Get started

ETF market

SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 10-7 Roadmap UpdateThis short video updates traders related to the SPY & GOLD Cycle Patterns and how I see price playing out over the next 48+ hours. I also highlight the resistance level setting up in BTCUSD. Should be interesting to see how this plays out over the next 4+ days. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
Trend Channel Chart Projects Higher Prices for USO & WTIUUSO & WTIU Here's an interesting and unusual long view projection of USO on a weekly Trend Channel Chart with Fib levels. I like this set up here & this construct of the weekly chart. I feel like it clearly shows the trends within the longer wave cycle and creates defined price levels for a trade - So looking at the chart I see a clear zone up to the previous highs. I can place a stop close by in the low 70's with a price target for the next leg up at 96-ish.. with a time frame of around 10-ish weeks.
AMEX:USOLong
by hangonstaycalm
SPY Will Collapse! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for SPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 572.97 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 570.79 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYShort
by AnabelSignals
2
Why I'm Bullish in the market on the midtermIntroduction I want to break down why I’m optimistic about the current market conditions and share my strategy as we approach the release of CPI data. I’ll walk you through the big picture—the macroeconomic landscape, the Fed’s approach, economic indicators, and the geopolitical situation MACRO ANALYSIS 1. Fed’s Approach Dovish Let’s start by looking at the macro environment. Right now, the Federal Reserve is signaling rate cuts. Market now is expecting a 0.50 cut at the end of the year. A good question is why the Fed is cutting rates. In my opinion, the most important reason is that inflation is almost at its target of 2% year over year. This is crucial because it tells us that the economy isn’t overheating anymore. The Fed no longer needs to keep rates high to control inflation. So what happens when rates come down? Companies can borrow money at lower costs, consumers can spend more freely, and overall, this adds fuel to the economy. We’re also seeing quantitative easing, meaning more liquidity is being pumped into the market. This will likely lead to a weaker US dollar, which isn’t necessarily a bad thing. A weaker dollar can boost exports and benefit risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies and equities. Adding to that, CHINA, Japan and potentially the EUR are taking dovish behavior in their monetary policy, CHINA stimulating the economy strongly. BOJ reducing the hawkish,Adding more fuel to the global markets. 2. Economic Strength We’re seeing strong economic indicators. JOLTS Job opening 8.14M vs 7.64M, ISM Services PMI were stronger than expected 54.9 VS 51.7 and continued above 50 indicating expansion. NFP data 254k vs 247 number better than expected, Unemployment rate 4.1% vs 4.2% better than expected. These are signs that businesses are still hiring, consumers are still spending, and overall, the economy is not strugglin. This is important because it means we’re not cutting rates due to a weak economy and helping it—. The FED is cutting rates because inflation is coming under control, not because businesses are struggling. This distinction is key for my optimism. Lower borrowing costs paired with a strong economy create a good environment for growth. This means that a dovish monetary policy, strong economy potentiate the growth, expansion, investment on the economy and business that this is reflected in the equities prices. 3. Geopolitical Conflict The third piece of the puzzle is the geopolitical conflict in the Middle East. Yes, this adds some uncertainty to the global outlook, but from a market perspective, geopolitical events tend to create short-term volatility. As long as the situation doesn’t escalate further, I don’t see it as a mid-term threat to the broader market. When the situation stabilizes, we could even see markets gain more confidence. For now, I’m not letting this weigh too heavily on my decision-making. Elections USA, just adding on this part that both sides are going to continue expanding the debt and increasing the expenditures, Trump is proposing more stimulus to the economy with a more aggressive reduction of the rates. Generally both sides offers similar paths but Trump more aggressive CONCLUSION In the midterm the macro indicates a good environment for the equities to continue higher. Some names I’m looking for are in the crypto space such as IBIT, ETF as TQQQ and stocks as NVDA, Meta. But I will cover in another letter
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by AJTRADER84
Bad day for TLTTLT has lost its uptrend, and lost the 200D EMA. There's a very long term support line at $94, perhaps we'll get a bounce here that keeps things level until we get the next rate cut. I'm out of TLT for now, will look to rebuy when I see something that looks like a bottom, or around Halloween in anticipation of a run up leading into the Nov FOMC. Anyone have ideas on why TLT is falling during a period of rate cuts? Are we so far ahead of the game that we know rate cuts will ignite inflation, which will push TLT down? .. or is the international community pulling away from US treasuries, reducing demand.. and the next wave of inflation gets driven by global TBill sales? Your thoughts are welcome below.
NASDAQ:TLT
by JebusLives
13
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 10-7 - SPY Cycle Patterns RoadmapThis week, I'm trying something I started over the last week or two - a "Roadmap" of what I expect to see price do going forward 7-10+ days. Now, this is something most people won't do because it presents a "live or die" outcome. Either I'm going to be right (or somewhat right) about price action and can live with my expectations - or, I'm going to be completely wrong about all of my expectations and it will prove to be a failed exercise in the use of my SPY Cycle Patterns. So, at this point - you know I'm hoping price does exactly what I expect it to do. I started doing this about 2 weeks ago. I just started calling it the "Roadmap" for traders (tieing into the Plan Your Trade concept). What I'm trying to do is to show you how I use my SPY Cycle Patterns (and other analysis techniques) to try to stay ahead of market trends. And you can learn to do this as well. It just takes time, practice, and knowledge. So, as we start the week out in early October - let's see how this plays out and if we get any surprises with price action. I spend quite a bit of time going over BTCUSD today - pay attention. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
S&P bulls maintain control but no initiative yetLast week was characterized by controlled selling, with prices drifting down slowly as the market awaited the unemployment data released on Friday. As we can see on the daily chart, sellers were unable to close the day below the previous day's low, even after a significant sell-off on Tuesday. Once the unemployment data was published, alleviating concerns about a potential recession, the bulls regained control, and the week closed on a positive note. The next key objective for buyers is to break through the resistance around 574.7 . Given that this level has been retested multiple times, it's unlikely to hold. However, we still need to closely monitor the price's reaction to this level and observe what happens immediately after the breakout. The long-term outlook remains bullish. In the short term, there is still a high possibility that prices will continue consolidating within the 565–575 range , as the market remains influenced by political uncertainty in the U.S.
AMEX:SPY
by hermes_trisme
TBT- Look Out for Exploding RatesThe Federal Reserve's aggressive 50 basis point rate cut despite headline inflation numbers coming in mixed resulted in an immediate reaction from the longer term bond yields. With no hope of moderating national debt numbers, no matter which party prevails next month, the consensus seems to be much higher long term rates. Accelerating oil prices and nervousness over the Middle East concerns may seal the deal. With the US Strategic Oil Reserves drained over recent years, a supply shock could boost oil prices dramatically. Higher rates may also push gold and silver prices down temporarily, such moves would be an opportunity to further accumulate as dollar destruction is inevitable. While the administration hypes lower inflation numbers, moves in base metal stocks in addition to rising longer term interest rates certainly tell a much different story.
AMEX:TBTLong
by AssetDesign
UST in short termAnother great opportunity to work with U.S. government debt in the short term. We have all noticed that after the 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve, the reaction of the fixed income markets was mixed. Geopolitical and domestic issues did not allow institutional investors to act freely, leading to a reverse effect. Currently, another 50 basis point cut is expected, and the treasury curve is in a flattening phase. Yields have risen again. This is exactly what we call a great opportunity to re-enter the markets with 6-12 month expectations. #UBT #TLT #UST
AMEX:UBTLong
by gorgevorgian
US Inflation, Earnings Season Kickoff, Markets on EdgeS&P has failed to make all-time highs Dow has failed to make all-time highs Nasdaq has failed to make any new highs Russell has failed to make any new highs Oil rips on Middle East escalations Dollar rips on technical support and bear trap play. Dollar is a big component to the stock markets edging higher for the remainder of the year (e.g. dollar strong = market weak, dollar weak = market strong) I'm keeping it very simple and staying patient for any "dip" opportunities on indexes, stocks, and watchlist items I still like Gold, Silver, Bitcoin long as well - again, patient on price action and entries Major News this week -US CPI (MoM, YoY, Core and Reg CPI) -Earnings Season Kickoff - DPZ, DAL, WFC, JPM, BLK and others Thanks for watching!!!
AMEX:SPY
by ChrisPulver
SPY: TA for Tomorrow. (10/7/2024)Chart Pattern Analysis Uptrend Formation: It appears that SPY has broken out of a descending trendline and is now in an uptrend. The price has bounced from the $565-$566 support zone and is currently trading near $572. This breakout from the trendline suggests a bullish reversal in the short term. Volume Analysis: There is no major spike in volume yet, so the momentum behind this breakout will need to be confirmed with higher volume during market hours. MACD Indicator (Bottom Oscillator): The MACD histogram is slightly positive but relatively flat, showing that while the momentum is neutral to bullish, it’s not strong yet. Watch for a further MACD crossover for confirmation of a stronger trend. Support and Resistance Levels Immediate Resistance: $574.41 - $575.00: This is a key resistance zone where SPY may face some selling pressure. If SPY breaks above this level, it could trigger a continuation to the upside. Immediate Support: $570.11: The current support level. If SPY pulls back from its current position, this level could act as a key area for a bounce. Critical Support Zone: $566.00 - $565.31: This is the lower range of support. If SPY falls below this zone, it could revisit lower levels, potentially continuing a bearish trend. Potential Price Action for Tomorrow Bullish Scenario: If SPY stays above $570.11 and continues higher, watch for a test of $574.41 - $575.00. A breakout above this resistance level could lead to a rally towards $578. Entry: Consider entering a long position above $572.36 after confirming sustained buying pressure. Look for higher volume to confirm the breakout. Take-Profit: First target at $574.41, and if the rally continues, second target at $578. Stop-loss: Set your stop-loss slightly below $570 to protect against a false breakout. Bearish Scenario: If SPY falls below $570.11, you might see a retracement back towards the $566 - $565.31 support zone. Entry: Consider a short position below $570 if SPY shows signs of weakening. Take-Profit: First target at $566, and if the bearish momentum continues, second target at $565. Stop-loss: Place your stop-loss above $572 in case of a reversal. Directional Outlook Bullish Bias: The breakout from the descending trendline and the sustained trading above $570 suggest a bullish bias for tomorrow. The key levels to watch are the immediate resistance around $574.41 and the current support at $570.11. Cautious Bearish: However, if SPY loses support at $570 and falls back into the descending trendline, this could indicate a bearish reversal. Summary Resistance: $574.41 - $575.00 Support: $570.11, $566.00 - $565.31 Bullish Entry: Above $572.36 with targets at $574.41 and $578. Bearish Entry: Below $570 with targets at $566 and $565. The direction is likely bullish in the short term, but watch for confirmation in volume and price action at the $570 support. Let me know if you'd like further insights!
AMEX:SPY
by BullBear-Insights
QQQ Dancing on a High Wire $422.93: Golden Genesis fib and top?=QQQ is dancing on a high wire, a Golden Genesis fib at $422.93 Failure here could indicate top is in, so this is a key level here. Just below is a fib confluence at $418, last stop before SERIOUS dip. It is PROBABLE that we orbit this fib for a while. It is POSSIBLE to bounce here and keep going up. It is PLAUSIBLE a bull trap / distribution is done. Here is a snapshot of the Genesis Sequence for the Q's: =================================================================================================
NASDAQ:QQQ
by EuroMotif
4
SMH shows long term signs of troubleSMH fails to make new highs since July peak going into sideways trend. This paints a picture of a long term reversal to bear side coming Comparing OBV trend with the March and July peak, we see that OBV diverges downwards while price continues indicating reversal After severe sell off in August, we see that price trends sideways failing to make new highs The sideways trend is during a typical rough time of the year, so weakness and volatility is expected Nov and Dec normally bring in strong rallies We could be simply looking at a pullback in time as ETF takes a breather from July peak, before rallying continues. The other alternative is that this may be distribution phase of a high risk sector preparing for a huge sell off.
NASDAQ:SMH
by ratchet-mint
1
SPY is looking Very Sexy ! There is 1 more step to go ! N3 Confirmed!! The price is doing exactly what we had predicted (see previous analysis). Indeed, the price bounced in the zone we had predicted last week, creating an "N3" pattern. Now, we are waiting for the final phase of the N3 pattern, which is to reach new highs or new extreme. What do we need to see? This phase is of great importance because, if completed, we would be at new historical highs again. The Key is the Last Candle: If you can observe the last candle on the chart, you'll see it has a very long lower wick. I call this a buying pressure candle; however, we need confirmation with the next candle, which should have a large bullish body in order to reach the new extremes we've been seeking. So, we can conclude that by putting all the points together when analyzing this chart, we have a bullish outlook for the rest of next week. However, it’s important to remember that we need solid confirmation with a bullish candle to confirm we will have a green week! Best regards and success in your trades. Thanks for supporting my analysis.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RocketMike111