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$IWM - Trading Levels for March 19 2025 The only MA’s in today’s trading range is the 30min 35EMA which we opened right at, and the 30min 200 At the top. Just one bear gap here at the same level where we filled the last one. Seems like a level with a lot of resistance (205) 35EMA is the level to watch - right now it’s neutral/bearish and if the 35EMA crosses above the 30 200 it will be bullish and if we get pushed back down under the 35EMA It will be bearish. 198 is current support
AMEX:IWM
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 19, 2025 🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸🏦 Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 🏦: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday, March 19, at 2:00 PM ET, followed by a press conference with Fed Chair Jerome Powell at 2:30 PM ET. The Fed is widely expected to maintain the federal funds rate at its current range of 4.25% to 4.5%. Investors will closely monitor the Fed's economic projections and Powell's comments for insights into future monetary policy, especially in light of ongoing trade tensions and global economic uncertainties. 🇯🇵💴 Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Decision 💴: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is set to announce its monetary policy decision on March 19. The BOJ is expected to keep interest rates steady, as policymakers assess the potential impact of U.S. trade policies on Japan's export-driven economy. The yen has remained stable ahead of the announcement, with traders awaiting the BOJ's guidance on future monetary policy. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Wednesday, March 19: 🏢 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏢:This report measures the annualized number of existing residential buildings sold during the previous month, providing insight into the strength of the housing market. Forecast: 5.50 million annualized units​ Previous: 5.47 million annualized units​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Elliott Wave View: Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Impulse Rally Should ExGold Miners ETF (GDX) shows incomplete bullish sequence from 30 December 2024 low favoring more upside. Up from 30 December, wave (1) ended at 43 and pullback in wave (2) ended at 38.58. Wave (3) higher is in progress with internal subdivision as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave (2), wave 1 ended at 42.31 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 40.2 as the 30 minutes chart below shows. Wave 3 higher is in progress as another impulse in lesser degree. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 41.22 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 40.71. The ETF then nested higher in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 42.04 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 41.22. Wave (iii) higher ended at 43.87 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 43.21. Final leg wave (v) ended at 45.65 which completed wave ((iii)) in higher degree. Pullback in wave ((iv)) is in progress with a target towards 43.6 – 44.2 where buyers can appear for further upside. Near term, as far as pivot at 40.2 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for further upside.
AMEX:GDX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
SPY at Critical Resistance – Breakout or Pullback Ahead?📊 AMEX:SPY Monthly Macro Outlook 📊 Key Observations: 1️⃣ Long-Term Uptrend Intact – Despite corrections, AMEX:SPY remains in a strong bullish trend, respecting the multi-year trendline since 2009. 2️⃣ Historical Pullback & Recovery – The 2022 market correction (-26%) found strong demand in the highlighted red zone (around $480-$500), leading to a powerful reversal. 3️⃣ Resistance Levels in Play – Price is currently testing key resistance levels at $565, $586, and $609. A rejection here could lead to a healthy pullback before continuation. 4️⃣ Future Outlook – If price consolidates and holds above $565, we could see an attempt to break $609, with the long-term trajectory targeting $700+ in coming years. Trade Plan: 🔹 Bullish Scenario – A breakout above $609 could lead to price discovery, targeting $650-$700 in 2026-2027. 🔹 Bearish Scenario – A rejection at $565-$609 could trigger a retrace to $523 or $480, offering a buy-the-dip opportunity. 🔹 Invalidation – If AMEX:SPY loses $480 support, the bullish thesis weakens, and deeper downside may be in play. 📈 The trend is your friend, but expect volatility at these levels! Do you see a breakout coming or a healthy pullback first? Drop your thoughts below! 👇 #SPY #StockMarket #Investing #Trading #MacroAnalysis Socials: @KennyTrades52
AMEX:SPY
by KennyTrades52
$QQQ Dead Cat to 10 WMA, then lower. Buy $496, Sell $514 What I see here is a double top on the weekly just like 2022. I can see our last 9 count in 2022 produced a 30% rally to the top. After the rally several months of sideways movement until we break trend. If we are Indeed Repeating the 2022 TOP. Then we have a harsh year ahead of us. As I said in previous posts, we should close February at the low of January. I have KRE falling out next week so I'm skeptical about what's going on. We've got DOGE checks and what not, who knows. I'm extremely bearish and I do believe we will bounce into a rejection this next week, then fall even further the week of 3/14. I will update day by day. For now, $496 will be my Buy. and $514 will be the Sell. Take Care Yall.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by TazmanianTrader
3
Europe Vs US Break Out!This chart suggests huge long-term implications after breaking for the 2nd time this 16-year downtrend. EU since Trump took office has outperformed the US by 23%! More than half of that has occurred since the ambush on Zeleneskyy in the Oval Office. While no new high has been made yet to confirm, it is noteworthy that money may be flowing toward the EU more than the US for a decade or more. EU has a much lower debt to GDO at 80% than the US at 125%. Stock valuations are much more attractive than in the US. So much so that I labeled the EU as a value trap. Not anymore! The biggest obstacle right now is how much would a US recession impact the EU. Even if it does, I expect the EU to perform much better than the US. As such this chart should continue to outperform. I have another post up you may want to follow.
AMEX:VGKLong
by RealMacro
3
Spy Road To $544 UPDATEIts Playing out Accordingly Spy $544! Do I think it's going exactly to $544 yes, what I'm trying to figure out is if that's the bottom , $530-510 are extreme levels for this to happen in theory it would shock the whole market in Fear causing many People to Release their positions and then Resulting in a drastic fast Blow off Topp All Time Highs , But in the meantime let's see how this plays out!!! We have a Government Shutdown Decision in literally 2hrs this will really rock the markets... We have a really interesting options chain We have way more supply than demand not looking to for Covers when selling pressure accurse this makes me think easy drop to the downside like butter, technicals dont look that great we are under the 200ema now going on 2 weeks!!! THESIS IS BEARISH PREPARE FOR THE DOWNSIDE!!!!! as always Safe Trades Traders
AMEX:SPYShort
by JoeWtrades
8
EUROPE VS US Stock Dramatic Moves CAUTION!Zelenskyy Oval office ambush did much more than ambush and betray an ally in support of a dictator like Putin. Betraying an ally destroyed the trust in the U.S. government. Without trust in the government, democracy cannot be, leaving only a dictatorship capable of surviving. Markets have spoken very loudly with trillions of dollars, not words out of people's mouths. Superpowers are only as strong as their allies. Isolationism doesn't work. Ask N. Korea, The Soviets etc.. why that is. Trust can not be granted nor taken, it may only be lost. CAUTION IS IN ORDER!
AMEX:VGKLong
by RealMacro
7
How to use ETFs instead of Indexes to know how to trade that dayMost Traders use the indexes to try to understand whether they should buy long or sell short. However, the ETFs impact the index components prices not the other way around. Most traders do not realize that they should be studying the ETF of an index rather than the index to determine how to trade the next day. Also ETF trading can be highly lucrative. Using the chart layouts that I have designed to trade Dark Pool activity, HFT and Hedge Fund activity and Sell Side activity helps you understand who is on control of price for the ETF and thus is created the value changes of the indexes. When you study the ETF rather than the index, you will find you have far more information in the chart, indicators and price changes.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
7
SPY: Opportunity on the HorizonThe SPY has undergone what some might characterize as a strategically influenced decline, following an extreme three-standard-deviation move to the downside in under 20 days. The market appears to be adjusting its expectations in response to the evolving policy landscape under Trump’s administration and the broader transition to a new government. I am inclined to believe this as a form of "controlled demolition," potentially orchestrated to accelerate the Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates sooner rather than later. With this in mind, I will remain attentive to the broader market structure, particularly monitoring for a potential ABC corrective pattern that could shape near-term price action. At the moment, price is rebounding from a critical support zone, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the uptrend initiated in November 2024. Given the market's current state of being significantly oversold, a period of relief would be preferable to provide liquidity at higher price levels. The immediate target for this retracement is the 0.618 level of the ongoing downtrend, which coincides with the previous range’s Value Area Low or potentially the Point of Control should a stronger rally materialize. Beyond this, the anticipated broader ABC correction is expected to unfold, with a target around 530 on the SPY—precisely at the major VWAP level from late 2023, which previously marked the end of the bear market. This level is further in confluence with the 1-1 trend based Fibonacci extension of the swing high, which may signal the magnitude of the corrective move. I will have a better idea of where the correction may conclude once the swing high is in. This decline is likely to present substantial opportunities for both long-term investors and active traders alike. Let’s see how the market dynamics evolve from here.
AMEX:SPYLong
by afurs1