$QQQ - Trading Levels for March 20 2025
THIS chart is from last nights video and we’re at the bottom of the implied move here.
I went in with 473/470 bull put spreads here at
Let’s stay in range today
ETF market
$SPY - Trading Levels for March 20 2025
THIS chart is from last nights video and we’re at the bottom of the implied move here.
I went in with 559/557 bull put spreads here at .80 reward to 1.20 risk
Cheers to this being bottom on the day
KRE is predicting a Bank collapseAMEX:KRE has a very nasty looking head and shoulders currently playing out that is predicting the banking sector will collapse soon
QQQ Going DownWe rejected from Resistance Zone now we going to support zone 4h (4 hours green zone) which i strongly believe we will bounce higher from there.
Note: bounce higher doesn't mean end of down going we still don't have confirmation but it means that we will get couple of sessions with decent profit to enjoy profit.
$SPY March 21, 2025AMEX:SPY March 21, 2025
60 Minutes.
The downtrend LL was negated by oscillator divergence.
Hence holding the low 559 is critical.
We have 9,21,50,100 converging around 563-565 levels.
For the fall 584.88 to 549.7 61.8% retracement done.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-21-25 : BreakAway PatternToday's Breakaway pattern may show up in the form of an Island Top or break-away to the upside if my analysis is correct.
I see the markets stalling over the past few days, potentially setting up a "last breakaway" type of pattern today.
I've highlighted how these "last" patterns work where price sets up a peak or trough (in this case a peak) as a last/exhaustion move and how this move can sometimes be very aggressive.
I urge traders to stay cautious today as we are moving into a MAJOR REVERSAL weekend.
I believe the markets will suddenly change direction next week (early) and will move back into downward trending by March 25-26.
Gold and Silver may rally today if the markets move into that Exhaustion Peak pattern. Keep an eye out for Gold/Silver/Bitcoin to potentially rally today and into early next week.
Overall, traders should stay very cautious as we move into next week's peak/top/rollover.
Don't get too aggressive trying to prepare for the rollover or any potential upside move over the next 3-5+ days.
Let the markets show us what and when we need to be aggressive.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
SPY Plooking over today and didn't see much other than a 1h bearish FVG also marked out some trend line will see how they hold up but if SPY gets to the FVG look over the megas for weakness if so 0DTE to the bottom trend line or you could go to Monday and trim to hold a free contact or two into Monday
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 21, 2025 🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇯🇵📉 Japan's Inflation Data Release 📉: Japan will release its inflation figures for February on March 21. Analysts expect a slight decrease in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) from January's 4.0% to approximately 3.5%. This data could influence global markets, including the U.S., as it may impact the Bank of Japan's monetary policy decisions.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Friday, March 21:
🛢️ Baker Hughes Rig Count (1:00 PM ET) 🛢️:
Previous: 592 rigs
This weekly report provides the number of active drilling rigs in the U.S., offering insights into the health of the oil and gas industry.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
DEFENSE EU vs USEU defense massively outperforming the US up 50% from the lows.
Lockheed Martin is forced to console American allies, convincing them not to abandon the US Defense industry as Trump completely destroys it with his pro-Russia behavior.
I don't see any way back to NATO normal. Trump has weaponized the US defense industry against our (former allies?) allies and that is unacceptable. The US defense industry mostly sells $107 billion annually to NATO, EU nations.
This win-win EU-US relationship between our allies has made it possible for the US to develope and sustain military technology we would otherwise not have been able to afford alone.
So America first? Not really. More like America last!
At any rate, should a downturn occur and need to be long. #EUAD is a good place to be.
REMX bouncing from important FIB levelREMX might have found a bottom withing the Golden Window based on Fib Trend based extension. Early signs are promising.
"RBV-RAM-MS" = Renko Alligator MACD Momentum Strategy"RBV-RAM-MS" = Renko Alligator MACD Momentum Strategy
Combines Renko charts with Alligator and MACD indicators for dual time-horizon trading:
Short-term (1-10 days): 50% ATR brick size, Alligator (13,8,5), MACD (12,26,9), entries on 5/8 EMA cross + MACD bullish crossover.
Long-term (1-3 months): 75% ATR brick size, Alligator (21,13,8), MACD (24,52,18), requiring price above Alligator’s Jaw.
Entries: Green Renko brick + EMA/MACD crossovers.
Exits: Red brick + 2/3 bearish triggers (EMA cross, MACD cross, or Alligator reversal).
Risk Management: 1.5% risk/trade, 2:1 RR ratio, ATR-based stops.
Visuals: Color-coded labels/triangles for entries/exits.
Optimized for stocks/ETFs/REITs – filters noise while capturing sustained trends.
MASSIVE $QQQ BOUNCE INCOMING!MASSIVE NASDAQ:QQQ BOUNCE INCOMING!🚀
I believe we are setting up for a run to the 200DMA around $494ish🎯
- Wr% is uptrending after breaking out of Bearish WCB
- MACD is uptrending with the histogram rising
- RSI uptrending and broke out of bearish box
- Stochastic uptrending into the sweet spot after
breaking out of bearish box
We keep rejecting off the H5_S by wicking off it, which is bearish, but all other indicator show bullishness...
I could be wrong, but it's what the probabilities of everything and my GUT tell me.
Not financial advice
$SPY Bullish setup with 200ma in viewLooking at multiple time frames but w/ a special focus on intraday time frames and their relationship to the 200ma.
UCO in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when at three of these events happen:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
* Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near oversold overbought level
* Price at Fibonacci levels
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone at bottom of channels
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band
Target is upper channel around $28.50
This run ends at 213The yellow line represents the highest gap. only shows up on the 5 minute for me. i think that is the point at which this uptrend stops and we continue down. the weekly has already turned over and the month is very close. I recommend shorting at 213, but I am certain we are headed to 213 before we continue the downtrend.
XLF in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when at three of these events happen:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
* Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near oversold overbought level
* Price at Fibonacci levels
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone below bottom of channels
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band
Entry at $48.82
Target is upper channel around $51
RSP and WHY I AM BULLISH STILL197/199 target The chart posted is the sp 500 equal weighted RSP has dropped to a trend line dated back to march 23 2020 . I have three clean points and all are major . Elliot Wave calls for a final 5th wave to end this advance in the area of 198 plus or minus 1.25 Fib relationship and PUT /CALL as well as most of my spiral and cycles point to the final advance to a Bull market top is now setup . BULL MARKETS TOP ON GOOD NEWS > Best of trades WAVETIMER
Opening (IRA): XRT April 17th -71C/Sept 19th 50C LCD*... for a 17.91 debit.
Comments: At or near 52 week lows. Buying the back month 90 delta and selling the front month such that it pays for all the extrinsic in the long, with a resulting break even that is at or below where the underlying is currently trading. The Sept 19th 50C is shown at the 65 strike so that it appears on the chart.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 17.91
Break Even: 67.91
Max Profit: 2.09
ROC at Max: 11.67%
50% Max: 1.05
ROC at 50% Max: 5.83%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll short call out and/or down and out at 50% max.
* -- Long call diagonal a/k/a a Poor Man's Covered Call.
I am very bullish softwareBeautiful retest of the breakout for software. I'm a buyer of all the obvious names in this etf and the etf itself. AI agents is next big theme that will get love once we talk ourselves off the tariff cliff.
Opening (IRA): IBIT March 28th 45 Covered Call... for a 43.91 debit.
Comments: Adding, but at lower delta and at strikes better than what I currently have on, selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 43.91
Max Profit: 1.09
ROC at Max: 2.48%
50% Max: .55
ROC at 50% Max: 1.24%
QQQuadruple witching tomorrowQuadruple witching is tomorrow 3/21/25. It refers to the simultaneous expiration of four types of derivative contracts: stock index futures, stock index options, stock options, and single-stock futures. The expiration of these contracts can lead to increased trading volume and market volatility, especially during the last hour of trading, known as the "witching hour".
QQQ is sitting at it's 2 year trend channel support level. Also, QQQ stochastic on the weekly chart is oversold. This is a high probability, low risk long setup. However, if this 2 year trend breaks down, then a new trend will take shape. To try to get the best entry, it would make sense to leg into the long position with 3 separate trades over the course of the next 3 days, 3/20, 3/21 & 3/24.
Long trade idea:
Long = 475
Stop = 465
Profit = 535
bull put spread 1 : 4 - risk : reward
4/17, 5/16 or 6/20 expiry
sell 535 put
buy 480 put
or
4/17, 5/16 or 6/20 expiry
buy 480 call
Options data:
3/21 expiry
Put Volume Total 225,663
Call Volume Total 253,501
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.89
Put Open Interest Total 1,116,319
Call Open Interest Total 1,009,483
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.11
4/17 expiry
Put Volume Total 51,129
Call Volume Total 58,065
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.88
Put Open Interest Total 742,165
Call Open Interest Total 459,072
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.62
5/16 expiry
Put Volume Total 30,172
Call Volume Total 26,170
Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.15
Put Open Interest Total 223,535
Call Open Interest Total 173,491
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.29
6/20 expiry
Put Volume Total 21,202
Call Volume Total 10,509
Put/Call Volume Ratio 2.02
Put Open Interest Total 1,040,493
Call Open Interest Total 459,733
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 2.26
$SPY March 20, 2025AMEX:SPY March 20, 2025
15 Minutes.
For the extension 559.07 to 566.3 to 562.05 100% move is done yesterday making a high 570.95.
For the last rise 562.05 to 570.95 holding 565 is important else i expect a side moving average consolidation around 562 563 levels so that 50, 100 and 200 gets sorted out in order.
SPY MegaphoneLooks like the spy is sitting inside the descending megaphone, and the pop yesterday died at the top of trendline. Spy is sitting under the 200 Daily as well. I am riding Monthly puts until we breakout, then ill switch to calls.
