ETF market
KEEP TRADING SIMPLE - YMAGGood Morning,
YMAG is a great ETF to have in your portfolio. Especially if you can get it on a massive discount. This is one that you would hold long term and collect dividends from to help grow your portfolio and help manage and losses you may take.
Ideally I would want dividend stocks to be long term - I try to find them every time the market drops and look to get the early so I not only profit off the dividends but also the stock growth.
Right now the market is moving up but we will have a lot of work to do until we know where its going. For now this will be a great swing trade once we confirm the support touch today.
Thanks
How to survive The Tarrif Tsar's Idiocratic EconomyI'm not gonna go terribly in-depth into this. These are the tickers I am personally using to hedge my risk against the complete and total incompetency of this regime. They are not without risk, in fact, not only are they inverse but the high dividend makes them among the riskiest assets to hold over any significant duration.
Please honestly read the prospectus on these before considering any of them and talk to an advisor. That's genuinely not ass covering, but out of genuine concern.
The biggest risk of holding these in my personal opinion is that decay is very significant and the risk of US treasures default is not accounted for by any of the issuers. The liquidity on these is also fairly low which is a significant issue.
That said, the advantage of them is the incredible (mispricing of) low margin costs and high leverage when IV of the underlying options, spikes. Also if you can manage to hold on to and profit from the capture the dividend, it's entirely possible to reach double digit % returns within a week or month timeframe, dependent on the asset and how you manage your average cost basis with volatility based position sizing or other methods of risk management.
That's all I'm really willing to disclose and discuss at this moment.
I have to manage the fallout from this just like everyone else.
There's no free lunch.
Eat Well Bears.
Magnificent Value Index with Opacity CandlesThis script idea is rather old but very enlightening about the current state of the market.
It looks at the RSI or MFI values of all Mag 7 stocks, averages them out and compares it to qqq's rsi or mfi as a differential.
Real shame tradingview doesn't allow free users to participate in publishing indicators and it's a real shame the war their employees support is being lost.
Make whatever conclusions you will from this.
Good luck, we're all living in a global idiocratic world now ruled by people infected with Affluenza .
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 4, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📊 March Employment Report Release: The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the March employment report, with forecasts predicting an addition of 140,000 nonfarm payrolls and an unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1%. This data will provide insights into the labor market's health and potential implications for Federal Reserve policy.
🇺🇸💬 Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's Address: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak at 11:25 AM ET. Investors will be closely monitoring his remarks for any indications regarding future monetary policy, especially in light of recent market volatility.
🇺🇸📈 Market Reaction to 'Liberation Day' Tariffs: Following President Donald Trump's announcement of new tariffs, dubbed "Liberation Day" tariffs, the markets experienced significant declines. The S&P 500 dropped 4.8%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 6%, marking the worst trading day since 2020. Investors are bracing for continued volatility as the market digests the potential economic impacts of these tariffs.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, April 4:
👷♂️ Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +140,000
Previous: +151,000
Indicates the number of jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding the farming sector.
📈 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: 4.1%
Previous: 4.1%
Represents the percentage of the total workforce that is unemployed and actively seeking employment.
💵 Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +0.3%
Previous: +0.3%
Measures the month-over-month change in wages, providing insight into consumer income trends.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY going up to 593 by middle of AprilThe market is going to be bullish after the bearish move we just witnessed recently. Typically, I switch to the weekly format to see a larger move. You can see on the weekly chart, the Stoch RSI is turning bullish. I recently made a 3-day format which shows the indicators are already showing a bullish trend. I will post the 3 day chart/indicators as well as the weekly chart after this chart in my notes.
TARGETS:
53 point move: 599
1.618 move: 593.77
11 bar moves: April 17
**If it hits one of these targets, I am out of my trade.
** I will keep a close watch when the SPY hits 1 fib retracement at 575
** I changed my wording from 'day' to 'bar' moves
STOPS:
1) the low of the previous Heikin Ashi candlestick,
2) 2 red Heikin Ashi candlesticks,
3) a specific dollar amount for a total loss for my trade or
4) a specific dollar amount per contract.
**If it hits one of those stops, I am out of my trade.
I am using the Heikin Ashi candlesticks.
1) They show more of a directional movement within candlesticks.
2) They tend to filter out the market noise so you can see the market direction better.
3) It reduces false signals, allowing you to stay in the trade longer.
4) And, it gives you a smoother appearance making it easier to see trends and reversals. (This information is from Dr. Keith Wade who speaks at the Wealth365 Summits.)
Typically, I would wait until there are 2 green daily Heikin Ashi green candlesticks before entering.
I still tend to switch back and forth between Heikin Ashi candlesticks and regular candlesticks since regular candlesticks are what I am familiar with and have been using since I started trading.
I personally find:
* the 5 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next half and hour.
* the 10 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next hour.
* the 30 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the daily.
* and, the hour indicators typically represents what will happen in the next week.
But right now, I am fine tuning my indicators and looking at the 20 to 25 minute indicators to precipitate a daily move
I use the MacD, the Stock RSI and the DMI to assist me with the direction of the market. Hopefully, I can explain these indicators more in the future.
Ask me any questions or point out anything you see wrong, as this is the only way we learn.
Happy Trading!
A few scenarios for the SPY! 🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Will start longs at 516I think SPY is going down to 516 (0.382 Fibonacci retracement) and could go down to 485 (0.500 Fibonacci retracement). I will start taking long positions again at 516. Back in 2022 there was a 0.500 Fibonacci retracement where SPY went from 479 to 348 but I know people have short memories.
Trump Tariffs are Wrecking the MarketTrump’s disastrous right-wing policies continue to wreak havoc, with the latest victim being AMEX:XLC $XLC. His reckless tariff strategy is proving to be one of the greatest self-inflicted economic blunders in American history, harming industries, investors, and consumers alike. These tariffs have weakened the economy, disrupted markets, and imposed unnecessary burdens on businesses. The long-term consequences of these policies will be felt for years to come as the American economy struggles to recover from this avoidable crisis.
Head and shoulders top has been completed today, 4/3/25. The price objectives are 88.6 and 84.60
$SOXL Inverted Cup and Handlel (SELL NOW!)Grasping chart patterns is essential for market participants. This article explores the inverted cup and handle formation, a bearish signal that suggests potential downward movement.
The inverted cup and handle, also known as an upside-down cup and handle pattern, is a bearish chart pattern that can appear in both uptrends and downtrends. It is the reverse of the traditional bullish cup and handle pattern. The inverted formation consists of two main components: the "cup," an inverted U-shape, and the "handle," a small upward retracement following the cup.
SELL NASDAQ:NVDA AMEX:SOXL NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:AVGO NASDAQ:QCOM NASDAQ:MRVL NASDAQ:MU $TXN.
Lets BUY it again WHEN IT'S LOW guys.
Mark my word
OH NO! $SOXS is primed for a significant rise.The concept of a multiple bottom suggests that the stock has already experienced a significant decline, creating a buying opportunity at a lower price over time.
Plus, Trump is coming= BYE semidocutor stocks!
Stricter trade policies and tariffs on imported semiconductors could disrupt global supply chains, leading to higher costs and potential shortages.
During his previous presidency, Trump focused on "America First" policies, which included promoting domestic manufacturing and reducing reliance on foreign supply chains
Additionally, there were concerns about the potential mismanagement of federal initiatives like the CHIPS and Science Act, which aimed to boost domestic semiconductor manufacturing.
AMEX:SOXL , NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:AVGO , NASDAQ:QCOM : Sell now to take the profit.
IT'S COMING
The Bear Market Has Arrived - Key Levels to Watch SPY QQQ IWMIWM is the first of the major averages to enter into a technical bear market after falling over 20% from its recent highs. QQQ will likely be next followed by SPY. I think there's good potential for a short term bounce around this area, but I believe there's a lot more trouble ahead in the medium to long term and it could accelerate quickly if we don't see any quick relief here.
Time to buckle up, I'm afraid the worst is yet to come.
KRE Regional Banks In Trouble?KRE is starting to scream Danger! Wave 3 up ending. Multiple head and shoulders (one massive) the current uptrending is now starting to CRACK! signaling that the right shoulder will now start to form.
I see no benefit for bulls to hold on as risk is now very high. Furthermore, this is a bad sign for the overall economy and markets as regional banks are US domestic. Bad JUJU!
Don't be a dick for tick! ))
Spy Road To $544 Target HIT Now WhatWell we finally hit our target a lot of us went heavy in shorts right before the bell rang in many Etf's SPY QQQ Tsla with massive amounts of money With Expirations Expiring 4/3 4/5 and also 2weeks out.... Don't Ever Miss Another Move in the stock market again stay up to date With JoeWtrades.... So I guess everyone wants to know what's next Bear Market Bull Market is the the bottom in ext.... Nope this is not the bottom, i already have a plan on what's going to happen price will continue to fall Friday Over the Weekend Resulting in a possible Dead Cat Bounce come Tuesday in my opinion back to $550ish, Wait what did you say yes $dead cat bounce to $550ish in the next few days possibly Tuesday so this means this is not the bottom JoeWtrades , Nope in my opinion its not Like and follow to see in my opinion on where price goes, if you need assistance and would like to take your trading and scalping to the next level You know what to do.... As Always safe trades and good luck
Finally happened. Semi’s getting creamed. Semiconductors and all the trappings are finally falling. The bubble has popped for the near term at least.
LONG 3 days ago
AMEX:SOXS is saving my portfolio🙏🏼👍
I’m using a 30 min chart with 10,50,200 sma’s. When the S&P drops below the 50 sma its time to short.
NASDAQ:NVDA was range bound and had dropped below 50sma. Time to short. But NASDAQ:NVDA was leading the way to a reset for all the other Semi underlings.
AMEX:SOXS the answer!!!!
SOXL in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when at three of these events happen:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
* Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near oversold overbought level
* Price at Fibonacci levels
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone at bottom of 2 of 3 channels
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band
Price at or near Fibonacci level
Entry at $13.30
Target is upper channel around $19
Triple leveraged insanity?!?!?!Thinking about taking a swing with AMEX:USD USD (Ultra Semiconductors) if we can get sharply down to this line. What do you all think?
This is not for a HODL. This is intended to be a short-term leveraged swing trade. Keep your diamond hands to yourself plz and thank you.