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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-20 : Pause Bar PatternToday's Pause Bar pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will slide into a sideways type of PAUSE in price action today. I'm not expecting much to happen and if we do see any breakaway or breakdown trending it will likely be related to news. While we have options expiration today and a host of other things that could drive the markets, I believe the markets are struggling to find direction right now. Thus, a pause in trading would be somewhat normal after a holiday-shortened trading week. Gold and Silver are struggling after a brief rally last week. I believe this is fear related to the Israel/Iran conflict. Metals should continue to move higher. BTCUSD is slightly higher (forgot to cover BTCUSD in the video), but not moving into a breakaway phase. Overall, everything is very flat in early trading today. It may stay that way with my PAUSE BAR pattern. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
2
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 20, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 20, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏦 Fed Holds Rates, Warns on Tariffs Fed kept interest rates steady on June 19, cautioning that tariffs could stoke inflation and slow growth. Inflation projections were raised from 2.7% to 3.0%, while growth estimates were revised lower to 1.4% 🌍 Middle East Risk Drags Markets Global stocks fell and safe-haven assets surged after U.S. futures weakened amid heightened tensions in the Israel–Iran conflict. Yields were mixed: gold weakened and bonds gained, while oil held steady near seven-week highs 📈 Treasury Yields Edge Higher Despite safe-haven demand, U.S. 10‑year yields ticked up as markets absorbed the Fed’s updated rate outlook. The yield curve remains elevated ahead of next week’s $38 bn auction of long-dated notes 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, June 20: (No major U.S. economic reports) Markets will be driven by Fed commentary follow-ups and geopolitical headlines over the weekend. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #geopolitics #fixedincome #inflation #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Small Caps about to get SlammedThe IWM has been trading inside this upward sloping wedge/bear flag for a few months. It just broke the bear flag this week and then tested the underside of it as resistance before getting rejected. This area also happens to be a golden pocket retracement zone from a Fibonacci I have drawn from the all-time highs made in November of last year to the lows made 2 months ago in April. The next probable move is back down to target 1 at the bottom of the Fibonacci retracement at $171. These golden pocket retracements have a very high probability of moving back down to the bottom of the retracement, sometimes breaking lower. This area at $171 has a lot of support but if it breaks, I expect it to come down to the orange line which is an upward sloping paralell channel that the IWM has been trading in since the financial crisis of 2008. The bottom of said channel connects the 2009 lows through the covid lows of 2020. This area also happens to be the -0.618 Fibonacci retracement area, it would be the 3rd hit of the bottom this major weekly channel and would very likely contain the lows for the current bear market.
AMEX:IWMShort
by bradc1984
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-19: GAP Reversal Counter TrendToday's pattern is a GAP Reversal in Counter Trend mode. I believe this could represent a breakdown in the ES/NQ as the US stock market is closed for the Juneteenth holiday. Obviously, after the Fed comments yesterday (stating "uncertainty") and with the continued Israel/Iran conflict playing out, it makes sense to me that the US markets would move into a pre-weekend consolidation phase. Even though the US stock market will be closed, the futures market will likely stay open and will carry some general market sentiment and reactions to news. Watching Gold/Silver and Bitcoin should be very interesting today. I suspect the markets will continue to consolidate downward today - leading to a potential breakdown seeking support day on Friday. Buckle up. We'll likely have 3-5+ days of news related to the Israel/Iran conflict and other issues over this weekend. It could be very interesting to see how the global markets move through this news. Get some. Happy Juneteenth #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
9
Semiconductors into MAJOR resistanceAs you can see from this weekly chart, the semiconductors have tried three different times to get above this trend line and have gotten rejected all three times. Could it go higher from here? Of course it could, but you have to ask yourself what are the probabilities that it will continue to go up through all this heavy resistance? Not very good is the answer. A close above last weeks candle would confirm a breakout, otherwise, bearish view remains intact.
NASDAQ:SMHShort
by bradc1984
QQQ Potential *Short Term Bearish SetupAfter studying the HTF here is what I am seeing as a potential setup forming. We formed a HTF MSS on the 4H close to ATH leaving an epic equal high to come back to later. I am looking for a candle body closures *BELOW lows to confirm as we leave the MSS yellow zone and head to TP1 (-1). Once we approach TP2 (-2) we are entering another HTF BULLISH MSS. If this zone holds and we start seeing candle *BODY closures *ABOVE highs then my bias will no longer be bearish.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by DivergentTrades
SPY: What's Next After the Resistance Retest? The price action of SPY, shows a significant decline from early February highs, followed by a strong recovery and an established uptrend from mid-April. Price is currently testing the "Previous Flip Zone" (indicated by the purple shaded area), a level that previously acted as support before the market's sharp decline and has since been retested as resistance. The "All time High 613" is marked as a major overhead resistance level, representing the peak achieved before the February drawdown. An "Intermediate Support" zone is identified between 590 and 592, coinciding with the upward-sloping green trendline that has supported the recent rally. A "Key Area" of support is highlighted further down between 576 and 582, indicating a more substantial demand zone should the intermediate support be breached. Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
AMEX:SPYLong
by ManiMarkets
QQQ: All-Time High Resistance vs. Strong Trendline Support• Approaching All-Time High Resistance: QQQ is currently trading directly beneath its all-time high of $541 and is encountering a robust overhead resistance zone, indicating a critical test for bullish momentum. • Strong Ascending Trendline Support: The price action is consistently supported by a well-defined ascending trendline (green), which has successfully held on multiple tests, signaling an intact short-term bullish trend. • Key Horizontal Support Levels: Below the current price, immediate support is identified at $522, with a more substantial "Key Area" of demand observed between $505 and $510, offering deeper potential support. • Prior Trend Reversal Confirmed: Earlier in the chart, QQQ successfully broke above a significant descending resistance trendline (red), which had previously capped rallies, confirming a shift from a bearish to a more bullish market structure. • Foundational Breakout Level: The $494 level, marked as a "Recent Breakout Level," now acts as a key historical resistance-turned-support, providing a foundational base for the current upward movement. Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by ManiMarkets
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-18 : GAP Potential PatternToday's GAP Potential pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ may GAP a bit higher at the open, then move into a melt-up phase, trying to identify resistance, then roll into a topping pattern and move downward. I believe the recent "rollover" of the markets (initiating last Friday with the Israel/Iran conflict) is still dominating the markets and news related to the ongoing conflict could drive a moderate pullback in US assets. Headed into the Juneteenth holiday (Thursday, June 19), I suggest traders prepare for the US markets to move into somewhat of a SETTLEMENT mode today - where traders don't want to hold too many open positions into Friday's trading. Additionally, Gold and Silver could move into a very strong upward price move over the next 4-5+ days. So be prepared for metals to hedge risks when the US stock market is closed. BTCUSD seems to be struggling into the FLAG APEX. I'm waiting to see if my FLAG count is correct and if we get the breakdown in BTCUSD as I expect. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
1
DRIP — Geopolitical Oil Risk Creates a Buying OpportunityDRIP (inverse 2x ETF on US oil & gas exploration/production) is approaching a key technical support zone. While oil may continue rising short term due to geopolitical tensions — especially US-Iran risks and Middle East instability — this short-term pressure could push DRIP lower toward the $5.00–6.00 area. That zone aligns with strong historical reversal points and trend support. From there, a rebound toward $12.00–20.00 is technically and fundamentally possible, offering 30–50%+ profit potential. I’m planning staged entries in the marked range, managing risk with awareness of commodity market volatility and global uncertainty.
AMEX:DRIPShort
by InvestWorld_777
Rising Geopolitical Tension (Iran Conflict) Signals Market RiskMoving Partially to Cash (VEA, QQQ, TQQQ, SPY, TECL, SOXL) The global market is entering a high-risk environment. Geopolitical escalation, particularly the growing threat of direct US involvement in a military conflict with Iran, is pushing global uncertainty to new highs. Tensions in the Middle East, rising oil and gold volatility, and increased friction between major world powers all point toward a potential market breakdown. On the chart, VEA ETF is showing signs of topping out within a rising wedge pattern. Meanwhile, institutional funds are starting to reduce exposure to high-risk assets. I'm taking partial profits and shifting to cash across VEA, QQQ, TQQQ, SPY, SOXL, and TECL to preserve gains. Buy-back zones are set around 53.00, 48.00, and 44.00. In an environment of global escalation and rapid risk-off sentiment, active portfolio defense is more important than passive hope.
AMEX:VEAShort
by InvestWorld_777