$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for March 6th 2025
That 30min 35EMA though LOL. Just keeps smacking it down!!
=
+/- 1.72% today
ETF market
$QQQ Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for March 6th 2025
WEEKLY 35EMA. Put that level on the weekly chart and you’ll know exactly where the battle ground is today. You can see it running through the last few trading sessions.
I have 487 as support - and if this breaks the next support is at 448.
Buy ChinaBuy at 32. Usually Beijing will say something negative in 2-3 days after doing QE, use that time to buy, and over the next month or two, as they will not do QE again and again so fast.
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for March 6th 2025
Alright. Well. Right now where futures are at we are underneath this trading range - but this is our range.
If we do gap down at open then the 200Day moving average and the 35EMA on the Weekly and of course the 30min 35EMA the focus. Support is at 575 and that’s where we are in premarket.
Looking a bit droopy from here but let’s see how we open. GL today, y’all.
$SPY March 6, 2025AMEX:SPY March 6, 2025
15 Minutes.
As expected, we had SPY around 575. Taking support and trying to form a base.
Important because 570 is 200 averages in daily.
Once 570 is broken we are in trouble.
Now for the rise 572.74 to 586.58 to 573.08 we can expect 588- 594 as target provided 573 is held.
We rea having oscillator divergence in 15 and 30 minutes but not in 60 minutes.
So, i expect some volatility today/tomorrow for these 575 levels.
Not the time to longs. At the moment.
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for March 5th 2025
What is running through the trading range today?
Just the 30min 35MEA - and if you follow it back a little bit it has been the resistance for a minute. Just getting over that would be a good sign, lol.
Expected move 202 to 211 (+/- 2.02%)
$QQQ Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for March 5th 2025 NASDAQ:QQQ Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for March 5th 2025
What is running through the trading range today?
The Weekly 35EMA and the 30min 35EMA. Critical level here.
Expected move 486 to 505 (+/- 1.70%)
Where is support under our trading range? 448 :O
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for March 5th 2025
What is running through the trading range today?
The 200DMA on the downside, the 1W 35EMA in the middle and the 35EMA on the 30min near the top. Should be a fun day here.
Expected move 568 to 586 (+/- 1.38%)
XAG/USD Silver Price Analysis: Bullish Continuation or Rejection📉 Current Price: 32.3715
📊 Key Levels:
Support Zone (~32.00 - 32.20): Price recently bounced from this level.
Resistance Zone (~33.20 - 33.50): A potential target for an upward move.
📈 Potential Scenario:
The chart suggests a bullish breakout after retesting the lower support zone.
If the price successfully retests and holds above 32.00, it could continue towards 33.50.
A break below 32.00 could invalidate this bullish move and lead to further downside.
🎯 Trading Outlook:
Bullish Bias above 32.00, aiming for 33.50.
Bearish Risk below 32.00, which could lead to further declines.
reached support - bouncing on volumeThe weekly reached oversold status and that is usually a very good probability of a bounce, not clear at this point if the bounce will be substantial. My guess is towards the bottom of the upsloping trendline. 2025 will most likely be see-saw action. I doubt we'll see new highs in the next month or two.
$H|ts n Giggles SPY PostPredictive but Lets see if it plays out.
FYI I charted the long zone, support and resistance last week. Found the BAT yesterday seeing if a bear flag was forming and was it legit.
$QQQ $508 Rug Pull ? All in on REDSo… attaching the bar pattern from Spring 2022, I see the next decline by the middle of next week. I’ll be placing my bets at today’s close if possible . 🫡 Target is $480 by next Friday. Short $508 into next week.
QQQ, Don't miss your moment , Believe in your systems, Be readyHey just a note, we finally saw the market show some life , no H1 but nearly . And maybe tomorrow we will continue up . For last several days breakouts were almost all failing and that just changed today , back to showing life , just when our human side is getting tired and many of us are losing interest .
Do not miss this , now may be it , the market is a master at getting more active traders to miss their moment with stuff like this , we do all the hard work when the getting tough but lose sight seemingly at the last moment , could be PnL and down draw related and also having your strategy fail repeatedly sucks life force . Whatever it is , this game is mental . And the more stocks you trade and transactions you make , the harder it is to sustain consistent mental game when the getting's tough .
One of the things that made me profitable in 2022 was doing only one strategy at first that only trades one name and I can do that with my eyes closed now , its pretty hands off and mechanical . But, the breakout buys on 5m for potential big winners is much harder and transaction heavy and full of losses you usually are running in a down draw between the big wins that make it work and it's too easy to miss them then you lose your edge . Do not miss your moments they are probably near .....
My key focus names for tomorrow , are down to :
ATAT, BROS, ORLA, AHR, SOBO , QFIN .
These there's many more but I am giving these preference for now , they are at the best breakout areas . Lots of other stuff looks great but is much higher . So that's the logic there , trying to catch fresh themes.
Besides the 5M Breakout buys,
I also run a monthly strategy that trades up to 3 names at end of every month . It currently holds VRNA, URBN, ATAT , and AHR. I highly suggest doing something like this with more money than your intraday entries ( vs account size ) .Slower timeframes are much easier to make money and keep your hairline :) The goal with that one is to only manage it every months end.
Other than that I cant touch it .....
Its a good way to buy GLB or key breakouts that you can maybe hold many months..... easy to get 50% moves or more on stuff that works and you don't have the hassle of buying quicker breakouts or pullbacks ect ect ...The downside is that you are trading smaller because your stop is far... I use monthly but weekly is another consideration .
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 6, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇪🇺💶 ECB Interest Rate Decision 💶: The European Central Bank is expected to announce a 25 basis point reduction in its deposit rate, bringing it to 2.5%. This move aims to stimulate economic growth amid ongoing uncertainties, including trade tensions and fiscal policy shifts.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Thursday, March 6:
📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉:This weekly report indicates the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, providing insight into the labor market's health.
Forecast: 220K
Previous: 215K
📦 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET) 📦:This report details the dollar level of new orders for both durable and non-durable goods, offering insight into manufacturing demand.
Forecast: -0.5%
Previous: +1.2%
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
QQQ: Capacity of the PullbackThis chart presents a Fibonacci channel projection based on key swing points, including a Higher High, Higher Low, an All-Time High (ATH), and a current Lower Low.
The levels of Fibonacci channel that market should abide by for the nearest future, are defined by: HL & LL - sets direction (fib 0 line); applied to ATH (fib 1 line). The derived fib ratios help to anticipate future price movements acting as key resistance where the pullback (reaction to prior impulsive bearish wave) might reach in respect to its structural capacity. B&W dashed line indicates a potential inflection point where the price could either reverse or extend further into supply zones.
Good on here Assuming we stay above $578.5 im proud to claim that this is a good point to start buying the dip. We saw signs Feb was better than Jan and in the best of times we may say, by July we won't even be talking about inflation - remember 2021? Inflation didn't become a thing again until Jan 2022 when rates begun getting raised. We don't know how things will play out into summer but the stock market is all relative and tomorrow looks better than today, today.
XLF - housing slow down in FL and AZ - bear spread and long putXLF bear spread and long put is my trade, thesis is we may be creating a double top.
Banks have run up quit abit and are far away from their book value.
Housing seems to be slowing in Florida and Arizona.
Tarriffs may muddle with international payments, at least creating desire for certainty.
Vix volatility is threatening to go higher. I dont trade vix directly.
be safe out there!
$IWM - It could bounceAMEX:IWM Currently sitting on a VWAP and POC support. It could find a footing here and bounce! 👀
Recession IncomingVery clear confirmation signals here across many sectors in the market that we are in a recession. Fundamentals were breaking down last summer in fact, but now everything is rising to the surface and markets are turning. Buckle up.
Oil is breaking down today.
Bond yields continue to signal de-risking.
USD continues to break down.
USD/JPY is heading lower back toward July panic levels.
VIX is sustaining above 20.
I'm not 100% clear on the structure of this count, so please feel free to share your charts and insight here, but I don't think we are looking at a buy the dip and shoot back to new highs situation anytime soon here.. Unless Trump's entire policy stance changes, he drops Tariffs, and starts increasing the deficit and handing out money, the tightening and de-risking will continue. That said, I believe this is a great thing long-term and is what needs to happen, so I am all for a recession at this point. But this medicine is going to tasty very bad.
All of those white boxes below the price chart are unfilled gaps. I'm not entirely sure if there is an amount of time that passes that makes unfilled gaps less reliable, but still they are there.
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for March 5th 2025
What is running through the trading range today?
We are sitting right on the 35EMA (weekly) and if that breaks the next support is at 418.
The 430 was the original bottom of the trading range for the week we’re not too far from that.
XLU Could Be Headed LowerPressing on support with two major bars opening on their high and closing on there low. XLU is showing weakness after a double top bull leg in a larger bear trend. You might have to reread that a couple of time. There is also towards of pent up energy and momentum to the downside and an Anti formed on the MACD. Not a classic anti but, I think it is a great spot to form and helps the bear case here.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-5-25: Flat-Down PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will move into a sideways type of stalling pattern. Based on yesterday's rejection off the lows, I suspect we may see some continued upward reversion trending, then we'll likely see the SPY move into a stalling pattern near 579.
Ultimately, the Flat-Down pattern does not suggest big trending will take place today.
Yesterday's price rejection off the lows adds a bit to the overall picture that the SPY may attempt to move away from that lower support level - thus, we may see some upward "melt-up" type of trend today.
But, overall, I'm not confident we'll see any big price trends today. I expect the SPY to stay somewhat flat/muted today. Same thing with the QQQ.
If we do see any big price move today, it will likely be news-related.
Gold and Silver are both sitting near 618 pause levels and continuing to try to push higher. I believe both gold and silver will make an expansion move over the next 5 to 7+ trading days and begin a very solid rally phase. Where gold will attempt to break above $3000 and Silver will attempt to rally above $35.
Bitcoin is still struggling in the Consolidation phase. This wide-range consolidation should continue until sometime near March 19-24.
Don't expect Bitcoin to do much except consolidate into the flagging sideways price trend for the next week or two.
Go get some today.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
