EUR/USD Holds Firm as U.S. Policy Uncertainty GrowsEUR/USD traded around 1.1530 on Tuesday, while the dollar index remained around 98.4, weighed down by concerns about the Federal Reserveโs independence and escalating trade tensions. President Trump called for swift rate cuts and suggested removing Fed Chair Jerome Powell, fueling worries over political influence on monetary policy. The sentiment was further impacted by stalled US-China negotiations and Chinaโs warnings to countries aligning with Washington.
Key resistance is at 1.1550, followed by 1.1600 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1400, then 1.1260 and 1.1180.
Forex market
Breakout and retest The market is consolidating, bouncing on our support and resistance. ON a daily timeframe you can see a double top ,even on H1. The confusing thing is on the day we are in a uptrend movement, so in order to see if the market is selling now it must break our support once our support becomes our resistance we sell . Use TP1 to be safe ,use a trailstop if you will going for TP2
The Day Ahead Tuesday 22 April - Macro Data to Watch
US
Philadelphia Fed (non-manufacturing) โ Insight into regional services sector strength.
Richmond Fed Index โ Regional manufacturing pulse; can affect rate expectations.
Business Conditions โ Sentiment read, relevant for short-term economic momentum.
Eurozone
Consumer Confidence (April) โ A leading indicator for consumer spending.
Debt-to-GDP (2024) โ Helps assess fiscal sustainability/risk premium.
Canada
March Industrial Product Price Index & Raw Materials Price Index โ Key inflation inputs, may influence BoC policy outlook.
Central Bank Speakers (Potential Market Movers)
Fed
Jefferson, Kashkari, Harker โ Watch for any guidance on rate cuts/timing.
ECB
Knot speaks; ECBโs Survey of Professional Forecasters also out โ Insight into inflation/monetary policy expectations.
Earnings (Market Impact: High)
Big Names Reporting:
Tesla โ Retail/institutional focus; moves broad market + sentiment.
SAP โ Tech/enterprise software sector read.
GE, RTX, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman โ Defense/industrial tone-setters.
Verizon, Intuitive Surgical, Danaher, Chubb โ Broad sector coverage; healthcare, telecom, insurance.
Elevance Health, MSCI, Moody's, Equifax โ Key reads on health insurers, financials, and credit conditions.
Enphase Energy, EQT, Baker Hughes โ Energy sector sentiment, especially in renewables/oil services.
US Treasury Auctions
2-Year Note Auction โ Short-end yield focus; critical for curve shape and rate expectations.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25
SUMMARY
- Weekly order block
- Daily order block
- Price action bullish in current point of interest.
REQUIREMNTS
- Setup A) Substantial 15' break of structure, creating 15' order block to short from on the pull back.
- Setup C) Lower time frame break of structure without initial 15' break of structure.
- Candle stick formation confluences.
FRGNT X
IG - JCFRGNT
EUR/USD โ 15D Chart Breakdown๐ EUR/USD โ 15D Chart Breakdown
Let me be clearโthis isn't a guess. This is structure.
After tapping into the 1.017 level (Fibonacci base), price made a clean reversal, printed a solid bullish candle, and has now closed above the 1.127 zone.
๐ I'm now watching: โข Fibonacci Extension 1.618 (1.1850)
โข Then the previous high at 1.2349
โข With the 2.618 at 1.2882 if the momentum keeps pushing
๐ก I donโt react to noise.
I focus on zone behavior, candle reaction, and overall trend maturity.
This isnโt about being rightโitโs about staying aligned with the market narrative.
๐ง Patience > Prediction
๐
15D candles donโt lieโretail panic does.
EUR/USD SHORT POSITIONDuring a market turnover the market usually retest or fills left over market gaps or imbalances before continuation. This would be a perfect time for EUR Buyers to get washed out before market decides to continue to the upside. This also would close the losing positions of the market makers shorts against the retail Investors and they would get better buy order before continuation of Q2 books for EUR/USD positions.
Yen surges to five-month high as US dollar under pressureThe Japanese yen came flying out of the gates on Monday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 141.00, down 0.79%. Earlier the yen strengthened to 140.47, its strongest level since Sep. 2024.
The US dollar has posted losses against the major currencies on Monday, including against the yen. Investors gave the US dollar a thumbs down after President Trump's top economic advisor said that Trump was considering the dismissal of Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Trump has been increasingly critical of Powell for not lowering interest rates and said last week that "Powell's termination cannot come fast enough". Trump fired his latest salvo after Powell said that US tariffs would raise inflation and that the Fed could find itself having to balance keeping a lid on inflation and supporting economic growth. Powell added that tariffs are "likely to move us further away from our goals".
Powell has insisted that he isn't going anywhere and will serve until the end of his term in May 2026. Can Trump legally fire Powell? That is a complicated legal question, but the markets aren't waiting for an answer and the US dollar has retreated.
Trump's attacks on Powell threaten the independence of the US central bank and is eroding confidence in the US dollar. The dollar is also under pressure from Trump's tariff policy, which has dampened the confidence of foreign investors.
USD/JPY has pushed below support at 141.16. Below, there is support at 140.14.
There is resistance at 142.62 and 143.64
CHECK EURUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends ๐๐ผ
EURJPY trading signals technical analysis satup๐๐ผ
I think now EURUSD ready for SELL trade EURUSD SEEL zone
( TRADE SATUP) ๐๐ผ
ENTER POINT (1.15200)to (1.15150) ๐
First tp (1.15000)๐
2nd tp (1.14850)๐
Last target (1.14700) ๐
stop loss (1.15400)โ
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
EURUSD 21 ABRIL 2025This could be the potential move for EURUSD that Iโd be expecting for the week, based on the outlook of a continued weaker dollar.
Trumpโs clear intention is to weaken the economy, and with a higher likelihood of interest rate cuts, this could increase the value of other assets relative to the dollar.
remorse accurate entry from N Z G P YSeems like a higher time frame like 4 hours time frame the press has come and you purchased on Tibonacci level so the continuation of sale of opportunity is confirmed due to recession due to the retracement top of liquidity and lower tank from like 15 minutes I guess yes 10 ZGPY would be saving continuous saving
EUR/USD โ Pullback Entry After Weekly Breakout๐ง Macro View
LEI rising steadily: 71.5 โ 81.15
Endogenous strength improving each month
Exo+LEI composite score: 498.65 โ one of the strongest major FX models
USD: Fundamentally weak with dovish Fed, neutral COT
๐
Seasonality
๐ EUR Index bullish throughout April
๐ USD Index bearish all month
๐ฅ EUR/USD seasonality = strong long bias into April 30
๐ Technical Setup (4H Chart)
Price has broken weekly resistance โ now acting as turncoat support
Expecting pullback to 0.382 Fib level (~1.1462) before continuation
Structure + macro + seasonality aligned for high-conviction long
๐ฅ Entry: 1.1462 (Fib 0.382 retracement zone)
โ Stop Loss: Below (1.12424)
๐ฏ Take Profit: Retest high or 1.1583 and beyond (extension optional)
๐งฎ R:R โ 1:2.2+
USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W17 D22 Y25USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W17 D22 Y25
Summary
- Weekly order block
- Daily order block
- Price is currently bearish
Requirements
- Wait for a comprehensive bullish turn around in price action
- 15' break of structure
USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W17 D22 Y25
FRGNT X
IG - JCFRGNT
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market Heist Plan Bearish (Swing/Day)๐Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!๐
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Based on ๐ฅThief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis๐ฅ, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. ๐๐ธ"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!๐ช๐๐
Entry ๐ : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level for Pullback Entries.
Stop Loss ๐:
๐Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (1.81400) Day/Swing trade basis.
๐SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target ๐ฏ: 1.79300 (or) Escape Before the Target
๐ฐ๐ต๐ธUSD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.๐๐๐
๐ฐ๐๏ธGet & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets with Overall outlook score... go ahead to check ๐๐๐๐๐
โ ๏ธTrading Alert : News Releases and Position Management ๐ฐ ๐๏ธ ๐ซ๐
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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AUDNZD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the AUDNZD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0683
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.0733
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
โโโโโโโโโโโ
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURCHF Buy from Key Demand Zone โ Recession Fears Cloud UpsideEURCHF has bounced sharply from a long-standing demand zone around 0.9200โ0.9260, forming a potential double bottom. Price action suggests a bullish correction is underway, with upside targets at:
๐ฏ TP1: 0.9352
๐ฏ TP2: 0.9409
๐ฏ TP3: 0.9499
๐จ Invalidation Zone: Below 0.9200
The strong rejection from this support zone, combined with bullish structure building, signals the potential for a sustained recovery โ if sentiment allows.
๐ง Fundamental Overview:
๐บ Eurozone PMI & Trade Data โ Mixed Signals
French & German Flash Manufacturing PMIs remain under 50, indicating contraction
German Flash Services PMI (50.3) shows marginal expansion
Eurozone Trade Balance: 14.9B, slightly below expectations
โ ๏ธ These results suggest slow economic recovery and limited growth momentum in the euro area.
๐ฃ๏ธ ECB Comments โ Market Confidence Hit
ECB's Kazaks:
โTariff war is adding economic risksโ
โEuro area recession probability is risingโ
These statements added to market caution, triggering euro weakness on concerns of slowing growth and potential ECB dovishness if downside risks worsen.
๐ก CHF Context:
Safe-haven flows remain strong due to global uncertainty
However, CHF strength may be capped by Swiss low inflation and potential SNB interventions if EURCHF stays too low
๐ EURCHF Outlook: Bullish Rebound with Caution
Technical view favors bullish retracement toward resistance zones
Fundamentals are weak, but the deeply discounted EURCHF pair could see short-term recovery before facing macro resistance
Recession and tariff war fears could keep upside limited or choppy
๐ Strategy Summary:
Buy Bias above 0.9260
Targets:
TP1: 0.9352
TP2: 0.9409
TP3: 0.9499
SL: Below 0.9200 (daily close)