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Nasdaq vs SQQQ, 1 year daily chartThe pattern emerging shows the convergence between the two trend lines. The trend lines show the change from zero, indicating positive or negative trend. The trends are currently at a point where SQQQ is beginning to trend positively, as Nasdaq tests the negative direction. That leads to the cross over as the trends change. A longer view shows a better picture of where they have come in the past few years to have gotten where they are now. This helps to understand the ultimate outcome of the current cross-over. Legend: Nasdaq-hollow candles SQQQ-solid candles
NASDAQ:SQQQ
by Tradadada
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 28 – May 2, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 President Trump's 100th Day in Office: Wednesday marks President Trump's 100th day of his second term. His administration's protectionist tariffs continue to influence global markets and political landscapes, with notable impacts observed in Canada, Australia, and the UK. 📉 Trade Tensions and Economic Indicators: Investors are closely monitoring the effects of recent U.S. tariffs on economic performance. Key data releases this week, including GDP and employment figures, will provide insights into the economy's resilience amid these trade policies. ​ 💼 Major Corporate Earnings: This week features earnings reports from major companies, including Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, ExxonMobil, and McDonald's. These reports will offer a glimpse into how large corporations are navigating current economic challenges. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Monday, April 28: 🏠 Housing Vacancies and Homeownership (10:00 AM ET): Provides data on rental and homeowner vacancy rates, offering insights into housing market dynamics. ​ 📅 Tuesday, April 29: 📈 Advance Economic Indicators (8:30 AM ET): Includes data on international trade in goods, wholesale inventories, and retail inventories for March. ​ 📊 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET): Measures consumer sentiment regarding current and future economic conditions. ​ 💼 JOLTS Job Openings (10:00 AM ET): Reports the number of job openings, indicating labor market demand. 📅 Wednesday, April 30: 📈 GDP (Q1 Advance Estimate) (8:30 AM ET): Provides an early estimate of economic growth for the first quarter. ​ 💳 Personal Income and Outlays (10:00 AM ET): Includes data on personal income, consumer spending, and the PCE price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure. 🏭 Chicago PMI (9:45 AM ET): Assesses business conditions in the Chicago region, reflecting manufacturing sector health. ​ 📅 Thursday, May 1: 🏗️ Construction Spending (10:00 AM ET): Reports total spending on construction projects, indicating economic activity in the sector. ​ 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Measures the number of new filings for unemployment benefits, reflecting labor market conditions. ​ 🏭 ISM Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM ET): Provides insight into the manufacturing sector's health through a survey of purchasing managers. ​ 📅 Friday, May 2: 👷 Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET): Reports the number of jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding the farming sector. ​ 📉 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET): Indicates the percentage of the labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. ​ 🏭 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET): Measures the dollar level of new orders for both durable and nondurable goods, indicating manufacturing activity. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Market Update - 4/27/2025Solid follow through, breadth has improved, a lot of breakouts this week, but I would be curious how we'll behave as we get closer to the 50dma on the indexes. Until my market timing model shows a buy signal, I'm not gonna get aggressive, I'm still 50% invested and looking to take profits into strength, rather than entering new positions. I'm still relatively flat for the last 2 months in my equity curve. One thing I really need to improve is my risk management, especially around EPs. I need to reduce outsized losses (1% of my account) of which I had even 2 this month so far. And in general I am not that good with EPs, I need to study them closer.
AMEX:IWM
by BenedekBokor
Spy Squeeze Theory $571The Liquidity Mirage: SPY’s $550 Trap? SPY closed the day pressing into the $547–$550 zone — a major inflection level. Afterhours strength has sparked interest, but beneath the surface, this may be setting up for a high-stakes trap. AlphaPulse Thesis: If SPY opens or pushes above $550, our models signal one of the ugliest liquidity grabs in recent months. The move could extend to $561, even possibly squeezing to $571. But the velocity and volume behavior at these levels screams manipulated exit ramp. Trade Expectation: After this fake breakout move, we anticipate a sharp retrace targeting the $525–$520 zone, where true value buyers may re-emerge. Indicators Flashing Red: Volume Surge Divergence MACD Overextension Z-Score Volatility Spike Options Flow: Put Walls Below $530 Watchlist Trigger Level: Short Bias: Above $550 Breakdown Confirmed: Below $543 Target: $522 initial, $520 extended Strategy Summary: This is a classic liquidity run — institutions baiting breakouts to dump heavy bags. Be nimble, stay informed, and let JoeWtrades guide your precision. — JoeWtrades, AlphaPulse Terminal™
AMEX:SPY
by JoeWtrades
EEM Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 042525Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 41/61.80% Chart time frame: D A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: A A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
AMEX:EEM
by fibonacci6180
Semiconductors ready for the next leg up - Zoom out !!!#FACTS -Breakout in SMH was 11 years back around 2014 and uptrend started -Last 10 years SMH just cannot be under the 200WSMA for long time -Since 2015 the bottom is at 0.5 fib retrace & takes 9 months + atleast 25% Pullback What are other confirming signals -SOXL 3x leveraged etf just had 2 days of Highest Volumes ever ! (leveraged funds arent good for charting but volume is a wake up slap in the face !) Last time that volume on soxl was 2020 bottom 2022 bottom so 2025 bottom ? MAYBE ? Got in AMEX:SOXL at $9-$10, once confirmed I will scale in for a swing
NASDAQ:SMHLong
by teaworldnow
1
YINN Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 042525Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 30/61.80% Chart time frame: D A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: A A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
AMEX:YINN
by fibonacci6180
SPY Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the SPY next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 550.55 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 532.22 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYShort
by AnabelSignals
1
I SPY an opportunity to riseThe "macro" environment has an extreme bearish tone. There is a great deal of uncertainty still. So let's look to the charts to see what's the deal. Monday morning was a spill over from Trump's tantrums and we bounced at the end of the day Monday with a wick. Interesting note... big tech earnings was beginning. What a perfect time to see some rise on the charts. NFLX already had us anticipating some positive movement b/c of their Good Friday earnings. So most people were focused on the play of 1000-1100. So many people took a position. Back to SPY... Trump stated after hours after during TSLAs awful earnings call that he was not going to fire JPowell and TSLA began rallying as well as other big tech companies (interesting). The rallies held overnight. There were selloffs after the earnings, creating HL (higher lows) that held across many charts. The week proceeded and we slowly rose the rest of the week. I'm recalling that Trump initiated a 90 day pause. & though their is still negative chatter and uncertainty with the final outcome; it's enough to have bullish thoughts for the remainder of the earnings season (esp big tech and major companies) while we chop. Cautiously viewing the charts one day at a time; watching for candlestick patterns to assist with plays. If the pattern is bullish, looking for a bullish play. if the pattern is bearish, looking for a bearish play. Or... just pick a side and wait for what you connect to. My notes on candle recognition below over the next week will be below. Tootles
AMEX:SPY
by mommymiles
2
SpyApril seasonality finally showed its self this past week.. You can always tell when seasonality takes over because of the volume and the fact that news doesn't matter anymore. Example - March, Sept and sometimes May are bearish seasonality.. In these months you'll notice that no matter how good the news or earnings stock still stumble... Nov, Dec, April are bullish and most of the time no matter the bad news things just pump or get bought up for no reason. I think spy goes for 565.00 this week, which is only another 3% higher. To put this in perspective, Spy was 536 on 4/23 and melted up 3% in two days on no volume .. At 565 I think there will be a very nice short opportunity where I think spy will pull back to to 540-545.. I wouldn't short this before 565, and this only becomes bearish again if spy closes next week below 535.00! Now here's the chart TVC:DJI Very low key late this week.. contrary to qqq the dji has not broken above its trend line resistance but I think that will happen this week and it most likely will off set any draw done from big tech.. imagine a day where dow jones is up 400pts and nasdaq down 150pts; this price action would lead spy to chop in the middle FAWKERY. The upside target here is APRIL 2ND gap close NASDAQ:QQQ Yellow trendline is breakout White trendline is April 2nd gap close Red line is - 20sma So like I said above, qqq is leading the way up to April 2nd gap close. This gap close at 476 is about 5% aways from the 20sma.. I think once qqq tags 476 it will begin a pullback to 465-468.. during this pullback you will see them pump the dow. As long as 465 holds then 488 is next or weekly 50ma. If we lose 465 then a full 20ma retest is incoming.. To keep it simple, long qqq early to 476 then wait for a pullback or short it back down to 465-468.. if those areas hold then switch back long and ride it up to 480+ Vix Minor falling wedge showing at gap support 24.80 .. if this pattern plays out thin Vix could pop back up to 31 or 20sma which could see markets start the week in the red but unless vix can reclaim 32.00 then this is just a dead cat bounce that will give you a good entry to long equities I won't go into the tech Sectors but the overall picture I think is a melt up to the WEEKLY 50MA on Sectors and indexes I still can't see this market overall making significant ground to ATH.. the leading INDEX TVC:NYA is showing a Decade long Rising wedge which is the biggest I've ever seen. Since 2010 this resistance has not broken and If spy pushes back up near 600 then NYA will tag this again which means we are headed back down before the summer is out. Once this rising wedge is broken will make new lows and break below 400 In closing... Spy supports are 547 (Price action) 543 ( 1hour 200ma) 537( 20ma daily) I don't think spy will lose 543 before 555 comes... once you see NASDAQ:QQQ tag 476 be weary of being long, wait for the pullback then long NASDAQ:QQQ and AMEX:SPY to their weekly 50ma Opinion Job numbers are released this week Friday which is the beginning of "SELL in MAY " seasonality. All of the fed speakers have said that if jobs come in strong than they won't vote for a cut. Feds don't cut on May7th and Trump throws a tantrum and market sells again.. This scenario is the reason I think the market will maximize these big tech earnings to get the upside move out of the way before early may. Also next month the economic data (Ppi,cpi,pce,pmi) will give the first glimpse of what damage the tariff are doing / will do. So buckle up come May
AMEX:SPYLong
by ContraryTrader
23
SPY EARNINGS WEELY AAPL AMZN MSTR METASPY WEELY - Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta will report earnings. This week we have important earnings from Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, and Meta. We believe there could be a strong move in the SPY driven by the earnings reports, as well as by key economic data like unemployment figures, GDP, and Consumer Confidence. Based on these factors, we expect high volatility and see the potential for the SPY to move within the range of 530–520 on the downside and 560–580 on the upside.
AMEX:SPYLong
by alexpv73