ETF market
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-9: Inside BreakawayToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to make a breakaway type of price move - away from Friday's open-close range.
Given the fairly tight opening price level this morning, I would stay cautious in early trading today and try to let the first 60 minutes play out - looking for that breakaway trend/momentum.
Overall, the markets are still in a Bullish price phase - trying to push higher.
But, as I continue to warn, I believe the markets could rollover and break downward at any time.
BTCUSD moved substantially higher overnight. This could be the beginning of a bigger advance higher. But, it could also be an exhaustion move higher.
Gold and Silver are still melting upward. This move in metals recently certainly shows the markets are still fearful of any potential downside price activity.
Again, I urge traders to stay cautious as we continue to struggle within the sideways price range.
Price will show us what it wants to do and I believe this move higher in BTCUSD could be a false type of breakout move to the upside.
Get some.
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IWM - 3 months HEAD & SHOULDERS══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
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Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
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⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Charting’s personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules, Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
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Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 9–13, 2025 🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 9–13, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📱 Apple WWDC & Tech Momentum
Apple’s annual Worldwide Developers Conference kicks off Monday with CEO Tim Cook set to discuss new products, services, and likely AI initiatives—tracks should watch include impacts on NASDAQ:AAPL and AI-related stocks
🧨 GameStop Eyed for Crypto Pivot
GameStop (a meme-stock darling) reports earnings Tuesday. Markets are watching for updates on its $500M bitcoin investment and potential pivot toward crypto-driven revenue streams
🇨🇳 U.S.–China Trade Talks in London
High-level trade dialogue begins Monday between U.S. and Chinese representatives in London, offering possible relief to trade tensions and providing a lift to risk assets
📉 Key Inflation Data Midweek
Wednesday brings the May CPI release—crucial for assessing tariff-driven inflation trends and likely to influence Fed policy outlook ahead of next month’s meeting
💹 Oil Markets React to Trade Uncertainty
Oil prices are stable to slightly up ahead of trade talks, as Brent holds around $66/barrel—reflecting balanced supply concerns and hopes for easing global tensions
🌐 G7 Summit and Global Policy Risks
G7 finance ministers convene in Canada (50th anniversary), tackling trade strains, Russia–Ukraine, and inflation. Global macrospoilers could trigger renewed volatility
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Monday, June 9
Apple WWDC begins (CEO keynote)
U.S.–China trade talks start in London
📅 Tuesday, June 10
GameStop Q2 earnings (+ bitcoin update)
NFIB Small Business Index (6:00 AM ET)
📅 Wednesday, June 11
8:30 AM ET – Consumer Price Index (May)
Watch for inflation signal from tariffs.
8:30 AM ET – Core CPI (May)
Core inflation trend under scrutiny.
📅 Thursday, June 12
8:30 AM ET – Producer Price Index (May)
Early check on wholesale inflation
8:30 AM ET – Initial & Continuing Jobless Claims
📅 Friday, June 13
10:00 AM ET – University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (June, preliminary)
Consumer mood and tariff impact insights
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is for informational/educational purposes only. Not financial advice. See a licensed advisor before making investing decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Price Attempting Breakout Above ResistanceSPY (S&P500 ETF) price is attempting to breakout above Daily resistance levels of $594 and $597.
SPY ETF has been in an uptrend since May 2025. A Golden Cross also occured on May 19th 2025, signaling that a potential longer term bullish rally could occur.
Friday's candle closed as a Doji signaling some potential indecision after recent price volatility.
SPY price is not at any extreme level on the Daily chart.
If SPY price ever gaps up and rallies up to the $612 to $620 resistance zone, price could sell off stronger (short-term).
In June 2025, trade deal and inflation news will most likely be the catalyst for further volatility, in addition to government news announcements.
IS SPY & QQQ READY TO MAKE THE NEXT LEG HIGHER?In this video, I cover the weekly chart of AMEX:SPY and NASDAQ:QQQ to answer the question: are the markets getting ready to make their next leg higher and according to the charts on our weekly timeframe it seems to be the case... watch this video to find out more!
SMH/SPY | Bullish Breakout | Tech Rotation | (June 8, 2025)SMH/SPY | Bullish Breakout | Tech Rotation Signal | (June 8, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary:
The SMH (Semiconductor ETF) vs. SPY (S&P 500 ETF) ratio is breaking out of a key parallel channel, signaling strong capital rotation into semiconductors. This often precedes broader tech strength — and it’s happening now.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters (Indicator View):
Bias: Bullish for SMH (and leading semis like NVDA, AVGO, TSM, AMD)
Entry Zone: Current breakout level on SMH/SPY ratio
TP1 (First Take Profit Area): Watch for continuation upside in SMH outperforming SPY
❌ No Stop Loss: This is a market strength indicator, not a direct trade setup
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Breakout Context: The breakout from the parallel channel suggests relative strength in semiconductors. Historically, this precedes runs in NVDA, Broadcom, and TSM — all major SMH components.
📈 Macro Implication: When SMH outperforms SPY, it typically means one of two things is happening:
— Semiconductors are gaining strength (bullish for tech)
— The S&P 500 is weakening (capital flows into more resilient sectors)
Either way, semis benefit.
🧠 Investor Psychology: With market volatility rising (VIX 37+), investors often move into tech leaders, gold, USD, and now even BTC. SMH is a top contender in this rotation.
❌ Invalidation: If the SMH/SPY ratio falls back inside the channel, it would invalidate the breakout thesis — a sign to stay cautious.
4️⃣ Follow-Up:
I'll continue monitoring this indicator — it’s not a direct trade but a macro signal for strength in leading tech names. If it holds above the channel, the upside potential remains strong.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
SPY Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on SPY and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 599.04 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 570.83
Safe Stop Loss - 616.43
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
QQQ - Weekly Volatility PotentialGood Morning --
Last week we reviewed the potential of the S&P 500, this week let us take a look at the potential perspective of NASDAQ:QQQ .
IV (17.97%) entering the week is trending 31% IVp on the year and has been gradually lowering as price action grinds higher and out of corrective territory -- This is +2.61% more volatile than near-term trending values of HV10 (15.36%) and only -0.57% under HV21 (18.54%), our monthly trending values.
Looking towards next week, I expect the CBOE:VIX to continually soften IV values as the broader markets push towards all-time highs this week. NASDAQ:QQQ historical values are coiling to where we will soon need a volatility spike, but not just yet -- my weekly price target here is simple (HV10 upper implied range) $539.44 with wicking potential above to monthly trends (HV21 upper implied ranges) at $541.42.
Only time will tell, we can't control the markets but we sure can manage our own risk within them. Remember to always be hedged and come back to join me next weekend as we review the charts for what happened VS our expectation!
CHEERS
QQQ: Expecting Bearish Continuation! Here is Why:
Looking at the chart of QQQ right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
iBIT - Weekly Volatility PotentialGood Morning!
Here is my weekly perspective for NASDAQ:IBIT
From when we reviewed last weekend, IV (41.19%) has lowered -2.23% and is entering the week with a 0% IVp. We have been in this pattern of rotating IV and Bi-Weekly volatility trends back and forth as HV10 (29.73%) entering the week has increased +1.49% from it's respective level entering last week. The prediction of what is to happen is contracting as what is actually happening in the short-term is trending up.
Bi-Weekly and Monthly volatility values after being 100% coiled and both putting in new yearly lows a month ago are starting to unwind as they create distance from those exact lows.
Could long-term trending means be on the horizon with quarterly values?
Bi-weekly trends will eventually find it's way back there with monthly not far behind, question is when. Our best advantage is to continue to track the data and ebb and flow with the markets and macro news as it is released.
Looking towards this next week, Our HV10 (29.73%) trending values are still contracting under our monthly HV21 (33.37%) trends, but IV (41.19%) although lowering beyond yearly lows, is reflecting future expansion.
Only time will tell, I think we will see another volume push into this week -- Remember to always be hedged and come back to join me next weekend as we review the charts for what happened VS our expectation!
CHEERS
BITx - Weekly Volatility PotentialGood Morning!
Here is my weekly perspective for CBOE:BITX --
From when we reviewed last weekend, IV (84.60%) has lowered -2.39% and is entering the week with a 2% IVp. We have been in this pattern of rotating IV and Bi-Weekly volatility trends back and forth as HV10 (62.69%) entering the week has increased +2.47% from it's respective level entering last week. The prediction of what is to happen is contracting as what is actually happening in the short-term is trending up.
Bi-Weekly and Monthly volatility values after being 100% coiled and both putting in new yearly lows a month ago are starting to unwind as they create distance from those exact lows.
Could long-term trending means be on the horizon with quarterly values? Bi-weekly will eventually find it's way back there, question is when. Our best advantage, is to continue to track the data and ebb and flow with the markets and macro news.
Looking towards this next week, Our HV10 (62.69%) trending values are still contracting under our monthly HV21 (68.45%) trends, but IV (84.60%) although lowering, is reflecting expansion.
There is a premium capture past stated IV if we can find means regression back to HV63 (99.07%), as what is happening will expand past what is predicted to happen. As of now this value is 14.97% and equates to a premium capture $8.24 or $88.24 per lot or contract.
Again, when IV contracts chasing HV10, but it expands to HV63, we look to collect the premium value difference with the move.
Only time will tell, I think we will see another volume push into this week -- Remember to always be hedged and come back to join me next weekend as we review the charts for what happened VS our expectation!
CHEERS
SPY CHANNEL JUNSPY ( AMEX:SPY ) – Multi-Timeframe Volatility Channel Analysis
SPY remains inside a well-defined ascending volatility channel across all key timeframes (2h, 4h, Daily, Weekly), confirming a strong bullish structure with clear institutional control.
🔸 Short-Term (2h – 4h):
Consolidating between 590 and 605, with recent rejection from upper bounds.
Multiple PUT positions triggered near 599 and 603, suggesting institutional hedging.
Key support: 590. Below that, watch for downside toward 586 or 576.
🔸 Mid-Term (Daily):
Bullish channel still intact.
As long as price holds above EMA20 at 585.77, the trend remains bullish.
Breakout above 608 opens targets toward 611 (gap) and then 617–620.
🔸 Long-Term (Weekly):
Weekly channel projects targets up to 635 if structure holds.
Strong institutional resistance zone between 607 and 611.
SPY JUNSPY – June Update
SPY continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel, with bullish momentum intact.
Price is currently approaching a major resistance at 608, while holding above the key support at 590.
Immediate upside target: 608, followed by potential extension toward the gap fill near 611.
If price fails to hold above 590, downside pressure could lead to a retest of the gaps at 550 and 530, which act as major support zones.
As long as SPY remains above the channel midpoint and above EMA20 (585.77), the bullish structure remains valid.
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