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$SLV pullback before the real bull trend starts?Silver looks to be trading in a large rising wedge, I could see the possibility of a pretty substantial pullback should price break down from the pattern. We have the potential to fall between 30-60% from here should price break the pattern. The level to look for is a break of $22 on the downside, that will be the confirmation that we're moving lower. I've marked off important support levels on the downside if we break down. A break of the upper resistance would invalidate the idea.
AMEX:SLVShort
by benjihyam
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-23 : Rally-111 PatternToday's RALLY pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will continue to push higher, possibly breaking upper resistance near $550/493. As I suggested in this video, I believe the upward price trend bias will continue into Friday (4-25) and suddenly shift into a BEARISH price trend/bias early next week. The May 2-5 Major Bottom cycle low, my research predicts, will happen and should prompt a fairly strong downward price trend as we near the end of April and head into early May. Gold and Silver will likely consolidate a bit over the next 24-48 hours. So, this is a great time to pick lower entry price levels for LONGS/CALLS. Ultimately, I'm still expecting Gold to rally above $3750 before the end of May and attempt to target $4500++ before the end of June. BTCUSD is moving into a potential "INVALIDATION" phase. Although I'm currently estimating the probability of that invalidation at about 20-30%, it is still a valid price trend. I believe BTCUSD will shift into a downward price trend as the markets continue to unwind excesses through the May, July, and October lows, according to my cycles. The big opportunity for traders over the next 48 hours is playing the upward trend bias in the SPY/QQQ - then moving into a mode of preparation for next week's breakdown/downward price trend in the SPY/QQQ. So, play it smart. Follow the chart and don't try to be a superhero. Play what is in front of you and prepare for the bigger price swings headed into next week and beyond. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
7
SPY Setting Up for a Breakout? Gamma, Liquidity & TA Aligning 🔍GEX Analysis (Options Sentiment)
SPY is showing an impressive surge off the 508 HVL zone, with a clean stair-step climb supported by options flow. Gamma exposure is shifting favorably: * Strongest Call Wall sits at 528–530, where we see the highest positive NETGEX—aka the Gamma Wall. * Price is currently testing the 536 level, and the bulls are targeting 549 and potentially 561+ if momentum continues. * Options Oscillator shows notable GEX alignment (🟢🟢🟢) and IVR 48.8, suggesting room for more expansion. ➡️ Calls are in control (48.6%), and no major PUT pressure remains above 508. With IV contraction, theta decay is less brutal. This opens the door for short-dated call entries (0DTE to 3DTE) above 530.31 with stops below 526.61. Price Action & Trading Plan
On the 1H chart, SPY has broken out from a CHoCH + BOS structure, and we’re currently in a bullish continuation move. * Trend Strength: Strong Bullish * Market Structure: In premium but bullish hold. * Candle Volume: Thin, but breakout is supported by prior strong demand. * Setup: Long is forming – waiting for follow-through. 🔑 Key Levels: * Entry: Above 530.31 * Targets: 549 (RRR 1), 561.53 (RRR 2) * Invalidation: Below 526.61 🧠 My Thoughts
SPY is building momentum and options are reinforcing the move. The breakout through the HVL zone, combined with SMC-confirmed structure and GEX tailwinds, tells me the path of least resistance is up. Volume isn’t overly strong yet, so we need to monitor follow-through and not get trapped if a reversal forms near 540–549. If bulls defend 530, this could turn into a "home run" leg into the week. 🚨 Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and manage your risk accordingly.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
1
QQQ Ready to Rip Higher? Gamma Pressure + SMC Confirmation Align 🚀 QQQ is showing strong signs of continuation as we head into the next session. Let's break it down using both Options GEX sentiment and Smart Money Concepts (SMC) structure. 🔍 GEX Outlook (Options Sentiment) * Highest positive NETGEX sits at the 445–448 range, acting as a magnet. * We’ve already reclaimed the HVL support at 430, and the Options Oscillator is lighting up bullish. * Calls make up 26.9% of the flow and GEX flipped full green, meaning market makers are likely long gamma — pushing price toward resistance. * Resistance clusters: * 445–448: GEX9 and 2nd Call Wall. * 466.35 & 479.02: Target zones from price action. 💡 Options Trade Idea: 445C or 450C (0DTE–2DTE) — scalp toward the GEX magnet zone.
460C+ (Next Week) — swing if price holds above 447.8 and you want to play the extension to 466–479 range. 📈 Technical Analysis (SMC + Structure) * MTF trend bias: 30m & 1h bullish. * Strong bullish structure with ChoCH → BOS → rally confirmation. * Thin volume during this leg up is a cautionary flag — be selective with entries. * Price must hold above 447.8 to remain in bullish continuation. * If volume steps in, this could be a session high sweep with fuel left. * Setup: Bullish Hold * Entry: Await confirmation near 447.8 zone. * Target 1: 466.35 * Target 2: 479.02 * Stop: Below 441.01 🧠 My Thoughts: This looks like a textbook GEX compression + SMC breakout alignment. MM positioning is bullish and technicals are lining up with a classic continuation pattern. However, thin volume could mean a stall or trap — I’d stay nimble, scale in on dips, and tighten stops once we push into the 455–460 zone.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 23, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 U.S.–China Trade Tensions Ease: President Trump announced plans to "substantially" reduce tariffs on Chinese imports, signaling a potential de-escalation in the trade war. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent labeled the current tariffs as "unsustainable," and the IMF warned of a "major negative shock" to global growth due to the ongoing trade conflict. 📉 Tesla's Profit Decline: Tesla reported a 71% drop in Q1 profits, attributing the decline to backlash over CEO Elon Musk's involvement in government affairs. Musk announced plans to reduce his role in the "Department of Government Efficiency" (Doge) starting in May. ​ 🛫 Boeing's Earnings Under Scrutiny: Boeing is set to report earnings, with investors closely watching for impacts of trade tensions on Chinese plane deliveries. The company's performance is seen as a bellwether for the aerospace sector amid global economic uncertainties. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, April 23: 🏠 New Home Sales (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 675,000 Previous: 662,000 Measures the annualized number of newly constructed homes sold, indicating housing market strength.​ 📈 S&P Global Manufacturing & Services PMI (9:45 AM ET): Manufacturing Forecast: 49.5 Services Forecast: 51.0 Provides insight into the economic health of the manufacturing and services sectors.​ 🛢️ EIA Crude Oil Inventory Report (10:30 AM ET): Reports on the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by U.S. firms, influencing oil prices and energy sector performance.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
WNTR is Coming and the bears will be roam like white walkersPicture this, my pretties: it’s late 2025, and the crypto market’s a ghost town, ravaged by the icy claws of a crypto winter. Bitcoin, that sanctimonious coin-king, stumbles like a peasant I’ve drained dry, and MicroStrategy (MSTR), that Bitcoin-stuffed hog will collapse under its own greed. Enter the WNTR ETF, the YieldMax MSTR Short Option Income Strategy ETF, a sinister brew designed to fatten my coffers when MSTR’s pulse fades. This ain’t just an ETF; it’s a blood oath to thrive when the crypto market bleeds. Why should you care, you nocturnal nibblers? Because WNTR is my bear market hard on. As MSTR and Bitcoin crumble, WNTR rises like a bat from the shadows, its inverse magic turning their death throes into a banquet of tendies. But beware, my lovely bears, in the sunlit days of a bull market, WNTR wilts like me at dawn. As of April 2025, with crypto still riding a post-halving high, WNTR’s slumped to $46.76, down from $50.94. Yet, when the winter winds howl, this beast could soar, a phoenix of profit rising from the market’s frozen ashes. Crypto winters... Those glorious epochs when the market’s veins run cold, and the weak are culled like lambs at my altar. These ain’t mere dips; they’re prolonged bear markets, dripping with double-digit price drops and the sobs of retail mortals and disconnected high tower boys in white shirts. Remember the long night of late 2017 to December 2020? Bitcoin plunged from $20,000 to $3,000—an 85% descent into my crypt. Another hit in 2022, sparked by TerraUSD and Celsius Network imploding, leaving a trail of bankruptcies tastier than a virgin’s neck. These winters stalk the heels of Bitcoin’s halving events and those quadrennial rites where mining rewards are slashed, tightening the supply and sparking bull runs… until the inevitable crash. If history’s my grimoire, the market peaks around late 2025 to early 2026, then plunges into the next crypto winter. Mark your calendars, my fiends, is when the feast nears. What’s WNTR mean in this gothic tale? It’s a two-faced fiend, my darlings. In the first year post-halving, as bulls charge and Bitcoin soars, WNTR’s a shriveled husk, its dividends a mere trickle of blood. But when the winter descends, and bears roam free, WNTR transforms into a gushing vein, its value swelling as MSTR and Bitcoin bleed out. Think of WNTR as your income hedge, a way to sip the market’s essence no matter the season. In bull markets, I wanna reinvest WNTR’s dividends into YBIT or other crypto toys, letting them fatten on mortal optimism. When the winter bites, I wanna shift your fangs: use WNTR’s income to buy Bitcoin on the cheap as it sinks, or sell off WNTR shares in profit if you are above various % of average cost basis. The cold deepens, pocketing gains while the bulls cry into their blockchain Kool-Aid. It’s a dance of darkness, and I’m an undead maestro. The Blood Ritual: How to Feast Here’s how you, my fellow nightwalkers, can join the carnage: Track the Halving Pulse: The next crypto winter looms around late 2025 or early 2026. Watch Bitcoin’s post-halving strut—when the euphoria peaks, the fall is nigh. Listen for the cracks in coinbase, mstr, for the unraveling of the great tarrif tsar era. Stock the Crypt with WNTR when the trend reverses: As the market cracks, hoard WNTR shares. Its price may be low now, but in winter’s depths, it could spike like my fangs on a full moon. Reinvest Like a Leech: In bull markets, funnel WNTR’s dividends into crypto gains. In bear markets, buy the Bitcoin dip or cash out WNTR for profit. Flee the Dawn: WNTR’s a creature of the night. When bulls return, its power fades. Time your exit, lest you burn in the sunlight. This ain’t for the faint-hearted, my pretties. WNTR’s a leveraged beast, riskier than a sunrise stroll. Volatility decay can stake your gains, and if MSTR rallies, your losses’ll hit faster than a hedgie fleeing a margin call. Do your own necromancy and scour the ancient texts (or a financial advisor) and never YOLO your entire crypt. The market’s feral, crypto winters are feraler, and WNTR’s the feralest of all. So, as the crypto winter looms, heed this, my degens: the bears are coming, and they hunger. With WNTR in your claws, you can turn their feast into yours. Snort wisely, or crumble to dust. Disclaimer: This is unholy entertainment, not mortal advice. Investing in WNTR is dicier than a daylight dash, and you could lose your blood money. Do your own research, don’t YOLO your crypt, and maybe consult a living advisor instead of a WSB vampire. Feast at your own peril.
AMEX:WNTR
by livingdracula
SPY Falling Wedge Into Support SPY forming a descending wedge after an extreme sell off, one of the fastest declines in recent history. This wedge style pattern tends to be the result of sharp move in a particular direction, in this case downward as temporary relief before continuiing in the direction of the larger trend. Ill be looking for liquidity to enter the market on the thursday / friday session for a potential bounce. If not, then its likely the market will be in for a rough spring.
AMEX:SPYLong
by afurs1