EURUSD – Confluence Support Test: Watch for Bullish Signals? OANDA:EURUSD is currently trading around a key technical support area, which is a confluence zone between the previous sideways range and the medium-term ascending trendline. The price previously broke out of the resistance zone and is now pulling back to retest this area – a common price behavior in a sustainable bullish structure.
If buyers successfully defend this support zone, there is a high possibility that another recovery leg may appear, targeting the technical level around 1.1425, which is the most reasonable target within this setup. However, to confirm the continuation of bullish momentum, there needs to be a clear candlestick signal such as a pin bar or bullish engulfing at the support zone. The absence of strong price reaction here could lead to a slip below the support level, invalidating the short-term bullish structure.
This is a personal viewpoint based on technical analysis, not investment advice. Always reconfirm your trade setups and manage risk carefully.
Forex market
USDJPY – Ride the Rail Short IdeaPair is still gliding inside a clean 30-min downslope channel.
Price is now retesting the upper rail (≈ 143.00).
fade this retest while the trend-line holds.
Entry zone: 142.90 – 143.00
Target: 142.10 (bottom rail / prior pivot)
If the rail snaps, no trade; if it holds, I’m looking for the next slide to 142.1.
EURUSD Holds Structure Within Ascending Channel – Is 1.1400 NextOANDA:EURUSD is still trading within an ascending channel that has been well maintained since mid-May. After completing a corrective move toward the confluence area around 1.1258 – where the bottom of the ascending channel and a horizontal support zone intersect – price has bounced back with clear buying strength. The continued respect of the lower boundary suggests that the trend structure remains intact, and buyers are cautiously maintaining control of the market.
The recent low can be viewed as a potential demand zone, as price reacted quickly and formed a recovery candle pattern near the trendline. With the ascending channel still intact, the preferred scenario is a continued move toward the mid-line of the channel around the 1.1400 area – which is also the nearest technical target. Buyers appear to be regaining control, but a clear confirmation through price action remains a key factor before entering any position.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing, pin bar, or marubozu candles accompanied by strong volume, as these could serve as the initial confirmation for long entries. Conversely, if price breaks below this support zone and falls out of the ascending channel, the short-term outlook should be reassessed with caution.
This is a personal view based on price action and technical analysis. It is not financial advice. Always adhere to risk management in every trading decision.
USDJPY COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend.
🎯 Non Commercials added 6K longs nad just 300 shorts, I still see a price coming higher but, first liquidity is lower so it makes more sense to close shorts on lower prices and overall still the exposure seems more bearish.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
💊 Tip
if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
GBPUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend.
🎯 Longs and shorts decreasing but overal maintained bullish exposure 58% which is not much but seems to me like Key level will be reached..
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
💊 Tip
if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
EURUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend.
🎯 Non Commercials closed longs and added shorts.It still seems to me like EUR dropping lower but it will have to take liquidity levels above.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
💊 Tip
if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Skeptic | Watchlist #1 - May 27, 2025: XAG/USD, EUR/USD, USD/JPYHey everyone, Skeptic here! Starting today, I’m kicking off a daily watchlist to share the setups I’m eyeing! 😎 These are the pairs I’m personally trading or watching for trigger activations. Feel free to create a dedicated section in your TradingView called “ Skeptic ” and plug in this watchlist with the triggers I provide. Then, based on your own strategy, jump into trades at those key levels if they align with your plan. My watchlist format will include a screenshot of the 4H or 1H timeframe with long/short triggers marked on the chart. If needed, I’ll add quick explanations or tips, but I’m keeping it short, sharp, and to the point to maximize your value. The goal? Help you blend these setups with your own strategy without overloading you with fluff. Let’s dive into today’s Daily Forex Watchlist!
👀XAG/USD
Long Trigger : 33.68855,
Short Trigger : 31.91991.
👀EUR/USD
Long Trigger : 1.14183,
Short Trigger : 1.12663.
👀USD/JPY
Long Trigger : 144.125,
Short Trigger : 142.218.
💬 Let’s Chat!
If this watchlist sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a ton! 😊 Thanks for joining me— let’s grow together! ✌️
EURUSD I Weekly CLS, Daily CLS I Model 2Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
USDJPY I Daily CLS Nested In Weekly CLS, Model 1Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
bullish on EurUsdstructure is key fundamentals when you are trading.
EU, is super bullish- however, we found a nice opportunity to take this buy. price broke structure at 1.13700 on H4 TF, we wait for price to come back down to key level at 1.13321 to take the buy.
target TP#1 1.14900
targetTP#2 1.15730
GBPJPY H1 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 193.49, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 192.83, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.6% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss is set at 194.19, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY H1 I Bullish Rise Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just bounced off our buy entry at 142.31. a swing low support.
Our take profit is set at 142.71, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 141.65, below the 161.8% Fibo extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our sell entry at 1.1397 (Bearish OB)
Our take profit will be at 1.1342, a pullback support.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.1457, above the 161.8% Fibo extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY InsightWelcome, dear subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe.
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump announced a delay of the 50% tariff, which he had warned would take effect from June 1, until July 9.
- Nvidia’s earnings will be released after the market closes on the 28th, drawing attention as a potential catalyst for increased risk appetite.
- At the opening of the two-day conference themed “New Challenges in Monetary Policy” on the 27th, BOJ Governor Ueda stated that "Japan’s inflation is closer to the target than at any time in the past 30 years," and added, "As economic activity and prices improve, we will adjust the level of monetary easing as necessary to achieve the sustainable 2% inflation target, within the range that reinforces confidence in our baseline scenario based on incoming data."
Key Economic Events This Week
+ May 28: FOMC Meeting Minutes
+ May 29: U.S. Q1 GDP
+ May 30: U.S. April PCE Price Index
USDJPY Chart Analysis
While it initially seemed like a short-term uptrend was forming with 149 as the peak, the pair broke below the 144 level, failing to establish the uptrend. The breakdown below the support line suggests a possible decline toward the 140 level. After reaching the low, we will need to monitor the situation, but a rebound is expected at this point.
If the 140 level is breached, we will quickly develop a new strategy.
Technical Analysis for EUR/USD (4-Hour Chart)The EUR/USD pair is currently displaying a strong bullish structure, characterized by a sequence of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). Price action has been respecting the ascending trendline, which reinforces the ongoing upward momentum.
A Buy Stop order is placed at 1.14234, just above a recent resistance level, anticipating a breakout continuation. The Stop Loss (SL) is set at 1.13651, safely below the most recent higher low, providing a cushion against false breakouts.
Two Take Profit (TP) levels are marked:
TP1: 1.1482, aligning with a key resistance zone from previous structure.
TP2: 1.1540, which extends into a zone of untested highs, serving as an optimistic target in case of strong bullish momentum.
The RSI (14) currently reads 64.07, approaching the overbought threshold of 70. This suggests bullish strength, although traders should monitor for potential divergence or exhaustion signs if price nears the TP levels.
With a lot size of 0.03 and an equity of $10,000, this trade maintains a conservative risk exposure, suitable for trend continuation setups.
EUR/USD remains bullish in the short-term. A break above 1.14234 could open the door to further gains toward 1.1482 and 1.1540, provided the trendline holds and RSI doesn't show significant bearish divergence. Maintain tight risk management and monitor price reaction at key levels.