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CAD/JPY: Price at Decision Point – Key Support in PlayWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** CADJPY Analysis ! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by OGT_Forex
USDCAD Ready to Collapse? COT Signals a Bearish Storm!🔎 1. COT Context – Canadian Dollar (CAD) Asset Managers: Consistently net short for most of the period, but since January 2025, there's been a strong recovery—net positions have become progressively less negative. By mid-April, they’re still short, but significantly less so. Leveraged Money: Also heavily short in December 2024, but showing a clear bullish reversal starting in early 2025, with net positions turning increasingly positive on CAD. ✅ Interpretation: There's been a clear sentiment shift from bearish to bullish on CAD starting late 2024. This adds downward pressure on USDCAD. 💵 2. COT Context – US Dollar Index (USD) Asset Managers: Consistently long, but reducing their net exposure since late March 2025. Leveraged Money: Opposite of CAD – heavily short in December 2024, now recovering, though without strong momentum. Positions are hovering around neutral. ⚠️ Interpretation: While CAD grows stronger, USD shows signs of indecision or profit-taking. This amplifies the bearish bias on USDCAD. 📉 3. Technical Analysis – USDCAD Current Price: 1.38369, right near a strong demand zone between 1.3700 – 1.3830, which has already been tested multiple times. The current weekly candle is forming a doji or pin bar, hinting at a potential technical bounce. Key Resistance: 1.45215 (monthly high). Key Support: 1.3700. A breakdown below this could trigger a move toward 1.3480. RSI: Neutral to slightly bearish, no major divergences observed. 🧠 Technical Outlook: If the 1.3700–1.3830 zone holds, we might see a corrective bounce toward 1.4000–1.4100. If that zone breaks, expect a bearish continuation toward 1.3580–1.3480. 📊 Trade Summary Fundamental Bias (COT): Bearish USDCAD → Strong CAD, weakening USD. Technical Bias: Neutral to bearish, potential for short-term bounce before continuation. 🧭 Trade Plan 🎯 Short on pullback toward 1.4000–1.4100 with stop above 1.4150, targeting 1.3600–1.3500. 🎯 Breakout trade below 1.3700 → Enter on daily close confirmation, target 1.3480.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 21 April 2025 - EURUSD broke the resistance area - Likely to test resistance level 1.1600 EURUSD currency pair recently broke the resistance area between the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from the end of February and the resistance level 1.1465 (which stopped the previous impulse wave i). The breakout of this area accelerated the active short-term impulse wave 3 from the end of March. Given the moderately bullish euro sentiment, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.1600 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3).
Long
by FxProGlobal
SHORT NZD/CNH 8H Investment Opportunity Hello, I am trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about a SHORT investment opportunity on the NZD/CNH exchange rate. Trade Details The trade starts at the 4.40 area with a Stop Loss (SL) at 4.44 and a Take Profit (TP) at 4.21. Market Analysis Currently, the NZD/CNH exchange rate is around 4.381. The recent performance of the NZD has shown some volatility, influenced by economic factors such as inflation in New Zealand and trade policies. These elements have contributed to creating a context of uncertainty that could favor a decline in the exchange rate. Trading Strategy The proposed strategy involves entering a SHORT position at 4.40, anticipating a decline towards the level of 4.21. The Stop Loss at 4.44 is used to limit losses in case the market moves against our prediction. This setup offers a good risk/reward ratio, making the trade interesting for traders looking for short-term profit opportunities. Final Thoughts This trading opportunity requires careful risk management and constant monitoring of market conditions. The volatility of the NZD/CNH exchange rate can offer good profit opportunities, but it is essential to be prepared to react quickly to changes. It is advisable to stay updated on economic news and events that could affect the market. Happy trading!
Short
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Death of the POPE and Economic Impact Hi, I'm trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about an event that has deeply shaken the world: the death of Pope Francis. Pope Francis, born Jorge Mario Bergoglio, was the first Latin American pontiff and the first Jesuit to hold the role of Pope. Born in Buenos Aires in 1936, he dedicated his life to serving the Church and those most in need. His pontificate, which began in 2013, was characterized by a strong commitment to social justice, peace and environmental protection. He has always tried to bring the Church closer to the faithful, promoting a message of love, humility and inclusion. The death of Pope Francis, which occurred on April 21, 2025, left a huge void not only in the Catholic Church, but also in the hearts of millions of people around the world. His charismatic figure and his commitment to human rights and social justice have had a significant impact on many aspects of global society. Pope Francis has been a spiritual leader who has been able to speak to the hearts of people, regardless of their faith. He has addressed complex issues such as the refugee crisis, climate change and global poverty, always seeking solutions that promote human dignity and solidarity. His encyclical "Laudato si'" has been an urgent call to the international community to take care of our common home, planet Earth. Now, let's analyze how the death of Pope Francis could affect the stock market and forex. The passing of such an influential figure can generate uncertainty and volatility in the financial markets. Investors may react with caution, waiting to see how the Church will manage the transition and who will be the next Pope. In addition, the Jubilee of 2025, which is underway, could undergo organizational changes, affecting tourism and the economy of Rome. In the short term, there may be some instability in the markets, with fluctuations in the values ​​of currencies and stocks linked to sectors influenced by the Catholic Church. However, in the long term, stability could be restored once the new Pope is elected and the Jubilee celebrations continue. The death of Pope Francis could also have repercussions on the bond market. Investors could seek refuge in safer assets, such as government bonds, increasing demand and influencing yields. In addition, companies operating in the religious tourism sector could see a temporary drop in bookings, impacting their profits. Let's now analyze the currency pairs that could be affected by this event: EUR/USD: The euro/dollar pair could see increased volatility, especially considering the importance of the Vatican and Rome in the European economy. Uncertainties related to the Jubilee and religious celebrations could affect the value of the euro. EUR/GBP: The euro/pound pair could also be affected, as many pilgrims and tourists from the UK could change their travel plans, affecting the flow of capital between the two regions. USD/JPY: The dollar/yen pair could see significant movements, as Japanese investors tend to seek refuge in safe assets such as the US dollar in times of global uncertainty. EUR/CHF: The euro/Swiss franc pair could be affected by European investors' search for stability. The Swiss franc is often considered a safe haven in times of volatility. Another crucial aspect will be the day of the election of the new Pope. The Conclave, which will take place between May 6 and 11, 2025, represents a moment of great expectation and hope for millions of faithful around the world. During this period, the cardinal electors will gather in the Sistine Chapel to vote for the successor of Pope Francis. The white smoke, announcing the election of the new Pope, will be a sign of stability and continuity for the Catholic Church. On the day of the election, there is likely to be increased volatility in financial markets. Investors may react quickly to the news, trying to anticipate the economic and political implications of the new pontificate. Currencies and stocks linked to sectors influenced by the Catholic Church could see significant movements, with possible trading opportunities for those who are able to correctly interpret the market dynamics. In conclusion, the death of Pope Francis is a major event that will have not only spiritual and social repercussions, but also economic ones. Investors should carefully monitor the developments and adapt their strategies based on the new dynamics that will emerge.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
GOLDMASTER1 | GBPUSD RESULTS--- GBP/USD – PRECISION PLAY! Yesterday, I shared this bullish order block analysis on the 15M chart. Today, price tapped perfectly into the zone, respected structure, and flew over 135+ pips! KEY CONFLUENCES : CHoCH followed by BOS confirmations Entry off refined bullish order block Clean equal lows liquidity swept 1.02% move secured with strong momentum This is the power of Smart Money Concepts when executed with precision. PAIR: GBP/USD TIMEFRAME: 15M PIPS SECURED: +135 GOLDMASTER1---
Long
by Goldmasters1
EURUSD Oportuniad en compra. EURUSD Analysis – April 21, 2025 From my point of view and based on the strategy we've been working with, EURUSD shows a clear buying opportunity today. 📈 Our recent analyses have gone very well, and we continue to observe price behavior that supports our projections. For this buy setup, it's possible to reach a risk-to-reward ratio of over 1:6, or secure partial profits along the way, as you've been taught. 🔍 On the 15-minute timeframe, the price already broke to the downside, so I'm sharing this buy analysis with caution, especially for those trading in lower timeframes. It's important to wait for a clear setup before entering. If the market gives us new signals, we’ll later consider a potential sell. 🚨 We’ll keep updating throughout the day. The key is patience and reading price action properly.
by edisonjavierrey
1