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$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 7 20AMEX:SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 7 2025 Alright, y’all, ATH’s are back in the trading range today. We have a downtrend line off of ATH’s midway through the range and then ATH’s, and 612 as the top of the implied move for the day. Underneath we have the 35EMA -which we bounced on yesterday - and the 30min 200 for support. Under all of that we have the 50 Day Moving average. Easy Trading range today. Bullish moving averages but they are close together and that means that could change.
AMEX:SPY
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
MSTX: The Setup for a Major MoveHey! Currently, MSTX is exhibiting bullish structural development, aligning with what could be a textbook re-accumulation phase ahead of a major move to the upside. Looking for price to break above $64.40 with Volume and Strength. All up to BTC of course. Key Technical Signals: The bottom of the current structure exhibits a converging IHS (Inverse Head & Shoulders) and Double Bottom—a powerful bullish reversal pattern. Bullish Continuation Divergence confirms hidden strength as price action builds momentum for a breakout. The macro trend aligns with MSTR and BTC correlations, historically leading to explosive price action when BTC enters an expansion phase. BTC, MSTR & MSTX Projections Based on Historical Relativity BTC currently: $96,750 MSTR currently: $327 MSTX currently: $41 If BTC Rises 20% to $116,000 Historically, MSTR moves 3x BTC, meaning MSTR could rise to ~$522. MSTX, as a 2x leveraged ETF on MSTR, could reach ~$90. If BTC Reaches $180,000 (~86% Gain) MSTR, moving 3x BTC, would explode to ~$1,171. MSTX, moving 2x MSTR, could reach $252. Factoring in MSTR Share Dilution MSTR’s ongoing share issuance to buy BTC may introduce slight dilution. MSTR sells shares and uses the capital to buy more BTC. However, historically, BTC's price appreciation has vastly outpaced dilution effects, making MSTR's BTC holdings per share continue to rise significantly over time. Why This Setup is High Conviction MSTX provides leveraged exposure, amplifying potential returns. BTC is already trending towards new highs, increasing probabilities of continuation. This trade setup has the potential for a 5x move or more if BTC continues its cycle. Mute the noise. There is technical bullishness in this chart. Set alerts and stick to a plan. Thank you for your time and happy trading! OnePath
NASDAQ:MSTX
by OnePath
S&P 500 Forecast for 2025: Insights from Stock Market CyclesAMEX:SPY CME_MINI:ES1! SP:SPX January Barometer: The month of January has already closed with a net gain over December. Therefore, in accordance with the January Barometer this suggests a positive year. First Five Days Indicator: The first five trading days being positive further supports this outlook. Although they were barely positive at +0.6% it still counts. December Low Indicator: This indicator is bearish if the December low is taken out in Q1 of the year. Unfortunately, the December low was already breached in January, which adds a note of caution. We now have two bullish indicators and one negative indicator. Presidential Cycle: With 2025 being the first year of a presidential term, historically this has been bearish for the stock market. It brings uncertainty, which may temper expectations. This is the year where presidents typically enact changes and tough fiscal measures, although president Trump may prove to be atypical here; especially if he enacts any of his tax policies, rate cuts or large government spending programs this year. So, while this indicator is bearish, it has a caveat given how unorthodox Trump is as a president. For example, in 2016 the stock market was very volatile but still gained 10% under Trump’s first term year. Outlook: Combining these factors, the outlook for 2025 is cautiously optimistic. While the January barometer and the first 5 days indicator point to a positive year, the breach of the December low coupled with this being the first-year of a presidential cycle suggests a volatile to bearish year. When combining all indicators we arrive at the conclusion that we are in for a volatile RANGE year. The bulls and bears will battle it out in a tug of war. While January-April tend to be seasonally bullish, May-October tend to be bearish. November and December are seasonally bullish too. So whether the year closes with a slight gain or slight loss isn’t the focus. The best approach for this year is to capitalize on the swings. Therefore, mean reversion strategies (buy low, sell high) are ideal. Momentum and breakout strategies should be avoided. Finally, avoid being caught in a drawdown in the May-October period and position yourself to capitalize on the Nov-Dec seasonally bullish period.
AMEX:SPY
by ConvictionTrades
$QTUM Maybe Trying to break out of This Wedge (VCP)I have been long this name for a few months now in my investment account. I have added more today with a stop on the added position size just below today’s low. There are some very big names in this ETF, it invests in AI learning as well as Quantum Computing. It looks to me to be in a Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP), more popularly called a wedging pattern. I went long more shares as indicated above in anticipation of a break above the declining upper trendline. It also is supported by both the 8 and 20 EMAs and has consolidated to get more inline with the 50 DMA (red). If you like it, make the trade your own and make sure it fits your trading plan. Look at the fund holdings in “More About Fund” link supplied by TradingView. Here are some of the names you might recognize: NASDAQ:KLAC NYSE:IBM NASDAQ:PLTR NYSE:RTX NYSE:BABA From Defiance ETF Website: QTUM Index Description: The BlueStar® Machine Learning and Quantum Computing Index (BQTUM) tracks liquid companies in the global quantum computing and machine learning industries, including products and services related to quantum computing or machine learning, such as the development or use of quantum computers or computing chips, superconducting materials, applications built on quantum computers, embedded artificial intelligence chips, or software specializing in the perception, collection, visualization, or management of big data.
NASDAQ:QTUMLong
by jaxdog
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-7-25: Where's The Deep-VShortly after I created the morning video, the markets opened with a BANG. First rallying, then rolling over - just as I predicted. Granted, I never expected the markets to rally above 606 before rolling downward, but the breakdown move into a potential Deep-V looks to be playing out very nicely right now. Come Monday (2-10), and possibly carrying into the 13th, we could see a very sharp deep-V type price move that pushes the SPY below 580 for a period of time. That could be a very big move from the 606+ levels we saw this morning. And you know I'll be saying, "Just as I predicted," for at least 3 to 5 days starting early next week if that happens. Again, I put my research out to the public like this to either live or die by my work. Very few people are able to do this - or they flip/flop all the time (every 2-3 hours). My research is different. I'm really trying to make a difference by telling traders what to expect now and in the future. I know I'm starting to make a difference for many people because I'm getting emails and messages from individuals who use my research to identify great trade opportunities. Are you going to be the next person to share your success story with me? Remember, have a safe weekend and GET SOME come Monday morning. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
The SPY will go up for the rest of the weekThe market will go up for the next 3 more days. I am using the Heikin Ashi candlesticks. Why Heikin Ashi candlesticks? 1) They show more of a directional movement within candlesticks. 2) They tend to filter out the market noise so you can see the market direction better. 3) It reduces false signals, allowing you to stay in the trade longer. 4) And, it gives you a smoother appearance making it easier to see trends and reversals. (This information is from Dr. Keith Wade who speaks at the Wealth365 Summits.) Typically, I would wait until there are 2 green Heikin Ashi green candlesticks before entering. I still tend to switch back and forth between Heikin Ashi candlesticks and regular candlesticks since regular candlesticks are what I am familiar with and have been using since I started trading. I use the MacD, the Stock RSI and the DMI to assist me with the direction of the market. I am not perfect at them. I will hopefully try to explain these in future trading charts. I personally find: * the 5 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next half and hour. * the 10 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next hour. * the 30 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the daily. * and, the hour indicators typically represents what will happen in the next week. I am anticipating a bull trend for the next few days as the 30 min, 1 hour, 2 hour, 3 hour and 4 hour indicators are already looking bullish. I have a few targets. In the past I have said the market is usually moving about 34 points, but I think it will make a less of a move this time due to the Stock RSI only being slightly lower as it is not starting close to 0. If you look at some of the past moves, the market moved around 20 points such as from July 1 to July 16, Oct 7 to Oct 17 and Nov. 20 to Dec 6th. As well, if you look at the Stock RSI on the daily charts, it has only declined a little. So even if it turns soon, it only has a little way to go upward. As well, it is hitting a resistance around 610. I think the market will bounce back and forth between 610 and 590 for a few more weeks. Typically, I would wait until there are 2 green Heikin Ashi green candlesticks before entering. The targets I have in place are: 20 point move = 610.42 1 Fibonacci move = 610.59 5 day move = Feb 7 If it hits one of these targets, I am out of my trade. And I will even shave a little off, so if it hits 609, I will be out. My stops are: 1) the low of the previous Heikin Ashi candlestick, 2) 2 red Heikin Ashi candlesticks, 3) a specific dollar amount for a total loss for my trade or 4) a specific dollar amount per contract. If it hits one of those stops, I am out of my trade. Lastly, I believe tomorrow it may go lower as I find the 3rd day typically moves sideways or goes lower. And some of the shorter term indicators are looking weak. I really encourage you to draw a chart yourself. The first chart is the most nerve racking, but I have learned the most through drawing charts. I am trying to take trading classes through Udemy, mostly because they are cheap. LOL! I usually wait for a sale where the courses are as low as $14.99 instead of over $100 per course. They have sales a few times per year. Just keep checking the website. I am NOT affiliated with this company in any way. I am just trying to tell you where I have found cheaper courses online to learn more. www.udemy.com I always try to attend Wealth365 Summit which is held about 4 times a year where I always pick up some more useful information. Again, I am not affiliated with this company in any way. www.wealth365.com My chart is not guaranteed and I am still learning. Trade at your own risk. Happy trading everyone!
AMEX:SPYLong
by Princessgirl
7
Opening (IRA): SPXL March 21st 154 Covered Call... for a 151.04 debit. Comments: Selling the -84 call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. (In all honesty, this is just an attempt to keep my theta/net liquidity ratio above .05, which is kind of the minimum of where I like to have it). Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 151.04/share Max Profit: 3.96 ROC at Max: 1.96% 50% Max: 1.98 ROC at 50% Max: .98
AMEX:SPXLLong
by NaughtyPines
$TAN Is This Getting Ready for a Stage 2 Breakout?Clean Energy (Solar) has been in a downtrend since January 2021! Every time it looks like it is setting up for a stage 2 breakout, it has broken down. Will this time be different? Here is what I see on this chart. TAN was in a clear downtrend until mid-December 2024. Then it challenged its previous high from the beginning of December. That failed BUT, it seems to have found a bottom as here we are in early February, and it has not sunk any lower than the December lows. I am optimistic that we may be ready to enter a Stage 2 uptrend. However, it has work to do. The first step is to get up and over the 50 DMA (red). Next it needs to break the Downtrend line. It also needs to put in a higher high and finally put in a higher low. As I said, it has work to do. Having said all of that, I have an alert set just over the 50 DMA where I will look for a good entry where I can put in a tight stop should I decide to make the trade. IF, it is going to enter a sustained uptrend it “could” be a big winner. All TBD. These are my ideas, if you think it makes sense for you, please make it your own trade that fits within “your” trading plan.
AMEX:TANLong
by jaxdog