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Opening (IRA): IBIT February 21st 47 Covered Call... for a 44.52 debit. Comments: Adding to my position at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta strike against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Break Even/Buying Power Effect: 44.52/share Max Profit: 2.48 ROC at Max: 5.57% 50% Max: 1.24 ROC at 50% Max: 2.79% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll out short call on take profit point test.
NASDAQ:IBITLong
by NaughtyPines
4
USO Bearish Outlook: Sell Opportunity as Momentum Shifts Current Resistance Zone: The price is currently testing a strong resistance zone around the $83 level. in the past, this level has been a turning point for price movements. Potential Reversal: The chart suggests a possible rejection from the resistance zone, with a projected short-term correction to approximately $78.82 . Key Levels: -Resistance: $82.75–$83.25. -Support: $78.82 (highlighted as target). Scenario: After testing the resistance zone, a pullback towards $78.82 is expected, aligning with previous price behavior. A confirmed break above $83 would invalidate this bearish outlook. Note: Always combine technical levels with broader market context and risk management.
AMEX:USOShort
by TrendDiva
Opening (IRA): TNA Feb 21st 36 Covered Call... for a 34.33 debit. Comments: Starter position on weakness/high IV in lieu of the less liquid URTY. Selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 34.33/share Max Profit: 1.67 ROC at Max: 4.86% 50% Max: .84 ROC at 50% Max: 2.43% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals should I be able to get in at break evens better than what I currently have on.
AMEX:TNALong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): IBIT February 21st 50 Covered Call... for a 47.07 debit. Comments: High IVR/IV (88.4/68.6) + weakness post-FOMC. Going out to February, as there are only 30 DTE left in January, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Looking at this as a "starter" position, so will look to add at intervals, assuming I can get in at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 47.07/share Max Profit: 2.93 ROC at Max: 6.22% 50% Max: 1.47 ROC at 50% Max: 3.11% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll out short call on take profit point test.
NASDAQ:IBITLong
by NaughtyPines
2
Possibly Breaking out of down trendI see a somewhat double rejection at 500-501 on the Daily. Right now, we are hovering around the Upside of this trend Channel & resistance level 516. I’m looking for a buy up to 519 then a reversal To 516 for double bottom to Break out of the trend we’ve been in. If we fail to a double bottom at 516 And Sell through 516 we remain in a Weekly down trend for . 519 is the level to get on the other side of. Also keep in mind Donald Trump will be inaugurated on Monday. I think this will affect the markets volatility. We May see Strong buys.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by MuggaMatrix
EEM - LongFundamental Analysis: The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) tracks the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, which includes stocks from developing economies like China, India, Brazil, and South Korea. These economies often experience higher growth rates than developed markets due to industrialization, increasing consumer spending, and favorable demographic trends. Here are some fundamental reasons to consider buying EEM: Growth Potential in Emerging Markets: Emerging markets are expected to grow faster than developed markets, driven by factors like expanding middle-class populations, urbanization, and increasing adoption of technology. The IMF projects strong GDP growth for countries in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index over the next few years, which could support corporate earnings growth. Valuation Discount: Emerging market equities currently trade at a discount to developed markets, such as the U.S., on a price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) basis. This presents an attractive entry point for long-term investors. Weakening U.S. Dollar: Emerging market assets tend to benefit from a weaker U.S. dollar, as many countries in the index rely on exports priced in USD. Recent signals from the Federal Reserve about slowing interest rate hikes or potential rate cuts could lead to dollar depreciation, boosting emerging market equities. Commodity Strength: Many countries in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index are resource-rich, and rising commodity prices due to global infrastructure spending and energy transitions could support their economies. China Reopening and Recovery: As the largest weight in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, China's post-COVID recovery could be a significant tailwind for EEM, supported by stimulus measures and a rebound in domestic demand. Technical Analysis: From the chart provided, several technical indicators suggest now may be a good time to initiate a position in EEM: Support at Regression Channel: The chart shows a multi-year linear regression channel with price currently testing the lower end of the channel (red zone). This lower boundary acts as strong support, suggesting a potential reversal to the upside. Fibonacci Support Level: EEM is holding around a key Fibonacci retracement level, a zone often associated with buying interest. Historically, this level has acted as a reliable support zone. Oversold Conditions: Price action appears oversold relative to the broader trend within the regression channel. The recent pullback provides an opportunity to buy near technical support rather than chasing prices higher. Volume Confirmation: The volume profile indicates a higher level of activity around the current price range, signifying potential accumulation by institutional investors or long-term buyers. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Initiating a position near the bottom of the regression channel provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Upside potential extends to the mid or upper parts of the channel, while downside risk is limited by nearby support. Bollinger Band and Mean Reversion: Although Bollinger Bands are not explicitly visible in this chart, prices appear to be in an extended move toward the lower range of the regression channel, which typically precedes a mean-reversion move higher. Strategy: From a fundamental perspective, EEM is attractive due to its valuation discount, expected GDP growth, and macroeconomic tailwinds (e.g., a weaker dollar, commodity strength). From a technical perspective, the ETF is at a strong confluence of support levels, providing an excellent entry point with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Investors can consider initiating a position now and scaling into it further if EEM confirms a reversal upward. Setting a stop-loss just below the lower regression channel boundary will help mitigate downside risk. You said: I like this but remove the fibonocci entry. ChatGPT said: Here’s the revised analysis without mentioning Fibonacci levels: Fundamental Analysis: The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) tracks the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, which includes stocks from developing economies like China, India, Brazil, and South Korea. These economies often experience higher growth rates than developed markets due to industrialization, increasing consumer spending, and favorable demographic trends. Here are some fundamental reasons to consider buying EEM: Growth Potential in Emerging Markets: Emerging markets are expected to grow faster than developed markets, driven by factors like expanding middle-class populations, urbanization, and increasing adoption of technology. The IMF projects strong GDP growth for countries in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index over the next few years, which could support corporate earnings growth. Valuation Discount: Emerging market equities currently trade at a discount to developed markets, such as the U.S., on a price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) basis. This presents an attractive entry point for long-term investors. Weakening U.S. Dollar: Emerging market assets tend to benefit from a weaker U.S. dollar, as many countries in the index rely on exports priced in USD. Recent signals from the Federal Reserve about slowing interest rate hikes or potential rate cuts could lead to dollar depreciation, boosting emerging market equities. Commodity Strength: Many countries in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index are resource-rich, and rising commodity prices due to global infrastructure spending and energy transitions could support their economies. China Reopening and Recovery: As the largest weight in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, China's post-COVID recovery could be a significant tailwind for EEM, supported by stimulus measures and a rebound in domestic demand. Technical Analysis: From the chart provided, several technical indicators suggest now may be a good time to initiate a position in EEM: Support at Regression Channel: The chart shows a multi-year linear regression channel with price currently testing the lower end of the channel (red zone). This lower boundary acts as strong support, suggesting a potential reversal to the upside. Oversold Conditions: Price action appears oversold relative to the broader trend within the regression channel. The recent pullback provides an opportunity to buy near technical support rather than chasing prices higher. Volume Confirmation: The volume profile indicates a higher level of activity around the current price range, signifying potential accumulation by institutional investors or long-term buyers. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Initiating a position near the bottom of the regression channel provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Upside potential extends to the mid or upper parts of the channel, while downside risk is limited by nearby support. Bollinger Band and Mean Reversion: Although Bollinger Bands are not explicitly visible in this chart, prices appear to be in an extended move toward the lower range of the regression channel, which typically precedes a mean-reversion move higher. Strategy: From a fundamental perspective, EEM is attractive due to its valuation discount, expected GDP growth, and macroeconomic tailwinds (e.g., a weaker dollar, commodity strength). From a technical perspective, the ETF is at a strong confluence of support levels, providing an excellent entry point with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Investors can consider initiating a position now and scaling into it further if EEM confirms a reversal upward. Setting a stop-loss just below the lower regression channel boundary will help mitigate downside risk. Entry Price $41.50 - $42.50 Lont Term Price Target $47.00
AMEX:EEM
by tynichols
Next target around $62The last few days showed a clear retest of the the upwards channel. Moneymakers, algo's and the big boys showed that the previous weekly and daily demand levels held very firmly as they didn't even enter the zone, but rather stayed/behaved nicely in the channel. With Trump and team talking office in about 5 days, we have a very compelling set of rule changes that are going to be implemented shortly (and play out at least over the next 2+ years!) that will benefit all businesses including the small caps, and in anticipation of the this, the truck was backed up and loaded to the brim. We were lucky enough to participate both in the first zone, and the second zone below that, to load up. Always good to buy in 1/3 increments to keep your powder dry. The upper test of the $54 area showed that there is heavy selling pressure there, but we have weakened the supply zone substantially as we stayed there for quite a few days. Expectations are that this move will play out over the next several months, possibly into the summer and ultimately end somewhere around the $62 range as highlighted by the green circle. There is another supply zone above that, which we've never retested, so that means it will bounce hard off that selling pressure. Good luck to all, and do your own due diligence. This post is for entertainment purposes only. And for me to document my own journey in this trade for my kids to see how it works, then call me out as either a dad than knows what they're doing, or call my bluff.
AMEX:TNALong
by ep7
The chart I am posting is The road map for QQQ The chart I am posting is that of the QQQ and what should be the pattern if We are going to see a Final 5th wave to 561 plus or minus 2 . I called for a major turn 11/29 to 12/5 from this we should see a panic or a corrective wave structure I have a grouping of 6 spiral turn from jan 19 to the 25th .I have sold All my longs as we hit price targets for the first leg up and to form the ABC rally .What next possible pattern is abc up for wave 1 or A we should see now a pullback in an abc decline back to 50 % from this we should see wave C up in the form of 12345 a 5 waves rally and break Above the down trend line as Most everyone will then get on board . The MATH projection IF and I say IF the turn of 11/29 to 12/5 was just the top of wave 3 of 5 then we will see the HIGH for 2025 at 561 plus or minus 2 I have dates of FEB 14 and march 13th As MAJOR turns based on the fib cycles and Spirals . You should wait to see conformation . in the pullback before buying longs again . BEST OF TRADES WAVETIMER
NASDAQ:QQQ
by wavetimer
Opening (IRA): URTY February 21st 41 Covered Call... for a 39.07 debit. Comments: Adding in at strikes better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with built-in short call defense. I would prefer using TNA, since it's more liquid and has more expiries available, but already have a position on in TNA where the short call strike is at or above the -75, so don't want to add here. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 39.07/share Max Profit: 1.93 ROC at Max: 4.94% 50% Max: .97 ROC at 50% Max: 2.47% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll out the short call if the setup doesn't hit my take profit.
AMEX:URTYLong
by NaughtyPines