USD/JPY 1D CHART PATTERNThe USDJPY chart shows a clear bullish breakout from a long-term descending trendline, signaling a potential shift in momentum. The pair has formed higher lows, marked by multiple rejections near the ascending support trendline, confirming strong buying interest. Price has successfully broken through a key resistance zone, turning it into support, with Ichimoku cloud indicators supporting the upward movement. A bullish continuation is expected as the price maintains strength above the breakout zone. The recent breakout candle and upward arrow suggest bullish sentiment and room for further upside, aligning with the overall trend reversal pattern visible on the chart.
Entry Buy: 148.570
Target point: 151.500
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Forex market
Should You Still Sell Your USD for EUR? A 2025 PerspectiveWith currency markets in constant flux, the decision to hold USD or convert to EUR carries major financial implications for investors, expatriates, businesses, and frequent travelers. As of July 29, 2025, the USD/EUR exchange rate is around 0.86–0.87, with $1 buying roughly €0.86. Is now the right time to sell your US dollars for euros? Here’s a balanced look at the latest data and forecasts.
Current Market Context: Dollar Weakness and Euro Stabilization
USD Slide in 2025: The US dollar has experienced its steepest decline in over three years, falling nearly 10% year-to-date. This sustained weakness is attributed to policy volatility, capital flowing out of the US, and narrowing interest rate differentials.
Key Exchange Rate: Recent rates hover between 0.85 and 0.87, representing moderate stability following a period of volatility.
Euro’s Resilience: While the euro has had its own struggles, from slower economic growth to political uncertainty in Germany and France, analysts forecast no major sustained fall for the euro through 2025.
2025 Forecasts: USD/EUR Direction—What Do the Experts Say?
Year-End 2025 Outlook: Major banks and forecasting firms expect the EUR/USD rate could climb even higher by year-end, meaning the euro could gain modestly versus the dollar if current trends continue.
Factors to Watch:
Fed Rate Cuts: Potential US rate cuts in Q3–Q4 remain a key driver for further USD weakness.
Trade & Tariff Uncertainty: Ongoing US tariff announcements and global trade tensions add volatility but also support safe haven flows to the dollar.
Eurozone Politics: Any resolution of political uncertainty in Europe could buoy the euro.
Most Important One: Fed's Money Printer...
Strategic Considerations: Should You Sell Now?
Locking in Current Rates: If you need euros to make payments, pay salaries, or make investments in the short term, converting a portion now could reduce your exposure to further USD downside.
If You Can Wait: Analysts see some chance for USD recovery in late Q3 or early 2026, but this is contingent on US policy stability and Fed decisions.
Averaging In: For larger transfers, consider splitting your transaction over time (also called dollar-cost averaging), which can help mitigate volatility.
Bottom Line
If you have an immediate need for euros, current rates present a reasonable opportunity. The dollar’s weakness throughout 2025 is well documented, but much of the pessimism may already be priced in. If you’re flexible with timing, monitor central bank policy signals throughout Q3/Q4, a more dovish Fed or unexpected eurozone stability could push rates further in your favor, but event risks remain elevated. Ultimately, a phased or hedged approach may offer both protection and potential upside
*not investment advice*
#forex #fx #dollar #usd #euro #eur #economy #trade #tariff #trading #indicator
audcad sell setupThis AUD/CAD H1 chart shows a Smart Money Concept (SMC) based sell setup, focused on liquidity engineering, internal structure shifts, and supply zone rejections.
Key Features of the Sell Setup
1. Break of Market Structure
Price previously rallied and made a high at 0.90140.
After that, there was a clear break of structure to the downside with strong bearish candles—indicating distribution and a bearish order flow shift.
2. Premium Supply Zone (Blue Box)
The price is retracing back into a supply zone, where institutional orders previously caused the strong drop.
The blue zone marks a bearish Order Block or supply area where price is expected to react.
Your entry is placed just below this zone.
3. Equal Highs / Liquidity Above
Multiple internal highs were created (marked with $$)—these are liquidity traps.
Price is likely to grab liquidity above these highs before rejecting from the supply zone.
4. Entry Context
Sell entry is placed after a liquidity sweep above minor internal highs.
The Current High (crt high) marks the point of internal liquidity.
This entry is anticipating a rejection from this area (above previous highs but below the OB's top).
5. Fair Value Gap (fvg)
A clear FVG exists below current price—this is your downside magnet or target area.
Price often fills FVGs after mitigation of supply/demand.
6. Stop Loss & Take Profit
Stop Loss (red box): Placed above the supply zone and liquidity grab area, protecting from deeper retracements.
Take Profit (green box): Aiming toward the FVG zone and unfilled imbalance near 0.89430–0.89390.
Why This Is a Valid Sell Setup
Break of Bullish Structure (Shift in Order Flow).
Liquidity Sweeps above equal highs.
Retracement into Supply Zone / Premium.
Confluence with FVG below for target
USDCAD Bounce May Face Strong ResistanceUSDCAD is attempting to bounce back, supported by a stronger U.S. dollar index. The recent trade deals with Japan and the Eurozone have prompted traders to position more favorably toward the dollar. The sharp decline in EURUSD is also putting upward pressure on USDCAD.
This week will be crucial for both the U.S. and Canada, with a flood of economic data and major central bank events ahead. The Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada are both expected to hold rates at tomorrow’s meetings. Although pressure from Trump is unlikely to sway FOMC members into a rate cut, the new trade deals do reduce policy uncertainty, which could increase the likelihood of a rate cut in September. Any minor hint of this scenario will likely be interpreted as dovish by the markets.
The Bank of Canada, in contrast, is expected to remain firmly dovish as tariffs continue to weigh heavily on growth. Meanwhile, Trump’s recent comments regarding Canadian tariffs are unlikely to boost economic confidence in Canada, although Carney is actively pushing for an improved trade agreement.
Aside from central bank meetings, both countries will release GDP data this week. Canada’s economy is expected to contract by 0.1% in May, with GDP figures arriving alongside employment change and the U.S. PCE report. A strong surprise from Canada could help limit the effect of the rising dollar index on USDCAD.
In the U.S., GDP, PCE, and payrolls data will make this one of the most unpredictable weeks for markets in recent months.
USDCAD is currently testing its 100-week moving average. The immediate resistance levels are 1.3786 and 1.3850, both marked as “1” in the chart as the first resistance area. If dollar index strength continues after the initial shock, the second resistance zone defined by the May top and the 50-week moving average will become the next target.
If dollar dominance persists in the medium term, the ultimate target would be 1.4170. This area is likely to act as strong resistance, as it includes the midpoint of the March to July pullback, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the 2021 to 2025 uptrend, and the February dip.
As long as this resistance holds, any upward moves can be considered potential selling opportunities. However, it remains uncertain which of the resistance levels will mark the top.
EURCHF bearish continuation The EURCHF pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 0.9340, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 0.9340 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 0.9300, followed by 0.9290 and 0.9270 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 0.9340 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 0.9355, then 0.9365.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 0.9340. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURAUD Long - Pullback from Monthly Support - Easy MoneyOANDA:EURAUD Long Trade.
EURUSD is Bouncing Back from Monthly Support.
Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade.
Don't be greedy.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
AUDJPY Long TradeOANDA:AUDJPY Long Trade.
Entry price is already tapped in, I checked chart late, TP is intact, you can take little risk if you can afford.
Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade.
Don't be greedy.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
NZDCHF is in the Bearish Side due to Bearish TrendHello Traders
In This Chart NZDCHF HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NZDCHF analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDCHF market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDCHF Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
AUDJPY Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 96.734.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 96.102 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPCAD Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPCAD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.833.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.813 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/USD 30-MIN ANALYSISThis EURUSD setup showcases a clean bullish continuation scenario following a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS) and a sharp rally driven by momentum and liquidity imbalance.
After sweeping a key low (XXX), price impulsively broke structure to the upside, confirming a potential shift in market intent. A retracement is now expected to mitigate the Buy-Side Imbalance (BISI) zone.
BOS & SSS (Short-Term Structural Shift): Confirmed bullish intent.
Imbalance (BISI): Price left behind an unfilled imbalance zone a likely magnet for a pullback.
Re-Entry Zone: (BISI) provides a high probability area for long re-entry.
Upside Targets:
Target 1: 1.15483 – intermediate structural level.
Target 2: 1.16158 – premium supply / liquidity target.
#EURUSD 30M Technical Analysis Expected Move.
EURGBP Bullish Reversal Setup from Demand Zone (MMC Strategy)📊 Detailed Technical Analysis:
The EURGBP pair on the 2-hour chart is currently at a critical technical juncture, showing signs of a potential bullish reversal. This analysis follows Market Maker Concepts (MMC), which combines liquidity engineering, smart money movements, and structure shifts. Let’s break it down:
🔄 1. Consolidation Phase – Accumulation in Action (Smart Money Footprint)
Between July 15 to 24, the price moved within a tight range — classic consolidation behavior.
This phase suggests accumulation by institutional players, quietly building long positions while trapping retail shorts and longs.
This kind of sideways structure typically precedes a high-volume breakout, which happened right after.
📌 Lesson: Consolidation is often the calm before the storm — prepare for a breakout when this phase completes.
🚀 2. Breakout with QFL Pattern – Aggressive Bullish Shift
The price broke above the consolidation range and surged strongly.
This breakout followed a classic QFL (Quick Flip Level) structure — where price forms a base, drops temporarily, and then explodes upward.
The area of breakout aligns with a “2x Supply” zone — meaning this zone acted as a magnet for stop orders, and once breached, added more fuel to the rally.
📌 Why QFL Matters: It marks a shift in market sentiment — from balanced to strongly biased, in this case toward bulls.
📉 3. Pullback Phase – Structural Correction Begins
After reaching a high near 0.87500 (major resistance), price began to pull back sharply.
It formed a minor descending flag/channel, a classic corrective pattern, often a pause before resuming the larger trend.
A descending trendline has been drawn to capture this pullback structure.
📌 Important: Pullbacks are healthy — they allow for re-entries and provide better R:R setups.
📍 4. Reversal Zone – Key Demand Revisited
Price now sits within a Reversal Zone (Demand Area), marked in green on the chart.
This level previously served as the base for the breakout and aligns with institutional buying interest.
The area acts as a high-probability buy zone, supported by:
Trendline support
Price rejecting lower levels
Historical reaction at this zone
📌 Why It’s Crucial: If price respects this demand zone, it confirms bullish intent and creates a low-risk buying opportunity.
✅ 5. 2nd Confirmation – Price Action Support
The chart marks a "2nd Confirmation" label at a slightly lower level — this is a final support level, a safety net.
If price dips and bounces here again, it confirms buyer strength.
Strong price reaction at this level would validate a trend continuation setup back toward highs.
💹 6. Positive Pattern – Early Reversal Signs
Inside the demand zone, a bullish structure is forming.
This could be an inverted head & shoulders, or a double bottom pattern.
These patterns often act as launch pads for upward moves, especially when combined with institutional demand.
📌 MMC Insight: Market Makers engineer dips to induce panic, only to reverse aggressively once liquidity is absorbed.
🎯 Trade Plan Based on the Analysis:
Buy Zone: Between 0.86450 – 0.86700 (Reversal Zone)
Stop-Loss: Below 0.86250 (beneath 2nd confirmation)
Take Profits:
🎯 TP1: 0.86900 (Minor resistance)
🎯 TP2: 0.87500 (Major swing high)
Risk-to-Reward: 1:2 or higher depending on entry timing
🧠 MMC Strategy Summary for Minds:
This EURGBP 2H chart is a textbook example of MMC-based trading. We saw:
Institutional accumulation (consolidation phase)
QFL breakout (confirmation of bullish intent)
Return to demand (market maker’s discount area)
Early bullish signals (positive price action patterns)
Multiple confluences at the Reversal Zone (trendline, demand, confirmation zone)
Such a combination offers a high-probability swing trade setup. Patient traders can wait for the structure to break upward and join the trend with tight risk and clear targets.
AUDJPY Retest H4 resistance The AUD/JPY currency pair appears poised to potentially extend its current bearish trajectory, particularly as the price action has recently reacted to an unmitigated order block situated around the 97.00 level. This specific price zone could act as a significant area of supply, triggering renewed selling pressure that may drive the pair lower. Should bearish momentum persist, it’s plausible that the price could descend toward the 96.00 region as an initial target. Furthermore, if sellers maintain control and market sentiment remains risk-averse, the downward movement could intensify, possibly resulting in a break below the key support area near 95.500—effectively sweeping liquidity beneath that level and opening the door for even deeper retracements.