GBP/JPY BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go long on GBP/JPY right now from the support line below with the target of 198.556 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general uptrend on the previous 1W candle and the oversold situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the lower BB band.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.17309 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.17241..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USD/CHF Weakness Alert: Retail Bulls vs. Smart Money FlowHere’s the latest aggregated data on the pair:
📊 4 out of 5 indicators suggest potential for further downside.
Sentiment - Bearish!
A quick note on sentiment in the table:
✅ It’s structured hierarchically — from the broadest view (COT reports) to specific entry points (algorithmic setups).
So, Retail traders are massively long USD/CHF — over 80% still buying , expecting strength.
But here’s the problem: the options flow tells a different story .
Looking at recent data from CME , we’re seeing fresh calls buying and growing open interest at key strikes upper current Swiss futures price — a sign that option traders are preparing for strong CHF
💡 Use this data in your trading OR quick check for market conditions at glance!
🎯 No Valuable Data, No Edge!
EURGBP Uptrend continuation breakout?The EURGBP remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 0.8600 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 0.8600 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
0.8670 – initial resistance
0.8700 – psychological and structural level
0.8720 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 0.8600 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
0.8590 – minor support
0.8570 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the EURGBP holds above 0.8600. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Will USDCHF go down?!!Hello traders, this is a trade that I have been scoping for a while but the week is about to close.
as you can see this is a clear downtrend.
You can clearly see a pullback in a form of a triangle.
A clear divergence.
You can either sell now or try to sell below the pivot point.
Thursday July 10th – EURUSDEURUSD didn’t give us any trade setups yesterday and is still respecting the short-term bearish trendline. Price has remained below 1.17500, acting as resistance, and hasn’t given confirmation for buys.
We’re still watching the same key zones:
✅ Safe buys: Above 1.17500 if we get a solid break and bullish close.
✅ HRHR buys: Retest of 1.16898 (Wednesday's low) showing rejection or support.
Until either of those levels are tapped, I’m not taking trades on this pair. Current structure still offers no low-risk opportunities. Let it come to us.
USDCAD – July 10 OutlookUSDCAD’s high-risk, high-reward (HRHR) sells from Wednesday are still in play with price currently up 35 pips. Price action remains within the structure as we continue to respect the March trendline, but are now stalling in a tight 4H range.
📍 Key Observations:
1.36647 is acting as strong intraday support
Possible retest of yesterday’s or Wednesday’s high could provide another HRHR sell opportunity
Break below 1.36527 could open the door for a clean 70-pip move toward 1.35827
🔔 Summary: Patience is essential—watching for either another short-term rejection at resistance or a clean structural break to continue the broader bearish bias.
USDJPY Analysis : Bearish Setup from Reversal Zone + Target⚠️ Overview:
The USDJPY 4H chart reveals a smart money-driven bearish setup, unfolding precisely from a major Reversal Zone, which aligns with a key supply area. Price action is now offering high-probability short trade opportunities, supported by structural breaks, clear CHoCHs (Change of Character), and BOS (Breaks of Structure).
🔎 Detailed Technical Breakdown:
🔹 Bearish Pattern + Channel Formation:
The pair formed a bearish price pattern earlier, which initiated the previous downtrend. This move developed into a well-formed descending channel, showing controlled distribution from the institutional side. The channel break marked a liquidity grab below previous lows, trapping retail sellers before shifting structure.
🔹 Channel Insider Demand + Breakout:
After reaching the Channel Insider Demand, USDJPY made a strong bullish push, causing a Minor BOS — a sign of temporary bullish pressure. However, this move served to rebalance price into a premium zone, which is the current Reversal Zone. This zone lies near previous imbalance/fair value gaps and coincides with a supply structure, making it a high-reaction area.
🔹 Reversal Zone (Premium Area):
Price tapped the Reversal Zone and began rejecting aggressively. This reaction indicates the presence of large sellers and order blocks. The current price action now displays a Minor CHoCH, suggesting a short-term bearish shift in order flow.
This is a textbook case of premium vs. discount pricing, where price seeks liquidity above recent highs before reversing to more balanced zones.
🔹 Price Flow Expectations (Downside Targets):
The first confirmation of bearish continuation will come with a clean break below the Minor CHoCH level (~144.400). Following that, momentum is expected to carry USDJPY toward:
🥇 Target 1: 144.00 – Local support / liquidity pocket
🥈 Target 2: 143.00 – Key psychological & structural support
🥉 Target 3: 142.00–142.50 Zone – Marked as the Next Reversal Zone, which could act as demand
This setup remains valid as long as the price remains below 147.200, which is the high of the Reversal Zone. A breakout above this invalidates the bearish thesis.
🧠 MMC (Mind Market Curve) Interpretation:
The chart clearly respects Mind Curve Theory structure:
CHoCH/BOS confirms internal order flow
Reversal zone is placed at a curve top (premium)
Support base (discount zone) is yet to be revisited
The curve shape guides a possible rounded rejection scenario, pushing price down into the major support, aligning with smart money liquidity grab behavior.
📊 Strategic Insight:
This is a classic smart money trap — fake bullish breakout, quick grab of early breakout traders’ stops, followed by a decisive turn from supply.
Traders should monitor:
Candle structure at current levels
Reaction to minor CHoCH zone (~144.400)
EURCAD DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial adviser. those videos and posts on my channel are for educational and entertainment purposes ONLY. I'm documenting my trading journey so that you have the potential to take ideas and inspiration from the videos that may help you within your own journey. But remember, trading/investing of any kind involves risk. Your trading/investments are solely your responsibility .
GBPUSD h4 big downhe resistance at 1.36554 may be weak due to:
Multiple taps already
Reduced seller interest
A breakout above this zone could trigger short covering → sharp rally
✅ 2. Higher Low Structure
Recent low at 1.35475 held strong
Current consolidation appears like a bullish flag or accumulation range
Could indicate continuation, not rejection
GBPUSD SELL IDEA Fakeout Reversal Setup
If price dips into the support at 1.35475 again, it might:
Trap breakout traders
Reverse and form a new impulse leg upward
Target = 1.3700–1.3750 zone
Disruption Path: Bullish Breakout
Minor dip or tight range around current price
Break and hold above 1.3655
Acceleration toward 1.3700–1.3750
Disruption Invalidation
A strong close below 1.3540 with volume
A New Chapter Begins with EURUSD’s ABC Wave Formation!🎯 Hey Guys,
I’ve prepared a fresh EURUSD analysis for you.
The market has shifted direction, and an ABC wave structure has emerged.
I’ve placed a Buy Limit order based on my entry level.
Below, you’ll find my detailed target zones and entry specifics:
🟩 Buy Limit Order: 1.17197
🟥 Stop Loss: 1.16903
📌 Targets:
🔹 TP1: 1.17344
🔹 TP2: 1.17538
🔹 TP3: 1.17869
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.27
Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
EURUSD & Gold Clean Trades & What’s Next | ARX InsightsIn this video, I walk through the key price action setups we observed today on EURUSD and Gold (XAUUSD), including why we took the trades and what structure we’re watching next.
This is an educational breakdown based on the ARX | Price & Time approach focused on confluence, execution logic, and trader mindset.
📌 Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
USD/JPY: A High-Clarity Setup in a Coiling MarketFor weeks, the market has been choppy and difficult, grinding accounts down with indecisive price action. Many traders are getting stomped by the noise. This post is designed to cut through that chaos with a single, high-clarity trade idea based on a powerful fundamental story and a clean technical picture.
The focus is on the USD/JPY, where a major catalyst (US CPI) is about to meet a tightly coiling chart pattern.
The Fundamental Why 📰
Our entire thesis is now supported by both qualitative and quantitative analysis. The core driver is the profound monetary policy divergence between the U.S. and Japan, which manifests as a powerful Interest Rate Differential.
The Core Driver: The Bank of Japan maintains its ultra-easy policy while the Fed is in a "hawkish hold," creating a significant interest rate gap of over 400 basis points that fuels the carry trade.
Quantitative Validation: Our new analysis confirms this is the primary driver. We found a strong positive correlation of 0.54 between the USD/JPY exchange rate and this Interest Rate Differential. This provides a robust, data-backed reason for our long bias.
This creates a fundamental chasm between the two currencies, representing a compelling long-term tailwind for USD/JPY.
The Technical Picture 📊
The 4-hour chart perfectly visualizes the market's current state.
The Coiled Spring: Price is consolidating in a tight symmetrical triangle. This represents a balance between buyers and sellers and a build-up of energy. A breakout is imminent.
The Demand Zone: Our entry is not random. We are targeting a dip into the key demand zone between 144.50 - 144.80. This area is significant because it aligns with the 50-day moving average, a level that offers a more favorable risk/reward ratio.
The Underlying Conflict: It's important to note the long-term bearish "Death Cross" on the daily chart (50 MA below 200 MA). Our thesis is that the immense fundamental pressure—now validated by our quantitative study—will be strong enough to overwhelm this lagging technical signal.
The Plan & Setup 🎯
This is a conditional setup, and our analysis confirms the proposed levels are well-reasoned. We are waiting for the market to confirm our thesis before entering.
The Setup: 📉 Long (Buy) USD/JPY. We are looking for price to dip into our demand zone and then break out of the triangle to the upside.
Entry Zone: 👉 144.50 - 144.80. Watch for a 4H candle to show support in this area.
Stop Loss: ⛔️ 144.00. A break below this level would signal that the immediate bullish structure has failed and invalidates the trade thesis.
Take Profit: 🎯 149.50. This target is strategically set just below the major 150.00 psychological handle, a level where institutional orders are likely clustered.
This setup provides a clear, logical plan to engage with the market's next big move. It's all signal, no noise. Trade smart, and manage your risk.
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, DOLLAR INDEX, BITCOIN, SILVER
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸
The price started a correctional movement after it updated
a high the first of July.
The market formed a bullish flag pattern.
Your next trend-following bullish signal will be a breakout and a daily
candle close above its resistance.
2️⃣ Dollar Index #DXY daily time frame 💵
The market corrects in a bearish flag pattern.
I see a test of a significant horizontal resistance cluster now.
Your signal to see will be a bearish violation of a support
of the flag and a daily candle close below.
3️⃣ #BITCOIN #BTCUSD daily time frame
Though the price managed to update the All-Time High
yesterday, the market did not manage to close above
a current major resistance.
I believe that we will see another attempt of the market to breakthrough.
Your bullish confirmation will be a daily candle close above the underlined resistance.
4️⃣ #SILVER #XAGUSD daily time frame 🪙
The price reached an important confluence demand zone
based on a rising trend line and a horizontal key structures support.
Probabilities will be high to see a bullish movement from that.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPUSD Bullish continuation pattern breakout?The GBPUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 1.3544 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 1.3544 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
1.3770 – initial resistance
1.3830 – psychological and structural level
1.3890 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 1.3544 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
1.3500 – minor support
1.3440 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 1.3544. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURJPY – Buy the Dip in a Continuing UptrendTrade Idea
Type: Buy Limit
Entry: 171.00
Target: 172.50
Stop Loss: 170.25
Duration: Intraday
Expires: 11/07/2025 06:00
Technical Overview
The primary trend remains bullish, with no clear signs that the upward move is ending.
While a correction is possible, it is expected to be contained within the broader uptrend, providing an opportunity to buy at lower levels.
A move above 172.00 will confirm renewed bullish momentum, supporting a move toward 172.50, with a measured move target at 172.75.
Current levels do not offer a good risk/reward for immediate buying, so waiting for a dip to 171.00 is preferred.
No significant economic events are scheduled in the next 24 hours, keeping the focus on technical factors.
Key Technical Levels
Support: 172.00 / 171.50 / 171.00
Resistance: 172.00 / 172.50 / 172.75
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
US Jobless Claims: Why They Matter for EURUSD 🇺🇸FOREXCOM:EURUSD
📈 US Jobless Claims: Why They Matter for EURUSD 🇺🇸💼
While Trump’s tariff policies ⚔️ remain in focus, it’s important not to overlook today’s economic calendar 🗓️, with Initial Jobless Claims taking the spotlight.
🧐 What are Jobless Claims?
Initial Jobless Claims 📑 measure the number of people filing for state unemployment insurance for the first time. Released weekly by the US Department of Labor 🏛️, it’s a key indicator of the health of the US labor market 💪.
Why does it matter?
A strong labor market typically supports the US dollar 💵, as it reduces the likelihood of immediate Fed rate cuts 🕰️, while higher claims suggest a weakening economy, which could pressure the dollar lower.
📊 Latest Figures:
🔹 Previous: 233K
🔹 Forecast: 235K
Last week, claims fell from 237K to 233K, highlighting continued labor market resilience. If today’s data beats expectations (lower claims), the USD may strengthen 🛡️, potentially pushing EURUSD below 1.1700. Conversely, higher claims could weaken the USD ⚠️, lifting EURUSD above 1.1800.
💡 Trade Idea:
BUY EURUSD at 1.17300
❌ Stop Loss: 1.17600
✅ Take Profit: 1.16500
While the US labor market remains strong, technical factors and broader fundamentals can confirm a strong EURUSD reversal, keeping bearish opportunities in play.
🚀 Stay tuned for live reactions after the data drops!
💬 Support this post if you find it useful! 🔔
CAD/CHF: Break, Retest and Go?The market is in a strong downtrend, moving inside a visible steep channel. Price recently pulled back into a previous support-turned-resistance zone. This move appears corrective in nature, with sellers likely waiting for signs of exhaustion before re-entering in the direction of the existing trend.
Now price is reacting to the resistance zone and rejecting further upside, suggesting potential continuation lower. Ideally if price retests without closing significantly above it and forms bearish price action confirmation, it would provide a high-probability short setup: pin bars or bearish engulfing candlesticks right at retest level would help confirm the signal.
From there, continuation toward the middle of the channel becomes likely. The target projection sits near the 0.57300 level. If price fails to break lower and instead closes above the resistance zone, the setup becomes invalid and would indicate potential reversal.
In short, sellers are watching for a break and retest, aiming to ride the move down to target of near 0.57300. The downtrend would be maintained as long as price respects the current resistance and shows more signs of bearish strength.
Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Eyes Key Levels Ahead of DataFOREXCOM:EURUSD
EURUSD is trading within the 1.1680 – 1.1810 range 📊, continuing its upward momentum during the Asian and early European sessions 🌏⬆️.
⚡️ Markets are now focusing on potential trade negotiations with India and the EU 🤝, which could shape near-term currency moves and risk sentiment 🌐.
📈 Today at 12:30 p.m. UTC 🕧, the U.S. Jobless Claims report 📑 may trigger volatility across all USD pairs ⚠️. Stronger-than-expected data could delay Fed rate cuts 🕰️🔻 and push EURUSD below 1.1700 🩻, while weaker figures may weigh on the U.S. dollar 💵⬇️ and lift EURUSD above 1.1800 🚀.
👀 We will monitor these levels closely for potential breakout opportunities. Stay tuned for live updates!