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AUDCAD – Bearish Rejection at Key Resistance ZoneAUDCAD is showing signs of weakness near the 0.8980 supply zone after an extended rally. The pair is now reacting to a historically respected resistance area, with bearish momentum building as exhaustion sets in. 🔍 Technical Outlook: ✅ Price rejected at multi-touch resistance around 0.8980 📐 Clean bearish structure forming after wedge-like exhaustion 📉 Expecting a move down toward: TP1: 0.89365 – recent minor structure TP2: 0.89080 – key demand zone from early July TP3: 0.88654 – full measured target from range 📛 Invalidation above: 0.8985 🌍 Fundamental Breakdown: 🇦🇺 Australia: 📉 Softening inflation and retail sales 🏦 RBA cautious with limited appetite for further hikes 🇨🇳 Weak Chinese demand adds pressure on AUD 🇨🇦 Canada: 💪 Supported by rising oil prices and solid employment data 🏦 BoC remains vigilant on inflation, though on hold 🛢️ Strong WTI prices continue to support CAD ⚠️ Risks to the Bearish View: ⚡ Unexpectedly strong China data could boost AUD 📉 Sudden drop in oil prices would hurt CAD 🗣️ Surprise hawkish shift from RBA 🔗 Correlation & Flow: AUDCAD is a lagging asset, heavily influenced by WTI crude (boosting CAD) and China-linked risk flows (affecting AUD). Keep an eye on AUDUSD and USDCAD for early signals. 📆 Upcoming Key Events: 🇦🇺 RBA Minutes, Jobs Data, Wages Index 🇨🇦 BoC Business Outlook, CPI Print 🛢️ US Oil Inventories (affects CAD) 🧭 Summary: 🔻 Bias: Bearish 📊 Drivers: Oil strength, RBA caution, CAD resilience ⚠️ Risk: China rebound or oil correction 🕵️ Watch: Canadian CPI + Australian jobs data 📉 Likely to Follow: Oil and AUDUSD/USDCAD macro trends
Short
by ultreosforex
11
Aussie: Still Growing! CAPITALCOM:AUDUSD The bullish momentum continues after our last successful AUDUSD setup, and a move toward the 0.65900 resistance area looks probable now. 🪙 My Trading Plan: 🔼 BUY Stop: 0.65648 ❌ Stop Loss: 0.65320 ✅ Take Profit: 0.65965 💡 Why am I buying here? ✅ Price broke recent resistance at 0.65500, activating buy trades. ✅ RSI confirm ongoing bullish momentum 📊. 📰 Fundamental Situation: 🏦 RBA Rate Decision Supports AUD The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) surprised markets by holding rates steady at 3.85% 🏛️, diverging from expectations of a cut. This cautious stance reflects the RBA’s preference to wait for clearer signs of slowing inflation 📉 before adjusting policy further. Governor Michele Bullock emphasized that inflation risks remain persistent ⚠️, driven by high labor costs and weak productivity, possibly requiring a longer period of restrictive policy ⏳. Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser noted the bank is closely monitoring global risks 🌐, especially US tariff developments, underscoring sensitivity to global headwinds that could impact trade and growth 📦. 🌎 Trade Tensions in Focus: President Trump ruled out extending tariff deadlines beyond August 1 ⛔, announcing new duties: 🔹 50% on copper 🪙 🔹 Potential 200% on pharmaceuticals 💊 🔹 10% on goods from BRICS 🌐 These moves are likely to intensify global trade tensions ⚔️, potentially impacting commodity flows and inflation, which the RBA and markets will continue to monitor closely.
Long
by ProfessorSingapore
GBPJPY uptrend support at 196.75Key Support: 196.75 This level marks the prior consolidation zone and serves as a critical pivot. A corrective pullback toward 196.75 followed by a bullish reversal would validate the uptrend, with upside targets at: 199.20 – Initial resistance and short-term target 199.70 – Minor resistance zone 200.40 – Longer-term breakout objective However, a daily close below 196.75 would invalidate the bullish scenario, potentially triggering a deeper retracement toward: 195.80 – Near-term support 194.80 – Key downside level in a bearish reversal Conclusion: As long as 196.75 holds, the bias remains bullish, favoring continuation toward the 199–200 zone. A confirmed break below this support would shift momentum, opening the door for a broader corrective decline. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
NZD/CAD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! NZD/CAD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 5H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.817 area. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
CHF/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT Hello, Friends! We are going short on the CHF/JPY with the target of 179.028 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
3
GBPCAD breakout zone retest The GBPCAD currency pair price action sentiment appears Bullish, supported by the current rising trend. The recent intraday price action seems to be a sideways consolidation breakout. The key trading level is at the 1.8500 level, the previous consolidation price range. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 1.8500 level could target the upside resistance at 1.8890, followed by the 1.9000 and 1.9090 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 1.8500 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook, opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 1.8430 support level, followed by 1.83450 levels. Conclusion: As long as 1.8500 holds, the bias remains bullish, favouring continuation toward the 1.8900 zone. A confirmed break below this support would shift momentum, opening the door for a broader corrective decline. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
GBP/JPY BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG Hello, Friends! It makes sense for us to go long on GBP/JPY right now from the support line below with the target of 198.556 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general uptrend on the previous 1W candle and the oversold situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the lower BB band. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
3
USD/CHF Weakness Alert: Retail Bulls vs. Smart Money FlowHere’s the latest aggregated data on the pair: 📊 4 out of 5 indicators suggest potential for further downside. Sentiment - Bearish! A quick note on sentiment in the table: ✅ It’s structured hierarchically — from the broadest view (COT reports) to specific entry points (algorithmic setups). So, Retail traders are massively long USD/CHF — over 80% still buying , expecting strength. But here’s the problem: the options flow tells a different story . Looking at recent data from CME , we’re seeing fresh calls buying and growing open interest at key strikes upper current Swiss futures price — a sign that option traders are preparing for strong CHF 💡 Use this data in your trading OR quick check for market conditions at glance! 🎯 No Valuable Data, No Edge!
Short
by ClashChartsTeam
EURGBP Uptrend continuation breakout?The EURGBP remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 0.8600 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 0.8600 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 0.8670 – initial resistance 0.8700 – psychological and structural level 0.8720 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 0.8600 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 0.8590 – minor support 0.8570 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the EURGBP holds above 0.8600. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Thursday July 10th – EURUSDEURUSD didn’t give us any trade setups yesterday and is still respecting the short-term bearish trendline. Price has remained below 1.17500, acting as resistance, and hasn’t given confirmation for buys. We’re still watching the same key zones: ✅ Safe buys: Above 1.17500 if we get a solid break and bullish close. ✅ HRHR buys: Retest of 1.16898 (Wednesday's low) showing rejection or support. Until either of those levels are tapped, I’m not taking trades on this pair. Current structure still offers no low-risk opportunities. Let it come to us.
Long
by Thetraderscollective
USDCAD – July 10 OutlookUSDCAD’s high-risk, high-reward (HRHR) sells from Wednesday are still in play with price currently up 35 pips. Price action remains within the structure as we continue to respect the March trendline, but are now stalling in a tight 4H range. 📍 Key Observations: 1.36647 is acting as strong intraday support Possible retest of yesterday’s or Wednesday’s high could provide another HRHR sell opportunity Break below 1.36527 could open the door for a clean 70-pip move toward 1.35827 🔔 Summary: Patience is essential—watching for either another short-term rejection at resistance or a clean structural break to continue the broader bearish bias.
Short
by Thetraderscollective
USDJPY Analysis : Bearish Setup from Reversal Zone + Target⚠️ Overview: The USDJPY 4H chart reveals a smart money-driven bearish setup, unfolding precisely from a major Reversal Zone, which aligns with a key supply area. Price action is now offering high-probability short trade opportunities, supported by structural breaks, clear CHoCHs (Change of Character), and BOS (Breaks of Structure). 🔎 Detailed Technical Breakdown: 🔹 Bearish Pattern + Channel Formation: The pair formed a bearish price pattern earlier, which initiated the previous downtrend. This move developed into a well-formed descending channel, showing controlled distribution from the institutional side. The channel break marked a liquidity grab below previous lows, trapping retail sellers before shifting structure. 🔹 Channel Insider Demand + Breakout: After reaching the Channel Insider Demand, USDJPY made a strong bullish push, causing a Minor BOS — a sign of temporary bullish pressure. However, this move served to rebalance price into a premium zone, which is the current Reversal Zone. This zone lies near previous imbalance/fair value gaps and coincides with a supply structure, making it a high-reaction area. 🔹 Reversal Zone (Premium Area): Price tapped the Reversal Zone and began rejecting aggressively. This reaction indicates the presence of large sellers and order blocks. The current price action now displays a Minor CHoCH, suggesting a short-term bearish shift in order flow. This is a textbook case of premium vs. discount pricing, where price seeks liquidity above recent highs before reversing to more balanced zones. 🔹 Price Flow Expectations (Downside Targets): The first confirmation of bearish continuation will come with a clean break below the Minor CHoCH level (~144.400). Following that, momentum is expected to carry USDJPY toward: 🥇 Target 1: 144.00 – Local support / liquidity pocket 🥈 Target 2: 143.00 – Key psychological & structural support 🥉 Target 3: 142.00–142.50 Zone – Marked as the Next Reversal Zone, which could act as demand This setup remains valid as long as the price remains below 147.200, which is the high of the Reversal Zone. A breakout above this invalidates the bearish thesis. 🧠 MMC (Mind Market Curve) Interpretation: The chart clearly respects Mind Curve Theory structure: CHoCH/BOS confirms internal order flow Reversal zone is placed at a curve top (premium) Support base (discount zone) is yet to be revisited The curve shape guides a possible rounded rejection scenario, pushing price down into the major support, aligning with smart money liquidity grab behavior. 📊 Strategic Insight: This is a classic smart money trap — fake bullish breakout, quick grab of early breakout traders’ stops, followed by a decisive turn from supply. Traders should monitor: Candle structure at current levels Reaction to minor CHoCH zone (~144.400)
Short
by GoldMasterTrades