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USDJPY – Strong Bounce Incoming from Key Support?Price has tapped into a major support zone that’s held strong since early 2024. With confluence from the Fibonacci 0.618–0.65 retracement overhead, we could see a sharp bullish reversal targeting that region. 🟧 Strong support – historically reactive 📈 Potential bullish reversal in play 📊 Fib confluence at 152 – key reaction area ⏳ Watching for confirmation signs before entry A clean structure here—could turn into a solid mid-term long setup. Thoughts? Reversal or continuation lower?
Long
by wdstrades
8
GBPUSD Analysis 4/18 11:13amI've been analyzing GBP/USD closely over the past few days, and here's where I stand. The daily historical data shows an overall uptrend from around 1.278 on April 9 to roughly 1.328 on April 18. Although the price has been climbing, I've noticed that momentum is starting to taper off, which makes me question whether this rally might be overextended. On the fundamentals side, a series of high-impact events are coming up. For example, recent UK PMI readings have come in slightly weaker—manufacturing at 44.1 and services at 51—while US indicators like PMIs and housing data have shown mixed results, such as an unusually sharp drop in New Home Sales MoM. These data points suggest both the dollar and the pound are facing headwinds, and they add a layer of uncertainty over the near-term direction. Technically, I've set up a sell trade at 1.32480 with the current price now at 1.32830. My chart tells me that if the market dives further. Overall, while the short-term setup shows some bullish energy, the divergence with longer-term daily averages and the mixed fundamental data make me cautious. I'll be watching for a pullback toward those support levels that might validate my bearish stance. That's it for me for today.. unless something unexpected happens .. Have a great weekend! BTW im looking for another pair to trade comment below your recommendations and why! Thanks!
Short
by Sel_Ali
UPDATE ON GBP/USD TRADEGBP/USD 1H - Update for those of you who are still in on this trade, as you can see price did in-fact go on to set a new bullish leg after breaking structure to the upside. A big well done to anyone who jumped in on some additional trades from the previous analysis, I will now be leaving this pair to go on to take profit and once it does, reassess the market and see how we can tackle it moving forward. This trade is currently running + 144 pips. (+ 6%) 6RR A big well done to those of you who got involved in this market originally and those of you who may still be in it or got involved with a re-entry. If you have any questions with regards to the analysis for this trade or the trade itself then drop me a message or comment below and I will get back to you as soon as possible.
Long
by Lukegforex
EURJPY Eurozone: European Central Bank (ECB) Current Head: Christine Lagarde (President since November 2019) Recent Policy Stance: On April 17, 2025, the ECB unanimously decided to cut its three key interest rates by 25 basis points, including the deposit facility rate, signaling a dovish monetary policy stance aimed at supporting growth amid deteriorating economic outlook and rising trade tensions. Inflation in the euro area is declining and expected to settle around the 2% medium-term target, with wage growth moderating and services inflation easing. However, the ECB remains data-dependent and cautious, emphasizing a meeting-by-meeting approach without committing to a fixed rate path. The rate cut reflects concerns about weakening growth and tighter financing conditions due to global uncertainties and trade tensions. Directional Bias: The ECB is currently easing monetary policy, indicating a dovish bias to stimulate growth and ensure inflation stabilizes sustainably at target. This suggests a softer euro in the near term, as rate cuts typically reduce currency appeal relative to higher-yielding currencies. Japan: Bank of Japan (BoJ) Current Head: Haruhiko Kuroda (Governor since March 2013; note: no recent change indicated in the search results) Policy Context (inferred from current macroeconomic environment and typical BoJ stance): The BoJ has historically maintained an ultra-loose monetary policy with negative interest rates and yield curve control to support inflation and economic growth. Given global uncertainties and persistent low inflation in Japan, the BoJ is likely to maintain or cautiously adjust its accommodative stance. Directional Bias: The BoJ’s policy remains highly accommodative/dovish, aiming to stimulate inflation and growth. This generally keeps the Japanese yen relatively weaker compared to currencies of countries tightening monetary policy. However, if global risk aversion rises, the yen may strengthen as a safe-haven currency. Summary Table Central Bank Head Recent Policy Action Directional Bias Likely Currency Impact European Central Bank Christine Lagarde 25 bps rate cut (April 2025) Dovish, easing Euro likely to weaken near term Bank of Japan Haruhiko Kuroda Maintains ultra-loose policy Dovish, accommodative Yen generally weak, but safe-haven demand possible Conclusion The ECB under Christine Lagarde is easing policy with rate cuts to address slowing growth and inflation nearing target, signaling a dovish bias that may pressure the euro lower in the short term. The BoJ under Haruhiko Kuroda continues an accommodative stance to stimulate inflation, keeping the yen subdued except during risk-off episodes when it can strengthen as a safe haven. Investors should watch incoming data closely as both central banks emphasize data dependency, making their future moves contingent on inflation and growth developments amid global uncertainties.
by Shavyfxhub
USDCAD... 1D CHART PATTERN🧠 Trade Overview Pair: USD/CAD Action: Buy Entry: 1.3867 Target: 1.4100 Pips to target: +233 pips 📊 Quick Thoughts: Trend Check: Is the broader trend bullish right now? If USD is gaining strength (e.g., DXY rallying) and oil is weakening (since CAD is correlated with oil), then this makes sense. Resistance Zone: 1.4100 has been a historically significant resistance level. Are you aiming just below the highs to avoid a full retest? Risk Management: Do you have a stop-loss in mind? Maybe below 1.3800 to protect against a fakeout? 📅 Fundamentals to Watch: US CPI, Fed Statements, or Jobs Data Canada Employment or BOC rate talk Oil prices (big impact on CAD)
Long
by Money_Magnet5
1
NZDUSD Trading Opportunity! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for NZDUSD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.5971 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 0.5847 Safe Stop Loss - 0.6013 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EURO - Price can drop to $1.1200 points, exiting from pennantHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price traded inside a flat structure with weak movement and low volatility in a tight range. Then the Euro made a breakout and formed a strong impulse, reaching resistance and creating a new local high. After that, price entered a pennant and made a short correction, but then continued rising with momentum. Later, it touched resistance again and started forming a triangle pattern with a tightening structure. Now price is near the upper boundary of the triangle and trades above $1.1135 support without a clear breakout. In my opinion, Euro can reverse from resistance and decline to $1.1200 in the next move, thereby exiting from pennant. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
10
ECB lowers rates, Euro edges higherThe euro is showing little movement on Friday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1369, up 0.09% on the day. The ECB lowered its deposit facility rate on Thursday by a quarter-point, bring the rate to 2.25%. This marked the seventh rate cut since the ECB started its easing cycle in June 2024 and interest rates are now at their lowest since December 2022. The markets had expected the rate cut and the euro showed limited movement in response to the move. The ECB's rate cut was largely a response to the chaos around US tariff policy. US President Donald Trump has sharply attacked the EU over its trade policy and slapped 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports into the US. The EU retaliated with counter-tariffs but suspended those measures for 90 days after Trump suspended a second round of tariffs on EU goods. The sides are negoatiating but the US has threatened new tariffs on pharmaceutical products and the EU-US trade war could escalate in the coming weeks. The euro has benefited so far from the escalating trade tensions, as hit 1.1476 last week, its highest level since February 2022. The US dollar has sustained sharp losses against the major currencies as investors look for safer shores in the midst of the turmoil in the financial markets. The ECB statement said that the inflation continues to ease but expressed concern over worsening trade tensions which have muddied the economic outlook. ECB President Lagarde said in her follow-up press conference that "downside risks to economic growth have increased" which would likely impact on exports, investment and consumption. The Federal Reserve is prepared to lower rates if necesary but the markets have priced in a hold at 90% the May 7 meeting according to CME Fedwatch. A cut in June is much more likely, with a 60% probability.
by OANDA
1