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V-shaped Recovery SPY to 570-580 We formed a diamond bottom last week and had a false breakout to the downside that quickly turned bullish after it was revealed that Trump was just "trolling" when he mentioned wanting to fire Powell. Once we broke the soft 536 resistance we moved right to the downward trendline (drawn in yellow) hovered there briefly and then cracked through it. We ended last week with a bullish engulfing on the weekly chart and spent these first 3 days at the high. Good earnings kept the market bullish and in the last hour a mineral deal was signed with Ukraine. The bears have little left in the tank, Tariffs look like they are going to be solved in the near future and fear is decreasing. Promising news on Ukraine is turning the wall of worry into a wall of excitement. This is not feeling like a bear market rally, this is looking like the next phase of a bull market. The decline trendline from march can be flipped to bullish and we are climbing steadily on that new line, this recovery is V shaped. I expect resistance in the 570-580 range.
AMEX:SPYLong
by MikeSpy
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 4-30 : Moving Into FlaggingThis quick update video should help you understand how my May 2-5 Major Bottom pattern could represent a move into FLAGGING within an inverted EPP pattern. If my research is correct, the next move for the market will be a moderate downward price trend that will represent the FLAGGING portion of the inverted EPP pattern. You've all see how bullish EPP patterns play out over the past 3 to 5+ months. Now we get to see how this recent SPY low near 480 turns into an inverted EPP pattern. This is basically the same pattern - but forming in an inverted mode. As we transition through this inverted EPP pattern, what I'm looking for is a breakdown move to create the new FLAGGING formation. This move aligns perfectly with my May 2-5 Major Bottom pattern and could be a perfect setup for the attempted "breaking of the Flag High" in late May 2025. I'm watching Gold and Silver stay relatively strong today. So I'm seeing today's market move as a "reversion move" - not really a breakdown move (yet). It will be interesting to see how this plays out. If the markets move into Flagging, as I expect, the big opportunities will be to ride the Flagging & Breakdown patterns over the next 30+ days before we move into either an INVALIDATION or CONTINUATION phase of the inverted EPP pattern. Price is the ultimate indicator - you just need to know what to look for. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
15
SPY QQQ NQ/ES 30 De Abril 2025SPY/ES Gamma Chart Analysis – April 30, 2025 Key Insights Based on SpotGamma Levels, Volume Profile & Option Walls: 🔴 Market Context: SPY at 544.52, showing a significant drop of -1.78%. The price has broken down from the upper gamma range and is now testing key support zones. Heavy Put Walls and Call Walls are defining psychological and gamma-driven price magnets. 🔵 Zones & Price Targets: Zone Type Level Description / Reaction Expectation 🔺 Resistance 550 Strong Call Wall & Put Wall, likely a ceiling. Reversal or rejection expected. 🟨 Sell Zone 545 Marked as "Possible Sell Zone", coincides with Put Wall (1) / Call Wall (4) – watch for short entries. 🟩 Buy/Sell Zone 543.70 Neutral area, can serve as battle zone for bulls/bears. Volume shelf area. 🔻 Support 540 Converging Put Wall (3) / Call Wall (5) – strong gamma support, watch for bounce or breakdown. 🎯 Target Levels (Bearish Plan): Target # Level Description 1️⃣ 545 Minor drop target, near-term scalp if price rejects from above. 2️⃣ 543 Medium target if selling pressure continues. 3️⃣ 540 Major target, strong support – key test for further downside continuation. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Lesser Probability Today): Reclaim of 548–550 zone may trigger long setups with potential targets: 548 ES 550 ES 🧠 Strategic Takeaways: "Options positioning is pointing to downside pressure unless bulls reclaim 545-548 area quickly." Ideal setup: Short bounces into 545 with stops above 548. Targets staggered from 543 to 540 based on gamma support layers. Vol Trigger: 550, showing the zone where volatility starts increasing – another bearish sign.
AMEX:SPY
by JCAVGROUP
Don't be terrified/tarrified !!! It's time to go LONG not SHORT9th April is a crucial day , imo of viewing this chart. He was not bluffing the people as it turns out. However, after a week, the market got terrified and heads south but noticed it did not formed a lower low from 9th April candle. 25th April candle tells us it has breaks out from the resistance level and the last two days have been pretty bullish as well. I believe the media is getting fatigue of the tariffs matter and we can see that US and China are behind the curtains "negotiating" while leaving the market guessing who really called who. That was the decoy and it is not important other than face saving. More importantly, the chart has once again convinced us that the buyers are encouraged and prove their actions by longing the market. So whose buying ? Cathy Woods Could the price action reverse ? Of course, though I think the probability is not high. Hedge funds are already queuing to buy bank shares based on favourable Q1 results , a positive sign. As usual, please DYODD
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by dchua1969
SPY – April 29, 2025 – Where to Next After This Push?Looking at SPY on the daily chart, it’s been riding a solid recovery wave from that sharp drop in early April. The last seven sessions have all printed green candles, showing persistent demand — but now we’re pressing right into the resistance zone around $554–$555, which aligns with the top of a previous range before that breakdown. The MACD histogram is still rising, showing bullish momentum, and the Stoch RSI is curled up in overbought territory. That’s not a sell signal on its own — it just means we’re extended and probably due for a cooldown. When I zoom into the 1-hour chart, I notice something more subtle — SPY has been grinding up within a rising wedge. The candles are getting tighter near the top channel line, and volume is starting to fade a bit. That tells me we’re at a spot where either momentum explodes higher... or this move starts to stall out. Now, overlay that with the GEX map, and here’s what jumps out: * $555 is a thick cluster of Call Wall and Net GEX resistance — 44.9% of second-tier call positioning is stacked there. * Above that, $557–$560 also has GEX walls, so upside beyond $555 could get sold into unless we see strong breakout volume. * On the flip side, $547 and $545 remain the nearest areas of downside gamma support — price tends to bounce off these zones if tested. My Thoughts: We’re reaching a point where the path of least resistance might shift. If bulls can decisively break above $555, especially with volume and a GEX unwind, there’s room toward $557–$560. But if we get stuck here and break below $552, I’d expect some profit-taking down toward $547–$545. Trade Setups I’d Consider: * Bullish Breakout Trade:
Above $555 with volume
Entry: $556
Target: $559–$560
Stop: $553.50
(Ideal with IV still relatively low and GEX unwinding from that zone) * Fade Rejection Play (If SPY can’t clear $555):
Entry: ~$554 with reversal candle
Target: $547
Stop: $556
(Volume weakness + rising wedge breakdown would support this) Options Thoughts: * IVR is at 29, with IVx lower than the average — premium is relatively cheap. * GEX shows 89% PUTs, which might seem bearish, but it also suggests market makers could support pullbacks for now. * A $555C or $560C for this week is a high-risk chase — I’d only grab it if SPY breaks and holds above $555. * Safer might be a put debit spread targeting $547 if the rising wedge breaks down. This week could be pivotal. SPY has had a strong run, but now it’s flirting with a crowded options zone. Watch the $555 level closely — that’s where the real decision likely gets made.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 30, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 Bessent's Trade Remarks Stir Markets Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent emphasized the U.S.'s readiness for a significant trade deal with China, suggesting potential easing of the ongoing tariff war. His comments have heightened investor anticipation for developments in U.S.-China trade relations. 📉 China's Factory Activity Contracts China's April manufacturing PMI is projected to fall below 50, indicating contraction, as recent U.S. tariffs impact production. This downturn raises concerns about global supply chain disruptions and economic slowdown. 💼 Major Earnings Reports on Deck Investors await earnings from key companies including Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ), Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ), Meta Platforms ( NASDAQ:META ), Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), and Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ). These reports will provide insights into how tech giants are navigating current economic challenges.​ 🏛️ Treasury's Borrowing Plans Under Scrutiny The U.S. Treasury is set to release its quarterly refunding announcement, detailing borrowing plans amid economic uncertainties and the impact of recent tariffs. Market participants will closely analyze the guidance for implications on interest rates and fiscal policy. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, April 30: 📈 Q1 GDP (8:30 AM ET) Forecast: 0.3% QoQ Previous: 2.4% Initial estimate of U.S. economic growth for Q1, reflecting the early impact of new trade policies. ​ 📈 ADP Employment Report (8:15 AM ET) Measures private sector employment changes, offering a preview of the official jobs report.​ 📈 Chicago PMI (9:45 AM ET) Assesses business conditions in the Chicago area, serving as an indicator of regional economic health.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPXL – Bullish Structure Reclaim in ProgressNice setup right here — this multi-timeframe view of SPXL (S&P 500 3x Bull ETF) paints a compelling story, especially with how clean that 0.382 level at $126.23 is holding across multiple frames. ⚡SPXL – Bullish Structure Reclaim in Progress Don’t miss what’s happening on this chart. 📍Price just reclaimed the 0.382 Fib level ($126.23) and is now flirting with resistance at $128.01, right under the 0.5 zone ($138.27) on the higher time frame. 👁 Here’s what I’m watching: 4H shows bullish continuation and stair-stepping toward the diagonal resistance. 15D and 4D show clean higher lows forming. Macro support is locked in between $115.84–$122.02, giving us a nice demand zone. ⚠️ $138.27–$150.30 is the next key region — and if this momentum holds, we may see a full retrace back to the previous high ($189.26) long-term. 🎯 Trade plan: Holding above $126.23 keeps this bullish. If we retest $122–$115 and bounce, it could offer a high-R setup. 📚 Remember: zooming out brings clarity. Structure leads, candles follow.
AMEX:SPXLLong
by MoNi_MoN
XLV Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 042925Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 135/61.80% Chart time frame: C A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: A A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
AMEX:XLV
by fibonacci6180
$USO to $29-42 before a bottom is inAMEX:USO broke down from a long term that started in March 2020 and is now breaking down below support at $67. The most likely outcome is a continuation down to the lower support levels at $29-33. I won't rule out the possibility of one more retest of the trend line ($73-75) before continuing down further. An invalidation of the short would be a break over the $83 level. Otherwise, downside is the most likely outcome from here. Let's see how it plays out over the coming months.
AMEX:USOShort
by benjihyam