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Futures market

Gold will fall excessively.Scenario takes stage and now it's time.From early Jan to dec,gold almost hits half of its price when hits $2790, Now before 2025,market buyers will taking profit from what thay have made this year. $1980 to 2790. That's huge from all over the period of trade in gold. Fundamentals will support this idea and technical will favour it. As fed signals fewer rate cuts next year n market falls in technical correction cycle. So now sold n hold untill another shift in *geopolitics*. Expected tgt $2560-2540-2400.
TVC:GOLDShort
by ktra_commodities
1220 USOIL could not break top zone and turn down sideways againHello traders, This Thursday, Bitcoin's price experienced significant fluctuations, dropping from $102,000 to $97,000, a decline of $5,000 overnight. If we consider the high point from last weekend, the "tulip bloom," to the current "withered" state, it has fallen a total of $11,000 within a week. As a reminder, the second half of December is the period of tightest liquidity in the U.S. Everything is sellable! Therefore, when Federal Reserve Chairman Powell clearly stated, "We are not allowed to own Bitcoin," it can at least be confirmed that the rumors of the Fed holding Bitcoin have been dispelled, and the U.S. government's plans to accumulate Bitcoin are nearly impossible. This means that Bitcoin's price has finally returned to "normal," reflecting the trend of tightening liquidity. On Thursday, there are several important data points to pay attention to: 1. U.S. Dollar Index: 108.3 2. 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.57% 3. 30-Year Treasury Yield: 4.74% These figures indicate that inflation expectations are rising. In particular, the 30-year Treasury yield is just about 10 basis points away from this year's high of 4.81%, and less than 40 basis points from the 2017 peak of 5.11%. Over the past two weeks, the 30-year Treasury yield has risen by 40 basis points. What is the current market consensus? The small red circle suggests shorting U.S. Treasuries and going long on the dollar. Today is Friday, a special day, as it marks the largest and most important options expiration date (OPEX) of 2024. Given the maximum OPEX, the impending government shutdown, and the tightening liquidity, the market may experience significant volatility!!!!!! Major attention is needed during this time, particularly during U.S. market hours (9:00 PM Beijing time to early Saturday morning). Wednesday's internal tips: On the 4-hour chart, crude oil has retraced below the EMA and the first resistance level, which diverges from the daily chart (where the candlestick is above the EMA) and the weekly chart (which has broken through the bottom resistance line), creating a selection issue for the market. **Idea One:** You can choose to enter new long positions after the 4-hour chart returns above the EMA. **Idea Two:** You can also consider a larger risk-reward ratio, entering the market opportunistically while the 4-hour chart is below the EMA, but the daily and weekly charts remain bullish. For existing long positions that have not hit the stop loss, it is recommended to hold on, based on the second idea mentioned above. TP1: 71.5 TP2: 72.0 TP3: 72.70 On Wednesday, during U.S. market hours, crude oil faced resistance at the first resistance level; On Thursday, during U.S. market hours, crude oil was blocked by the 4-hour EMA. At this point, the long crude oil trades hit their stop loss, and positions were closed, requiring a reevaluation of the trading strategy. Since Wednesday, under the pressure of the Fed's hawkish interest rate cuts, the demand outlook for crude oil has become increasingly bleak. Moreover, the market's further slowdown in easing expectations poses severe challenges for oil prices. Currently, the market generally believes that there will be a significant oversupply of global oil next year. In this market expectation, a rise in oil prices has become almost impossible. Market sentiment is low, and investors are generally cautious about the oil market. In the coming months, oil prices are likely to remain under pressure, making it difficult to regain their former glory. From a technical perspective, on the 4-hour chart, crude oil continues to struggle within a sideways range. On Friday, plan to establish new short positions. On the 1-hour chart, during European and American market hours, look for an opportunity to enter short positions on crude oil based on a 1-hour reversal signal. TP1: 67.50 TP2: 66.60 Mid-term short position take-profit level: 63.50. GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
FX:USOILShort
by FUNTRADER-Vera
GOLD --> The Downtrend Persists. What’s the Next Target?Dear Friends, Gold has seen a modest rise amidst a broader bearish trend, currently trading around $2,617, up 1.27% on the day. This slight uptick can be attributed to sellers pausing their pressure, coupled with the fundamental appeal of gold increasing. As the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding precious metal decreases due to lower interest rates, gold becomes more attractive. However, the Federal Reserve's cautious outlook on rate cuts—suggesting smaller reductions than expected next year—could weigh on gold's upward momentum. Additionally, US Treasury yields edged higher on December 18, with the 10-year yield reaching its highest level since May. Treasuries, often considered a direct competitor to gold due to their interest-bearing nature, could diminish gold's appeal if yields continue to rise. Ben personally advises waiting for a decisive candle close below the 2636 liquidity zone before taking further advantage of the market trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
Gold price trend analysisGold daily line maintains a short structure, and the continued rise of the US dollar index has a certain negative impact on the gold and silver markets. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow and a small positive, and the short-term chart four-hour roller coaster price continued to move down along the high and low points of the MA10-day moving average, and the price continued to run along the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands. The hourly chart Bollinger Bands opened downward, and the RSI indicator ran below the middle axis. Today's trading ideas remain unchanged, mainly rebounding high and high, and low-multiple short-term auxiliary. Gold 1-hour moving average is still short-term divergent arrangement, without any signs of turning, and there is still room for gold to go down. Gold did not stand firm at 2600 to close, and continued to sell at highs below 2613 today! First support: 2582, second support: 2572, third support: 2563 First resistance: 2605, second resistance: 2613, third resistance: 2628 Trading strategy: BUY:2583-2585 SELL:2611-2613
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
### Trading Idea for Gold (15-Minute Chart)### Trading Idea for Gold (15-Minute Chart) Market Overview: As we analyze the 15-minute chart for Gold, we are observing a potential bearish flag pattern forming. This technical setup can provide traders with opportunities for potential short positions, as it often indicates a continuation of the prevailing downtrend after a brief consolidation period. Bearish Flag Pattern: - Definition: The bearish flag pattern is characterized by a sharp price decline (the flagpole), followed by a period of consolidation (the flag), which slants upward or moves sideways. A breakdown from this pattern usually suggests that the prevailing downtrend is likely to continue. - Setup: Currently, Gold appears to be forming this pattern, suggesting a potential move to the downside if the price breaks below the support level. Breakdown Levels: - Key Support Level: Traders should monitor the lower boundary of the bullish flag. A decisive break below this level will confirm the bearish flag scenario and trigger selling momentum. - Targets: - Target 1: $2,680 - This level serves as a significant area of support where traders may see buying activity if reached. - Target 2: $2,660 - This target is close to the first target and indicates another potential support region where a bounce is possible. Invalidation Level: - Key Resistance Level: To validate the bearish scenario, a clear rise above $2,605 would invalidate the bearish flag setup. If Gold prices exceed this level, it may suggest the presence of bullish momentum, potentially leading to further upside. Trading Plan: 1. Entry: If the price breaks below the lower boundary of the bearish flag pattern and shows increased selling volume, consider entering a short position. 2. Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss order above $2,609 to limit risk in case the market moves against the anticipated bearish scenario. 3. Take Profit: Consider two take-profit targets: - The first target at $2,680. - The second target at $2,660. 4. Monitoring: Keep an eye on market news and overall sentiment, as external factors (such as economic reports or geopolitical events) can significantly affect Gold prices. Technical Indicators to Watch: - Volume: Look for increased volume accompanying the breakdown to confirm the validity of the bearish flag. - RSI: Monitor the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for overbought signals, which could indicate that a reversal may occur if the bearish pattern plays out. Conclusion: If the anticipated bearish flag pattern plays out as expected, Gold could move towards the target levels of $2,680 and $2,660. However, vigilance is essential as a rise above $2,605 would invalidate this trading idea and potentially indicate a bullish trend. Always ensure to implement proper risk management strategies in your trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SRFXGlobal
1
GOLD - Should I sell?Brian, hello everyone! Gold prices “plunged” and fell more than 2% to a one-month low in mid-week trading after the Fed decided to cut interest rates as expected, but noted that it would slow the pace of borrowing cost reductions in the near term. The Fed’s stance boosted the USD and bond yields. Based on the performance of gold on the 4-hour time frame, along with indicators from EMA and RSI, a bearish trend is expected in the coming period. With the current unfavorable situation for gold, the price of gold is likely to reach $2,537 in the near future.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader-Briannnn
Will the interest rate cut in late 2024 happen? XAU UP OR DOWN ✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 12/16 - 12/20/2024 🔥 World situation: Although gold posted some losses, it remains up nearly 1% for the week, supported by a mix of US economic data. While inflation figures were varied, the latest Initial Jobless Claims report strengthened investor confidence in a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Attention now shifts to the Fed’s December 17-18 policy meeting, with traders pricing in a 93% likelihood of a 25 basis point cut, according to CBOT data. Following the announcement, all eyes will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference for insights into the policy direction for 2025. 🔥 Identify: H4 is seeing price close to the bullish trendline - which will be validating the last rate cut of the year. There will be some upside but it will still be difficult to break above the 2723 price zone 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $2678, $2723 Support : $2613, $2590, $2535 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
Corn - Back into Stable RangeWhen the 441'0 historical resistance level is reached from below after having not been approached from below in at least a few months, it has served as resistance 5 out of the last 8 times. The theory here is that it will serve as resistance again and that corn will fall back into the "stable range" of 316' to 441'. There is a downtrend channel which also is serving as resistance. If the bearish theory fails, the upside potential is significant. Downside and upside targets are shown on the chart. This is one to watch and see how it plays out on hourly/daily TFs with a bearish bias. I'm bearish below 441', cautiously bullish above. No trade entry at this point.
CBOT:ZC1!Short
by Skipper86
A sad week for GOLD, a happy week to tradeBehold gold, approaching the lowest support from gold's current range, we are eyeing to long a quick 16 win to loss ratio of this asset. This bounce is expected to occur within a matter of hours hoping to take profit at the target or just trail the stop loss while moving up. We are currently on a great support to bounce off off but I believe the lowest for the week is not yet printed. If we go up from here, i will be looking for a short setup But for now, I will be waiting for this level.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by christoferjuliussayco