AUD/CHF BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
Bullish trend on AUD/CHF, defined by the green colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is oversold based on the BB lower band proximity, makes me expect a bullish rebound from the support line below and a retest of the local target above at 0.522.
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Forex market
GBPUSD Will Grow! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 1.329.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.342 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USDCAD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.384.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.378 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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AUD-CAD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CAD shot up sharply
But the pair failed to break
A horizontal resistance
Level of 0.8880 and we are
Already seeing a local pullback
Which is likely to turn into a
Local correction on Monday
So we can enter a short trade
With the Take Profit of 0.8779
And the Stop Loss of 0.8887
Sell!
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Trend Exhaustion SignalsTrend Exhaustion Signals: How to Know When a Trend is Losing Steam
Every trend eventually runs out of fuel. Knowing when momentum is fading can give you the edge to exit early, avoid late entries, or even prepare for a reversal. This article dives into key signs of trend exhaustion and how to trade around them.
🔵Understanding Trend Exhaustion
Trends can persist far longer than expected, but they don’t last forever. Trend exhaustion occurs when the driving force behind a trend—be it buying or selling pressure—starts to weaken. Recognizing this shift is crucial for:
Protecting profits
Avoiding bad entries
Spotting early reversal opportunities
🔵1. RSI and MACD Divergence
A classic signal of trend exhaustion is divergence between price and momentum indicators like RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence).
Bearish Divergence: Price makes a higher high, but the indicator makes a lower high.
Bullish Divergence: Price makes a lower low, but the indicator makes a higher low.
This suggests that although price continues in the trend's direction, momentum is lagging—a red flag for potential exhaustion.
🔵2. Volume Dry-Up
Volume is the fuel of trends. When volume starts to shrink during a strong move, it often signals that the crowd is losing interest or that institutions are offloading positions.
In an uptrend, a series of green candles with decreasing volume = caution.
In a downtrend, falling volume can signal seller fatigue.
🔵3. Long-Wick Candles at Extremes
Candlestick patterns offer visual clues of exhaustion. When you start seeing long upper wicks at the top of an uptrend (or long lower wicks at the bottom of a downtrend), it means price is being rejected from continuing further.
Common exhaustion patterns:
Shooting Star (bearish)
Inverted Hammer (bullish)
Doji at highs/lows
These patterns are more reliable when they form near resistance or support zones.
🔵4. Structure Break: CHoCH and BOS
Market structure tells a deeper story than indicators. Two key terms here:
CHoCH (Change of Character): The first sign of reversal—a higher low broken in an uptrend, or a lower high broken in a downtrend.
BOS (Break of Structure): The confirmation—a key swing point is broken, confirming a new trend.
Traders can watch for these breaks to anticipate when the current trend is ending and a reversal is forming.
🔵5. Parabolic Price Action & Overextension
When a trend becomes parabolic—with steep, accelerating price movement—it often signals the final stage of the trend. This is when retail traders usually enter, and smart money begins to exit.
Warning signs:
Sudden vertical moves
Price far above/below moving averages
Lack of consolidation or pullbacks
Parabolic moves are unsustainable. Look for reversion to the mean or a sharp correction.
🔵How to Trade Around Trend Exhaustion
Tighten Stops: If in a winning trend trade, consider locking in profits or trailing your stop.
Avoid Chasing Entries: Late entries into exhausted trends are high-risk, low-reward.
Prepare for Reversal Setups: Watch for confirmation (CHoCH, divergence, candle patterns) before entering counter-trend positions.
Use Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Exhaustion on the 1H chart may just be a pullback on the 4H. Always zoom out for context.
Trend exhaustion is a natural part of market behavior. Recognizing the signs—such as divergence, fading volume, long wicks, structure breaks, and parabolic moves—can help you time exits better and avoid late trades. Instead of reacting after the fact, you’ll be prepared in advance. Add these tools to your trading routine and stay one step ahead of the crowd.
EURUSD - at Resistance: Will it drop to 1.11300?OANDA:EURUSD price is now at a strong resistance level, this is an area where it has struggled to break through in the past and reversed to the downside. It's also where sellers have stepped in before, so it’s worth keeping an eye on, especially for anyone considering short trades.
If we start seeing signs that the price is getting rejected here: like long wicks, bearish candles, or buyers starting to lose momentum, I think we could see a move down toward the 1.11300 level. But if price breaks through this zone clearly, that might dismiss the bearish idea and suggest even more upside will continue.
This area is pretty important and could give us a better idea of where price is headed next.
Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk wisely.
GOLDMASTER1 | EURJPY 15M LONG---
EURJPY SETUP - SMART MONEY CONCEPTS (SMC) ANALYSIS
Price is currently ranging above a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) and sitting near a Bullish Order Block.
Liquidity is resting just below the range
Anticipating a liquidity sweep into the FVG zone
Ideal entry around 161.550–161.785 with confirmation
Targeting the Bearish Order Block near 162.575
This setup follows classic SMC principles — wait for price to fill the imbalance, tap into demand, and then push toward premium levels.
PLAN THE TRADE. LET THE MARKET COME TO YOU.
GOLDMASTER1---
USDCAD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure point
Around Psychological Level 1.38500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.49
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
GC1! Gold Futures Weekly Outlook. Expecting Mid week reversalCOMEX:GC1!
Expecting a massive meltdown on Gold after $3400. On the Daily Internal Range Liquidity.
Trading All Time Highs is different compare to trading when you have a data on the left. Very volatile conditions on GOLD. I will buy from a 4H orderflow upto $3400. Then would short from $3400 CME_MINI:NQ1!
EURO - Price can fall to $1.1200 points, exiting from triangleHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price first broke out of a falling wedge pattern, kicking off a sharp rally that gained serious momentum.
The move ran into resistance at $1.1440, where price began stalling and transitioned into a triangle setup.
Since then, price has been wedged inside the triangle, testing highs but struggling to break convincingly.
The support trendline still holds, but each push upward is met with rejection near the resistance ceiling.
Momentum is fading, and with volume drying up, a downside move is becoming more likely from this zone.
I expect that the Euro can break lower from the triangle and fall to $1.1200 points in the upcoming sessions.
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USDJPY 1WUSDJPY Weekly Analysis: Potential Long Opportunity
On the weekly timeframe, USDJPY has impulsively closed the previous month's low and reached one of the potential zones of interest. This is where I plan to start accumulating long positions.
Target: My primary target is 158.39, which aligns with a key imbalance zone.
Tomorrow, I will share more detailed insights and specifics on a local timeframe to refine entry points and further validate the setup.
Stay tuned for updates!
USDJPY4HJPYUSD 4H Local Timeframe Analysis
On the 4-hour local timeframe, after clearing liquidity in the form of last month's low, I am considering a long position from the weekly order block. On the local timeframe, the entry is planned at the OTE level.
On the 1-hour timeframe, there is a shift in character (CHOCH), signaling a potential reversal. However, I am cautious as this shift may be false. A change in character often points to a possible market reversal, but confirmation is key.
Trade Plan:
This is a long-term trade, so we will manage risk carefully. The risk per trade is limited to 1% of the deposit, with the stop-loss placed beyond the boundary of the weekly order block.
Targets:
Target 1: 155.88This is a slightly challenging level as it contains an OTE zone, where a reversal is possible, though unlikely. Upon reaching this target, the stop-loss will be moved to breakeven, securing the trade.
Target 2: 156.75At this level, 30% of the position will be closed to lock in profits.
Final Target: 158.87This corresponds to the imbalance on the weekly timeframe. The position will be fully closed at this level.
Summary:
By following this plan, risk is minimized, and profits are strategically secured along the way. The long setup is based on higher timeframe confluences and potential price reversals indicated by changes in market structure.
NZD/CAD Chart Analysis (30m TF) Market Outlook: BearishNZD/CAD Chart Analysis (30m TF)
Market Outlook: Bearish
Entry Point:
Sell at 0.82192 (current price zone marked with horizontal line and price tag)
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 0.81483 (first horizontal support line)
Final TP: 0.80768 (second and lower support zone)
Support Levels:
0.81483 — Minor support (first target)
0.80768 — Strong support (final target area)
Resistance Level:
0.82192 — Immediate resistance (entry point zone)
Minor intraday resistance near 0.82350 (local highs)
Technical Observation:
Price formed a lower high and is consolidating below resistance.
Bearish breakout setup drawn with projection to the downside.
Confirmation to sell upon clear breakdown below support area and continuation pattern forming.
USDCAD -short-Taking a small short position on USDCAD based simply on chart price action and fib extensions.
First target the 0.786 and the 2nd the .886.
The absolutely clear rejection of 1.387 is a great signal, stop loss placed abbove the wick of the previous weekly candle, will transition to a trailing stop after position starts to move.