Gold as a Strategic Asset: Safeguarding Wealth in Uncertain TimeOANDA:XAUUSD
According to the World Gold Council, global demand for gold reached 4,974 tonnes in 2024, driven due to increased investor interest and significant purchases by central banks. Investment demand alone surged by 25% year-over-year to 1,180 tonnes, underscoring goldโs enduring relevance on the global stage.
A Long-Term Commitment: Why Gold Rewards Patience
When investing in gold, the time horizon plays a pivotal role in shaping strategy. Lots of investors claim to adopt a long-term approach, market behavior often reveals a different story-frequent panic selling during price dips or attempts to time the market bottom highlight a short-term mindset. Such tendencies can distort goldโs primary function as a tool for capital preservation and long-term stability. Consider this: an investor, who bought gold in the early 2000s at $270 per ounce and held it through 2025 would have seen returns exceeding 1,000%. Such example illustrates goldโs strength as a protective asset rather than a vehicle for quick gains. While the S&P 500 may have delivered similar returns over the same period, its performance is far more tied to economic cycles, making it less reliable during downturns. Unlike stocks or bonds, gold offers no dividends or interest, which might seem like a drawback at first glance. However, its independence from debt-related risks makes it a sought-after haven during periods of uncertainty, such as geopolitical tensions, currency crises, or recessions.
Rethinking Goldโs Value: A Key Element in Portfolio Strategy
Evaluating gold requires a shift in perspective-itโs not just a commodity like copper or oil, nor is its worth solely defined by daily price movements. Goldโs true value emerges over extended periods, serving as a complement to a well-rounded investment portfolio. Effective diversification is the cornerstone of any robust strategy, and gold often plays a critical role in mitigating risk. During market turmoil or economic crises, gold tends to either hold steady or appreciate, counterbalancing declines in other assets. Letโs take the 2008 financial crisis as an example: while the S&P 500 plummeted over 40% throughout the year, goldโs price rose from $850 per ounce at the start of 2008 to a peak of $1,000 mid-crisis, before settling around $800-$900 by year-end. This relative stability-compared to the sharp declines in equities-demonstrates goldโs ability to act as a buffer. Its lack of correlation with stocks or bonds further enhances its appeal, ensuring that portfolio losses in one area can be offset by goldโs resilience, creating a strategic safety net against economic shocks.
Some Challenges of Gold Investments That We Should Note
While gold is often hailed as a safe-haven asset, it comes with its own set of hurdles. Taxation is a significant consideration-in some parts of the European Union, selling physical gold may incur capital gains tax or VAT, particularly if transactions exceed certain thresholds, which can erode potential profits. Additionally, investing in physical gold, such as bars or coins, involves extra costs: storage and insurance fees can add up, while the risk of theft or loss remains a concern if not stored securely. Liquidity is another issue-selling physical gold may not always yield market value, unlike more liquid digital instruments. Moreover, goldโs only source of return is price appreciation, which isnโt guaranteed. If prices stagnate or decline, investors may face holding costs without any gains, emphasizing the importance of timing and a well-thought-out portfolio strategy.
Goldโs Role: A Shield Against Uncertainty
To sum it all, gold still remains a vital tool for investors aiming to preserve capital and hedge against risks in an unpredictable global environment. Its value shines brightest over the long term, requiring a disciplined approach and an understanding of broader economic trends. While not a cure-all for financial challenges, gold serves as an effective safeguard against market volatility when integrated into a long-term strategy, offering stability where traditional assets may falter.
Futures market
Gold trend and operation ideasThe weak signal of short-term gold technical indicators reminds investors to be alert to the risk of pullback. The 1-hour gold moving average crosses downward in a short position. Unless there is sudden positive news about gold over the weekend and gold directly breaks through $3,370, then gold may have another wave of rise. At present, there is good news of a ceasefire between India and Pakistan and Russia and Ukraine over the weekend. Therefore, in the short term, gold will continue to be under pressure at 3,350-55 and is mainly short.
Silver Sell Setup- Go for sell only when entry setup given
- will not enter without confirmation
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if you know how
- keep looking for sell even if price goes one more up
_______________________________________________________________________
"I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, Thatโs Everything."
XAUUSD GOLD Suggestion Bearish TrendGold (XAUUSD) is showing bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart.
The recent 1% drop was triggered by President Trump's announcement of a U.K. trade deal, which sparked optimism for more trade agreements.
we waiting for a solid breakout confirmation to the downside, suggesting a sell-side bias.
Resistance level to watch 3335/ 40
Support Levels 3300 / 3270
Keep eye these factors lets we could see how the price will Plays out.
Would you like me to check the latest chart and technical Setup keep Support pour work Thanks investors.
Market Context Using TPO Profile โ Bearish Bias on GOLD This idea explores the market structure using TPO (Time Price Opportunity) Profiles, which show how long price has stayed at different levels over time. TPO charts help identify value areas, balance zones, and market sentiment shifts.
๐งฉ Key TPO Components on the Chart:
POC (Point of Control) โ The price level where the most TPOs occurred (most time spent).
VAH / VAL (Value Area High/Low) โ The range where ~70% of the activity happened.
Profile Blocks โ Each session shows where time clustered, forming balance or imbalance.
Blue Zigzag Line โ Highlights swing structure (higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows).
๐ Analysis & Insights:
Bearish Structural Shift
Recent price action shows a clear breakdown below VAL, signaling a move away from previous acceptance zones into price discovery.
The zigzag structure confirms a series of lower highs and lower lowsโclassic bearish price action.
Downward-Shifting POCs
The POC has been migrating downward, showing the market is finding value at lower and lower pricesโa sign that sellers are in control.
Acceptance Below Previous Value
The current session is trading well below the prior TPO value area, confirming the market is accepting lower prices.
No Signs of Responsive Buying
There's no significant TPO clustering at current lows, meaning buyers havenโt stepped in to defend any level yetโrisk of further downside remains.
๐ Key Levels:
Resistance to Watch: 3,300โ3,320 USD
A re-test and rejection here would validate continuation to the downside.
Downside Target: 3,180โ3,200 USD
This area could act as the next potential balance zone or support.
๐งญ Bias: Bearish Until Proven Otherwise
With price breaking and accepting below key value areas, and no meaningful buyer defense yet, the short-term bias is firmly bearish.
๐ฌ Let me know in the comments โ are you playing the breakdown, or watching for a fade and failed auction?
HelenP. I Gold will rebound from trend line to resistance zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After an aggressive rally from the support zone, the price has been consolidating just below the resistance area. Whatโs important now is how price behaves around the trend line, which has acted as dynamic support since early April. The most recent pullback landed exactly on this line, where buyers quickly reacted, forming a higher low. This move suggests that the bullish structure remains intact and buyers are defending their positions. The market is currently hovering near 3325, but with momentum slowly building and no major bearish breakdowns, itโs reasonable to anticipate another push higher. The resistance zone between 3405 and 3435 is the next key area, and it aligns with the top of the recent impulse move. If XAUUSD holds above the trend line and breaks through the 3405 level, we could see a continuation toward 3435, my current goal. Overall, the market shows a steady uptrend, supported by rising lows and a strong reaction at the trend line. Until this structure is broken, I remain bullish. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment โค๏ธ
Gold Buy Opportunity๐ข Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Long Setup โ Bullish Reversal from Key Demand Zone
Gold is showing early signs of a bullish reversal from the 4H demand zone near 3270, with confluence from the 200 EMA and previous volume accumulation support (visible via VPVR).
โ
Entry: 3270.35
๐ฏ Target: 3369.45
๐ Stop Loss: 3252.77
๐ Risk/Reward Ratio: 5.17
๐ Projection: 3.03% move in 3 days (by May 15)
๐ Technical Highlights:
EMA Support: Price is testing the 200 EMA, acting as a dynamic support zone.
Volume Profile: Significant buying volume accumulated in the current region, increasing bounce probability.
Structure: Higher-low formation still intact; rejection wick suggests buyer defense.
Bullish Target: Previous 4H supply near 3369 aligns with clean breakout structure.
Gold Bears Back in Control โ Targeting 3270 AgainIn my analysis yesterday, I noted that after the false break above 3370 resistance, there was a high likelihood of a reversal, potentially driving Gold back down to the 3270 support zone.
Market Reaction:
โข As expected, Gold turned lower after retesting the broken 3370 support, now acting as resistance.
โข The price dropped nearly 1000 pips, which has become the new norm for daily Gold fluctuations lately.
W hatโs Next?
โข With the current rebound, the 3370 zone should once again act as a barrier.
โข The strategy remains to sell rallies, targeting a fresh test of the 3270 support zone.
Until this support is broken, expect very volatile moves, but the broader trend remains bearish
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD: The Ultimate Safe Haven Play! FOR THIS WEEK 12/05๐ XAUUSD (Gold): The Ultimate Safe Haven Play!
๐ Live Market Snapshot (May 12, 2025)
- Current Price: $3,275
- Weekly Range: $3,201 - $3,455
- Key Liquidity Zones:
- Strong Support: $3,140-$3,145 (Best Buy Zone)
- Immediate Resistance: $3,335 (TP1)
- All-Time High: $3,500
๐ Why Gold Matters Now
1. Market Uncertainty: Perfect hedge against volatility
2. Technical Setup: Bouncing from weekly low of $3,201
3. Institutional Demand: Central banks accumulating
๐ฏ Trading Strategy
- Entry: $3,240-$3,245 zone
- Take Profit Levels:
โ $3,280
โ $3,330
โ $3,355
- Risk Management:
โ Stop Loss: $3,225
โ ๏ธ Critical Notes
1. Watch USD strength (inverse correlation)
2. Monitor Fed policy decisions
3. Physical demand vs. paper gold flows
๐ฅ Key Indicators
1. Daily RSI: 52 (neutral)
2. 200-DMA: $3,180 (strong support)
3. Volume Profile: Key node at $3,250
๐ The Golden Opportunity
With global tensions rising, gold offers:
- Safe haven protection
- Inflation hedge
- Technical rebound potential
---
๐ DYOR| Not financial advice ๐๏ธ
Gold opening rise and fall prediction๏ผThe current gold market is in a range of fluctuations, maintaining a wide range of fluctuations. Technically, the key support level below is still focused on the 3270 area, while the 3450 price level above constitutes a significant double-top structural resistance level. Although the conclusion of the US-UK tariff agreement has a phased negative effect on precious metals at the geopolitical level and may provide a demonstration effect for other regional trade negotiations, the overall technical structure still maintains a downward trend. At the daily level, the recent K-line combination has completed a deep retracement from the 3500 mark with two long negative lines, directly breaking through an important support platform. The current daily K-line continues to close the adjustment pattern with an upper shadow line, and the alternating yin and yang oscillation rhythm conforms to the technical correction characteristics. It is worth noting that the 50-period moving average continues a clear downward trajectory, forming a resonance suppression with the double-top structure in the 3450 area.
The 1-hour gold chart shows that the short-term price trend presents a clear downward channel feature, and the seller's power continues to dominate the market. Combined with the Fibonacci extension level calculation, the first target below can still focus on the 3300 area. If this support platform is lost, the price will have a technical demand to further explore the 3320 integer mark. The current volume and price coordination shows that the market is brewing a new wave of trending market conditions. It is necessary to pay close attention to the breakthrough direction of the 3300-3380 range, which will determine the continuation or reversal of the medium-term trend. Taken together, the short-term operation of gold is recommended to be mainly longs on callbacks, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3360-3380, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3320-3300.
GOLD/USD showing short-term corrections during the downtrendPrice Action Overview
Current Price: $3,389.030
Change: -47.536 (-1.38%) at the time of the snapshot.
Recent High: Around $3,453
Support Levels:
$3,370.793
$3,236.478
$3,201.685
Resistance Levels:
$3,393.756
$3,453.443
Technical Indicators & Patterns
Price Zones:
A red shaded area near the top indicating a strong resistance zone.
Multiple green shaded boxes below suggesting prior demand zones (support).
Trade Markers:
"B" = Buy signals (e.g., on May 3โ4, where a rally followed)
"R" = Resistance/reversal points
"T" = Possibly a target or technical level
Volume Spikes:
Notable spike on April 23 (2.619M) and another smaller one around April 30 (568.623K).
Price Movements:
Recent Rally: A sharp upward movement from early May, rising from support near $3,200 to resistance at ~$3,450.
Corrections: Several pullbacks marked (-0.80%, -0.95%, etc.), showing short-term corrections during the downtrend and consolidation phases.
Percentage Gains/Losses:
Ranges from minor gains (0.67% to 1.19%) to losses (e.g., -0.95%) across various candles, highlighting short-term trading opportunities.
Gold New Update The chart you've shared is a 4-hour (4H) time frame of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar, showing some clear technical patterns and annotations. Hereโs a breakdown and a suggested Trade Plan with Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL):
๐ง Technical Analysis:
Trend:
There is a strong bullish impulse (green arrow).
A potential bull flag or bullish pennant is forming.
A V-shaped recovery suggests momentum is back on the buyerโs side.
Fibonacci Levels:
0.382 retracement (3,352) was tested but not broken.
Current price is hovering around 3,325, close to 0.5 retracement.
Chart Pattern:
Consolidation after the impulse indicates accumulation phase.
Breakout from the consolidation could fuel another upward move.
Forecasted Move:
The blue arrow suggests bullish breakout continuation.
๐งพ Trade Plan:
๐ Buy Setup (Bullish Continuation)
Entry: Around 3,325 (current level)
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 3,383 (0.236 Fibonacci level / previous resistance)
TP2: 3,450 - 3,500 (next resistance / measured move target)
Stop Loss (SL):
SL: 3,290 (below recent swing low and consolidation support)
๐ Risk Management:
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2 or better.
Risking ~35 points for potential 60โ175 point gain.
An Unharmonious Outlook for the New WeekGold Bullish? Sure, go ahead, but let me explain where we are and so on... ๐ค
1. Newswise ๐ฐ
Tariffwar:
Trade tensions between the U.S. and China have intensified following President Trump's tariff hikes. The U.S. increased tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%, while China retaliated with tariffs up to 125% on U.S. goods. Despite these escalations, both countries have engaged in high-level negotiations in Geneva, aiming to de-escalate the situation. However, a recent abrupt withdrawal by the Chinese delegation has cast doubt on the progress of these talks. Analysts caution that even if an agreement is reached, it may offer only temporary relief, leaving markets exposed to prolonged trade tensions.
Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates:
President Donald Trump has been vocal in his criticism of the Federal Reserveโs decision to keep interest rates unchanged, calling Fed Chair Jerome Powell a โfoolโ for not lowering them. ๐ก Trump argues that with falling energy prices, stable employment, and low inflation, the Fed should cut rates to stimulate economic growth. ๐
The Federal Reserve, however, remains cautious. ๐ฆ Officials have expressed concerns that recent tariffs could increase inflation, making premature rate cuts risky. They emphasize the need for clearer economic data before making further policy adjustments. ๐ง
In summary: While Trump pushes for immediate cuts to boost the economy, the Fed is taking a measured approach, prioritizing long-term stability over short-term political pressure. โ๏ธ
War in Ukraine remains tense:
Western leaders, alongside President Zelensky, are calling for a 30-day ceasefire starting May 12. Russia has shown a willingness to negotiate but demands an end to Western military aid โ a condition firmly rejected. ๐จ
Conclusion: The coming days will be critical. A ceasefire could open the door to new peace efforts. If rejected, expect tougher sanctions and further escalation. ๐ฅ
IndiaโPakistan Conflict:
Tensions between India and Pakistan have escalated sharply following a militant attack on Indian tourists in Kashmir on April 22, 2025. India responded with airstrikes, prompting mutual accusations of missile and drone attacks. ๐ฃ Despite a U.S.-brokered ceasefire announced on May 10, violations followed within hours. Both countries, nuclear-armed, have mobilized troops along the Line of Control. โ๏ธ Global powers โ including the U.S., U.K., China, and G7 โ have urged restraint and offered to mediate. ๐
2. Technicalwise ๐
1h Timeframe โ Bearish Anti-Gartley Pattern
15m Timeframe โ Bearish Anti-Butterfly Pattern
Thatโs not a sign of gold being bullish in the short term. ๐ซ
Letโs take a look at RSI values across timeframes:
- 5m โ 31 โ Down โฌ๏ธ
- 15m โ 37 โ Down โฌ๏ธ
- 30m โ 43 โ Down โฌ๏ธ
- 1h โ 45 โ Down โฌ๏ธ
- 4h โ 46 โ Down โฌ๏ธ
- 1d โ 55 โ Up โฌ๏ธ
Interpretation of RSI Values ๐ง
5m to 4h (31 to 46 โ all โDownโ)
โ These low RSI values (below 50) across short- to mid-term timeframes indicate ongoing selling pressure and downward momentum. Although not yet in oversold territory (<30), this still signals relative weakness. โ ๏ธ
1d (55 โ โUpโ)
โ On the daily chart, the RSI is above 50 and rising, suggesting a possible trend reversal or early signs of recovery โ a bullish signal over the longer term. ๐
Overall Meaning ๐ง
This points to short-term weakness within a broader potential uptrend. The market is soft on lower timeframes โ likely in correction or consolidation โ while the daily chart begins to show strength. It's a classic pullback setup in an uptrend. ๐
Possible Strategy Consideration ๐ก
If you're leaning bullish, look for reversal signals on the smaller timeframes to align entries with the daily trend โ such as RSI divergences or breakouts above local resistance. ๐
My Bias ๐ค
Bearish sentiment dominates in the short term. Over the next week, I aim to enter short positions targeting $3,200. ๐
If sentiment shifts or key news emerges, a target of $3,400 becomes more realistic. ๐
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! ๐ข Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks โ only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! ๐๐
Bullish Breakout Defies Trade Uncertainty and Global TensionsOANDA:XAUUSD Gold remains firm near $3,333, holding a bullish structure after a breakout above multi-year resistance. While short-term pullbacks persist, geopolitical tensions and a Fed pause continue to support safe-haven demand. Trump's refusal to ease China tariffs dampens trade optimism, further boosting gold's appeal. Key support lies around $3,333 and $3.273.
Resistance : $3,414 , $3,474
Support : $3,333 , $ 3,273
Downtrend - will go price return to $3275 GOLD SHORT IDEA | XAUUSD
Price: 3,325
Bias: Bearish
Entry: Near supply zone retest within descending channel
SL: 3,350 | TP: 3,300 โ 3,275
๐ธ Price respecting bearish channel
๐ธ Multiple CHoCH & BOS confirming bearish structure
๐ธ IDM zone mitigated with strong rejection
๐ธ Expecting continuation to demand zone below
๐ TF: 15M / Intraday Idea
๐ Strategy: Smart Money Concept (SMC)
#XAUUSD #GOLD #SmartMoney #shortsetup #PriceAction #CHoCH #BOS #TradingViewIdeas
Seize the moment! The rebound is a good opportunity to shortGold was affected by the implementation of the China-US tariffs and the ceasefire between India and Pakistan, which weakened the market's risk aversion sentiment. The weekly line formed a double-needle top pattern, and continued to see downward adjustments this week. The daily line also has a double top structure, with 3500 and 3435 as double tops, and the neckline focuses on 3202. If it falls below, the double top pattern is confirmed. In terms of thinking, keep falling back and adjusting, with pressure focusing on 3260 and 3283, and support below focusing on 3200-3202. In terms of operation, rebound high and short are the main, and falling back is supplemented by long.
Operation suggestion: short gold when it rebounds to around 3255-65, and look at 3320 and 3200. long gold when it falls back to around 3210-3200, and look at 3320 and 3250.