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USD/JPY at Bearish Gartley Completion: High-Probability Short The USD/JPY has completed a Bearish Gartley harmonic pattern, with the critical reversal zone (point D) aligning near the 154-155 resistance area. This technical confluence suggests a potential short opportunity for a trend reversal in the short to medium term. Strategy: Sell at the Reversal Zone (Point D) Rationale: The 154-155 zone represents a critical resistance level, coinciding with the completion of the Bearish Gartley pattern. Recent price action shows rejection candles near the resistance, signaling waning bullish momentum. The TDI indicator reveals bearish divergence, with price forming higher highs while the indicator forms equal highs—validating a possible reversal. Trade Parameters: Entry Zone: 154.00 Stop Loss: 155.50 (above resistance and point D) Take Profit: 150.00 (major psychological and technical support) Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 This setup leverages the strong technical confluence of the Bearish Gartley pattern, validated by divergence and resistance tests. As always, price action confirmation near the resistance is essential before entering.
Long
by MrVNpt
GBPJPY BULLISH Play for the WeekGJ has been on a Monthly Bullish Run in my eyes, so with that in mind looking into this weeks play I expect a break to the upside into Bullish Territory once my Yellow 4hr/Daily Trendline has been broken. Before that I expect a bearish start to the week bringing price down to our Buy Limit ultimately propelling us to the upside. Once 194.500 has been broken I expect a BULLISH Rally, will set trades to BREAK EVEN at this stage of the trade. TP 1 & 2 have a potential to get hit this week (keep in mind a retracement is possible at the TP1 area) TP 3 will probably have to wait till next week but let’s get through this week 1st and see if the markets are on our side..!
Long
by jcatchinpips
Bearish to Bullish Play for the Week on GbpAudAfter thorough analysis through each timeframe I have concluded that GA is Bullish on a Weekly Level after my Weekly Red Trendline broke for a 2nd time to the upside, with that in mind in the 1hr-4hr TF it has broke my blue trendline to the bearish side suggesting a possible retest to the Inbalance around 1.96700-1.96500, only way I would change my bearish outlook from current price is if we break thru 1.99200 to the bullish territory. If the sell plays out turning into a buy midweek closing the week out around 1.98500-1.99000 it would make a weekly doji building up for next weeks play.. BUT let’s see if we can catch this weeks play 1st lol.. may the markets be on our side !
by jcatchinpips
Precision Trade Setup on AUD/USD with a Bullish Gartley PatternThe AUD/USD is setting up for a potential reversal near a key harmonic "Gartley" formation. This advanced technical structure, combined with critical confluences, highlights an area of high-probability trade opportunities. Strategy: Buy at the Reversal Point (D) Rationale: The harmonic Gartley pattern suggests a potential trend reversal near 0.628, aligning with a long-term trendline and a horizontal support zone (highlighted in purple). RSI indicates oversold conditions, and the TDI shows bullish divergence, reinforcing the case for a recovery. A significant risk-reward ratio makes this trade an attractive opportunity. Trade Parameters: Entry Zone: 0.628 Stop Loss: 0.657 Take Profit: 0.6457 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3+ While the technical setup is compelling, it is crucial to remain vigilant about price action in lower timeframes. Always confirm price action before entering a position.
Long
by MrVNpt
1
GBPUSD Stop Sell Setup - 15-Minute AnalysisAnalysis: I'm placing a stop sell order below the shadow (low) of the 15-minute candlestick. The market shows a potential bearish momentum, with a resistance zone forming around the 1.2724-1.2728 area. My stop loss is set above the recent highs, ensuring risk management, while my target aligns with a potential support near 1.2643. The RSI is around 46, indicating neutral to slight bearish strength, which supports the continuation of the downward move. If the price breaks the low of this range, it could trigger the sell order and follow through with momentum.
Short
by sinaaf
EURNZD–bullish continuation after a small pullback .. 16-20 DecWeekly – Strongly bullish Daily – Indecision for 2 days but Fri candle was bullish. Price above 200dma. H4 – Well established bullish trend, price holding above 20sma. Price has moved away from the 20sma and a small retracement would provide better value for taking a long trade. A retracement to the 50-61.8% retracement would be ideal, could even go lower. I will be looking for bullish PA after a retracement. My stop would be below the last H4 swing low and target near the 1.8430 area. This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. If you decide to trade this, you should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management, trading without a stop or moving the stop away from price is a recipe for disaster. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!! It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
by Trading_Vista
AUDJPY Fall? And potential Stock Market correction?Potential short idea on AUDJPY Reasons for (potential) entry: - COT traders are buying JPY and selling AUD fairly aggressively - AUD cutting interest rates, JPY hiking interest rates - AUD could be under pressure due to reliance on China, who are facing economic uncertainty In the past, when COT traders have bought JPY as aggressively as this there's been a stock market correction after it. Not saying it's definitely going to happen again - but JPY is seen as a 'safe-haven' currency and it's usually bought up when investors are risk-off. Stocks have been on a crazy bull run for the last year, I wouldn't be too surprised if there was some sort of correction in it soon.
Short
by ciantrades
7
EURUSD Summary of Dec 17EURUSD Summary of Dec 17 Price opened in Asia in a premium. Had no strength to rally. Expanded to the down side to rebalanced a FVG from Monday, fell past the .79 retracement level testing the other highlighted FVG before reversing. NY news driver at 8:30 saw price react to the up side to the 50% where it consolidated until after lunch coming back down into a discount. Price has been narrowing its range the last couple days, just seeking FVG from the previous day and previous days equal highs and lows.
by LParnell
EURUSD Summary of Dec 17EURUSD Summary of Dec 17 Price opened in Asia in a premium. Had no strength to rally. Expanded to the down side to rebalanced a FVG from Monday, fell past the .79 retracement level testing the other highlighted FVG before reversing. NY news driver at 8:30 saw price react to the up side to the 50% where it consolidated until after lunch coming back down into a discount. Price has been narrowing its range the last couple days, just seeking FVG from the previous day and previous days equal highs and lows.
by LParnell
AUDJPYTrade Setup for AUD/JPY (1H Chart) Structure: The chart shows a clear bullish bias with a rising trendline acting as dynamic support. Price has recently tested the trendline and rebounded from a key support zone (highlighted in gray), suggesting a potential continuation to the upside. Key Observations: Support Zone: The price is respecting the 97.000 psychological level (gray area) as support. Trendline Bounce: The trendline aligns with the support zone, providing confluence for a long position.
Long
by LogicalTraders
EUR/USD 4HThe euro is trading around 1.0496, below 2/8 Murray, below 21 SMA, and within a downtrend channel forming since November 26th. The euro is under selling pressure. Therefore, EUR/USD is likely to continue its fall in the next few hours. The euro has been consolidating since the beginning of November above the psychological level and below 1.0620. This consolidation will continue in the next few days and we could look for opportunities to buy above 1.0526 (21SMA) and sell below 1.0620 (3/8 Murray). In case the euro consolidates below 1.0496, the outlook could be negative and we expect EUR/USD to reach the 1/8 Murray located at 1.0376. This could be a key point and we could expect a technical bounce to occur around this area. Since November 16, the 200 EMA indicator has been giving a positive signal. So, we believe that above the psychological level of 1.0500, the outlook could be positive for the euro. Hence, we expect EUR/USD to reach the 200 EMA around 1.0805. happy Trading!
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
EUR/USD Intra Day/Week PlayGood morning Traders, My analysis for this week on EUR/USD is that we are currently forming a descending triangle pattern on all the higher timeframes from the monthly down to the 4 hourly with the key supply zone of 1.08921 to be reached as part of a break and retest move to the downside and heading to the key deman level of 1.06689 and if we break this support level then we shall make a continuation to the downside and retest the makor level of 1.04669 which has not been tested since October 2023 and last time it was mitigated was July 2022. Very interesting narrative playing out, whaat's your thoughts? Happy Trading. :)
Short
by FXCapitalClub
NZDUSD forming a bottom?NZDUSD - 24h expiry Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 0.5750. Price action looks to be forming a bottom. We expect a reversal in this move. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.5775 will confirm the bullish momentum. We look to Buy at 0.5750 (stop at 0.5720) Our profit targets will be 0.5825 and 0.5850 Resistance: 0.5775 / 0.5800 / 0.5825 Support: 0.5750 / 0.5725 / 0.5700 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA