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BITx - Weekly Volatility SnapshotGood Afternoon, Here is my weekly perspective for CBOE:BITX IV (96.75%) entering this week is holding in the 18th percent range for the year and has been climbing weekly from putting in new lows at the beginning of the year. We essentially have been seeing rising IV with rising price action, the best of the best. Premium increases from price action climbing and IV rising affects Vega positively increasing premium too. Bi-weekly trends (56.07%) show a cooling off entering the week and contraction under IV, but it might not last long as there could be major macro news in the crypto world at any moment. This could be a big week on continued regression towards quarterly means (104.06%). If this happens the range will continue to expand in my option and hold a +7.31% value per move on premium over stated IV, but weekly trends would be expanding 47.99% -- A huge move. As always -- For those interested in volatility analysis and the application of weighted HV ranges to IV, I encourage you to BOOST and share this post, leave a comment, or follow me to join me on this journey.
CBOE:BITX
by splitmyIVandmelt
The Next Deepseek Moment?Technical Setup: Golden Cross + Value Area Breakout Golden Cross Confirmed: The 50-day MA just crossed above the 200-day MA, a strong bullish signal. Last occurrence (2020-2021): KURE surged +120% before the Death Cross reversal. Current structure: After a brutal 5-wave decline, we’ve: -Bounced off Value Area Low (key support). -Reclaimed the Point of Control (POC, fair price balance). Next target: Value Area High (~120% upside from here). Fundamentals ? Why Chinese Biotech is the Next AI style growth driver? While AI dominates headlines, China’s biotech sector is quietly exploding. Government Backing from Beijing, they are pouring billions into biopharma independence, reducing reliance on Western drugs. Innovation Surge: Companies like BeiGene, Innovent, and CanSino are advancing mRNA, CAR-T, and PD-1 inhibitors—China’s answer to Moderna & Regeneron. Global Outsourcing Boom: WuXi AppTec & WuXi Biologics dominate global drug R&D outsourcing (60%+ revenue from US/EU). Valuations are Cheap: After a 3-year bear market, many stocks trade at 2020 pre-bubble levels despite stronger pipelines. Healthcare Demand: Aging population + rising middle class = exploding drug demand in China. Risks to Watch: US-China Tensions - WuXi AppTec faces US scrutiny (BIO lobbying). Liquidity Risk: KURE is a small ETF (~$50M AUM)—sharp moves possible. If the Golden Cross holds and China’s biotech rally accelerates, KURE could retest 2021 highs (+100-120%). The sector is under owned, undervalued, and at an inflection point—just like AI was in early 2023. This could cause the next Deepseek moment. Not financial advice.
AMEX:KURELong
by NoFOMO_
UVXY Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 053025Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 22.5/61.80% Chart time frame:A A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: A A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
CBOE:UVXY
by fibonacci6180
SPY Breakdown Watch – Smart Money Concepts (1H Chart)🔎 Chart: SPY | TradingView 1H At Wavervanir International LLC, our discretionary analysis on SPY (S&P 500 ETF) using SMC + ORB logic is signaling potential downside. 🔍 Market Structure: CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed after BOS (Break of Structure), suggesting buyer exhaustion. Premium zone rejection with multiple failed attempts to reclaim the weak high. Liquidity has shifted toward discount zones, aligning with volume imbalance and OB zones below. 🎯 Target Zones: Immediate liquidity pool: 579.85 Demand block confluence: 575–565 zone Deep mitigation OB: 560–557.50 zone 📊 Macro Context: Bond volatility rising (MOVE index) Fed holding rates steady, inflation stickiness remains Liquidity tightening into quarter-end 🧠 Strategic View: SPY looks poised to fill inefficiencies into the 575–565 range unless macro tailwinds emerge. Volume supports this as market seeks equilibrium post-premium rejection.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
UVIX looking real sweet! VIX has a very unique quality, which is that it bottoms-out! The VIX is in a very nice place right now. Already did 3 trades over the last week ranging from 4 to +10%. I can't think of a better ETF to trade in times of uncertainty and risk. I'll be providing alerts for those who are interested in upgrading to steak vs. rice and beans FOMO crypto bros! Best of luck and always do your own due diligence! Nothing makes me more happy than to see average Joes and Janes beat the S&P and overpriced FAs.
CBOE:UVIXLong
by antonini2002
Qqq... almost timeIn the coming the tech sector will rollover and correct 10-12% in the month of june. This will represent a 50% retrace from April lows Weekly RSI is tagging Divergence resistance www.tradingview.com This space has only room enough to chop around for another few days so I'm thinking some news either comes out over the weekend or next weeks eco data comes out and causes a flush and break of this wedge The immediate move would be to the 200ma or 495, from there I expect a bounce back to 505-508 before the next leg down A break and close above 530 would negate this short.. I will go over some of the tech Sectors this weekend.. Don't swing any direction until this wedge is decided, will be choppy and annoying.. Theta decay heavy for 0dte. Just have patience and fade the pops.. all the signs are there. I've notice a rotation into heath ,utilities and defensive all week despite qqq making new highs If we happen to close below or near 515 that would leave us with a weekly reversal candle
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by ContraryTrader
33
$SMH vs $HACK: Recent good correlation with breakout potentialMany market watchers will say that Semis are the most important stocks in the market. Semis are great from a market direction perspective. They are the best to indicate a downturn and the fastest to recover during a bull run. In this blog we have appreciated the relative resilience of the Cybersecurity stocks during the recent bear market. The cybersecurity ETF AMEX:HACK fell only 25 % during the 2025 bear market. NASDAQ:SMH fell almost 40% and NASDAQ:SMH / AMEX:HACK fell 35% which indicated the relative underperformance of Semis vs Cybersecurity in April. But form the lows of ‘Liberation Day’ NASDAQ:SMH and AMEX:HACK are trading with perfect correlation. But the question comes will NASDAQ:SMH claim the leadership and outperform AMEX:HACK if this bull market continues. In the last 2024 Bull market NASDAQ:SMH significantly outperformed the $HACK. We are probably in the early days of this breakout outperformance. So. In my opinion in the near term NASDAQ:SMH outperforms $HACK. The ratio is at 96%. The ratio might touch the previous cycle highs of 160% if the momentum continues. Verdict: NASDAQ:SMH outperforms AMEX:HACK in near term. Buy NASDAQ:SMH ; Hold AMEX:HACK
AMEX:HACKLong
by RabishankarBiswal
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 5-30 : CRUSH PatternToday's CRUSH pattern should result in a continued downward price trend in my analysis is accurate. I have seen CRUSH pattern trend upward sometimes. So, please understand I'm reading the chart and pattern as a rolling top type of pattern leading to a CRUSH (downward) price trend today. I highlight the potential for a FAILED CRUSH (downward) price bar - whereas a reversion back to the upside is a potential. But, I estimate that potential at only 20-25% at this time. My analysis suggests the breakdown in price will likely continue, and we'll likely see the SPY/QQQ/Bitcoin continue to try to trend downward. Gold and Silver are moving into a fairly solid Gap-Stall-Revert-Flush pattern that may see Gold attempt to rally back above $3400 today. Silver is currently trading very close to a STDDEV Reversion level, so Silver may not see a big move today (like Gold). I'm hopeful we start to see a big breakaway move in Gold/Silver today and carry into next week. My TTScanner algos generated new BUY triggers for GDX, GDXJ, and NUGT yesterday. That's a very good sign we are getting into a BUY/BULLISH mode in metals again. I got up late today. Somehow, my alarms got turned off. Happy Friday. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
12
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 30, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 30, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🤝 Debt-Ceiling Deal Advances The U.S. House passed a bipartisan framework extending the federal borrowing limit through September, easing immediate default fears and lifting risk assets. 📉 Bond Yields Retreat After surging above 4.6% earlier this week, the 10-year Treasury yield dipped back toward 4.5%, helping equities recover from recent rate-driven pullbacks. ⛽ Oil Inventories Jump API data showed a 5.2 million-barrel build in U.S. crude stocks last week, sending oil prices lower and weighing on energy sector names. 🚗 Tesla Price Cut Spurs EV Rally Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) cut Model 3 prices by 3% in the U.S., igniting a broader EV stock rally as investors priced in renewed demand ahead of summer driving season. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, May 30: 8:30 AM ET: Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for April Measures core inflation trends—Fed’s preferred gauge of consumer-price pressures. 10:00 AM ET: Pending Home Sales for April Tracks signed contracts on existing homes; a leading indicator for the housing market. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao