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Could India-Pak ceasefire & China-US talks trigger gold's declinNews From May 5th to 9th, trade tensions and geopolitical conflicts have driven the gold market to rise 📈. The spot gold price has once broken through 3,438. As the bullish momentum has waned, investors have taken profits at high levels, and the weekly increase has narrowed to about 3.1%. Trump's remarks on tariffs, uncertainties in trade negotiations, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and the military standoff between India and Pakistan have stimulated the demand for safe-haven assets, pushing up the gold price 💹. Technical indicators show that the short-term correction pressure has increased, and the market may enter a phase of volatile consolidation 🤔. Gold Trend At the beginning of this week, influenced by the safe-haven property of gold, its price has increased. However, this tariff news has less of an impact on the gold price than before, and the upward trend has stopped at 3,439. After the Federal Reserve maintained its interest rate policy unchanged, the gold price has declined for two consecutive days 📉, and yesterday's closing price was above 3,300. Looking ahead, with the ceasefire of the conflict between India and Pakistan and the advancement of the China-US talks, the gold price is likely to drop significantly next week ⬇️. The ceasefire between India and Pakistan has alleviated the geopolitical tensions, weakening the driving force for gold to rise as a safe-haven asset. If the China-US talks achieve positive results, the market's risk appetite will increase, and investors are likely to shift their funds from gold to risky assets such as stocks. In the past, when there has been progress in trade negotiations, the gold price has dropped significantly. Overall, there is an obvious downward trend for the gold price next week 😟. ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Sell@3330 🚀 TP 3280 - 3260 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Sovereign-
Two Shots at NQ: Because One's Never EnoughAlright, here’s the game plan – because let’s be honest, the market loves nothing more than pretending to break out, then snapping back just to mess with us. 🔥 The Setup: I’m eyeing the Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Futures (June 2025), and I’m giving myself two shots at this breakout. Yeah, I know – ambitious. But the market’s been playing hard to get lately, so I’m hedging my enthusiasm. 💡 Why Two Long Entries? Because, let’s face it, the first entry will probably get stopped out. I like to think of it as a “testing the waters” trade. If it works, great – I’m a genius. If not, well, it was just practice. First Entry (The Optimist): I’m jumping in if it breaks out, keeping the stop tight – because nothing says confidence like a cautious stop loss. Second Entry (The Realist): If the first entry faceplants, I’ll wait for the market to freak out and then calm down. Then, I’ll slide back in when it looks like it’s actually serious this time. 🧠 Managing the Chaos: Short-Term Target: The last high – because if it doesn’t clear that, what’s the point? Long-Term Target: The equal move – assuming the market doesn’t chicken out halfway. Stop-Loss: Snug and sensible, because I’d rather not watch my account do a disappearing act. Take profit targets are set where the equal move would complete – assuming the market cooperates for once. 💭 The Thought Process: I’m not here to pretend I can predict the future – if I could, I’d be on a yacht, not posting on TradingView. But this setup gives me two chances to be right, which is at least one more than usual. 🔥 Your Thoughts? If you’re also giving your trades a second (or third) chance, drop a comment. Or just let me know how your latest breakout fake-out went – because misery loves company. 😅
CME_MINI:MNQM2025Long
by natron
1
NASDAQ Harmonic pattern indicating strong bounce incoming.AI vs. Dot-Com Bubble When drawing parallels between #AI and the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, many express concerns that current valuations may be excessively inflated. However, significant differences are apparent. To begin with, the current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of the NASDAQ-100 is approximately 30, whereas during the dot-com bubble, it skyrocketed to 200, with many companies lacking any earnings in sight. Additionally, the market capitalisation to #GDP ratio reached unprecedented levels in the late 1990s, while today's figures, although still high, are supported by robust earnings and solid cash flows from established business models. Innovations in AI, cloud computing, and digital transformation have fuelled revenue growth, exemplified by #NVIDIA's data centre sales, which surged 409% year-over-year in Q4 2024, and Microsoft's Azure, which experienced a 28% year-over-year increase in 2024. This surge in productivity is being driven by individuals, businesses, and governments alike. As a result, major tech firms are making substantial investments in AI research and development, with clear strategies for monetisation. AI is poised to become a transformative force, akin to the transistor, a groundbreaking invention that scales effectively and permeates various sectors of the economy. Lastly, the Federal Reserve raised interest #rates to 6.5% to tackle inflation after previously lowering them to address Y2K concerns before the bubble burst in 2000. In contrast, current expectations suggest that interest rates will stabilise or decrease, which would support valuations.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by BallaJi
2
On May 9, the London market XAUUSD real-time trading strategyXAUUSD's huge drop hit 3274. From the side news, there is no huge potential impact. Because almost all important data are updated. From the larger level of K-line cycle, the top structure appears, which is why I remind everyone to continue to sell. In the trading process, it is very important to switch from long to short. Often some traders always suffer huge losses in their accounts due to misjudgment. This week, under my accurate prediction, the market trend is exactly the same as I expected. Summary: There is no major news affecting the current situation. And it is the last trading day of this week. For XAUUSD, maintaining high selling is the current trading direction. There are signs of returning to the weekly opening price at the daily level. Observe whether the pressure range of 3330-3340 can stabilize during the day. If not, we can focus on the lower profit range. 3260-3220. To prevent missing out on some good trading strategies and ideas, remember to continue to pay attention to the ideas of the swing trading center. If you want to get more and more accurate signals, you can leave me a message.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Band_analysis
XAU/USD:the extreme market conditions will continue.There was significant progress in the Sino-US negotiations over the weekend, and it was announced that a Sino-US "joint statement" would be released today. The news led to a gap-down opening of gold by $51 in the early trading, and after the gap-down, it is currently fluctuating weakly below $3290. From a fundamental perspective, geopolitical events such as the India-Pakistan conflict, the Russia-Ukraine war, and the Middle East situation have limited boosting effects on the gold price. The market's attention is focused on the Sino-US tariff issue. The significant breakthrough in the Sino-US tariff negotiations is bearish for gold, and the gap-down opening of the gold price in the early trading has fully reflected this news. With the alleviation of the tariff dilemma, the market has shifted to a volatile pattern dominated by bears. However, the tariff negotiations are complex, and the subsequent games will continue. Moreover, the disturbances in the geopolitical situation will still support the gold price from time to time. It is expected that the gold price will maintain a wide range of fluctuations. Focus on: resistance levels: 3345-3315-3295 support levels: 3260-3220-3180 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_01
XAU/USD – May 12, 2025📊XAU/USD – May 12, 2025 🔹Current Price: 3,277.10 🔹Timeframe: 15M 📌Key Supply Zones: 🔴 3356–3368 – Higher-timeframe supply (strong rejection zone) 🔴 Mid-level untested supply zone near 3,300 (minor reaction observed) 📌Key Demand Zones: 🟢 3257–3269 – Current support zone; holding price for now 🟢 3222.9–3226 – HTF demand base (critical if breakdown continues) 📉Bearish Bias: Price remains in a clear downtrend with lower highs and lower lows. Currently reacting from the 3257–3269 demand. If this zone fails, expect deeper selloff toward 3222. 📈Bullish Setup (If Confirmed): Only a strong bounce and BOS from 3269 can open short-term longs toward 3300+. Watch for reaction and engulfing on lower timeframes. ⚠️Execution Tip: ✅ Don’t trade blindly into zones – wait for confirmation ✅ Focus on RR setups only when structure shifts ✅ Use 5M/15M BOS to align with direction #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #FXFOREVER #SupplyAndDemand #SmartMoneyConcepts #GoldScalping #BreakOfStructure #IntradayTrading #WaitForConfirmation
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FXFOREVER_87
Gold Breaks Support Level – The Downtrend May Not StopAfter peaking at $3,500/ounce in April, gold is in a clear correction phase. On the H4 chart, the price has broken through both the EMA34 and EMA89, indicating that a short-term downtrend has been established. The most recent session closed at $3,223, losing nearly $130 in just a few sessions. The sharp decline appeared after a long rally and the peak was rejected many times. The break through the EMA89 support has triggered technical selling pressure, reflecting the psychology of profit-taking after failing to surpass the old peak.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by vandogeve
High-level strong pressure rebound continues to shortSince the opening gap at 3275, gold rebounded to 3292 and then started to fall. So far, gold has hit 3216 and then fluctuated upward. The bulls are temporarily suppressed. We still focus on rebounding and shorting. After all, the general trend is bearish. The upper 32775-3281 is the main short-term suppression level. If the rebound does not break, you can continue to short. The short position may continue to reach a new low. Pay attention to the support of 3200. Judging from the current gold trend, the support at 3206-3215 is the focus below, and the short-term resistance at 3275-81 is the focus above. The strong resistance is near 3290-3300. This position is also the watershed between long and short positions. Before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position, the main short rhythm of the pullback will continue to remain unchanged. Gold operation strategy: 1. Short gold at 3275-83 when it rebounds, short at 3290-95 when it rebounds, stop loss at 3303, target at 3206-3215, continue to hold if it breaks
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EuniceHarrington
1
FCPO WEEK 21 2025: Towards 4000?There are 2 scenarios for this week: Scenario #1 - if price to close and stay above 3857 then there is possibility that it will continue going higher towards 4000 area. However this might be a limited move higher because the overall trend is still bearish. I think that the price will likely retest the 3700 and consolidate for a bit before going bullish. Scenario #2 - if price to close and stay below 3745 then it should open a move lower towards 3638 area. It would be the lowest price since Aug 2024. This might be the lowest low that we need for price to establish a bullish trend. If Scenario #1 happens then it will be interesting to analyse the price action to determine the momentum and see whether price already establish a sign that it is ready to go even higher. Happy trading!
MYX:FCPO1!Long
by edramlan
2
Nasdaq – Daily Breakout Alert!📈 Nasdaq – Daily Breakout Alert! Wonderful breakout spotted on the Nasdaq Daily Chart after a prolonged consolidation of nearly 2 months. If the price sustains above 19,945 and breaks past the key resistance at 20,060, we could witness the beginning of a fresh rally in the index. 🔍 All eyes now on the price action in this critical zone. Continuation above these levels could trigger strong bullish momentum — assuming no major global turmoil disrupts the setup. #NASDAQ #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #USMarkets #BullishSignal #ChartWatch #TradingView
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by ispark4u
XAUMUSD Tactical Map - XAUMO ZONE INTEL — MUST KNOW LEVELS Zone Price Range Purpose Yellow Zone 3281 – 3285 Liquidity Trap / Stop Hunt / Fake Break Zone Green Zone 3286 – 3292 Bullish Ignition Area — breakout activates longs Red Zone 3292 – 3305 Bearish Rejection — Supply slap zone KEY S/R ZONES Resistance: 3285 / 3305 / 3315 Support: 3215 / 3201 / 3170 Dead Man’s Land (No Man’s Zone): 3235–3250 (fakeout noise) FULL CAIRO SESSION BEHAVIOR MAP BULLISH SCENARIO: Ride the Rocket Time (Cairo) Session Behavior Execution Plan 10:00 AM London Open Dip to 3215 sweep, fake breakdown Buy Stop 3230, SL 3214, TP 3260 11:00–12:30 London Push Momentum push to 3250–3260 Add on breakout + volume, trail SL to 3238 1:00–3:00 PM Pre-NY Sideways coil, triangle base Wait for wedge breakout above 3265 3:30 PM NY Open Fakeout dip, then explosion up Buy Stop 3286, SL 3265, TP1 3305, TP2 3315 4:30+ PM NY Continuation Ride trend if VWAP holds TP at exhaustion, RSI > 60 confirms run BEARISH SCENARIO: Slice the Floor Time (Cairo) Session Behavior Execution Plan 10:00 AM London Open Fake pump above 3250 to trap longs Sell Limit 3248, SL 3260 11:00–12:30 London Fade Breakdown, lower highs Sell Stop 3220, SL 3235, TP1 3201 1:00–3:00 PM Pre-NY Dead bounce into sell again Re-enter short at 3240 on rejection 3:30 PM NY Open Slam candle down Sell Stop 3214, SL 3235, TP1 3201, TP2 3170 4:30+ PM NY Continuation Freefall if RSI < 40 Hold runners into 3170, tighten SL above 3210 HYPOTHETICAL STRIKE ORDERS Primary Bearish Order (High Probability – “Execution Blade”) Type: Sell Stop Entry: 3214 SL: 3235 TP1: 3201 TP2: 3170 Confidence: 88% Reason: Volume flush under Ichimoku cloud with engulfing pattern confirmation. NY volatility is the trigger. Primary Bullish Order (Breakout Missile) Type: Buy Stop Entry: 3286 SL: 3265 TP1: 3305 TP2: 3315 Confidence: 65% Reason: Break above liquidity trap with volume spike post-NY. Needs RSI > 55 and divergence confirmation. Scalp Setup (Early Killshot) Type: Buy Stop (Fade Reversal) Entry: 3230 SL: 3214 TP: 3250 Confidence: 70% Reason: London opening trap sweep and snap back. SCALP / SWING ACTION ZONES Scalp: 3220–3235 (Fade traps, use tight stops) Swing: 3215 Break = DUMP into 3201/3170 Only Swing Long if 3285 flips into solid support post-NY Strategic Checklist When to Strike: → Confirmed volume + price behavior at mapped levels (3215 / 3285) When to Defend: → If price chops inside 3235–3250. No entry. Let market choose. When to Scalp: → During liquidity sweep or fake NY dips. Quick TP, tight SL. When to Swing: → Only on confirmed session breakouts (NYO flush or pump). FINAL WORD FROM XAUMO The battlefield today is volatile, full of liquidity traps and engineered fakeouts. Your weapon is precision timing, not prediction. Watch volume, read rejection wicks, and strike with purpose. No mercy. No hesitation.
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE