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SPY in Downtrend: Key Levels and Trade Setups for Nov. 15, 2024Trading Plan and Technical Analysis for SPY Overview SPY has shown a sharp downward trend recently, with price action reflecting bearish momentum. In this setup, I’ll cover important support and resistance levels, supply and demand zones, and potential entry/exit points for both scalping and swing trades. Key Levels Support Zones: $591: This is the immediate support level. A break below this could signal further downside momentum. $585: If SPY fails to hold above $591, this level becomes the next target and is a key zone where buyers may step in. Resistance Zones: $594.34 - $594.96: This area served as previous support and may now act as resistance. A strong push above this range could indicate a potential reversal. $599.16: If SPY can break through $594 with volume, the next significant resistance is around $599. Price Action & Supply/Demand Zones Demand Zone: Between $585 and $591, where SPY may find buying interest if the downward pressure subsides. Supply Zone: The region around $594.34 - $594.96. If price approaches this zone, watch for potential selling or resistance unless there’s a strong breakout. Order Blocks & Market Structure Bearish Order Block: Around $594.34 - $594.96, where sellers previously gained control. This area is a critical level for bears to defend if the downtrend is to continue. Potential Bullish Reversal: If SPY can reclaim and hold above $594.96, it could signal a shift toward bullish sentiment, at least for a short-term bounce. Entry & Exit Suggestions Scalping Entry: For short scalps, look to enter around $591 on breakdowns or quick bounces, targeting $588 with a tight stop above $592. Swing Trade Entry: Consider entering near $585 if SPY reaches this level and shows signs of support, with a potential target around $594.34. Use a stop-loss below $584 to manage risk. Directional Outlook Bearish Scenario: If SPY fails to hold $591, look for further downside, with $585 as the next key target. Bullish Reversal Potential: For a bullish reversal, SPY needs to break above $594.96 with volume. This could lead to a short-term move toward $599.16. Thoughts and Suggestions With the current downtrend, scalpers should focus on quick plays around the support levels. Swing traders may find opportunity if SPY shows signs of strength at $585, but it’s crucial to be cautious until a clearer reversal signal emerges. Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBear-Insights
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-15: GAP-Reversal Counter-TrendToday's Pattern suggests the SPY will GAP downward at the open and attempt to identify a base/bottom throughout the day. I belive this move may represent a pause in the downward trend, shifting into a FLAGGING pattern as part of a broader Excess Phase Peak pattern. If I'm correct, we are going to move into a moderate BUYing opportunity for the SPY/QQQ lasting into Tuesday/Wednesday of next week. Gold and Silver appear to be setting up a base/bottom off a very deep Phase #5 (Ultimate Low) of a current Excess Phase Peak pattern. This means, if we continue to get confirmation, that Gold and Silver will attempt to move higher and attempt to move into the Phase #3 of the Excess Phase Peak pattern (a move into a consolidation phase). BTCUSD is current exhibiting a dual type of Excess Phase Peak pattern that suggests a broader breakdown is in the works. Possibly back down to 78-82k. This could be a very big contraction event for BTCUSD. Buckle up. Happy Friday. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
1
Time to buy $TLT for a trade to $100?I think we could see a short term rally in $TLT. On low timeframes today, it looks like we've formed a double bottom and that price is bouncing off of the lower trend line. I think we could see a rally up into the $100-102 region from here. My base case is for price to reject that region and then form one more leg lower before a sustainable bounce in bonds. Let's see how it plays out. I marked off both levels to the upside and to the downside to account for both scenarios once price has broken out of the structure.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by benjihyam
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-14 : Temp Bottom In Trend ModeToday's pattern suggests the SPY will attempt to continue to flag sideways and slightly higher after finding support in early trading. Watch my video in detail. I go into a lot of longer-term price pattern detail and discuss the post-election setup of my Anomaly Event expectation. As I see the markets right now, they have moved, and continue to move in a direction that is likely to present a very real moderate crisis event over the next 3 to 6+ months. The stronger US Dollar is very likely to put pressure on foreign markets/debt related to the "carry trade" that was abundant before and after COVID. The Trump win is sending the markets into a Super-Predator mode (maybe I'll create a new video about this), where global markets, central banks, and global financial institutions may be at risk related to their long-term debt positions. At this point, The SPY and the QQQ will likely slide into a consolidation phase (a type of FLAGGING related to the broader Excess Phase Peak pattern) over the next 3+ days. Then, I expect the Anomaly Event to start to take shape and for the SPY/QQQ to begin a downward price trend. Gold and Silver are struggling to find a bottom as the US Dollar continues to rally. Don't expect any relief for metals as along as the US Dollar is rallying like this. This is a predatory shift related to global assets and Gold/Silver are going to stay weaker for as long as this shift continues. BTCUSD may rally up to $108k~120k if my research is correct. BTCUSD is in a "rally to the ultimate high" mode based on a very large Weekly Excess Phase Peak pattern. Remember, everything you need to know is already on the price chart. You just have to learn to identify these patterns and spend some time looking around at various intervals to figure out what is going to happen next. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
QQQ Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for QQQ is below: The market is trading on 514.16 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 496.08 Recommended Stop Loss - 525.28 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by AnabelSignals
2
UltraPro QQQ. Trump-a-rally gives no light for leveraged betsIt's gone 10 days or so, since Mr. Trump has secured a win over his Democrat-rival Kamala Harris in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as it declared by the Associated Press. Since that, a lot of stocks soared in a meme-style mode, while Bitcoin clears $93,000 and Dogecoin soared amid Trump-fueled crypto rally. The main graph is for UltraPro QQQ NASDAQ:TQQQ and it indicates, that major 82-Dollars resistance for leveraged bets on Tech sector has not been broken yet. 👉 NASDAQ:QQQ is a traditional ETF that tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, suitable for long-term investors seeking broad exposure to tech-focused stocks. 👉 NASDAQ:TQQQ is a leveraged ETF that aims to deliver triple (3x) the daily returns of the Nasdaq-100 Index, making it only suitable for short-term traders. Since US dollar interest rates are still near multi year highs and Powell says the Fed is in no hurry to cut interest rates.. all of that means Trump-a-rally gives no light for leveraged bets (yet). Potentially everything can be clear in January, 2025 only. GL y'all. Cheers, @Pandorra 😎
NASDAQ:TQQQ
by Pandorra
$SPY November 14, 2024AMEX:SPY November 14, 2024 15 Minutes. We are in an interesting setup. Foe the fall 600.17 to 594.37 AMEX:SPY retraced 599 levels. That is 78% retracement of the fall. Also, we have a 599 top earlier on 12th November too. And for the rise 594.99 to 599.23 AMEX:SPY has retraced 61.8% to 596 levels. Both denotes a limit of double top or double bottom being 599 or 594. So, until this range is broken, I have no trade on either direction. Today we will have a one-sided Thursdays move as usual. My downside is limited to 590 592 levels. So, I will not take any shorts yet. If 592 is broken, then I will look for 586-584 as target. That represents 38% to 50% retracement for the rise 567.89 to 600.17. 585 at the moment is also 100 averages in 60 minutes time frame.
AMEX:SPYShort
by RiderTrader
3
S&P 500 Market Update Part 2 + Trade Plan AMEX:SPY Greetings everyone, Let’s analyze the recent price action of the S&P 500. I SPY 🕵️with my eye a reversal . The index reached a key milestone, breaking above $600 USD shortly after the US election. However, this achievement was short-lived. After briefly crossing the $600 level, it was quickly rejected, falling back below—a classic case of what traders often call a fakeout or a “look above and fail.” Momentum Shift: A Rollercoaster Analogy Imagine a rollercoaster that has climbed to its peak with tremendous force (the catalyst). The potential energy built up from the climb is unleashed as it starts descending rapidly. Similarly, after a period of intense buying pressure, the market often runs out of steam, stalling and reversing direction—just like our rollercoaster hurtling back downward after reaching its height. What Happened Next? Following the breakout, extreme selling pressure set in, driving prices down sharply. During market hours, the price bounced between highs and lows, showing signs of uncertainty and volatility. Renewed Interest and Its Consequences As the price dipped, confident buyers stepped in, creating a back-and-forth movement akin to a seesaw. This tug-of-war in price action is evident in the bear flag pattern which formed on the chart. While the bear flag doesn’t guarantee further downside, it often signals the potential for continued selling pressure based on historical patterns. What’s next for the S&P 500? I have my long term support target which I expect price may revisit in order to build enough momentum aka buying pressure. For its next major move - whether it’s up once more or continued lower Major Levels: 586 Major SR 591 Strong Resistance as of late 596.89 Zone to consider going long if price renters and holds. Trade Plan: I gave out the trade idea to short if priced Reversed at $600 in my previous market post. Give it a like 👍. If you were able to catch that trade through reading my previous or on your own accord please like or drop a comment on how you executed the trade. Trade Plan Assuming you were trading since 600, I would be de-risk by taking some profit. Setup: 1. Bearish engulfing at major resistance levels & short to the previous lower levels. 2. I would also be looking for a strong reversal at the levels noted to re-enter the short. 3. The end goal is 588.xx + a small margin of error. Thanks, - C Lemard
AMEX:SPYShort
by coilemard
Market (Sectors) Performance OutlookSince November 6th, we’ve witnessed a seismic shift in the market landscape, with crypto breaking through and outperforming the broader market. 📈 The sectors leading the charge against the S&P 500 are XLY, XLE, XLF, XLC, and XLK. Notably, the MAG 7 have also been outpacing the market since November 7th. 💪 Smart money seems to be flowing into crypto, contributing to the sell-off in the S&P 500. From a macroeconomic perspective, XLK and XLC have been market leaders for the past few months. However, it might be time to pivot towards the Energy sector, especially after a stellar earnings season where major E&P companies smashed their earnings estimates. ⚡️ Stay tuned and ready to capitalize on these dynamic market movements! 📊💼
NASDAQ:MAGS
by MESHANL
SPY Tipping Point: Key Supply and Demand Zones with Entry, ExitSPY is at a critical juncture, balancing between strong support and resistance zones. This analysis dives into actionable price levels, key zones, and setups for both scalping and swing trading. Let’s see where SPY might head next. Market Structure Overview: SPY has been consolidating near the $598 level, showing a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. This range-bound behavior typically suggests a buildup for a potential breakout or breakdown. With a slight bearish tilt in recent price action, SPY appears to be preparing for a directional move soon. Key Zones: Demand Zone (Support): $594.42 - $596 This is a critical area where buyers have consistently stepped in, providing strong support. If SPY reaches this zone and holds, it could present an ideal entry for a long scalp. However, a breakdown here might signal a larger downward move. Supply Zone (Resistance): $600.99 - $602 The $601-$602 level has acted as a cap for recent rallies. A break and close above this zone could attract further buying interest, targeting higher levels. Order Block Insight: SPY has a visible order block around $598. This level is seeing substantial buying and selling pressure, indicating that institutional players may be active here. Price action at this block could offer clues on short-term direction. Support & Resistance with Entry, Exit, and Stop Suggestions: Immediate Support: $596 Long Entry: Around $596 if there’s a clear bounce, aiming for exits at $598 and $600. Stop-Loss: Below $595 to manage risk if SPY breaks lower. Immediate Resistance: $598 Short Entry: Near $598 if there’s rejection, with targets at $596 and $594.42. Stop-Loss: Above $599 to protect against a reversal. Swing Trade Setup: Swing Long: Above $602, with targets at $604 and $607. This breakout could indicate a bullish trend continuation. Stop-Loss: Below $600 to reduce downside risk. Swing Short: Below $594.42, targeting $592, then $590 if selling pressure intensifies. Stop-Loss: Above $596 to control risk if SPY reverses. Price Action Insights: The recent price action suggests a slight bearish bias as SPY struggles to break $598 consistently. This range compression could mean a breakout is nearing, likely fueled by an increase in volume. SPY’s inability to decisively clear $600 aligns with the MACD, which has recently shown a bearish crossover. Indicator Analysis (9 EMA & 21 EMA): SPY is currently trading around the 9 EMA, with the 21 EMA above it, providing added resistance. A cross of the 9 EMA above the 21 EMA could be a bullish signal, prompting scalpers to look for quick longs. Until then, staying cautious on longs within this tight range is advisable. Scalping & Swing Outlook: Scalping: Look for quick short entries around $598 with exits near $596 or long entries around $596 targeting $598. Use tight stops given SPY’s choppy behavior. Swing: A clear break above $602 or below $594 could provide a more definitive trend. Until then, patience is essential to avoid getting caught in fakeouts. Directional Thoughts & Suggestions: SPY’s current setup suggests a slight downside bias, but the tight range hints at an impending breakout. Watching reactions at $598 and $596 will be crucial. I lean towards a bearish direction if $594 breaks, targeting $592 as the next support. However, a break above $602 would invalidate this view and favor a bullish continuation to higher levels. Conclusion: SPY’s setup highlights a battle at key levels, making disciplined entries and stops crucial. Patience for confirmed breaks will improve trade accuracy, especially for swing setups. This environment suits scalpers who can capitalize on tight ranges and quick exits. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor. Trading involves risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBear-Insights
ARKK Innovation ready to Boom? Kathy Woods ARKK Innovation fund has been completely beaten down over the course of 2 years, down over 80% from the peak of the 2021 bull market. After trading in an accumulation zone for many months, we have broken out of the value ranges, as well as the overall consolidation zone marked in the green box, which presented to be a resistance zone that should be turning into support. Technology and innovation will likely lead the market gains with new developments in AI as well as Crypto that could really send this ETF far above previous highs. Presently, I would like to see liquidity tapped just above $70, marked on the chart. Before a slight pullback and rip. We are currently approx 25% away from this zone, which will likely be a take profit zone. One major confluence for a strong rally for me will be a break and acceptance into the previous range sitting at $75. From there, the range point of control sits a whopping 60%, which could initiate a large move higher. The anchored vwap from the high may provide some resistance at the moment, I would look for a break and retest as a confirmation that the trend is truly changing here. As always, only time will tell. Good luck!
AMEX:ARKKLong
by afurs1
1
Market near Top. SOXX is showing weakness.So first off, I am expecting a recession to begin in the next year. I know, people have been saying this for years and I've been laughing at them for years. So many idiots thought that a recession begins once the yield curve inverts lol. Well there's several things I've been watching for a recession: new home sales, unemployment claims, leading economic index (LEI), etc. One of the last signs before a recession, believe it or not, is the SPX making a new high. And we finally got NFP under +50k. I don't think SPX will go much higher than 6100. And if you look at SOXX, an index of semiconductor stocks, it is actually below the 200-day simple moving average (sma). This seems to have escaped a lot of people's attention. I am watching to see if it breaks below October's low of 216.56.
NASDAQ:SOXX
by anotherdevilsadvocate
1
Double Top on Tech?Technology stocks had a strong first half but could be ending the year on a weak note. Is the sector finally losing its leadership? Today’s chart of the SPDR Select Sector Technology Fund highlights the July 10 closing high of $237.68. XLK stalled around that same level a week ago, resulting in a potential double top on the fund. Second, prices have slipped below October's closing high of $233.73. That stands in contrast with other big sectors like Communications, Financials and Consumer Discretionaries. Third, relative strength in the lower study shows fading leadership in technology versus the broader market. We end with a look at Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , which has been a major driver of the sector this year. Notice the sharply rising lower trendline and the higher trendline with less of an upward slope. That kind of rising wedge is a potential reversal pattern. It could also raise the stakes headed into NVDA’s big earnings report after the closing bell next Wednesday, November 20. Standardized Performances for the ETF mentioned above: SPDR Select Sector Technology ETF (XLK) 1-year: +35.50% 5-years: +165.61% 10-year: +448.20% (As of October 31, 2024) Exchange Traded Funds ("ETFs") are subject to management fees and other expenses. Before making investment decisions, investors should carefully read information found in the prospectus or summary prospectus, if available, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Click here to find the prospectus. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
AMEX:XLK
by TradeStation
$50 by Nov 5 Appears we've had an accelerated move to the low $40's already. Was expecting this by x-mas. Now expecting a move to $50 by election day. There is some uncertainty who will win, but a push to the 88.6% fib is highly probable. Depending on who wins, we will see a push to between $54-62 range, or a temporary retrace. Feds have cleared the way for more rate cuts. Mostly likely another .25 before election day, just so they look good, but not "influencing" the market/election in any way, of course.
AMEX:TNALong
by ep7