06.11.24 Morning Forecast (Post Election)Pairs on Watch - FX:EURUSD FX:EURGBP FX:NZDUSD A short overview of the instruments I am looking at for today, multi-timeframe analysis down to what I will be looking at for an entry. Enjoy! 08:30by JordanWillson443
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GBP/USD Resumes Bearish TrendGBP/USD Resumes Bearish Trend Trump's victory in the US Elections has bolstered the US Dollar. The USD's strength this month has been tied to Trump's win, so it was anticipated that his victory would support further USD strength. The price has already dropped nearly 200 pips during the early hours of the European morning. It is likely that the price may continue to decline during the opening of the London and US markets, as trading volume is expected to increase significantly. The market still needs to fully absorb Trump's victory, which could lead to further short-term strengthening of the USD. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Shortby KlejdiCuni5523
AUDJPY a trade of 500 Pips???The AUD/JPY has recovered from 5 August dip thus far, gaining more than 10% over the past month. The push to a new near-term higher high seems to suggest that the bulls remain in near-term control, as the daily RSI eye for a move back above its mid-line. However on H1 and H4 AUDJPY trend analysis has been on the downside which give us a sell opportunity. Recent events reveals Selling this pair will be suitable so Selling upon every rise is advised with the stop level of 102.20..GOOD LUCK followers Shortby FOREX-MASTER1Updated 3318
GBPJPY shortGBPJPY has retested the previous sell orderblock and has printed a bearish pin bar on the 4h chart. It could be potentially moving down the green orderblock where the last price pivot occurred at 195.352Shortby bethalldaybae4
GBPUSD 1st entry update GU has been making me sweat but I'm not badging. Follow for final results, check previous posts for more. Check out the trading style on YouTube.Longby ManMcPriceaction3
EURUSD falls towards 1.060 this weekOn the daily chart, EURUSD fell back quickly, and short-term shorts performed strongly. With Trump's election as the new president, a strong dollar is expected to come. At present, the short-term focus is on the 1.080 mark resistance. If the rebound is not broken, it is expected to continue to fall. The downside target is around 1.060. After breaking it, the support below is around 1.045.Shortby XTrendSpeed0
GBPUSD BUY NOW!!!!!!!GBPUSD filled the gap on the sell side with a strong price rejections from the demand zone from 1D chart confirmation indicating a buying entry am in on buys holding till breakouts from the buyside liquidity JOIN AND ENJOY Lets know your take on this...........Longby CAPTAINFX25
EURUSD - Bullish Double BottomHello Traders ! On Tuesday 22 October, The EURUSD reached the support level (1.07919 - 1.07774). The price formed a double bottom pattern. The neckline is broken🔥 ________________ TARGET: 1.09350🎯Longby Hsan_BenhmedUpdated 101027
GBPUSD → Negative fundamental background. Going to 1.2500FX:GBPUSD is reversing after a retest of strong resistance with no opportunity to enter the liquidity zone. The negative fundamental background is confirmed. The dollar is flying upwards. News channels and not only already declare about the victory of Trump, whose policy is directed towards the strengthening of the dollar. Markets are starting to react accordingly. As for GBPUSD, in the last article I focused your attention on 1.2813 and 1.305: If after a pullback to the resistance the price starts to retest the support, the chances of a breakdown and further decline will increase. The fundamental background, formed at the moment, is favorable for the fall of the currency pair. Resistance levels: 1.294, 1.30, 1.3044 Support levels: 1.2813, 1.2672, 1.25 The technical and fundamental background are going in the same direction. Emphasis on the key support. A slight pullback is possible before further breakout. Also continue to follow the news! Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!Shortby RLinda101041
USDCAD SHORT BIAS-Weekly: Price has reached a resistance that has not been broken since 2020 and it's currently rejecting. Weekly closure will be crucial to see to determine trend bias and have extra confirmation for downside. Currently forming an engulfing candle -Daily: Bearish. Engulfing candle which rejected psych level 1.39500 -4h: Bearish. Currently rejecting Area Of Interest. Wedge formation with break and retest.Shortby jplunalUpdated 0
Short USDCAD on Major multi year resistanceSell set up USDCAD on a multi-year consolidation period with price rejection on major resistance at 1.39383. Risk rewards also seem favourable for a sell set up with SL being placed above the swing high at 1.40023 and the maximum profit target at previous major support at 1.33334 area.Shortby aryoTraderXUpdated 6
Quantitative Analysis in Forex TradingQuantitative Analysis in Forex Trading Forex trading requires various methodologies to be employed to gain market insights and to allow participants to make informed decisions. One such crucial approach is quantitative analysis, a method that involves the use of mathematical models and statistical techniques to analyse financial assets. This article explores the significance of quantitative analysis in traditional forex markets, also mentioning some specifics related to the emerging domain of cryptocurrency* trading. What Is Quantitative Analysis? For traders engaged in quantitative forex trading, it's essential to grasp the fundamental principles that underpin this methodical approach. How Do We Define Quantitative Analysis? Quantitative analysis (QA), by definition, is a methodical and objective approach to examining financial assets and markets through the application of mathematical models, statistical techniques, and computational tools. It involves the systematic interpretation of numerical data to identify patterns, trends, and correlations, providing traders with a foundation for decision-making. Unlike qualitative analysis, which focuses on subjective factors such as management quality or market sentiment, quantitative analysis relies on quantifiable data to create informed trading strategies. Key Data and Metrics Used The QA process commences with comprehensive data collection, whereby a diverse range of financial data is gathered, for example, historical currency exchange rates and economic information. This extensive dataset serves as the foundation for subsequent analysis, enabling the identification of trends, patterns, and potential investment opportunities. Some of the most widely utilised key metrics within the quantitative framework include technical indicators like Simple Moving Average, Exponential Moving Average, Relative Strength Index (RSI), Bollinger Bands, MACD, Stochastic Oscillator, Fibonacci Levels, Standard Deviation, and Correlation Coefficient. On the other hand, relevant economic data for forex traders includes interest rates, GDP, employment data, inflation rates, and trade balances. Application of Quantitative Analysis in Forex Trading Algorithmic trading is an example of how quantitative analysis can be applied in practice, employing computer algorithms to automate trading processes. These algorithms execute trades based on factors such as timing, price movements, liquidity changes, and market signals. The automated approach may enhance trading efficiency. Consider a scenario where a quantitative analyst creates a trading model rooted in the technical analysis of currency exchange rates. Using machine learning algorithms, the model identifies market patterns, generating buy or sell signals. After successful backtesting with historical data, the analyst deploys the model in live markets through an automated trading platform. In another instance, the analyst may employ fundamental analysis, scrutinising interest rate differentials, inflation rates, GDP growth, and other macroeconomic indicators impacting currency exchange rates. Curious to try a quantitative-analysis-based strategy? Try the free TickTrader trading platform. 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This contributes to better risk management and the implementation of mitigation strategies. - Backtesting and Optimisation: Traders can backtest quantitative models using historical data to assess their performance under different market conditions. - Objective Evaluation: Quantitative models provide an objective evaluation of market conditions, helping traders remove emotional biases from their decision-making processes. - Incorporation of Multiple Variables: Quantitative models can incorporate a wide range of variables simultaneously, allowing traders to analyse complex relationships and factors influencing financial markets. Some Drawbacks Along with the benefits of quantitative models, they also have some pitfalls that traders need to consider. - Data Dependency: One of the primary drawbacks is the heavy reliance on the quality and availability of numerical data. 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Concluding Thoughts Quantitative analysis stands as a powerful tool in a trader’s arsenal, offering systematic methodologies to navigate the complexities of financial markets. By acknowledging both the strengths and limitations, market participants can harness the full potential of quantitative analysis methods, integrating them strategically and as a complementary element to qualitative insights for more comprehensive decision-making. Ready to test some quantitative trading strategies? You can open an FXOpen account and try out the possibilities. *At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.Educationby FXOpen2222
GU longObserving a weakening U.S. dollar on election day, I identified a potential opportunity and went long on GBP/USD (GU) with a 20-pip stop loss. The trade played out successfully, validating the setup and approach.Longby martin_kemeiUpdated 1
GBPNZD SHORT-Weekly: Bullish. However, price has reached a support that has not broken since 2016 creating a double top with a doji -Daily: Bearish with recent change of structure. -4h: AOI (Support and resistance) -1h: 61.8% FIB retracement and engulfing candle.Shortby jplunalUpdated 227
Today Eur/USD Techicla Analycis.For today’s EUR/USD technical analysis, the outlook remains neutral with further potential downside in the short term. Key levels to watch include the 1.0871 resistance, which, if broken, could signal a reversal and shift bias to the upside. However, if EUR/USD breaks below 1.0760, the pair may continue its decline, targeting the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 1.0740. A firm break below this level could point towards further weakness, with the next support at 1.0601. On the broader scale, the downtrend from 1.1213 could continue, with the 50% retracement at 1.0404 providing potential support Shortby RONEY3650
GBPUSD → The bearish nature of the market is confirmed. News?FX:GBPUSD behavior on H4-H1 confirms the fact of a characteristic bear market. The price is updating the local minimum and testing a strong liquidity zone before strong news NFP, Unemployment Rate, ISM PMI are published today. The range of expected data is quite wide. Analysts are expecting an aggressive decline in NFP to 106K from the previous 254K. Do you feel the manipulation before the Fed rate meeting, as well as before the U.S. presidential election? It is difficult to prematurely assess the fundamental environment due to the challenging economic environment. Theoretically, the dollar may continue to feel the support in the market, while GBPUSD is sliding downwards on the background of the UK policy. Technically, the price is testing a strong support zone and a counter-trend correction is forming after capturing some liquidity. Emphasis on 1.300 - 1.305 Resistance levels: 1.298, 1.300, 1.305, 1.310 Support levels: 1.284, 1.281 The news can have quite a wide impact on the market and it all depends on the actual data. I expect to see a continuation of the fall from 1.298-1.30-1.305 as a priority. But! Unpredictable data can turn the situation around. If the currency breaks 1.305 and consolidates above this area, the trend may stagger... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!Shortby RLindaUpdated 7743
The Best Level to short USDCAD TP +250/+500 pips🔸Hello traders, let's review the daily chart for USDCAD today. Trading near premium prices of the multiyear range, established in 2023. Currently risk/reward is shifting in bears favor, so it's recommended to look for sell side setups in this market. 🔸Range highs set at 3800, premium prices overhead at 3880 3960 range lows set at 3300 and premium prices below at 3140 3240 current bid is 3885. 🔸Recommended strategy for USDCAD traders: focus on short selling any rips/rallies near market price. price is currently trading near premium levels and is maxed out already, limited upside. TP1 bears +250 TP2 bears +500 pips keep in mind this is a swing trade setup so naturally will take more time to complete / hit both targets. good luck traders! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.Shortby ProjectSyndicateUpdated 1919247
NZDUSD → Speculators waiting for news.... FX:NZDUSD is moving into consolidation after a strong and progressive fall amid a halt in the dollar index. Markets are waiting for news related to the US presidential election.... The currency pair amid strong bullish DXY is not practicing attempts to update local highs with the aim of changing the trend to a bullish one. Buyers are not ready yet, and are waiting for November 5... If Trump is elected, the dollar, supported by a pro-inflationary president, may continue to recover, which, accordingly, will manifest itself in the form of negative dynamics in the currency pair. But, most likely, with the election of a politician from the Democratic Party, the regulators are likely to continue to hold the dovish rate, in which case the NZDUSD will have a chance to change the trend. Resistance levels: 0.6031, 0.6066 Support levels: 0.5953, 0.5915 Technically, bears continue to hold the dominant position. The area 0.5915, 0.585 is a zone of interest in terms of liquidity formation, thus, there is a high probability of reaching these areas... Regards R. Linda!Shortby RLindaUpdated 115
USD/CHF Drops Below 100 SMA Is More Losses Ahead?FxNews —USD/CHF pulled back from the 38.2% Fibonacci level and flipped below the 100-period SMA. The immediate resistance rests at 0.870; if it holds, the bears will likely extend the downtrend to 0.857. A close above the 0.870 critical resistance invalidates the USD/CHF bearish strategy.Shortby FxNews-meUpdated 1
USD/CHF FVG Bearish Gap Hints at Stronger DowntrendFxNews —USD/CHF tested the 100-period simple moving average. Consequently, the 4-hour price chart formed a bearish fair value gap , indicating that the bear market strengthens. Additionally, the AO histogram turned red, suggesting the downtrend should resume. The immediate support rests at the November 4 low, the 0.861 mark. From a technical perspective, the downtrend should continue if USD/CHF closes below 0.861. In this scenario, the bearish trend will likely extend to the 23.6% Fibonacci support level at 0.857. Please note that the bearish outlook will be invalidated if USD/CHF closes and stabilizes above the 0.865 immediate resistance.Shortby FxNews-meUpdated 220
GBP/JPY: Likely to Move HigherHi there, The support zone of 197.545-197.464 needs to hold, and a higher low must form above it for a possible bullish continuation. The price is in a bullish trend on the daily and weekly timeframes, moving toward the 199.026 area. Overall the price has low volatility with strong bullish volume; it will require monitoring. Happy Trading, K.Longby KhiweUpdated 3
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to the resistance area 1.09508.Dear Colleagues. I have redrawn the waves and it seems that the price has not reached the minimum values yet. Apparently wave “4” is the longest correction we have had recently. According to the data, the price tends to the area of strong resistance at 1.07575. This will be the completion of the corrective wave “C”. Then I would still like to see an upward movement with a renewal of the upper levels. At a minimum, I expect to reach the 1.09508 area. A more risky entry into a long position is possible - from current levels. And a more conservative entry is possible - from the area of 1.07575. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!Longby Hellena_TradeUpdated 4040129