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The Nikkei (NKD) poised to continue its broader corrective trendThe Nikkei (NKD) has been trending lower since its peak on July 8, 2024. We indicate this decline follows a “double three” Elliott Wave pattern, characterized by a series of distinct movements. After reaching that high, the index fell to 30,720, rebounded to 40,675, and is now progressing downward in a zigzag formation as the internal within “wave y.” The index dropped to 36,275, rose to 38,029 with intermediate fluctuations, and has since resumed its downward trajectory. This ongoing move lower has already reached 33,525, followed by a recovery to 34,975. We anticipate the index will extend further downward to complete this phase. Afterwards, a temporary rally is expected to provide a correction before the next decline resumes. We anticipate the index will extend further downward to complete this phase. Afterwards, a temporary rally is expected to provide a correction before the next decline resumes. In the near term, as long as the high of 38,029 remains intact, any upward movements are likely to be limited, setting the stage for additional downside. Investors should monitor these developments closely as the Nikkei continues to navigate this pattern
CME:NKD1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
3100 callback to go long3100 is a key support level, which always maintains strong support. From the hourly level, gold has risen strongly, with a big positive line rising from the ground, and a clear lower shadow at the bottom, indicating that the bulls are strong below and the moving average has begun to turn upward. There is a big non-agricultural data. The recent economic data has performed poorly, and this big non-agricultural data is likely to be bullish for gold. The sharp drop in gold is to better impact the high level. I hope everyone can understand this truth. The 3100 level is still valid at present. Today, the bullish thinking continues, and the decline is more! Gold: more above 3100.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AveryAusten
Gold Analysis March 4Fundamental Analysis Persistent concerns over the potential economic impact of US President Donald Trump’s tit-for-tat tariffs could act as a catalyst for the safe-haven precious metal. Meanwhile, risk-off sentiment, coupled with expectations that a tariff-induced slowdown in the US economy could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume its rate-cutting cycle early, has caused a sharp decline in US Treasury yields. This, in turn, has pushed the US dollar (USD) to its lowest level since October 2024 and helped limit the downside in non-yielding gold. Therefore, it would be prudent to wait for a sharp sell-off to confirm that XAU/USD has topped out. Technical Analysis Today’s trading range is likely to see a fairly high probability of a drop. If it breaks 3116, gold will find its way back to 3081. In case gold breaks the downward structure as analyzed in the upward direction, pay attention to the SELL zone around 3148-3150. Wishing everyone a successful trading day.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold is reaching the bubble's picotopThe gold market has been really crazy. Do you know that currently, gold is worth an equal amount to the entire M2 money supply of US dollars? When adjusted for CPI, its considered by some measures to be more expensive than any other time in history. Google search trends worldwide for the term "Buy gold" are now at record levels. Everyone is buying gold because they think that tariffs, inflation, war, and a potential recession are good for it. They are all completely wrong. Every time the stock market has crashed, gold crashed too, although sometimes like this time it lags behind slightly. The trading strategy now is to wait for a sharp drop and short heavily with puts when the momentum is staring to turn on the bears favor. I think a final liquidity sweep is still likely in this distribution here before a very serious multi-decade correction gets going fully.
TVC:GOLDShort
by bowtrix
1
How will gold perform after the super rollercoaster market?Gold's 1-hour moving average still shows signs of turning downwards. Although gold bulls have made a strong counterattack, it is also because of the risk-aversion news that stimulated a retaliatory rebound. However, gold continued to fall after rising, and gold began to return to volatility. In the short term, gold is supported near 3100. If gold falls below the support near 3100 again, then gold shorts will still have an advantage in this war. Overall, the impact of today’s non-agricultural data is expected to be dim. What is more important is the stimulation of the news. However, it may be noted that if gold holds the 3100 mark for a long time, then gold is expected to fluctuate upward above 3100. Trading idea: short gold near 3115, stop loss 3125, target 3100 The above is purely a sharing of personal views and does not constitute trading advice. Investments are risky and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
TVC:GOLD
by Fortune-signal
Trump Tariffs: Gold's Wild Ride & What's NextToday, Trump's policy of reciprocal tariffs has been officially implemented. The gold market, which has been overly hyped, has witnessed the fulfillment of a risk event, and the concentrated closing of long positions has triggered a deep correction. Spot gold prices plummeted from the high of $3,167.71 per ounce in the early Asian trading session. It touched a low of $3,054 per ounce, with an intraday amplitude of over $110, completing the technical action of building a top. The leading institutional investors have precisely taken advantage of the market psychology of "buying on the news and selling on the fact" and completed the long position layout before the tariff policy was implemented. Their operation method is quite typical: first, they attract retail investors to take over the shares through a pulsed upward pull. Subsequently, they adopt a three-stage washing method of "plunge - consolidation - second plunge", completely breaking the recent upward oscillation pattern in the Asian and European trading sessions. This method is identical to the top formations in history on many occasions, and its purpose is precisely to create panic selling and trap the chips that chased the high prices. Technically, a clear top signal has emerged in the daily chart of gold. Currently, the decline has exceeded the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, and the price has fallen below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating that the medium - term trend may reverse. However, it should be noted that this round of adjustment has not yet completed the complete five - wave structure. In the future, we need to focus on the guidance of tomorrow's non - farm payrolls data on the market's expectations of the Federal Reserve's policies, as well as whether the weekly closing price can confirm the head pattern. John suggests that it's advisable to mainly adopt a wait - and - see approach. One should get involved only after the trend stabilizes. Pay attention to the resistance levels above at 3118 and 3130, and the support levels below at 3100 and 3085. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by JohnGonzalez7
1
XAU/USD Trend Today - Wide and Unpredictable Trading Range🔔🔔🔔 Gold news: ➡️ The price of gold (XAU/USD) continues its decline after reaching an all-time high on Thursday, though it remains above the $3,100 level in early European trading. Optimistic traders are taking profits and scaling back their positions amid mildly overbought conditions. However, persistent concerns over potential economic harm from President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs are expected to support the safe-haven appeal of the precious metal. Personal opinion: ➡️ The effects of the gold price increase are too much. Therefore, the current decline in the gold price to the 3125 area compared to the peak of 3167 is just profit-taking by buyers. Consider strong technical resistance - support zones to get the best profit for you ➡️ Analyze based on resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Resistance zone: 3137 - 3150 - 3165 Support zone: 3113 - 3100 - 3184 Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell Gold 3150 - 3148 (Scalping) ❌SL: 354 | ✅TP: 3145 - 3142 - 3139 👉Sell Gold 3165- 3167 ❌SL: 3172| ✅TP: 3160 – 3155 – 3150 👉Buy Gold 3086- 3084 ❌SL: 3079| ✅TP: 3090 – 3095 – 3110 👉Buy Gold 3100- 3102 ( Scalping) ❌SL: 3095 | ✅TP: 3106 – 3112 – 3120 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
With the heavy tariff policy coming, will gold rise or fall?On the technical side of gold, the 4-hour chart shows that the short-term moving average of gold is sticking together, and the lower shadows of the K-line appear frequently. The downward momentum is weakening, which may indicate that the technical repair after the sideways shock is expected to usher in a second rise. The hourly chart shows that the price range is tightening, and the technical pattern is gradually adjusted in place. The current upper resistance is 3137-3142, and the lower support is 3111-3107. Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go short at 3135-3140 on the rebound, with a stop loss of 3146, and the target is 3115-3100. If it breaks, it will be 3080. Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go long at 3082-3077 on the pullback, with a stop loss of 3072, and the target is 3130-3160.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MarjorieMatthew
Gold is trading sideways at a high level! Trend analysisGold is currently continuing to fluctuate along the short-term moving average in the daily trend, and the current price is supported around 3100. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average is basically in a state of adhesion and flatness. The K-line has insufficient downward momentum in the short-term trend after the continuous lower shadow line. We should pay attention to the possible sideways shock repair and the secondary upward trend after the technical pattern repair. Gold has not broken through the intraday high and continues to be mainly high-altitude. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is recommended to be mainly short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3138-3140 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3100-3110 support. Strategy reference: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3138-3140, short (buy short) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3120-3110, break to see 3100 line; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: When gold pulls back to around 3100-3103, long (buy long) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3110-3120, break to see 3130 line;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by MarjorieMatthew
Aggressive sell set up🔍 Institutional Liquidity Analysis • Liquidity Zones: • Above: $3,118–$3,120 (weak highs & EQH) • Below: $3,111–$3,108 (liquidity pool & EMA cluster) • Point of Control (POC: $3,114.33) just under current price → suggests price may sweep down before true move • Volume Clusters: Exhaustion at current candle top (weak bullish imbalance). Institutions may be preparing a liquidity sweep soon. ⸻ 📈 Momentum Indicators • RSI (1m): Entering overbought territory → signal for short-term reversal • MACD (15m): Still bearish but trying to cross bullish, early confirmation • VWAP: Price hovering just above VWAP zone, potential for mean reversion • EMA 50 & 200: Tightening up – possible micro-pullback or trap setup ⸻ 📰 News Impact Summary Recent headlines from TradingView suggest: • Gold hit all-time highs but reversed due to Trump Tariff headlines and risk-off shift • Macro tone is now uncertain, with gold reacting to short-term risk sentiment, not long-term dovish Fed policy • Sentiment = Neutral to Bearish, especially after euphoric highs were sold off ⸻ 🛑 Trade Decision: SELL SETUP (High Probability – 75-80%) Price is entering minor supply, and forming equal highs just under $3,118 – classic trap pattern for liquidity sweep. Entry: $3,116.50 – $3,118.00 (watch for rejection wicks or engulfing patterns on 1m) Stop Loss: Above $3,120.50 (above weak high + institutional wick trap) Take Profit Targets: 1. TP1: $3,111.50 → POC retest zone 2. TP2: $3,108.00 → Demand zone base 3. TP3: $3,104.00 → Discount rebalance Risk-Reward: Minimum 3.2:1 R:R ⸻ 🚨 Final Institutional Verdict: 🔴 SELL at Premium! Price is now in a liquidity engineering zone, with high likelihood of pullback toward POC or lower imbalance. Institutions likely to grab liquidity above equal highs, then rotate price lower. ⸻ ⚡ Ultra-Aggressive Execution Plan • Confirm on 1m with bearish engulfing OR SFP wick • Volume spike + RSI > 70 = trigger for entry • Monitor order book flow and footprint for absorption near $3,116–$3,118 ⸻ WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! Let’s trap the trap! Institutions are hunting liquidity – we hunt with them! SELL NOW and BANK those pips! 💰🔥📉🚨💣💵
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MAHARLIKA_FX
GOLD Bullish Trend Continues After FVG Test🟢 GOLD is maintaining strong bullish momentum after successfully testing a Fair Value Gap (FVG). A Break of Structure (BOS) confirms the uptrend, with higher lows forming—a clear sign of continuation. 📊 Analysis: ✅ Bullish Trend: The price structure confirms an uptrend with higher highs and higher lows. ✅ Fake Reversal Break of Structure (BOS): A key level has been broken, signaling reversal but based on current momentum that follows it shows Buyers continued strength. ✅ FVG Test Success: Price respected the Fair Value Gap, reinforcing buying pressure. ✅ 🎯 Target: , aligning with . ✅ 📈 Momentum: Strong upward drive suggests further gains ahead. 🔮 Potential Scenario: The price is likely to continue climbing, forming a new higher high toward the target level. 📢 Confirmation Signals to Watch: 📌 Volume: Increasing volume on bullish moves. 📌 Candlestick Patterns: Bullish signals at key support levels. 📌 Moving Averages: Price holding above critical moving averages. 📌 🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly and conduct your own research. 🔗 Tags: #GOLD #XAUUSD #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #FVG #BreakOfStructure #TrendAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketAnalysis
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Professor_Noah
Short XAUUSD: Targeting 2870 – A Tactical PlayTechnical Analysis: Recent patterns suggest a potential bearish move. Analysts have identified key support levels at $3,048, $2,953, and $2,858, with deeper support around $2,870. These levels may present opportunities for short positions if the price retraces. ​ Market Volatility: The announcement of new tariffs by President Donald Trump has led to significant market fluctuations. Gold prices initially surged to record highs but experienced sharp declines shortly after, indicating potential instability and opportunities for short positions. ​ Central Bank Activity: While central banks have been purchasing gold, there is an expectation that these purchases may decrease if prices remain elevated. A reduction in central bank demand could exert downward pressure on gold prices. ​ Interest Rate Expectations: Anticipation of economic slowdowns due to tariff implementations has led markets to expect interest rate cuts. However, if these cuts do not materialize as expected, it could strengthen the U.S. dollar, making gold less attractive and potentially leading to price declines.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FtradeFXArabic
2025-04-03 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: 18200 is the next huge support and it’s likely that we get there tomorrow and there I would conclude my W3 thesis. Doing another red day into the weekend seems most reasonable because who the duck wants to hold on to longs in the current environment? current market cycle: strong bear - W3 ongoing - target is 18200ish and W5 should get us to 17500ish key levels: 18000 - 20100 bull case: Bulls can make money buying new lows on days like today but bears made sure to only print lower highs. For tomorrow bulls can’t expect something different to happen. Best they can hope for is to stay closer to 20000 but I highly doubt that. Invalidation is below 18100. bear case: Bears have the 2024-04 and 2024-08 lows in sight and could get there tomorrow. They are in full control if they continue to print lower lows and lower highs. Right now the 1h 20ema is holding like a champ but my drawn bear trend line will most likely have to be adjusted tomorrow before EU open. Every bear who sold the spike down yesterday is betting on a measured move down which is around 17600. Can we get there tomorrow? Very unlikely. This is most likely a spike & channel pattern that started Wednesday and given that tomorrow is the end of the week, I expect market to now go above 19000. short term: Bearish for 18400 or even 18200. Lower highs have to hold, so no prices above 19000 or market turns a tad more neutral at least on lower time frames. Bulls can only hope for long scalps on new lows and going sideways. medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. W3 underway, W5 should get us to my target. If we get there, no matter how dire, you just have to buy some very long term investments there. Odds that Nasdaq will stay below 20000 for the next 5 years are so abysmally low. trade of the day: Sell anywhere and hold or look which bigger 20ema holds and look for shorts near it. Today it was once again the 1h 20ema.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Short
by priceactiontds
4
Dow Jones 32% Correction Bearish Bias UpdatedI have been proved wrong about being bullish lately. I took a couple L's and had to step back. Using the monthly chart, I have marked in blue lines every year's open. I can see a clear support area at the 2020 yearly open. This will take out the lows of both 2022 and 2023 low. I will be ignoring any bullish bars in anticipation of them getting eliminated. Yes, the long-term trend is indeed bullish, and this 32% correction will be a counter trend to the current bull trend. The 2020 open is EXACTLY 50% of the high/low Market declines in %: Bearish Setups to employ: Moral of the story? Don't pay attention to bullish bars as they will soon be wiped away.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
1
Is the golden large-scale "roller coaster" near miss?Gold took a large "V"-shaped reversal pattern on Thursday, with the highest hitting 3167 in the Asian session, and continued to fluctuate and fall in the European session. It successfully fell to the lowest 3054 before the US session and then rebounded. As of now, gold has deeply bottomed out and rebounded to 3135. It has now started the oscillation mode. Gold continues to fluctuate in the range of 3100-3135, waiting for the release of the initial jobless claims data in the US session. The data is bearish, and the shorts broke through the 3080 line. After all, the technical adjustment is almost done, and everyone can find opportunities to go long. Later, gold hit the 3054 line and rebounded quickly, and the long orders also recovered the losses. This process is full of thrills and excitement. After all, such a large bottoming rebound is relatively rare. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us! From the 4-hour analysis, pay attention to the short-term suppression of 3130-35 on the upper side, and pay attention to the short-term support around 3100-3106 on the lower side. Pay attention to the support of 3083-3087. After stabilizing above this position, continue to follow the low-long rhythm, and stick to the idea of ​​​​going long after stepping back. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, so pay attention to it in time. Gold operation strategy: Go long at 3105-3095
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Parabolic Exhaustion – Short OpportunitySection: Tactical Setups & Opportunistic Fades Asset Focus: Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Setup Type: Parabolic Exhaustion – Short Opportunity ⸻ Setup Overview: Gold has made a parabolic run that is now showing signs of exhaustion and blow-off behavior. A rejection wick has printed at the top of the range, with price extended far from its key moving averages. Beneath price lie clear zones of liquidity and untested structure, which may act as magnets on any unwind. This setup fits the Jason Shapiro + Reflexivity hybrid model: when sentiment and positioning are maxed, reflexivity unwinds quickly — often violently. ⸻ COT & Sentiment Snapshot: • Leveraged funds appear heavily skewed toward long exposure (pending confirmation via next release). • Commercials may be building short pressure quietly. • Narrative sentiment has shifted into consensus territory: gold is now being framed as the only safe haven — a common contrarian trigger. • Open interest likely tracking price — a sign of crowding. ⸻ Market Structure & Technical Breakdown: • Parabolic structure with increasingly shallow pullbacks suggests exhaustion. • Price has departed cleanly from recent structure zones without testing them — signs of imbalance. • A large rejection candle at the top signals early seller control. • The asset is significantly extended from key means and moving averages. • Below lie structural voids — shallow areas with little historical consolidation — prime for fast retracement once trend breaks. ⸻ Behavioral Finance Layer: “Crowd psychology dictates that the asset everyone is hiding in will eventually be the most dangerous. Gold is no longer a secret — it’s a panic button.” • The psychological belief that “gold can’t fall in crisis” creates emotional leverage — a dangerous crowd illusion. • Traders are no longer hedging fear — they’re expressing it in unison. That’s a trap. • Once the narrative breaks, the unwind is accelerated by disbelief. ⸻ Reflexivity Risk Model: • Phase 1: Macro fear triggers buying • Phase 2: Price rise confirms fear, fuels further inflows • Phase 3: Positioning becomes one-sided • Phase 4: Structural cracks appear; rejection triggers flight from the same door everyone entered through ⸻
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by pharyeh
1