Get started

ETF market

Repaying the Italian debt in 40 years. The method. Hello, I am Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about an ambitious, innovative and potentially revolutionary idea for the management of the Italian public debt. A strategy that, in theory, could heal the enormous accumulated debt and bring Italy to a stronger and more stable financial position. Let's find out together how it could work. The basic idea Italy, with a public debt that amounts to about 2,900 billion euros, pays 70 billion euros in interest annually to its creditors. However, imagine an alternative scenario in which those 70 billion, instead of being paid for the payment of interest, are invested in index funds with an estimated average annual return of 10%. Furthermore, the profits generated would be reinvested annually. It is a solution that is based on the power of compound interest. From the second year, Italy would also have the 70 billion euros available annually no longer tied to the payment of interest. These funds could be used in strategic ways to support economic recovery. Agreements with creditors To make this proposal feasible, Italy would have to negotiate an agreement with creditors. The agreement would include a temporary suspension of interest payments, with the promise that the State will repay the entire debt within 40 years, also guaranteeing a compensatory interest of 10% as a "disturbance". This implies that creditors must accept a long-term vision, trusting in the profitability of investments and the ability of the Italian State to honor the final commitment. Simulation: how it could work If the 70 billion were invested from the first year in index funds with an average annual return of 10%, the capital would grow exponentially thanks to compound interest. Over 40 years, the investment would accumulate over 3,241 billion euros, a sum sufficient to repay the public debt of 2,900 billion and to provide a surplus to satisfy the extra interest promised to creditors. Meanwhile, from the second year, Italy would have at its disposal the 70 billion annually previously earmarked for interest payments. Over 40 years, this figure would represent a total of 2,800 billion euros, which could be used to: Strengthen strategic infrastructure in the transport, energy and digital sectors. Reduce the tax burden and encourage economic growth. Improve social services, such as healthcare, welfare and education. Further reduce the residual debt, strengthening the country's financial stability. Conclusion With this strategy, Italy would not only repay its public debt, but would also start an unprecedented phase of economic recovery. The combination of compound interest and the reallocation of freed funds represents an innovative vision to solve one of the main economic challenges of our time. However, the implementation of such an ambitious plan would require financial discipline, political stability and careful management of investments. Furthermore, it would be essential to negotiate a transparent and advantageous agreement with creditors, ensuring trust and credibility in international markets. Whether this is a utopia or a real opportunity will depend on the ability to imagine and adopt bold solutions for the good of the country.
MIL:EUROEducation
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Spy Outlook - Two Key Scenarios to Watch this WeekHello everyone, I’m theCafeTrader — hope you all had a great weekend. Currently, SPY is sitting near the tail end of a supply zone around 569.57 . So far, it hasn’t shown strong conviction to push through this area, which likely reflects a lack of buying interest rather than heavy absorption by sellers. In this post, I’ve outlined two scenarios for how you might approach trading SPY this week. As you’ve probably noticed, we’re sitting right in the middle of the broader range . I’ve marked out both light and heavy supply and demand zones — these will be critical for spotting clean entry opportunities. Remember, liquidity moves markets , and we want to be on the right side of the move with strong entries. ⸻ Scenario 1: Break Above Supply If we open or gap above the current supply , and price holds that level , I can see SPY pushing up toward 584 , encountering some light supply on the way. The play might look like this: • SPY runs up to 576 , hesitates slightly (possible minor rejection), • Finds a bidder and continues to 584 , where heavier selling pressure is likely waiting. That would be the ideal short entry , with a little room for volatility, aiming for a move back down into a new demand zone (not yet formed or shown here). ⸻ Scenario 2: Rejection and Roll Over If we reject this supply zone and roll over , watch for price to cut through demand again and test the big buyers near 549.50 . I’m especially interested in longs in that area. Even if price dips a bit further, there’s extreme demand at 540 , though I’d prefer to keep a tight stop so I can reposition quickly if needed. From there, I think we could catch a strong bid and rally back up to 584 . ⸻ If you found this helpful, please give it a boost and follow — I chart and post updates daily. Also, YouTube is coming soon with live breakdowns and deeper analysis — stay tuned!
AMEX:SPY
by thecafetrader
SPY - support & resistant areas for today March 21 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. My group in my signature, get these first then ideas, and then minds; I also post these for QQQ TSLA META VIX in my group, so join if yall havent Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 20 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, Or how to trade this? Comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
Trading Is Not Gambling: Become A Better Trader Part III'm so thankful the admins at Tradingview selected my first Trading Is Not Gambling video for their Editor's Pick section. What an honor. I put together this video to try to teach all the new followers how to use analysis to try to plan trade actions and to attempt to minimize risks. Within this video, I try to teach you to explore the best opportunities based on strong research/analysis skills and to learn to wait for the best opportunities for profits. Trading is very similar to hunting or trying to hit a baseball... you have to WAIT for the best opportunity, then make a decision on how to execute for the best results. Trust me, if trading was easy, everyone would be making millions and no one would be trying to find the best trade solutions. In my opinion, the best solution is to learn the skills to try to develop the best consistent outcomes. And that is what I'm trying to teach you in this video. I look forward to your comments and suggestions. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
9
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 24–28, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📈 Anticipated U.S. Inflation Data 📈: The Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for February on Friday, March 28. This index, closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, is expected to show a 0.3% month-over-month increase, maintaining a 2.5% year-over-year growth. These figures will provide insights into inflation trends and potential monetary policy adjustments. 🇬🇧💼 UK's Spring Statement and Economic Outlook 💼: Chancellor Rachel Reeves is set to deliver the UK's Spring Statement to Parliament this week, addressing revised growth forecasts and fiscal policies. The Office for Budget Responsibility is expected to lower growth estimates, potentially impacting global markets, including the U.S., due to economic interlinkages. 🇨🇳📊 China's Manufacturing and Services PMIs 📊: China will release its official Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers' Indexes (PMIs) for March on March 28. These indicators will provide insights into the health of China's economy, with potential implications for global trade and U.S. markets. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Monday, March 24: 🏭 S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI (9:45 AM ET) 🏭: Forecast: 51.5 Previous: 52.7 This index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. 📅 Tuesday, March 25: 🛒 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET) 🛒: Forecast: 95.0 Previous: 98.3 This index measures consumer sentiment regarding economic conditions, with higher readings indicating greater confidence. 🏘️ New Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏘️: Forecast: 679,000 annualized units Previous: 657,000 This report indicates the number of newly constructed homes sold in the previous month, reflecting the health of the housing market. 📅 Wednesday, March 26: 🛠️ Durable Goods Orders (8:30 AM ET) 🛠️: Forecast: -1.0% Previous: 3.2% This data reflects new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting goods, indicating manufacturing activity. 📅 Thursday, March 27: 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉: Forecast: 226,000 Previous: 223,000 This report provides the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time during the past week, offering insight into the labor market. 📈 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – Second Estimate (8:30 AM ET) 📈: Forecast: 2.3% annualized growth Previous: 2.3% This release provides a second estimate of the nation's economic growth for the fourth quarter of 2024. 🏠 Pending Home Sales Index (10:00 AM ET) 🏠: Forecast: 1.0% Previous: -4.6% This index measures housing contract activity for existing single-family homes, offering insights into future home sales. 📅 Friday, March 28: 💵 Personal Income and Outlays (8:30 AM ET) 💵: Forecast for Personal Income: 0.4% Previous: 0.9% Forecast for Personal Spending: 0.6% Previous: -0.2% This report indicates changes in personal income and spending, providing insights into consumer behavior. 💹 PCE Price Index (8:30 AM ET) 💹: Forecast: 0.3% month-over-month; 2.5% year-over-year Previous: 0.3% month-over-month; 2.5% year-over-year This index measures changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, serving as the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. 🛢️ Baker Hughes Rig Count (1:00 PM ET) 🛢️: Previous: 592 rigs This report provides the number of active drilling rigs in the U.S., offering insights into the oil and gas industry's activity. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
1
* SPY: ELLIOT WAVES BEARISH BIAS *As promised, I am now sharing you what I can see happening on SPY/SPX on the bearish point of view. I do recommend for you to check out my Bullish analysis post that I did on Friday in case you get confused: ( ) As you can see in the main image of this post, in the bearish bias I am considering this dip from last month to be Wave A of an ABC correction(Green). In this correction, Wave A has 5 sub-waves(Orange), Wave B has 3 sub-waves(Pink), and Wave C have 5 sub-waves as well. - We are now in Wave B of this correction, which retraces to 38-50% or more. As you can see in the picture above, we have completed sub-waves A and B and are now beginning sub-wave C of Wave B. Weekly Chart EMAs: - In the picture above you can see how price was able to keep itself above the 50EMA(Yellow) and is now turning to a little pump that will target the area where the 20EMA(Orange). If price gets rejected by the 20EMA, it will continue down to complete Wave C of the pattern, which confirms the bearish scenario. - Once that rejection happens, if price breaks through the 50EMA line, our next support level will be at the 100EMA(Red), which is right in between the bottom of Wave A and or Wave C target(161.8% of Wave A). I do believe that having a correction is the intent of the current government. Their intention might be to cool down from the growth that was happening during the last years of the last administration. By doing that, the markets would be set for at least 4 more years of healthy growth, institutions and new participants will have another chance at accumulating in order to participate in this next economic boom, and Trump will have a chance at showing the real results of his policies. At the end of the day, I do have to remind you all that I am just an observer of the market. My analysis is not a prediction of the future, they are just my attempt to be prepare to the different scenarios my money losing journey will take me while I learn the wisdom of the waves.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Caramel0
Outside the Channel the bears Roam (Week)The QQQ has been respecting the 50 EMA since 2023 and has been forming and upward parallel channel, but now the QQQ is testing hard the 50 EMA, the price is hovering right below the 50 EMA; however, price still closed inside the hypothetical upward parallel channel and in a flip zone with wick candles. Keep your eyes on price action and the channel and the flip zone and the key level below it. If we get a bullish candle moving upward inside the channel that is a good sign that we may have a price reversal. 483.34 the 50 EMA may be the deal or the deal breaker. Please be careful and remember outside the channel the bears roam.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by paper_Trader1775
Turning Point Good day Team: The market has been moving quite mercurial lately. On the daily on the triple Q we have consolidation that can determine price action upward for the buyers and downward for the sellers. However, we may have some confluences that may possibly favor the buyers. ✅ MACD (CM_Ult_MacD_MTF) Histogram is turning positive, signal lines crossed bullish. ✅ MACD shows momentum reversal confirmed. Ideal for a bullish breakout play if price follows through. Williams VIX Fix (WVF) Has a confirmed spike (11.97), with declining bars before and after. WVF confirms a bottom is likely in or forming. Let's hope for a clean break out, please see chart for key levels and indicators. 🧠 Final Trade Summary: 🔥 Most Lucrative Setup = LONG ABOVE $483.88 Backed by WVF, MACD, momentum, and structure Only enter if 1H confirms breakout with strength Stop under $480 (tight) or $468 (wide) Target $489 → $491 → $500 Skip shorting unless price fails breakout and dumps on volume
NASDAQ:QQQ
by paper_Trader1775
Market Update - 3/23/2025Chop-chop -> worst market environment for my style. I'm 100% cash, not much progress since last week, but I'm happy I could hold onto my winners and not give back basically anything. My biggest lesson right now is to learn how to be more selective with my trades. Even though I risk MUCH less than before so even if I mess them up it doesn't have much impact on my results, they still add up. If I take 10 losing trades of 0.3% risk (which is not at all uncommon in this environment), that's still a 3% drawdown that could have been avoided just by sitting on cash. My FOMO is something I need to work on and not feel bad for missing trades. I need to develop probabilistic thinking more and realize that missing a few trades doesn't matter in the grand scheme of things. But damn this lesson is hard.
AMEX:IWM
by BenedekBokor
TQQQ Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 032225Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 59/61.80% Chart time frame: B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: C A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
NASDAQ:TQQQ
by fibonacci6180
1
QQQ strong buy at $400 June of 2025QQQ looks very weak. There are a few issues that lead me to believe $400 in June 2025 if a reasonable target: This area of the chat has very low volume and now structure - basically straight up on low volume. The chart is trading very technically using Fib levels (outlined with yellow / green lines). The market has a very high level of uncertainty, as do businesses and governments April 2 will likely be close to a top for the current retrace. Interestingly, the -1.618 just so happens to be the top reached in 2022. This is also likely to intersect the lower trendline (white) AND the volume shelf established as part of the previous high and retrace at the $400 level. What do you think?
NASDAQ:QQQ
by novamatic
XLC Time Frame Continuity Strength Communications are showing strength. This week they had unusual volume with new highs and seem to have found support. RSI is near the oversold area and XLC is sitting above the current most VWAP. There are support and resistance zones in the horizontal lines in grey. My stop loss will be around 92.89. My exit plan is once the gap is closed on 99.18. The shorts are running out of steam and volume has picked up over the last week. Looking for LEAPs.
AMEX:XLCLong
by GlennTrading