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Hey SPYLOVERS here are 3 Scenarios for this week check it out...Another week analyzing SPY's behavior correctly as we planned. I’d like to invite you to review my previous analyses of the price movements throughout the week, so you can see that I base my strategy solely on price action and institutional supply and demand concepts—simple methods that the price has respected. In this case, we won’t be seeing historical highs anytime soon. I believe we’re in a pullback where we need to monitor closely to see if the price might return to the order block I have around $563.60. This area is significant because it’s where the highest concentration of orders in the market is currently positioned. If we look at the last candle SPY closed with, although it ended higher than the previous one, it’s still showing selling pressure, so we’ll likely continue on the path of selling for a few more days. The key is to analyze the next move the price makes when it touches the order block: Here are 3 possible Scenarios. Scenario 1. If the price reaches this zone ($563.60), it might dip a little further as a fake-out before bouncing back strongly. Here, we need to pay close attention to the candlestick pattern that appears in this area. Scenario 2. If it respects the order block but doesn’t bounce with enough strength, we might be witnessing a Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which could later bring the price to the inflection zone (the blue middle area). Scenario 3. If the price breaks my order block with strength and volume, then we’re validating a CHoCH (Change of Character), where we could see the price move to the inflection zone (the blue middle area). No matter what happens, remember to always watch the candlestick pattern and the volume. That’s the main fuel behind the price's strength, and analyzing it this way will make your analysis more accurate. Thank you for supporting my analysis. TRADE SAFE! Best regards.
AMEX:SPYShort
by RocketMike111
3
SPY What Next? BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the SPY next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 571.04 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 577.68 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYLong
by AnabelSignals
2
Understanding Bitcoin ETFs: What They Are and Why They Matter?1. What is a Bitcoin ETF? A Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) is a financial instrument that tracks the value of Bitcoin and allows investors to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency without directly owning it. Bitcoin ETFs operate similarly to traditional ETFs, which track the value of assets like stocks, commodities, or indices. Managed by financial institutions, Bitcoin ETFs are available on traditional stock exchanges, making it easier for investors to participate in Bitcoin’s price movements through regular brokerage accounts. There are two main types of Bitcoin ETFs: Spot Bitcoin ETFs: Track the current market price of Bitcoin, directly reflecting its value. Futures-based Bitcoin ETFs: Track the value of Bitcoin futures contracts, which are agreements to buy or sell Bitcoin at a predetermined price at a specified time in the future. In the U.S., Bitcoin futures ETFs have been approved and launched on major exchanges like the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), while spot Bitcoin ETFs are still under regulatory review by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). 2. How Does a Bitcoin ETF Differ from Buying Bitcoin Directly? While both Bitcoin ETFs and direct Bitcoin purchases provide exposure to Bitcoin’s value, they differ in several key ways: Ownership and Custody Bitcoin ETFs: Investors own shares in the ETF, but not the actual Bitcoin itself. The ETF provider holds the underlying Bitcoin or Bitcoin futures contracts, taking on the responsibility of secure custody. Direct Bitcoin Purchase: Investors who buy Bitcoin directly through cryptocurrency exchanges or wallets own the Bitcoin and have full control over it, including the responsibility for secure storage. Access and Regulatory Oversight Bitcoin ETFs: Are traded on traditional stock exchanges and are regulated by financial authorities. This oversight ensures investor protections that are not typically present in cryptocurrency markets. Direct Bitcoin Purchase: Involves buying from cryptocurrency exchanges, many of which are less regulated and may lack certain protections offered by traditional financial products. Trading Hours Bitcoin ETFs: Trade during standard market hours, typically from 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM EST. Investors can buy or sell shares only within these hours. Direct Bitcoin Purchase: Bitcoin can be traded 24/7, giving investors the flexibility to enter or exit positions at any time. Taxation and Fees Bitcoin ETFs: Investors are subject to capital gains taxes and may also incur management fees for ETF administration. Direct Bitcoin Purchase: Direct Bitcoin investors are also subject to capital gains taxes. However, they may face lower or no management fees, depending on how they store their Bitcoin. Use of Leverage and Derivatives Bitcoin Futures ETFs: These funds allow investors to speculate on Bitcoin’s future price movements without holding actual Bitcoin. However, futures-based ETFs can be more complex, as they rely on futures contracts rather than spot prices, which can introduce tracking errors. Direct Bitcoin Purchase: Investors buy Bitcoin directly, holding actual units of the asset without derivatives or leverage, providing a more straightforward exposure to its current market price. 3. Why is a Bitcoin ETF Important for the Cryptocurrency Market? The approval of a Bitcoin ETF is a significant milestone for the cryptocurrency market for several reasons: 1. Broader Accessibility Traditional Investors: A Bitcoin ETF opens the door to traditional investors, especially those who may not be comfortable using cryptocurrency exchanges. Investors can access Bitcoin exposure through familiar brokerage accounts without needing to learn about wallets or private keys. Institutional Interest: A Bitcoin ETF creates an easier path for institutional investors to participate in the Bitcoin market, bringing in large amounts of capital. As institutions enter the market, Bitcoin's market liquidity and price stability may improve. 2. Increased Legitimacy The introduction of a Bitcoin ETF legitimizes Bitcoin as an asset class in the eyes of regulators, investors, and financial institutions. It signals recognition from regulatory bodies and increases trust in Bitcoin among mainstream investors. 3. Boost to Market Liquidity Bitcoin ETFs can increase liquidity in the market, as they provide a regulated and accessible means for both retail and institutional investors to gain Bitcoin exposure. Greater liquidity can reduce volatility, making the market more stable over time. 4. Potential for Price Appreciation With increased demand and accessibility, a Bitcoin ETF could lead to upward price pressure on Bitcoin. This is especially relevant for spot ETFs, which would require the fund to hold actual Bitcoin, thus increasing demand for the underlying asset. 5. Step Toward Broader Cryptocurrency ETF Adoption Approval of a Bitcoin ETF could pave the way for ETFs focused on other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum or Solana, expanding the options for crypto exposure within traditional markets. This could accelerate the overall growth of the cryptocurrency sector. 4. Pros and Cons of Bitcoin ETFs While Bitcoin ETFs offer numerous benefits, they also come with certain drawbacks. Advantages of Bitcoin ETFs Ease of Access: ETFs are easily accessible through traditional brokerage accounts, removing the need for new accounts on cryptocurrency exchanges. Regulatory Protections: ETFs are regulated by financial authorities, providing investors with protections that may be absent on cryptocurrency exchanges. Enhanced Liquidity: Increased market liquidity through ETF participation can reduce volatility and provide a more stable trading environment for Bitcoin. Professional Custody: ETF providers manage Bitcoin custody and security, making it easier for investors who do not want to worry about wallet security or private key management. Diversification Opportunities: Bitcoin ETFs can be included in retirement accounts or blended into traditional investment portfolios, broadening their appeal as a tool for diversification. Disadvantages of Bitcoin ETFs Limited Trading Hours: ETFs can only be traded during standard market hours, unlike Bitcoin, which is available 24/7 on cryptocurrency exchanges. Management Fees: Most Bitcoin ETFs come with annual management fees, which can reduce overall returns for investors. Potential for Tracking Errors: In futures-based ETFs, tracking errors may occur, meaning the ETF's performance may not accurately match Bitcoin’s actual price movements. No Direct Ownership of Bitcoin: ETF investors do not own Bitcoin itself, which means they miss out on the ability to use or transfer the asset directly. Market Dependency on Regulators: The introduction and ongoing success of Bitcoin ETFs depend on regulators’ willingness to approve and support crypto-based financial products, which may limit the ETF market’s expansion. 5. Outlook and Future of Bitcoin ETFs The potential approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF in the U.S. could be a game-changer. With increased institutional and retail access, the Bitcoin ETF market could drive greater adoption and legitimacy for cryptocurrencies overall. However, regulatory challenges remain, as the SEC has thus far resisted approving spot Bitcoin ETFs due to concerns about market manipulation and lack of robust investor protections. As regulatory clarity improves, we may see a broader array of crypto-based ETFs emerge, possibly including multi-asset ETFs that combine Bitcoin with other cryptocurrencies or assets, such as stocks or commodities. Furthermore, as institutional adoption grows, the role of ETFs in the financial ecosystem could increase, potentially influencing Bitcoin’s price dynamics and volatility as well. Conclusion Bitcoin ETFs represent a bridge between the traditional financial world and the emerging cryptocurrency market. While they offer unique advantages, such as regulatory protections and ease of access, they also come with limitations like management fees, limited trading hours, and the lack of direct ownership. For those who want exposure to Bitcoin within the security of a regulated investment product, Bitcoin ETFs provide a promising option. The success and potential of Bitcoin ETFs lie in their ability to draw both individual and institutional investors into the cryptocurrency market, making it a potentially transformative development for the financial world. As more countries consider ETF approval, and as the cryptocurrency industry matures, Bitcoin ETFs could play a pivotal role in the mainstream adoption and integration of digital assets. Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. --- • Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ • For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
NASDAQ:IBITEducation
by Crypto4light
1
SMCI LEVERED FOR THE TRUE REBEL SMCX 2 X SMCI FOR THE TRUE REBEL SMCX 2 X SMCI This one is the 2x Long Etf tracking SMCI As you know SMCI has been chewed and masticated super hard buy the scary short seller the Hindenburg Report Well here you have the financials for SMCI and a long read about the Nathan Adreson the creator of the FUD... and the research associated with it for you to make up your mind. "linkedin.com/pulse/smci-cash-reserves-17-billion-dfc-2024-10666-current-dcf-s-sc-n-e9aye/?trackingId=YS3R4IZ2ST+uWToO3IX1Og=="
NASDAQ:SMCXLong
by imcnf5c4ff
bear call spread on QQQThis is obviously over the election. I THINK ELECTION RESULTS "drag out" and we don't really "know" who wins until 11/15? or something? Now.. I'll start bumping up my GO TO CASH price anyway. This is essentially a market hedge that IF we trade sideways or have any more down movements, this trade works. IF we DO continue to go higher, I'll be profiting on my general portfolios and positions but I will go to cash around $505.05. BUT we need to hit that # in before 11/5. Otherwise, I'll begin increasing it. The overall trend is bullish. Bull put spreads DEF make the most sense. This certainly is more of a 'hedging' style trade for me. Not too large of risk.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Reallifetrading
Opening (IRA): USO December 20th 65 Covered Call... for a 62.41 break even. Comments: High IVR/IV (79/51) plus weakness. Adding a rung to my USO position out in December at break evens better than what I currently have on. Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 62.41 Max Profit: 2.59 ROC at Max: 4.15% 50% Max: 1.30 ROC at 50% Max: 2.07% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; look to roll out the short call on test.
AMEX:USOLong
by NaughtyPines
normal election volatilityim buying the election outcome for either candidate. heres my reasoning. both are proposing fiscal spending. both are campaigning on tax cuts. both candidates are contributing to a loosening monetary policy and impact on competition to us ai or agi and semiconductors. big tech runs on venture capital and both candidates are leveraging some form of trade war. here im looking at svxy for clues about how recession proof the s&p500 is to large cap volatility. based on the recency of the top in svxy i dont think were going to begin a broader market stock recession near all time highs without setting a lower quarterly high that fails to bring us a new weekly uptrend. this looks like selling in the leadup to the election which should be bought whenever the index sets a clear rebound level weekly.
CBOE:SVXYLong
by cerealindicator
$SPY November 1, 2024AMEX:SPY November 1, 2024 15 Minutes. Gap down did not allow to initiate any short which were closed earlier around 579 levels. 575 supports did not hold and AMEX:SPY continued to make lows. For the large rise 539.95 to 586.12 4SPY retraced to 38.2 % levels and also 50-day average in daily. If this is not supported, we can expect 558-=562 levels which is 100 averages. If we see the daily chart 565 is important to hold. If this is broken, we have a history where AMEX:SPY went back to 539-540 levels twice from that number. No trade day today. How ever for the fall 583.32 to 568.44 a retracement to 578 levels will give a chance to short. Depending on moving averages. At the moment SL is 580 being 200 averages in 15 minutes. We are having an oscillator divergence at lows near close. So, i expect a retracement.
AMEX:SPY
by RiderTrader
3