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AUD/USD - Bullish Engulfing at Support for Long Entry📈 Trade Idea: Long AUD/USD Analysis: Price formed a bullish engulfing candle off the 0.6360 support zone, signaling strong buyer interest. This level was previously a resistance zone, now acting as support. The engulfing pattern confirms momentum shift, making it a strong entry trigger. Trade Plan (Based on Chart Setup): 🔹 Entry: 0.6361 (Bullish engulfing confirmation) 🔹 Stop Loss: 0.6346 (Below support and engulfing low) 🔹 Take Profit: Fixed at 2R Risk/Reward: ✅ Stop Loss: ~15 pips ✅ Take Profit: ~30 pips (2R target) ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 Why this trade? ✔️ Bullish engulfing at key support ✔️ Break and retest confirmation ✔️ Strong momentum shift in favor of buyers 📌 Looking for price to hold above 0.6360 to maintain bullish momentum.
Long
by riojulianprt62512
USD/JPY H1 Technical Analysis: Accelerated Bearish MomentumLooking at the H1 timeframe for USD/JPY, we're seeing a significant bearish momentum with several key technical developments: Market Structure: Strong bearish trend continuation after breaking below 151.00 support All moving averages aligned bearishly with accelerating downward slope Clear lower highs and lower lows structure Previous support levels being broken with momentum Key Levels: Previous Support (Now Resistance): 151.229 Current Price: ~150.15 Next Major Support: 149.98 Critical Resistance: 152.25 (Trend Line) Technical Indicators: Volume showing increased selling pressure Momentum indicators in strong bearish territory Price trading well below all major moving averages Trend line resistance remains intact from previous highs Trading Considerations: Strong bearish continuation in play Watch for potential retest of 151.00 as resistance Key psychological level at 150.00 could provide temporary support Monitor for any intervention risk given rapid JPY strengthening
Short
by FXCapitalClub
GBP/USD H1 Technical Analysis: Consolidation in key structureLooking at the H1 timeframe for GBP/USD, we're observing a clear consolidation pattern with several notable technical features: Market Structure: Price is trading within a defined range between 1.2590-1.2627 Currently hovering around 1.2592, showing indecision in the market Moving averages have flattened, indicating the ranging environment Yellow box highlighting the current consolidation zone Key Levels: Upper Range: 1.2627 (Previous Weekly High) Current Price: ~1.2592 Lower Support: 1.2541 (Key S/R Level) SSL Level: 1.2449 (Major Support) Technical Indicators: Volume showing decreased activity, typical of range-bound conditions Momentum indicators in lower panel showing minimal directional bias Price compressing between moving averages, suggesting potential breakout setup Trading Considerations: Wait for clear breakout from current consolidation Range trading opportunities between identified levels Watch for increased volume on any breakout attempt Key resistance at 1.2627 needs to be monitored for potential rejection
by FXCapitalClub
EUR/NZD "Euro vs Kiwi" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/NZD "Euro vs Kiwi" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 1.83500 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 1.80000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: The EUR/NZD "Euro vs Kiwi" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. ⭐Fundamental Analysis Economic Indicators: Eurozone's GDP growth rate expected to slow down to 1.2% in 2025 Monetary Policy: European Central Bank (ECB) expected to maintain dovish stance Trade Balance: Eurozone's trade balance expected to remain in surplus Inflation Rate: Eurozone's inflation rate expected to rise to 2.0% in 2025 ⭐Macro Economics Global Economic Trends: Ongoing global economic recovery expected to drive up demand for commodities Commodity Prices: Commodity prices expected to rise by 5% in 2025 Interest Rates: Central banks expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025 Currency Flows: Currency flows expected to remain stable, with no significant changes in currency exchange rates ⭐Intermarket Analysis Correlation Analysis: EUR/NZD pair positively correlated with EUR/USD pair Commodity Analysis: EUR/NZD pair negatively correlated with gold Equity Analysis: EUR/NZD pair positively correlated with Euro Stoxx 50 index ⭐COT Data Non-Commercial Traders (Institutional): Net Short Positions: 45% Open Interest: 120,000 contracts Commercial Traders (Companies): Net Long Positions: 35% Open Interest: 60,000 contracts Non-Reportable Traders (Small Traders): Net Short Positions: 20% Open Interest: 30,000 contracts ⭐Technical Analysis Trend: Bearish trend Support Zone: 1.80000 - 1.81000 Resistance Zone: 1.84000 RSI(7): 24.55, indicating oversold conditions STOCH(5,3,3): 20.56, indicating a potential reversal ⭐Sentimental Analysis Institutional Sentiment: 45% bullish, 55% bearish Retail Sentiment: 50% bullish, 50% bearish Market Mood: Bearish, with a sentiment score of -0.5 ⭐Market News and Events Economic Indicators: Monitor economic indicators, such as GDP growth rates and inflation rates, to gauge the overall health of the economy. Central Bank Decisions: Keep an eye on central bank decisions, such as interest rate changes, to anticipate potential market movements. Geopolitical Events: Monitor geopolitical events, such as trade tensions and elections, to identify potential market risks. ⭐Next Move Prediction Based on the analysis, the next move prediction is: Short-term (1-3 days): Bearish, targeting 1.80000 Medium-term (1-2 weeks): Neutral, with a potential reversal to 1.84000 Long-term (1-3 months): Bearish, targeting 1.75000 ⭐Positioning Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for a risk-reward ratio of 1:3 or higher Position Sizing: Optimal position size is 2% of the trading account, based on a risk-reward ratio of 1:2 Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss above 1.8350 for bearish trades ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Short
by Thief_Trader
20 February As of February 20, 2025, the British Pound to Japanese Yen (GBP/JPY) currency pair has exhibited notable volatility. Recent technical analyses suggest a potential downward movement, though caution is warranted due to mixed signals. Technical Analysis: Gbpjoy broke structure heading to the downside , showing or proving change of direction on a hour timeframe to be precise . A bullish retracement is expected since there's a lot of imbalance that gj left . I used my fib to predict the psychological levels that gj might retrace to . Fundamental Analysis: Monetary Policies: The Bank of England (BoE) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintain divergent monetary stances. The BoE's relatively hawkish approach contrasts with the BoJ's continued ultra-loose policy, which traditionally supports GBP strength against JPY. Economic Indicators: Recent data indicates a contraction in UK retail sales by 6.9% in September 2022, reflecting economic challenges. In contrast, Japan's National Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March showed a modest increase of 0.2% monthly, with a 0.2% annualized decrease, suggesting persistent deflationary pressures. Market Sentiment: The GBP/JPY pair is sensitive to global risk sentiment. Increased market volatility or geopolitical tensions often lead investors to seek safe-haven assets like the JPY, potentially exerting downward pressure on the pair. Conversely, improved global economic outlooks may favor GBP appreciation.
Short
by Richard_Tsupane
GBP/JPY - 1H Analysis & Trade Setup📉 GBP/JPY - 1H Analysis & Trade Setup 🔹 Market Structure & Key Levels: ✅ 193.027: Recent swing high, major resistance. ✅ 190.63 - 190.85: Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5-0.618), potential short entry. ✅ 187.510: Key downside target. ✅ 185.944: Next major support if bearish momentum continues. 📊 Trade Plan: 🔹 Price is in a clear downtrend after a Break of Structure (BOS). 🔹 Expect a pullback towards 190.63 - 190.85 (Fibonacci golden zone). 🔹 If rejection occurs in this zone, a sell setup targeting 187.510 is valid. ⚠ Confirmation Needed: ✅ Bearish rejection at 190.63 - 190.85. ✅ Bearish candlestick patterns (engulfing, pin bar, etc.). ✅ Confluence with supply zone & BOS. #fxforever #GBPJPY #SmartMoney #PriceAction #LiquidityHunt #ForexTrading #SMC
Short
by FXFOREVER_87