GBPCHFAnalysis complete — scenarios outlined. The zone could be a decision point for . Price reaction here may define the next move.
If price breaks and pulls back to retest, a reversal setup might emerge.
Forex market
EURAUD BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 **EUR/AUD TRADE PLAN 🔥**
📅 **Date:** 30 June 2025
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📋 **Trade Plan Overview**
| Parameter | Details |
| ---------- | -------------------- |
| Type | Swing / Intra-Day |
| Direction | Conditional Buy Plan |
| Status | Pending Confirmation |
| R\:R | 3.0 : 1 |
| Confidence | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (85%) |
---
📈 **Market Bias & Trade Type**
Bias: **Bullish continuation**
Trade Type: **Conditional breakout/retest continuation**
EUR/AUD is consolidating near local highs after a sustained uptrend on the D1 and H4. The price action shows a potential for bullish continuation if the 1.7950 zone is broken and confirmed.
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🔰 **Confidence Level**
⭐⭐⭐⭐ (85%)
* D1 + H4 bullish structure: +40%
* H1 compression breakout potential: +20%
* No macro contradiction / AUD weak: +15%
* Sentiment +6: +10%
---
📌 **Status**
**Pending confirmation** — Conditional plan, no risk live until trigger + confirm.
---
📍 **Entry Zones**
🟩 **Primary Buy Zone:** Buy Stop at **1.7952** (+2 pip buffer above high)
🟧 **Secondary (if breakout-retest scenario forms):** Limit at **1.7920–1.7930** (H1 OB + retest zone)
---
❗ **Stop Loss**
SL: **1.7890** (below H1 structure low inside consolidation, 1x ATR buffer)
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🎯 **Take Profit Targets**
🥇 TP1: **1.8000** (local psychological level)
🥈 TP2: **1.8050** (H4 liquidity pool)
🥉 TP3: **1.8120** (extension / swing high target)
---
📏 **Risk\:Reward**
TP1: 1.5:1
TP2: 3.0:1
TP3: 4.5:1
---
🧠 **Management Strategy**
* Risk 0.5% if stop-order triggers
* SL to breakeven after TP1 hit
* 50% off at TP1, 30% at TP2, trail 20% to TP3
* Cancel limit plan if stop-order triggers clean breakout
* Full exit on H1 BOS bearish against
---
⚠️ **Confirmation Checklist**
✅ M30/H1 bullish body close above 1.7950
✅ Volume surge at break
✅ London/NY session break only
✅ No fakeout wick rejection
---
⏳ **Validity**
H1 stop plan: 12-18 hours
H4 retest limit plan: 48 hours
---
❌ **Invalidation Conditions**
* Close below 1.7890 on H1
* Clean HTF BOS bearish
* Re-entry into deeper consolidation below 1.7900
---
🌐 **Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot**
* Sentiment: +6 (EUR holding strength, AUD macro weak)
* DXY steady, no major red news today
* Cross-market: XAU/USD neutral, no risk-off spikes
* No AUD macro tailwind visible
---
📋 **Final Trade Summary**
Conditional buy breakout at 1.7952 pending confirmation. Stop 1.7890, TPs 1.8000 / 1.8050 / 1.8120. Only active on clean session break + volume. Risk tightly managed with no pre-risk until confirm.
EURGBP DAILY FORECAST Q3 D30 W27 Y25EURGBP DAILY FORECAST Q3 D30 W27 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
POTENTIAL SELL OPPORTUNITY IN EURJPYPrice is set drop from the current price after we encountered a resistant around the high of 169.836 a sell opportunity is envisaged from the current market price. Target profit is at 165.999
EURUSD: focus on jobs dataThe major macro data for this week, the PCE indicator, was posted on Friday. The Personal Consumption Expenditure index, Feds favorite inflation gauge, increased by 0,1% in May, bringing the index to the level of 2,3% on a yearly basis. Both figures were in line with market expectations. The core PCE was a bit higher than anticipated, at the level of 0,2% for the month and 2,7% for the year. A bit surprising figures came from Personal Income in May, which dropped by -0,4%, while the Personal Spending was down by -0,1% in May. Analysts are noting that implemented trade tariffs are slowly beginning to reflect in the personal spending of the US citizens. Also, this sort of potential development was noted by the Fed during the last two FOMC meetings.
The rest of posted macro data for the US included the Existing Home Sales in May reached 4,03M, which was an increase of 0,8% on a monthly basis. This was significantly above the market estimate of -1,3%. The Durable Goods Orders in May were higher by 16,4%, surpassing the market estimate of 8,5%. The GDP Growth Rate final for Q1was standing in a negative territory of -0,5% for the quarter, and was higher from market expectation of -0,2%. The end of the week brought University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment figures final for June, which was standing at 60,7 and was in line with estimates. The Inflation Expectations were a bit higher from the previous estimate, ending the June with expected 5% inflation, while the market was expecting to see 5,1%.
The HCOB Manufacturing PMI flash for June in Germany was standing at the level of 49, while the same index for the Euro Zone reached 49,4. Both indicators were in line with market expectations. The Ifo Business Climate in Germany in June reached 88,4, in line with market estimates. The GfK Consumer Confidence in July was at the level of -20,3, a bit higher from estimated -19,3.
The eurusd was traded with a bullish sentiment during the previous week. The currency pair started the week around the level of 1,1460 and continued toward the upside for the rest of the week. The highest weekly level at 1,1741 was reached in Friday's trading session. The RSI reached the clear overbought market side as of the end of the week, at the level of 71. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication that the potential cross is near.
The market favored the euro during the last two weeks. It comes as a result of insecurity when it comes to potential negative impact of implemented trade tariffs, which are slowly revealing in the US economy. The week ahead brings more jobs data, including JOLTs, NFP and unemployment rate, which will shape the investors sentiment. Some increased volatility might be ahead. The resistance level at 1,17 has been clearly tested during the previous week, and it will mark the beginning of the week ahead. The RSI is pointing to a higher probability of a short term reversal in the coming period, which might occur in the week ahead, impacted, most probably, by jobs data. In case of a reversal, the level of 1,1620 might easily be the next target. On the opposite side, there is a lower probability of a further move above the 1,17 level, however, the market might spend some time here, before a decision to make further move.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Retail Sales in May in Germany, Inflation Rate preliminary in June for both Germany and the Euro Zone, Unemployment Rate in June in Germany,
USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI in June, JOLTs Job Openings in May, Non-farm Payrolls in June, Unemployment rate in June, Average Hourly Earnings and Spending, ISM Services PMI in June
GBP/JPY Trades Lower After Breaching 198.0 SupportGBP/JPY declined from recent highs, currently trading around 197.3. The break below Friday’s 198.0 low intensified the downtrend, with the pair nearing a key support at 196.9.
A temporary rebound toward 198.0 is possible before the downtrend resumes toward 196.0. The bearish outlook is invalidated if GBP/JPY breaks above 198.9.
Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 144.61
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 146.11
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 142.70
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPUSD📌 GBPUSD – Scenario-Based Plan
The first level I’ve marked is a short-term zone.
If we get a strong buy signal there with good R/R, I’ll enter and trail aggressively.
The second level is a stronger demand zone and a better area for potential long setups.
❗️Remember: These are just scenarios — not predictions.
We stay ready for whatever the market delivers.
GBPUSD - trade - Market Structure GBPUSD - trade - Market Structure , this is a short trade, very clean setup, use risk and trade managment for best result
Bullish reversal?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.4% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.7950
Why we like it:
There is a support level at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.4% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 0.7899
Why we like it:
There is a support level at the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 0.8052
Why we like it:
Thee is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EU on 4HEU on 4H - pretending to be bullish. showing signs to go up but on lower timeframe it shows it can be scalped the way through
EURNZD🎯 EURNZD Setup
Waiting for price to reach our key level.
If we get a buy signal there, I’ll go long. But if the level breaks and we get a proper pullback, I’ll look to short.
No predictions — just reacting with a clear plan and risk control.
🟢 Long on reaction
🔴 Short on break & pullback
GBP/CAD – Bearish Reversal Setup (1H Timeframe)We’re currently observing the GBP/CAD pair, which has been in a strong bullish trend. However, clear signs of a potential reversal are now forming.
A classic Double Top pattern has emerged on the 1H chart, supported by bearish divergence — both indicating weakening bullish momentum. With this confluence, we anticipate a trend reversal from bullish to bearish and are preparing a sell trade setup accordingly.
🔹 Pair: GBP/CAD
🔹 Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Trend: Bullish (reversal expected)
🔹 Pattern: Double Top
🔹 Divergence: Bearish
🔹 Bias: Bearish
🔹 Entry (Sell Stop): 1.87077
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.88371
🔹 Take Profit 1: 1.85783
🔹 Lot Size: 0.21
🔹 Risk/Reward: 1:1
🔹 Risk: $200
🔹 Potential Reward: $200
🎯 Strategy: Entry will activate only after a confirmed break below the neckline of the double top. Risk is controlled with a clear stop-loss and 1:1 reward setup.
📌 #GBPCAD #ForexSignals #DoubleTop #BearishReversal #TechnicalAnalysis #DivergenceTrading #TrendReversal #SmartMoney #1HChart #ForexTradeIdeas #BearishSetup #RiskManagement #PriceAction
GBPJPY Eyes 200 BoJ Dovishness & Bullish UK SentimentGBPJPY pair has staged a decisive breakout from a multi-day consolidation zone, with technical momentum and macro fundamentals aligning in favor of further upside. Price action has respected a bullish continuation structure — a falling wedge followed by horizontal accumulation — and is now pressing toward the psychological 200.00 level. With the Bank of England holding firm on policy and the Bank of Japan maintaining its ultra-loose stance, GBPJPY presents one of the strongest carry trade setups in the market. Here's a breakdown of what’s driving this move and what to watch next:
📈 Current Bias: Bullish
The pair has confirmed a bullish breakout above the 198.80–198.95 resistance zone, targeting higher fib extensions at 199.40 and 200.00. Momentum is clearly on the bulls’ side as GBPJPY follows through on a textbook pattern breakout.
🔍 Key Fundamentals:
Bank of Japan’s Dovish Stance: The BoJ continues to resist any significant tightening, reaffirming yield curve control and negative real yields. This keeps the yen fundamentally weak, especially against higher-yielding currencies.
Bank of England’s Hawkish Hold: Despite global easing signals, the BoE remains cautious and data-dependent, with inflation still sticky in the UK. This underpins GBP strength relative to the yen.
Global Risk Appetite: Strong equity markets, especially the US500 rally, reduce demand for the safe-haven JPY and increase appetite for high-yielding cross pairs like GBPJPY.
⚠️ Risks to the Trend:
Safe-Haven Shocks: Any sudden geopolitical tension (e.g., Middle East, US-China trade rhetoric) may trigger JPY demand and reverse the bullish flow.
Unexpected BoE Dovish Pivot: A surprise in UK inflation or dovish commentary from the BoE could weaken GBP momentum.
JPY Intervention Risks: With the yen near historically weak levels, any threat or action from Japan’s Ministry of Finance or verbal intervention by BoJ officials could spark sudden volatility.
📅 Key News/Events Ahead:
Japan’s Tankan Survey (June 30): May influence BoJ tone.
UK Final Manufacturing PMI (July 3): A key gauge for growth momentum.
BoE Governor Bailey Speech (July 5): Any hints on policy trajectory will be market-moving.
US NFP & Global Risk Sentiment: Impacts broader carry trade appetite.
⚖️ Leader or Lagger?
GBPJPY is a leader — it often acts as the flagship pair for carry trade demand. Moves in GBPJPY frequently guide sentiment across other JPY pairs like CADJPY, AUDJPY, and NZDJPY, especially when driven by macro divergences. Its high beta to risk sentiment also makes it a prime barometer for global financial mood.
🎯 Conclusion:
GBPJPY has momentum, macro divergence, and a clean technical setup on its side. The breakout above consolidation favors a continued rally toward 199.40 and possibly 200.00. While geopolitical or policy shocks remain risks, the current backdrop supports staying bullish while above the 197.65 invalidation level.
USDCHF Analysis – "Dollar Trying to Break Free from Downtrend"USDCHF is breaking out from a multi-week descending channel.
Structure shows a potential trend reversal from the June 12th low.
First bullish leg may target the 23.6% Fib level at 0.8266, followed by an extended move toward 0.8355.
Key resistance: 0.8266 and 0.8355 (Fib levels)
Stop loss: around 0.8093–0.8056 zone (previous support and breakout base)
Structure Bias: Bullish breakout after prolonged downtrend – confirmation depends on sustained move above 0.8200
📊 Current Bias: Cautiously Bullish
🧩 Key Fundamentals Driving USDCHF
USD Side (Mildly Bearish to Neutral):
FOMC held rates, Dot Plot showed only one cut expected for 2025, but Powell’s tone was less hawkish.
US Retail Sales soft, and PPI/CPI showed signs of inflation cooling.
Recent risk-off sentiment (Middle East, oil spikes, equity volatility) supports the USD.
Trump commentary and 2025 election anticipation bring long-term uncertainty.
CHF Side (Strong but potentially weakening):
SNB held rates steady, with cautious tone—no urgency to hike again.
Safe-haven flows still support CHF, but waning inflation and stronger global equity market might reduce CHF appeal.
SNB has hinted at FX intervention readiness, which could weaken CHF if necessary.
⚠️ Risks That May Reverse or Accelerate Trend
False breakout risk if 0.82 fails to hold → deeper pullback toward 0.8090
Stronger CHF demand on geopolitical fear (Israel–Iran, Ukraine)
Unexpectedly weak US data this week or renewed Fed dovish talk
🗓️ Important News to Watch
US: Core PCE, GDP revision (June 27), jobless claims
CHF: Swiss CPI, SNB FX intervention chatter
Risk sentiment: Iran/Israel tensions, equity volatility, Trump Fed commentary
🏁 Which Asset Might Lead the Broader Move?
USDCHF could mirror sentiment across CHF pairs—if risk-on resumes and CHF weakens across the board (EURCHF, NZDCHF also rallying), USDCHF may accelerate higher.
AUD/CAD – Bearish Reversal Setup (1H Timeframe)We’re monitoring AUD/CAD closely after a strong bullish trend. However, signs of exhaustion are now visible.
A Double Top — a classic bearish reversal pattern — has formed on the 1H chart, and a bearish divergence is also present, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Based on this confluence, we anticipate a trend reversal from bullish to bearish and are preparing a sell trade accordingly.
🔹 Pair: AUD/CAD
🔹 Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Trend: Bullish (reversal expected)
🔹 Pattern: Double Top
🔹 Divergence: Bearish
🔹 Bias: Bearish
🔹 Entry (Sell Stop): 0.89045
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.89643
🔹 Take Profit 1: 0.88447
🔹 Lot Size: 0.45
🔹 Risk/Reward: 1:1
🔹 Risk: $200
🔹 Potential Reward: $200
🎯 Strategy: Entry will trigger after confirmation of neckline break from the double top pattern. Trade is structured with a balanced risk-to-reward ratio.
📌 #AUDCAD #ForexSignals #BearishReversal #DoubleTopPattern #DivergenceTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceActionSetup #TrendReversal #SmartMoney #1HChart #ForexTradeIdeas #RiskManagement #BearishBias
Bearish drop?USD/CAD is reacting off the resistance level which is pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3690
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3797
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 1.3555
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish ContinuationI am expecting price to continue higher from this fresh demand zone to take out the 4hr weak HH.
30-06-2025 _ Short Term Bullish Idea _ EURUSD H11- Price is in an uptrend and consolidating at the moment.
2- Potential Bullish Rectangle.
3- Potential Divergence developing on MACD.
4- We can look for a push to the upside towards Daily Resistance Zone.
EURAUD CONTINUING BULLISH TREND STRUCTUREEUR/AUD Continues Bullish Trend – Key Levels to Monitor.
The EUR/AUD pair is sustaining its bullish trend structure, reinforced by a bullish engulfing candle following a secondary correction. This price action signals strong buying interest and suggests the uptrend is likely to continue in the upcoming trading sessions. Traders should watch for potential breakout opportunities toward higher targets while keeping an eye on key support levels for risk management.
Bullish Confirmation: Bullish Engulfing Candle.
The appearance of a bullish engulfing candle after a pullback indicates a resurgence of buyer dominance. This pattern typically marks the end of a temporary decline and the resumption of the primary uptrend. With momentum favoring the bulls, the pair is expected to push higher unless a clear reversal signal emerges.
Upside Target: 1.82700 in Focus.
If the bullish momentum holds, EUR/AUD could advance toward the immediate resistance at 1.82700. A decisive break above this level may open the door for further gains, with traders looking for continuation patterns to confirm strength.
Key Support: 1.76300 as Critical Floor.
On the downside, 1.76300 serves as a crucial support level. Any retracement toward this zone could attract fresh buying interest, maintaining the bullish bias. A sustained drop below this level would be needed to invalidate the current uptrend and signal a potential reversal.
Outlook: Bullish Trend Intact.
Given the recent price action, EUR/AUD remains poised for further upside. Traders should monitor economic developments, including Eurozone and Australian economic data, for additional directional cues.
Conclusion-
EUR/AUD’s bullish trend remains strong, with 1.82700 as the next key target and 1.76300 acting as major support. Unless a bearish reversal pattern forms, buying on dips near support levels may present favorable opportunities. Always use proper risk management to navigate potential volatility.
USDCHF-Reversal Coming SoonDear Traders,
📊 Technical Analysis – USD/CHF (Daily Timeframe)
Date: June 30, 2025
🇺🇸 English:
Price is currently testing a strong support zone around the 0.7920 level.
A bullish divergence is visible between price and RSI (price made a lower low while RSI made a higher low), indicating weakening selling pressure and a potential reversal.
The Fibonacci 1.272 extension at 0.79231 aligns with this support zone and may act as a key level for a bounce.
If price reacts positively and breaks above the short-term downtrend, potential upside targets include 0.8200 and 0.8470.
Alternative scenario: If the 0.7920 support fails, there is a risk of a deeper drop and formation of a new lower low.
Summary Signal:
✅ Bullish divergence spotted
📉 Current trend: Bearish
📌 Critical zone: 0.7920 – 0.7930
📈 Potential upside targets: 0.8200 and then 0.8470
Regards,
Alireza!
GJ-Mon-30/06/25 TDA-Near end of month candle closureAnalysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
I often share my live trades in Tradingview public chat in London session, stay tuned!
Random daily reminder:
Keep pushing forward, learn, make mistake, improve.
Have patience, you are getting there day by day.
-How would you see yourself in 3 years?
-Are you willing to take sacrifices in order to
create for yourself opportunity to live the life you want to?
Journal down consistently, so you keep track of your progress
and see how far you have come.
Don't underestimate the power of little compounds over time.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
AUD/CAD – Bearish Reversal Setup (1H Timeframe)We’re monitoring AUD/CAD closely after a strong bullish trend. However, signs of exhaustion are now visible.
A Double Top — a classic bearish reversal pattern — has formed on the 1H chart, and a bearish divergence is also present, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Based on this confluence, we anticipate a trend reversal from bullish to bearish and are preparing a sell trade accordingly.
🔹 Pair: AUD/CAD
🔹 Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Trend: Bullish (reversal expected)
🔹 Pattern: Double Top
🔹 Divergence: Bearish
🔹 Bias: Bearish
🔹 Entry (Sell Stop): 0.89045
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.89643
🔹 Take Profit 1: 0.88447
🔹 Lot Size: 0.45
🔹 Risk/Reward: 1:1
🔹 Risk: $200
🔹 Potential Reward: $200
🎯 Strategy: Entry will trigger after confirmation of neckline break from the double top pattern. Trade is structured with a balanced risk-to-reward ratio.
📌 #AUDCAD #ForexSignals #BearishReversal #DoubleTopPattern #DivergenceTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceActionSetup #TrendReversal #SmartMoney #1HChart #ForexTradeIdeas #RiskManagement #BearishBias
