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15min TF overview
Trade Overview: AUDUSD Long Position
Entry Price: 0.63525
Profit Target: 0.63907 (+0.60%)
Stop Loss: 0.63439 (–0.14%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 4.44
🕕 Entry Time: 6:18 PM (NY Time)
📅 Date: Thursday, 17th April 2025
🌎 Session: New York PM
🧭 Structure: 1-Hour TF
⏱ Entry: 5-Minute TF
Trade Reasoning
HTF Context (1h Structure):
AUDUSD maintained a bullish 1-hour market structure, with consistently higher lows and a clean internal BOS (Break of Structure). Price had retraced into a previously defined demand zone, setting the stage for a continuation move.
Forex market
Still bullish on the upward trend, the latest trading strategy.Today, due to the recovery of the U.S. dollar to some extent, there has been a certain pullback in the GBP/USD exchange rate. (👉signals👉)
Recently, the U.S. economic data has been performing poorly, and the U.S. dollar remains under pressure. The overall trend is still bullish. One can consider going long on dips near the support level.
Trading Strategy:
buy@1.33200-1.33500
TP:1.34000-1.34500
The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
👇 signals👇
USDJPY Technical & Order Flow Analysis (Swing Trading)Our analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view, the price will rise to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a like or comment!
GBP Potential buy (Keep it simple)So I'm seeing a potential shift for buys. Price is having a hard time breaking a resistance area. With liquidity, this gives the big money a sling shot before taking off with an impulsive move.
Don't get greedy! Make sure you perfect your entries with a simple method...Supply & Demand, but stay patient with price breaking structure on smaller time frames to give you a great entry.
Happy Trading!!
EURUSD Technical & Order Flow Analysis (Swing Trading)Our analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view, the price will rise to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a like or comment!
Bearish drop?EUR/NZD has rejected off the pivot and could drop tothe 1st support.
Pivot: 1.92325
1st Support: 1.88101
1st Resistance: 1.93451
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/USD Bearish Setup Unfolding Below Key Resistance📊 Technical Analysis of EUR/USD (4H Chart)
🧭 Chart Overview:
Current Price: ~1.1350
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red): ~1.1311 — acting as dynamic support.
EMA 200 (Blue): ~1.1114 — aligns closely with major support zone.
📌 Key Levels:
🔼 Main Resistance Zone: 1.1375 – 1.1400
Price has tested this zone multiple times, forming a potential double top pattern.
Strong bearish pressure observed each time price enters this area.
🔁 Minor Resistance (Retest Zone): ~1.1325 – 1.1345
Currently acting as a decision zone.
If price fails to hold above this level, it could turn into resistance on the next bearish leg.
🔽 Support Zone: 1.1100 – 1.1130
Converges with EMA 200 — making it a high-probability demand zone.
Potential target for the anticipated drop.
🧠 Price Action & Structure:
Market showed a strong bullish rally previously, breaking through resistance levels.
Now showing signs of exhaustion at the top.
Bearish scenario projected with a lower high forming below the main resistance, followed by a sell-off toward the support zone.
⚙️ Possible Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
Price rejects the minor resistance → breaks below EMA 50 → continues lower to support.
Target: 1.1110 area.
Bullish Scenario (Low Probability):
Price reclaims and closes above 1.1375 with strong momentum.
Potential breakout and continuation toward 1.1450+.
🧩 Confluences Supporting Bearish Bias:
Lower high formation potential.
EMA 50 starting to flatten.
Failure to maintain momentum above main resistance.
Clean drop path toward 1.1110 if support breaks.
📉 Conclusion:
This setup favors short-term bearish movement, particularly if the price rejects around the 1.1345 level again. A breakdown below the minor resistance zone would likely trigger a sell-off toward the 1.1110 support, in line with the 200 EMA.
Head and Shoulders The price has formed a head and shoulders pattern and looks to go bearish, we are waiting for the breakout then a pullback and we go short. While posting this am currently in a GBPJPY and AUDJPY trade, check it out. This pair is very stubborn today, LOL!!!
WE ONLY TRADE PULLBACKS
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Bullish bounce?USD/ZAR is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 18.42633
1st Support: 18.12402
1st Resistance: 18.77859
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/MXN Continues to Fall Below the 20 Pesos per Dollar LevelOver the past five trading sessions, the USD/MXN pair has declined by more than 2%, as the Mexican peso continues to gain ground against the U.S. dollar. This bullish trend in the peso is partly driven by the ongoing weakness in the U.S. dollar, as reflected in the DXY index, which has fallen to 99 points, its lowest level in the past year.
The dollar’s weakness stems from the growing political and economic uncertainty generated by the global trade war, triggering a broad wave of dollar selling as capital exits the U.S. If this trend continues, the Mexican peso could maintain its bullish momentum in the short term.
Lateral Range Breakout
Since November 2024, USD/MXN had been trading within a sideways range, with resistance at 20.94 pesos per dollar and support at 20.00. In recent sessions, bearish pressure broke through this support, and as selling momentum builds, this could mark the start of a more meaningful downtrend.
MACD
The MACD histogram remains below the neutral zero line, indicating strong bearish momentum based on recent moving average trends. If the histogram continues to show deeper negative values, selling pressure could intensify further in the short term.
RSI
Currently, lower lows in price and higher lows in the RSI suggest the presence of a bullish divergence—an imbalance in recent selling momentum. This could create an opportunity for short-term bullish corrections to emerge.
Key Levels to Watch:
20.33 pesos per dollar: A key resistance level, aligned with the 100-period moving average. A return to this area could reactivate the previous range.
20.00 pesos per dollar: Another important resistance, now acting as a potential retest zone after previously serving as support. This could be a target for short-term pullbacks.
19.33 pesos per dollar: A significant support level, aligned with the neutral zone from September 2024. A move toward this level could reinforce the consolidation of a consistent bearish trend in upcoming sessions.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Watch This Wedge! AUDNZD Primed for Upside PushThe AUDNZD pair forms a falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal formation that typically occurs after a downtrend. The price action is being squeezed between a descending resistance line and a descending support line, creating a narrowing range. The market is now attempting to break out of the wedge, with the current price testing the resistance line. A breakout and close above this trendline would signal bullish strength and could lead to a reversal of the recent downtrend.
Targets:
TP1: 1.07605
TP2: 1.07922
Stop Loss: Below the recent low at 1.06542
NZD-USD Potential Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is making
A local bearish correction
Towards the horizontal support
Level of 0.5912 and after the
Retest we will be expecting
A bullish rebound
Buy!
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Trump back off and so does the EUROWith the recent news of Trump backing off of Tariff enforcement and his decision to not fire the FED chair, the the EURO waterfalls back down fast as the bears takeover! I'm holding off until I can find reliable support and looking at a price target around 1.26'ish.
Dollar bounces back after Euro and Yen hit key levels | FX ReseaTrading conditions are getting back to fuller form following the Easter break. After taking another big beating in the holiday-thin trade, we're finally seeing some profit-taking on US dollar shorts from shorter-term accounts. We haven’t seen the euro above 1.15 or dollar-yen below 140 for some time, which could be adding to the excuse for some mild profit-taking. It's also possible the buck is feeling a little better with US equity futures pointing up. After all the recent narrative has been selling everything US, so a bounce in stocks could very well be helping the dollar to recover.
A Japanese Ministry of Finance survey revealed President Trump’s tariffs are already hurting about 10% of Japanese firms, with auto companies reporting cancelled orders and reduced factory hours. Tourism businesses are also fearing a stronger yen could deter visitors.
Meanwhile, Trump has continued to pressure the Federal Reserve, warning of an economic slowdown unless interest rates are cut immediately. In Germany, the government downgraded its 2025 economic outlook to stagnation from a prior 0.3% growth forecast. In the UK, BOE’s Green noted a weaker dollar could ease UK inflation but expressed concern over rising inflation expectations.
Looking ahead, we get a round of Fed speakers including Jefferson, Harker, Kashkari, Barkin, and Cougler, who are all likely to defend Fed Chair Powell and stress the Fed’s independence.
NZDJPY to find sellers at current resistance?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bearish.
The rally is close to a correction count on the daily chart.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 84.90.
We look to Sell at 84.90 (stop at 85.55)
Our profit targets will be 82.30 and 82.00
Resistance: 84.75 / 85.50 / 85.75
Support: 84.00 / 83.25 / 82.25
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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CAD_CHF LOCAL SHORT|
✅CAD_CHF made a nice
Bullish move up from the lows
But the pair is about to retest
A horizontal resistance level
Of 0.5952 from where we
Will be expecting a local
Bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP-NZD Swing Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-NZD made a bullish
Rebound from the rising
Support line so we are
Bullish biased and we
Will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
New Pair under my belt, GBPJPY! Let's see how this goes.. I have been closely monitoring GBP/JPY, currently trading around 188.775. The pair has been hovering near resistance, and multiple technical indicators suggest momentum is weakening. My focus is on institutional absorption near 188.75–189.00, where price has struggled to break higher.
Examining price action, I see rejection wicks forming near resistance, confirming potential sell-side control. MACD divergence on the hourly timeframe indicates slowing momentum, and RSI is hovering around 54.69, reflecting a neutral stance rather than strong bullish continuation. ADX at 18.83 suggests the trend is weak, meaning price could be consolidating before a directional move.
Support sits near 187.50–188.00, where price has previously shown demand. If institutions absorb sell orders here, a long position toward 189.00 may develop. However, if price fails to hold above 188.75, a short trade targeting 187.50 aligns with institutional rejection patterns. With volume showing signs of clustering near resistance, the probability of a pullback is increasing.
At this point, I am watching how price reacts near key liquidity zones. If sellers continue defending 188.75, I will wait for bearish confirmation before executing a short trade. Alternatively, if price holds above 188.50 with bullish volume, I will reassess my bias for a potential breakout toward 189.50. Managing risk effectively and waiting for clear signals will be the key to executing the best trade setup.
AUDUSD Wave Analysis – 22 April 2025
- AUDUSD reversed from the key resistance level 0.6400
- Likely to fall to support level 0.6300
AUDUSD currency pair recently reversed from the resistance area between the key resistance level 0.6400 (former major support from 2024) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from September.
The downward reversal from this resistance area is likely to form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Bearish Engulfing.
Given the overbought daily Stochastic and the strength of the key resistance level 0.6400, AUDUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.6300.
GBPUSD Analysis 4/22 4:51pmGBP/USD Analysis – Institutional Liquidity, Price Action & Trade Setup
Right now, I'm analyzing GBP/USD at 1.33287 in the context of institutional behavior, technical indicators, and upcoming economic events. My focus is on institutional liquidity absorption at resistance, monitoring key levels for an optimal entry.
Technical Overview
Resistance Zone: 1.33895–1.34234 has been a critical level where price struggled to break higher, suggesting institutional absorption.
Support Zone: 1.33200–1.33150 remains an area where buyers could step in, but if it fails, the next downside target is 1.32677–1.32864.
Momentum Indicators: RSI (66.15 on the hourly) signals strong momentum, but MACD shows slight bearish divergence, hinting at trend exhaustion.
ADX Strength: The 30-minute ADX at 73.43 confirms trend momentum, but the hourly ADX at 17.12 indicates slowing movement, signaling potential institutional positioning.
Price Action Insights
Lower Highs Forming: Each successive high has been failing, reinforcing the idea that sellers are stepping in at resistance.
Liquidity Absorption at 1.33895–1.34234: Institutional players might be taking the other side of buy orders, meaning a trap for retail longs before a drop.
Bearish Rejection at 1.33450–1.33600: If price pulls back to this zone and prints a long upper wick, it confirms sell-side control.
Volume Profile & Institutional Activity
Volume Clustering at Resistance: Previous highs show volume absorption rather than continuation, reinforcing a bearish bias.
Delta Imbalance Considerations: Watching sell-side aggression near key levels to confirm institutional pressure.
Accumulation/Distribution Patterns: Weekly AD is negative, indicating some distribution rather than accumulation.
This approach ensures I'm trading with institutional positioning rather than chasing price movements. I remain patient, watching key zones for liquidity absorption before executing.
Liquidity drag, potential upsideA very slow and surprising Tuesday given easter break is finished. Liquidity was flowing through from Monday up until the close. Today we have seen a very slow climb to the downside - not much of a reaction from our recent political news with Trump & the Jerome Powells thoughts on cutting rates.
Personal opinion - markets were very reactionary on the tarrifs. There is some consensus for bad news to come out in the UK which are labelled "high importance" - price action could be factoring in this for today, however, we must consider the fact of how slow bears did today technically both in European & US markets sessions.
Swing to the upside & knock off to knock off 1.34 before anything further. However, we can still see a potential short term continuation to the mid 50s in 1.32 , where I will slowly take away positions.
No stop loss, swing trade, opened positions ranging from 1.3345-1.3375 areas. Just wanted to share an idea in the midst of now of a good speculative entry.