, we can see the supply zone and sell within that zone with appropriate risk reward. The bottom of the ascending channel will be the target of this move. The Federal Reserve recently reduced its interest rate by 0.25%, bringing it to 4.75%. The Fed’s statement indicates that the “labor market has cooled,” whereas the previous statement had only mentioned a “slower job market growth.” Additionally, there appears to be a slight decline in confidence regarding inflation reduction. Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve Chair, emphasized that he will remain in his role until the end of his term. When asked about fiscal policies, Powell stated that such matters are outside the Fed’s authority. He added that if the economy remains strong and inflation does not reach the 2% target, monetary policy adjustments may occur at a slower pace. He also highlighted that the policies of any administration or Congress could have significant economic impacts, but these effects will be evaluated alongside other factors. The recent report on Switzerland’s consumer inflation index indicates that the global landscape has not changed significantly from the pre-COVID era. After the inflation shock of the COVID period, some banking officials speculated that the world was entering a new phase where zero or negative interest rates were unlikely, and the neutral rate would be higher. However, there is no strong evidence to support this claim, especially with the major transformations anticipated from the growth of artificial intelligence. Furthermore, many analysts believe that the risks associated with de-globalization and demographic arguments are not as compelling. In September, the Swiss National Bank revised its inflation forecast for 2025 from 1.1% to 0.6% and also adjusted the interest rate. The inflation forecast for this year was revised down from 1.3% to 1.2%. The next meeting of the Swiss National Bank is scheduled for December 12, and if current conditions persist (including energy prices and exchange rates), a 50-basis-point rate cut could become a strong option. Deutsche Bank also sees an increasing likelihood of a return to negative interest rates, noting factors that could lead to higher risk and a stronger Swiss franc. These challenges are not exclusive to Switzerland; Europe as a whole is facing similar issues. Deutsche Bank has indicated that, currently, inflation in Europe does not pose a significant problem.
Short
by Ali_PSND
GBPAUD Mean Reversion SellingI call it all as mean reversion because we are a flying piece of rock transiting through space to nowhere, and price is the same. There's no real anchor in price beside the anchor in the minds of the collective, and market movers. Based on the current price action, we can see that price is somewhat overbought, not 100%, and price has made a reversal candle (based on experience). Even though I did set TP and SL, but I am not expecting to hold it to the end, and instead, I am just testing the boundaries and possibilities, and I would exit at any time. Currently, price is reverting back to the 20EMA and I would consider the 20EMA as the mean price anchor of the current collective and market movers.
Short
by ProfessionalDuckHunter
Mean Reversion Trading NZDCHF Swing SellMean Reversion. WHen price goes in one direction for too far or long, it will tend to collapse back to the average price. Stochastics 20,1,1 shows overbought, Price is tanking, I entered on a sell market. I think this has to be a swing trade where one cannot be greedy. I think that the forex market isn't like the stock market where it can continue trending, one of the reasons being due to inflation, where price will always get more expensive for goods, services, and stocks also (since it deals with goods and services as its core.) Unless if something major that shakes a country and keeps going, such as JPY negative interest rate for years, otherwise it is rare to see price keep on running and seeing no end. On the other hand, products such as commodities, or metals like gold and stocks and maybe REITs (I am not familiar with REITs but with some common sense, I think that landlords would only want to keep on increasing the rent prices to pad their pockets, such as in Singapore where the price isn't controlled and rental prices can shoot up, and even if the units are not rented out FOR YEARS, the property owner doesn't care and am not affected, one of the reason being they are holding onto land deed which property prices Singaporeans call as supply and demand, but the demand is just as artificial as labubu sales due to influx of rich foreigners buying into government housing in Singapore.) Anyway, country and country will definitely have a push and pull effect, don't expect prices to keep going for no rhythm or reason. The stock market is there for a reason if you wanna go for a no rhythm and no reason trending market.
Long
by ProfessionalDuckHunter
GBPUSD Market Update: Key Influences and Chart AnalysisToday, GBPUSD is hovering around 1.293 as it attempts to stabilize after recent volatility. The pair has been facing downward pressure due to ongoing uncertainty around the UK’s economic outlook and the strength of the USD. The chart suggests that GBPUSD recently encountered resistance in the 1.2978 zone, with multiple rejections, signaling a strong selling pressure around this level. After testing this resistance, the pair is now trending downward, breaking through the sideways range, indicating potential further declines. Technical indicators, including the EMA levels shown on the chart, suggest a bearish outlook. The projected path illustrates a corrective bounce but ultimately points to a continuation of the downward trend, with a possible support target around 1.2850 or lower if selling pressure persists. Given these signals, traders should monitor key news events that could impact the USD and GBP sentiment, such as upcoming U.S. and UK economic releases. A cautious approach may favor short positions, aligning with the bearish indicators on the chart.
by Chipucu
1
Bearish drop?GBP/AUD is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 1.95584 1st Support: 1.94410 1st Resistance: 1.96411 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets