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USDCAD SELLUSD/CAD rallies to 1.3680 as the market focuses on a hawkish Fed The US Dollar extends its recovery for the second consecutive day, supported by strong US data. Upbeat US business activity and Jobless Claims support the Fed's "wait and see" rhetoric. In Canada, the weak Retail Sales data keep hopes for a BoC rate cut alive. The year will be politically marked by Trump’s return to the White House. A Republican government is seen as positive for financial markets, but Trump’s pledge to cut taxes and impose tariffs on foreign goods and services may introduce uncertainty to both the political and economic landscape. Canada’s political crisis peaked in late 2024 with a no-confidence vote against Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, leading to snap elections and a weakened Liberal minority government. Policy uncertainty and economic challenges dominate 2025’s outlook, raising concerns over market stability and investor confidence. The BoC is set to continue easing interest rates through 2025, at least at a faster pace than the Fed is expected to, which could apply pressure on CAD’s already-rising rate differential. SUPPORT 1.36991 SUPPORT 1.36739 SUPPORT 1.36495 RESISTANCE 1.37346 RESISTANCE 1.37455
Short
by Mark804
GBPUSD Idea – Demand Zones & Potential Reversal Play🧠 MJTrading: After a steady downtrend, GBPUSD is now approaching a strong 4H demand zone (Support 1), where we previously saw explosive bullish reactions. Price is also extended from both EMAs, showing potential for a technical pullback or full reversal. 💡Scenarios to consider: 🔹 If Support 1 holds → we may see a bounce toward 1.3500+ 🔹 If broken → Support 2 & 3 offer deeper liquidity and high-probability demand zones 👀 Watch for: Bullish reversal candles (engulfing / hammer) Bullish divergence on lower timeframes Volume spikes on reaction ⚠️ Invalidation: If Support 3 breaks with strong momentum, we might enter a bearish continuation phase. #GBPUSD #Forex #ChartDesigner #SmartMoney #PriceAction #MJTrading #ForexSetup #TrendReversal #SupportZones
Long
by MJElahifx
The Day AheadFriday, July 25 – Financial Market Summary (Trading Focus) Key Data Releases: US June Durable Goods Orders: A leading indicator of manufacturing activity. Strong growth may boost USD and treasury yields; weak numbers could fuel rate-cut bets. July Kansas City Fed Services Activity: Gauges regional service sector performance, often a directional cue for sentiment in broader Fed outlook. UK July GfK Consumer Confidence: Measures household sentiment. A decline may pressure GBP as it hints at cautious spending. June Retail Sales: A key gauge of consumer demand. Surprises could move GBP sharply, especially amid BoE rate-cut speculation. Japan July Tokyo CPI: A leading inflation gauge ahead of the national print. Hotter data may raise doubts about BoJ’s ultra-loose stance. June Services PPI: Measures business input costs; could signal future CPI pressure. Eurozone Germany July Ifo Survey: Monitors German business sentiment. Markets use this as a proxy for Eurozone economic health. Weakness can weigh on EUR and Bunds. France/Italy Confidence Surveys: Consumer and manufacturing sentiment—important for pricing growth expectations across the bloc. June M3 Money Supply: Closely watched by ECB for inflation outlook. Central Bank: ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters: Key for insight into market inflation expectations, growth, and rate paths—could shift EUR and European yields. Earnings – Market Movers: HCA Healthcare: Strong US economic bellwether; watch for comments on consumer healthcare trends. Charter Communications: Cable/streaming sector in focus—guidance may affect tech/media sentiment. Volkswagen: Global auto demand barometer—insight into EV strategy, China exposure. NatWest: UK-focused bank—comments on credit conditions and loan demand will influence GBP and FTSE sentiment. Eni: Energy major—production guidance, commodity price outlooks will move oil-sensitive equities and possibly EUR. Trading Implications: Focus on US durable goods for risk-on/risk-off bias. Eurozone sentiment and ECB inflation forecasts could reset EUR expectations. UK data dump will be crucial for GBP direction amid BoE policy divergence. Earnings from global cyclicals (Volkswagen, Eni) and banks (NatWest) may sway sectoral rotation. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
GBPUSD BUYGBP/USD drops to 1.3450 area after weak UK Retail Sales data GBP/USD continues to push lower after closing in negative territory on Thursday and trades near 1.3450 on Friday. Weaker-than-expected Retail Sales data from the UK and the broad-based US Dollar strength forces the pair to stay on the back foot heading into the weekend GBP/USD came under bearish pressure on Thursday and lost more than 0.5%, snapping a three-day winning streak in the process. The pair extends its slide on Friday and trades below 1.3500. The renewed US Dollar (USD) strength weighed on GBP/USD on Thursday. The US Department of Labor reported that the number of first-time applications for unemployment benefits declined to 217,000 in the week ending July 19 from 221,000 in the previous week. This reading came in better than the market expectation of 227,000. Additionally, the S&P Global Composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) improved to 54.6 (preliminary) in July from 52.9 in June, reflecting an ongoing expansion in the private sector's business activity, at an accelerating pace. Meanwhile, the EUR/GBP cross rose more than 0.3% on Thursday as the Euro benefited from the European Central Bank's (ECB) cautious tone on policy-easing. EUR/GBP preserves its bullish momentum and trades at its highest level since early April above 0.8700 on Friday, suggesting that the Euro continues to capture capital outflows out of Pound Sterling. Early Friday, the UK's Office for National Statistics reported that Retail Sales rose by 0.9% on a monthly basis in June. This reading followed the 2.8% decrease recorded in May but came in worse than the market expectation for an increase of 1.2%, making it difficult for GBP/USD to stage a rebound. In the second half of the day, Durable Goods Orders data for June will be the only data featured in the US economic calendar. Nevertheless, this data is unlikely to have a long-lasting impact on the USD's valuation. SUPPORT 1.34550 SUPPORT 1.34982 SUPPORT 1.35421 RESISTANCE 1.33990 RESISTANCE 1.33698
Short
by Mark804
USDJPY Under Pressure! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for USDJPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 147.83 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 147.34 My Stop Loss - 148.12 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EUR/USD (1H) – Price Compression Near Decision Zone🔍 Market Insight: The pair is hovering just above a fresh bullish OB zone, after forming a Market Structure Shift (MSS) and showing signs of bearish exhaustion. The chart outlines two clean scenarios – a potential reversal into premium OB or a deeper sweep toward the SSL below. 🧠 Smart Money Concepts Applied: 🔄 MSS + Trendline Liquidity (TL) 🧱 Order Blocks (OB) marked at high accuracy ⚡ Liquidity sweep potential toward SSL 🟨 Breaker Block acting as retest trap zone 📍 Key Price Zones: 🔴 Premium OB (Supply): 1.1752 – 1.1788 🔵 Demand OB (Buy Zone): 1.1731 – 1.1713 🟨 Breaker Block: ~1.1685 – 1.1700 🟦 Major Buy POI / SSL Trap Zone: 1.1612 🔵 Day High / Day Low: 1.1788 / 1.1733 📈 Scenario A – Bullish Reversal (Purple Path): Price taps OB @ 1.1713 → reversal expected First target: 1.1744 Bearish Bias Zone Second target: 1.1788 OB ✅ Confirmation needed via bullish engulfing or BOS on LTF 📉 Scenario B – Liquidity Grab + Deeper Drop (Orange Path): If OB fails, price may dive into the Breaker Block Rejection from there can lead to the SSL sweep @ 1.1612 ⚠️ This would trap breakout buyers & sweep below liquidity before bullish re-alignment 🎯 Trade Idea (Example – Scenario A): Buy Limit: 1.1715 SL: 1.1695 TP1: 1.1744 TP2: 1.1785 Risk-Reward: ~1:3+ ✅ Suggested TradingView Caption: EUR/USD (1H) – Waiting for Liquidity Play Price is consolidating near OB support with potential reversal to the premium zone. Two clean scenarios: a bullish break toward 1.1788 OB, or a liquidity sweep through the breaker block and into 1.1612 SSL. RSI cooling off, MACD showing divergence. Staying patient for confirmation. 📘 Educational idea – not financial advice.
by SmartMoneyProfessional
1
USDJPY Analysis : Smart Money Setup & MMC Concept + Target📌 Chart Overview: This 4H USDJPY chart presents a multi-phase market structure analysis rooted in MMC (Major-Minor-Central) framework, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), and liquidity mapping. The price is currently trading around 147.39, and the chart outlines two possible scenarios labeled 1 (bullish continuation) and 2 (bearish rejection). 🔍 Key Zones & Technical Elements Explained: 🔹 1. 2x Supply Zone (Support Reaction) Price rebounded sharply from the double-tested demand zone marked around 146.00–146.50. This zone has historical significance and has acted as a base for previous bullish momentum. The sharp V-shaped recovery suggests strong buying interest at institutional levels, hinting at a potential bullish continuation. 🔹 2. QFL (Quick Flip Liquidity) Zone A notable zone where previous bullish structure broke down. It’s now being retested from below. The QFL structure acts as a hidden supply zone or potential liquidity trap. Watch for price rejection here, especially if it aligns with liquidity sweep patterns. 🔹 3. Minor & Major Structural Levels Minor zone: A smaller consolidation and reaction zone—used to observe minor trend shifts or scaling entries. Major zone: Sitting around 148.50–149.00, this is your Next Reversal Zone. It overlaps with a historical resistance area and could lead to a significant reaction. 📈 Projected Scenarios: ✅ Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation Price breaks above the Central Zone and holds. After breaching the minor resistance, it climbs towards the Major Reversal Zone (148.50–149.00). There, we look for: Either a reversal trade setup (liquidity grab + bearish confirmation). Or continuation beyond 149.00, especially if supported by USD strength/fundamentals. 🚫 Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection Price fails to hold above the Central Zone. Rejection at QFL or Minor levels sends the pair back into the mid-147s and potentially down to retest the 2x Supply Zone again. Breakdown from there could lead to a move towards 145.50–146.00, forming a potential double bottom or deeper retracement. 🧩 Technical Insights Summary: Trend Context: Short-term bullish recovery from demand, but macro trend still uncertain. Key Confluence: 2x Supply → Strong demand. QFL + Central → Key breakout/rejection zones. Major Zone → High-probability reversal area. Bias: Neutral to Bullish, favoring Scenario 1 if price sustains above 147.50. Watch for: Candlestick rejections in Major Zone. Break-and-retest behavior in Central Zone. USD-related news near July 30–31 (highlighted below chart).
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EURNZD: Bullish Shift and Institutional Re-Entry from SupportGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of EURNZD, we observe that institutional order flow on the H4 timeframe has recently shifted bullish. This alignment now provides us with a clear bias to seek buying opportunities in line with the predominant higher timeframe trend. Higher Timeframe Context: The weekly timeframe is currently delivering bullish order flow. With the recent bullish market structure shift (MSS) on the H4, we now have confluence across both timeframes, which strengthens our confidence in seeking long setups on lower timeframes. Key Observations on H4: Sell Stop Raid & Structural Rejection: Price action recently swept sell-side liquidity, a typical behavior indicating institutional order pairing. Following this, price attempted to move lower but failed to break the previous low, instead being supported by a Rejection Block. This led to a bullish market structure shift—our key signal of trend continuation. Mitigation Block Entry Zone: Price has since retraced into a Mitigation Block—an area where previous institutional selling occurred. The purpose of this pullback is to mitigate earlier positions and initiate fresh buying orders. This now becomes our zone of interest for potential confirmation entries towards the upside. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Look for lower timeframe confirmation entries within the H4 Mitigation Block. Target: The objective is to target the H4 liquidity pool residing at premium prices, aligning with the discount-to-premium delivery model. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURNZD/BZC9xW1L-July-21-Forex-Outlook-Don-t-Miss-These-High-Reward-Setups/ As always, remain patient and disciplined. Wait for confirmation before executing, and manage your risk accordingly. Kind Regards, The Architect 🏛️📈
Long
by The_Archi-tect
EURUSD Long Setup: Technically and Fundamentally Supported Push 📈 I'm expecting a climb of this pair due to weakening USD. This idea is based on both technical and fundamental parameters: 🔍 Fundamentals ECB kept rates unchanged, signaling stability and reluctance to tighten policy further. FED is expected to cut rates in 5 days, as inflation eases and growth concerns rise in the US. A weaker dollar is likely to support EURUSD strength. 1.20 is a psychological and political level – above that, European exporters begin to suffer, and ECB might intervene verbally or with policy action. 🧠 Technical Setup Price has reclaimed a key support zone around 1.17069 – 1.17488, with consolidation signaling accumulation. Break of the descending trendline shows bullish intent. Next major resistance lies at 1.18971, followed by 1.20049 – a strong historical level and likely ECB reaction zone. Final target at 1.20669 – 1.20682 marked by previous highs. Entry Zone: 1.17045–1.17488 (current area of interest) Stop Loss: Below 1.16724 Targets: 1.18971 / 1.20049 / 1.20669 💬 Feel free to monitor price action at key zones. Entry should be based on reaction at support or a confirmed breakout. This is not a blind entry setup. 📅 If the FED cuts rates as expected, USD weakness could accelerate the move.
Long
by Rendon1
Bearish drop?USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resitance that lines up with the 50% FIbonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.7985 Why we like it: There is an overlap reistance that lines up with the 50% FIbonacci retraecment. Stop loss: 0.8067 Why we like it: There is an overlap resitance. Take profit: 0.7871 Why we like it: There is a swing low support. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets