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$540 incoming put trade expiring 4/4 or 4/11 AMEX:SPY I start these Anchored VWAPs where the volume was the lowest before a major upside or downside. When I entered this trade $540 expiring 4/4 was at $.5 on 3/27 on Thursday around 9.55am currently $2.06 closing week, however I want to highlight that the $540-$530 would be the major leg down and we might see the $570-$580 levels for first week of June imo. Note: I am heavily comparing price actions for nowadays with 2022 first half drawdown.
AMEX:SPYLong
by SuLLL0
Trading UVIX for Effective Hedge📊 Trade Idea: UVIX Multi-Layered Entry Strategy (Scalping Volatility Spikes) The current market environment presents a unique opportunity to trade the Volatility Shares 2x Long VIX Futures ETF (UVIX), which has surged nearly 50% on Thursday and 124% over the last week. With ongoing fears surrounding President Trump's reciprocal tariffs, volatility is expected to remain elevated. 🔍 What Is UVIX? UVIX is a leveraged ETF designed to provide twice (2x) the daily return of the Long VIX Futures Index. Unlike the VIX itself, which measures expected market volatility, UVIX holds futures contracts on the VIX, aiming to profit from both upward spikes in volatility and the structure of the futures market. Pros of UVIX: High Return Potential: Can deliver significant gains when market volatility spikes. Effective Hedge: A powerful tool to offset losses during broad market declines. Liquidity: Offers easy access to volatility exposure without directly trading VIX futures. Cons of UVIX: High Volatility: Amplified moves can result in large gains or substantial losses. Decay & Compounding Issues: Daily rebalancing and futures roll costs can erode value over time. Not Suitable for Long-Term Holding: Designed for short-term plays, not buy-and-hold investing. Here’s my detailed risk-managed trading plan to profit from continued volatility. 🚀 Entry Strategy: Layered Buy Entries with Trailing Stops 🎯 Initial Entry: Entry Price: 80.00 (Just above the breached Supply Zone 0: 56.80 - 66.38) Stop Loss: Below the lower trend line from the recent parabolic move (For example, around 70.00). 📈 Position Scaling: Adding to Winning Positions Use Buy Stop Orders: As the price breaks above significant supply zones, place Buy Stop Orders to add positions. Scale in positions at: Level 1: Above 89.20 (Top of Supply Zone 1) Level 2: Above 113.25 (Top of Supply Zone 2) Level 3: Above 147.24 (Bottom of Supply Zone 3) Level 4: Above 182.36 (Bottom of Supply Zone 4) Manual Entries: Alternatively, you can manually add positions on strong breakouts during or outside Regular Trading Hours (RTH) to catch volatility spikes. !!!Use Limit Orders Outside RTH!! Place limit orders during off-hours to capture sharp volatility moves when liquidity is lower. Market volatility often increases during pre-market or post-market sessions. Capitalize on these moves with well-placed limit orders. 🛡️ Risk Management: Trailing Stops & Break-Even Protection Initial Stop Loss: Set below the lower trend line (e.g., 70.00). This provides a wide margin for market fluctuations while still protecting your position. Trailing Stop Loss: As the price progresses upward, move your stop loss to higher levels to secure profits. Use a dynamic trailing stop that follows major support levels or recent lows. Break-Even : Once UVIX has moved 10-20% above your entry point (80.00), move your stop loss to break even (80.00) for a risk free trade. 📌 Profit Targets Target 1: 130.79 (Historical 350% level from July 2024 move) Target 2: 165.46 (Top of Supply Zone 3) Target 3: 210.30 (August 2024 High) Adding positions as the price moves in your favor allows for maximum profit potential while limiting risk on initial entries. Moving the stop loss to break-even creates a risk-free trade, allowing you to ride the momentum without worry. Continually adjusting stops protects profits as they accumulate, ensuring that gains are secured even if the market turns sharply. 📣 Final Thoughts The Volatility Shares 2x Long VIX Futures ETF (UVIX) is a powerful instrument for profiting from short-term volatility spikes. Given the current geopolitical and economic uncertainty, this setup offers a strong risk-reward opportunity. 💡Advice: Avoid Greed & Gambling in Volatility Trading Trading the Volatility Shares 2x Long VIX Futures ETF (UVIX) offers tremendous profit potential during periods of heightened market volatility. However, the same leverage that can generate huge gains can just as easily cause significant losses. Avoiding greed and gambling behavior is crucial for your long-term success.
CBOE:UVIXLong
by MESHANL
US Small Companies Index ‘Russell 2000’ in Critical Trend!US Small Companies Index ‘Russell 2000’ in Critical Trend! Let's take a look from a Fundamental and Technical perspective; In 2020, the middle band (main trend line) of the logarithmic rising channel was broken and the upward movement had continued since then. Today, however, the same critical support level is being tested again. If it cannot hold at this level, a long-term trend break may occur. This would significantly increase the risk perception in Russell 2000 companies. What is Russell 2000? It does not include large technology giants such as Nasdaq or S&P 500, but small and medium-sized companies that hold the real pulse of the US economy. These companies are more fragile and more vulnerable to economic fluctuations. The spread of anti-Trump protests shows that small businesses are starting to be affected both physically and economically. The prospect of no interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (FED) is crushing these companies under high borrowing costs. The contraction in consumer spending can directly hit the profits of these companies because they are dependent on the domestic market. Possible Scenarios for This Week: 🔴 If the protests deepen and the market panics: If a break below $180 comes, the $170 support level is tested. With panic sales, the $150 - $160 region, which is the lower band of the channel, may come to the agenda. 🟢If the environment calms down and economic data signals a recovery: Strong purchases come from the middle trend line. $200 - $210 band can be targeted. In short, support is now being tested, if it breaks, the risk of serious decline is on the table.
AMEX:IWM
by ugurtash
Opening (IRA): XBI May 16th -91C/October 17th 60C LCD*... for a 26.56 debit. Comments: Back in to XBI on weakness, buying the back month 90 delta and selling the front month that pays for all of the extrinsic in the long. (The back month 60C is shown at the 80 so that it fits on the chart). Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 26.56 Break Even: 86.56 Max Profit: 4.44 ROC at Max: 16.72% 50% Max: 2.22 ROC at 50% Max: 8.36% Will generally look to take profit on the setup as a unit at 50% max, roll out the short call at 50% max to reduce my downside break even. * -- Long call diagonal.
AMEX:XBILong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): USO May 16th -75C/October 17th 45C LCD*... for a 26.25 debit. Comments: Buying the back month 90 delta and selling the front month strike that pays for all of the extrinsic in the long. (The long call is shown at a higher strike so that it fits on the chart). Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 26.25 Break Even: 71.25 Max Profit: 3.75 ROC at Max: 14.3% 50% Max: 1.88 ROC at 50%: 7.2% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max and/or roll out short call at 50% max to reduce down side break even. * -- Long call diagonal.
AMEX:USOLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): UNG March 21st 18/June 20th 35 LPD*... for a 15.04 debit. Comments: Fading this natural gas move here with a long put diagonal, buying the back month -90 delta put and selling the front month 25. The 35 long put is shown at the 21 strike due to the 35 being off the chart. Metrics: Max Profit: 1.96 Buying Power Effect: 15.04 ROC at Max: 13.03% Break Even: 19.96 relative to 19.68 spot Will generally look to take profit at 110% of what I put it on for, roll out the short put on approaching worthless. * -- Long put diagonal.
AMEX:UNGShort
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): TQQQ April 17th 60 Covered Call... for a 57.91 debit. Comments: Adding at strikes better than what I currently have on ... . Here, going lower net delta by selling the -84 call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 2 x expected move 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 57.91/share Max Profit: 2.09 ROC at Max: 3.61% 50% Max: 1.05 ROC at 50% Max: 1.82% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
NASDAQ:TQQQLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): TNA March 28th 35 Covered Call... for a 34.04 debit. Comments: Adding at strikes better than what I currently have on, selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Going lower net delta here as a personal choice, since I've already made goal for February, so don't see the need to take on my normal amount of risk. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 34.04/share Max Profit: .96 ROC at Max: 2.82% 50% Max: .48 ROC at 50% Max: 1.41% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add to the position at intervals if I can get in at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out my short call on approaching worthless if my take profit hasn't hit.
AMEX:TNALong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): TNA April 17th 31 Covered Call... for a 29.98 debit. Comments: Starting a run at April (56 DTE) at strikes better than what I currently have on. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 29.98/share Max Profit: 1.02 ROC at Max: 3.40% 50% Max: .51 ROC at 50% Max: 1.70% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals assuming I can get in at strike prices better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
AMEX:TNALong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): TNA April 17th 29 Covered Call... for a 28.28 debit. Comments: Adding at strikes better than what I currently have on. Selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 28.28/share Max Profit: .72 ROC at Max: 2.55% 50% Max: .36 ROC at 50% Max: 1.28% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals assuming I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on, roll out short call in the event my take profit is not hit.
AMEX:TNALong
by NaughtyPines
SPY going down down downI just make simple technical charts, and have no idea about matters at play from leaders in plain sight as well as those behind the curtains. Things can only crash when they have been inflated. So far SPY is still in long term uptrend. Only when it drops below the thick blue lower line and stay below, it will be a down trend to me. RSI on the daily hangs around 23. Switch to the monthly chart and the RSI is only at 50 yet. Plenty of room to go down! Remember, the all time highs of 2021 and 2023 were around 450. Fridays close was at 505!
AMEX:SPYShort
by REDDLINER
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