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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-23 : Rally-111 PatternToday's RALLY pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will continue to push higher, possibly breaking upper resistance near $550/493. As I suggested in this video, I believe the upward price trend bias will continue into Friday (4-25) and suddenly shift into a BEARISH price trend/bias early next week. The May 2-5 Major Bottom cycle low, my research predicts, will happen and should prompt a fairly strong downward price trend as we near the end of April and head into early May. Gold and Silver will likely consolidate a bit over the next 24-48 hours. So, this is a great time to pick lower entry price levels for LONGS/CALLS. Ultimately, I'm still expecting Gold to rally above $3750 before the end of May and attempt to target $4500++ before the end of June. BTCUSD is moving into a potential "INVALIDATION" phase. Although I'm currently estimating the probability of that invalidation at about 20-30%, it is still a valid price trend. I believe BTCUSD will shift into a downward price trend as the markets continue to unwind excesses through the May, July, and October lows, according to my cycles. The big opportunity for traders over the next 48 hours is playing the upward trend bias in the SPY/QQQ - then moving into a mode of preparation for next week's breakdown/downward price trend in the SPY/QQQ. So, play it smart. Follow the chart and don't try to be a superhero. Play what is in front of you and prepare for the bigger price swings headed into next week and beyond. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
7
SPY Setting Up for a Breakout? Gamma, Liquidity & TA Aligning 🔍GEX Analysis (Options Sentiment)
SPY is showing an impressive surge off the 508 HVL zone, with a clean stair-step climb supported by options flow. Gamma exposure is shifting favorably: * Strongest Call Wall sits at 528–530, where we see the highest positive NETGEX—aka the Gamma Wall. * Price is currently testing the 536 level, and the bulls are targeting 549 and potentially 561+ if momentum continues. * Options Oscillator shows notable GEX alignment (🟢🟢🟢) and IVR 48.8, suggesting room for more expansion. ➡️ Calls are in control (48.6%), and no major PUT pressure remains above 508. With IV contraction, theta decay is less brutal. This opens the door for short-dated call entries (0DTE to 3DTE) above 530.31 with stops below 526.61. Price Action & Trading Plan
On the 1H chart, SPY has broken out from a CHoCH + BOS structure, and we’re currently in a bullish continuation move. * Trend Strength: Strong Bullish * Market Structure: In premium but bullish hold. * Candle Volume: Thin, but breakout is supported by prior strong demand. * Setup: Long is forming – waiting for follow-through. 🔑 Key Levels: * Entry: Above 530.31 * Targets: 549 (RRR 1), 561.53 (RRR 2) * Invalidation: Below 526.61 🧠 My Thoughts
SPY is building momentum and options are reinforcing the move. The breakout through the HVL zone, combined with SMC-confirmed structure and GEX tailwinds, tells me the path of least resistance is up. Volume isn’t overly strong yet, so we need to monitor follow-through and not get trapped if a reversal forms near 540–549. If bulls defend 530, this could turn into a "home run" leg into the week. 🚨 Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and manage your risk accordingly.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
1
QQQ Ready to Rip Higher? Gamma Pressure + SMC Confirmation Align 🚀 QQQ is showing strong signs of continuation as we head into the next session. Let's break it down using both Options GEX sentiment and Smart Money Concepts (SMC) structure. 🔍 GEX Outlook (Options Sentiment) * Highest positive NETGEX sits at the 445–448 range, acting as a magnet. * We’ve already reclaimed the HVL support at 430, and the Options Oscillator is lighting up bullish. * Calls make up 26.9% of the flow and GEX flipped full green, meaning market makers are likely long gamma — pushing price toward resistance. * Resistance clusters: * 445–448: GEX9 and 2nd Call Wall. * 466.35 & 479.02: Target zones from price action. 💡 Options Trade Idea: 445C or 450C (0DTE–2DTE) — scalp toward the GEX magnet zone.
460C+ (Next Week) — swing if price holds above 447.8 and you want to play the extension to 466–479 range. 📈 Technical Analysis (SMC + Structure) * MTF trend bias: 30m & 1h bullish. * Strong bullish structure with ChoCH → BOS → rally confirmation. * Thin volume during this leg up is a cautionary flag — be selective with entries. * Price must hold above 447.8 to remain in bullish continuation. * If volume steps in, this could be a session high sweep with fuel left. * Setup: Bullish Hold * Entry: Await confirmation near 447.8 zone. * Target 1: 466.35 * Target 2: 479.02 * Stop: Below 441.01 🧠 My Thoughts: This looks like a textbook GEX compression + SMC breakout alignment. MM positioning is bullish and technicals are lining up with a classic continuation pattern. However, thin volume could mean a stall or trap — I’d stay nimble, scale in on dips, and tighten stops once we push into the 455–460 zone.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 23, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 U.S.–China Trade Tensions Ease: President Trump announced plans to "substantially" reduce tariffs on Chinese imports, signaling a potential de-escalation in the trade war. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent labeled the current tariffs as "unsustainable," and the IMF warned of a "major negative shock" to global growth due to the ongoing trade conflict. 📉 Tesla's Profit Decline: Tesla reported a 71% drop in Q1 profits, attributing the decline to backlash over CEO Elon Musk's involvement in government affairs. Musk announced plans to reduce his role in the "Department of Government Efficiency" (Doge) starting in May. ​ 🛫 Boeing's Earnings Under Scrutiny: Boeing is set to report earnings, with investors closely watching for impacts of trade tensions on Chinese plane deliveries. The company's performance is seen as a bellwether for the aerospace sector amid global economic uncertainties. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, April 23: 🏠 New Home Sales (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 675,000 Previous: 662,000 Measures the annualized number of newly constructed homes sold, indicating housing market strength.​ 📈 S&P Global Manufacturing & Services PMI (9:45 AM ET): Manufacturing Forecast: 49.5 Services Forecast: 51.0 Provides insight into the economic health of the manufacturing and services sectors.​ 🛢️ EIA Crude Oil Inventory Report (10:30 AM ET): Reports on the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by U.S. firms, influencing oil prices and energy sector performance.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
WNTR is Coming and the bears will be roam like white walkersPicture this, my pretties: it’s late 2025, and the crypto market’s a ghost town, ravaged by the icy claws of a crypto winter. Bitcoin, that sanctimonious coin-king, stumbles like a peasant I’ve drained dry, and MicroStrategy (MSTR), that Bitcoin-stuffed hog will collapse under its own greed. Enter the WNTR ETF, the YieldMax MSTR Short Option Income Strategy ETF, a sinister brew designed to fatten my coffers when MSTR’s pulse fades. This ain’t just an ETF; it’s a blood oath to thrive when the crypto market bleeds. Why should you care, you nocturnal nibblers? Because WNTR is my bear market hard on. As MSTR and Bitcoin crumble, WNTR rises like a bat from the shadows, its inverse magic turning their death throes into a banquet of tendies. But beware, my lovely bears, in the sunlit days of a bull market, WNTR wilts like me at dawn. As of April 2025, with crypto still riding a post-halving high, WNTR’s slumped to $46.76, down from $50.94. Yet, when the winter winds howl, this beast could soar, a phoenix of profit rising from the market’s frozen ashes. Crypto winters... Those glorious epochs when the market’s veins run cold, and the weak are culled like lambs at my altar. These ain’t mere dips; they’re prolonged bear markets, dripping with double-digit price drops and the sobs of retail mortals and disconnected high tower boys in white shirts. Remember the long night of late 2017 to December 2020? Bitcoin plunged from $20,000 to $3,000—an 85% descent into my crypt. Another hit in 2022, sparked by TerraUSD and Celsius Network imploding, leaving a trail of bankruptcies tastier than a virgin’s neck. These winters stalk the heels of Bitcoin’s halving events and those quadrennial rites where mining rewards are slashed, tightening the supply and sparking bull runs… until the inevitable crash. If history’s my grimoire, the market peaks around late 2025 to early 2026, then plunges into the next crypto winter. Mark your calendars, my fiends, is when the feast nears. What’s WNTR mean in this gothic tale? It’s a two-faced fiend, my darlings. In the first year post-halving, as bulls charge and Bitcoin soars, WNTR’s a shriveled husk, its dividends a mere trickle of blood. But when the winter descends, and bears roam free, WNTR transforms into a gushing vein, its value swelling as MSTR and Bitcoin bleed out. Think of WNTR as your income hedge, a way to sip the market’s essence no matter the season. In bull markets, I wanna reinvest WNTR’s dividends into YBIT or other crypto toys, letting them fatten on mortal optimism. When the winter bites, I wanna shift your fangs: use WNTR’s income to buy Bitcoin on the cheap as it sinks, or sell off WNTR shares in profit if you are above various % of average cost basis. The cold deepens, pocketing gains while the bulls cry into their blockchain Kool-Aid. It’s a dance of darkness, and I’m an undead maestro. The Blood Ritual: How to Feast Here’s how you, my fellow nightwalkers, can join the carnage: Track the Halving Pulse: The next crypto winter looms around late 2025 or early 2026. Watch Bitcoin’s post-halving strut—when the euphoria peaks, the fall is nigh. Listen for the cracks in coinbase, mstr, for the unraveling of the great tarrif tsar era. Stock the Crypt with WNTR when the trend reverses: As the market cracks, hoard WNTR shares. Its price may be low now, but in winter’s depths, it could spike like my fangs on a full moon. Reinvest Like a Leech: In bull markets, funnel WNTR’s dividends into crypto gains. In bear markets, buy the Bitcoin dip or cash out WNTR for profit. Flee the Dawn: WNTR’s a creature of the night. When bulls return, its power fades. Time your exit, lest you burn in the sunlight. This ain’t for the faint-hearted, my pretties. WNTR’s a leveraged beast, riskier than a sunrise stroll. Volatility decay can stake your gains, and if MSTR rallies, your losses’ll hit faster than a hedgie fleeing a margin call. Do your own necromancy and scour the ancient texts (or a financial advisor) and never YOLO your entire crypt. The market’s feral, crypto winters are feraler, and WNTR’s the feralest of all. So, as the crypto winter looms, heed this, my degens: the bears are coming, and they hunger. With WNTR in your claws, you can turn their feast into yours. Snort wisely, or crumble to dust. Disclaimer: This is unholy entertainment, not mortal advice. Investing in WNTR is dicier than a daylight dash, and you could lose your blood money. Do your own research, don’t YOLO your crypt, and maybe consult a living advisor instead of a WSB vampire. Feast at your own peril.
AMEX:WNTR
by livingdracula
SPY Falling Wedge Into Support SPY forming a descending wedge after an extreme sell off, one of the fastest declines in recent history. This wedge style pattern tends to be the result of sharp move in a particular direction, in this case downward as temporary relief before continuiing in the direction of the larger trend. Ill be looking for liquidity to enter the market on the thursday / friday session for a potential bounce. If not, then its likely the market will be in for a rough spring.
AMEX:SPYLong
by afurs1
SPY Plan Your Trade For 4-22 : Breakaway In Counter TrendToday's pattern suggests the markets are moving in a counter-trend mode and that we may see a Breakaway type of price bar. The current trend is Bearish. Thus, I believe the current Counter-Trend is Bullish. As many of you already know. I picked up some Calls off the lows yesterday after noticing a complete EPP pattern (Ultimate Low) setup about 75 minutes before the end of the regular trading day on 4-21. My opinion, overall, is that we are still stuck within a consolidation phase. But that doesn't mean we can't see the SPY/QQQ move higher (toward the upper consolidation high) or roll back downward (toward the lower consolidation low). I do believe we are moving into a moderate upward price trend over the next 3-4+ days where price will attempt to retest the 525-535+ level on the SPY, then ROLL into a top and start a sharp downtrend. This volatility presents an incredible opportunity for traders. Staying ahead of these trends is key to improved success. The SPY Cycle Patterns are fairly clear. We've moved into consolidation, and the price is very volatile. The Counter Trend pattern today may setup a 3-4+ day minor rally in the SPY/QQQ. But, ultimately, I believe the SPY/QQQ will roll downward into the May Cycle lows - just as I have been predicting for the past 45+ days. Don't get greedy. Play the immediate trend and learn to identify the EPP patterns on 5-minute charts. Today should be a very good day for traders. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 22, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🚗 Tesla's Q1 Earnings on Watch: Tesla is set to report Q1 earnings after market close. Analysts expect EPS of $0.58 on $23.4B revenue. Investors are focused on delivery guidance, cost-cutting measures, and updates on the robotaxi program and Optimus robot. CEO Elon Musk faces pressure to refocus on Tesla amid concerns over his political engagements. ​ 📉 Market Volatility Amid Tariff Concerns: U.S. markets remain volatile due to ongoing trade tensions. The S&P 500 has declined 14% from its February high, with investors closely monitoring corporate earnings for insights into the economic impact of recent tariffs. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Tuesday, April 22: 🏠 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 4.20 million Previous: 4.38 million Provides insight into the housing market's health and consumer demand.​ 📘 IMF Global Financial Stability Report (10:15 AM ET): The IMF will release its latest assessment of global financial markets, focusing on systemic risks and financial stability. ​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
IBIT | Key Support & Resistance Zones to WatchIBIT, the new Bitcoin ETF, is carving out a clear structure right now. If you’ve been following my updates, you know I only share setups backed by solid signals—and this one fits the bill. 🟢 Support Zone The green box marks the first area where buyers have shown up and defended price. If IBIT pulls back into this zone and holds, it’s where I’ll look for signs of renewed demand—think clean higher‑lows on a 5‑ or 15‑minute chart, accompanied by positive CDV shifts and rising volume. 🔴 First Strong Resistance Above the current price, the red box stands as the first major hurdle. Historically, these levels have prompted sellers to step in aggressively. A rally into this zone demands caution—watch for lower‑time‑frame breakdowns and volume confirmation before considering any short entries. 🎯 Trading Plan Long from Support Wait for a drop into the green box. If price forms a strong base there with LTF breakout confirmation, that’s my cue to enter long. Short at Resistance If IBIT reaches the red box and shows clear exhaustion—lower‑time‑frame structure breaks and CDV weaknesses—then I’ll look for a short opportunity. Adapt with the Market I will not insist on any bias. If price breaks above the red box with conviction and retests it as support, I will switch to a bullish view. If the green box breaks without retest, I’ll reassess and stay patient. 💡 Why This Matters You’re not just following random boxes—you’re trading with a proven framework that has delivered one of the highest success rates you’ll find. Every level I share comes from careful analysis and live‑market testing. Stick with this approach, and you’ll trade with confidence rather than guesswork. 📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. 📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. 📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge. 🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below: 🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction 📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely 📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box! 📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction! I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
NASDAQ:IBIT
by UmutTrades
Tears of Liberty. Lets Make America Sell Again.Over the past decade, the U.S. stock market has significantly outperformed global stock markets excluding the United States. This divergence in returns has been one of the defining features of global investing since 2015, with U.S. equities—especially large-cap technology stocks—driving much of the outperformance. Annualized Returns (2015–2025) AMEX:SPY , S&P 500 Index(U.S.): The S&P 500 delivered an average annualized return of 13.8% over the past ten years. NASDAQ:ACWX , MSCI All World ex U.S. (Rest of World): Global stocks outside the U.S. returned an average of 4.9% annually over the same period Year-by-Year Breakdown Year | SPX | World ex U.S. | U.S. Surplus 2024 23.9% 4.7% +19.2% 2023 23.8% 17.9% +5.8% 2022 -19.6% -14.3% -5.4% (!) 2021 26.6% 12.6% +14.0% 2020 15.8% 7.6% +8.2% 2019 30.4% 22.5% +7.9% 2018 -6.6% -14.1% +7.5% 2017 18.7% 24.2% -5.5% (!) 2016 9.8% 2.7% +7.1% 2015 -0.7% -3.0% +2.3% Key Drivers of Performance U.S. Outperformance The U.S. market’s dominance was driven largely by the rapid growth of technology giants (such as Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet), which benefited from strong earnings growth, global market reach, and significant investor inflows. International Underperformance Non-U.S. markets faced headwinds such as multiply choking sanctions and tariffs, slower economic growth, political uncertainty (notably in Europe), a stronger U.S. dollar, and less exposure to high-growth technology sectors. Valuation Gap By 2025, U.S. stocks are considered relatively expensive compared to their international counterparts, which may offer more attractive valuations going forward. Recent Shifts (2025 Trend): As of early 2025, international stocks have started to outperform the S&P 500, with European and Asian equities seeing renewed investor interest. Factors include optimism over economic recovery in China and strong performance in European defense and technology sectors. Long-Term Perspective Historical Context While the past decade favored U.S. equities, this has not always been the case. For example, during the 2000s, international stocks outperformed the U.S. following the dot-com bust. Market Weight The U.S. accounts for roughly 60% of global stock market capitalization and about 25% of global GDP, so its performance has a substantial impact on global indices. Conclusion From 2015 to 2025, the U.S. stock market delivered nearly triple the annualized returns of global markets excluding the U.S., primarily due to the outperformance of large-cap technology stocks. While this trend has persisted for most of the decade, early 2025 shows signs of a potential shift, with international equities beginning to close the performance gap. Investors should remain aware of valuation differences and the cyclical nature of global market leadership. The main technical chart for U.S./ ex U.S. ratio indicates the epic reversal is in progress.
AMEX:SPY
by PandorraResearch
2
JETS 7 Year ResistanceThis is a very simple chart to read. Airlines hitting a 7-year resistance trendline. Airlines are very capital-intensive and would greatly benefit from rate cuts. Despite inflation pricing power has not risen sufficiently even nominally. Oil has not helped their situation. We have seen many airlines go bankrupt, close shop, and reduce capacity. This indirectly helps the major airlines as the industry cleanses. A lot of talk of mergers and buyouts. For example, Frontier wants to merge with Spirit, Jetblue & United, and Southwest Pilot union seeking merger attorneys. Streamlining is always a good thing which is why JETS has risen as much as it has. However, this may be it according to the chart. The next move could be down from here. Airlines are very economically sensitive and a recession would hit them hard.
AMEX:JETS
by RealMacro
1