GOLD drops sharply to 3300 and found important support areaThe recent bearish momentum on GOLD has met a good support zone and at present we started to see early signs of bullish interest returning, right after we got a beautiful rejection from the zone.
Currently I’m expecting for the price to bounce to the target near 3,390 . If this bullish push continues with strong volume and momentum, I’ll be locking in that bias and planning my entry accordingly. I could get involved right here for a more aggressive entry. It’s a bit riskier, but if the structure confirms, I’m more than happy to take the shot, as sometimes the best trades come when you trust your setup.
This is not financial advice.
Futures market
GOLD → Local bearish trend. Retest of support.FX:XAUUSD is technically looking a little weak. Support is being retested amid de-escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East. Interest in the metal is waning.
On Friday, gold remains under pressure ahead of data on the core PCE index, a key inflation indicator for the Fed. If inflation turns out to be higher than expected, this could strengthen expectations of a rate cut as early as July, supporting gold. The probability of a July cut is currently estimated at 21%, and 75% for September. Amid dollar volatility caused by rumors of a possible Fed chair replacement and trade negotiations with the EU and China, traders remain cautious, awaiting clarity on inflation and monetary policy
Technically, before falling, gold may form a correction to 3320 (liquidity capture).
Resistance levels: 3320, 3336, 3347
Support levels: 3293, 3271
If the fundamental background remains unchanged and gold continues to decline towards support at 3293 and break through this level, the breakout could lead to a fall to 3271. However, I do not rule out the possibility that after a sharp decline, a correction to 3320 could form before the fall.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold may bounce up from support line of channel to 3330 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Previously, the price broke out of a symmetrical triangle and moved confidently toward the seller zone. However, it failed to consolidate there and formed a downward channel, where price action has remained since. The movement inside this channel has been consistent, respecting both the resistance and support lines. After reaching the lower boundary, the price bounced up and approached the resistance area (3290 - 3300), which now acts as a key short-term obstacle. This zone was tested multiple times and served as support earlier, making it a strong technical level. Currently, the price is trading just below this zone and forming a base for the next move. I expect a possible retest of the support line of the downward channel, which may provide the impulse needed for a new upward move. In my opinion, the price will rebound from the bottom of the channel and start to grow toward the current resistance level at 3300. If this level is broken and confirmed via a retest, I expect continued movement toward the channel’s upper resistance line. That’s why I set my TP 1 at 3330 points, right near the resistance line of the channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A fantastic close to the week as our analysis once again played out level to level with precision!
As a follow-up from yesterday's post:
- The swing range completed the move into 3348, as expected.
- However, we had no further EMA5 lock above, confirming rejection back into the swing range.
- This was followed by an EMA5 cross and lock below 3306, opening the secondary swing range.
- That range played out perfectly today, hitting both 3288 and 3271 targets.
We’re now seeing a bounce off those levels giving the 20 to 40 pips, and we will now be observing to see if the full secondary swing is completed.
It's Friday, and it's been a PIPTASTIC week across the board. Well done to everyone following the plan and sticking to the levels.
QUICK RECAP
BULLISH TARGET
3376 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
3348 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3330 - DONE
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3288 - DONE
3271 - DONE
We’ll be back now on Sunday with our multi-timeframe analysis and trading plans for the week ahead. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Lingrid | GOLD Bear Channel Break: Short OpportunityOANDA:XAUUSD has broken down from the upward channel and is now trading below the key 3,321 level, which previously served as support. The price is forming a bearish structure beneath the black and blue trendlines, with 3,250 emerging as the next potential target. A minor relief bounce could retest 3,320, but rejection here would reinforce downside continuation.
📈 Key Levels
Sell zone: 3,315–3,330
Sell trigger: rejection below 3,321
Target: 3,250
Sell confirmation: breakdown from 3,285 with momentum
💡 Risks
False breakout above 3,321 could trap sellers
Weak bearish momentum may result in sideways chop
Re-entry into channel could negate bearish outlook
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Gold: A Bearish Outlook - Another Point of ViewGold: A Bearish Outlook - Another Point of View
Since yesterday, gold has not moved much despite the situation in the Middle East looking calm and stable for the moment.
In a normal market, gold should have started another downward wave, given that a ceasefire was reached between the influential countries and a war that could have lasted for years given their military arsenal.
Yesterday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell testified for the second day and his comments were aggressive, despite being provoked by many of Trump's supporters with very aggressive tones. This was probably one reason why the US dollar did not show strength.
However, gold is a safe-haven asset and if it is to respect its status, chances are it will fall further, at least as a profitable moment, because all the important events have ended so far. It could create a possible reversal from the current area as shown in the chart.
Key downside targets: 3314.50, 3300, 3285, and 3270.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Trade Setup – June 27, 2025Entry Point: Around 3,300.98 USD
Stop Loss (SL): ~3,312.20 USD
Take Profit (TP): 3,229.33 USD
Current Price: 3,286.15 USD
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:6.3
(Potential reward ≈ 71.65 pts; risk ≈ 11.22 pts)
Technical Breakdown:
Trend:
The price is in a short-term downtrend, supported by:
Lower highs and lower lows.
Price trading below both 50 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (blue), confirming bearish momentum.
Bearish Breakout:
Price broke below a key support-turned-resistance zone near 3,300–3,302, triggering sell pressure.
Resistance Area:
Strong rejection at 3,302–3,312 zone, which is now acting as resistance.
SL is placed just above this zone to protect against false breakouts.
Target Zone:
TP set at 3,229.33, aligning with a previous support zone — a logical area for price to react.
Strategy Notes:
Bias: Bearish
Entry confirmation: Already triggered.
Risk Management: SL placement is tight and strategic; RR ratio is highly favorable.
Next support below TP: If 3,229 breaks, further downside could follow.
Summary:
This setup shows a well-defined bearish continuation with a clean break of support, a controlled SL above resistance, and a strong RR ratio. A suitable trade for trend-following strategies, but price must not retrace above 3,312 for this idea to remain valid.
GOLD → Within range. Retest resistance at 3347FX:XAUUSD continues to correct after a false breakdown of support at 3300. Due to uncertainty, the price may remain in the range of 3300-3340 for some time.
Gold is fluctuating amid a weak dollar and uncertainty over Fed rates. Gold is struggling to hold on after rebounding from weekly lows, despite the US dollar falling to multi-year lows. Pressure on the dollar has intensified due to Trump's criticism of the Fed and rumors of a possible replacement for Powell. However, gold is limited in its growth due to a pause in geopolitical tensions and hawkish signals from the Fed chair. Investors are awaiting key macro data from the US (e 12:30 GMT Durable goods orders, GDP, Initial Jobless Claims) and especially the PCE inflation report on Friday.
Technically, the focus is on key areas of interest: 3300, 3306, 3340, 3347. Until strong news emerges, an intraday trading strategy should be considered.
Resistance levels: 3347, 3357
Support levels: 3320, 3307, 3300
Technically, a false breakout of resistance at 3347 and a retest of the local liquidity zone at 3320-3307 are possible before growth continues for the reasons mentioned above. Targets could be 3347, 3364, 3372, and 3396.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Slides Further as Market Risk Eases and Inflation LoomsGold Slides Further as Market Risk Eases and Inflation Looms
Gold continues to extend its downward momentum for the second consecutive week, sliding from 3451 to 3283—a decline of nearly 4.85% in just 10 days.
Today, all eyes are on the U.S. inflation data. While the broader market reaction remains uncertain, gold appears particularly vulnerable to further downside pressure.
The temporary ceasefire between Israel and Iran, coupled with advances in the U.S.-China trade talks, has eased geopolitical tensions, diminishing the immediate appeal of safe-haven assets like gold.
Even if prices rebound toward 3300 or even 3350 in a deeper pullback, the overall trend remains bearish.
PS: This analysis assumes normal market conditions and excludes the influence of potential manipulation.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Previous analysis:
XAUUSD-Gold stalls below $3350 as USD weakness continuesGold remains delicately balanced as traders in Asia and Europe proceed with caution. Despite recent USD weakness lending some support, buyers haven’t broken above $3350.
📉 USD Weakness & Market Sentiment – Fragile Recovery?
🔻 Dollar Wobbles: Talk of Fed leadership change is stirring doubt over the USD’s trajectory, adding political risk that may benefit gold.
⚖️ Mixed Sentiment: Gold consolidates in a tight range after early‑week drop. With PCE data and Fed speeches ahead, traders await the next catalyst.
📊 Technical Structure – Consolidation Underway
Gold trades below short‑term EMAs, hinting at a bearish pause or stealth accumulation. Current levels near $329X.
Key Zones:
🟢 Demand (Buy): $3264 / $3276 / $3294
🔴 Supply (Sell): $3313 / $3321 / $3330 / $3341
🎯 Intraday Trading Plan:
🛒 BUY ZONE: $3264–$3266 (SL: $3270; TPs: $3280 → … → $3320)
⚡️ BUY SCALP: $3282–$3284 (SL: $3278; TPs: $3288 → … → $3330)
📉 SELL ZONE: $3331–$3333 (SL: $3337; TPs: $3326 → … → $3300)
⚠️ SELL SCALP: $3313–$3315 (SL: $3320; TPs: $3310 → … → $3280)
🧭 Watchlist: Friday’s PCE, Fed commentary & Middle East tensions may sway price
(XAG/USD – Silver vs USD–3h timeframe) Head and Shoulder Pattern(XAG/USD – Silver vs USD – 3h timeframe), a Head and Shoulders pattern is clearly marked, which is a bearish reversal signal.
Key Details:
Pattern: Head and Shoulders
Neckline: Approximately at the 35.90–36.00 level
Breakout Direction: Down
Measured Move Target Method: To estimate the target, subtract the height from the head to the neckline from the neckline level.
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Target Estimation:
Head High: ~36.95
Neckline Level: ~35.90
→ Difference: 36.95 - 35.90 = 1.05
Target 1 (conservative): 35.90 - 1.05 = 34.85
Target 2 (aggressive): Based on the secondary arrow and extended support, it's pointing toward ~34.00–34.20
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📉 Final Targets:
✅ First Target: 34.85
✅ Second Target: 34.00–34.20 (if bearish momentum continues)
Let me know if you want stop-loss or risk management levels included.
XAUUSD: We must adapt to the market conditions! Bears in ChargeGold prices dropped as Trump announced a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, causing a significant decline. We anticipate this trend to persist, as recent price data, including volume and price momentum, indicates a strong seller’s control in the current market conditions. We have two targets for you to set your own based on your analysis, along with a stop-loss based on your strategy.
We appreciate your unwavering support throughout the years. Please like and comment.
Team Setupsfx_
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XAUUSD : Ready for More Upside Before Another Fall ?By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that price initially followed our bullish scenario, climbing 140 pips up to $3336. However, after hitting that level, gold reversed and entered the bearish scenario, dropping below $3300 and eventually finding support around $3255.
This area acted as a strong demand zone, and we’ve since seen a rebound. Currently, gold is trading around $3273, and as long as price holds above the marked demand zone (Bullish Rejection Block), we may expect another bullish move before price potentially targets the liquidity below $3245 and $3203.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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XAUUAD Reversal Setup Short Trade Opportunity Below Resistance Current Price: 3,327.56 USD
Entry Point: 3,332.67 USD
Stop Loss: 3,342.45 USD
Take Profit Levels:
Target 1 (Downside): 3,294.45 USD (-1.17%)
Target 2 (Upside): 3,393.78 USD (+1.50%)
🔧 Technical Indicators & Tools
Trade Line: Upward sloping trendline connecting higher lows, supporting recent bullish structure.
Moving Averages:
Red: Short-term (likely 50-period EMA)
Blue: Long-term (likely 200-period EMA)
Price is still trading below the long-term MA, suggesting broader bearish pressure.
Resistance Zone: 3,334.96–3,341.30 — a key supply area marked in purple.
Support Zone: 3,294.45 — identified as a previous demand level.
⚖️ Risk-Reward Analysis
Short Setup:
Entry: 3,332.67
Stop Loss: 3,342.45 (Risk ~10 USD)
Target: 3,294.45 (Reward ~38 USD)
R:R Ratio ≈ 1:3.8, which is favorable for a short trade.
📌 Summary
Bias: Bearish intraday
Setup Type: Short-sell at resistance zone
Confirmation: Price rejection or bearish candle near 3,334–3,342 zone
Invalidation: Break and close above 3,351.06 (upper resistance)
Gold Price Hits Key Demand Zone – Reversal Pattern Forming”🔍 Market Context:
Gold (XAU/USD) has recently revisited a historical demand zone around the $3,288–$3,295 level — an area that previously triggered strong bullish moves (see arrows on left structure). This zone has consistently acted as a bullish inflection point, with high-probability reversals following prior visits.
📊 Technical Analysis Breakdown:
Previous Rally (Left Side):
The strong impulsive move from this zone (marked by blue arrows) laid the foundation for the bullish bias, further confirmed by the breakout rally.
Mid-Chart Consolidation (Yellow/Green Zones):
A large period of range-bound consolidation followed the rally, suggesting accumulation or distribution. Breakout from this structure eventually led to a significant bearish correction (red channel).
Current Structure (Right Side):
Price has once again reached the critical support, where we observe:
A possible double-bottom or sweep of liquidity below the previous lows.
Bullish divergence (if confirmed on lower TF indicators such as RSI or MACD).
A projected recovery path toward the $3,360 zone (highlighted in green).
⚠ Bearish Scenario to Watch: A clean break and close below $3,288 with volume could invalidate the bullish thesis and expose the next downside targets toward the $3,240 and $3,220 levels. Always manage risk accordingly.
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🧭 Why This Setup Matters:
This chart isn’t just about a potential bounce — it’s about understanding market psychology at a key demand zone. If bulls defend this area again, it reinforces the narrative of smart money accumulation. If not, it could be the early stages of a much deeper correction.
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🎯 Trade Setup (Example, Not Financial Advice):
Entry Idea: Wait for bullish confirmation via 15m–1h candle closure above $3,305
Stop-Loss: Below $3,280
Target 1: $3,340
Target 2: $3,360
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✅ Tips to Further Improve Your TradingView Post:
📌 Use annotated labels directly on your chart (e.g., “Demand Zone,” “Liquidity Sweep,” “Range Breakout”).
📈 Add RSI or MACD indicators if you mention divergence — this supports your logic.
💬 End your post with a question to engage readers:
“Will Gold hold the line again — or is this just a bull trap before deeper downside?”
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🧱 Summary
This post shows:
Depth: Explains price behavior and structure shifts.
Clarity: Uses clean, jargon-free language with trader-relevant terms.
Originality: Connects structure, psychology, and tactical planning.
Engagement: Encourages readers to interact and think critically.
Where will gold go?In 4 hours, it has fallen below the previous low of 3295, and will continue to fall. There are two supports below, namely 3280 and 3265. Don't expect a big rebound before going short in a negative market. If the rebound is large, it will not fall. This kind of negative decline is generally judged by the 15- and 30-minute patterns. When resistance appears in the big cycle, the market has actually fallen a lot.
Today, I think the pressure is mainly in the 3300 and 3310 areas. 3310 can be considered as the pressure of the top and bottom conversion. Pay attention to 3280 and 3265 below. If you consider going long, these two positions are the main positions. For the time being, the general direction is mainly short.
Gold Price Rebounds from Support Zone – Potential Breakout Above🟡 Gold (XAU/USD) | Rejection from Support with Potential Bullish Continuation
Published: June 26, 2025
Timeframe: 30-Minute | Broker: OANDA
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🎯 Summary
Gold appears to be staging a potential bullish reversal after a strong reaction off a key support zone around $3,300, with a rising channel formation and higher lows hinting at a break above short-term resistance. This could set up a test of the $3,360–$3,370 level in the near term.
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📊 Technical Breakdown
🔹 Support Rejection & Structure
Price action found strong demand at the $3,300–$3,310 zone (highlighted by the orange circles and green arrows).
Multiple rejections from this zone indicate the presence of institutional buying or defended liquidity.
The current price action respects a rising channel, forming consecutive higher lows, a bullish market structure in the short term.
🔹 Resistance & Breakout Potential
Price is approaching a key horizontal resistance at $3,355–$3,360.
A clean break and hold above this level could trigger a continuation toward the next liquidity zone near $3,380+, aligning with prior consolidation (green box region).
🔹 Ichimoku Cloud Analysis
The price is testing the Kumo cloud from below.
A bullish crossover and breakout above the cloud would further confirm bullish momentum.
Leading Span A is flattening, suggesting a potential equilibrium shift in favor of buyers.
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🧠 Strategic Insight
What sets this chart apart is the clear confluence of signals:
Structural support,
Bullish channel formation,
Repeated higher lows,
A squeeze against resistance.
This paints a scenario where smart money may be accumulating before a breakout. The anticipated move is not merely reactive — it's rooted in fractal price behavior, cloud dynamics, and accumulation logic.
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📌 Trade Scenario (Not Financial Advice)
Bullish Case:
A breakout above $3,360, ideally with volume confirmation, opens the door for a move to $3,380–$3,390. Watch for retests of the breakout zone for potential entries.
Bearish Invalidator:
A close below $3,320 would invalidate the ascending channel and shift short-term sentiment back to neutral or bearish.
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💡 Original Perspective
While many traders focus on the breakout itself, this idea emphasizes the accumulation phase and higher-lows within a compression zone — a subtle yet powerful clue of institutional activity. This nuanced approach provides a layer of depth often overlooked in short-timeframe charts.
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📣 Community Prompt
🔍 What’s your view on Gold's behavior at this resistance? Are you seeing similar higher-timeframe confluence? Drop your thoughts or alternate views in the comments!
DeGRAM | GOLD broke the demand zone📊 Technical Analysis
● Price sliced beneath the long-term rising‐channel base and the triangle apex, turning 3 300-3 310 into fresh supply; the current pull-back is a textbook bearish retest of the break zone.
● Hourly structure now tracks a new descending trend-line; failure to reclaim 3 300 keeps momentum pointed to the next fib / horizontal shelf at 3 280, with the channel width projecting 3 245 support.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Rebound in US 2-yr yields after hawkish Fed speakers and a stronger-than-expected durable-goods print lifted the DXY, reducing short-term bullion appeal.
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Lingrid | GOLD Potential Bullish Reversal TradeOANDA:XAUUSD is rebounding from key structure support after forming a double-leg corrective move inside an expanding triangle. Price has reclaimed the 3,324 zone, aligning with the trendline and support confluence, suggesting a short-term bullish bias. If this rebound sustains, gold could retest the 3,380 barrier before eyeing the 3,450 resistance ceiling. A rejection from mid-levels would reintroduce downside pressure toward the 3,246 zone.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 3,320–3,330
Sell trigger: break below 3,324
Target: 3,450
Buy trigger: strong candle close above 3,380
💡 Risks
Weak volume could stall upside continuation
Failure to hold the trendline may drag price toward 3,246
Broader resistance zone between 3,380–3,450 could limit upside momentum
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Gold's Decline Not Over (Yet)#Gold is in a declining pattern that appears incomplete. Here are 2 models we are following closely.
1. A decline in wave (iii) of ((c)) - targeting $3,120
2. A decline in wave iii of (ii) - targeting $3,220-3,240
Both models imply the current decline is not over.
FLAT PATTERN
The flat pattern subdivides as a 3-3-5 ((a))-((b))-((c)) pattern. The decline appears to be in the latter stages of this pattern, wave ((c)).
This wave needs to unfold as a motive 5-wave pattern...it appears we are in the 3rd wave decline so a couple of more trends lower. The flat targets $3,120.
LEADING DIAGONAL
The leading diagonal is a motive pattern labeled i-ii-iii-iv-v. The leading diagonal pattern is already complete and now a partial retracement lower of the diagonal is underway. This partial retracement likely carries to $3,220-$3,240.
Under both scenarios, once they are complete, a strong rally is likely to follow. However, the downtrends need more price and time to develop so the rallies are on hold for the moment.
HelenP. I Gold will rebound up from trend line to $3400 levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After looking at this chart, we can see how the price after a prolonged consolidation inside a large wedge pattern, XAUUSD, approached the ascending trend line again - this line has acted as a key support several times in the past. This time is no exception: the price reacted to it with a bullish bounce. We can see a confluence here — trend line support coincides with the lower boundary of the wedge and the local support zone at 3270 - 3250 points. Now the price is trading above this line, showing early signs of recovery. Given the symmetry of this structure and past behavior, I expect gold to continue rising from current levels. The nearest major obstacle lies in the resistance zone around 3400 - 3420, which acted as a turning point before. That’s why my current goal is set at the 3400 level. If bulls hold the trend line, we may see a steady move toward this key resistance. Given the trend line reaction, wedge structure, and current momentum, I remain bullish and expect further growth. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
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