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EURUSD NExt year bullishI believe we may see a potential bearish structure commonly referred to as the “Bart Simpson” pattern, followed by a clear upward trend with a prolonged rally and periodic signs of European recovery. This outlook is supported by the expectation that the United States will move away from Democratic governance, and that a similar shift will occur in core European countries that were previously undermined by these corrupt, progressive left-wing governments.
Long
by youbottrade
1
EURO - Price can continue to decline inside falling channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price broke $1.0560 level and fell to support line, after which rose to resistance line and continued to fall. Then price made a gap and fell to support level, after which some time traded near and then made upward impulse. Price broke resistance line with resistance level, and rose to $1.0630 points, but then it started to fall. In falling channel, price broke $1.0560 level again and fell to support area, after which bounced up, making a fake breakout. Next, Euro started to grow and now it continues to move up, therefore I think it can almost reach resistance line. After this, price can turn around and start to fall to $1.0470 support level inside falling channel. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
12
EURO - Price can bounce up from support level to $1.0650Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few moments ago price declined inside falling channel, where it fell from resistance line to $1.0765 level. Then price rose to resistance line of channel, making first gap and then making a downward impulse, exiting from channel. Also then, EUR continued to decline inside a downward pennant, where it broke $1.0765 level and later fell to $1.0470 level. Next, price declined to support line of pennant, after which made a second gap and rose to resistance line of pennant, After this, Euro declined to $1.0470 level and some time traded near, but now it trades close support line. Possible, price can fall to support level, exiting from pennant and then bounce up to $1.0650 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
1
USDJPY → Price Struggles at Resistance, Eyes a PullbackHello, my wonderful friends of Ben! Recently, USDJPY has been struggling to maintain its peak around the 154.00 USD level. The bullish momentum of USDJPY has been hindered by several factors, including the ongoing Fed interest rate meeting. Fundamentally, today is a critical day for the market. At 19:00 GMT, the Fed’s interest rate meeting, with a 93% probability of a 0.25% rate cut decision, will take place. This will make the dollar less attractive. If the dollar starts to adjust downward, it will affect the corresponding currency pairs. However, I do not rule out the possibility that, amidst high volatility, the price could form a retest of the resistance level and a false breakout. Personally, Ben expects the price to consolidate below the resistance area around 155.00, with corrective pressure against the trend dominating in the near future. The current support level is around 152.01. If this level is breached, it could lead USDJPY to a deeper decline, potentially reaching 149.37. Best regards, Bentradegold!
Short
by Bentradegold
3
GBPUSD short ideaIn Q1 2025, shorting GBPUSD could be an attractive strategy due to the relative strength of the USD compared to the GBP. The U.S. economy is expected to outperform the UK, driven by robust consumer spending, low unemployment, and higher interest rates maintained by the Federal Reserve at 5.25%, compared to the Bank of England’s 4.5%. Additionally, lingering UK economic challenges, such as slower GDP growth recovery, cost-of-living pressures, and potential dovish signals from the BoE, could weigh on the GBP. Meanwhile, the USD benefits from its safe-haven appeal amid global uncertainties, further bolstered by strong capital inflows and sustained inflationary pressures that support the Fed’s hawkish stance.This might lead to bearish pressure on GBPUSD and a short would be best to capitalize on these macroeconomic divergences and the expected relative weakness of the GBP against the USD.
Short
by BryceAkwo
GBPAUD Breakout Trendline: Long-Term Bullish ConfirmationThe GBPAUD pair shows signs of a significant trend shift after successfully breaking out of a long-term resistance trendline formed since 2001. Based on trendline analysis, the price consistently experienced pullbacks whenever it touched the resistance line. This pattern is illustrated on the chart with blue arrows indicating previous pullback areas. In the most recent movement, the price has successfully broken out of this resistance trendline, signaling a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. The breakout is marked on the chart with an orange box, followed by a retest marked with a green arrow, further solidifying the breakout zone as a key confirmation. Breaking through the major resistance signifies a significant change in market dynamics, where buying pressure has overcome the previously dominant selling pressure. Breakouts often trigger short-covering by sellers and attract buying interest from other traders, creating bullish momentum. The broken resistance area typically transforms into new support, providing a strong foundation for the continuation of the upward trend. After the breakout from the resistance area, the first bullish target is at the 2.05 resistance level, with further bullish potential towards the psychological level of 2.22. In a more optimistic scenario, the price could continue rising to the next long-term resistance at 2.40. To anticipate a false breakout, a stop loss can be placed below the 1.70 level or below the trendline. If the price moves back below the trendline, it would indicate a failed breakout and a potential continuation of the bearish trend. Disclaimer: This analysis is part of a trading plan and does not constitute trading advice. Technical analysis is probabilistic in nature and does not guarantee profitability. Always practice good risk management in every trading decision.
Long
by DNP-FX
AUDUSD - What message will the Federal Reserve's dotplot have?!The AUDUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. In case of a valid failure of the channel ceiling, we can see the supply zones and sell within those zones with the appropriate risk reward. If the downward momentum decreases, we will look for buy positions on the midline and bottom of the channel. Investors are cautiously anticipating the key decisions from the U.S. Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy meeting. It is widely expected that the central bank will announce its third rate cut of the year and provide projections for 2025. Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS, noted that market participants are eagerly awaiting updates from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and any hints regarding the trajectory of future rate cuts. He stated, “We expect the Federal Reserve to implement a 25 basis point rate cut this week, followed by four additional cuts next year.” The Federal Reserve’s two-day meeting is anticipated to confirm a quarter-point rate reduction while also providing updated projections for potential rate cuts in 2025 and possibly 2026. Meanwhile, the U.S. services sector has expanded at its fastest pace since October 2021, injecting fresh momentum into the economy, even as the manufacturing sector faces a deeper downturn. The S&P Global services index rose from 56.1 to 58.5 in December, while the manufacturing PMI fell to 48.3, marking its lowest level in 55 months. These figures highlight a widening gap between sustained growth in the services sector and further declines in manufacturing. Factory output and order volumes have dropped at a faster pace, while the cost of imported raw materials from China has risen due to concerns over potential tariffs from the Trump administration. Following the release of this data, projections for real private gross investment growth in the fourth quarter dropped from 2.4% to 1.2%, while forecasts for real government spending growth in the same period rose from 2.4% to 2.6%. Additionally, U.S. holiday retail sales for 2024 are expected to reach a remarkable $979 billion. According to a recent report by Fitch Ratings, declining demand poses the most significant risk to global commodity markets if the U.S. imposes new tariffs and affected countries retaliate. Fitch has warned that potential U.S. tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico could weaken global economic growth, particularly in China, the world’s largest consumer of commodities. This could exert significant pressure on base metals, chemical products, and oil markets. However, Fitch also noted that China’s economic stimulus measures could offset some of this pressure. At the same time, new tariffs on specific goods, such as steel and aluminum, could increase price volatility and disrupt trade routes. Bloomberg reported that J.P. Morgan believes the upward trend in European government bonds is nearing its end. The firm now views Australia as the next promising market for stronger performance. Kim Crawford of J.P. Morgan explained that there is limited room for further gains in Europe, as swap markets have already priced in the potential rate cuts by the European Central Bank. He also highlighted that the Reserve Bank of Australia’s stance, which has yet to reduce rates in this cycle, positions Australian bonds for stronger growth compared to other developed markets.
Long
by Ali_PSND
Falling towards 38.2% Fibonacci support?USD/ZAR is falling towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 17.92031 1st Support: 17.78236 1st Resistance: 18.19084 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
2
USDJPY → Consolidation of price in the sell zoneFX:USDJPY reaches a strong resistance at 153.87 within an uptrend. Will this direction continue, as the Fed rate meeting is ahead.... Fundamentally, today is a big day for the markets. At 19:00 GMT the Fed rate meeting, where with a 93% probability the decision to cut interest rates by 0.25% will be made, which will make the dollar less attractive, but for how long, given Trump's policy? Accordingly, the dollar is in a consolidation phase, traders are waiting. If the dollar starts a downward correction, it will affect the currency pair accordingly. But I do not exclude that on the background of high volatility the price may form a retest of resistance and a false breakout. Resistance levels: 154.95, 156.75 Support levels: 151.44, 159.69 At the moment, after the retest of 0.79 fibo and the key resistance at 153.877, the price is consolidating in the selling zone. The fundamental background may increase the pressure, which may lead to a fall. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
5