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NZDCHF Reversal Builds as Trade Data Surprises Bulls Eye 0.5078NZDCHF has formed a clear inverse head & shoulders pattern on the 4H chart, with price currently hovering above the neckline at 0.4840. The technical breakout remains valid, with bullish targets at: TP1: 0.4993 TP2: 0.5078 SL: Below 0.4740 🧠 Fundamental Update – NZ Trade Balance (Apr 21): Latest Data: Actual: +80M Forecast: +510M Previous: +510M ✅ Still positive, but below expectations ⚠️ Weaker-than-expected trade surplus may weigh on NZD short-term Combined With Recent CPI Data (Apr 16): Inflation rose to 2.5% YoY, higher than forecast but still within the RBNZ's target band Most price pressures are seen as temporary (fuel, education) RBNZ cut OCR to 3.5% in April and has left the door open to further cuts Markets still fully price in a rate cut on May 28, with a projected floor of 2.75% by October 🌏 Global Context: Trade tensions and slowing global growth (esp. from U.S. tariff risk) are driving demand for safe havens like CHF ANZ economists have revised forecasts for additional RBNZ easing to 2.5%, citing weak global sentiment 🧭 Interpretation for NZDCHF: Short-term: ✅ Positive technical structure ✅ Net trade surplus supports slight NZD demand ⚠️ Trade miss and dovish RBNZ tone keep bullish momentum cautious Medium-term: ⚠️ Macro headwinds + expected RBNZ cut may limit upside ⚠️ Potential pullbacks if rate-cut sentiment strengthens into May 💡 Final Trade Strategy: Bullish bias valid above 0.4840, but watch for volatility Profit-taking recommended at 0.4993 Be cautious near 0.5078, especially before the May 28 RBNZ meeting A close below 0.4740 would invalidate the bullish setup
Long
by ultreosforex
CHFJPY: Back to the Trend?! 🇨🇭🇯🇵 CHFJPY looks bullish after a test of a key daily horizontal support. It looks like the correction that we currently see on intraday time frames is over. As a confirmation, I see a bullish breakout of a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on an hourly time frame. Goal - 175.62 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
NZD/USD Want To Give Us Third Entry To Get Extra 250 Pips !Id you check the chart you will see that i mentioned 2 places to buy this pair , and the price moving great , now we have a new place to can add one more buy entry with extra 250 pips target , it was a good res and now it will work as a great support , so we will wait he price to go back to check it and give us any good bullish P.A And then we can enter a buy trade with 250 pips target , and first 2 entries book a good profits from it and risk with 20% from your profits in the new entry . This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Long
by FX_Elite_Club
GBPNZD At a important pointAccording to the GBPNZD situation it's a important price. because : 1. The waves shows that the slop of bearish legs is increasing and the time of bullish legs is increasing too. these two contradict each other. 2. we have a bullish trend line and a support level (2.20911 -2.21792) at the daily timeframe that price can revers there. 3. also we had a strong bearish movement. and above price is a resistance level (2.23268) too. these all shows that we should have two scenarios : 1. after a good candlestick on the support level (2.20911 -2.21792) and trendline and break the resistance level (2.23268) in daily or 4H timeframe we can buy. 2. after breaking the support level (2.20911 -2.21792) and the trendline with a strong bearish candle at daily or 4H timeframe we can sell. the targets of both scenarios is evident. after the scenarios happen i will update the analysis. It's just my personal analysis and I have no responsibility for your trades. thanks for your attention.
by Arco-ir
2
EURJPY --- bullish or bearish detailed analysis EURJPY is currently offering a high-conviction long opportunity as the pair completes a classic falling wedge breakout pattern on the daily timeframe. Price is now trading around 162.45 and has just broken out of a well-defined descending trendline, validating the bullish momentum shift. With the recent higher low formation and the wedge breakout confirming bullish market structure, the next leg toward the 167.36 zone is on the table, aligning with a clean resistance level and historical price reaction zone. Fundamentally, the Euro is underpinned by the ECB’s cautious stance on rate cuts, as inflation in the Eurozone remains above the 2% target. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen continues to weaken amid growing divergence between the Bank of Japan’s ultra-loose monetary policy and other global central banks maintaining relatively tight conditions. BoJ’s reluctance to tighten, combined with consistent intervention threats, hasn’t been enough to halt the Yen’s decline, making EURJPY an attractive long in the current macro backdrop. Technicals align perfectly here—after a solid rally from the wedge bottom, EURJPY consolidated in a descending channel and has now broken out for a second time, repeating a bullish continuation pattern. The structure remains clean with clear invalidation below 161.26, offering a strong reward-to-risk ratio on continuation toward 167+. The multiple confluences of trendline breakouts, bullish market structure, and macro divergence make this a premium swing setup. Highly searched keywords like “EURJPY breakout,” “falling wedge pattern,” and “JPY weakness” will drive additional traffic to this idea. With both price action and fundamentals in sync, this trade idea is structured to maximize upside potential while keeping risk controlled. A clean, strategic long setup that reflects disciplined execution and market awareness.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2
EURUSD I Monday CLS I KL - FVG, Target - PWHHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. 📍 Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions. ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Long
by David_Perk
21
Bullish Pennant Confirms Breakout: Momentum Builds Toward 1.19The pair has formed a textbook bullish pennant on the 4-hour timeframe following a sharp impulsive move upward. Price action consolidated within a narrowing triangle, signaling accumulation before the next leg higher. The breakout above the pennant’s resistance suggests continuation of the uptrend, with projected Fibonacci targets at: 1.1781 (1.272 extension) 1.1940 (1.414 extension) Volume behavior confirms the pattern: declining during the consolidation phase and increasing at the breakout, supporting a strong bullish bias. Fundamental backdrop: -The US Dollar faces pressure as markets increasingly price in a potential Fed rate cut in the second half of 2025. -The ECB maintains a more hawkish stance, reinforcing euro strength relative to USD. -Eurozone economic data shows signs of inflation stabilization, while US CPI readings remain mixed. -Capital rotation favors major currencies with resilient monetary policies and macroeconomic stability. As long as EUR/USD holds above 1.1476, the bullish scenario remains intact. A move toward 1.1781 and 1.1940 appears likely. A breakdown below 1.1237 would invalidate the pennant and shift momentum toward support retests.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 140.84 1st Support: 137.22 1st Resistance: 144.98 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
2
EURCAD Short 4/21/2025EUR/CAD Short Setup – Stop Run and Weekly Reversal in Play We started the week with a burst of bullish activity on EUR/CAD — but it’s looking more like a liquidity grab than genuine strength. Sunday Open: Within 12 hours of the weekly open (during thin liquidity), price broke last week’s high — a level that held all of last week — hinting at a possible engineered stop run. Backdrop: The ECB’s 25bps rate cut last Thursday (April 17) continues to pressure the euro fundamentally. This morning's move likely reflects faux volume aimed at clearing out late sellers before a reversal. Session Structure: Asia: Extended the highs slightly. London: Delivered a sharp drive up, breaking the weekly high mid-session — likely the final liquidity tap before reversing. Now: London has closed. We’re heading into New York with momentum slowing and key reversal patterns forming. Technical Confluence: 15-Min Chart: Clear double top. 1H Chart: Inside bar fakeout forming — breakout failed, candle about to close bearish. These formations align with a classic market maker reversal model following a stop raid. Bias: Bearish. Targeting a move down to 1.53319 — a clean demand zone and structural target. Stops above 1.6000 would be ideal for institutions to aim at, but I don’t believe we’ll reach that high. The signs of exhaustion are already visible. Macro View: With euro weakness post-ECB and potential dollar strength building this week (especially with Trump pressuring global trade again), this may be the start of a decisive trend move to the downside. Let’s see how New York handles this. If momentum confirms, we may be at the very beginning of a significant shift.
Short
by Big6Financial
EUR/USD Maintains Bullish Structure 5th Wave Extension UnderwayThe overall trend of EUR/USD appears upward when observed from a higher time frame, indicating that the 4th wave has completed and the 5th wave is in formation. Within the main 5th wave, sub-waves are developing, and it seems we are currently in the sub-wave of the 5th sub-wave. Once this sub-wave completes, the main 5th wave is also expected to complete. The invalidation level for this structure is at 1.10920 . If the upward move continues as expected, potential targets could be seen around 1.14683  and  1.15894
by Money_Dictators
2