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$SpyI think we head to 510 next week and most likely lower... Here's vix 2hour chart (Log) Pennant here showing. My price target next week is 45. Fire works over 35 AMEX:SPY daily RSI Rolling over here at resistance Spy daily chart Pennant resistance trendline at 21ema is at the same spot 540 ish.. if price can close over that before a break below 520 then this correction has taking a break and we will likely head to 547 and over that 565 Ixic (Nasdaq) Same analysis as Spy I'll update this more over the weekend but I just wanted to get this out there before the close.... Any longs are risky below the 21/20 moving averages
AMEX:SPYShort
by ContraryTrader
11
Are US Tariffs Similar To The COVID-19 Global DisruptionThis video is in response to a question asked by one of my followers on TradingView. He specifically asked if the current US Tariffs create a similar situation to the COVID-19 supply disruptions and how it may result in longer-term market disruptions. In this video, I try to answer these questions and highlight the differences I see related to what is happening now vs. the COVID-19 shutdown. It is an interesting question. I certainly see similarities, but I also see vast differences in terms of how the global markets are attempting to address the US tariff issues. First, the current tariff issues are somewhat self-inflicted, not something like COVID-19 (unavoidable). Second, the global central banks acted in concert to present immense liquidity to support a global shutdown with COVID. I don't see that happening right now. Supply-side disruptions are evident, but we'll see how they play out over the next 60- 90+ days. Longer-term, I hope these tariff issues are resolved before the global economy moves into a deeper recession. I will state that hard assets are likely to take a hit over the next 60-90+ days across the globe. Any moderate (think 15 to 35%) slowdown in production, shipping, and consumption across the globe is going to be felt all over the planet. It is not going to be isolated to just one or two areas. This is the smackdown that I don't believe anyone is really ready for. And that creates the urgency to resolve the tariff issues asap. Hope this helps. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
1
3X Levered NAIL: Long Possible SoonMy opinion, one of the best levels to buy soon to be reached with NAIL, 3x levered home builders. Simple strategy, price gets to $21.14 let it fall below the line and then buy it when it breaks above the line. Set first take profit at +320%, remove a third of your position, then do the same at +500%, and 700% for the remaining 2/3's. Set stop to a fixed amount $20. As you can see these trades take a year, sometimes less or longer to develop, but are quite profitable.
AMEX:NAIL
by STrendUD
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video For 4-17 : Another BLANK dayToday's BLANK pattern in counter-trend mode is nothing to worry about. As I research and document these patterns, there are patterns that appear frequently on the Daily price chart and there are others that appear more infrequently. If I have not already marked these patterns and documented them, they have not appeared anywhere in the 11+ years of the Daily price data I use within the Lookup Engine. Therefore, these are VERY RARE types of patterns - Extremely infrequent. I will add that the secondary looking criteria show yesterday and today could be similar to "key top/bottom" types of price rotation. So, I do believe the current price level on the SPY (520-535) could prove to be very critical support/resistance going forward. Tomorrow is Good Friday (no trading). So if you are going to take any trades today, make sure you remember to plan your exits for TODAY or NEXT WEEK (or later). You will not be able to exit stock/ETF trades tomorrow (sorry). Gold is moving into a Momentum Rally, and I really want to see how that pattern plays out before the long holiday weekend. Fingers crossed we see a BIG RALLY again today. BTCUSD is still rolling into a downward price trend based on my EPP pattern structure. This downward trend aligns with my May 2 Major Bottom pattern for the SPY/QQQ. So I would expect BTCUSD to start to roll downward sometime near the middle/end of next week. Remember, this weekend should be about your family, your friends, and your beliefs. Relax and enjoy. Get some... #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver #xauusd
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
5
April 17, 2025 - Powell, Japan & TrumpHello everyone, it’s April 17, 2025. Yesterday’s U.S. trading was pure market carnage. Semiconductors ( NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:ASML ) were steamrolled as AI chip bans to China kicked in and Trump dropped another tariff bomb, hiking duties to 245%. That wiped $200 billion off Nvidia alone. In Chicago, Powell stoked the flames, warning tariffs will fuel inflation and choke growth, and insisted he’s in no rush to cut rates. The CME_MINI:NQ1! tumbled 3%, the CME_MINI:SOX1! lost 4.1%, and bond futures plunged. This morning, U.S. futures are up about 0.75% on headlines that Trump’s talks with Japanese negotiators are “going very well,” sparking rallies across Asia: Nikkei +1%, Hong Kong +2.7%, Shanghai +1%. It seems even a whiff of détente with Japan sends everyone scrambling back into risk assets. On commodities, BLACKBULL:WTI jumps to $63.35 amid fresh U.S. sanctions on Iran and OPEC output cuts; OANDA:XAUUSD rockets to $3,352 /oz; INDEX:BTCUSD hovers near $83,500. Today watch the ECB’s rate cut, Powell’s next speech, Philly Fed and jobless claims before the Good Friday shutdown. With Trump’s erratic tariff theatrics and Powell’s warning of higher inflation and slower growth, volatility is set to reign supreme. Buckle up.
AMEX:SPY
by SmartApingAI
4
GLD Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-16GLD Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-16) Below is a consolidated view of the various model reports and our resulting trade rationale: ────────────────────────────── Comprehensive Summary of Each Model’s Key Points • Grok/xAI Report  – Notes that GLD closed around $306.52 with recent upward momentum and bullish daily indicators.  – Technicals (moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and MACD on daily charts) support a moderately bullish bias despite some near-term caution from 5‑minute signals.  – Recommends buying the $311 call (premium ~ $0.99) with a plan to exit if the price breaks key support or slides 20% in premium. • Claude/Anthropic Report  – Highlights strong daily uptrend fundamentals with GLD well above its key moving averages, although the daily RSI is high (76.59) which raises a caution flag.  – Points to robust call open interest at nearby strikes ($310) and suggests a bullish trade via the call option—even though a slightly lower strike ($310) is mentioned, the overall picture is bullish.  – The recommended entry is at market open with a target around a 50% premium gain and a stop if the premium retracts significantly. • Gemini/Google Report  – Emphasizes strong longer‐term bullish momentum but expresses caution given immediate overbought conditions (daily RSI above 70 and price trading above the upper Bollinger Band).  – Also notes the strangely low max pain ($275) in contrast to the current price, warning of potential early pullbacks.  – Concludes that the overall picture is too conflicted to recommend a trade at the open at this time. • Llama/Meta Report  – Combines technical indicators (EMA, RSI, Bollinger Bands) with strong news sentiment to determine GLD is in a bullish phase.  – Identifies the $311 call (premium ~$0.99) as attractive given its liquidity and distance from the current price (about 1.46% above).  – Recommends market-open entry with targets set at roughly 150% of the premium and stop-loss based on a percentage of the premium. • DeepSeek Report  – Provides a balanced trade plan noting the very strong 30‑day price performance and bullish daily MACD while cautioning on the overbought RSI reading.  – Recommends the $311 call (midpoint premium ~$0.99) with a profit target of roughly a 50% gain and a stop tied to technical support breaks (around $304.90).  – Maintains a moderate confidence level (around 65%) because of the chance that short‑term pullbacks may materialize. ────────────────────────────── 2. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement • Agreement:  – Most models agree on an underlying moderately bullish trend for GLD based on daily technical indicators and positive news (e.g., fund inflows and safe‑haven demand).  – A majority favor a call option trade on the weekly expiry, with many models arriving at the vicinity of the $311 strike (with premiums around $0.99) as an optimal entry. • Disagreement:  – The Gemini/Google report raises concerns about overbought conditions on the daily chart and highlights a very low max pain level that suggests downside pressure, recommending against an immediate open trade.  – Claude mentions a slightly lower strike ($310) but still a call trade; however, the bulk of reports lean toward the $311 call as a balanced choice, accepting the premium being a bit above the ideal $0.30–$0.60 range. ────────────────────────────── 3. Conclusion and Trade Recommendation Overall Market Direction Consensus:  Most models point to an overall moderately bullish outlook on GLD. While the daily trend is robust, some short‑term technicals (e.g., the overbought RSI and near-term MACD signs) advise caution. Nevertheless, the prevailing momentum and strong news sentiment favor a bullish call—even if a temporary pullback remains possible. Recommended Trade:  Trade Idea: Buy a single‑leg, naked CALL option on GLD.  • Strike: $311.00 (this strike shows sufficient liquidity with about 1,055 open interest and a traded premium of roughly $0.99)  • Expiration: Weekly options expiring 2025‑04‑17  • Premium: ~ $0.99 (slightly above the ideal range, but justified by good risk/reward and high liquidity)  • Entry Timing: At the open  • Profit Target: Approximately a 50% increase (target premium ~ $1.50)  • Stop Loss: Approximately 20% drop in the premium (≈ $0.79)  • Confidence Level: Moderately confident (≈70%) given the bullish trend tempered by the risk of an intraday pullback  • Key Risks/Considerations:   – The daily RSI is in overbought territory, so be alert for any pullback.   – The inherent conflict with the very low max pain point ($275) suggests potential short-term volatility.   – Monitor support levels (e.g., $304.90 on the 5‑minute chart) for early signs of reversal. ────────────────────────────── 4. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "GLD", "direction": "call", "strike": 311.0, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 1.50, "stop_loss": 0.79, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.99, "entry_timing": "open" } Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
AMEX:GLDLong
by quantsignals
Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Surges in Strong Nested ImpulseThe Elliott Wave analysis for the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) shows a strong bullish trend since December 30, 2024. This rally forms a “nesting impulse” pattern with smaller waves building into an extended third wave. From the December low, wave (1) peaked at $42.66, followed by a wave (2) pullback to $38.58. GDX then entered a powerful wave (3) with nested sub-waves driving prices higher. In wave (3), wave 1 rallied to $46.94, with wave 2 correcting to $39.95. Wave 3 extended upward, with sub-wave ((i)) ending at $43.70. Sub-wave ((ii)) corrected to $40.91, then sub-wave ((iii)) surged to $52.91. Strong bullish momentum continues to dominate the gold mining sector. A pullback in sub-wave ((iv)) is now expected, attracting buyers for sub-wave ((v)). This should complete wave 3 before a larger wave 4 correction. As long as the $39.95 pivot holds, dips should find support. Support may form in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern. This signals more upside potential for GDX in the near term. Investors should watch these levels for strategic buying opportunities. The pattern suggests sustained interest in gold mining equities. Favorable commodity cycles likely contribute to this bullish sentiment.
AMEX:GDX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 17, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇪🇺 ECB Expected to Cut Rates Amid Trade Pressures: The European Central Bank is anticipated to reduce its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.25% during its meeting on April 17. This expected move aims to counteract the economic impact of recent U.S. tariffs and a strengthening euro, which have contributed to disinflationary pressures in the eurozone. 📉 German Inflation Decline Supports Easing: Germany's inflation rate fell more than expected in March, dropping to 2.3% from 2.6% in February. This decline, driven by falling oil prices and a sluggish economy, bolsters the case for further interest rate cuts by the ECB. 🤖 AI Enhances ECB Policy Predictions: A study by the German Institute for Economic Research indicates that artificial intelligence significantly improves the accuracy of forecasting ECB monetary policy decisions. By analyzing ECB communications, AI models can better anticipate policy shifts. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, April 17: 🏠 Housing Starts (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 1.420 million Previous: 1.501 million Indicates the number of new residential construction projects begun, reflecting housing market strength.​ 🏭 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 3.7 Previous: 12.5 Measures manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia region, providing insights into sector health.​ 📈 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 223,000 Previous: 223,000 Reports the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, reflecting labor market conditions.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY CRACK! WARNING!We are in the "honey" phase in Stocks. This is the part where they tell you: -Don't panic -Stocks are cheap forward EPS -Nible on the way down -Diversified portfolio wins.. -It's a stock picker's market -There is a lot of cash on the sidelines -It's just a reset -It's a correction -We needed this to shake out the weak hands -Buy when there is blood in the streets, even if it's yours -There is a lot of value in... -This is your last chance to... -This and that stock are going to $1,000 -Stocks are the best investment over the course of time The list is endless to get you to buy or stay in and suck up the pain. They will "Future Fuke" you the world. I will remind you that you cannot buy unless you first sell! No one has endless money, and your 1% addition monthly will not lower your cost basis. All I can tell you is what this chart shows! A BIG CRACK! WARNING!!! Click like, follow, subscribe, and let me help you navigate these crazy markets.
AMEX:SPYShort
by RealMacro
38
Non-US ETFs outperform during trade warNon-US markets are showing resilience during this year's remarkable volatility. While NASDAQ:QQQ and AMEX:SPY are down more than 10%, AMEX:VEA (non-U.S. Developed Markets ETF) is up nearly 5%... AMEX:IEMG (tracking Emerging Markets) is negative so far, but less severe than others. Will Trump's volatile trade war lead to further outflow from the U.S. financial system? Meanwhile, gold has been rallying to record highs as the world seeks an alternative to the dollar.
AMEX:SPY
by MikeCoMacro
Awesome Silver trade AGQ 2X Silver BullishWe have been rallying from thre last major reversal XR we are at Piot level L4 this is a good buy level, L5 and L6 are better but it is a lte entry. I bought at XR. Silver is just underneath the 200 DMA, so we have to break though that, but I am bullish we could go to H6 @ 41.58, or weekly H5 @ 46.74 and still be beneath the upper red channel line, this trade is a swning trade plan to hold for days to get the berst price. I suggest catastropic stops, outside the intraday range, having a lot of mall losses from tight stops is conter productive to making a profit. The highest possibel TP is the red line at $52.62. I bought this at $32 will keep you guys updated, use a 30" or 60' chart and just be patient, wait for top price. When we get close to an H5 or an H6 risk is at it's highest, this is when you water tighter profit protecting stops. Few normal humans have the clearheadedness to take profits when trade rolls over and falls very fast, near a top i might put my stop below the last 5' candle I know I sound stern sometimes, but I am here to help Ya'll to profit, and share my 4 decades of experience trading online. You will like this trade, but only You are responsible for how you manage your trade.
AMEX:AGQLong
by dryanhawley