ETF market
$QQQ - Trading Levels for March 12 2025
30min 35EMA IS the level to watch. Looks like QQQ is trying to find support there.
I did just sell 482/487 bear call spreads - that is a 5 dollar wide spread.
Bear gap at the top of the trading range. If you’re thinking of that spread let me suggest 1.75 as the first entry - then 2.25 if we keep moving up.
SPY - support & resistant areas for today March 12, 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above.
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Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions.
Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change.
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Need any other charts daily, comment on this.
Possible Inverse Head and Shoulder Pattern?!?I originally thought this may be a triple top or triple bottom but there may be an inverse head and shoulder pattern forming. We will not know for sure until the next shoulder possibly forms which would be around the end of April, 2025.
A typical inverse head and shoulders pattern is a trend reversal pattern that signals a potential reversal in a downtrend.The SPY is currently NOT in a downward trend but this may still be an inverse head and shoulder pattern. We will have to keep a close watch on the market in the next month.
Regardless, the SPY should go upward tomorrow and for the next week as the indicators are changing to a bullish signal, including the hourly, 2 hour, etc up to and including the 6 hour indicators. The daily indicators should start changing shortly.
The targets I have in place are:
35 point move: 600. This is based on a conservative move of the last upward movement from Jan 13 to Jan 24th.
1 fib move: 613.37
7 day move: Mar 19. This is based on the last upward move from Jan 13 to Jan 24th.
If it hits one of these targets, I am out of my trade.
My stops are:
1) the low of the previous Heikin Ashi candlestick,
2) 2 red Heikin Ashi candlesticks,
3) a specific dollar amount for a total loss for my trade or
4) a specific dollar amount per contract.
If it hits one of those stops, I am out of my trade.
I am using the Heikin Ashi candlesticks.
1) They show more of a directional movement within candlesticks.
2) They tend to filter out the market noise so you can see the market direction better.
3) It reduces false signals, allowing you to stay in the trade longer.
4) And, it gives you a smoother appearance making it easier to see trends and reversals. (This information is from Dr. Keith Wade who speaks at the Wealth365 Summits. The next summit is in April.)
I personally find:
* the 5 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next half and hour.
* the 10 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next hour.
* the 30 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the daily.
* and, the hour indicators typically represents what will happen in the next week.
Typically, I would wait until there are 2 green daily Heikin Ashi green candlesticks before entering.
I use the MacD, the Stock RSI and the DMI to assist me with the direction of the market. I am not perfect at them.
I am trying to take trading classes through Udemy, mostly because they are cheap. LOL! I usually wait for a sale where the courses are as low as $14.99 instead of over $100 per course which they have regularly. As well, you may be able to get access to Udemy through your local library depending on where you live. www.udemy.com
I always try to attend the free Wealth365 Summit which is held about 4 times a year where I always pick up some more useful information. The next one will be around April. Again, I am not affiliated with this company in any way. www.wealth365.com
Happy trading everyone!
SPY daily chart for March 12, 2025Hey traders! Checking out the SPY daily chart for March 12, 2025, and it’s looking like a critical moment. We’re sitting in a reversal zone ($556-$562), with the downtrend still in play via that sloping trend line (~$560-$565). MACD’s bearish, but the histogram is flattening, and Stochastic RSI is oversold—hinting at a possible bounce. Key levels: support at $556 (break below targets $540-$545), resistance at $562, $571.36, and $577.05, with $606-$607 as the big hurdle.
My plan: Long if $556 holds with a strong bullish candle, stop below $554, targeting $562 then $571. Short if we break $556 with volume, stop above $558, aiming for $545. Risk-reward 1:2, and I’ll watch volume closely—low moves can fake you out. News today could shake things up, so I’m staying flexible. What do you think—bullish bounce or more downside? Let’s discuss!
* Key Levels:
* Green resistance: ~$606-$607
* Red support/resistance zones: ~$562, $571.36, $577.05
* Current reversal zone: ~$556-$562
* Downward-sloping trend line intersecting around $560-$565
* Current Price: Appears to be in the $556-$562 range, near the lower end of the reversal zone.
* Indicators: MACD shows a bearish crossover with declining momentum, while Stochastic RSI is oversold (below 20), hinting at a potential bounce.
Technical Analysis
The SPY chart reflects a clear short-term downtrend, marked by the downward-sloping trend line and a series of lower highs and lower lows. The price has recently entered a reversal zone ($556-$562), which could serve as a support area. The MACD’s bearish crossover suggests continued selling pressure, but the widening histogram is starting to flatten, indicating a possible slowdown. The Stochastic RSI being oversold is a strong signal that a bounce or consolidation might be on the horizon, though it’s not a guaranteed reversal without price confirmation.
Key levels to watch include:
* Support: $556 is the critical level. A break below could push toward $540-$545.
* Resistance: $562 (top of the reversal zone), $571.36, and $577.05, with the trend line acting as dynamic resistance around $560-$565.
* Major Resistance: $606-$607, where prior resistance held firm.
Potential Scenarios
* Bullish Case: If SPY holds $556 with a strong bullish candle (e.g., hammer or engulfing pattern) and the Stochastic RSI begins to rise, we could see a move to $562 or even $571.36. Volume confirmation would be key.
* Bearish Case: A decisive break below $556 with high volume could accelerate the downtrend, targeting $540-$545. Watch for MACD to reinforce bearish momentum.
* Consolidation: The price might range between $556 and $562 if momentum remains indecisive, especially given the oversold conditions.
Game Plan for Today’s Trading Session
* Entry Points:
* Long: Enter long if the price respects $556 with a bullish reversal signal (e.g., a strong green candle). Set a stop-loss below $554. Target $562 initially, then $571.36 if momentum builds.
* Short: Enter short if the price breaks below $556 with confirmation (e.g., high volume, bearish MACD). Set a stop-loss above $558. Target $545, with a stretch to $540.
* Risk Management:
* Aim for a 1:2 risk-reward ratio. Risk $2 to make $4 per trade.
* Monitor volume—low volume moves are less reliable.
* Be cautious of macroeconomic news (e.g., FOMC updates or inflation data) that could sway the market today.
* Execution Tips:
* For day trading, consider a 1-hour or 15-minute chart to fine-tune entries.
* Watch the trend line rejection around $560-$565 for bearish confirmation or a potential bounce.
My Thoughts and Suggestions
I’m keeping a close eye on this reversal zone ($556-$562) as it feels like a make-or-break point. The oversold Stochastic RSI gives me hope for a bounce, but the downtrend isn’t done until we see a clear reversal signal. I’d lean toward a cautious long if $556 holds, but I won’t chase it without volume backing it up. On the flip side, a break below $556 could signal more pain, so I’ll be ready to short with tight stops. Today’s market moves might hinge on news, so staying flexible is key. Let’s see how it plays out—any thoughts from you all?
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-12-25 : Rally111 PatternToday's Rally pattern in Carryover mode may prompt a powerful base/bottom move in the SPY/QQQ.
In today's video, I explain in great detail how I read these charts and why the Excess Phase Peak (EPP) patterns are so important.
We are moving into the Consolidation Phase of the EPP patterns for the SPY/QQQ.
We are already into the Consolidation Phase of an EPP pattern for Bitcoin
Gold and Silver are a bit mixed. Yet Silver has already broken above the upper EPP Peak, rallying into a new EPP Peak level. Meanwhile, Gold is still struggling to find momentum for a bullish breakout.
While I don't believe the US markets are poised for a big downward price move, today's video shows you what may be likely 4 to 12+ months into the future.
So, pay attention to today's video. It clearly illustrates how to use the EPP patterns with Fibonacci and shows you what I believe could happen over the next 6 to 12+ months.
If the SPY/I continues to try to rally higher today, it will be interesting. This means we have potentially found our consolidation base and are now moving into a very volatile sideways consolidation phase.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Has the Market Been Shitting On You?It's no secret that markets are tough to navigate right now. That is why I have been finding sectors with potential and direction. While this one only has one of those characteristics, it is waiting for volatility expansion, and all signs point to the downside.
We don't need to trade everyday but, we should be able to identify stocks and ETFs that have potential and place those on our watch list. That is today's lesson.
Time for EWJ outperformanceI do think the best way to play the US underperformance story is through Japanese equities. Europe has moved too fast in a short time frame, China seems to me like a short term story whereas Japan seems to be the best way to play it.
Corporate earnings growth has been present in Japan post GFC unlike China and Europe to a lower extent.
Japanese valuations are great and the economic story is starting to be interesting.
S&P underperformance against global marketsIn addition to previous post on spy/efa we can see the spy/urth actually testing the historic support and breaking down. The valuation differential + The destruction of US competitiveness as a result of tariffs would be tailwinds for the continued outperformance of row equities over the US
Multi decade asset allocation shift in the process?Rest of world equities (in particular europe) had been underperforming the US for essentially the post GFC era. It seems we are close to getting a test of the support for this decade+ trend. If we get a clear breakdown it might mean its time to bet on equities outside the US.
A few months ago we have gotten a gold breakout against the S&P which seems to me to be the start of a multi year trend.
If rest of world equities outperform that should mean that value would outperform growth. There is value in the US market in particular in the Energy, Healthcare and Small cap financials.
Historic gold/spy breakoutThis is going to be a multi year gold outperformance over s&p. S&P staring valuations are high and global geopolitics favoring gold reserves over usd reserves will likely help. Think of all the non western government that had billions/trillions parked in usd slowly change a portion of that into gold
SPY S&P 500 etf Oversold on the RSI ! 2025 Price Target ! The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) is flashing a major buy signal, with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sitting at 28.33 — firmly in oversold territory. Historically, every time SPY has entered oversold levels on the RSI, institutional buyers have stepped in aggressively, driving sharp rebounds in the following weeks and months.
The last time SPY dipped below the 30 RSI threshold was during market pullbacks in 2022 and 2023 — both of which were followed by significant rallies as institutions capitalized on discounted valuations. The current setup is no different. With earnings growth stabilizing, inflation cooling, and the Federal Reserve signaling a potential shift toward rate cuts in the second half of the year, the backdrop for a recovery is aligning perfectly.
Technically, SPY is also approaching key support levels that have held strong in past market corrections. The combination of an oversold RSI and strong institutional appetite at these levels creates a compelling case for a bounce.
My price target for SPY by year-end is $640, representing over 15% upside from current levels. With sentiment stretched to the downside and technical indicators flashing green, SPY looks primed for a sharp and sustained rebound. Now could be the perfect time to position for the next leg higher.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 12, 2025 🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ceasefire Proposal in Ukraine 🇺🇦🇷🇺: Ukraine has expressed willingness to accept a month-long ceasefire proposal, leading to a surge in the euro to five-month highs. This development has introduced volatility in European and U.S. equity markets, influenced by ongoing U.S. tariff plans.
🇺🇸🇨🇦 U.S. Tariff Increases on Canadian Imports 🇺🇸🇨🇦: President Trump has threatened to double tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum imports to 50%, escalating trade tensions and contributing to a deepening stock market sell-off. This move has raised concerns about inflation and economic growth, affecting investor confidence.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Wednesday, March 12:
📈 Consumer Price Index (CPI) (8:30 AM ET) 📈:The CPI measures the average change over time in prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of goods and services, serving as a key indicator of inflation.
Forecast: +0.2% month-over-month
Previous: +0.3% month-over-month
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY...for those why spy, let's eye n find some levelsUsing a still in progress gap detector tool and the classic CyQo-B0wStr1ng method, we arrive at some interesting levels.
As always, use the Log function on the bottom of the scale and see what's on another level for levels...yeah
remember to just credit CyQoTek if it interests you or yah pass it on- more attention so more people make money is important. I don't sell things cause im not a shill or grifter.
"If someone tells you they will charge you for a service you don't want to do or can't do and they know what they are doing and all goes well, great, benefit all around. When someone tells you you need to pay them for something cause they want to help spread their findings and make everyone successful...it is called a con or ploy. Your parents ever charge you to teach you to eat; your grandfather ever need a subscription to teach you to fish: When someone can make money...good money...trading, and needs to sell something or wants you to be part of the "Sub-Club", run...don't walk away." Top 3 Hedgefund founder speaking over a private dinner I got to attend.
He followed with a simple statement:
- When you starve your kingdom, you eat well until the last peasant falls. But if you give your kingdom gold and serve fair justice, your grandkids will still be ruling as if no one realizes there is a monarchy...just an all knowing person who gives to all if everyone gives it their all.
anywho....enjoy:
4hr gap fill far:
4 hr gap fll view close:
4hr gap fill n fib channel:
SOXL... for anyone short or bounce hopefulls..levelsAnother Fib Cyqo-B0wStr1ng, from two tops and then dragged to the lowest point between them.
Not everything is random...you just got to be random to find the hidden messages in the code, aka chart.
Notice the Log and no Log in the bottom right of the scale, apply it to see what you may be missing.
Enjoy:
daily close: no log 1st..with log 2nd
4hr close: no log 1st..with log 2nd
4hr far out: no log 1st..with log 2nd
TSLL + TSLA... He can buy one, but can you stop a fire saleSo here is an interesting chart of Tesla long etf. Just for consideration, nothing special. Fib connection at the highs of the two red circles and then connecting to the low at the bottom red circle. The Cyqo-B0wstr1ng at work...
Can Log function it or not to see if you levels agree.
closer view at a smaller time frame. All line same as Daily:
TSLA chart:
non log 4hr:
log 4hr:
4hr overview with log:
4hr overview with no log:
Enjoy
Have we finally broke the down trend?!Prices looks to have broke the down trend from late February and seems to be coming back to test the low prior to breaking that line ($555.56) and will hopefully that has happened, bounce to fill the gap ($574.44)… have the bulls finally stepped back into the market? 👍 or 👎?
IWM Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 031125Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 202/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: C
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.