TLT hitting bottomTLT near the bottom.
Rates go down, bond face value go up.
Long-term bonds rates need to come down otherwise US government interest payments will take up a high parentage of their budget.
ETF market
The End of MarchMy feeling is the bearish cycles into the end of March is playing out now and this upward correction is finished. We may revisit the bottom of both QQQ and SPY in the short term. If wrong, the SPX will get above 5780 today
SPY WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅SPY has hit a key structure level of 577.50$
Which implies a high likelihood of a move down
As some market participants will be taking profit from their long positions
While others will find this price level to be good for selling
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-26-25 : Flat-Down PatternToday's Flat-Down pattern for the SPY/QQQ suggests the markets will consolidate in a sideways channel, generally drifting downward.
As I've been warning all of you for the past month+, the market will likely roll over into a topping formation over the next few days, then start an aggressive downward trend targeting $525-535 on the SPY.
Today's video covers some details related to my expectations and how traders can prepare for the bigger moves I see pending.
Gold and Silver are poised for a potentially BIG BREAKOUT move to the upside. And I still believe Gold/Silver are going to rally another 15-20% within the next 30-45 days.
Bitcoin should follow the SPY/QQQ into a "rollover top" type of pattern then shift into a downward price trend over the next few days.
Everything is following my predictions/expectations almost perfectly.
Now, we try to profit from some of these big moves.
Go get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
$SPY March 26, 2025AMEX:SPY March 26, 2025
15 Minutes.
Sideways consolidation on for moving averages to catch up.
For the moment upside is capped 576-579 levels which is also top of channel.
576 - 578 is a good sell for 571-573 levels target for today.
Since 3 moving averages are nearby 9, 21 and 50.
I expect a one-sided movement.
So far, no trade for me for the week.
$IWM: Retest the trendline?Just another TA that I want to watch and test. Big gap below. Possibly retest the trendline?
Yellow lines are my levels.
Green Ray for my possible entry
$SPY Bounce to 590s?Hey everyone, it's your boy pic. AMEX:SPY looks primed for a typical ABC correction to around 590 going into the second half of March. Chart lines up with NextPivot Indicator and FIB levels just as pretty as you please. Nice look with clear stops. Good luck!
* SPY Update 3/25 *Hello again peoples,
As we witnessed today, price did not do what I was looking for yesterday. Instead, we went through some range bound price movement, tested yesterday's high and bounced back strong towards today's high but not break out happened yet. That is just a perfect scenario to raise my blood pressure, but here is what I will be looking for tomorrow.
- Today's consolidation could be a bear trap for those that realized the early signs of trend weakness. As you know, our target for W3 to be completed is right above this resistance at $577. We were able to consolidate, and possibly accumulate, right below that level while holding $573 support. Bears tried, but even when they aggressively pushed down price, as soon as it hit our support, price stabilized and bulls pushed back up at the end of the day.
- If you look at our 30D Volume Profile, you can see 3 levels that I highlighted. The level #1 is the support we held, #2 is here I can see price finding resistance (end of the 70% value area), #3 is where price might go it it breaks #2.
- It might be a crazy coincidence of the universe, but our TP for W3 is right in between #2 and #3.
- In our 5min chart, we can see how we were able to bounce off the 200 EMA. And if you look at the 1hour chart:
- You can see that our 20Ema(orange) is the same as the 200ema in the 5min chart.
- A nice buy opportunity for those that missed today will be if price test that $574 support again before starting our last leg up towards $580.
Anyway, this is what I have for today. Let me know what you think and how I can make my analysis better!
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 26, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📉 Consumer Confidence Hits Four-Year Low: The Conference Board reported that the Consumer Confidence Index fell to 92.9 in March, marking the fourth consecutive monthly decline and reaching its lowest level since January 2021. Rising concerns over tariffs and inflation are major contributors to this decline.
🇺🇸🏠 New Home Sales Rebound: New home sales increased by 1.8% in February to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 676,000 units, slightly below the forecasted 679,000. The median sales price decreased by 1.5% to $414,500 from a year earlier, indicating potential affordability improvements in the housing market.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Wednesday, March 26:
🛠️ Durable Goods Orders (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: -1.0%
Previous: 3.2%
Reflects new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for long-lasting goods, indicating manufacturing activity.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
QQQ at Key Support Level – Rebound Towards $532?NASDAQ:QQQ is experiencing a corrective move after forming a double top near the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The rejection from this level has led to increased selling pressure, bringing price back to the lower boundary of the channel.
If buyers regain control at this point, we could see a rebound toward the $532 resistance zone, which aligns with previous price reactions and the midline of the channel. This area could act as a short-term target within the existing bullish structure.
However, if price fails to hold this support and breaks below with momentum, the bullish outlook may be invalidated, potentially signaling further downside. Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, increasing volume, or bullish engulfing patterns before considering long positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, let’s discuss! 🚀
SPY Technical Outlook - Will Buyers Step In?AMEX:SPY is experiencing a corrective move after rejecting the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This rejection led to increased selling pressure, bringing price back to the lower boundary of the channel, where buyers may step in to defend the trendline support.
If the price holds at this dynamic support level, a bullish reaction could send AMEX:SPY toward the midline of the channel, with the next target around 607.00. Holding above this level would reinforce the bullish trend structure and increase the probability of continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel.
However, a breakdown below the trendline support would weaken the bullish outlook and open the door for further downside. Monitoring price action, volume, and confirmation signals will be crucial in determining the next move.
Turtle Trader IndicatorSo apparently Trading View has now removed the ability to publish indicators as a free users.
So unfortunately I cannot publish this anymore.
This is a prototype indicator I wrote after finishing the book, "The Complete Turtle Traders".
I plan to update modify this with my own TVMV framework and talk about other rules for trading as opposed to simply copying the old school turtles because the economic conditions today are simply very different than they used to be. I did backtest this and I wasn't terribly impressed. It wasn't horrible or anything, it just didn't fit my personal style.
For context, Turtle Trading Indicator is designed to implement the Turtle Trading strategy, a systematic approach developed by Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt in the 1980s. This strategy is known for its trend-following methods, using price breakouts and volatility to manage trades. The indicator plots visual signals for entries, exits, and position additions, making it easier for traders to follow the rules manually on their charts.
How It Works
Entry and Exit Signals: It uses breakouts above X-day highs or below X-day lows for entries, with exits based on Y-day highs or lows. Users can choose between System One (20-day breakout, 10-day exit) or System Two (55-day breakout, 20-day exit).
Volatility-Based Position Sizing: The indicator calculates position sizes using the Average True Range (ATR), ensuring risk is proportional to account capital, typically 1-2% per trade.
Risk Management: Stop-loss levels are set at 2N (twice the ATR) from the entry price to limit losses.
Pyramiding: It signals when to add to winning positions as the price moves favorably by 0.5N, helping to capitalize on trends.
How to Use It
To use the indicator:
Attach it to your chart on TradingView.
Look for entry signals (green triangles for long, red for short) to initiate trades.
Use the displayed position size for entries or additions, adjusting for your instrument if needed (e.g., stocks, futures).
Monitor for pyramid signals (lime or orange triangles) to add to positions.
Exit when exit signals appear (blue triangles), and always respect the plotted stop-loss levels.
Hope you enjoy and if you wanna see more indicators like this, consider following and giving this a boost. If it reaches 100 boosts, I'll update it or publish the strategy version otherwise I'm just gonna keep any updates in house.
SPY Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SPY made a nice bullish
Move and will soon hit a
Horizontal support of 577.19$
From where we can enter
A short trade with the
Take Profit of 566.48$
And the Stop Loss of 583.38$
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
litp, going to get litVolume profile trade... price is down big, volume spike is even bigger. The important part is that the volume came in during a consolidation. The candle it came on isn't much. This leads me to believe it was not a pump and dump but a major buying area at the close of that candle around 6.30. Price could dip lower near term and could consolidate here for awhile, but its paying 7.2% yield to wait.. I'm long, targeting 9-12$ range, will add if we get 5.50-6 range
Update on UNG short saleClosing UNG short at 9.1% profit.
UNG has dropped to an area that may provide some support for a period of consolidation.
QQQ Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for QQQ below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 481.04
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Highanticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 498.55
Safe Stop Loss - 471.31
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Turnaround TuesdayVery possible we see a high today, watch for consumer confidence numbers at 10am for a move down or a final spike up.
$SPY March 25, 20252nd Post.
This chart shows oscillator divergence in LL and 100% extension around 580.
Hence this also supports the previous post numbers of 579-580 at the moment for the day.
$SPY Marcg 25, 2025AMEX:SPY Marcg 25, 2025
15 Minutes.
No trade for me yesterday as gap up and had no chance to enter.
For the rise 561.48 to 575.17 i am expecting a retrace to 566-568 levels as too far away from movoing averages.
On 60-minute time frame for the fall 597.37 to 549.68 4SPY has retraced between .5 to .618 levels.
So, at the moment I expect upside to be capped at 579-580 levels being .618 levels.
So, I will short around that levels or buy around 569 levels for the day.
SPY had a very bulish close to the week!boost and follow for more ❤️🔥
SPY had bullish break of trend resistance to finish the week after a big gap down, bulls continue to buy the dip and now we are gapping up in the futures market. push into 572.47 is likely, from there we either reject and head to lower to trend support or break the resistance and start heading higher to 578.31-584.92 🎯
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-25-25 : Top PatternToday's Top Pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will find resistance slightly above yesterday's closing price level and attempt to roll over into a bearish price trend.
Watch today's video to see which levels I believe will be the top for the SPY & QQQ.
I do expect metals to rally over the next 3+ weeks and I'm watching for this morning's bounce to carry onward and upward.
Bitcoin should be rolling downward off that FWB:88K top level I predicted months ago.
We are moving into a topping phase - so get ready for the markets to attempt to ROLL DOWNWARD over the next 5+ trading days into a deeper low price level.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
QQQ: More Downside To Come?After the double top confirmed in mid-Feb, I expect that we see a retrace to previous pivot points around 495 - 509, where we will then see strong resistance. There is a confluence of selling points: the previous local top in July 2024, the support area found Dec - Feb 2025, and the weekly MAs turning over.
If we do find resistance in that area, I expect a continuation of the larger trendline break, with the high volume area between 435 - 450 being the most likely support. This would be a 15-20% correction from the top, which is fairly realistic. If we break down even further, then we would have a head & shoulders forming that would mean way more downside.
I will be playing the short side of this set up, since we have broken the trendline support (see my comment for where the trendline begins) and the MAs have now curled down.
