USDCHF H4 I Bearish BreakoutBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 0.8195, which is a swing low support.
Our take profit will be at 0.8267, which is a pullback resistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.8113, below the 78.6% projection
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Forex market
GBPUSD H4 I A short-term bearish reversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is trading near our sell entry at 1.3595-1.3637, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Our take profit will be at 1.3451, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.3748, above the 200% Fibo extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBP/USD Daily Chart – Explosive Move Building in Wave 3?The GBP/USD daily chart is setting up for what could be one of the most powerful bullish phases in an Elliott Wave sequence: a third wave.
🔥 What This Means:
Elliott Wave theory identifies the 3rd wave as the strongest and fastest part of a trend.
Price action suggests that GBP/USD is just starting this move, which means we could see sharp momentum to the upside in the coming days and weeks.
🎯 Key Target:
The first key level to watch is around 1.5315, which is the 1.618 Fibonacci projection of Wave 1.
This is a common and high-probability target for a Wave 3 rally.
🧠 For Beginners:
In Elliott Wave theory, markets often move in impulses of 5 waves. The 3rd wave is typically the strongest. When that third wave itself breaks down into another 5-wave structure, the middle wave of that sequence (the "3 of 3") tends to produce the most aggressive movement.
📌 Summary:
GBP/USD appears to be starting the 3rd wave, a powerful bullish signal.
Near-term resistance to watch is at 1.4200, with potential for further upside if momentum continues.
This could be the early stages of a high-probability swing trade setup. Keep an eye on the smaller timeframes for intraday confirmation!
EUR JPY TECHHello dear traders :) It's time to share my new tech!
As we see here we have many reasons to think its ok position to open Long EURJPY
We got a strong uptrend here. We have 16 days LONG strong up channel in this pair. also a nice support point inside.
Our trades price target is near +60 pips (Take Profit).
If you have any Questions? Ask me!
FxCROWN :)
Thank you
USD/JPY H4 | Overhead pressures remain?USD/JPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 143.27 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 144.42 which is a level that sits above the 23.6% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracements and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 141.96 which is a multi-swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EURUSD Friday daily candle hint buyer in control for intradayEURUSD Friday daily candle closed hint to me that buyers are in control in my opinion.
today strategy :
waiting price to pullback at the marking zone in the chart.
zoom in into smaller time frame for any bullish movement.
good luck.
calculate your own risk & reward.
EURNZD (BOS + DEMAND + 705 FIB LEVEL)Hello traders!
Description: Now we already in demand + check RSI)))
Entry: Confirmation on LTF in POI
Target: TILL problem zone.
P.S: check also previous idea.
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EURAUD (BOS 1H + DEMAND + OTE)Hello traders!
Description: Now we already in 0,5 of fib level, price want to close imb and mitigate demand + 705 OTE in case BOS 1H.
Entry: Confirmation on LTF in POI
Target: New HH
P.S: check also previous idea.
Have a profitable day and don't forget to subscribe for more updates!
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EUR/USD: Engulfing candle, momentum signals boost bullish caseThe case for EUR/USD upside was looking good even before Donald Trump’s latest tariff backflip on EU imports, with Friday’s engulfing candle joining momentum indicators like RSI (14) and MACD in generating bullish signals.
With the price banging on the door of minor resistance at 1.1380, a bullish setup has been generated. If the price can clear 1.1380 and hold there, longs could be established on the break with a stop beneath for protection. Offers may emerge around 1.1420 where the pair topped out in late April, making that screen as an initial target. For those seeking greater risk-reward, 1.1500 has proven to be a strong resistance zone over the years, making that another level to aim for.
While the U.S. dollar has benefitted from similar tariff backflips previously, they are now widely expected by traders, meaning the tailwind they used to provide may no longer apply.
Good luck!
DS
EURUSD (STOP LOSSES SUPPLY + CONFIRMATION ON LTF)1) On top we have MSS + 705 Fib level.
2) Now price grab ST from demand and we can wait for confirmation on LFT.
3) NON mitigate Demand zone is OB 1H, i think price come back because 0.5 is still valid.
Entry: confirmation on LTF in POI
Target: First problem zone is OB 4H
Have a profitable day and don't forget to subscribe for more updates!
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Bullish bounce off overlap support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 142.12
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 140.16
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 144.58
Why we lik eit:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURAUD 3MONTHS CHARTEUR/AUD Bond Yield, Interest Rate Differential, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 25–30, 2025)
Current 10-Year Bond Yields
Australia 10-Year Bond Yield: 4.48% (as of May 19–21, 2025) , rising slightly due to RBA rate cuts and global uncertainty.
Eurozone 10-Year Bond Yield: 3.17% (as of May 23, 2025) , reflecting moderate inflation and cautious ECB policy.
Interest Rate Differential (IRD)
The yield spread between Australian and Eurozone 10-year bonds is:4.48(AUD−3.17(EUR)=+1.31%
4.48% (AUD)−3.17% (EUR)=+1.31%
This differential favors the Australian dollar, creating a carry trade opportunity.
Carry Trade Advantage
Investors can borrow EUR at lower Eurozone rates and invest in higher-yielding AUD assets, earning the 1.31% yield spread as profit.
The strategy is supported by Australia’s elevated bond yields despite recent RBA rate cuts, driven by global demand for commodity-linked currencies and resilient growth.
Key Economic Data (May 25–30, 2025)
Date Region Event Impact on Yields
May 25 AUD RBA Meeting Minutes Neutral (rate cut already priced in)
May 28 EUR Eurozone GDP Growth (Q1) Potential downside risk to EUR yields if growth disappoints
May 29 AUD Australia Private Capital Expenditure Could support AUD yields if spending rises
Summary Table
Metric Australia (AUD) Eurozone (EUR)
10-Year Bond Yield 4.48% 3.17%
Interest Rate Differential +1.31% (AUD over EUR) —
Carry Trade Appeal Favorable for long AUD/EUR —
Conclusion
The 1.31% yield advantage for AUD over EUR supports a long AUD/EUR carry trade strategy. However, traders should monitor:
RBA policy: Further rate cuts could narrow the yield spread.
Eurozone growth data: Weak GDP figures may pressure EUR yields lower, widening the differential.
Commodity prices: AUD remains sensitive to iron ore and coal price fluctuations.
While the carry trade offers potential gains, volatility from macroeconomic data and shifts in risk sentiment could impact returns.
#EURAUD #AUDEUR
EURCAD (Supply/Demand + OTE + Liquidity)Hello traders!
We have valid 705 fib level, there we can expect reversal + mitigation demand zone.
Now price go to local correction. In local 0.5 fib level you will see big volume like confirmation before impulse till Demand.
Entry: confirmation on LTF in POI
Target: First problem zone is OB 4H
MAIN MOVE IN SHORT - TILL 0.5 of GLOBAL FIB LEVEL. SEE PRIVOIUS IDEA.
Demand zone also can be like fuel, so
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Potential bearish drop?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3781
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 1.3893
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3629
Why we like it:
There is a support level that lines up with the 145% Fibonacci extension.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1429
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.1572
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 1.1267
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURCHF SHORT (OB 4H + BB + OTE + Volume)Hello traders!
We have supply = OB 4H + OTE + BB
Target: ST Of Demand
Now we can expect reversal on LTF from 705 fib level + Mitigation Sell to Buy Action.
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