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Can Gold Recover From The Price Losses?Donald Trump's election victory is shaking up the international markets. Gold was also affected, losing drastically in value and slipping well below the USD 2,700 mark. Now the next big event is approaching with the Fed's decision tomorrow. We are bullish on gold, at least in the short term. The price reacted at a Fibonacci retracement and was able to halt the sell-off, at least for the time being. We assume that the gold price will now recover. Our price target is the lower edge of the very small value area of the entire downward movement to date.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Ochlokrat
GOLD Massive Short! SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following: The market is trading on 2743.3 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 2736.6 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
Gold:Short term analysis for 07/11/2024This is my personal opinion and is intended for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any decisions. Time Frame:1-hour The 1-hour XAUUSD chart exhibits a short-term bullish trend, with the RSI indicating a slight oversold condition. Key Levels: Poc(Point of Control): 2617 Order Block (Lower Target): 2580-2590 Resistance: 2683.00-2700.00 Immediate Support: 2643.00 Trading Bias: A breach of 2643.00 may trigger a corrective decline to the Point of Control (2617) and potentially reach the Lower Target (Order Block) at 2580-2590.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by avatarfreak
XAUUSD - The downtrend is not over yet!Today, the world gold price recorded a slight decrease. This precious metal reached about 2,737 USD/ounce and has not fluctuated much since the beginning of the week. Regarding the influencing factors: - Gold prices increased slightly due to the demand for safe haven capital, when the whole market is anxiously waiting for the results of the US presidential election. - However, the gold price increase has slowed down somewhat when US stocks increased very strongly. The Dow Jones index increased by 427 points, Nasdaq increased by 259 points and S&P 500 increased by 70 points. Many people have invested in stocks, causing the cash flow into the gold market to slow down. Gold prices no longer have the momentum to accelerate. Regarding the new outlook for XAUUSD: As we can see on the 1-hour chart of XAUUSD, we can see that the current price tends to move sideways around 2,730 - 2,757 USD. Meanwhile, the breakout from the previous bullish trendline is forming strong resistance nearby, suggesting that this could be a key resistance zone for any upside move. If the price breaks below the $2,730 support zone, further downside is likely near $2,700.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AmbaniFX
The Importance of Financial Discipline in TradingThe Importance of Financial Discipline in Trading: A Pathway to Lasting Success Achieving consistent success hinges on one fundamental principle: financial discipline. This concept encompasses adherence to a well-structured trading strategy, effective risk management, and emotional control. Distinguishing successful traders from those who struggle, financial discipline empowers individuals to make informed decisions while navigating the often chaotic world of financial markets. Understanding Financial Discipline Financial discipline is about maintaining a methodical approach to trading. It requires traders to exercise patience in waiting for favorable market conditions, the courage to cut losses promptly, and the self-restraint to avoid impulsive risks. By establishing clear trading rules and sticking to them, traders can minimize errors, conserve capital, and foster long-term profitability. In contrast, a lack of discipline can lead to devastating consequences, derailing even the most promising strategies and exposing traders to significant financial setbacks. Also Read: The Critical Role of Emotional Control Emotions can be one of the biggest hurdles in trading. Decisions driven by fear, greed, or overconfidence often lead to regrettable outcomes. For instance, fear may result in prematurely exiting a position, causing traders to miss out on potential gains when they could have held on longer. Conversely, the lure of quick profits might tempt traders to overtrade or take on excessive risk. Disciplined traders minimize the impact of emotions by adhering to a comprehensive pre-planned strategy that emphasizes consistency. This approach includes specific criteria for trade entries and exits, pre-defined risk thresholds, and clear guidelines for position sizing. By operating within these parameters, traders can cope with the inevitable volatility of the market without succumbing to emotional reactions. Moreover, having financial discipline allows traders to maintain composure during turbulent market periods, a time when many make ill-advised choices. The essence of financial discipline lies in its ability to keep traders focused on their long-term objectives, adapt strategies when needed, and ultimately achieve sustained profitability over time. Also Read: Setting Achievable Goals Successful trading begins with the establishment of realistic, achievable goals. Traders should clarify their objectives—in both the short and long term—to facilitate strategic decision-making. Short-term goals, such as monthly profit targets, should remain specific yet attainable, fostering motivation and providing benchmarks for progress. For example, rather than aiming for excessively high returns, a trader might target a modest monthly gain, reducing the urge to engage in risky behavior. However, flexibility is essential. Financial markets are dynamic, and goals may need adjustment in response to changing conditions. What may seem feasible during a bull market could become unrealistic in a downturn. Long-term goals, such as building wealth over several years, can help traders keep sight of their overarching aims without getting sidetracked by temporary setbacks. By setting realistic expectations, traders can avoid the pitfalls of ambition that often lead to burnout or reckless decisions. These well-defined goals serve not only as performance indicators but also as tools to cultivate patience and resilience in the trading journey. Risk Management: The Heart of Discipline Effective risk management is paramount for survival in trading, and disciplined traders recognize that controlling risk is essential for long-term sustainability. Every trade carries a degree of uncertainty, and without a robust risk management strategy, even minor losses can escalate, jeopardizing a trader's financial health. One fundamental risk management technique is the implementation of stop-loss orders. A stop-loss automatically closes a trade once it reaches a predetermined loss threshold, helping traders avoid the pitfall of holding onto losing positions in hopes of recovery. By defining acceptable limits, traders can mitigate risks and safeguard their accounts. Position sizing is another critical component of a prudent risk management strategy. Traders should only risk a small percentage of their total capital on any single trade, ensuring that a series of losses will not have a devastating impact on their overall account balance. This approach encourages traders to diversify their risks rather than overexposing themselves to any one market or trade. Additionally, understanding and applying a favorable risk-reward ratio is central to disciplined trading. Aiming for trades where the potential reward significantly surpasses the risk taken helps ensure that traders remain profitable in the long run. For example, a risk-reward ratio of 3:1 means risking $100 to potentially earn $300. By consistently identifying trades with such favorable ratios, traders can weather inevitable losses while maintaining a path to profitability. Also Read: Mastering Emotional Control The psychological aspects of trading cannot be overlooked. Emotions such as fear and greed can markedly hinder progress. Fear may lead to hasty exits from positions, while greed could incite traders to exceed their risk limits in pursuit of greater profits. Both scenarios jeopardize a structured trading plan and can have dire financial consequences. Long-term success in trading requires emotional control, allowing traders to base decisions on careful analysis rather than spontaneous reactions to the market. Fostering a disciplined routine is key. This starts with a thorough trading plan that outlines clear entry and exit strategies, risk management protocols, and position sizes. Consistently revisiting and adhering to this plan will help mitigate impulsive decision-making influenced by market mood swings or personal stressors. Embracing losses as an inherent part of trading is also vital. Even the most adept traders experience losing trades, and it's crucial to avoid allowing recent losses to cloud future judgment. Focusing on the broader strategy and long-term performance instead of fixating on individual trades enhances a trader’s capacity to remain rational and composed. Also Read: and... Conclusion: The Path to Consistency and Success Financial discipline is not merely a concept; it's the bedrock of effective trading. By prioritizing structured strategies, managing risk diligently, and controlling emotions, traders can position themselves for sustained success in the financial markets. The journey to mastery involves setting realistic goals, crafting sound risk management plans, and cultivating emotional resilience. Ultimately, by embracing these principles, traders can improve their decision-making processes and enhance their chances for consistent, profitable outcomes in the exciting yet challenging world of trading.
COMEX:GC1!Education
by FOREXN1
1
Gold prices to fall steadily by the end of 2024Gold prices are trending down today, falling below the critical $2,700 level and currently hovering around $2,659. The main driver behind gold's decline is the surging USD, coupled with investor expectations that tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine may ease. Additionally, previous profit-taking and short-selling activity have further "sunk" this asset. If this trend continues, gold may test lower support levels around $2,603, after revisiting the 0.786 Fibonacci level and declining in line with the Elliott Wave 5. Investors are advised to seize short-selling opportunities while closely monitoring market movements in the coming period!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
Silver Faces Heavy Resistance: Time to Consider a Short?The price of Silver recently reached a key weekly demand zone from 2012, a level that has historically been significant in the market. Currently, the price appears to be following a similar reversal pattern to Gold, suggesting potential downside in the near term. For a clearer understanding of this correlation, check out my detailed analysis of Gold on my page, where I delve into its ongoing reversal pattern. In the chart provided below, you’ll see my weekly analysis of Silver, highlighting this critical supply area: View the chart here. Market Sentiment and COT Insights Market sentiment in Silver is still leaning bullish among retail traders, contrasting with the more developed reversal in Gold. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report continues to show strong bullish positioning among retail traders in Silver, which often signals a potential contrarian move. Meanwhile, the Forecast Indicator, which captures seasonal tendencies, is pointing towards a possible reversal in Silver during this part of the year. Technical Outlook From a technical perspective, Silver’s move into this weekly demand zone could mark the start of a more pronounced downtrend, aligning with the reversal patterns seen in Gold. Historically, this zone has acted as a strong resistance level, where price has struggled to break higher. As such, it’s a prime setup for a short position with a focus on capturing downside momentum. The current setup aligns with both technical signals and the COT report’s insights, indicating that smart money may soon start to unwind long positions, adding to the potential for further declines in Silver. Trade Setup Given the current scenario, we’re keeping a close eye on Silver for a short setup. Key factors to watch for confirmation include: -A sustained rejection at the current demand level. -Divergence signals aligning with a downward move. Further weakening in Gold, which could act as a leading indicator for Silver’s bearish movement. Final Thoughts The current analysis suggests that Silver could be entering a potential reversal phase, similar to what is already underway in Gold. However, it’s crucial to remain patient and wait for confirmation signals before committing to a short position. I’d love to hear your thoughts on this analysis. Do you think Silver’s reversal is imminent, or is there more room for upside before a potential downturn? Let me know in the comments below!
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by FOREXN1
1
XAU/USD 07 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As highlighted in my analysis dated 31 October 2024: We should remain aware that the daily timeframe has been showing early signs of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation, suggesting that price could print a bearish iBOS despite H4 internal structure being bullish. This printed as anticipated, with price printing a bearish iBOS that also confirmed the swing structure. Price is now trading within an established swing range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the start of a bullish pullback phase. Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As detailed in yesterday's intraday analysis dated 06 November 2024, I noted that price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price printed to this expectation, successfully targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS. Following this, price has printed an additional bearish iBOS and a bullish CHoCH, confirming the internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to target the weak internal low after reacting from either the premium of 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone. Note: Considering the Fed’s softer stance, and rising geopolitical tensions, price volatility is likely to remain elevated. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAGUSD Trade Log Trade Setup - XAGUSD Long in Daily FVG Details: - Pair: XAGUSD (Silver) - Timeframe: Daily - Setup: Long within daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) Trade Parameters: - Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:5 - Risk: 1% of account - Entry: Watch for confirmation of price stability or bullish reversal signals within the daily FVG. Stop-Loss and Take-Profit: - Stop-Loss: Positioned just below the lower boundary of the FVG. - Take-Profit: Target set at five times the stop-loss distance to achieve the 1:5 RRR. Additional Notes: - With a high RRR, rely on strong confirmation signals to support the extended target. - Stay alert for economic events that could increase XAGUSD’s volatility.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Fondera-Trading
SILVER_101 2024.11.07 09:01:35 Trading Signal BUYFrankPro Signal for SILVER_101 Type: Screen Signal: BUY TP: 31.609 SL: 30.913 Entry Price: 31.087 Analysis for SILVER Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Strong Down LT= Strong Down Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Down LT=Down ST=Down LT=Down ST=Down LT=Down Analysis Method(0) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for XAG/USD (Silver) in both the short-term and long-term: **Short-term (next few days to a week):** * Expected price movement: Down * Reasoning: The price has broken below key support levels, including the 50-day SMA, and is currently under pressure. The technical outlook suggests a potential bullish correction to test the resistance area near $32.05, but this is likely to be followed by a downward rebound. Additionally, market indicators such as oscillators on the daily chart are gaining negative traction, indicating a path of least resistance to the downside. **Long-term (next few weeks to months):** * Expected price movement: Down * Reasoning: The analysis suggests that silver prices are vulnerable and may continue to decline unless there is a strong breakout above key resistance levels. The technical outlook indicates a potential continuation of the fall, targeting levels below $28.45. Furthermore, the strengthening of the US Dollar following the presidential election is likely to maintain downward pressure on silver prices. It's worth noting that a strong breakout above $33.65 could indicate continued growth to the $35.05 area, but this scenario seems less likely based on the current analysis. Result: ST=Down LT=Down Analysis Method(1) Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions on the expected price movement of XAG/USD (Silver) in both the short-term and long-term: **Short-Term Analysis (next few days/week):** * The price is expected to go down. The current price action suggests further potential declines, with support levels identified at $30.40-$30.35 (100-day SMA) and potentially lower to $30.00, $29.70, and the 200-day SMA near $28.55. * However, there is an expectation of an attempt to develop a bullish correction in the price of silver, testing the resistance level near $32.05, followed by a potential downward rebound and continuation of the fall in price. **Long-Term Analysis (next few weeks/months):** * The price is expected to go down. The technical outlook indicates that any attempted recovery might be seen as a selling opportunity, with the path of least resistance currently to the downside. * The strong US Dollar, bolstered by Trump's election victory, is a significant factor in the current downward pressure on silver prices, which is likely to continue in the long-term. * However, if the price clears the $33.00 mark, it could target the October 31 high of $33.89 and potentially higher levels, indicating a potential reversal of the downtrend. Overall, the analysis suggests that the price of silver is likely to continue its downward trend in both the short-term and long-term, with potential support levels at $30.40-$30.35 and $28.55. However, there is a possibility of a bullish correction in the short-term, and a potential reversal of the downtrend if the price clears the $33.00 mark. Result: ST=Down LT=Down Analysis Method(2) Based on the analysis, here are my predictions for the Silver price (XAG/USD): **Short-term (next few days to a week):** * The price is expected to go down. The breakdown below the 50-day SMA and the short-term ascending trend-channel has triggered bearish sentiment, and oscillators indicate negative traction. The price is likely to continue its fall towards the 100-day SMA support around $30.40-$30.35. * Immediate support levels to watch are $30.23 (100-day SMA) and the psychological mark of $30.00. If these levels are broken, the price could drop further to $29.70. **Long-term (next few weeks to a month):** * The price is expected to stay the same or go down slightly. The strong US Dollar following Donald Trump's victory in the presidential election is likely to keep Silver prices in check. The price may eventually drop below the $30.00 psychological mark, heading towards the $29.70 zone and the 200-day SMA near $28.55. * However, if the price manages to break above the 50-day SMA breakpoint near $31.40, it could lead to a short-covering move, but it may not sustain and could fizzle out near the $32.65 region. Overall, the technical analysis suggests a bearish sentiment in the short-term, while the long-term outlook is neutral to slightly bearish due to the strong US Dollar. Result: ST=Down LT=Down
TVC:SILVERLong
by frankiepro