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#001 New2 DCA LONG USDCADOk, I decided to close all of my positions previously opened in NEW DCA and begin a new log because I want to tweak some things and I feel that those opened positions that goes into drawdown and then into profit isn't helping me mentally. So, I closed all of them out for maybe 3 or 4% loss, maybe at most 10$ loss, I am not sure. New tweaks are as mentioned below, - Buy when price is trending up, short when price is trending down. - Pick the strongest products only for watchlist and potential trading. How do we determine if something is trending up, or down, and how do we determine which is the strongest? On the bottom left of tradingview chart, theres the 5D button. Or in the tradingview app, there's a overview option when we click into any pair. Select 5D range. The glowing price movement will tell you if price is trending up, down or sideways. It is quite easy to tell which one is trending, ranging, and their strength. If one is doing it on laptop browser, then, click on the bottom left's 5D range button, and then use a vertical line to mark the first day of the 5D range (from the left most). Then, zoom in or out to fit the entire 5 days on the chart, and try to not show as much of the price movements on the left beyond the 5D range. This is to prevent clouding ones judgement. Strong price movements should be in your face. It moves in one direction so strongly you just know it. Besides that, another clue is price making higher high, higher low for up trend and lower low and lower high for down trend. Avoid ranging or weak trending markets. Go for the strongest movements only. Now that we have understood the settings and preferred price action, we are going to look at chart type next. I am going to keep it simple. I will be using the line chart for the most part. Avoid clouding your judgment with too much moving parts. There will be time where candlesticks come into play but those are not the rule. And even if we forgo candlesticks completely, we are not missing out anything at all, because the current price and the previous closed prices is all we need to know about how the market feels in the end. Third, is to mark out the previous higher highs and higher lows, vice versa for short. I would like to think it is always easy and very clean movements. But that should actually be the fact. Because if price isn't moving cleanly, then if we choose to be a part of the movement, we are just entering into states of unrest within our minds. And then we begin to have other thoughts and bs and we change things again. I hope that this changes I am going to implement would be the last for a long time. Besides the forex market, there's gold and stocks, indices. I shouldn't be focusing on the forex market all the time. If there's prettier flowers else where I should go to those gardens and admire other peoples flowers too. Possibly supporting their bouquet business too because it is all about "Guan Xi". Anyway, I hope this is the last. I have been missing out on tons of action on other products such as bitcoin, GameStop, NVDA, Gold, JPY carry trade, and other shit. I have to broaden my worldly outlook, instead of hoping that only this shit works out. And I only focused on this piece of shit because I have limited funds, but now that my partner is also with me on this trading and investing journey, and also that I am feeling much much better mentally wise after years of suffering, I should chase what moves instead of hoping I could heal the dead horse with my superior post flop folding skills. 1712SGT 18122024
Long
by ProfessionalDuckHunter
Prediction of EURUSD price decrease in the near future?Dear Traders, The EUR/USD pair is currently hovering around the 1.0378 mark, extending its bearish momentum for several consecutive days. This persistent decline has been largely driven by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rate cuts, which have bolstered the US dollar and exerted downward pressure on this major currency pair. Analyzing the 4-hour chart, it’s evident that the pair remains below the 34-period EMA, signaling that the bearish trend is far from over. After failing to sustain the upward momentum near the 1.0450 level, the price resumed its descent, reinforcing the dominance of sellers in the market. Given these factors, my personal analysis suggests that the downtrend is likely to accelerate in the near term. Any potential corrective pullbacks, in this context, could present strategic opportunities for sellers to re-enter the market. What’s your perspective on this outlook? Share your thoughts in the comments below—I’d love to hear your take!
Short
by Trader-Briannnn
USDCHF M15 | Bearish Drop?Based on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 0.9000, which is an overlap resistance. Our take profit will be at 0.8974, a pullback support level close to 50% Fibo retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 0.9021, which is a swing high resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
GBPUSD H4 | Falling toward a 161.8% Fibo extension?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.2616, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 1.2530, an overlap support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibo extension The stop loss will be at 1.2678, a pullback rsistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
EURUSD H4 | Falling from 38.2% Fibo?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.0453, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 1.0334, a swing low support level. The stop loss will be at 1.0531, an overlap resistance level close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
GBPUSD InsightHello, subscribers! I hope you’re all doing well. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points during the December FOMC meeting. - Through the dot plot, the Fed hinted at a total of 50 basis points of rate cuts next year. - Fed Chair Jerome Powell mentioned during the press conference that the Fed’s policy stance is now significantly less restrictive and that it may be more cautious when considering further adjustments to the policy rate. - Markets interpreted the Fed’s rate cut as reluctant and viewed it as extremely hawkish. - The BOJ and BOE are set to announce their rate decisions today, with expectations of no changes. Key Economic Indicators + December 19: BOJ rate decision, BOE rate decision + December 20: U.S. November Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index GBP/USD Chart Analysis The dollar’s strength, influenced by the Fed’s hawkish stance, has led to a steep decline in GBP/USD. The pair has broken below the 1.26000 level, signaling a potential further drop toward the 1.25000 level. In the short term, additional declines are possible, and if GBP/USD falls below 1.25000, the pair may extend its losses to 1.23000. However, if a rebound occurs at the 1.25000 level, a rise toward 1.27000 could be expected.
Short
by shawntime_academy
EUR/USD → Consolidates Ahead of Key Fed Interest Rate DecisionHello everyone, Ben here! EUR/USD saw a sluggish upward movement on Monday, drifting towards the upper bounds of its short-term consolidation range just north of 1.0500, though lacking any significant conviction. With relatively limited European data this week, Fiber traders are bracing for a heavy U.S. data docket. In the short term, the trend remains neutral, but prices are consolidating near a critical support level that has held firm for two years. Aggressive rate cuts in Europe are putting pressure on the pair, with expectations set for December 17th-18th. The Fed is widely anticipated to cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points (bps). However, any hawkish signals from the Fed aimed at taming inflation would increase the downside potential for EUR/USD. Support levels: 1.045, 1.033 Resistance levels: 1.060, 1.065 From an interest rate perspective, within the context of a broader downtrend, price has yet to reach the key liquidity zone. Ahead of the news, I anticipate that the price will climb towards 1.060. However, based on both technical and fundamental outlooks, bearish momentum is expected to resume, and a break below the 1.045 support level will solidify the downward trend. Best regards, Bentradegold!
Short
by Bentradegold
CADJPY POSSIBLE BUYThe market is currently testing the current Daily 0.618 Fib area. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern. We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
Long
by WiLLProsperForex
The next few months will be crucial for USDCNHCurrencies play a pivotal role in the trading game, as in importers from China. They buy goods from US and pay in USD , therefore if the CNH is depreciating 2013, that means their costs will get higher. In 2013, 6 yuan equal to 1 USD , fast forward 11 years later, it is now 7.3 yuan to 1 USD. That is almost 11.8% depreciation on a YOY basis for the last 11 years. Someone has to bear the costs and it is naturally the final ends of the straw, from wholesalers to retailers to final consumers....... Some supporting article :https://www.msn.com/en-ph/money/economy/china-s-exports-slow-imports-decline-in-november/ar-AA1vHpLN Will I trade this pair? Very unlikely as there were no historical data to show it will breaks above the current 7.3 price level. If it does and as predicted by analysts that it will goes to 8, then the risk reward ratio is very good. Please DYODD
by dchua1969
#EURUSD - 19122024I was somewhat wrong on the direction yesterday but intraday levels worked great. TBH, I was not sure about the direction of move yesterday. I said that it does look bearish and if it goes up first, could see the sell down lower. And it nicely hit 1.0513, sold down to 1.0468 level for 45pips, which I said could be a bounce point and well it did bounce back to OP for 25pips but eventually sold down to lows on FOMC. What's next for today? Similar to indices, very bearish daily candle. One could expect further downside but price is now back to a support zone. I expect a move up to 1.0440 before sellers will appear. If EURUSD could reclaim 1.044 on daily, I see that as low is in and should see further upside going forward.
by FadeMeIfYouCan