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$QQQ - Trading Levels for March 13 2025NASDAQ:QQQ - Trading Levels for March 13 2025 Alright, y’all. We are dangling, unsupported underneath the 200DMA and that Bear Gap. The 200DMA is above the trading range, just under that the bear gap protecting it. I am trading cautiously today because inflation data days I tend to make a lot of mistakes. 35EMA - this level is a BEAST. We were unable to get above it yesterday. I will be looking to the outer spreads here. GL, y’all.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
$SPY - Trading Levels for March 13 2025 Alright, y’all. We are dangling, unsupported underneath the 200DMA and that Bear Gap. I am trading cautiously today because inflation data days I tend to make a lot of mistakes. 35EMA - this level is a BEAST. We were unable to get above it yesterday. Trace it back 3 weeks and you’ll see it’s been there every time to push us back lower. I will be looking to the outer spreads and even then I might push it out a little. If and when I take a position I will update it here. GL, y’all.
AMEX:SPY
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
QQQ - Nasdaq has reached it's firstPrice reached the Warning Line 1. This is a natural support, because it's a standard deviation stretch. From here, price has a high tendency of mean-reversion. How far? Most of the time it shoots back to the Lower-Medianline-Parallel. Beware of the potential resistnace zone. This level is a good one to take partial profits. As for a stop, I would put it below the last swing-long. I may play it with Options (for example a Risk-Reversal), giving me more leeway to the downside if it's not playing out immediately.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Tr8dingN3rd
Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (VAS) Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (VAS) EFT Info : Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (VAS) is an investment fund traded on the Australian stock exchange that allows investors to buy shares in approximately 300 of Australia's largest companies with a single purchase. Chart Analysis The Monthly zone is promising, entry is at 87.54 however thats the lowest timeframe i could use here. Conc: 1.As this is monthly timeframe movement is in months and hence the long wait. 2. The zone is risky and would require a confirmation kind of trade to get into Prop: The Vanguard is well established and an entry would not require a target as its a wait and hold
ASX:VASLong
by FxBaus
Market Recap: Winners, Losers and Lessons from the past 4 MonthsGreetings Friends, Coi here—I hope you’re having a great start to the year. I’ve been away for some time, and I wanted to provide an update on what’s happening in the market, my thoughts on the current landscape, and any strategies that may help you make better trading decisions. As always please find attached other views / charts of the market that might not have been mentioned in this update. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I do not take responsibility for any trading or financial decisions you make. Always do your own research. ⸻ Market Recap: What Happened? The market has been bombarded with major headline news, including: - Deep Seek AI Threats - U.S. Tariff Threats on Allies - Retaliatory Tariffs - White House Show Down - Inflation resurgence These events have contributed to a broad market correction, with indices pulling back 13% from their December 17 highs through March 12 (and still ongoing). Notable Performance : 🎭 BABA +70% MSTR -56% TESLA -50% NVDA -30% Meanwhile, capital and investor confidence have shifted overseas, strengthening both the DAX and the Hang Seng Index. As previously noted in my post on January 1st The VIX forecasted this correction early. I don’t play poker but the Vix is like that that one person who has a bad poker face. Take heed. My Market Update: I am currently neutral in this environment, at this stage everyone is expecting a rally — which I do agree with but the question is will this be a counter trend rally and will momentum in the future keep favouring the downside? I will be attaching pictures to better help explain my view points. ⸻ Lessons Learned (For Those Willing to Listen) • Everyone is playing a game of musical chairs. Banks, hedge funds, retail traders, analysts—question everything. • Trading is the loneliest sport. No one is going to show up for your recital, but keep going. • Your gut is your second brain. Learn to trust it. • It’s frustrating to face issues with your strategy, but solving them is therapeutic. Growth happens in the problem-solving phase. ⸻ Closing Notes: My goal is to be more active again. I’ll be sharing my market insights, trade setups, and thoughts weekly. Stay sharp, stay disciplined, and trade wisely. Best Regards, C-Lemard ⸻
NASDAQ:QQQ
by coilemard
7
Time to Scoop up Small Caps?The Russell 2000 is down 17% from November highs. According to Bank of America, small caps are not pricing in a recession. Historical small-cap selloffs during recessions have been 35-40%, with forward P/Es dropping about 30%. Earnings are still 38% below their peak. Small caps trade at 14.2x earnings, slightly below the historical average, suggesting they reflect a mild manufacturing slowdown rather than a recession. P/E valuations suggest 9% annualized returns for the Russell 2000 over the next decade, compared to 5% for mid-caps and 1% for large caps. IWM Technicals: - Multi-year log trend support. - Vastly under the yearly average (yellow).
AMEX:IWMLong
by Audacity618
1
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 13, 2025 🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇰🇷🇺🇸 South Korea's Trade Minister Visits U.S. 🇰🇷🇺🇸: South Korea's Trade Minister, Cheong In-kyo, is visiting Washington, D.C., from March 13 to 14 to discuss trade issues, including reciprocal tariffs and investment opportunities, with U.S. counterparts. This visit aims to address concerns about tariffs following President Trump's comments regarding disparities between U.S. and South Korean tariffs. The outcome of these discussions could impact sectors reliant on U.S.-South Korea trade relations. ​ 🇩🇪🛠️ German Debt Reform Debates 🇩🇪🛠️: Germany's Bundestag is set to begin debates on debt reform plans starting March 13, focusing on increasing infrastructure spending and reforming state borrowing rules to fund defense. The proposed creation of a €500 billion infrastructure fund aims to stimulate the economy. These reforms could influence European economic stability, indirectly affecting U.S. markets through global economic interconnections. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Thursday, March 13: 🏭 Producer Price Index (PPI) (8:30 AM ET) 🏭:The PPI measures the average change over time in selling prices received by domestic producers, offering insights into wholesale inflation trends. Forecast: +0.3% month-over-month​ Previous: +0.4% month-over-month​ 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉:This weekly report indicates the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, providing insight into the labor market's health. Forecast: 226K Previous: 221K ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
2
QQQ: Trend's 3 Frames of ReferenceTrend's Three Frames of Reference: The Fibonacci channels in the chart are constructed based on the COVID low (March 2020) and the 2023 low, with a projection that aligns with the late 2021 top as a key reference point. This approach sets the direction of the Fibonacci channels in an upward-sloping trajectory, capturing the broader bullish trend while identifying key areas of support and resistance. The trend structure follows a long-term ascending Fibonacci framework, where the lower blue regions (0.786, 0.618 levels) represent historical support zones, aligning with past market corrections. The mid-range levels (0.5, 0.382) act as consolidation zones where price action frequently stabilizes before continuing its trend. The uppermost red-orange zones (0.236 and above) highlight overextension zones, aligning with the late 2021 high, where the market previously faced strong resistance before entering a corrective phase in 2022. By using the COVID low and the 2023 low as anchors, the Fibonacci channels effectively map the market’s trajectory and provide insight into potential future movements. The alignment with the late 2021 top further reinforces these levels as critical points for potential price reactions, making this an effective tool. In this alternative Fibonacci channel configuration, the direction is adjusted to align with a steeper bullish trajectory, possibly emphasizing a different perspective on trend structure and momentum. The key anchors for the Fibonacci channels remain rooted in the 2023 low and recent higher highs, creating a more aggressively inclined channel structure. This Fibonacci channel configuration differs from the previous ones by focusing on a shorter-term structure with a narrower range and downward-sloping alignment. It is anchored from the recent 2023 low to the subsequent high, with Fibonacci retracement levels applied to identify key support and resistance zones. Leaving this trend configuration is a signal that price goes for bigger range movement. By utilizing three Fibonacci channel references, this method enhances price forecasting accuracy, confirms key support/resistance areas, and adapts to different trading styles. The combination of macro, momentum, and retracement-based analysis ensures that both investors and traders can make informed decisions based on multi-frame confluence zones. Long-term investors should watch Configuration 1 for sustainable support levels. Momentum traders can rely on Configuration 2 for buying dips near 0.5 and selling near 0.236. Short-term traders should focus on Configuration 3 for managing pullbacks and breakout confirmations.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by fract
1
uh owell we've so far passed all my support points and are like in super duper oversold territory. Traders want to bounce but I'm going to finally change my 6 month outlook. BEARISH. Short term it depends on how the chips fall -- if we get some straws to grasp at on the economic data side of things, we could bounce easily to $580. But people are not liking the current field, even after all the panic selling, there aren't many management firms snatching up the deals. Except for NVDA, people really fell on that knife these past 2 days, hoping its profits remain magnificent and its costs don't increase. Maybe TSLA will be a buy soon -- Musk owns less than 50% of the company right? They can vote him out in June? I mean I was expecting a bounce and extra profits from the CEO being so close to the POTUS but maybe people are sensing he's too MIA, off playing video games or something. Worst of all, the administration isn't even giving people platitudes. There's no, 'we're doing everything we can to prevent a full Biden recession'. There's almost a calm acceptance that it might happen and we'll be better off for it. At first it was just uncertainty around rate cuts but its blossomed into caution around CapEx and MA (because somehow the outlook on tariffs is even murkier now than in December) and dent in employment activity due to mass layoffs at the federal level. Like this year just cannot get any worse -- and any bullish reversals will be due to that sentiment; that we're impervious to further drops in the stock market because the bad news is already priced in. But we haven't accounted for all the people who will have to cash out of their 401k's this fall and therefore cannot discount the possibility of a 25% market correction or more. Like, I'll change my mind when the administration starts acting like recessions are bad and we should work our hardest to avoid them rather than just making sure Biden gets some of the blame (no way Trump escapes all the blame anymore, he'll be lucky if he can avoid a government shutdown Friday). Like usually treasuries move inverse to stock market action, but what if the pause in business activity is because of unpredictability at the federal government? How long before we float the idea of reneging on our debts and we get downgraded to a B+? Like we talk about protectionist policies and fiscal conservativism; what could be more of an America first policy than just defaulting on our owed debt? I just hope we can default in tranches so that not all $36 trillion becomes worthless all at once. Maybe the Fed can look into that -- stop selling short term notes for example and commit to honoring our immediate debts...
AMEX:SPYShort
by pogicraft
1
A Pseudoscience called Technical analysis!Pseudoscience is characterized as a system of theories or beliefs that are presented as scientific but lack the rigors and foundations of the scientific method. It often uses scientific-sounding language while being rooted in unsubstantiated claims or cultural beliefs, and it can be misleading and harmful.  My Evolution as a Market Analyst Early Success on TradingView In 2020-2021, I established myself as a leading analyst on the TradingView platform, becoming the top-rated contributor for equities and high-volume tickers including TSLA, AAPL, AMZN, ARKK, COIN, RIOT, WKHS, PLTR, NIO, and Bitcoin. Educational Background My journey began fifteen years ago with a comprehensive study of technical analysis methodologies. I immersed myself in seminal works including: "Technical Analysis of Financial Markets" by John J. Murphy "Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques" by Steve Nison "Trading with the Andrews Pitchfork" by Glenn Wilson "Elliott Wave - Fibonacci High Probability Trading" by Jared Sanders Professional Recognition While my initial goal in publishing analyses on TradingView was personal performance tracking, industry recognition came unexpectedly. Within three months, I ranked among the platform's top six contributors, advancing to the highest-rated position by the fourth month. This visibility led to multiple partnership offers from brokerages and cryptocurrency projects, including Tiger Broker (NASDAQ: TIGR), all of which I declined to maintain independence. Client Development Following requests from followers, I established a contribution system to support ongoing analysis. My work attracted institutional attention, including a hedge fund managing hundreds of millions in assets that engaged me for educational services. I developed a customized curriculum delivered via virtual platforms, maintaining a rigorous teaching schedule that ultimately revealed limitations in traditional technical analysis approaches—confirming Richard Feynman's observation that "When one teaches, two learn." Methodological Evolution This realization prompted a strategic pivot. I paused teaching to focus on skill development, particularly in programming and data analytics. I integrated advanced concepts including: Game theory applications Quantitative analysis frameworks Behavioral finance principles AI Integration The emergence of accessible AI models represented a significant advancement for my practice. I leveraged Gemini (formerly Bard), ChatGPT, and Claude to enhance my options trading system, developing proprietary metrics to identify market inefficiencies in derivatives pricing. Current Approach Today, I operate as a substantially transformed analyst with a modernized market perspective. While my analytical methods employ sophisticated quantitative techniques, I continue presenting findings in traditional visual formats to accommodate audience preferences—a phenomenon explained by patternicity. Understanding Cognitive Biases in Trading Patternicity A concept introduced by Michael Shermer describes our tendency to identify meaningful patterns within random noise Highlights humanity's inherent drive to impose order on chaotic information Significantly impacts decision-making processes as our minds actively seek connections, sometimes where none exist Apophenia The broader tendency to perceive connections between unrelated phenomena First defined by German neurologist Klaus Conrad in 1958 as "unmotivated seeing of connections" While common in everyday cognition, extreme manifestations can indicate psychological concerns Trading in the AI Era For market participants continuing to rely exclusively on traditional technical analysis methodologies—pattern trading, Elliott Wave theory, harmonic patterns, or price action systems—I offer this perspective: these approaches alone are increasingly insufficient for achieving consistent market outperformance in today's technology-driven environment.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by Moshkelgosha
2