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2024-11-06 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500 e-mini futures - Same here, 2 daily bars engulfing 2 months price action and market tested the upper bull wedge line for a new ath. We are close enough to 6000 that we can expect it to get hit, everything else would be a huge surprise to me. Can you short 6000? Not blindly, market mostly needs a double top or more at these levels before it gives up on it. If bears get below the 1h 20ema, I start thinking about not being bullish anymore, until then it’s peak euphoria. comment: Huge day for the bulls, right to or through the upper bull wedge line, depending on how you want to draw it. 6000 is the target and bulls will not stop until we have printed it. Bears can’t seriously expect this to stop before so that is why most of today's price action was bears giving up. We need some time around 6000 to find out how many bulls want to buy that price or if we see an immediate profit taking and reversal down. For now the bull wedge is still alive and the best pattern we have. 6000 would be a bit of an overshoot and those can reverse very fast and they like to test down to the other extreme, which would be 5800ish. current market cycle: bull wedge key levels: 5730 - 6000 bull case: Bulls want 6000. Don’t make this more complicated. Market has not touched the 1h 20ema since yesterday’s US open. As long as it is not broken, only look for longs until we hit 6000. Invalidation is below 5730. bear case : Bears don’t have much. Complete giveup from since yesterday and they will try again at 6000. If they somehow manage to print a decent 1h bear bar below the 20ema tomorrow, their case would get better. For now they don’t have one. Invalidation is above 6050. short term: Max bullish for 6000 as long as 1h 20ema holds. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13 : Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Buy anwhere.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by priceactiontds
Gold rebounds and corrects, waiting for non-agricultural dataIn the early trading of gold, short (buy decline) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target 2745-2730, break to see 2720 Gold callback near 2718-2720, long (buy rise) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target 2735-2745, break to see 2750 Currently, the price has fallen below the upper and lower lines, but it did not close below. The key point is whether it can continue today. Today is the first day of the monthly line change. There is a large gap. The probability of covering this month is very high. The four-hour rebound at the lower track support, the overall break Bottom, the hourly chart has a big negative line that broke the lower line and the acceleration line downward. It is currently in a weak correction. Whether it can recapture the lower line and the acceleration line is the key. If it is recaptured, it will return to the second highest point of the second decline last night. So today we will focus on two points, one is 2758, and the other is 67. The support below is still 30, and the second is 2718-08. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn downward. If the 1-hour moving average of gold forms a dead cross downward, then the downward space for gold will continue to open. Gold will rebound under pressure at 2758 during the day. It will continue to go short at highs below 2758 in the European session. Go short near the current price of 2755. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to mainly go short on rebounds and to go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2758-2760 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2738-2740 support line.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Angela-Lilly
Evidence That Dow Jones Moves Based On FOMC ReleasesI can clearly see the support and resistance levels are formed STRICTLY based on the 8 hour chart and the FOMC releases. Just the September FOMC release alone accounted for the support and resistance levels for up to 3 months. Every 1/2 range expansion of the FOMC high/low represents a nice level to trade off of. These levels were planned out ahead of time. Take a good look at the below screenshot of just ONE 8-hour candle for FOMC dictated the entire support and resistance levels, way ahead of time. This entire Trump rally was planned ahead of time using September's FOMC levels.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
No false-break upwards here in Gold-It's moving up fast Gold and Silver had a healthy downwards correction from what I understand. A few nervous Gold-holders after Donald Trump's re-election. But there is much more to the story for gold prices to go higher. I see the intraday charts looking bullish for silver and gold today, as momentum is shifting back to the upside. Wait and see what the Economic News tells us before rushing to go Long Economic data just released was probably more in favour of the USD, but I note it was a mixed-bag release and in some ways favouring Gold price. Gold price has shrugged off the data it seems.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
XAU/USD – Is the Uptrend Ready for the Next Move?Gold is approaching a major support level within its rising channel! 📊 Could this be the next higher low (HL) in the uptrend? If bulls step in here, we might see a push back toward the channel highs! 🚀 🔹 Key Support Levels: $2,655 is the immediate support, while $2,580 serves as a critical backstop below. 🔹 Potential Setup: Long on bullish confirmation around these supports. 🔹 My Thought: I believe Gold could be forming another HL here, potentially setting up for another push higher before any major correction. Historically Gold has shown bullish momentum leading up to U.S. elections, rallying once before turning bearish afterward. What are your thoughts? Are you bullish or bearish on gold? 💬 Drop your comments below and let’s discuss! 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kashifone1
Gold price drops - stabilizes by the end of 2024XAU / USD trend forecast November 7, 2024 Gold dropped to a three-week low below $2,700 per ounce on Wednesday following the 2024 US Presidential election, with former President Donald Trump’s win strengthening the US Dollar and Treasury yields. XAU/USD saw a decline of over 2.5%, trading around $2,667 at the latest. Market uncertainty has eased, as Trump’s victory was more decisive than anticipated. Additionally, the Republican party secured majorities in both the Senate and the House of Representatives, completing a “red sweep.” Gold price dropped sharply to 2644, strong downtrend. Still in the upcoming downtrend, ending the price increase cycle of previous months. /// SELL XAU : zone 2682-2685 SL: 2690 TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2655) Safe and profitable trading
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Moon-ForexAcademy
4
Gold analysis and trading signalsAt the 4-hour level of gold, as shown in the figure, this cycle is currently in a downward trend. According to the five waves of decline, 2790-2724 is the first wave of decline, 2724 to 2749 is the second wave of correction, and 2749 to 2643 is the third wave of decline. This 2643 is calculated based on 1.618 times, which is exactly stuck at this position, and from the perspective of segmentation, it is also the 786 segmentation support; therefore, assuming that 2643 is established, then the next is the fourth wave of correction, and the amplitude is calculated as 50%, which is 2696, which is also the resistance point with a probability of testing tonight; if there is pressure, the last wave of decline will be carried out; and it just so happens that the second half of the night is the time to announce the interest rate. According to the cyclical deduction of the first interest rate cut trend, the gold price will first rise and then fall, and finally stabilize and rise again. According to the wave shape, the low point of the fifth wave is about 2605, which is exactly the previous low point of 2602 or a good double bottom stabilization. Of course, the amplitude of the last wave is often irregular, and it may be not far from the low point of the third wave. Gold hourly level: In the morning, it continued to fall directly to 2643. It is easy to enter into shock after a big drop. The trend continuity in the morning is relatively poor, so it is easy to bottom out and pull up if it falls first. The key to the support of 2643 is also calculated in advance. After the stabilization signal appears, it will follow the bullish rebound. At present, it has broken through the middle track. However, after a day of operation, the high point of 2678 in the early morning has not been broken. The overall rebound strength is not large. Therefore, it may need to bottom out tonight and wait for the news stimulus guidance in the second half of the night; Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go short at 2700-2710, with a target of 2680-2670
OANDA:XAUUSD
by btxebtxe
Understanding Trading Leverage and Margin.When you first dive into trading, you’ll often hear about leverage and margin . These two concepts are powerful tools that can amplify your profits, but they also come with significant risks. The image you've provided lays out the essentials of leverage and margin: Leverage allows traders to control larger positions, Margin acts as a security deposit, Profit Amplification boosts potential gains, and Risk Amplification warns of increased losses. In this article, we’ll break down these terms and explore how leverage and margin work, their advantages and risks, and what to consider before using them in your trading strategy. What is Leverage in Trading? Leverage is essentially a loan provided by your broker that allows you to open larger trading positions than your actual account balance would otherwise allow. It’s a tool that can multiply the value of your capital, giving you the potential to make more money from market movements without needing to invest large sums of your own money. Think of leverage as “financial assistance.” With leverage, even a small amount of capital can control a larger position in the market. This can lead to amplified profits if the trade goes your way. However, it’s a double-edged sword; leverage can also lead to amplified losses if the trade moves against you. Example of Trading with Leverage Suppose you have €100 in your trading account and your broker offers a leverage of 1:5. This means you can control a position worth €500 with your €100 investment. If the market moves in your favor, your profits will be calculated based on the €500 position, not just the €100 you originally invested. However, if the market moves against you, your losses will also be based on the larger amount. What is Margin in Trading? Margin is the amount of money you must set aside as collateral to open a leveraged trade. When you use leverage, the broker requires a deposit to cover potential losses—this is called margin. Margin essentially acts as a security deposit, ensuring that you can cover losses if the trade doesn’t go as planned. Margin is usually expressed as a percentage of the total trade size. For example, if a broker requires a 5% margin to open a position, and you want to open a €1,000 trade, you would need to deposit €50 as margin. How Does Margin Work? Margin works together with leverage. The margin required depends on the leverage ratio offered by the broker. For instance, with a 1:10 leverage, you’d only need a 10% margin to open a position, while a 1:20 leverage would require a 5% margin. If the market moves against your position significantly, your margin level can drop. If it falls too low, the broker may issue a **margin call**, requesting additional funds to maintain the trade. If you don’t add funds, the broker might close your position to prevent further losses, which could lead to a loss of the initial margin amount. How Does Leveraged Trading Work? Leveraged trading involves borrowing capital from the broker to increase the size of your trades. This allows you to open larger positions and potentially gain higher profits from favorable market movements. Here’s a simplified process of how it works: 1. Deposit Margin: You set aside a portion of your own funds (margin) as a security deposit. 2. Leverage Ratio Applied: The broker provides you with additional capital based on the leverage ratio, increasing your trading power. 3. Open Larger Positions: You can now open larger trades than you could with just your capital. 4. Profit or Loss Magnified: Any profit or loss from the trade is amplified, as it’s based on the larger position rather than just your initial capital. While leverage doesn’t change the direction of your trades, it affects how much you gain or lose on each trade. That’s why it’s essential to understand both the potential for profit amplification and the risk amplification that leverage brings. The Benefits and Risks of Using Leverage Benefits of Leverage - Profit Amplification: With leverage, you can control larger trades, which means any favorable movement in the market can lead to greater profits. - Capital Efficiency: Leverage allows you to gain exposure to the markets without needing to invest a large amount of your own money upfront. - Flexibility in Trading: Leveraged trading gives traders more flexibility to diversify their positions and take advantage of multiple opportunities in the market. Risks of Leverage - Risk Amplification: Just as leverage can amplify profits, it also amplifies losses. If a trade moves against you, your losses can be substantial, even exceeding your initial investment. - Margin Calls: If the market moves significantly against your leveraged position, you may face a margin call, requiring you to add more funds to your account to keep the position open. - Rapid Account Depletion: High leverage means that small market moves can have a big impact on your account. Without careful management, you could deplete your account balance quickly. Important Considerations for Leveraged Trading 1. Understand the Leverage Ratio: Different brokers offer various leverage ratios, such as 1:5, 1:10, or even 1:100. Choose a leverage ratio that aligns with your risk tolerance. Higher leverage ratios mean higher potential profits but also higher potential losses. 2. Know Your Margin Requirements: Always be aware of the margin requirements for your trades. Brokers may close your positions if your margin level drops too low, so it’s essential to monitor your margin balance regularly. 3. Risk Management is Key: Use risk management strategies like stop-loss orders to limit potential losses on each trade. Don’t risk more than a small percentage of your account balance on any single trade. 4. Avoid Overleveraging: One of the biggest mistakes new traders make is using too much leverage. Start with a lower leverage ratio until you’re more comfortable with the risks involved in leveraged trading. 5. Only Use Leverage if You Understand It: Leveraged trading is suitable primarily for experienced investors who understand the market and the risks involved. If you’re new to trading, practice with a demo account to learn how leverage works before applying it in a live account. Final Considerations Leverage and margin are powerful tools in trading that can amplify profits, but they come with considerable risk. Using leverage wisely and understanding margin requirements are essential to avoid unnecessary losses and protect your account. While the prospect of profit amplification is attractive, traders should always remember that leveraged trading is a double-edged sword—it can lead to significant gains, but it can also result in rapid account depletion if not managed carefully. To summarize: - Leverage allows you to control larger trades with a small investment, multiplying both potential profits and potential losses. - Margin is the deposit required to open a leveraged trade and acts as a security against potential losses. - Use leverage responsibly and only after understanding the risks involved. Leverage can be a valuable tool in trading if used wisely, so make sure to educate yourself, practice with a demo account, and always approach leveraged trading with caution.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by pow_removetheguesswork
Gold is prepare for wave Bin short tern, 5min/15min chart, the price is testing the EMA 50, after break above, now retesting. If successful with a good volume bar, We can predict the wave A had been formed and now for wave B up. Be aware of incoming Federal Funds Rate and FOMC. if this event make a B wave. we can earn the C wave. I like to take the B wave in the FOMC event if the Gold would not break recent low around 2642. Else the correction A-B-C is invalid and we have to edit the elliott wave.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by tSageHuz
3
GOLD Technical Analysis! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for GOLD is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2684.2 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 2718.8 My Stop Loss - 2662.8 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support. Pivot: 2,671.48 1st Support: 2,641.00 1st Resistance: 2,709.12 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ICmarkets