Gold Weekly Orderflow and Outlook for next weekExpecting more meltdown on Gold. Need rapid displacement. Retracement Market Profile. Quarterly Power of Three.
Futures market
Bigger correction down for goldHi traders,
XAUUSD did exactly what I've said in my outlook last week. I said we could see (a little) more upside because this pair was already in (grey) wave 5. So after wave 5 was finished, it started a bigger correction down.
Next week we could see more consolidation for this pair.
But let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for more development of the bigger correction down.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
NATGAS: Bulls Will Push
The price of NATGAS will most likely increase soon enough, due to the demand beginning to exceed supply which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Combined US Indexes - Lower High Lower Low checked; What next...As previously expected, a lower low has been achieved.
What was not expected was the speed, magnitude and extent of the fallout.
Next up, since it is about 3.5 Standard Deviations out, we can start looking for a consolidation, although there might be slightly more downside and we need a higher low in the expected range within box. Having said that, it is possible to see it overextend downwards briefly.
There is a long term support, Fibonacci downside target zone just below.
So expecting a short term bounce between Monday to Wednesday at the earliest, and following that a consolidation area formation.
US500 to 4346!!!!!!! WARNINGGG!!!!!!Based on my algos, US500 is heading to 4346! Be warned!!! Collapse is actually coming!
XAUUSD – Make-or-Break Zone Ahead for Gold Bulls📊 XAUUSD – Make-or-Break Zone Ahead for Gold Bulls
Gold is hovering at a crucial weekly trendline support zone while consolidating in a descending triangle pattern. Price action suggests a decisive move is coming soon — either a bullish breakout above the short-term resistance or a sharp breakdown below $2,960, targeting the $2,828 zone.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Price is respecting a rising channel on the higher timeframe.
A lower high structure is forming below resistance at $3,085, indicating compression.
Key support rests at the confluence of the weekly trendline and horizontal zone around $2,960.
A breakdown from this triangle could trigger a bearish move toward $2,828, while a breakout above $3,085 opens the door for a retest of $3,200.
🌐 Fundamental Drivers:
Gold remains supported by geopolitical tensions and central bank demand.
However, hawkish Fed comments and stronger U.S. dollar sentiment are pressuring short-term upside.
The upcoming U.S. CPI and FOMC minutes could add volatility and define the next leg.
📌 Watch for a 4H or Daily close outside the triangle for confirmation. Until then, this remains a high-probability reaction zone for short-term traders.
🧠 Trade with structure. React, don’t predict.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Fundamentals #TradingView #Forex #Commodities #MarketOutlook
XAUUSD 04.04.2025~+ Tariffs impact uncertainty
+ Seasonals
~- * Although gold tends to follow risk assets once the expected risk is realized. In this case, specific tariffs were announced, and further impact could be envisioned.
The trend reversal of gold is taking shape!The US non-farm data in March exceeded market expectations, but the unemployment rate rose. Whether true or false, it eventually supported the rebound of the US dollar. After that, Powell said that he would not cut interest rates immediately. The US Treasury Secretary said that the United States pursued a strong dollar policy, etc. The above comprehensive factors provided support for the US dollar to rebound, but it cannot be concluded that the bottom has been reached. Gold was not spared. Yesterday, the overall decline exceeded 120 points, ending four consecutive weeks of gains, and the overall trend is still downward.
Combined with the long-term technical pattern, the strong support below the gold price is near 2950. Even if the price rebounds next week, it cannot be accompanied by strong event support. It is still possible to fall again to find the bottom, and the possibility of falling below the 3000 mark is relatively high.
The gold 1-hour moving average has formed a death cross downward, so the gold shorts still have power, and the short-term gold can only rebound. After the rebound, gold will continue to be short, and then gold will enter a shock. After the high-level plunge of gold, shorts will have a greater advantage in the short term. Unless there is a big positive, it will be difficult for gold to rise directly. The last physical K-line box of gold in the 1-hour will form a short-term suppression. The resistance of gold rebound is 3070. If it is under pressure, then the gold rebound will continue to be shorted at highs.
Investment strategy:
Buy gold at 3040, target 3050
Sell gold at 3050, target 3030-3020-3010-3000
Golden Momentum to Short the goldWe already know what FED powell talked about on the 4th and trump's tariffs which have a very big effect on the global economy.
exchanges have fallen, this pattern is very similar where during the crisis the price of gold also fell sharply because there was no demand from the world and they saw the USD as a safe heaven because the price of gold was also too high.
Price between 3040 -3070 is a entry price to short
Price rocketing above 3110 = bull resisting (very small chance, only below 5%)
Good luck for your trade, lets win this trade.
Summary of this week! Looking forward to the new week!Gold has been on a "roller coaster" this week. Spot gold continued to rise from Monday to Thursday, and hit a record high of $3,167.57/ounce on Thursday (April 3). However, it plunged more than $76 on Friday (April 4), a drop of 2.47%, and finally closed at $3,037/ounce, narrowing the weekly gain to 1.2%. This sharp fluctuation stems from two key events: Trump's tariff policy has caused global concerns to rise, and Fed Powell's unexpected turn to hawkish monetary policy. The market liquidity crisis has caused investors to sell gold to make up for stock market losses, and the US dollar index has strengthened by 0.9%, further suppressing gold prices.
On Friday, global stock markets fell for the second consecutive day. The US stock market suffered an "epic" plunge. The three major US stock indexes all fell by more than 5.5%, all of which were the largest single-day declines since 2000. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged more than 2,000 points into the correction zone, and the Nasdaq fell into a bear market. Gold is often seen as a liquid asset that can be used for margin requirements on other assets, so it is not uncommon for gold to be sold off after such a risk event. "Gold's performance is consistent with historical trends." Powell's hawkish remarks pushed the dollar index up 0.9% on Friday. When the dollar appreciates, gold naturally becomes more expensive for buyers holding foreign currencies.
I think the better-than-expected non-farm payrolls report released by the United States on Friday is another reason to hit gold prices. The U.S. Department of Labor reported that non-farm payrolls in March were 228,000 after seasonal adjustment, an increase higher than the market's expectation of 135,000. Non-farm payrolls data helped the Federal Reserve delay rate cuts. Gold usually performs well in a low-interest environment. Gold is still up 15.3% this year, relying on strong central bank buying and playing the role of a safe haven for funds amid economic and geopolitical uncertainties. Although gold prices fluctuate, it is still a safe haven for many investors.
Analysis of gold market trends next Monday:
Gold technical analysis: This week's Thursday and Friday gold market can be described as thrilling, with a rise and fall of more than 100 points in two days! The gold market suddenly changed, and there was an extremely violent sweep. First, it rose rapidly to 3136 without any signs, and then fell back quickly at lightning speed, and fell below the intraday low. After a series of large negative declines, gold is currently in a short-term trend. The daily line has a large negative downward trend, breaking the short-term moving average and piercing the middle track, leaving a lower shadow below. The pattern shows a negative engulfing positive engulfing bearish signal. In the short term, it may rely on the middle track support to confirm the 10ma resistance and fall again. The 4-hour Bollinger band opens downward, and the K-line continues to fall. The trend is already bearish and downward. The callback space is larger than the rising space. Falling below the previous day's starting low of 3054 is a short-term empty point, and the lowest retracement is around 3015. The daily line is in a partial adjustment in the short term.
Combined with the falling wave space of the 4-hour chart. The 3000 integer mark is the support position of the golden section point 0.5. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands open downward, and the K-line continues to decline. The downward trend is obvious. The focus below is on the break of the 3000 mark. As long as the 3000 mark is held, the short-term bullish structure will not change. The market will continue to rise to new highs. If the 3000 mark is broken, the market will form a large-level adjustment structure. The short-term operation is mainly to buy on dips above 3000, supplemented by high shorts. The upper resistance is around 3054-3057-3072, and the lower support is 3015-3000. On the whole, the short-term operation of gold next Monday is mainly to buy on rebounds, supplemented by buying on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3054-3057 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3000-3015 support line. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Reference for gold operation strategy next Monday:
1: Short (sell) gold rebounds to 3053-3055, target 3030-3015.
2: Long (buy) gold pullbacks to 3000-3003, target 3030-3040.
Gold 2025What does Gold have in store for us, i still believe we get a deeper correction before we continue the rally higher. The way I see the market playing out is indicated. I do think that $3000 will be a reasonable target before we probably revert to a range of $2000/$3000
Nasdaq ranges to start the yearArea's of interest in the Nasdaq going to be the start of a volatile period for equity markets.
XAUUSD in 4H hi friends this is my idea about gold in 4H timeframe
if u like this analysis please say me in comments ..
S&P moving lower for me We on our way towards 5300/5400 area on this move. The top maybe in for now be vigilant
The gap is nearly filled , what next today with Fed and earningsThe gap we have from the weekend and the announcement from Deepseek , we have nearly rebalanced the imbalance.
Today with Fed decision (No rate changed widely expected) but tech heavy earning after the close , today will be the start from something pivotal be prepared.
Crudeoil Short OpportunityFundamental : US Trariff rates Affected UsOil Market . Demand for crudeOil Will decrease in uncoming months.
Technicals: US oil Broke Multiple year support zone. Possible Downside move in Crudeoil MCX will be RS3500 from CMP . Strick Stoploss- RS6200.
XAUUSD BUYThe bigger trend of the market is bullish and also smaller trend of the market is bullish. The price of the market is very cheap as it is in between FVG and demand zone, but just wait for the retest from the pivot zone then buy as soon as it hit it as the price will be more cheaper. The market also given us an double bottom pattern and also market shift which is an change of the character. Be ready in Asian session as soon as it open before the price get expensive to buy the GOLD.
Skeptic | Gold Gears Up: Battle Between 3075.66 & 3128Welcome back, guys! 👋 I'm Skeptic.
Today, we're diving deep into XAU/USD (Gold) , breaking down the current structure and upcoming trade opportunities. 🔍
📊 Daily Structure:
The major trend remains bullish , with Gold showing strong upward momentum. If you've been following my previous breakdowns, you’ll remember I gave long triggers at 2955.31 , 3004.48 , and recently 3057.26 —all of which have played out well. Even if you entered based on your own signals in line with the trend, you should be sitting comfortably in profit.
🕒 1H Structure – What’s Next?
After that strong uptrend, Gold has entered a correction phase on the 1H chart.
📰 News Impact:
The recent announcement from President Trump imposing sweeping tariffs (10% baseline and up to 54% on China) has created major volatility across markets, including Gold. This geopolitical tension has added momentum to the asset, and we’re seeing it clearly on the chart.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup):
• Trigger: Break & close above 3128
• Since this aligns with the trend, larger targets and longer hold times are justified.
📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup):
• Trigger: Break & hold below 3075.66
• Manage risk carefully here—use tighter stop-losses and secure profits quickly since this is counter-trend.
⚠️ Key Notes:
🔹 Fundamentals: Heavy economic news flow today = High volatility expected.
🔹 Risk Management: Don’t overleverage. Only enter on confirmed breaks.
Stay skeptical, trade smart, and I’ll catch you in the next analysis! 👽📈
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 4/5/2025Finally we see another red candle on goldy. A lot of people said this could be the end for the bull. However, I don't think yet as currently it is only in the middle of the 4th wave. The next two weeks would be crucial. If we see another green weekly candle, we will be on the way to the final wave, which i think will be the end for the bull for this year.
For next week's setup, I will engage selling orders for the first few days while be cautious towards the end of the week. My bearish targets are 3000 and 2960. If either of the two numbers blocks the bear's path, we could a see a rebound.
Let's see how the market plays out next week.
Gold is undergoing a drastic shakeout. Can the bears take the inAfter the breakout in the previous upward trend of gold continued. The price and the 2830 low began to form a new upward trend. After three highs in 4 hours, the price also reached the 3168 line. Subsequently, this week and the high were violently washed, and the rise and fall of both long and short positions were expanded to 100 US dollars. The current price is supported by the 3000 line, which is also the long-short dividing line formed by the rising trend line. If this position is broken, gold may fall to 2956.
The resistance of 3085 above is suppressed. If this position is broken, gold will continue the bullish trend.
Overall, although gold has been violently washed at high levels, the overall bullish trend pattern has not been broken. The operation is still based on low-multiple ideas.
Gold operation suggestions: when the price falls back to the 3000-3020 area, long orders are arranged in batches, and the stop loss is broken below 2982 as the stop loss basis. The upward targets are 3050, 3065, and the break above 3085 continues the bullish trend.
For short positions, it is recommended to participate in short-term short positions when the price rebounds to the 3060-3070 area under pressure, and use the stop loss as the basis for breaking through 3085. The downside targets are 3034, 3020, and breaking below 3000.
