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1/20 Weekly Watchlist + NotesWeekly Watchlist and Market Analysis Using #TheStrat Indexes - SPY went failed 2D week following the previous week going 3 and we nearly went 3 on this last week, but came up short with little room to go to previous week highs. This week we look to go 3-2-2U to confirm the month being failed 2D that has now retraced more than 50% of the previous months range, meaning we are now closer to taking out previous month highs than we are to reclaiming previous month lows. With full timeframe continuity green, we know that buyers are full in control at the moment, and this upcoming week looks to confirm that further as we look to target previous weekly highs on our way up to ATH levels. No daily actionable signal and a couple daily gaps to the downside, so we will see what happens Tuesday pre market whether we gap down to give last weeks buyers some corrective activity, whether we gap up, clear weekly magnitude (at the high of the weekly 3 from the week prior to this last week) before seeing if we expand further to confirm the month attempting to go 3 or begin reversing back through last weeks range. Finally, we may just open flat and see where intraday signals and continuity take us. (Slightly pressed for time at the time of writing so I apologize for the lack of detail like my normal posts) Watchlist: Bullish: NVDA - 2-1-2U Daily, 2-2 Weekly. Daily BF looks interesting PLTR - 3-2-2U Weekly. High rVOL WMT - Hammer 2-2 Week, MoMo Hammer Daily. Inside green Month which isn't great this late in the month, but not bad enough to ruin this setup for me DLTR - Hammer 3-2-2U weekly after month went 3. Looking to go back through the months range now. Note: DG full FTFC red so no sector support IONQ - 3-1 Week at M Exhaustion. MASSIVE range on this one. Nearly 30% underlying move from weekly trigger to magnitude HIMS - Hammer failed 2D, Weekly 3-1, Failed 2D month attempting to go 3 Bearish: DOCU - Weekly 3-2-2 Shooter. Daily Big red 3 following double inside day so potential 3-2D daily to trigger shooter week down. Filling in massive gap from the last earnings report Neutral: DAL + UAL: Both have inside weeks. DAL at exhaustion risk. UAL bright green. Relative strength in the airline industry
AMEX:SPYLong
by Alanger17
Vol expansion signaling the top is near, but $HYG disagreesThrough my previous "big picture" posts about VIX/VVIX and VIX as well as high yield corporate bonds ( AMEX:HYG or AMEX:JNK respectively) I have been maintaining we're in that end stage of a bull market, but for now to "keep buying the dip." Things are getting a little shakier lately, but I still feel like new highs can be made based solely on how AMEX:HYG is still behaving. We have higher lows and lower highs starting on VIX, which is usually a good indicator we're near the cycle top. AMEX:HYG is not far off setting a new high from this cycle, though. Highest it's been since the big sell off started in 2022. AMEX:HYG never recovered its 2021 levels. So, solely based on past performance of how AMEX:HYG often sets lower highs preceding a longer term bear market in equities, I'm going to stick my neck out and say despite the economic data supporting slowing and VIX starting to set alarm bells in its pattern, we're not quite yet to the top. Equities kind of have the appearance of having done a double top and might continue down according to how some interpret candlestick patterns, but the unusual strength of AMEX:HYG gives me pause and say "maybe buy the dip isn't dead just yet." Make no mistake, though, we are certainly much closer to a market cycle top than we are the bottom. And tech has been getting battered pretty solidly. I just think the price action of the main indices themselves may yet set new highs before we do finally enter a longer term bear market. It absolutely is time to be on your toes. Things are shifting underneath us. But my bold prediction is that buy the dip for AMEX:SPY SP:SPX isn't dead just yet. Bulls may have another rally or two left in them to hit another all time high before bears totally take over. I do think some larger players have already begun shifting out of equities and into treasuries, once that settles down a little, we'll see stocks make maybe one or two more big pushes, take a look at what AMEX:HYG is doing during that time and go from there. With that said, I have no prediction for how far and deep the current dip will go. September has a history of being one of the uglier months of the year. I had thought that yesterday might be the low of the current dip with AMEX:HYG showing two decent days of bullish divergence, but then we got smacked lower still today after a rebound from yesterday's lows. The market has a way of humbling you for sure! But if you're just long term long $SPY/ SP:SPX , I say stay there for now. I think we might have some more highs to set yet--but not many more before a big drawdown does happen.
AMEX:SPYLong
by dieseldub
SPY Will Collapse! SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on SPY and concluded the following: The market is trading on 597.55 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 588.41 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYShort
by AnabelSignals
2
XLP vs SPY: Staples vs SPYConsumer staples vs SPY is at historical lows on the monthly chart. Last time it touched multi year low, then we saw a multi-year Bull market from 2000-2007. XLP had a fantastic bull run against the indexes like SPY and QQQs during the Great Financial Crisis (GFC) and reached ATH during 2009. Since then, the XLP has been bleeding against the S&P 500. It tried to reclaim the high in 2026 but suffered failed top. Since 2016 the ratio has been in a bear market and makes lower lows and lower highs. Recently it broke the multi-year low and is making lower lows. Weakness in Staples indicates a risk on trade in favor of the momentum indices like SPY and QQQ.
AMEX:XLPShort
by RabishankarBiswal
QQQ ChannelQQQ reacting nicely to the Channel. I'm short term bearish on this. I think it needs a 2%-3% pullback before it breaks out for good. Since the 1.618 fib is right there, and the wick for Friday's (1/17/2025) candle was rather bullish, I could see a fake breakout to the fib and then break back down into the channel. I also have a long position set up just incase this breaks out and keeps running. KEY: -White Horizonal Lines: Previous High/Low, regardless of timeframe. -Green Horizontal Lines: 1.618 fib level. -Blue trendline: Trendline.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by PennantTrading
Market Update - 1/18/2025• bulls are back • my breadth indicator finally showed a buy signal on Friday, indexes have retaken key moving averages after a month of consolidation • seems like a healthy correction and we have all the reasons to have another leg higher • would note that I'm still minimally invested and have only 2 positions, keeping size small, until I see more traction • in general, there are still not that many great setups I like to buy, so that's another sign for being cautious
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BenedekBokor
QQQ Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the QQQ next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 521.74 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 513.22 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by AnabelSignals
3
QQQ/SPY - Which way will it break?For the last 4 years (2020-2024), we have been in a narrow band where--generally speaking--SPY and QQQ have performed comparably. 2022 is the notable exception, where inflation increased rapidly and QQQ underperformed SPY. For the prior 12 years before that (2008-2020), QQQ outperformed SPY handedly. Inflation was low. Interest rates were held at ~0%. When you overlap the last 16 year channel with the last 4 years horizontal band it becomes clear that one (or both!) of these trends will break down. Option 1: Inflation is under control, and the last 16 year channel is sustained. 4-year trend breaks. Option 2: Inflation remains in limbo, and we stay in the new 2-year horizontal channel; 16-year trend breaks. Option 3: Inflation is rampant, and QQQ underperforms SPY. Both trends broken. What's it going to be?
NASDAQ:QQQ
by HandsomeSloth
SPY What Next? BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for SPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 580.51 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 591.67 My Stop Loss - 576.09 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYLong
by AnabelSignals
3
Spy Road To $615Well My Fellow Traders How Are you Doing And I hope You All Went Long With Me!!! Lets Continue To Go Long For Our Target of $615 and if you guys ever want to trade like me you can use some of my personal Indicators On TradingView To help you Maximize your swing trade postions,, which the indicators are out now on TradingView message me if your intrested! Also I will Update Once We near or hit $615 To Conclude if the bull market is over and we are going for a blow up top or we just continue higher this year.. As Always Good Luck Traders
AMEX:SPYLong
by JoeWtrades
11
Opening (IRA): IBIT February 28th 49.5 Covered Call... for a 47.52 debit. Comments: High IV/IVR. Back into IBIT on a little bit of weakness here, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. The March monthly is still a bit long in duration for my tastes, so going with a weekly. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 47.52/share Max Profit: 1.98 ROC at Max: 4.17% 50% Max: .99 ROC at 50% Max: 2.09% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll out short call on take profit test, add at intervals, assuming I can get in at break evens better than what I currently have on.
NASDAQ:IBITLong
by NaughtyPines