CADCHF 4HThis CADCHF 4H chart shows a clear market structure shift (MSS) from bearish to bullish, confirming a possible trend reversal. Price has broken structure to the upside and is now pulling back into a bullish order block zone.
What’s likely to happen:
- Price is expected to retest one of the order blocks (preferably the second/lower one) before continuing upward.
- The green zone marks the potential take profit or target area.
What to do next:
1. Wait for a bullish reaction from one of the order blocks — like a bullish engulfing candle or a strong rejection wick.
2. Once confirmed, enter a buy trade with SL below the order block and TP around the top of the green zone.
3. Manage your risk wisely — don’t rush the entry. Wait for confirmation.
This setup is clean and shows smart money interest. Let the market come to your zone. Patience = precision.
Forex market
Straight forward EUR/GBP buy set up.EUR/GBP has been in a large decline against the recent trend and looks to be in some sort of leading diagonal pattern.
Major Fib 38.2% comes in at 0.86008 so buy slightly below but above lower trend line with profit risk of 1:2.5
Buy 0.8597
Stop 0.85744
Profit 0.86535 or more depending on strength.
The Day AheadThursday July 31 - Market Summary
United States:
June personal income rose by 0.2 percent.
June personal spending increased by 0.3 percent.
Core PCE inflation was up 0.2 percent, showing steady disinflation.
The Federal Reserve is likely to stay cautious; no immediate rate cuts expected.
Japan:
The Bank of Japan kept its interest rate at 0.5 percent.
Policymakers signaled possible rate hikes later this year if inflation remains strong.
The yen strengthened, and Japanese equities posted small gains.
China:
Official July PMIs remained weak, with manufacturing below the 50 threshold.
Signals continued sluggish growth momentum.
United Kingdom:
The Lloyds Business Barometer showed slightly improved sentiment in July.
Eurozone:
July inflation figures and June unemployment rate due later today.
Markets watching for signs of inflation persistence or labor market softness.
Canada:
May GDP expected today, with modest economic growth forecast.
Market Implications:
US dollar remains firm due to strong data and delayed Fed rate cut expectations.
Japanese yen is stronger on expectations of further tightening by the Bank of Japan.
US equities are supported by strong earnings and soft inflation trends.
Bond markets are stable with little movement in yields.
Commodities face downward pressure due to weak Chinese data.
Key data to watch today includes US jobless claims, Chicago PMI, Eurozone inflation, and Canadian GDP.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDJPY 4H Analysis : Curve Breakout & Retest Completed + Bullish"Momentum Building Above Retested Demand – Will Bulls Take Control?"
📊 Market Structure Overview:
USDJPY has shown a clean bullish structure in recent sessions, supported by a strong demand retest and a steady parabolic curve formation (Black Mind Curve Line). The pair has successfully broken above a major resistance, retested it, and is now holding higher ground—suggesting potential for continued upside if current structure holds.
🧱 Detailed Technical Breakdown:
🔹 1. Demand & Retesting Behavior
The chart highlights a key demand zone (green box) that was previously used after a bullish move.
Price recently returned to this zone for a clean retest, validating its role as a strong support.
This type of retesting behavior is critical in smart money analysis, confirming that accumulation has occurred and sellers have been absorbed.
🔹 2. Major Breakout Confirmation
The previous major structure level has been decisively broken to the upside.
This level now acts as support, increasing the probability that the bullish move will sustain.
🔹 3. Black Mind Curve Line (Parabolic Structure)
A parabolic curved trendline supports the current price action, showing how bulls are gradually gaining momentum.
This curve represents buyer interest increasing over time, which often leads to an aggressive breakout when paired with retest confirmation.
📍 Key Price Zones:
Type Price Level (Approx.) Description
🔹 Retesting Zone ~148.800 – 149.100 Support zone after major breakout
🔺 Resistance Target (1) ~150.500 Bullish breakout target (short-term)
🔻 Downside Risk (2) ~147.000 – 146.500 Bearish invalidation zone if demand fails
🔹 Full Supply Area ~145.000 – 145.500 Historical supply zone if price fails completely
🔮 Trade Scenarios:
✅ Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Primary Bias)
Retest is complete, and price is holding above the curve and demand zone.
If bullish momentum continues:
📈 Target 1: 150.50 – Near-term resistance and liquidity area
📈 Target 2: 151.20+ – Extension target if buyers dominate
Bullish Confirmation:
Price must stay above ~149.00 and continue forming higher highs.
Entry ideas: Wait for minor consolidation above current price or bullish breakout from mini range.
⚠️ Scenario 2 – Bearish Rejection
If price rejects from current level and breaks below the curve and demand zone (~148.80):
📉 First downside target: 147.00 (minor support)
📉 Final bearish target: 145.50 (full supply zone)
Bearish Confirmation:
Breakdown of curve support and close below the retesting zone with momentum.
Such a move would suggest buyers failed, and market may rotate lower.
🧠 Market Sentiment & Psychology:
Smart Money Behavior: Demand was filled cleanly and retested, indicating possible institutional interest at that level.
Momentum Curve: As shown by the black curve, momentum is rising gradually—this reflects confidence building among buyers.
However, price is near psychological resistance (150.00–150.50 zone), where heavy sell orders might be placed.
The market is in a decision zone, where confirmation of strength or failure will dictate the next 200–300 pip move.
🎯 Summary:
USDJPY is showing a bullish structure supported by:
A valid retest of demand
A clean breakout of major resistance
An ascending parabolic curve
If bulls defend the current zone, we may see a powerful continuation toward 150.50+. If price fails to hold above the retest zone, downside risks open toward 147.00 and potentially the full supply at 145.00.
📌 Trade Smart: Wait for price confirmation, manage risk with stop placement below the demand zone or structure lows, and avoid chasing the move.
Aussie H4 | Bearish reversal off pullback resistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is reacting off the sell entry, which acts as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop lower from this level.
Sell entry is at 0.6467, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.6525, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.6389, which is a swing low support that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDCHF H4 | Bearish reversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off the sell entry and could drop from this level towards the take profit.
Sell entry is at 0.8153. which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss is at 0.8243, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.8067, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EUR/GBP BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
EUR/GBP SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 0.863
Target Level: 0.872
Stop Loss: 0.857
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USD/JPY USD/JPY – Bullish Setup in Line with the Prevailing Trend
As the overall trend remains bullish, we are considering a potential long setup on USD/JPY. The structure suggests continued upside momentum, and we aim to close the trade by the end of the European session.
📍 Entry: 149.400
🎯 Target: 150.600
🛑 Stop-loss: 148.600
This idea aligns with current market direction and intraday trend strength. Traders should watch for supportive price action to confirm the move.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
USD/CAD potential leg up setuppotential setup. Trade Plan following Road Map:
-wait for pull back zone to enter.
-pull trigger on reversal signal. monitor declining volume as confirmation- "a spike in volume for pull back ending
-target 1 zone - 1.40 area. SL lock in +/- 50% of gains at key areas of structure on 15 minute chart.
-target 2 zone - on route to T2Z use 14 ema and 34 ema as trend continuation on 5 minute and 15 minute chart - key structure: SL zone
AUDUSD - Sell Setup market is in bear trend with a series of LH and LL. currently market has retraced to a fib level of 0.5% which and continuing bear trend. there is no divergence and market is making a bearish channel with a bearish flag pattern intact.
we instantly enter into the market with our SL level above last LH and TPs as projected.
USD/CHF BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on USD/CHF, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 0.804.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
EURUSD REACHED THE TARGET.EURUSD REACHED THE TARGET.
EURUSD has reached the 1.14500 level and even broke it down. Currently the price consolidates slightly below this level. If the price forms a false breakout of 1.14500 level, this will mean the end of short-term decline in the pair. Stay cautious.
EURNZD Short Day Trade OANDA:EURNZD Short Day Trade - Low Risk, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
NZDCHF Long Trade OANDA:NZDCHF Long Day Trade - Low Risk, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
GBP/USD Forms Head and Shoulders Pattern in 4H Timeframe ChartGBP/USD Forms Head and Shoulders Pattern - Bearish Breakdown Expected
The GBP/USD currency pair has developed a clear Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern on the 4-hour chart, signaling potential weakness ahead. This technical formation - characterized by a central peak (head) flanked by two lower highs (shoulders) - suggests the recent uptrend may be exhausting as sellers gain control.
Current Market Structure
Price action remains confined within a bearish framework, making consistent lower highs and lower lows since failing at the pattern's right shoulder. The pair now tests critical support near the neckline of the H&S formation. A confirmed break below this level would validate the pattern and likely accelerate downward momentum.
Key Levels to Watch
- Downside Target: 1.28800 emerges as the next major support if bearish momentum sustains
- Resistance Zone: The 1.37900 level now acts as formidable overhead resistance
- Neckline Break: A daily close below current support would confirm the H&S pattern
Trading Implications
The technical setup favors:
1) Maintaining short positions while price holds below the right shoulder high
2) Watching for increased volume on breakdown moves to confirm bearish conviction
3) Considering long positions only if buyers reclaim 1.37900 resistance
Risk Factors
Traders should monitor:
- UK inflation data and BoE policy signals
- Fed interest rate expectations
- General USD strength across currency markets
This pattern projects approximately 900 pips of potential downside if fully realized. However, traders should wait for confirmed breakout momentum rather than anticipating the move, as false breakdowns remain possible in current market conditions. Proper position sizing and stop-loss placement above recent swing highs remains essential for risk management.
AUD/USDAUD/USD – Possible Correction Scenario Based on Volume Analysis
This idea presents a potential correction in AUD/USD, based on recent volume behavior suggesting a shift in market sentiment.
Following a strong move, volume has started to decline near the recent lows, hinting at possible seller exhaustion. This may open the path for a short-term bullish correction toward higher value areas.
📍 Entry: 0.64681
🎯 Target: 0.65050
🛑 Stop-loss: 0.64428
This is a possible scenario, not a guaranteed outcome. Always monitor price action and volume for confirmation.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
Ask ChatGPT
GBP/USD Long SetupGBP/USD Long Setup
Hello traders,
On the 1-hour chart, we’ve observed a strong bullish candle formation, indicating potential for further upside movement. Based on this setup:
Entry: 1.33650
Stop-Loss: 1.33500
Take-Profit: 1.33880
Exit Plan: We plan to close the trade by the end of the European session.
Trade safely and manage your risk accordingly!
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own analysis before entering any trades. Trading involves risk, and you should never risk more than you can afford to lose.
GU 01/08Looking at this current H4 leg trending down, we have levels of H4 supply to come test with some gaps that need filled. We have high impact news incoming, my trading ideas are to follow what I see, we have a H4 demand level from the left which has deeper levels of daily demand with draws of liquidity in the form of lows and equal lows.
My idea is that we clear our H4 imbalance gaps resting within H4 supply and below, hopefully mitigating supply in order to look for continuation shorts into lower demand levels.