EURUSD: Enters Weekly Supply Zone After Powerful RallyWEEKLY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 🔍
OVERALL TREND
📉 DOWNTREND — Despite the recent bullish impulse, the overarching structure remains a downtrend. Price is now testing a key area of interest.
🔴RESISTANCE & SUPPLY ZONES
🔴 1.15734 — SELL STOPLOSS | PIVOT HIGH
🔴 1.15044 — SELL ORDER II | SUPPLY ZONE
🔴 1.14849 — RESISTANCE (Major)
🔴 1.13648 — SELL ORDER (Downtrend Confirmed)
🔴 1.10990 — SELL ORDER & TP 1
🔴 1.08757 — SELL ORDER & TP 2 | MID PIVOT
🔴 1.07111 — SELL ORDER & TP 3
🔴 1.04570 — EXIT SELL & TP 4
🟡SUPPORT & BUY ZONES
🟢 1.03959 — BUY ORDER
🟢 1.02477 — BUY ORDER II
🟢 1.01779 — BUY STOPLOSS | PIVOT LOW
📉LONG-TERM SUPPORT LEVELS (WEEKLY)
🟡 0.98605 — SUPPORT (PROXIMAL)
🟡 0.98000 — SUPPORT (MAJOR)
🟡 0.97500 — SUPPORT (MAJOR)
🟡 0.95396 — SUPPORT (DISTAL)
🧠STRUCTURAL NOTES
EURUSD has surged into a weekly supply zone between 1.15133–1.16165
Price is currently reacting at a confluence of a PIVOT HIGH and MAJOR RESISTANCE
A rejection here could initiate a multi-week pullback toward 1.08757 or lower
Aggressive sellers may begin positioning around the 1.15044 zone with stop above 1.15734
Buyers are expected to step in near 1.02477 and 1.03959 zones
TRADE OUTLOOK 🔎
📉 Short-Term Bearish Bias while inside supply zone
📈 Bullish structure only resumes on decisive close above 1.15734
👀 Watch for reaction near 1.13648 — potential sell-off trigger
📊 Mid-term reversal opportunities exist at 1.08757, 1.04570, and 1.02477
🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION
CONSERVATIVE APPROACH (Trend-Following):
— Wait for rejection at 1.15044
— Short Entry below 1.13648
— TP Levels: 1.10990 / 1.08757 / 1.04570
— SL: Above 1.15734
RISK-REWARD BUY SETUP (Countertrend):
— Buy Orders: 1.03959 and 1.02477
— TP: 1.07111 / 1.08757
— SL: Below 1.01779
“Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience™”
Forex market
USDCAD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.385.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.396 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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UK Inflation Eases, But Pound StrengthensThe British Pound rose above $1.34 on Tuesday, its highest level in seven months, supported by broad dollar weakness. This gain came despite UK inflation softening more than expected, with headline CPI at 2.6% and services inflation down to 4.7%. Easing price pressures led markets to raise expectations for Bank of England rate cuts, now pricing in 86 basis points of easing by year-end, with a fourth cut increasingly likely.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, resistance levels are at 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support is at 1.3300, followed by 1.3200 and 1.3050.
Weekly Forex Market Analysis:GBPUSD–Issue 207(FreeThe analyst predicts that the GBP/USD rate will increase within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
NZDCAD: Break & Retest Setup 🇳🇿🇨🇦
NZDCAD broke and closed above a key daily/intraday horizontal resistance.
We see a strong bullish reaction to that after its test
and, from a current perspective, we see that it turned into support now.
I expect a bullish continuation at least to 0.8327
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AUDUSD Technical and Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will fall to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
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UPDATE ON EUR/USD ANALYSISEUR/USD 1H - As you all know I am looking to take this market long as soon as price has given us the confluence and confirmation needed in order to take it long.
I want to see price trade down and into a relevant area of Demand in order to deem us a refined entry, once price trades down and into the Demand Zone we then want to see relevant breaks in structure.
This is because a break in the structure that traded price down, the correction, would essentially confirm to us that it has come to an end and enough Demand has been introduced to see the market now trade higher.
Once we have the break in structure and we have the confirmation needed, its then a case of waiting for price to pullback, trading into a more refined area of interest, this is where we enter from.
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8114
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8067
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8241
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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USDCHF INTRADAY bearish below 0.8270The USDCHF pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 0.8270, which represents the current intraday swing high and the falling resistance trendline level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 0.8270 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 0.8040, with further potential declines to 0.7970 and 0.7900 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 0.8270 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 0.8344 resistance, with a potential extension to 0.8424 levels.
Conclusion:
Currently, the USDCHF sentiment remains bearish, with the 0.8270 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURCAD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
EURCAD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell EURCAD
Entry - 1.5898
Stop - 1.5970
Take - 1.5735
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Short AUDUSDA stellar run higher on AUDUSD, currently on its 10th day higher from the last pivot. A confluence of indicators and trendline intersections makes AUDUSD a decent short at 0.6420-0.6470 zone. 50% Fib retracement level from the fall from Sept 2024 highs. 200-day Moving Avg at 0.6470. Downsloping parallel channel - the top has hit (only the second hit, suggesting a pull-back). Bearish RSI divergence. How many more signals does one need?! Initial target is 0.6200, but likely a move to the bottom of the channel - around 0.5850
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25 - CONTINUEDEURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25
Summary
- Weekly Order Block
- Daily Order Block
- 15' Order Block
- Break of 15' structure
Requirements
- Setup A) Continued 15' breaks of structure. Price action pull back to point of interest.
- Setup B) Lower time frame break of structure via current 15' order block for immediate short.
- Setup C) Tap entry post break of structure
FRGNT X
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25
SUMMARY
- Weekly order block
- Daily order block
- Price action bullish in current point of interest.
REQUIREMNTS
- Setup A) Substantial 15' break of structure, creating 15' order block to short from on the pull back.
- Setup C) Lower time frame break of structure without initial 15' break of structure.
- Candle stick formation confluences.
FRGNT X
IG - JCFRGNT
EURUSDEURUSD price has a chance to test the 1.14550 and 1.15419 levels. If the price cannot break through the 1.15419 resistance zone, it is expected that the price has a chance to go down. Consider selling the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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USDCHF likely to continue its bearish trendprice has completed its retracement from the .618 Fib level, also known as "golden pocket"; moreover, there is no any major sign of reversal. The projection of the bearish flag pattern s also shown on the chart. Instant selling with a marked stop loss would be good to enjoy decent profits
Could the price bounce from here?EUR/NOK is falling towards the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could bounce tot he 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 11.81545
1st Support: 11.68330
1st Resistance: 12.15726
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