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Spy... Where we standWeekly chart... White line represents Primary trend since 08 housing crisis crash Blue channel represents price action from 2017 -2025 Now pay attention.. You see the yellow trendlines ? Those represent the up trend from covid crash and 2022 crash. Those were micro uptrends both lasting 2yrs in length.. So now the market has hit a reset switch and I believe we are headed back to the blue trendlines bottom Like so - I think over the next week or so if spy recovers 567 then we will have one more squeeze to 585 before the next leg down My target by the End of Q2 is 490-500.. basically we are back into 2022 price action Once we hit channel support I expect An accumulation and consolidation before a new multi yr rally to 700 I know this sell off seems random and tariffs related but it's not! Markets top back in Nov/Dec same as 2022. To show you what I mean by that just look at the other Indexes and tell me is it a coincidence they all hit their decade long resistance at the same time? Dow Jones target 38,000 NYA/NYSE (More important then spy) NASDAQ /Ixic Notice how NASDAQ , Dow, NYA and Spy all hit resistance at the same time? No Trump tariff , No inflation fears, No interest BS just good ol channel trade.. I know perma bulls want up forever but I suggest waiting for Spy 490-510 for the REAL dip buy.. You're going to see a bunch of charts focusing on the weekly hammer printing this week but I'd like to point out that in 2022 we also had week hammers print I do think Spy can bounce as high as 585 if it can get over 567 next week..
AMEX:SPY
by ContraryTrader
13
Bulls are holding the line on SPY!Boost and follow for more 🔥 SPY bulls are holding the line at the weekly trend support line from December 2023, for now bulls still have control and this is just a normal pullback, a rally higher to previous and new highs is likely from here in my opinion.. break of 540 on the weekly timeframe and a lot more blood may come.. but for now its looking like people are buying the dip.. if this post gets some likes ill start posting more SPY updates in the future, this is my first one of the year! its been a while
AMEX:SPYLong
by Aura_Trades
9
Opening (IRA): TQQQ April 17th 45 Covered Call... for a 43.24 debit. Comments: Adding to my position at break evens better than what I currently have on, but going a little bit less aggressive net delta-wise, selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 2 x expected move short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 43.24 Max Profit: 1.76 ROC at Max: 4.07% 50% Max: .88 ROC at 50% Max: 2.04% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
NASDAQ:TQQQLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): TNA April 17th 25 Covered Call... for a 23.63 debit. Comments: Adding to my current position at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 23.63 Max Profit: 1.37 ROC at Max: 5.80% 50% Max: .68 ROC at 50% Max: 2.90% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call in the event my take profit isn't hit.
AMEX:TNALong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): SOXL April 17th 14 Covered Call... for a 12.95 debit. Comments: High IVR/IV. Adding at strikes better than what I currently have on, selling the -81 call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 19 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short calls. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 12.95/share Max Profit: 1.05 ROC at Max: 8.11% 50% Max: .53 ROC at 50% Max: 4.06% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at break evens better than what I currently have on, roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
AMEX:SOXLLong
by NaughtyPines
2
QQQ - support & resistant areas for today March 14, 2025Above are the key support and resistance levels for QQQ today. These levels can indicate where the price might reverse or consolidate and may signal potential long (buy) or short (sell) positions for traders. These levels are calculated using mathematical models and are relevant for today’s trading session. Please note that they may change in the future. If you find this information helpful and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, please support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly appreciated! If this post does not receive more than 10 boosts, I may reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you!
NASDAQ:QQQ
by OnePunchMan91
SPY Market Analysis - 14/3/2025 The bears got a tight bear channel down which means persistent selling. The current leg down is in the form of a 9-bar bear microchannel. There could be sellers above the first pullback. The selling pressure has been stronger (big bear bars, consecutive bear bars) as compared with the weaker buying pressure (bull bars with no follow-through buying). The bears want a measured move to around 5400 in the SPX which is just 100 points away fro yesterday's low. If the market trades higher, the bears expect at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the current leg low (Mar 13). The bulls see the move down as climactic. They hope to get a reversal from a parabolic wedge. The problem with the bull's case is that the bull bars have no sustained follow-through buying. They need to create consecutive bull bars trading near their high to convince traders that they are back on control. The move down has been strong. The market remain Always In Short. If there is a pullback, odds favor a second leg sideways to down to retest the current leg extreme low (Mar 13). There could be sellers above the first pullback from the 9-bar bear microchannel. For now, traders will see if the weekly candlestick will close with a long tail below (like the last 2 weeks). Or will the market retest yesterday's low and close the week near its low instead?
AMEX:SPY
by Tech_Trader88
SPY - support & resistant areas for today March 14, 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 10 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
2
Are Gold Miners Going Higher?Gold miners are one of the top-performing industries this year, and some traders may see further upside in a key ETF tracking the group. The first pattern on today’s chart of the VanEck Gold Miners ETF is the falling trendline along the highs of October and February. GDX cleared that resistance on Thursday, which may suggest a breakout is underway. Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) rose above the 200-day SMA in February and above the 100-day SMA in March. That alignment, with faster SMAs above slower SMAs, may be consistent with a longer-term uptrend. Third, the ETF peaked around $39 in December and bounced at the same level on February 28. Did old resistance become new support? Next, MACD just turned positive. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is also above the 21-day EMA. Those are potentially bullish short-term signals. Fifth, GDX remains below its 2020 high of $45.78 –- despite physical gold setting new records. The ETF is also still under peaks from early last decade. Investors may wonder whether the producing companies are undervalued on a relative basis. Finally, TradeStation data shows GDX averaging roughly 128,000 options per day in the last month. That may help traders position for moves with calls and puts. Standardized Performances for the ETF mentioned above: VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) 1-year: +52.63% 5-years: +34.98% 10-year: +83.14% (As of February 28, 2025) Exchange Traded Funds ("ETFs") are subject to management fees and other expenses. Before making investment decisions, investors should carefully read information found in the prospectus or summary prospectus, if available, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Click here to find the prospectus. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. Options trading is not suitable for all investors. Your TradeStation Securities’ account application to trade options will be considered and approved or disapproved based on all relevant factors, including your trading experience. See www.TradeStation.com . Visit www.TradeStation.com for full details on the costs and fees associated with options. Margin trading involves risks, and it is important that you fully understand those risks before trading on margin. The Margin Disclosure Statement outlines many of those risks, including that you can lose more funds than you deposit in your margin account; your brokerage firm can force the sale of securities in your account; your brokerage firm can sell your securities without contacting you; and you are not entitled to an extension of time on a margin call. Review the Margin Disclosure Statement at www.TradeStation.com . TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
AMEX:GDX
by TradeStation
5
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-14-25: Temp BottomToday's Cycle Pattern is a Temporary Bottom pattern. I suspect the markets may attempt to move a bit lower in early trading before attempting to find a new base/support level. Yesterday's low may prove to be very important depending on what the markets do today. Initially, I thought yesterday's low was the Temporary Bottom pattern (one day early). But, I do believe the markets will continue to be volatile in early trading today and may move downward to retest lows before trying to move higher - setting up the Temporary Bottom pattern. Gold and Silver will likely continue to melt upward unless there is some big news that disrupts the US Dollar's downward slide. I see Gold trying to rally above $3200 very quickly over the next 15+ days. Bitcoin is still consolidating and is currently in a short upward price phase (much like the SPY/QQQ). In fact, the SPY/QQQ and Bitcoin are all in an EPP consolidation phase. So, that means even though we may see a volatile type of price move over the next 15-30+ days, price is ultimately trapped in a consolidated price range and will/should attempt to break downward into the Ultimate Low. Therefore, if we get a moderate pullback/rally phase over the next 5+ trading days, be aware that the rally upward will end near March 21-24 and turn downward very sharply before the end of March (based on my research). You have lots of opportunity if this base sets up for a moderate rally in the SPY/QQQ, but play it cautiously as I don't believe we'll see new ATHs anytime soon. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
5
8% GDP growth for Vietnam, better than 5% for China, investable?Per Reuters, Vietnam is poised to grow at 6.5% to 8% for 2025 target. This is much higher than China of maintaining at 5%. Does a higher GDP growth translate to one parking funds to this country? Let's take a look at the VNM ETF. We can see since 2010 it has been heading south and has not yet recovered. That is 15 years , a very long long time. Almost more than 60% downfall from its peak of 32 dollars to current price of 12.44. It is not wise to invest just because the price has dropped significantly coz the low or lower price in weeks or months to come could stay for another 5-10 years. I don't know. One important factor in considering whether to invest is NOT to let mainstream news , no matter how popular they are, attention - grabbing titles or got 5 million views from some influencers promoting it. Get Real. Investing is to make long term returns and if after 15 years you are still bleeding , no matter big or small paper loss, it goes to show your initial selection of country/stock was wrong. Diversification then becomes an essential part of investing. The world do not operates on a linear basis, it goes in cycles much like the 4 seasons. With a good basket of different sectors stocks, you are protected from the down swing moves of one particular or heavily concentrated sector/country. So for example, when my US tech stocks is down like 10-12%, my HK/China tech stocks are rallying, this compensates and bring balance to my overall portfolio. This allows me to sleep better at night. What about you?
CBOE:VNM
by dchua1969
SMH make me Shake My Head...SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) Analysis & Prediction (March 14, 2025) ⸻ 1. Key Observations from the Chart ✅ Major Trendline Break • SMH has broken below its long-term rising trendline (yellow), indicating a shift from a bullish trend to a corrective phase. • The last time a similar break happened, a deeper correction followed before stabilizing. ✅ Key Support & Resistance Levels • Resistance Levels (Upside Targets) • $222.79 - $231.15 → Former support, now resistance zone. • $237.13 → Stronger resistance, where price previously rejected. • $242.32 → Major resistance, unlikely to be tested soon unless momentum shifts bullish. • Support Levels (Downside Risks) • $219.55 → Current support being tested. If it breaks, expect more downside. • $213.57 → Next key support level. • Below $213.57, further downside to ~$200 could be likely. ✅ Moving Averages Acting as Resistance • The 200-day EMA was broken & rejected, a strong bearish signal. ⸻ 2. Trend Analysis & Chart Patterns • Trend Breakdown: The long-term uptrend is broken, and price is trading under major EMAs. • Bearish Continuation Likely: If SMH fails to reclaim resistance, it could fall toward $213.57 or lower. ⸻ 3. Indicator Analysis 📉 Stochastic RSI (Momentum Indicator - Middle Panel) • Currently at 38.96, showing some attempt at stabilization but no confirmed bullish crossover. • Could still move lower before a true oversold bounce. 📉 MACD (Trend & Momentum - Bottom Panel) • Bearish MACD Cross Confirmed → MACD histogram turning deeply negative, showing strong downside momentum. • No signs of reversal yet. ⸻ 4. Prediction for Tomorrow (March 14, 2025) 🔵 Bullish Scenario (If SMH Holds $219.55 & Reclaims $222.79) • Trigger: If SMH bounces off $219.55 and breaks $222.79 • Target 1: $231.15 • Target 2: $237.13 • Probability: Medium (needs strong buying volume). 🔴 Bearish Scenario (If SMH Breaks Below $219.55 & Momentum Continues) • Trigger: If SMH falls under $219.55 and stays below • Target 1: $213.57 • Target 2: $200.00 (if selling accelerates) • Probability: High (Trend & momentum indicators suggest further downside). ⸻ Options Trading Strategies for SMH 🟢 Bullish Trade Ideas (If SMH Holds $219.55 & Breaks Above $222.79) 1. 0DTE Call Option (High Risk, High Reward) • Buy SMH $225 Call (Exp. 3/14) • Entry: If SMH breaks above $222.79 and holds • Exit Target: $231.15 • Stop-Loss: If SMH falls back below $219. 2. Bull Call Spread (Lower Risk) • Buy SMH $220 Call (Exp. 3/14) • Sell SMH $230 Call (Exp. 3/14) • Max Profit if SMH closes above $230 3. Sell a Bull Put Spread (Credit Strategy) • Sell SMH $220 Put • Buy SMH $215 Put • Profit if SMH stays above $220 ⸻ 🔴 Bearish Trade Ideas (If SMH Breaks Below $219.55 & Moves Toward $213.57) 1. 0DTE Put Option (High Risk, High Reward) • Buy SMH $215 Put (Exp. 3/14) • Entry: If SMH breaks below $219.55 • Exit Target: $213.57 • Stop-Loss: If SMH reclaims $222. 2. Bear Put Spread (Safer Play) • Buy SMH $220 Put (Exp. 3/14) • Sell SMH $210 Put (Exp. 3/14) • Max Profit if SMH closes below $210 3. Sell a Bear Call Spread (Credit Strategy) • Sell SMH $230 Call • Buy SMH $235 Call • Profit if SMH stays below $230 ⸻ 5. Conclusion: How to Trade SMH Tomorrow? • If SMH Holds $219.55 & Reclaims $222.79 → Go Long with Calls or Bullish Spreads • If SMH Breaks Below $219.55 → Go Short with Puts or Bearish Spreads • If Uncertain or Choppy → Iron Condor or Stay Out
NASDAQ:SMH
by ReadyFor401k
Is History Repeating on IWM?1. Historical Pattern Repeating? ✅ Symmetry Between 2021-2022 & 2024-2025 • Both price structures show an initial sharp rally, followed by a head-and-shoulders-type decline, then an extended bearish wave lower. • In 2022, IWM broke its long-term trendline (yellow) and crashed into a lower range. • Now in 2025, IWM is showing the same breakdown pattern below that same yellow trendline, suggesting another leg down. ✅ Fractal Pattern Match • The zigzag pattern (white lines) from 2021-2022 matches closely to the current market structure. • If this fractal pattern repeats, IWM could be heading for another prolonged decline toward $180 or lower. ✅ Major Resistance Held Strong • The yellow downward-sloping trendline acted as resistance in both 2021 & now in 2025. • This rejection in 2025 adds to the bearish probability of history repeating itself. ⸻ 2. Technical Indicators Confirm Bearish Bias 📉 Stochastic RSI (Momentum Indicator) • Currently oversold (~23.29), but no bullish reversal yet. • This suggests that momentum is still to the downside with no sign of a bounce. 📉 MACD (Trend & Momentum) • Bearish crossover confirmed, with the MACD histogram turning increasingly negative. • This reinforces that downward momentum is strong, aligning with the 2021 crash pattern. 📉 Moving Averages Acting as Resistance • The 200-day EMA (purple line) was broken & rejected, which is a strong bearish signal. • This rejection mirrors the 2021 rejection, which led to a deep sell-off. ⸻ 3. Price Targets & Potential Moves If IWM follows the 2021 fractal pattern, here’s where it could go: 🔴 Bearish Targets (If Breakdown Continues) • First Target: $190.00 → Minor support zone. • Second Target: $180.00 → Key historical support. • Final Target: $160.00 → Full fractal breakdown completion. 🟢 Bullish Reversal (Invalidation Point) • If IWM reclaims $204-$210, it could invalidate the pattern and start a recovery. • Breaking above the yellow trendline (~$210.85) would signal a bullish shift. ⸻ 4. How to Trade This Setup? 🔻 Bearish Trade Ideas (If IWM Stays Below $198.75 & Breaks $198.10) 1. 0DTE Put Option (High Risk, High Reward) • Buy IWM $195 Put (Exp. 3/14) • Target: $190.00 • Stop-Loss: If IWM reclaims $200. 2. Bear Put Spread (Safer Play) • Buy IWM $195 Put (Exp. 3/14) • Sell IWM $185 Put (Exp. 3/14) • Max Profit if IWM closes below $185. 3. Sell a Bear Call Spread (Credit Strategy) • Sell IWM $205 Call • Buy IWM $210 Call • Profit if IWM stays below $205. 🟢 Bullish Trade (If IWM Reclaims $204 & Breaks Above $210.85) • Buy IWM $210 Call (Exp. 3/14) → Target $217+ ⸻ 5. Conclusion – Is IWM Repeating the 2021 Crash? ✅ Yes, the fractal pattern suggests history is repeating. ✅ Downtrend confirmed, rejection at key resistance, and bearish indicators align. ✅ Watch for a break below $198.10 for further downside to $180-$160.
AMEX:IWM
by ReadyFor401k