Buy-the-Dip Setup on GBP/JPY with Target at Previous HighGBP/JPY is currently trading at 188.85, within a corrective move but still preserving its bullish structure, as long as price remains above the 178.00 support floor. The zone between 184.57 and 178.03 marks a strong weekly demand area, which aligns with previous consolidation and demand before impulsive moves.
The price is below the Ichimoku cloud (Span A: 190.90, Span B: 192.93), indicating short-term bearish momentum. However, this could simply be a retracement within a larger bullish trend, especially since the market has not yet broken structure to the downside.
Trend Strength Index (TSI) readings show a clear loss of momentum:
TSI(10): -0.62
TSI(20): -0.56
These values are near oversold levels, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reversal, especially within a key demand zone. Liquidity above recent local highs may serve as fuel for a breakout if bulls reclaim key levels near the cloud base.
If price confirms support at 184–178, the bullish setup targets a return to the previous swing high at 208.11. This would offer a highly favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with the invalidation clearly placed below 178.00.
Trade Setup Summary:
Long Entry Zone: 184.57 – 178.03
Stop Loss: Below 178.00
Target: 208.11 (previous high)
Structure Bias: Bullish above 178.00
The British pound remains relatively strong as the Bank of England signals caution before cutting rates, contrasting with Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy. While the yen remains fundamentally weak, there is always potential for temporary JPY strength due to risk-off flows. However, unless the BoJ surprises with policy shifts, GBP/JPY continues to favor upside on both structural and macroeconomic grounds.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
Forex market
EUR/AUD Weekly – Bullish Retracement Setup Within Strong UptrendThe EUR/AUD is currently trading at 1.7860, having recently rejected the key resistance zone between 1.8000 and 1.8430. Following this rejection, the pair is likely to enter a corrective pullback, offering an opportunity to buy the dip within a strong bullish trend.
The price remains well above the Ichimoku cloud (Span A at 1.7406, Span B at 1.7259), confirming that the medium- to long-term trend is bullish. The Trend Strength Index (TSI) indicators are both in overbought territory:
TSI(10): 0.93
TSI(20): 0.79
This signals that the upward move may need to cool off before continuation. The ideal retracement zone lies between 1.7185 and 1.6837, aligning closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci level of the most recent swing. This zone also acted as previous resistance, which could now turn into support — a classic flip scenario in trending markets.
What strengthens the case for a long setup is that every time TSI has entered oversold territory during this uptrend, price has found strong support and rallied. The TSI behavior shows a consistent pattern of reliable long entries when momentum cools off temporarily during a bullish trend.
Trade Setup Summary:
Retracement Buy Zone: 1.7185 – 1.6837 (support + 61.8% Fib)
TP1: 1.8000 (mid supply)
TP2: 1.8430 (range high)
SL: Below 1.6800 (structure invalidation)
As long as the price remains above 1.68, the structure supports further upside with targets back at the recent highs and possibly beyond if the bullish momentum resumes.
EUR/AUD is driven by monetary policy divergence and economic sentiment in the Eurozone vs. Australia. While the ECB has paused rate hikes, it still maintains a hawkish tone due to persistent inflation, whereas the RBA has shown signs of dovishness amid cooling data and weaker Chinese demand. This divergence continues to support the euro over the aussie, especially in a risk-off environment. Unless macro conditions change significantly, EUR/AUD remains fundamentally aligned with the bullish technical structure.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
Watching Volume Clusters for Short Opportunities on NZD/CADThe OANDA:NZDCAD pair is respecting a clear bearish market structure on the weekly timeframe. Price remains below the Ichimoku cloud (Span A at 0.8081 and Span B at 0.8218), confirming ongoing bearish momentum.
Price is now hovering around the Point of Control (POC) from the volume profile of the last major move — between 0.822 and 0.815, an area of high transaction activity and potential resistance. This zone presents a valid area to initiate short positions, especially given the lack of bullish breakout.
However, the optimal supply zone lies slightly higher between 0.823 and 0.838, which also corresponds to the second-highest volume node in the current range. If price pushes into this area and shows rejection, it may offer a cleaner entry for higher reward setups.
The target for this bearish scenario is the previous swing low at 0.7687, which marks a significant support level. The invalidating level for the bearish bias is a break above 0.8480, which sits above the recent structural high.
Trade Setup Summary:
Short Entry Zone 1 (aggressive): 0.822 – 0.815 (POC area)
Short Entry Zone 2 (optimal): 0.823 – 0.838 (supply zone)
Stop Loss: Above 0.8480
Target: 0.7687
The TSI indicators are near neutral but slightly negative:
TSI(10): -0.13
TSI(20): -0.04
This confirms the bearish pressure remains, but the move is not oversold, leaving room for further downside continuation.
The New Zealand dollar remains under pressure due to softening economic data and expectations of dovish monetary policy from the RBNZ, while the Canadian dollar has recently found support from stronger oil prices and relatively stable BoC guidance. Although both currencies are commodity-linked, CAD's correlation with energy gives it an edge in current conditions. As long as this divergence holds, the bias on NZD/CAD remains to the downside, in line with the current technical structure.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
AUD/JPY at Key Demand Zone, Watching for Trend ContinuationOANDA:AUDJPY is showing signs of a bullish reaction from the key support zone between 89.00 and 86.00, an area that has acted as demand multiple times in the past. Price remains below the Ichimoku cloud (Span A at 92.13, Span B at 96.63), but the structure is still technically bullish as long as the current support holds.
The Trend Strength Index (TSI) indicators are deep in oversold territory:
TSI(10): -0.83
TSI(20): -0.86
This signals that bearish momentum is weakening, and a bounce is likely if the support zone continues to hold. The market could now aim to retest the 97.47 – 100.73 resistance area, which aligns with the cloud base and recent structural highs.
A bullish breakout above 100.73 would confirm a continuation of the bullish trend, with a potential new higher high toward 109.17 — the previous major swing high.
On the other hand, if price breaks below 86.00, the bullish structure would be invalidated, possibly marking the beginning of a trend reversal and opening the door for deeper declines.
Scenarios to Watch:
Bullish Continuation (If Support Holds)
Entry from: 89.00–86.00
Resistance/TP zone: 97.47 – 100.73
Break above 100.73 targets: 109.17
Structure remains bullish above 86.00
Bearish Breakdown
Break and close below 86.00 invalidates the bullish thesis
Retest of broken support may act as resistance
Lower lows expected if support fails
AUD/JPY is a cross driven by risk sentiment and yield differentials. The Reserve Bank of Australia has adopted a cautious stance, holding rates steady while keeping the door open for tightening if inflation picks up. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan maintains an ultra-loose policy, though speculation about a slow shift toward normalization is growing. As a result, AUD/JPY remains sensitive to shifts in risk appetite and global yields. A continued risk-on environment would support AUD strength and help maintain the bullish structure — but any risk-off sentiment or sudden JPY strength could quickly shift the pair lower.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
Range Play on GBP/CHF – Buy Support, Sell ResistanceThe OANDA:GBPCHF is sitting on a strong weekly support zone between 1.0900 and 1.0600, where previous bullish reactions have occurred. The current price is also below the Ichimoku cloud (Span A at 1.1055 and Span B at 1.1203), indicating bearish conditions in the medium term.
Both TSI indicators are in oversold territory:
TSI(10): -0.7
TSI(20): -0.3
This setup suggests a possible short-term bounce from current levels, especially considering price is testing the bottom of the long-established range. If the market reacts bullishly, the supply zone between 1.1400 and 1.1650 becomes a high-probability area to watch for short entries, as it aligns with prior rejections and sits just below the cloud.
However, if price breaks below 1.0600, the structure would turn fully bearish. In that case, we would expect a retest of the broken support followed by continuation to the downside, confirming a possible longer-term downtrend.
Bullish Rejection (Short Setup Later)
Long-term resistance: 1.14 – 1.1650 (supply zone)
Short bias from this zone with stop above 1.1650
Downside targets: 1.09, then 1.06
Bearish Breakdown
Break of 1.0600 invalidates bounce scenario
Watch for retest and continuation lower
Structure supports deeper bearish move toward psychological levels near parity
GBP/CHF remains sensitive to both UK and Swiss economic signals. The Bank of England is currently under pressure due to slowing inflation and stagnant growth, which may push it closer to rate cuts. Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) already began cutting rates in early 2024, weakening the franc slightly, though safe-haven flows still support CHF during global uncertainty. This creates a mixed environment for GBP/CHF: structurally bearish but with room for short-term rebounds, especially if UK macro data stabilizes.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
Potential Long Setup Forming as USD/JPY Tests DemandThe FX:USDJPY is showing a deep correction within a bullish long-term structure. Price is now below the Ichimoku cloud (Span A and B at 149.22), which reflects bearish momentum in the short term. However, the market is approaching a strong weekly demand zone between 142.00 and 137.00, where previous bullish rallies were initiated.
Both Trend Strength Index (TSI) values are well into oversold territory:
TSI(10): -0.85
TSI(20): -0.81
This indicates that bearish momentum may be nearing exhaustion, and a reversal or bounce is increasingly likely. The zone between 142.00 – 137.00 becomes a key area to watch for bullish reaction, potentially offering a high reward-to-risk opportunity for long setups.
If the price reacts from this demand zone, the next major resistance lies between 148.00 – 151.77, which aligns with the bottom and mid-section of the Ichimoku cloud and past structural levels. Further upside potential extends toward 161, a previous swing high.
Trade Setup Idea:
Long Entry Zone: 142 – 137 (demand zone)
TP1: 148 – 151 (resistance + cloud structure)
TP2 (extended): 161
SL: Below 137
The structure supports a bullish continuation if this zone holds, making it a key region for swing buyers.
The Japanese yen continues to weaken as the Bank of Japan maintains ultra-loose monetary policy, in contrast with the Federal Reserve’s more hawkish stance. Although U.S. rate cut expectations have increased for late 2025, strong labor and inflation data from the U.S. have kept the dollar supported. In contrast, Japan’s inflation remains soft, and no strong signs of BoJ tightening have emerged. This divergence in monetary policy keeps the USD/JPY biased to the upside, especially if yields in the U.S. stay elevated.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
EURUSD is in play as investors shift from the dollarEuro remains to be in focus along with other assets, as US markets lose attractiveness among investors, especially from China, who start to put more focus on European and Japanese bonds rather than US treasuries. The Euro had little to no reaction to the decline of the interest rate from the ECB: on the one hand, this rate cut was already priced in, on the other - the market didn't initiate any sell-offs despite the “weak” news for the Euro.
That points to a particularly strong sentiment for this currency, despite some cooling down of volumes on CME futures. Open interest for Euro Forex futures contracts, though, remains steady. The net position of commercial traders is dipping, but still far from the historical low.
Technically, the position of the price is higher than 3 daily volatility levels (ATRs) from the 20-day moving average on the daily chart, which makes this instrument a “momentum play”, and may lead to a further extension to the upside - presumably, after holidays.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
NZD_CHF WILL GROW|LONG|
✅NZD_CHF is making a recovery
Move up and made a bullish breakout
Of the key level of 0.4860 so we
Are bullish biased and a
Further move up is to
Be expected
LONG🚀
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AUD-JPY Local Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-JPY is going up now
But the pair will hit a horizontal
Resistance of 92.000 on Monday
From where we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
Sell!
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GBP-NZD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-NZD fell down strongly
Through the first line of
Support but a strong support
Was hit around 2.2160 from
Where a local bullish rebound
Is likely to happen on Monday
So we will be able to enter
A long trade with the Take
Profit of 2.2300 and the
Stop Loss of 2.2123
Buy!
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EUR-AUD RISKY LONG|
✅EUR_AUD fell again to retest the support of 1.7700
But it is a strong key level
So I think that there is a high chance
We will see a bullish rebound and a move up
LONG🚀
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EURNZD Wave Analysis – 18 April 2025- EURNZD reversed from support level 1.9100
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.9400
EURNZD currency pair recently reversed up from the pivotal support level 1.9100 (former strong resistance from March) standing close to the 20-day moving average and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from February.
The upward reversal from the support level 1.9100 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Bullish Engulfing.
Given the clear daily uptrend, EURNZD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.9400.
EUR-CHF Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CHF is making a
Bullish rebound now but
The pair will soon hit a
Horizontal resistance of 0.9347
From where we will be expecting
A local bearish pullback
Sell!
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EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair is poised for volatility in 2025 as monetary policy divergence between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) shapes directional bias. Here's an analysis of key factors:
ECB Policy Impact
Recent Rate Cut: The ECB lowered key rates by 25 bps on April 17, 2025, reducing the deposit facility rate to 2.25%. This dovish move reflects confidence in disinflation progress, with headline and core inflation nearing the 2% target.
Future Guidance: The ECB emphasized a data-dependent approach, signaling flexibility amid trade tensions and economic uncertainty. Further easing may be limited if inflation stabilizes, but prolonged weakness in Eurozone growth could prompt additional cuts.
Fed Policy Stance
Rate Hold: Fed officials, including Cleveland President Beth Hammack, advocate maintaining current rates (4.25–4.50%) due to mixed economic data and tariff-induced uncertainty. The Fed’s cautious stance prioritizes combating inflation over preemptive cuts.
Divergence Risk: A widening policy gap favors USD strength if the ECB continues cutting while the Fed holds. J.P. Morgan highlights this dynamic, projecting EUR/USD downside if the ECB outpaces Fed easing.
Market Projections
Bullish Scenarios: we are predicting a 2025 high of 1.238, driven by EUR resilience and Fed rate cut expectations later in the year. Technical analysis notes critical resistance at 1.125 is broken and the breakout will potentially accelerates more gains hoping to change 1.238 next supply zone .
Bearish Risks: EUR/USD declining to 1.0741 by year-end,could be medium-term corrections amidst USD dominance on tighter Fed policy.
Key Drivers to Watch
Inflation Trends: Sustained Eurozone disinflation vs. sticky US inflation.
Growth Data: Eurozone PMI improvements vs. US labor market and GDP metrics.
Trade Policies: Escalating tariffs may tighten financial conditions, influencing Fed/ECB reactions.
Short-Term Outlook
Q2–Q3 2025: Immediate EUR weakness likely post-ECB cut, with support at 1.0753 (200-day SMA). A Fed hold in May-June could extend USD gains.
Q4 2025: Potential EUR recovery if Fed begins cutting rates, with targets at 1.1800–1.2143.
In summary, EUR/USD faces bearish pressure near-term but may rebound in late 2025 if policy divergence narrows.
Traders should monitor ECB/Fed communications and economic resilience in both regions.
#GBPUSD: Massive Swing Sell Is In Making 1200+ Pips Worth? **FX:GBPUSD Price Analysis**
GBPUSD price has recently experienced an overbought condition, primarily due to the significant decline of the DXY index. This decline can be attributed to the ongoing trade dispute between China and the United States, which has resulted in a drop in the DXY index to its lowest point in the past eighteen months.
Conversely, the GBP has gained strength due to positive economic indicators indicating robust growth in the United Kingdom. This has made the GBP more attractive to investors.
The FX:GBPUSD price is expected to continue its upward trend and potentially reach the 1.35 level. However, it is also possible for the price to reverse its direction from this point.
**Targets:**
If the trade is activated, three targets have been set for the FX:GBPUSD price. These targets can be adjusted based on your own analysis and trading strategy.
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