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Bullish bounce off overlap support?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.1263 1st Support: 1.1166 1st Resistance: 1.1423 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
GBPJPYGBP/JPY 10-Year Bond Yield and Interest Rate Differential 1. UK 10-Year Gilt Yield As of May 21, 2025, the UK 10-year gilt yield was approximately 4.77%, near its highest level since April 2025, driven by hotter-than-expected inflation data (April CPI at 3.5% YoY, core inflation 3.8%) and reduced expectations of Bank of England rate cuts. The Bank of England’s official interest rate stood at 4.25% in May 2025, down from 4.5%, but markets now price in limited further easing for the rest of the year. 2. Japan 10-Year Government Bond Yield As of May 21, 2025, the Japan 10-year government bond yield was around 1.52% to 1.55%, remaining near a one-month high amid improving trade data and cautious market sentiment. The Bank of Japan maintains a very accommodative monetary policy, with policy rates near zero, keeping yields low despite some inflationary pressures. 3. Interest Rate Differential (10-Year Bonds) The yield spread between UK and Japan 10-year bonds is: 4.77% (UK)−1.53% (Japan)=+3.24% This significant positive differential favors the British pound against the Japanese yen from a carry trade perspective. 4. Carry Trade Implications for GBP/JPY The +3.24% yield advantage makes GBP/JPY attractive for carry trades, where investors borrow in low-yielding JPY and invest in higher-yielding GBP assets to earn the interest spread. The wide differential supports GBP/JPY strength, assuming stable risk sentiment and no major shocks. Technical momentum and macroeconomic factors such as UK inflation data, BoJ policy stance, and global risk appetite will influence the pair’s trajectory in the coming week. Summary Table Metric United Kingdom (GBP) Japan (JPY) 10-Year Bond Yield ~4.77% ~1.53% Interest Rate Differential +3.24% (GBP over JPY) — Central Bank Policy Rate 4.25% (BoE) ~0% (BoJ) Conclusion From May 27 to June 4, 2025, the GBP/JPY pair benefits from a substantial 3.24% interest rate differential between UK and Japanese 10-year bonds, supporting carry trade flows into GBP. The Bank of England’s relatively higher rates and inflationary pressures contrast with the Bank of Japan’s ultra-accommodative policy, underpinning GBP strength versus JPY.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
From Breakdown to Breakout: AUD/JPY Flips Structure Above 92🟡 What happened recently? At the beginning of April, AUD/JPY dropped to a low of 86, but by early May, the pair had surged over 600 pips, reclaiming the key 92 support level. Most importantly, price reached a high of 95.50 — breaking well above the descending trendline that started back in July 2024. 📉 The recent pullback confirms the breakout The drop from 95.50 wasn’t bearish — it was confirmation: ✅ Clear rejection from the 92 zone ✅ Former resistance now acting as strong support ✅ Market structure has shifted to bullish 📈 What’s next? At the time of writing, AUD/JPY is trading around 92.76, and the structure suggests more upside ahead. 🧭 My strategy: ➡️ Buy dips toward 92.00 ➡️ Target: 95.50 — the recent high 🚀 The breakout is confirmed, the trend has shifted, and the opportunity is clear. Let the market do the work — we just need to stay aligned. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
7
USD/JPY 1H Analysis – Channel Breakout and Buy SignalOverview:** The USD/JPY chart shows a **bullish breakout from a descending channel**, supported by technical indicators like the Ichimoku Cloud and a strong demand zone. This setup suggests a potential bullish reversal and upward momentum. *Key Technical Points:** * **Descending Channel Breakout:** Price action has broken out of a falling channel, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. * **Strong Support Zone:** Around 143.28 – 143.73, the price found significant support, which aligns with a previous demand zone. This area held firm, helping trigger the breakout. * **Ichimoku Cloud:** Price is emerging above the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling a potential start of an uptrend. If the price maintains above the cloud, bullish momentum may strengthen. * **Resistance Levels:** * **First Resistance:** Near 146.00 – a critical area to watch for short-term profit-taking. * **Second Resistance:** Around 148.00 – a more extended target if bullish continuation holds. --- ### **Trading Idea:** **BUY USD/JPY** on successful retest of the breakout or sustained move above the Ichimoku Cloud. * **Entry:** 144.30–144.40 zone * **Target 1:** 146.00 * **Target 2:** 148.00 * **Stop Loss:** Below 143.20 (under the support zone) --- Conclusion:** The chart presents a classic **bullish channel breakout** supported by the Ichimoku indicator and price action at a strong support zone. As long as the price holds above the breakout level and Ichimoku Cloud, the upside targets at 146 and 148 remain valid. Let me know if you want this formatted as a trade plan or journal entry. To ensure you do not miss the upcoming analysis, be sure to follow me! Please leave a remark and a like!
Long
by KingProTrader
2
EURGBP BUY?Market is reacting to Fib area on Weekly time frame. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal. We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
Long
by WiLLProsperForex
NZDUSD 1D Golden Cross, final bull signal.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern that only broke during the early April sell-off and has found Support near its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on its recent May consolidation. As the 1D MACD just formed the 4th Bullish Cross of the year we expect this long with the emerging 1D Golden Cross to be the final buy signal before a long-term correction. Our Target is 0.60900 representing a +4.30% rise, the minimum previous within this pattern. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
NZDCAD: Likely to Drop Again Inside a Corrective PatternNZDCAD: Likely to Drop Again Inside a Corrective Pattern On the 4-hour chart, NZDCAD is moving within a large corrective pattern. Looking at past price action, we can see that NZDCAD has repeatedly declined from this zone. The pattern suggests that another drop is likely. The price movements have followed a "V"-shaped reversal without clear confirmation, meaning we can expect a similar price behavior again. Key target areas: 0.8226 0.8205 0.8180 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
1
EUR/CAD Bearish Flag Breakdown Toward Fibonacci SuppAnalysis 1. **Trend Breakdown:** * The chart shows a clear **bearish structure** developing after a strong rally to the 1.58800 area (Fibonacci 1.618 extension level). * Two upward trendlines were broken successively, confirming bearish momentum. 2. **Fibonacci Levels:** * The retracement from 1.58800 down to the 0.382 level (1.54586) has held significant importance. * Price action is respecting the **Fibonacci retracement zones**, with rejection near the 0.786 and 1.0 levels (1.56915 - 1.57109). 3. **Bearish Flag Pattern:** * A small **bearish flag/pennant** formed after a strong drop, which has now broken downward. * This confirms the **continuation of the bearish move**. 4. **Volume Confirmation:** * Volume spikes during the initial sell-off and again on recent bearish candles suggest **strong selling interest**. 5. **Trade Setup (Marked on Chart):** * **Entry:** Near 1.56443 * **Stop-Loss:** Around 1.57109 (just above recent highs) * **Target:** Around 1.54848–1.54500 zone, aligning with prior demand and 0.382 Fib level --- **Conclusion:** The chart signals a high-probability **short setup**, backed by a break of structure, Fibonacci confluence, bearish flag breakdown, and volume. A continued decline toward the 1.54500–1.54800 region is likely, provided the price stays below 1.57100.
Short
by KingProTrader
GBPCHF My Opinion! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for GBPCHF is below: The market is trading on 1.1144 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 1.1126 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EURNZD: Double Confluence with Fibonacci and Head & Shoulders EURNZD shows a potential bearish reversal setup after hitting the resistance zone at 1.9100 . The price has rejected from the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level , aligning closely with the psychological resistance at 1.9100 — forming a double confluence. A potential short-term retracement is expected toward the 1.88300 zone, which is projected by the 1.618 Fibonacci extension and acts as a round figure support level . 🟩 Key Levels: - Resistance: 1.9100 (also recent swing high) - Expected Target: 1.88300 - Invalidation Above: A clean breakout and close above 1.9100 --------------------- 📍 4H Chart Analysis A Head and Shoulders pattern is clearly forming on the 4H timeframe. The price is currently testing the neckline zone , and if a breakdown occurs, it may confirm a deeper bearish movement , adding higher timeframe support to the bearish idea. This structure further strengthens the bias that the recent bullish retracement might have ended, and the next leg could be downward toward the expected zone. The confluence of Fibonacci levels on the 1H chart and the bearish Head & Shoulders formation on the 4H chart suggests that bears might take control below 1.9100 . As long as the price stays under this key resistance, the bearish outlook remains valid, targeting 1.88300.
Short
by ClearTradingMind
NZDUSD What Next? SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for NZDUSD is below: The market is trading on 0.5966 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 0.5933 Recommended Stop Loss - 0.5989 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
USDJPY - MR.GRINGO ThinkingsHello everybody. Today, we have some discussion about this pair but only with using Technical ways. The pair right now is very long, maybe 80 days' time period in trouble situation. I mean, the bears have the market of it... As we see, this 80 day was so strong bearish range, but it's great try for bulls now! We may have a hope, the price will go up with this next side of the acceding triangular figures. We may open long position on the price 143.603 or Just make entry for long now. If you will follow this trading idea, there we will have "the main" resistance levels. They are... 1. 145.735 2. 146.892 3. 148.048 yes. so I recommend this price levels, because the market will check it maybe later... For sure if you think buy. Have a profit maker day! :) ^)
Long
by Nika-Lekishvili
Bullish rise?AUD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 92.87 1st Support: 92.06 1st Resistance: 94.07 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
GBP/USD – Fundamentals Support LONG Bias, Pound Outperforms Doll📝 Idea Description (EN): 📊 Fundamental Analysis: 🔹 🇬🇧 GBP – Strong Currency: CPI inflation at 3.5% – highest in the G7 → pressure to keep rates elevated Q1 GDP growth +0.7% – strong economic performance 2-year bond yields at 4.08% – market anticipates tight monetary policy CBI retail sales -27 – short-term consumer weakness Market expects pause or delay in rate cuts → bullish signal for GBP 🔹 🇺🇸 USD – Weak/Neutral Fundamentals: Consumer confidence rose (98 vs 87), but... Durable goods orders -6.3% → business spending is slowing Fiscal expansion: Trump proposes $3.8 trillion in new spending USD Index (DXY) down 5% since April → weakening dollar ✅ Summary: The British pound currently holds a clear fundamental advantage. The Bank of England may delay rate cuts due to persistent inflation, while the U.S. dollar faces fiscal concerns and weakening industrial data. ➡️ Mid- to Long-term Direction: LONG ➡️ Breakout target: 1.3590+ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is not financial advice. It is intended for educational and analytical purposes only. Always consider your own risk management and trading strategy.
Long
by entony195
Can the 1.1350 level be breached in one go?During the European session, EUR/USD traded in a narrow range above 1.1300, edging down 0.06% on the day. Although the exchange rate rebounded from the key support level of 1.1300, upward movement remained constrained by the resistance at 1.1340. Market trading was light as investors awaited the release of the Federal Reserve's May monetary policy meeting minutes. Currently, the moving averages of EUR/USD show a complete bullish alignment, confirming a strengthening of the medium-term trend. you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results. Trading Strategy: buy@1.1255-1.1300 TP:1.1350-1.1400
Long
by Ashbur
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3894 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.3985 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 1.3752 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which is a pullback support. Pivot: 0.8317 1st Support: 0.8198 1st Resistance: 0.8391 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets