Futures market
5/12 Gold Trading SignalsGood morning everyone!
Gold opened lower and extended losses today, influenced by easing China–U.S. trade tensions and ceasefire news from India-Pakistan.
The recent rally was largely driven by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical concerns. As tensions ease, gold's retracement is a logical market reaction.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
Gold has now returned to a previous consolidation zone . While some support exists, current candlestick structure and most indicators show no clear bullish reversal yet.
Entering long positions too early may pose short-term risks, so trend trades should wait for stronger confirmation.
For flexible intraday trading, watch:
Support at 3263–3246: Holding this zone could trigger a rebound back toward 3309 resistance.
📌 Trading Recommendations:
✅ Sell Zone: 3306 – 3321
✅ Buy Zone: 3218 – 3198
🔁 Range for Scalp/Short-Term Trades: 3294 – 3263 / 3238 – 3269
UPDATE - Brent Crude missed Take profit - Time to panic?Well with trading it's never time to panic.
If you're panicking it means:
1. Your ego is too high and you're predicting rather than reacting
2. Risking too much
3. Attaching emotions to machine
Even if it hits the stop, that's the name of the game - TRADING>
However, the game is still in play. The price continues to make lower highs and it looks up it's going up to test the recent downward trend line.
Break above, and it will be more likely to not play out.
But NO panic! Please we're adults and taking on this as a business venture not a lotto.
M Formation
Price<20 and 200
Target $56.13
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Golden Opportunity: XAU/USD’s Bull & Bear Heist Strategy!Hello Money Makers & Market Bandits! 🤑💰✈️
Get ready to raid the XAU/USD Gold Market with our cunning Thief Trading Style, blending sharp technicals and deep fundamental insights! 📊🔥 Our plan? Strike with precision on both bullish and bearish moves, grabbing profits before the market turns. Let’s outwit the charts and stack that gold! 🏆💸
📈 The Gold Heist Plan
Entry Points 🚪:
🏴☠️ Bullish Move: Wait for a pullback to the Institutional Hidden Buy Zone at 3080—your signal to jump in for bullish gains!
🏴☠️ Bearish Move: Watch for a breakout below the neutral level at 3200—time to ride the bearish wave!
Tip: Set alerts to catch these key levels! 🔔
Stop Loss (SL) 🛑:
Bullish Trade: Place SL at 2960 (4H swing low, Institutional Hidden Buy Zone).
Bearish Trade: Set SL at 3360 (4H swing high).
Adjust SL based on your risk, lot size, and number of orders. Stay sharp—this is your shield! ⚠️
Take Profit (TP) 🎯:
Bullish Robbers: Aim for 3660 or exit early if momentum fades.
Bearish Robbers: Target 3080 or slip out before the market flips.
Escape Plan: Watch for overbought/oversold signals to avoid traps! 🚨
📡 Why XAU/USD?
The Gold Market is in a bearish trend 🐻, driven by:
Fundamentals: USD strength from Fed policy, US growth, and tariffs.
Macroeconomics: US resilience vs. global economic weakness.
COT Data: Bearish speculative bets favor USD.
Intermarket: Rising US yields and equities boost USD, pressuring gold.
Quantitative: RSI and Fibonacci confirm bearish momentum.
🧠 Sentiment Outlook (May 12, 2025)
Retail Traders:
🟢 Bullish: 42% 😊 (Hoping for gold rebound on trade war fears)
🔴 Bearish: 45% 😟 (USD strength and improved US-China relations weigh)
⚪ Neutral: 13% 🤔
Source: Social sentiment & trading platform polls
Institutional Traders:
🟢 Bullish: 30% 💼 (Safe-haven demand amid geopolitical uncertainty)
🔴 Bearish: 60% ⚠️ (USD rally and higher concrete 5/12/2025)
🟢 Bullish: 30% 💼 (Safe-haven demand amid geopolitical uncertainty)
🔴 Bearish: 60% ⚠️ (USD rally and higher yields suppress gold)
⚪ Neutral: 10% 🧐
Source: COT reports & institutional flows
⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Risk Management 📰
News can shake the market like a storm! Protect your loot:
Skip new trades during major news releases.
Use trailing stop-loss to lock in profits and limit losses.
Stay vigilant—volatility is our playground, but only with a plan!
💪 Ride with the Thief Trading Team!
Hit the Boost Button to power up our Thief Trading Style and make this heist epic! 🚀 Each boost fuels our squad, helping us plunder profits daily. Let’s conquer the XAU/USD market together! 🤝
Stay tuned for the next heist! 🐱👤 Keep your charts ready, alerts on, and trading vibe high. Catch you in the profits, bandits! 🤑🎉
#ThiefTrading #XAUUSD #GoldHeist #TradingView #StackTheGold
How to layout gold as Sino-US trade eases🗞News side:
1. China-US trade relations eased, suspending some tariffs and countermeasures
2. Russia and Ukraine suspended firing for 30 days, and the India-Pakistan conflict was temporarily mediated
📈Technical aspects:
Affected by the easing of Sino-US economic and trade relations, coupled with the fact that the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations are on the right track and India and Pakistan have suspended firing, the risk aversion sentiment in the gold market has eased, and the gold price has fallen sharply since the opening today. At present, the 3200 line has formed an important short-term support. If the support effect is strong at this point, the gold price may rebound further; if it falls below this key support, it will accelerate the opening of downward space. The upper 3250-3260 is the previous intensive trading area, which will pose a certain pressure in the short term. At the top of the European market, focus on the resistance range of 3250-3260, and at the bottom, the support range is 3210-3200.
🎁BUY 3200-3210
🎁TP 3250-3260
🎁 SELL 3260-3270
🎁 TP 3250-3230
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD XAUUSD Trade Plan for coming week Chart Analysis Overview:
🔹 Key Level: 3280-3270
> This level acts as the decision point for the next move.
> The price is currently hovering just above it, making it crucial for short-term direction.
📉 Bearish Scenario (Sell Setup)
Trigger: Break below 3270
: Entry Zone: Around or shortly after the break
Targets:
>> TP1: 3225 <<
>> Final TP: 3200 <<
A clean break below 3270 indicates bearish momentum and could signal continuation to the downside, aligning with the previous low structure.
✅ Notes:
Enter only after a 1H candle closes below 3270.
Watch for a possible retest of 3270 as resistance before the drop.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Buy Setup)
: Trigger: Price holds above 3270 and forms a higher low.
: Pattern Forecasted: A retracement followed by an impulse wave upward.
: Targets:
>> TP1: 3350
>> Final TP: 3400
Rationale: If support holds at 3270, a reversal pattern is expected, targeting the previous resistance areas.
✅ Notes:
Look for bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing, hammer) near 3270.
Avoid chasing if the price shoots up without a clean pullback.
Gold – Focus on the Specific Details of US/China Trade TalksGold prices rallied 0.6% on Friday to close at 3325 as traders rushed to obtain some safe haven protection against the uncertainty of whether the outcome of trade negotiations between the US and China, taking place in Geneva over the weekend, may yield positive or negative results which could have significantly impact all markets on the Monday open.
Roll forward 2 days and Gold has fallen to a low of 3259 (at time of writing) in early Monday trading as traders digest and then react to both the US and China reporting ‘substantial progress’ in their talks. This news seems to have initially boosted risk sentiment and reduced the need for traders to own Gold as a hedge, at least for now anyway.
While light on detail, initial reports indicate that the trade teams from the world’s two biggest economies have agreed to create a mechanism for further talks. US Treasury Secretary Bessant and Trade representative Greer are expected to hold a press briefing later this morning to share more specific details, so there is room for disappointment, which could see Gold rally back to higher levels, or more progress than anticipated by markets, which may see Gold extend its sell off down to potential key technical support levels.
Technical Update: Decision Making Progress Develops
On April 24th 2025, we published a commentary on Gold, highlighting its inability to break above the psychological round number resistance at 3500, from which a sell-off was developing. Please look back at our timeline to read our thoughts at that time.
The setback from these all-time highs at 3500 did extend further, and tests of 3228, which was equal to the 50% Fibonacci retracement (April 7th to April 22nd 2025 price strength) did materialise.
After initially seeing the strong bounce from 3228 last week, it appears that traders may be focusing on this level as a possible important support over coming sessions.
What is the Current Situation for Gold?
While much will depend on future price trends and market sentiment, it could be suggested that recent price activity in Gold since the April 22nd session all-time high, has established both upper and lower extremes of a developing sideways range, between 3228 and 3500.
This type of sideways activity represents something of a ‘balance’ between both buyers and sellers of Gold. Price strength has been met by selling pressure at 3500, while buyers have materialised around 3228, the 50% retracement level.
However, it could even be suggested after the price weakness from last Tuesday’s 3435 session high, immediate resistance could now be lowered to this 3435 level.
Predicting the direction of an eventual range breakout is difficult, and we must wait for either a confirmed closing break below 3228, or above 3435 to suggest the next possible direction of a more sustained phase of price movement. Until such a breakout materialises, extension of the choppy sideways activity, as seen recently, could continue.
Upside Focus: If potential is to turn towards further attempts to extend price strength, it may well be suggested by closes above last week’s 3435 high. While breaks of these 3435 extremes won’t be a guarantee of price strength, it might lead to retests of the psychological 3500 high, even towards 3570, which is the 300% Fibonacci extension of the October 31st to November 14th 2024 decline.
Downside Focus: To the downside, traders may well continue to focus on the 3228 Fibonacci retracement level as support, with closing breaks perhaps pointing to risks for further price declines. Such moves may then lead to weakness towards 3164, which is the lower 61.8% retracement level.
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USOIL | 4H | SWING TRADING Good morning, dear friends
Due to high demand, I’ve prepared a USOIL analysis for you. My target level is set at 63.600.
Once my target is reached, I’ll be sharing updates under this post.
Dear friends, your likes are always my biggest motivation to keep sharing analyses. That’s why I kindly ask each of my followers to show their support—please don’t hold back on the likes.
I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes. It truly means a lot
Trade idea: XAGUSD long (BUY LIMIT)1. Technical Analysis Summary:
Daily Chart (Long-Term Trend)
• Trend: Strong bullish structure, recent consolidation after breakout above $30.
• MACD: Histogram tapering but still positive — momentum cooling but bullish bias intact.
• RSI (48.70): Neutral zone, not overbought or oversold — room for upside continuation.
• Price Action: Holding near previous resistance-turned-support around $32.40.
15-Min Chart (Intraday Context)
• Trend: Pullback from recent highs, but signs of base forming near $32.40.
• MACD: Still bearish, but histogram is flattening — suggesting downside momentum weakening.
• RSI (42.98): Near oversold territory — early sign of bounce potential.
3-Min Chart (Entry Timing)
• MACD: Just flipped bullish (signal line crossover), bullish divergence spotted.
• RSI (61.34): Rebounding strongly — confirmation of short-term bullish momentum.
• Price Action: Higher lows forming; reclaiming the 20 EMA.
⸻
2. Fundamental Backdrop (as of May 2025):
• Dovish Fed stance and expectations of interest rate cuts continue to support metals.
• Global macro uncertainty (inflation, geopolitical tensions) keeps demand for silver intact.
• Industrial demand for silver remains strong due to green energy initiatives.
⸻
3. Trade Setup (Long Position):
Bias: LONG XAGUSD
• Entry: 32.43 (current price, confirming breakout on 3M chart)
• Stop Loss (SL): 31.90 (below recent intraday low and structure support)
• Take Profit (TP): 33.80 (previous swing high from April, daily resistance zone)
FUSIONMARKETS:XAGUSD
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [May 12 - May 16]This week, the international OANDA:XAUUSD increased from 3,210 USD/oz to 3,434 USD/oz, but immediately after that, the gold price dropped sharply to 3,274 USD/oz and closed this week at 3,325 USD/oz.
The reason why the gold price was sold off at the end of the week was because the FED said it would not rush to cut interest rates, because inflation is potentially at risk of increasing due to the impact of tariffs from the Trump administration, while the US economy, especially the labor market, is also at risk of decline. This risks pushing the US economy into a state of stagflation.
In addition, after the US and UK reached a trade agreement, the US side said that there will be more trade agreements with major economies in the near future. Notably, this weekend, the US and China also entered the first round of trade negotiations under President Trump in his second term in Switzerland. This has made many investors concerned that the cooling of the trade war will reduce the role of gold as a safe haven.
Factors affecting gold prices next week:
Federal Reserve (Fed) policy: The Fed currently keeps interest rates at 4.25% - 4.5%, and the market is waiting for new economic data (such as May CPI and employment report). If inflation continues to decline or there are signs that the Fed will cut interest rates in the near future, gold prices may be strongly supported. On the contrary, if the Fed maintains a "hawkish" stance (keeping interest rates high), gold prices may be under downward pressure.
US-China trade negotiations: Optimism about the possibility of a trade agreement between the US and China (expected to be negotiated in Switzerland) is reducing the demand for safe haven gold. If there is positive news (forecast: tax reduction from 145% to 80%), gold prices may adjust down. On the contrary, if negotiations fail or tensions escalate, gold will increase sharply.
Global instability: Geopolitical risks (such as Middle East conflicts, Russia-Ukraine tensions, India-Pakistan tensions) are still the driving force supporting gold prices. If there are unexpected developments, gold demand will increase.
📌Technically, gold prices next week are likely to fluctuate within the range of 3,200 - 3,400 USD/ounce, with the base scenario being sideways or slightly increasing. If gold breaks the trendline and surpasses the resistance level of 3435, the next level is that gold can conquer the old peak or create a new high. Meanwhile, if the support level of 3200 is broken, gold prices are at risk of falling deeply below the threshold of 3,100 USD/oz. However, factors such as US economic data, Fed policy, and developments in US-China negotiations will be the key to determining the trend. Investors need to closely monitor these events and apply flexible trading strategies.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,267USD
Resistance: 3,351 – 3,371USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3402 - 3400⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3406
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3215 - 3217⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3211
Shorts were active at the beginning of this week, and prices fel
📌 Gold driving factors
The joint statement of the Sino-US Geneva economic and trade talks has just been released. This development has hit the safe-haven demand for gold and has become the fuse for a new round of gold selling.
Coupled with the hawkish "holding back" of the Federal Reserve, the dollar has remained stable near its multi-week high and put pressure on gold. The trend of gold prices seems quite fragile.
📊Commentary analysis
The next resistance for gold prices is the static barrier of $3360-3365/ounce. If it can be decisively overcome, it will eliminate the recent bearish tendency and lay the foundation for gold prices to regain the $3400/ounce mark.
💰Strategy Package
⭐️Set Gold Price:
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3315-3317 SL 3322
TP1: $3300
TP2: $3290
TP3: $3280
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3223 - $3225 SL $3218
TP1: $3238
TP2: $3245
TP3: $3260
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold opens low, beware of gap filling!Today, under the influence of various negative news over the weekend, gold opened sharply lower and directly broke through 3300, reaching a low of 3259. The most important point is that China and the United States have agreed to establish a trade consultation mechanism, and will finalize the relevant details as soon as possible. A joint statement reached at the talks will be issued on May 12, which is considered to be substantial progress.
This round of gold surge was caused by the trade war. Before April, the rise of gold was strictly based on the technical aspects, which was relatively easy to grasp. The rise and fall of the technology was more reliable, and the technical trend was more regular. In April, gold prices rose sharply due to the tariff war, and the market started to rise and fall sharply, mainly driven by news factors. The large amplitude and many opportunities also increased the risks. It was not so easy to grasp, and it was easy to make money and lose money. This is the coexistence of risks and profits.
Last week, gold failed to reach a high for the second time and fell sharply. The short-term trend turned bearish, but it is still bullish in the medium and long term. On the one hand, geopolitical conflicts have not decreased under the great changes that have not been seen in a century, trade frictions are still there, and the global economy is at risk of recession; on the other hand, the credit of the US dollar has declined, and the US Reserve has entered a cycle of interest rate cuts. Amid various risk aversion sentiments and capital seeking profits, gold is still a very good and trustworthy variety.
The current decline is just an adjustment to the previous crazy rise in gold. This year, the gold price rose from 2600-3500 to 900 US dollars in just four months, and it was only 800 US dollars in the whole of last year. Capital's short-term profit flight is also part of the reason. If the increase is too high, the callback range must be large. The daily and weekly lines deviate seriously from the short-term moving average and the 100-day moving average, so gold may fluctuate widely at a high level in the future. Wait until the market adjustment is over, and the next interest rate cut by the US Reserve is an opportunity
Today, gold opened sharply lower. Pay attention to the gap filling. The low level in the morning fluctuated sideways. Pay attention to the rebound strength in the afternoon. The upper pressure is 3290-3292.
According to the previous operating rhythm, the European session rebounded after falling in the morning. If the European session rebounded to fill the gap, it would rely on the 3320-3325 pressure to go short, and then gold would be a volatile market.
If the European session did not fill the gap, but was suppressed below 3292 and fell, then the rebound could be shorted for the second time. If the European session broke the low and fell and weakened, gold would continue to be bearish, and the support below was 3222-3200.
Gold H4: Sell Below Resistance Toward \$3,200XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) and outlines a range-bound trading scenario with key levels and potential price targets. Here’s a breakdown of the analysis:
🔍 Key Observations:
Support Zone (~$3,200 - $3,230):
Highlighted with yellow shading and green arrows.
Multiple historical bounces show this as a strong demand area.
Aligns closely with the 200 EMA ($3,223), reinforcing its strength.
Resistance Zone (~$3,350 - $3,375):
Marked as “RESISTANCE + TARGET 1”.
Previously acted as a ceiling; several price rejections noted.
A breakout above this zone could aim for Target 2: $3,400+.
Current Price (~$3,277):
Price is between the 50 EMA ($3,322) and the 200 EMA ($3,223).
Possible consolidation or preparation for a breakout.
Targets:
Target 1 (Downside): ~$3,200 — possible if price rejects from current level and breaks below support.
Target 2 (Upside): ~$3,400 — achievable if resistance breaks.
Price Projection Paths:
Bearish path: Rejection → retrace to support → break → Target 1.
Bullish path: Pullback → support holds → breakout → Target 2.
⚖️ Trading Idea Summary:
Bullish Bias above $3,230: Watch for a bounce and break of resistance toward $3,400.
Bearish Bias below $3,223: Watch for a breakdown and fall toward $3,200.
Use candlestick confirmation and volume for entry validation.
GOLD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3211.4 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 3239.5
Recommended Stop Loss -3197.1
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,211.87
Target Level: 3,375.85
Stop Loss: 3,102.01
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
XAUUSD TAKE RESISTANCE FROM TRADE LINEHere I Created This XAUUSD Chart Analysis
Pair : XAUUSD (Gold)
Timeframe: 1- Hour
Pattern: Resistance Level
Momentum: Bearish/ SELL
Entry Level : SELL 3327
Resistance zone : 3335
Target Will Be : 3300 / 3272
Disclaimer : This signal is based on personal analysis for learning purposes. Trade at your own risk and always use proper risk management.
XAUUSD:You can make profits by shorting during the rebound.At present, the gold market is fluctuating downward, presenting many trading opportunities. You can make profits by shorting during the rebound.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Circular short selling is still the main themeGold has no power to rebound in the Asian session, and it keeps fluctuating and falling. The highest rebound was 3292, but it fell back under pressure, and the lowest touched 3217. The fluctuation and decline are still dominant, so we only need to short on the rebound. It is still difficult to fill the gap at the opening today, so don't have hope. Just keep shorting on the rebound. The weekend article also analyzes the bearish opening this week. After all, the international situation of India and Pakistan's comprehensive ceasefire and Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations are mainly bearish for gold. Coupled with the technical shorts, it is reasonable for gold to jump short. Today, we will treat gold as rebound shorting. In terms of operation, we will mainly short on rebound and be a steady trader. Judging from the current trend of gold, the main short rhythm of the pullback will continue to remain unchanged before the daily level breaks through and stands at this position.
Cautious Optimism: What’s Next for the S&P 500US500 My Outlook for the Next Week:
Given the relentless bullishness on the chart and the current backdrop, here’s how I see the next week playing out:
Short-Term: The S&P 500 may continue to consolidate or experience mild pullbacks as investors digest recent gains and await fresh catalysts. Sector rotation could create choppiness, especially if tech underperforms.
Catalysts: Watch for key economic data (inflation, employment, Fed commentary) and any major earnings surprises. These could trigger renewed momentum or a sharper correction.
Risk/Reward: The risk of a sharp correction is rising, but the underlying trend remains bullish unless there’s a significant negative surprise. A shallow pullback or sideways action would be healthy and could set up the next leg higher if fundamentals remain intact.
In summary: The S&P 500’s relentless bullishness is being tested by mixed sentiment and cautious analyst forecasts. Fundamentals are still supportive, but risks are rising. For the next week, expect consolidation or mild volatility, with the potential for renewed upside if economic data and earnings remain strong. Stay nimble, watch for sector rotation, and be prepared for both short-term pullbacks and longer-term opportunities.
Not financial advice.