ETF market
Bitwise Bitcoin ETF | BITB | Long at $46.25It definitely should get everyone's attention when a US Senator (David McCormick) is willing to dish out up to $600,000 in a Bitcoin ETF ( AMEX:BITB ):
Feb. 27: Bought $50,000 to $100,000
Feb. 28: Bought $15,000 to $50,000
March 3: Bought $50,000 to $100,000
March 5: Bought $15,000 to $50,000
March 10: Bought $50,000 to $100,000
March 11: Bought $15,000 to $50,000
March 13: Bought $15,000 to $50,000
March 20: Bought $50,000 to $100,000
Something may be brewing this year with the "U.S. crypto reserve" and I'll throw down a couple grand at $46.25 with a self-proclaimed wild prediction into 2026: Bitcoin to $120,000.
Bitwise ETF Targets:
$50.00
$55.00
$60.00
$65.00
SPY Breakout Watch: Triangle Pressure Builds Above 590SPY has surged in a strong V-shaped recovery from the March low of ~480 to testing major resistance around 595–600. The daily chart shows sustained higher highs and higher lows, but price now stalls at a key supply zone with multiple doji candles—signaling indecision. A rising trendline provides strong support near 570.
Zooming into the 60-minute chart, SPY forms an ascending triangle with flat resistance at 590 and rising support from 584. Volume contraction suggests accumulation, priming a potential breakout. A 60-min close above 590 targets 596, with a stop under 588.
On the 15-minute timeframe, bull-flags form frequently after morning gaps, with breakouts typically launching 4–5 points higher. VWAP and the 20-MA converge near 588.5, making it an ideal pullback entry zone.
Strategy for May 19–23:
Long on a clean breakout above 590 (target: 594–596)
Stop under 587.5–588
Caution if daily closes below 570
Expect early-week upside tests of 590–594, followed by a potential breakout toward 595–600. If a high-volume rejection occurs near that zone, a quick scalp-short may be in play.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-16 : Gap Potential PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will attempt to GAP at the open. The current price structure suggests the SPY/QQQ are in an upward FLAGGING formation related to a broad Excess Phase Peak pattern. I believe this upward trend will continue until price attempts to break either the upper previous Ultimate High pattern or break the lower channel of the current FLAGGING formation.
The wonderful thing about these Excess Phase Peak patterns, and other techniques I'm trying to teach you, is that they provide very clear triggers/directions/opportunities for traders who understand these patterns.
Today, I highlight my SPY Bias (Primary & Secondary) trending system that shows the SPY is much weaker than many people believe. Because of this, I believe we are potentially nearing an Exhaustion Peak in the SPY/QQQ - time will tell.
The use of my extended Biasing systems and Custom Index charts helps me understand what is taking place behind the SPY/QQQ price action. It's like peaking behind the curtains in terms of what my Custom Indexes and other specialized data can provide. I can see what is really taking place related to price action - moving beyond the simple SPY/QQQ charts.
Gold and Silver appear to be setting up an Inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern off a potential Ultimate Low in price. It will be interesting to see how this downward price flag plays out over the next week+. If this pattern holds, we should see the FLAG end and price should rally up into the consolidation phase. Very exciting for metals.
Bitcoin, which tends to lead the SPY/QQQ, is stalling near a peak. Keep your eyes on BTCUSD over the weekend as I believe we may be able to identify how the SPY/QQQ will react on Monday by watching what BTCUSD does.
Thanks for being patient and understanding my schedule over the past 30+ days. I've had multiple family member visit the hospital over the past 5-6+ weeks and my world has been filled with doctors, hospitals, follow-ups, work, and trying to keep everyone healthy and away from trouble.
It appears these issues are starting to get more settled - which means I'll be able to stay more focused on work - instead of driving around everywhere and waiting for appointments.
Get some..
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Long Position on QQQ – 16th May 2025 AnalysisTrading Idea: Long Position on QQQ – 16th May 2025
This chart illustrates a long position on QQQ, in the Daily Time Frame. Overall, the market structure is bullish. It is expected to retest 493 to 500, before going further high. Also, if any liquidity is targeted, then 475 should be the spot.
Analysis:
• Market Structure: The overall market structure is Bullish. Since it has given good breakout above recent high above 20 EMA (i.e. on 25th March 2025), it is the expectation that the market will retest this level, near 493 to 500.
• Liquidity Target: It is also expected that big players can target liquidity near 475 level, which was the recent breakout level.
• Trend Change: Anything below 475, could be considered in weakness in trend and possibly slow down the recovery to all time high.
Trade plan1:
• Entry: Near 500
• Stop Loss: 490
• Take Profit: Around 530
• Risk-Reward: 1:4
Trade plan2:
• Entry: Near $480
• Stop Loss: Near $470
• Take Profit: Around $530
• Risk-Reward: 1:5
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Gold Miners (GDX) at Key Support, Set for Potential Upside MoveThe Gold Miners ETF (GDX) is showing promising signs for investors as it approaches a critical support zone. Since the low on December 30, 2024, GDX has been tracing a five-wave impulse pattern. This is a hallmark of bullish momentum in Elliott Wave analysis. The first wave (wave (1)) peaked at $42.66, followed by a pullback to $38.58 in wave (2). From there, GDX surged in wave (3) to $53.25, as seen on the one-hour chart below. Currently, the ETF is in a corrective wave (4), unfolding as a zigzag pattern, which is nearing completion.
The zigzag’s wave A dropped to $46.73, with its internal structure showing five sub-waves. Wave ((i)) at $50.95, a rally to $52.99 in wave ((ii)), a decline to $47.77 in wave ((iii)), a bounce to $50.09 in wave ((iv)), and a final dip to $46.73 in wave ((v)). Wave B then rallied to $51.39, also as a zigzag, with sub-waves ((a)) at $49.1, ((b)) at $48.05, and ((c)) at $51.39. Now, wave C is underway, with wave ((i)) at $48.72, wave ((ii)) at $50.48, and wave ((iii)) at $44.45. Wave ((iv)) is expected to conclude soon, leading to a final drop in wave ((v)) to the $40.81–$44.86 blue box range.
This blue box area represents a key support zone where buying interest is likely to emerge. Investors should watch this range closely, as it could mark the end of the correction and the start of the next leg higher in wave (5). With GDX poised at this critical juncture, the setup favors taking long positions in anticipation of a bullish reversal.
$QQQ Over $523.5 for a retest of Highs. Lower High Setup?As you can see on the notes in the chart, several 5 counts lead to sell offs in the last Quarter. Will this trend continue or will we run it to a 9 Count again? 3 Days left. Watch these levels as I have a possible selloff to May open Price. This would effectively follow my 10D chart forecast of new lows in the next 30-40 trading days, if not 20 for significant damage either way. I will continue to update as we go.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 16, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 16, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📉 Jamie Dimon Warns of Possible Recession
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon cautioned that a U.S. recession remains a real possibility amid ongoing uncertainty from the Trump administration's tariff policies. Speaking at JPMorgan’s Global Markets Conference in Paris, Dimon stated that while he hopes a recession can be avoided, it should not be ruled out.
💵 Stablecoin Legislation May Bolster U.S. Dollar
U.S. policymakers are advancing legislation to regulate dollar-linked stablecoins, aiming to reinforce the strength and global status of the U.S. dollar. The proposed Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins Act of 2025 (GENIUS Act) seeks to regulate stablecoins and their issuers, potentially anchoring the dollar's influence in the global financial ecosystem.
🏠 The Great Property Sell Fest Begins in India
The Great Property Sell Fest, a first-of-its-kind property festival in the Indian real estate market, is scheduled to take place from May 16 to 18, 2025. The event will be hosted across key locations including Gurugram, Noida, and Panipat, offering a unique platform for homeowners looking to sell their properties at premium prices.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, May 16:
8:30 AM ET: U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes for April
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
SOXL Will FLY!Just look at the AD line:
With its sharp V-shaped recovery, the A/D Line (middle area) shows that the recent price rise is being driven by significant capital inflows and strong buying interest.
The Accumulation/Distribution Oscillator (lower panel) underlines this with an exceptionally high green bar, indicating massive buying pressure in the recent trading period.
At the moment there are no obvious negative divergences between price and indicators. Rather, the indicators are signaling strong bullish momentum, which is supporting the current upswing. For an instrument as volatile as a leveraged ETF, this is a remarkable sign of the strength of the current move.
I don't want to sound euphoric, but THIS is a BIG BUY!