Futures market
Bitcoin Under Pressure but Eyeing BreakoutThe market remains bullish, but the price has been strongly rejected multiple times in the
108.980 – 108.085 zone. We'll have to see how it reacts.
In my view, Bitcoin appears to be setting up to break through the resistance zone between 114.130 and 109.520. If it manages to break above, we could see higher price levels ahead.
⏱ Keep an eye on the market in real time.
Advance technical analysis AUX USD ✅ Advanced Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (Gold) – 1H Timeframe
🧩 Chart Overview:
Timeframe: 1 Hour (H1)
Current Price: 3,333.675
Recent High: 3,451.525
Recent Low: 3,293.500
Marked with BOS (Break of Structure), CHoCH (Change of Character), supply and demand zones.
---
🔍 Step-by-Step Technical Breakdown:
---
1️⃣ Market Structure (Price Action)
🔺 Bullish Phase:
From June 13 to June 22, price showed a series of H1 BOS, confirming bullish structure.
🔻 Shift to Bearish:
After June 22, we observe several H1 CHoCH and BOS to the downside.
This indicates a clear transition from bullish to bearish, or at least a corrective phase.
---
2️⃣ Supply & Demand Zones
🟢 Demand Zone:
Marked between 3,293.5 and ~3,310
Price dipped into this zone and showed a minor bullish reaction (lower wick = liquidity grab)
🔴 Supply Zones:
Resistance at 3,393.509 (minor)
Stronger supply between 3,440 and 3,451 (previous unbroken highs)
---
3️⃣ Fibonacci & Potential Reversal Targets
If demand holds and bullish confirmation appears:
TP1: 3,393
TP2: 3,440
TP3: 3,451.5
These levels align well with structure and historical resistance.
---
4️⃣ Candlestick Behavior
Recent candles show price tapping the demand zone with some rejection.
Look for bullish engulfing, pin bars, or momentum candles as confirmation.
---
5️⃣ Potential Long Setup (If Confirmed):
Element Value
Entry Zone 3,305 – 3,315
Stop Loss Below 3,293 (e.g., 3,285)
TP1 3,393
TP2 3,440
TP3 3,451
Risk–Reward Estimated 1:3 to 1:5
---
⚠️ Risks & Considerations:
If the 3,293 demand zone breaks, bearish structure may continue.
Liquidity grabs and false breakouts are possible – wait for solid confirmation.
Align your entries with higher timeframe signals (e.g., H4) for stronger confluence.
---
❗️Disclaimer:
> This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell.
You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions.
#XAUUSD #GOLD 30Min 📉📈 #XAUUSD 30m Analysis – Dual Setup Scenario
We’re monitoring two potential trade setups depending on how price reacts at key levels:
🔴 Sell Setup:
Price is entering a Sell-Side Order Block Zone between 3350–3360, aligned with a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This premium zone is likely to act as strong resistance, with potential rejection targeting downside liquidity near 3310 — an ideal area for short positions.
🟢 Buy Setup:
If price sweeps below and taps into the Liquidity Zone / Demand Area around 3305–3311, we’ll watch for a bullish reversal from this discount zone. This area offers a favorable setup for long entries, aligning with institutional buying levels.
📌 Be sure to mark these key zones on your chart for enhanced clarity and execution.
💬 What’s your outlook on Gold? Share your thoughts below 👇
Soybeans Crashing Into Demand — Reversal Coming or Trap?1. COT REPORT — Updated June 17, 2025
📌 Non-Commercials (Speculators)
Long: +5,661 → 195,984
Short: -9,226 → 110,761
✅ Net Long Increase: A clear bullish shift in speculative positioning (+14,887 net contracts). This is an early indication of a sentiment reversal.
📌 Commercials (Hedgers / Producers)
Long: +6,023
Short: -5,806
➡️ The decrease in net shorts suggests improving confidence among institutional players.
📌 Total Open Interest: 846,169 (down by 12,776)
❗ This slight drop may be linked to position rotation or partial profit-taking.
2. NET POSITIONS CHART INSIGHT
Commercial traders remain structurally net short, but their exposure has been gradually declining since March.
Non-commercial traders have increased their net long positions since April, aligned with the price's technical recovery.
The current price is trading near the historical mean, indicating neutral conditions with potential room for further upside.
🕰️ 3. SEASONALITY OUTLOOK
The June–July period has historically been bearish:
June Average Performance:
Last 5 years: -39.61
Last 2 years: -38.71
July Average Performance:
Last 20 years: -44.82
Last 2 years: -34.73
📉 August and September typically continue this seasonal downtrend.
🟨 Caution is advised on initiating long positions during this phase.
📊 4. TECHNICAL OUTLOOK —
Current Structure:
Rising channel has broken to the downside with a strong bearish impulse candle.
RSI is neutral but previously showed bearish divergence.
Key Support Zones:
1035–1025: Intermediate support area already tested.
1012–994: Golden Pocket aligned with a demand block — likely target zone with high potential for reaction.
Possible Scenarios:
🔴 Bearish Continuation: A retracement followed by a move down into the 994–1000 range, where a tactical long setup may emerge.
🔵 Bull Trap and Reversal: A rapid recovery above 1050, potentially triggering a continuation to 1080 (range top).
5. EXECUTION SUMMARY
Primary Bias: Bearish in the short term
🎯 Target Zone: 994–1000
🛑 Invalidation Level: Weekly close above 1055
Tactical Long Setup: Monitor price action at 994–1000 for bullish reaction.
Macro context and speculative positioning suggest a structural bottom may develop in Q3 2025, but current conditions are not yet favorable for a full swing position.
Gold (XAUUSD) Short SetupBearish Breakdown Below Triangle Pattern!
Hey traders! 👋 Gold has broken down from a symmetrical triangle formation, signaling a potential bearish move. Price is currently testing the retest zone near the entry point (~3,335). If the rejection holds, we could see a sharp drop toward the strong support area at 3,296. 📉
🔹 Entry: ~3,335
🔹 Target: ~3,296
🔹 Stop: Above ~3,352
🔹 Risk/Reward: Favorable setup
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comment section – do you agree with the short bias? Let's discuss!
🙏 Support this idea by liking and sharing. Your feedback means a lot!
Gold fluctuated and fell, and the rebound was directly short
📣Gold News
Due to the easing of the situation in the Middle East, gold has fallen in the past few days, and the market has been eagerly looking forward to the interest rate cut, because the tariffs in the Trump era may push up inflation, but it has not come yet. "
On Thursday, the U.S. Department of Labor and Commerce issued key economic data, including initial jobless claims and the final value of real GDP in the first quarter. The number of initial jobless claims was 236,000, a decrease of 9,000 from 245,000 in the previous week, better than the market expectation of 245,000. At the same time, as of June 14, the number of continued unemployment claims in the week increased by 37,000 to 1.974 million, a new high since November 2021. Gold stopped below the moving average today. Gold did not continue the small positive line rise, and the decline continued during the U.S. trading period.
Today, focus on the continuation of short positions, comprehensive Labaron believes that gold is bearish today. For today's operation, consider rebound shorting as the main, and low long as the auxiliary.
📣 Pay attention to the resistance of 3330-3345 US dollars above
📣 Pay attention to the support of 3300-3280 US dollars below
💰 Go long near 3295-3285, target 3310-3320
💰 Go short near 3330-3340, target 3000-3290
If you have just entered the market, you are confused about the market of gold, oil and silver, and you always do the opposite operation direction and the entry price is unstable. I hope Labaron's article will help you.
Gold breaks down. It may reach a low point.From the current market daily chart
The absolute support of gold is around 3280. Gold is basically in the process of maintaining this daily trend support line. Therefore, I personally think that around 3280 is a long-short dividing line for gold. If gold falls below 3280 on the daily line, it is very likely that the decline will just begin. On the contrary, be careful. If 3280 does not fall below, there is still a possibility of rebounding.
In the 4-hour chart, from the high point of 3450 to now, the 0.382 position is just around yesterday's high point of 3350. The 0.618 position is at 3325, and the final 100% position is around 3280. 3280 also coincides with the daily chart.
Therefore, gold must at least test around 3280 today, and it is not ruled out that there will be lower positions.
XAUUSD: Bearish Trend, Key Support at $3,295Market Overview
In today’s trading session (26/06/2025), XAUUSD shows continued downward momentum. Gold prices are currently hovering around $3,302.05, with a slight drop of 0.01%. The intraday price range has been tight, between $3,330.00 and $3,350.00, indicating a battle between the buyers and sellers around the short-term equilibrium zone.
Recent price action suggests that after a brief recovery, gold is once again encountering resistance at the $3,350.00 level. In the coming hours, a decisive breakout either above this resistance or below current support will dictate the market’s next move.
Key Technical Levels to Watch:
Support Levels: The first significant support is at the $3,295.37 level (50% Fibonacci retracement), with the next support at $3,296.60 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement), followed by a crucial level at $3,300.56.
Resistance Levels: The primary resistance area lies around $3,350.00, with the second resistance at $3,327.72, which coincides with the 3.618 extension of the previous price swing.
Price Action Analysis
As seen in the chart, XAUUSD is currently trading below both the 50-period (blue) and 200-period (yellow) moving averages, indicating a strong bearish trend. The price action is forming a series of lower lows and lower highs, reinforcing the downtrend.
Bearish Trend Continuation: A break below the support at $3,295.37 could signal further downside towards $3,290.00 or even $3,275.00. The yellow trendline indicates the overall bearish direction, and any failure to hold above $3,300.00 could trigger additional selling pressure.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Price is testing the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels. A rejection at these levels could cause a pullback towards lower support zones, confirming the bearish outlook for the short term.
Volume Analysis
The volume chart shows relatively low volatility, with decreasing volume during the price pullbacks. This suggests that there is not enough buying interest to push the price higher, and the market may be more inclined towards bearish continuation in the near term.
Market Sentiment
Currently, the market is undecided. The recent price action suggests that traders are waiting for a confirmation of direction. The next few hours are critical in determining if the downtrend will continue or if we will see a short-term bounce at one of the key support levels.
Trading Strategy
Short Position: A break below $3,295.37 would be an excellent opportunity to short XAUUSD with a target at $3,290.00, and further down to $3,275.00.
Long Position: Only consider long positions if XAUUSD manages to break above $3,350.00 decisively, with the next target near $3,375.00.
Conclusion
XAUUSD remains under pressure, and unless there’s a strong reversal at support levels, the bearish momentum could continue in the short term. Traders should monitor the key levels mentioned above closely to adjust positions accordingly.
XAUUSD:Today's trading strategy
On Tuesday, the news that Trump announced a ceasefire between Iran and Israel dampened the risk aversion sentiment. Subsequently, the news that expectations of interest rate cuts had slowed down led to a further decline in gold prices. During the trading session, it once fell below the 3,300 mark. After the impact of the news weakened, it eventually rebounded to around 3,323, approaching the position where we first entered the market yesterday. Currently, there is no logic in the market. From a technical perspective, The resistance level above is at 3340-45, and the support level below is at 3305-10. We can conduct transactions around this range
Trading strategy:
SELL@3340-45
TP:3310-04
BUY@3305-10
TP:3335-40
More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
When Wave 3 Extends to 3.618×✅ What It Means
• Wave 3 has extended to 3.618× the length of Wave 1, which is a very strong impulsive wave.
• This often indicates high momentum and strong underlying trend (usually confirmed with high volume).
• It’s a classic sign of an extended wave structure — common in high-volatility, trend-driven markets.
⸻
🔄 Wave 4 Retracement Behavior
In such cases, Wave 4 tends to be shallow, both in price and time. Here’s what we know:
🔍 Typical Wave 4 Retracement When Wave 3 = 3.618 × Wave 1:
Type
Typical Behavior
Depth (Fibonacci)
0.236 to 0.382 of Wave 3
Time
Often longer than Wave 2
Form
Often sideways: triangle, flat
Probability of Deep Retrace
Low (< 25%)
So when Wave 3 is extended, Wave 4 usually does not retrace deeply.
📊 Historical/Educated Probability Estimate
Event
Probability
Wave 3 extends to 3.618× Wave 1
~10–15% of impulsive wave cases
Wave 4 retraces shallowly (0.236–0.382)
~70–80% in extended Wave 3
Wave 4 retraces deeply (>0.5)
~10–15% (rare, usually corrective failure)
So:
🧠 If Wave 3 is extended (3.618×), there is ~70–80% chance that Wave 4 will be shallow and not violate Wave 1 top.
📌 Summary
• ✅ Wave 3 extended to 3.618× implies strong trend
• ✅ Wave 4 likely shallow (0.236–0.382 retrace)
• ❌ Deep retrace into Wave 1 territory is unlikely unless structure is failing
"BREAKOUT ALERT! XAU/EUR Bear Raid – Get In Before The Drop!"🤑 GOLD HEIST ALERT! 🚨 XAU/EUR Bearish Raid Plan (Thief Trading Style) 💰🔥
🌟 Greetings, Market Pirates & Profit Snatchers! 🌟
Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Strategy🔥, we’re plotting a high-stakes bearish raid on XAU/EUR ("The Gold Market"). Our mission? Short the breakout & loot the downside!
🎯 TRADE SETUP (Scalping/Day Trade)
Entry (Sell Zone) 📉: 2841.00 – Wait for Neutral Level breakout, then strike!
Pro Tip: Place sell-stop below support or sell-limit on pullback (15-30min TF).
Set an ALERT! Don’t miss the breakout moment.
Stop Loss 🛑:
"Stop right there, cowboy! 🤠 If you’re entering on a sell-stop, DO NOT set SL before breakout!
Thief SL Rule: Nearest swing high (30min TF) – Adjust based on your risk & lot size.
Rebels, be warned – stray at your own peril! 🔥
Target 🎯: 2815.00 (Lock profits & escape like a pro thief!)
💡 WHY THIS HEIST? (Bearish Triggers)
Technical Setup: Oversold bounce? Trap. Strong bearish reversal brewing.
Fundamentals: Macro risks, COT data, geopolitics – Gold’s under pressure!
News Alert 🚨: High-impact events ahead! Avoid new trades during news – trail stops to protect gains.
💥 BOOST THE HEIST! 💥
Like & Boost this idea to strengthen our robbery crew! More loot = more winning trades. Stay tuned for the next heist! 🚀💰
⚠️ Disclaimer: Trade at your own risk. This is not financial advice – just a strategic raid plan. Manage risk wisely!
Bulls and bears are anxious? Rebound continues to empty📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial unemployment claims data
📈 Market analysis:
Gold is in a sideways consolidation near 3320 in the short term. The market has no clear direction for the time being, and the long and short positions are in a tug-of-war. The hourly line rebounded to 3328 and then fell back again, suggesting that there is still room for short-term retracement. The current operation needs to focus on key points: if it rebounds to the 3320-3330 resistance area, you can consider entering short positions again. If the market continues to decline, focus on the 3300-3290 support range. If it stabilizes, long orders can be arranged. The overall idea is to maintain a volatile market. Before effectively breaking through 3350 or falling below 3290, high-altitude and low-multiple is still the main strategy.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3320-3330
TP 3310-3300-3290
BUY 3310-3300
TP 3320-3330-3340
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold to $3,600? Hey traders! Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is back in the spotlight — not just for its shine, but because macro and technical signals are starting to align again.
Why gold still matters?
The US Dollar is weakening as markets expect the Fed to cut rates later this year.
Geopolitical tensions (like Iran–Israel) are still lurking despite temporary ceasefires.
Central banks are buying gold heavily — a clear long-term signal.
📈 Technically speaking:
Gold remains in a long-term uptrend.
Weekly EMAs are pointing upward.
Strong support sits around $3,260–$3,300.
A break above $3,440 could push prices toward $3,600 in the coming months.
💡 My take & strategy:
As a gold trader for 7 years, I always allocate part of my portfolio to long-term gold exposure.
“You don’t need to dig for gold — just wait for the market to sleep, then strike.” 😄
📌 Trade plan:
Buy on dips near $3,280–$3,300
Target: $3,480 – $3,600
What’s your take? Is gold still worth holding — or is it time to chase other trades? Let’s discuss below! 👇
This chart shows a Gold (XAU/USD) analysis on the 1-hour This chart shows a Gold Spot (XAU/USD) analysis on the 1-hour timeframe, with technical elements typically used in smart money concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown of what's shown:
Key Chart Elements:
FVG (Fair Value Gap):
Two FVG zones are marked in pink rectangles, one around the mid-3,300s and another lower down.
These indicate imbalance zones where price moved rapidly and may return to fill the gap.
SSL (Sell-side Liquidity):
Marked below current price action, suggesting a possible liquidity sweep (stop-hunt) before a reversal.
BSL (Buy-side Liquidity):
Marked above current price (near 3,400), indicating potential target zone for a bullish move.
Price Projection Path:
A zig-zag black line illustrates a projected bullish move:
Dip below current price to sweep SSL.
Quick recovery into FVG.
Break of structure and move higher.
Final target near 3,400 (BSL).
Support & Resistance Zones:
Marked in pink rectangles, showing historical reaction levels and potential areas of interest.
News Event Symbol:
Appears at the bottom of the chart, likely signaling upcoming macroeconomic data that could influence volatility.
Interpretation:
The chart suggests a bullish bias after a liquidity sweep below the recent lows (SSL), aiming for a rally toward 3,400 (BSL). The FVG zones may act as resistance-turned-support or retracement targets on the way up.
XAUUSD Daily Analysis
Gold is currently trading at a premium level after rejecting recent highs. The market is showing signs of weakness with a series of lower highs, suggesting a potential retracement. A key level to watch for a possible reaction or turnaround is around $3,225, which aligns with previous structural support and falls near the discount zone of the recent range. If price reaches this area, it could offer a favorable risk-reward opportunity for buyers depending on the reaction.
Copper breaks outFinally joining silver and platinum, copper has broken out above key $5.00 level. With prices making higher highs and higher lows ever since bottoming in April, dip-buyers will be keen to step in on any short-term weakness we may see moving forward. For as long as support now holds at $5.00, the bulls will be happy. The line in the sand is now at $4.79, marking the recent low.
The macro backdrop remains bullish, with global copper demand seen rising significantly in the coming years. This is primarily due to the global energy transition and technological advancements. Copper is used in electric vehicles, solar panels, wind turbines, as well as the more traditional uses like construction and electronics. With the AI revolution, another source of demand for copper consumption will be from data centers.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Scalping Strategy Using BOS & OB | Gold Spot | by Mohsen MozafarDescription:
> This is a 30-minute scalping setup on Gold Spot (XAU/USD), based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) — focusing on Break of Structure (BOS) and Order Blocks (OB).
Analysis and strategy are prepared by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad.
---
📊 Market Context:
Current Structure: Bearish
Short-Term Market Structure: MSU (Market Structure Up)
Efficiency: Confirmed (clean price action & response zones)
---
🧠 Technical Highlights:
1. Double BOS confirms recent shifts in momentum
2. TLQ (Top Liquidity Quest) formed after HH (Higher High) and liquidity sweep
3. Key Demand OB identified (labeled A) — valid based on BOS confirmation
4. Expecting a bounce from OB (A) towards (B) as a reaction to unfilled imbalance
5. Potential drop from TLQ zone (B) to (C) if liquidity is fully absorbed
---
🎯 Scalping Plan:
Entry Zone:
Order Block at (A), waiting for CHoCH or bullish price action confirmation
(preferably on lower timeframe like M5)
Stop Loss:
Just below OB (around 3327)
Take Profits:
TP1: Near TLQ / Extreme zone (B)
TP2: Further liquidity grab or possible continuation above previous HH
---
❗ Alternative Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to hold at OB (A) and breaks below 3327 with BOS,
→ short opportunity opens toward new lows at 3314–3310 (labeled C).
---
✅ Summary:
This is a clean scalping setup following SMC principles:
BOS → OB → Liquidity → Reaction
Focus on structure, precision, and quick confirmation signals.
Prepared by:
📌 Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
June 27, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
The 3310 zone has shown strong support. If this level breaks, bearish pressure is likely to increase.
On the upside, the 3350 area remains a strong resistance — if price approaches but fails to break through, it could offer a good short opportunity.
Keep a close watch on these two zones. Until a breakout occurs, treat price action as range-bound.
I'll be updating again during the London session — need a quick rest now 😴. Stay tuned!
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3364 – Resistance
• 3350 – Midpoint / Intraday Key Resistance
• 3345 – Resistance
• 3337 – Critical Resistance
• 3321 – Support
• 3310–3312 – Intraday Key Support
• 3300 – Psychological Support
• 3295 – Support
• 3285 – Support
📉 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3325 → watch 3321, then 3318, 3310, 3300
• BUY if price holds above 3337 → target 3343, then 3350, 3358, 3364
👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there's interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Trade with caution and always manage your risk.