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Daily Analysis of GBP to USD – Issue 174The analyst believes that the price of { GBPUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend. Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Short
by MoonriseTA
GBP/USD Analysis: Pair Recovers from 7-Month LowGBP/USD Analysis: Pair Recovers from 7-Month Low The GBP/USD pair dropped below the psychological level of 1.25 today, a level last seen in early May. Over the past two days, the pair has declined by more than 1.5%, driven by central bank decisions. On one hand, the US dollar strengthened after the Federal Reserve chair's comments on Wednesday, hinting at potentially higher interest rates in 2025. On the other hand, the pound weakened on Thursday after news from the Bank of England (BoE). According to media reports: → The BoE kept the interest rate unchanged. → Market expectations for the BoE's February decision are putting additional pressure on the pound. Technical analysis of the GBP/USD chart reflects a continuation of bearish momentum, with the pair moving within a descending channel: → In mid-December, the price broke below the lower boundary of a narrowing triangle (highlighted in blue), signalling the potential resumption of the downtrend. → Around the same time, trading was concentrated near the 1.265 level. Despite repeated tests of this level, it seems that the bears took control. Looking ahead, the pair may consolidate near the channel’s median line as the year comes to a close, with this zone acting as a balance point between supply and demand. Stronger directional moves might materialise in 2025. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
DeGRAM | GBPUSD trend line testingGBPUSD is in a descending channel between the trend lines. The chart still maintains the descending structure. The price has already reached the lower boundary of the channel and the dynamic support, which has already acted as a rebound point last time. MACD and RSI indicators on the 1H Timeframe indicate the formation of divergence. We expect a rise if GBPUSD can successfully hold the lower trendline. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 155.72 1st Support: 154.28 1st Resistance: 157.72 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
2
USDJPY | Hidden Bearish Divergence | 1HCurrently, the USDJPY chart shows the formation of a hidden bearish divergence and a double top pattern, both indicating that the uptrend is shifting into a downtrend. Additionally, new lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH) are forming, confirming the change in market structure. These factors suggest the presence of a potential reversal zone (PRZ), where the price is likely to continue its downward movement. Explanation: 1: Hidden Bearish Divergence: The price is formed higher highs (HH), while the RSI is showing lower highs, signaling weakness in the uptrend and a potential reversal. 2: Double Top Formation: A double top is a strong reversal pattern, indicating that the price has struggled to break through a resistance level and is now likely to move downward. 3: Market Structure Shift: The formation of lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH) indicates a transition from an uptrend to a downtrend, confirming bearish sentiment. 4: Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ): The confluence of divergence, the double top, and the structural change points to a PRZ where sellers are likely to dominate, pushing the price further down. This setup suggests a bearish bias, and traders could look for sell opportunities after proper confirmation, such as a retest of the PRZ or a bearish candlestick pattern.
Short
by awaisulabdeen
GBPCHF Ahead of the BOE Interest Rate DecisionGBPCHF Ahead of the BOE Interest Rate Decision Today, the Bank of England (BOE) is expected to release its rate decision. The BOE is anticipated to keep rates unchanged at 4.75%. If this happens, the GBP could see slight bullish momentum, but nothing significant. However, considering the improving UK data over the past month, we could see a weaker GBP , if the BOE cuts rates. The price has already broken out from a bearish pattern. This movement is very risky, as it is mainly based on the BOE Interest Rate Decision. These events can easily invalidate patterns, so it is advisable to be cautious. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
4
EURUSD Downtrend Holds Steady: Time to Go ShortEURUSD experienced a sharp decline earlier today, following the release of key economic data that spurred renewed bearish momentum. The market reaction was swift, with sellers overwhelming buyers and driving the price lower. After this initial move, the pair is now staging a pullback, attempting to recover some ground as it approaches a critical resistance zone. This retracement presents a significant technical setup that could dictate the pair’s next major move. The current pullback is bringing the price closer to the resistance zone around 1.04300, a level that has proven pivotal in the past. Historical price action highlights this area as a confluence zone, marked by prior reversals and intensified trading activity. As the price approaches this region, signs of exhaustion are becoming increasingly evident. On closer examination of the candlestick patterns, rejection candles—characterized by long upper wicks and small bodies—are forming near this resistance level. These candles suggest that buyers are struggling to push the price higher, while sellers are beginning to regain control. A deeper look at the 1-hour chart reveals a clear ABCD pullback pattern, a widely recognized harmonic structure in technical analysis. This pattern indicates a measured retracement within a broader downtrend, providing traders with potential entry points for the continuation of the trend. In this case, the "AB" leg represents the initial bearish impulse, the "BC" leg corresponds to the current corrective move, and the anticipated "CD" leg signals the likely continuation of the downward movement. If the pattern completes as expected, the price is likely to reverse from the resistance zone near 1.04300 and resume its descent. The broader market sentiment further supports a bearish outlook. Macroeconomic conditions, combined with the technical dynamics of the pair, point to continued selling pressure. The recent news release acted as a catalyst, intensifying the downward momentum, and this sentiment is unlikely to change unless there is a significant shift in market fundamentals. Additionally, the lack of follow-through by buyers in the pullback phase underscores the strength of the prevailing bearish trend. From a technical perspective, the resistance zone around 1.04300 holds immense importance. Not only does it align with the upper boundary of the ABCD pattern, but it also coincides with a key Fibonacci retracement level and a psychological price barrier. These overlapping factors create a strong confluence area, increasing the likelihood of a reversal. If the price fails to break above this zone, the bearish momentum is expected to accelerate, targeting the next significant support zone around 1.03260. The support zone at 1.03260 represents a critical area where buyers may reenter the market. This level has acted as a demand zone in the past, providing temporary relief from selling pressure. However, given the strength of the current bearish trend, a test of this level seems increasingly likely. Traders should watch for additional confirmation signals, such as bearish candlestick formations or increased selling volume, as the price approaches the resistance zone. It’s also worth considering potential invalidation levels. Should the price manage to break and sustain above the 1.04300 resistance, the bearish scenario would need to be reassessed. Such a move could indicate a shift in market dynamics, opening the door for a potential bullish reversal. However, until that happens, the dominant trend remains bearish. In conclusion, EURUSD continues to exhibit strong bearish momentum, with the current pullback offering an opportunity to position for the continuation of the downtrend. As the pair approaches the 1.04300 resistance zone, the technical and fundamental landscape suggests that the bearish trend is likely to resume. My primary target remains the support zone at 1.03260, which aligns with prior swing lows and key technical levels. Traders should remain cautious and monitor key levels closely, ensuring that their risk management strategies are firmly in place.
Short
by lonelyPlayer0
USDJPY NEOWAVE ANALYSIS (DAILY) Experimental analysis with the intention to follow back later on as I am still learning This pair really excites me. I do not know why, but it has stuck with me, so I thought I’d give this a try even though it should be considered low probability due to me going deep down to the daily. As you can see, once wave F got over, we did get a very good 5-wave rally to complete wave A. Although i have no idea yet what wave A is a part of. After the biggest daily drop since wave 2, we got some downwards movement which indicated that the rally up is over. Now using logic and good reasoning when I think about this, it’s not possible for the downside movement to end so quickly after almost 2 months of upwards movement. Hence, I will take it to believe that the correction is still ongoing and the rally we are seeing right now is a strong B wave rally of a possible flat. I do not know where wave B will end, although since I do consider it to be strong, I will expect it to completely retrace wave A. Once we know where wave B finishes, then only I could understand whether the C wave will completely retrace the B wave. Any prior sell off before retracing wave A would mean that we're looking at a triangle correction
by thekidtrader11
GBPUSD Will Go Up From Support! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.249. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.256 level soon. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
EUR/USD long: Thank you first buddy!Yup, the heading of this idea is very much tongue in cheek. The Euro is fundamentally on the backfoot, especially after the confusing FOMC "we are slowing down while walking into this dark room" rate cut. WTH??? No need to cut because the Labor market is A OK, but we are cutting anyway because inflation may increase again. Call me dumb but I replayed that Press Conference over and over again. My take away: The FOMC is very aware of the impact after January 20 2024. The former guy is back and this time around he is bringing his new best friend along for the ride. Well, we all know how these bromances work out in his world. They don't last but up until then, they are already starting to cause chaos as they go along. Democrats and some Republicans have been raising the alarm about our democracy being under attack for some time now. There you have it. The second generation American and the Naturalized immigrant citizen are now running our beloved United States. The first mentioned not even in office yet and the other one not an elected official. But they bad mouth immigrants like these people are the spawn of the devil, conveniently forgetting their own roots. Between the two of them the have the money and social media resources to tank the current spending bill negotiations and they did so with glee. I am certainly not anti immigration because immigrants are still the backbone of our economy. Why do you think is the Labor market so strong? Because a significant percentage of the reported 10 million plus recent immigrants are willing to work in slaughter houses, scrub floors, pick oranges for the Mar-A-Lago guests' freshly squeezed juice, clean Wall Street offices at 2 AM and so on. I am also not anti cutting unnecessary Government spending but this is not Twitter. The individuals who will be affected won't be Musk and his numerous children or Trump living in luxury in Mar-A-Lago. It will be our Military Troops, the same people who defend us and sacrifice their lives for our country and quite frankly the International Order who will not have a pay check next week. And they do not plead bone spurs to avoid duty to their country... Our TSA agents and air traffic controllers who will have to work with deferred pay to get us to our Holiday destinations to be with family. In case, dear colleagues, you have not noticed: I AM FURIOUS at the current state of affairs and incomprehensible hypocrisy and blatant cronyism in this country. Musk stands to gain more than anyone else from this cozy relationship. Space X Federal contacts, removing self driving regulations, stopping numerous active investigations into his businesses, boosting his crypto investments etc. If you, dear reader, is a fan-boy/girl, have at it. I do not put my money in the hands or pockets of people like these two. Technically, the chart should explain my reasoning. So far, the recent low has been respected. Some indicators are turning up. We also have USD PCE on tap tomorrow. And investors DO NOT like uncertainty like the potential Government shutdown by tomorrow night. There is also a break down level that has to be revisited per the resistance zone on the chart. This is not a change in trend but merely a technical correction if it plays out. BTW, I am also short AUD/JPY as a technical correction. My long EUR/USD from the lows and short from the 1.0420 level have played out profitably. And I am long EUR/USD again. Finally, Happy Holidays and have a rocking 2025 trading around and through the guaranteed chaos.
Long
by jvrfxalerts
9