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BDRY Long Chinese People's Congress meetings start March 5th. On day 1, China will announce GDP Target for 2025 and any additional economic stimulus measures planned to spur economic growth. BDRY ETF specifically consists of FFA's which driven by Chinese Import demand for dry bulk commodities such as iron ore, coal, and grain. Expect import demand to grow significantly for dry bulk commodities following CPC announcement on March 5th. This also coincides with the post Chinese Lunar New Year which is a key seasonal bottom turning point in Chinese economic activity. A 100% gain in BDRY ETF is not unreasonable over the next 4-6 months as seasonal tailwinds occur into summer construction and harvest.
AMEX:BDRYLong
by speculativehydrocarbons
1
SPY A Fall Expected! SELL! My dear friends, SPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 609.70 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 600.34 Recommended Stop Loss - 615.13 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYShort
by AnabelSignals
4
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-26-25 : Rally In Counter TrendToday's Rally in counter-trend mode aligns with the current breakdown as a strong possibility of a Rally (Upward) type of trend. After yesterday's deep low and moderate recovery near the end of the day, I suspect the SPY is setting up another Excess Phase Peak base - transitioning into the upward Flagging formation. Because of this, I suspect today's Rally pattern will result in a moderate Melt-Up type of price action in the SPY/QQQ. It may also prompt metals to rally off yesterday's lows as the Panic selling mode ends. BTCUSD I still seeking a new low and trying to find the consolidation phase. I believe BTCUSD could fall further before finding support. This is going to be a very interesting ROLL of price related to the SPY/QQQ, Gold and Silver, while Bitcoin continues to try to identify lower support. Almost like a "disconnect" is taking place. Ultimately, I think we'll see a peak between March 5-12 in the SPY/QQQ - rolling downward into the March 21-24 Major Bottom. Get some today. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
QQQ 3-Year Correction Overdue Since 2015 the Nasdaq Index has undergone approximately 25% corrections from all-time-highs every 3 years. Over this time period, the price has more or less respected the trend lines shown above. But perhaps a force more powerful than the trendline is the timeline. The pattern repeats at roughly 39-month intervals from top to top: May '12 - July '15 (1175 days) pivot from 5/1/12 ATH, 12%* correction over 35 days July '15 - October '18 (1170 days) pivot from 7/20/15 ATH, 26% correction over 34 days October '18 - November '21 (1148 days) pivot from 10/1/18 ATH, 24% correction over 84 days November '21 - February '25 (1176 days) pivot from 11/22/21 ATH, 38%** correction over 324 days February '25 - May '28 pivot from 2/18/25 ATH, ??% correction If the pattern holds true, we were due a correction last week. My guess is we'll double-top December's ATH and then start the correction. How deep for how long is anyone's guess. Feels more like '21 insanity than '15 or '18 to me. Notes: *2012 (I believe) not yet representative of participation in the trendline pattern (still recovering from Great Recession) **This particular correction was covid-anomolous (we were 24% above the channel already when we pivoted). This particular -38%, 324-day correction was more like 3-in-1: -22% in 97 days, -27% in 80 days, -24% in 59 days. You may get a better pattern predictor if you average the 3 moves, so -24% over 77 days. Alternatively, you can see it as two moves: an intial -22% move to bring it back within the channel, followed by a second -24% move to bring it to the bottom of the channel.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by unknown_unknowns
2
SPY will trade within the triangle ...I thought I would update this chart as the triangle has adjusted slightly since my last 2 posts. This makes the tip of the triangle farther out as well as a different projected time of the SPY exiting out of the triangle. The tip of the triangle is now around Mar 18th and there are many events until that time that could push the market out of the triangle such as jobless claims and inflation, etc. I am not guessing what event is going to make the market move out of the triangle. It looks like the market is going up for 4 to 5 days and then down one or two days while it is in the triangle formation. I think tomorrow (Monday) the market will go up as this will follow the pattern it is displaying. As well, the half hour indicators are already looking bullish. As I have mentioned in other charts: From a technical trading point of view, the market could go up or down closer to the tip of the triangle. Breakouts of triangle pattern usually occur 2/3 to 3/4 of the triangle length, so the SPY could move outside the triangle before the tip. The triangle pattern is usually considered a continuation pattern which means the market will continue in the direction it was moving before the triangle started. This pattern should usually have at least 5 touches of support and resistance. You can get any of this information from the internet. I think there are 3 aspects to trading: 1) Being able to read the charts so you have an idea where the market is going. 2) Being able to choose the correct trade strategy for the market conditions. You do not want to put a bullish trade when the market is bearish and vice versa. There are also certain trades where you can make money when the market is trading sideways with a non-directional trading strategy or a different trade if the market is extremely volatile. You can apply an iron condor, a credit spread, debit spread or butterfly trade depending on the market conditions. All trades have their own risks and rewards. 3) Knowing details, both the positives and negatives about your brokerage which can really elevate your trading. MORE THEORY … which you may have heard before. I am using the Heikin Ashi candlesticks. Why Heikin Ashi candlesticks? 1) They show more of a directional movement within candlesticks. 2) They tend to filter out the market noise so you can see the market direction better. 3) It reduces false signals, allowing you to stay in the trade longer. 4) And, it gives you a smoother appearance making it easier to see trends and reversals. (This information is from Dr. Keith Wade who speaks at the Wealth365 Summits.) I personally find: * the 5 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next half and hour. * the 10 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next hour. * the 30 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the daily. * and, the hour indicators typically represents what will happen in the next week. Typically, I would wait until there are 2 green Heikin Ashi green candlesticks before entering. I still tend to switch back and forth between Heikin Ashi candlesticks and regular candlesticks since regular candlesticks are what I am familiar with and have been using since I started trading. I use the MacD, the Stock RSI and the DMI to assist me with the direction of the market. I am not perfect at them. I will hopefully try to explain these in future trading charts. I am trying to take trading classes through Udemy, mostly because they are cheap. LOL! I usually wait for a sale where the courses are as low as $14.99 instead of over $100 per course which they have regularly. As well, you may be able to get access to Udemy through your local library depending on where you live. www.udemy.com I always try to attend the free Wealth365 Summit which is held about 4 times a year where I always pick up some more useful information. I believe the next one will be around April. Again, I am not affiliated with this company in any way. wealth365.com/ Happy trading everyone!
AMEX:SPYLong
by Princessgirl
QQQ Trendline Analysis – Key Support Levels & Breakout PotentialIn this analysis, I break down the QQQ trendlines, highlighting a key trendline that dates back to the end of 2022’s market downturn. This level has acted as a strong support zone, with price currently testing key levels around $511, with additional support near $500 and $485. 📊 Key Takeaways: ✔️ Current Trendline Support – Price is respecting major trend levels. ✔️ Potential Breakout Setup – The market is forming a flag pattern, signaling a possible upward continuation. ✔️ Critical Levels to Watch – If support holds, QQQ could bounce back toward all-time highs. ✔️ Risk Factors – @Nvidia earnings, @FederalReserve policy, tariffs, and geopolitical events could act as catalysts for a major move. 🔍 Main Focus: The key trendline break will be the deciding factor for the next big move. A break above resistance could signal a rally, while a failure may lead to further downside. What are your thoughts on this setup? Drop your analysis in the comments! 📢📉🚀 #QQQ #Nasdaq100 #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Trendlines #Trading #OptionsTrading #Breakout #SupportResistance #Fed #NvidiaEarnings Transcript for Hearing Impaired: “All right, so you see the current trend lines for QQQ. This one dates all the way back to, I think it was 2018. Lemme just switch the chart here so we can see the whole thing. Sorry, it was 2023. So basically the end of the down year of 2022. So that kind of marked the bottom and trend line break. If I hit it with another trend line here, you’ll see that right there, something like that. So that’s where we broke. That was the bottom there and up it went right until now. But we really, if you look, we’ve got support at these levels right in here. So we’ve really got some support. Lemme just switch the view here so it’s a little more clear. We’ve got some support right where it’s at. So if you look at this right here, something like that, you’ve got support here, so like five 11. And it’s also right on this trend line here. And I think we could see a balance here. So that’s a ghost feed here, just showing possibility, falling into this ascending wedge here and almost like a flag pattern. And could, yeah, it’s a flag, sorry, not an ascending wedge, and could bounce out of it here, bounce around and go out and run back up to all-time highs or whatever it’s going to do. If we drop more than I think we could see it come down to this level, which again, it’s pretty much right on trend line is going to be like 500 ish. And then this one down here is going to be something like 4 85 ish. And in all cases, it starts to get trapped out by these lines. So until something breaks, this is really the big one that I’ve got my eye on right now. Make that a little bit of a thicker line. So I think that until it breaks this, which I mean, we’re getting a nice little green bar here that’s coming back up to it. Who knows, maybe it drops a little more, comes back out. But I don’t know. We’ve got Nvidia earnings coming up, we’ve got a Fed coming up, we’ve got tariffs, we’ve got so many things, a Russia-Ukraine deal possibly on the table. So who knows what kind of catalyst or well, what kind of catalyst we’ll have one way or the other, right? So I would say, depending on what happens with those events over the next couple 24 hours for Nvidia and couple weeks probably for the rest of it, I think we’ll find ourselves somewhere in here. Then we’ll break trend and we’ll bounce and do something from there. And so really the main thing I’m looking for is the break of this trend line right here, which we’re going to break eventually because it’s such a sharp line. But then ultimately to give me the green light again, I’m looking for that trend line to be broken, which comes right off the top here.”
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by TradeSniper_com
1
What Is an ETF and How Does ETF CFD Trading Work?What Is an ETF and How Does ETF CFD Trading Work? Exchange-traded funds, or ETFs, have gained significant popularity in recent years as a way to invest in a diversified portfolio of securities. But for the uninitiated, the world of ETFs can seem complex and overwhelming. So, what is an exchange-traded fund, and how does it work? In this article, we’ll cover everything you need to know about ETFs, the advantages and disadvantages, and we’ll explain how to trade ETF CFDs. What Is an ETF and How Does It Work? The ETF definition in investments is the following: exchange-traded funds (ETFs), sometimes called equity-traded funds, are financial products that track the performance of a specific index, commodity, or group of assets. ETFs are popular among individual and institutional investors thanks to their flexibility, low fees, and transparency. Like stocks, ETFs are traded on exchanges. This means that you can buy ETF shares when the stock market is open. Note that you buy shares of a fund, not the fund itself. Unlike stocks, however, ETFs don’t focus on a single asset. Instead, ETFs consist of multiple assets and even different asset classes, such as stocks, bonds, commodities, and cash. Some ETFs are passively managed, meaning they’re designed to track a specific market or sector. Others are actively managed and have professional portfolio managers who choose which assets to include in the ETF. ETFs are an effective way for traders and investors to diversify their positions. Because ETFs comprise a diverse range of securities, holders can gain exposure to different assets, markets, and sectors without having to trade each one individually. This can help reduce risk and volatility and potentially generate more stable returns over the long term. Differences and Pros and Cons of ETFs vs Mutual Funds While they share some similarities to mutual funds, one of the main differences between the two is that mutual funds are only traded at the end of the trading day according to their net asset value (NAV), while an ETF’s share price fluctuates throughout the day. Mutual funds pool money from investors to invest in a range of assets and are often actively managed by a professional portfolio manager. This means they typically come with higher fees and a higher minimum investment requirement. Generally speaking, ETFs are the more cost-effective and flexible option, as they offer lower expense ratios and allow for intraday trading. They also tend to be more tax efficient due to their reduced portfolio turnover rates. However, ETFs come with commissions, while mutual funds do not. Moreover, the passive management style of many ETFs can lead to lower returns compared to mutual funds, which aim to beat the market through active management. ETF Types There are many different types of ETFs out there that can be used to meet a wide variety of investment goals. Let’s look at some examples of exchange-traded funds. Index ETFs What is an ETF in the stock market? Equity ETFs are those that track a stock index. They vary in terms of the sectors, industries, company sizes, and countries they cover. Equity ETFs are divided into broad market and sector ETFs. Broad Market ETFs These ETFs track the performance of the entire market. They can be a useful tool for investors looking to gain exposure to the overall market without having to pick an individual instrument. One of the most significant broad-market ETFs is the SPDR S&P 500 ETF. Sector ETFs Sector ETFs offer investment in specific industries or areas of the market, like technology, healthcare, energy, and financials. These ETFs are ideal for investors looking to profit from the overall growth of an industry. Popular sector ETFs include the ARK Innovation ETF. Bond ETFs These ETFs invest in fixed-income securities such as government, corporate, and municipal bonds. Bond ETFs expose investors to the fixed-income market, which can be an effective tool for diversifying a portfolio. One of the bond ETFs is iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF. Commodity ETFs Commodity ETFs invest in assets like gold, silver, oil, and other natural resources. Commodity ETFs offer investors easy access to the commodity market and can help them hedge during market downturns. SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) is an example of a commodity ETF. Currency ETFs These ETFs invest in foreign currencies and are used to gain exposure to a particular country’s currency or group of currencies, meaning they can be used to hedge against currency risk. Primary currency ETFs include the Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund. Leveraged ETFs Leveraged ETFs use derivatives to provide investors with magnified exposure to the underlying assets, typically 2x, 3x, or 5x. For instance, a 2x leveraged ETF based on the S&P 500 would drop 2% if the S&P 500 fell by 1%. Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares ETF is one of the most popular leveraged ETFs. Inverse ETFs These ETFs allow buyers to invest in the inverse performance of the underlying asset. For example, an inverse ETF that tracks the S&P 500 would go up when the S&P 500 goes down. Inverse ETFs can be useful for hedging against market downturns but also shouldn’t be held long-term. An example of an inverse ETF is the ProShares Short S&P 500 ETF. How to Trade ETF CFDs Aside from buying ETFs on stock exchanges, you can trade them via CFDs. CFDs are derivative products that allow traders to speculate on the price movement of an underlying asset, such as an ETF. Unlike traditional ETF investing, ETF CFD trading does not involve owning the ETF itself. Instead, traders are exposed to the price movements of the underlying ETF when they open a position. At FXOpen, we have dozens of ETF contracts for difference (CFDs) that are ideal for short-term trading. One key benefit of CFD trading is the use of leverage, which allows traders to open larger positions with smaller amounts of capital. This can potentially amplify profits but also magnify losses. All of our ETF CFDs offer 1:5 leverage, so to open a $100 position, you’ll need $20 to cover the margin requirements. Moreover, ETF CFDs can be opened long or short, allowing traders to profit from both rising and falling markets. This can be especially useful when looking to hedge against an existing position or take advantage of short-term market movements. Unlike regular ETFs, CFDs are subject to overnight fees, which are charged for holding open positions overnight. However, the same as with regular ETFs, CFD traders receive dividends if applied. The dividend adjustment is positive for buy trades and negative for sell trades. Consider a Trading Strategy If you’re thinking of trading ETF CFDs, it’s important to have a trading strategy in place. One approach is a trend-following strategy, which involves identifying and entering in the direction of the trend of the underlying ETF. Many traders use technical analysis tools, like moving averages and trendlines, to help them gauge the direction of a trend. Seasonal trend trading can also work particularly well for ETF CFDs. Traders using this strategy look at historical market data and identify trends that tend to occur during certain times of the year. For example, a retail sector-based ETF might perform well around the holiday season, so traders could use this expectation to guide the direction of their trade. Some traders prefer breakout trading - taking positions in ETF CFDs when their prices break through key support or resistance levels. Breakout trading can be especially effective in ETF CFD trading because ETFs tend to be less volatile than individual stocks. This means that when an ETF breaks through a support or resistance level, it may continue in that direction for an extended period, providing traders with an opportunity to profit. Trading ETF CFDs: Advantages and Disadvantages While we’ve explained some of the key advantages and disadvantages of ETF CFD trading, there are other factors to consider. Here are some additional advantages and disadvantages of ETF CFDs to be aware of. Advantages Flexibility: ETF CFDs can be bought and sold quickly throughout the day, providing traders with the flexibility to adjust their positions in response to intraday market events. Broad Exposure: ETF CFDs offer exposure to a wide range of global markets and sectors, meaning that traders can diversify their positions and speculate on the price movements of a market or sector as a whole rather than relying on a single asset. Hedging: This broad exposure also allows traders to use ETF CFDs to hedge against their other positions and reduce their potential losses. For example, a trader long on tech stocks could use a technology-based ETF CFD to short the sector during earnings season to protect from downside risk. Disadvantages Only Tradeable During Specific Hours: ETF CFDs are only available to trade when their respective exchanges are open. This might only be 9:30 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. EST, whereas other types of CFDs, like forex CFDs, are available to trade 24/5. Potential Liquidity Issues: During periods of high volatility or low volume trading hours, some ETF CFDs can suffer from poor liquidity. This can widen spreads, increase costs for traders, and heighten the risk of slippage. Fund Closure: While rare, it is possible for an ETF to cease trading while you have an open CFD position. This would result in the liquidation of the position and the net profit or losses being realised. When combined with leverage, a forced liquidation could lead to significant losses. Your Next Steps Now that you have a solid understanding of ETFs and their CFD counterparts, you may wonder how to start trading them. Follow this step-by-step guide to get started: 1. Open an FXOpen Account: At FXOpen, we offer a wide range of ETF contracts for difference (CFDs) that you can begin trading in minutes. 2. Explore ETFs: The next step is to look for ETFs that align with your strategy. You can research factors like potential for growth and historical performance to help determine if an ETF is right for you. You may also want to consider elements like the ETF’s level of diversification and trading volume. 3. Place a Trade: Once you think you’ve found the ETF you want to trade, you can use one of four trading platforms at FXOpen to enter a position. This involves selecting the ETF CFD you want to trade, choosing the appropriate trade size, and setting stop losses to manage risk. At this stage, you could also set some targets for where you’d like to exit your trade. 4. Manage Risk: As your trade progresses, the only thing left to do is manage your position’s risk. You could do this by gradually moving your stop loss closer to breakeven, taking partial profits, and hedging your position with other ETF CFDs. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by FXOpen
1
SPY's Make-or-Break Moment: Will $590 Hold or Collapse? Feb. 26Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action SPY has been in a clear downtrend, forming a falling wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart, which could indicate an upcoming reversal if price action confirms a breakout. The ETF is currently testing a crucial support level at $590, aligning with major options positioning. Key observations: * Trend Structure: SPY is in a downtrend, but the falling wedge suggests a possible relief bounce. * Support & Resistance: * Major Resistance: $605 (breakout confirmation level). * Key Support: $590 → If this breaks, expect further downside toward $580. * Breakout Target: $610 - $615 if momentum shifts. * MACD Indicator: Slight bullish divergence, signaling early signs of momentum recovery. * Stoch RSI: Extremely overbought at 96.22, suggesting a pullback before a possible reversal. Options Flow & GEX Analysis The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator shows extreme negative gamma, with heavy PUT positioning at $590. If this level holds, a short squeeze could drive SPY back to $605-$610. However, a break below would likely trigger a further gamma-driven selloff toward $580. * IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 29.7, with IVx avg at 20.2%, signaling moderate volatility. * Put Side Bias: 121.8% of options flow, showing heavy downside hedging. * Key GEX Levels: * PUT Wall & Key Support: $590 → A breakdown could lead to a fast drop to $580. * CALL Resistance & Upside Target: $605 → Breakout here could send SPY toward $615+. Trade Plan & Suggestions 📌 Bullish Reversal Setup (Preferred Play) * Entry: Above $600 with strong volume confirmation. * Target 1: $605 * Target 2: $610-$615 (Extended breakout target). * Stop-loss: Below $589 📌 Bearish Breakdown Setup (Hedge Play) * Entry: Below $589 with increasing sell pressure. * Target: $585 → $580 * Stop-loss: Above $595 Final Thoughts SPY is at a critical inflection point, with $590 acting as the battleground. If it holds, expect a short squeeze rally toward $605+. But if it fails, the next leg down could accelerate toward $580. Given the extreme options positioning, expect high volatility and fast moves. 📢 Risk Management: Use defined stop-losses, watch for volume confirmation, and be prepared for sharp price swings. 🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
TLT: Strong Buy in My Radar List - Feb. 26Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) has been steadily climbing, breaking through key resistance levels and forming an ascending trendline on the 1-hour chart. The price action suggests continued bullish momentum with a breakout above $91 and potential for further upside. Key observations: * Trend Structure: TLT is in a clear uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows. * Support & Resistance: * Major Resistance: $92.50 (PUT resistance) and $93.50 (2nd PUT Wall) * Key Support: $91 (current breakout level), followed by $90 * Stronger Support Zones: $88 - $87.79 * MACD Indicator: Showing bullish momentum, with signals aligning for continuation. * Stoch RSI: Slightly overbought but still has room for further upside before a pullback. Options Flow & GEX Analysis The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator highlights a strong call concentration at $91, indicating a potential gamma squeeze if price holds above this level. * IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 39.6, with IVx avg at 15.9%, signaling moderate volatility. * Call Side Bias: 17.9% of options flow, supporting a bullish breakout scenario. * Key GEX Levels: * CALL Wall Resistance: $92 → Breaking this level could push toward $93.50. * PUT Support Zone: $88 - $87 → A breakdown could trigger downward momentum. Trade Plan & Suggestions 📌 Bullish Trade Setup (Preferred Play) * Entry: Above $91 with confirmation (sustained hold above resistance). * Target 1: $92.50 * Target 2: $93.50 (2nd PUT Wall) * Stop-loss: Below $90 📌 Bearish Alternative (Hedge Play) * Entry: Below $90 with volume breakdown. * Target: $88 → $87 * Stop-loss: Above $91 Final Thoughts TLT is in a strong bullish structure and could see further upside if it holds above $91. Options data suggests a gamma squeeze toward $92-$93.50, but failure to sustain $90 could bring a retracement. Keep an eye on volume confirmation before taking positions. 📢 Risk Management: Adjust position sizes and stop-loss levels according to your risk tolerance. 🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by BullBearInsights
SMST/USD – 30-Min Short Trade Setup !📌 📉 🔹 Asset: SMST (Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Bearish Breakdown Trade 📌 Trade Plan (Short Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Below $8.10 (Breakdown Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Above $9.03 (Break of Resistance & Trendline) 🎯 Take Profit Targets 📌 TP1: $7.35 (First Support Level) 📌 TP2: $6.47 (Final Target – Extended Bearish Move) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation 📉 Risk (SL Distance): $9.03 - $8.10 = $0.93 risk per share 📉 Reward to TP1: $8.10 - $7.35 = $0.75 (1:0.81 R/R) 📉 Reward to TP2: $8.10 - $6.47 = $1.63 (1:1.75 R/R) 🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy 📌 Rising Wedge Breakdown: Price attempted to break out but faced resistance around $8.18, indicating seller dominance. 📌 Bearish Reversal Signal: The trendline is breaking, showing potential downside pressure. 📌 Breakdown Confirmation: A strong bearish candle closing below $8.10 with increased volume will confirm the move. 📌 Momentum Shift Expected: If the price stays below $8.10, a move toward $7.35 (TP1) and $6.47 (TP2) is likely. 📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels 🔴 $9.03 – Strong Resistance / Stop-Loss Level 🟡 $8.10 – Entry / Breakdown Level 🟢 $7.35 – First Support / TP1 🟢 $6.47 – Final Target / TP2 📉 Trade Execution & Risk Management 📊 Volume Confirmation: Ensure strong selling volume below $8.10 before entering. 📈 Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to entry ($8.10) after TP1 ($7.35) is hit. 💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% profits at $7.35, let the rest run to $6.47. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($8.10) after TP1 is reached. ⚠️ Fake Breakdown Risk ❌ If the price bounces back above $8.10, it could indicate a false breakdown—exit early. ❌ Wait for a strong bearish candle close below $8.10 for confirmation before entering aggressively. 🚀 Final Thoughts ✔ Bearish Setup – Breaking below $8.10 could lead to lower targets. ✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:0.81 to TP1, 1:1.75 to TP2. 💡 Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! 🚀🏆 🔗 #StockTrading #SMST #ShortTrade #BreakdownTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #MomentumStocks #ProfittoPath #TradingView #StockMarket #SwingTrading #RiskManagement #ChartAnalysis 📉🚀
NASDAQ:SMSTShort
by ProfittoPath
TSLQ/USD – 30-Min Short Trade Setup!📌 📉 🔹 Asset: TSLQ (Tradr 2X Short TSLA Daily ETF) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Bearish Breakdown Trade 📌 Trade Plan (Short Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Below $41.50 (Breakdown Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Above $44.73 (Break of Resistance & Trendline) 🎯 Take Profit Targets 📌 TP1: $38.79 (First Support Level) 📌 TP2: $35.75 (Final Target – Extended Bearish Move) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation 📉 Risk (SL Distance): $44.73 - $41.50 = $3.23 risk per share 📉 Reward to TP1: $41.50 - $38.79 = $2.71 (1:0.83 R/R) 📉 Reward to TP2: $41.50 - $35.75 = $5.75 (1:1.78 R/R) 🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy 📌 Rising Wedge Breakdown: Price attempted to break out but faced resistance around $41.74, indicating seller dominance. 📌 Bearish Reversal Signal: The trendline is breaking, showing potential downside pressure. 📌 Breakdown Confirmation: A strong bearish candle closing below $41.50 with increased volume will confirm the move. 📌 Momentum Shift Expected: If the price stays below $41.50, a move toward $38.79 (TP1) and $35.75 (TP2) is likely. 📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels 🔴 $44.73 – Strong Resistance / Stop-Loss Level 🟡 $41.50 – Entry / Breakdown Level 🟢 $38.79 – First Support / TP1 🟢 $35.75 – Final Target / TP2 📉 Trade Execution & Risk Management 📊 Volume Confirmation: Ensure strong selling volume below $41.50 before entering. 📈 Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to entry ($41.50) after TP1 ($38.79) is hit. 💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% profits at $38.79, let the rest run to $35.75. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($41.50) after TP1 is reached. ⚠️ Fake Breakdown Risk ❌ If the price bounces back above $41.50, it could indicate a false breakdown—exit early. ❌ Wait for a strong bearish candle close below $41.50 for confirmation before entering aggressively. 🚀 Final Thoughts ✔ Bearish Setup – Breaking below $41.50 could lead to lower targets. ✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:0.83 to TP1, 1:1.78 to TP2. 💡 Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! 🚀🏆 🔗 #StockTrading #TSLQ #ShortTrade #BreakdownTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #MomentumStocks #ProfittoPath #TradingView #StockMarket #SwingTrading #RiskManagement #ChartAnalysis 📉🚀
NASDAQ:TSLQShort
by ProfittoPath
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.26.2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸🤔 U.S. Consumer Confidence Dives 🤔: American consumer confidence fell to 98.3 in February (down from 105.3 in January), The steepest one-month drop since 2021. 🇩🇪📉 German GDP Contracts 📉: Germany’s economy shrank by 0.2% in Q4 2024 (quarter-on-quarter), confirming a downturn in Europe’s largest economy. Recession concerns in the Eurozone could influence global growth sentiment as exports and industry show signs of weakness. 🇺🇸💱 Fed Rate Cut Bets Trimmed 💱: Markets are now pricing in only one 25bps rate reduction in 2025 (versus two previously expected), 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Wednesday, Feb 26: 🏠 MBA Mortgage Applications (7:00 ET) 🏠: Last week’s applications fell -6.6% amid rising interest rates. Traders will watch if lower demand continues, as higher borrowing costs cool the housing market. 🏠 New Home Sales (10:00 ET) 🏠: Consensus expects around 680K units (vs 698K in December). This Jan report will show if higher mortgage rates are slowing home sales or if housing demand remains resilient to start 2025. 🛢️ EIA Crude Oil Inventories (10:30 ET) 🛢️: Last week, inventories rose to about 432.5 million barrels. A larger-than-expected draw could boost oil prices, while a build might ease price pressures (and inflation concerns). 💬 Fed’s Bostic Speaks (12:00 ET) 💬: Markets will monitor his commentary for any hints on monetary policy or growth/inflation views. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #tomorrow #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao