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Gold retreats but remains supported by macro tailwindsXAUUSD pared recent gains following a retreat below the channel's upper bound and resistance at 3150. The price remains in an uptrend, holding above the Ichimoku Cloud and within the ascending channel. However, should the price experience a retracement, a throwback to the 3050 support may occur. Conversely, regaining its bullish momentum and closing above 3150 could prompt a further rise to the following resistance at 3220. Gold pulled back sharply from record highs after Trump's tariffs excluded precious metals, easing immediate supply concerns, but the broader backdrop remains favorable. Central bank buying, expectations of rate cuts, and persistent geopolitical risks underpin demand, even as short-term profit-taking kicks in. While volatility may persist, the metal's role as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty keeps its long-term bullish case intact. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by lixing_gan
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bearish breakoutWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a potential breakout level and it could drop lower from here. Sell entry is at 66.44 which is a potential breakout level. Stop loss is at 67.40 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 65.20 which is a multi-swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILShort
by FXCM
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed sharply lower due to the aftermath of tariff impositions. Following a significant gap-down, the index broke below the lower Bollinger Band, intensifying selling pressure. Yesterday’s bearish candlestick confirmed a sell signal, leading to an expanded third wave of selling. The index has now reached the previous support zone near 18,500, with additional volatility expected due to today’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report and Fed Chair Powell’s speech. On the monthly chart, the Nasdaq is forming a lower shadow around the 20-month moving average. Given the sharp decline, if further selling occurs, oversold conditions may trigger a strong rebound, making it risky to chase shorts at this stage. The 240-minute chart also shows a sell signal, with heavy selling pressure continuing. However, this is a risky zone to enter new short positions, so it's advisable to monitor short-term price movements before making a move. Regardless of whether you take long or short positions, due to high volatility, make sure to set stop-loss levels and adjust leverage to a manageable risk level. Additionally, the VIX surged, forming a large bullish candle and reaching its March 11 high. With the VIX in an uptrend and a buy signal appearing, further volatility expansion is likely. However, since it has reached a key resistance zone, a short-term pullback in the VIX could allow for a Nasdaq rebound. For the VIX to break above its previous high, a period of consolidation may be necessary. Given the strong buying momentum on both the weekly and monthly charts, this should be taken into consideration when forming a trading strategy. Crude Oil Crude oil plunged following the OPEC meeting, where supply increases became a key issue. While oversupply concerns are a factor, the economic slowdown fears from tariffs have also played a major role in the decline. Previously, $68 was considered a strong support level, but oil collapsed from $72 in a steep decline. The final key support lies around $66. On the daily chart, the MACD and signal line are converging near the zero line, suggesting that once a new wave begins, it could lead to a strong trend movement. Depending on today's session and Monday’s market, oil could see an aggressive breakout in either direction. Current candlestick patterns indicate that the weekly chart remains bearish, meaning holding long positions over the weekend carries significant risk. The 240-minute chart also confirms a strong sell signal, with MACD plummeting. Oil may form a temporary sideways range near the $66 support, but if this level breaks, selling pressure could intensify. Ensure you manage stop-loss risks carefully in case of further downside. Gold Gold declined, reacting to fluctuations in the U.S. dollar's value. The price failed to hold above $3,200 and dropped below the 5-day moving average. Gold has been in a one-way trend, so a bullish approach remains valid unless it breaks below the 10-day MA. However, it has now entered a range-bound phase, and MACD on the daily chart is nearing the signal line, suggesting potential downside risks. The MACD failed to break its February highs, increasing the likelihood of divergence, which could trigger a strong correction if selling intensifies. With rising market volatility and today's NFP release, further wild swings in gold prices are expected. The 240-minute chart has shown a sell signal, leading to a sharp decline. However, the price has found support near a key resistance-turned-support zone. Since the MACD and signal line remain above the zero line, gold may continue trading within a range in the short term. On shorter timeframes, candlestick volatility is high, so reducing leverage and widening stop ranges would be a prudent strategy. During periods of extreme market volatility, technical analysis may become less effective, as market sentiment often overrides chart patterns. As always, trade only within your manageable volatility range. The market is always open, so even if you incur losses, there will always be opportunities to recover. Manage risk wisely, and best of luck with your trades today! If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost! For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
GOLD Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for GOLD is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3091.4 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 3108.1 My Stop Loss - 3083.4 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
When will gold's continued highs peak?In terms of the short-term operation strategy for gold, it is recommended to do more on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3128-3130 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3100-3097 line of support. Operation strategy reference: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short (buy short) two-tenths of the position in batches near the rebound of gold around 3127-3130, stop loss 3140, target around 3115-3105, and look at the 3100 line if it breaks; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Go long (buy up) two-tenths of the position in batches near the pullback of gold around 3100-3102, stop loss 3090, target around 3120-3128, and look at the 3140 line if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MarjorieMatthew
Key Observations: Elliott Wave CountThe chart shows a completed five-wave impulse structure, labeled from (1) to (5). The final wave (5) has ended, with sub-waves i, ii, iii, iv, v marked within it. This suggests that the impulsive bullish trend is over. Bearish Reversal Indicated: There is a strong downward movement after wave (5), confirming a possible trend reversal. Potential Targets for the Decline: Price has already begun declining from around $3,110. The first major support areas could be around $2,900–$2,800, based on previous price action. Deeper corrections could bring the price toward $2,600–$2,500. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: The previous high near $3,160 is critical. If the price breaks above, the bearish scenario might be invalidated. Support: Watch $3,000 as a psychological level. A break below would confirm further downside. Conclusion: The chart signals a potential correction after a strong uptrend. The bearish wave count suggests a move lower toward key support zones. Traders should watch for confirmation with momentum indicators and volume.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ew_17i
XAU/USD Analysis – Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Trade Setup1. Chart Overview The 15-minute XAU/USD chart shows a descending wedge pattern forming after a price rally. The wedge is characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, signaling a gradual weakening of bullish momentum. After consolidating within this wedge, the price has broken down, suggesting a bearish continuation. This setup provides a high-probability short trade with clear entry, stop-loss, and multiple take-profit levels. 2. Key Technical Elements A) Chart Pattern – Descending Wedge Breakdown A descending wedge is typically a bullish reversal pattern when forming at the bottom of a downtrend. However, in this case, it appears at the end of a corrective move, making it a bearish continuation setup. The upper trendline (black dashed line) acts as resistance, preventing price from breaking higher. The lower trendline (solid blue line) represents temporary support. The wedge narrows as price action contracts, leading to an eventual breakdown. 👉 Breakout Confirmation: The price has broken below the wedge’s support trendline. A minor pullback to retest the broken trendline suggests validation of the breakdown. B) Resistance & Support Levels 1️⃣ Resistance Level (Sell Zone) – $3,100 to $3,135 This area previously acted as a supply zone, rejecting bullish attempts. Price was unable to sustain above this level, leading to further downside pressure. Stop-loss should be placed above this level ($3,135.57) to protect against invalidation. 2️⃣ Support Level (Buy Zone) – $3,050 to $3,056 This was a previous reaction zone where price briefly bounced before continuing lower. Now acting as Take Profit 1 (TP1) at $3,056.58. 3️⃣ Breakout & Retest After breaking the wedge, price retested the trendline but failed to reclaim it, confirming the bearish trend. 3. Trade Setup & Execution 🔵 Entry Point: Short trade activation upon the breakdown and retest of the wedge structure. Price rejection at the trendline confirms seller strength. 🔴 Stop-Loss: Placed at $3,135.57, slightly above recent swing highs. This protects against false breakouts or sudden reversals. 🎯 Take Profit Levels: TP1 ($3,056.58): First target where buyers might step in. TP2 ($3,022.39): Midway target, acting as another strong support. TP3 ($2,985.44): Final target where price may stabilize or reverse. 4. Market Context & Confirmation Indicators 📉 Bearish Confirmation: Strong downward momentum suggests continued selling pressure. Price action is failing to make new highs, confirming lower highs and lower lows. 📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): The trade offers a favorable RRR, as the downside potential is significantly larger than the stop-loss range. ⚡ Additional Confirmation: A strong bearish candle confirmed the breakout, rejecting higher levels. Potential support breakouts suggest that price could reach TP3 if bearish momentum continues. 5. Conclusion – Trading Strategy Summary ✅ Pattern Identified: Descending Wedge Breakdown (Bearish) ✅ Trade Direction: Short (Sell) ✅ Entry Trigger: Breakout & Retest of the Trendline ✅ Stop-Loss: Above $3,135.57 (Wedge Resistance Zone) ✅ Take Profit Targets: TP1: $3,056.58 TP2: $3,022.39 TP3: $2,985.44 📌 Final Thoughts: This setup provides a high-probability trade with a clear breakdown structure and downside potential. If the price continues to respect the bearish trend, reaching all TP levels is likely. However, traders should monitor for reversal signals and manage risk accordingly. 🔔 Risk Warning: Always use proper risk management and adjust positions according to market conditions! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
OIL Today's strategyYesterday, after comprehensively studying the market data, I judged that the price of US Oil (USOIL) would enter a downward channel. According to my analysis, the oil price would experience a period of continuous decline. First, it would break through the key demarcation point, and then it was highly likely to consolidate near the previous low level. However, the market trend far exceeded expectations. Yesterday, the price of USOIL did not follow the regular pattern. After we exited the market with profits according to our strategy, it plummeted again and rapidly approached the previous low level. Currently, all aspects of information point in a negative direction. From macroeconomic data to industry internal dynamics, there is nothing that provides favorable support for it. Based on this, I infer that today it is highly probable that the price will fall back to the previous low level. OIL Today's strategy sell@67.5-67 tp:66-65.5 We share various trading signals every day with over 90% accuracy Fans who follow us can get high rewards every day If you want stable income, you can contact me
TVC:USOIL
by HenryClarke
XAUUSD Today's strategyYesterday, as soon as the gold market opened, it rose strongly, and the price soared rapidly, once again hitting a new high of $3,167. After that, the market entered a volatile downward channel. During the noon period, there was even a sharp decline, dropping to $3,054 at one point, with a daily decline of 3.7%. However, the market trend was highly dramatic. Subsequently, the price rebounded and rose rapidly, and it maintained a consolidation trend near $3,110 at the end of the trading session. In this rapidly fluctuating market, both bulls and bears are trying to find the best entry opportunity. But the market changes are too crazy and rapid, and investors are often ruthlessly harvested by the market time and time again before they even have a chance to react. Today, based on a comprehensive analysis of both technical and fundamental aspects, the key support level of $3,100 remains valid. We continue to maintain a bullish view and expect that there is still room for the gold price to rise, and it is likely to continue the upward trend. XAU/USD buy@3100-3110 tp:3130-3140-3150 SL:3085 We share various trading signals every day with over 90% accuracy Fans who follow us can get high rewards every day If you want stable income, you can contact me
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HenryClarke
GOLD (XAUUSD) Idea After the major economic processes GOLD also goes mad. Hence, the price is now testing the 4H Trend line and inside the ascending channel. My insights about this pair is that price has reached some level of rejection and has to react from this zone. If not, next zone will be between 3040-3050 zone which may turn the Resistance into Support. Also RSI Divergence can also pay out, which forms lower low but the price is actually on higher low. I will seek for buy opportunities if get any confirmation in lower Time Frames. Good Luck to All!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by TetanForex
2
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 4/4/2025Gold was quite mad yesterday. After touched a new ATH of 3167, it quickly dropped more than 1k pips to 3155 and went back another 800pips to 3135. Finally it closed the day above 3110. While in smaller timeframes it showed bearish signals, in 12hrly TF, it is above EMA and daily support of 3105. I will be cautious about trading today as it is NFP today. In short, I will trade breakout today. If 3137 is broken, i will buy towards 3175. If 3105 is broken, I will sell towards 3137.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by SteadyFund
Gold fluctuates sharply at high levelsToday, the market focuses on the US non-farm payrolls data for March, including key indicators such as unemployment rate, non-farm payrolls and wage growth. The market generally expects: The unemployment rate remains unchanged at 3.9% The number of farm payrolls may be lower than the previous value of 275,000 The average hourly wage growth rate may slow down From the perspective of expectations, the data is generally favorable for gold. However, it is necessary to be vigilant that the ADP employment data released this week performed strongly. If today's non-farm payrolls are also better than expected, it may put pressure on gold prices. Therefore, it is expected that gold will maintain a volatile pattern during the day, waiting for data guidance. Technical analysis Daily level: Yesterday, the gold price fluctuated violently, first falling from the high of 3167 to the low of 3062, a drop of $1,000, and then rebounding strongly from the low of 3054 to 3135 during the US trading period, and finally closed at around 3100 The daily line formed a large negative line with an ultra-long lower shadow, showing a fierce battle between bulls and bears $3100 became a key psychological barrier, which was both the low point of yesterday's retracement and the previous double bottom support 1-hour level: The moving average system showed signs of turning downward, and the downward trend line suppression level moved down to around 3108 Key price Upper resistance: 3108 (trend line suppression) → 3135 (yesterday's US trading high) Lower support: 3100 (psychological barrier) → 3085 → 3057/3054 (top and bottom conversion position) Trading strategy Short strategy: Entry point: around 3108 (trend line suppression) Stop loss: above 3118 Target: around 3060 Applicable conditions: no strong breakthrough in European session Long strategy: First look at 3100 support, and try long with a light position if it stabilizes If it falls below 3100, pay attention to the support level of 3085/3057 For a better profit and loss ratio, you can consider arranging mid-term long orders Risk warning Non-agricultural data may cause violent fluctuations. It is recommended to reduce positions or wait and see before the data If the European session breaks through the suppression of 3118, you need to give up the idea of ​​short orders Strictly control stop loss and guard against false breakthrough risks Pay attention to the impact of the difference between the actual value of the data and the expectation on the market Summary Gold has entered the consolidation stage after experiencing a huge shock of 100 points. Non-agricultural data may become a key factor in breaking the current balance. Suggestions for investors: 3108 is the watershed for the Asian and European sessions, and high-altitude trading is the main focus Adjust positions before the US session to cope with the non-agricultural market Focus on the breakthrough of 3100 support and 3108 resistance Flexibly adjust strategies based on actual performance after data is released
FX:XAUUSD
by Golden_Legend